25/03/2014 World Business Report


25/03/2014

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charges including the killing of a policeman. Those are the latest

:00:00.:00:00.

headlines from BBC News. Now for the latest financial news with Sally

:00:00.:00:00.

Bundock and World Business Report. Russia's economy grinds to a halt as

:00:00.:00:20.

the Ukraine crisis takes a heavy toll. Capital outflows are expected

:00:21.:00:28.

to soar to $70 billion. Chinese President Xi Jinping travels

:00:29.:00:31.

to France to try to revive flagging trade ties and sign potentially

:00:32.:00:32.

blockbuster deals. Welcome to World Business Report.

:00:33.:00:45.

I'm Sally Bundock. Also in the programme, we head to Istanbul to

:00:46.:00:48.

hear from Greeks who moved there in search of work.

:00:49.:00:55.

Russia says it expects investors to have moved up to $70 billion worth

:00:56.:01:00.

of assets out of the country in the first three months of this year.

:01:01.:01:03.

It's the clearest sign yet that investors are nervous as fears grow

:01:04.:01:06.

of the impact tighter sanctions will have on the Russian economy. There

:01:07.:01:12.

are also warnings of stagnant growth and rising inflation. The economy

:01:13.:01:18.

grew by just 1.3% last year. Ilya Ponomarev was the only one of 445

:01:19.:01:21.

Russian deputies in the State Duma who voted against Crimea joining

:01:22.:01:28.

Russia. He says the crisis provides an excuse for poor economic

:01:29.:01:35.

policies. They think that for Russia it is a big mistake what we have

:01:36.:01:40.

done. One of the reasons why President Putin went so far and so

:01:41.:01:44.

quickly was to disguise the problems that we have in our economy. Now

:01:45.:01:52.

economic growth is virtually stalled in Russia. With this huge patriotic

:01:53.:02:00.

uprising, people 's attention is shifted from the internal problems

:02:01.:02:08.

and now we are thinking about Crimea and greater Russia and retaining

:02:09.:02:08.

pieces of land and so on. With me is Otilia Dhand, Vice

:02:09.:02:22.

President of Teneo intelligence. Everybody is starting to comment on

:02:23.:02:25.

the impact that the sanctions will have on Russia, if they brought out

:02:26.:02:30.

further. What is your take on how the Russian economy is doing? The

:02:31.:02:36.

growth of the economy has been slowing down for several months,

:02:37.:02:38.

especially in the last quarter of 2013. There is a single reason why,

:02:39.:02:46.

but a combination of weak domestic demand and the completion of the

:02:47.:02:51.

project in Sochi that had been driving investment in the country.

:02:52.:02:54.

The crisis does provide a good excuse for Vladimir Putin's economic

:02:55.:03:06.

performance. It will be used for several quarters to come. Russian

:03:07.:03:11.

officials were saying yesterday that within this month it is more than

:03:12.:03:16.

likely that $70 billion worth of capital will have left Russia. That

:03:17.:03:20.

is more than the whole of last year. Should we be concerned about what

:03:21.:03:26.

impact that will have? That documents a loss of confidence of

:03:27.:03:32.

foreign investors in Russia. That is in terms of the financial system as

:03:33.:03:37.

well as direct investment. These investments would have come from

:03:38.:03:40.

either Germany or Italy or the country is now opposing Russia's

:03:41.:03:46.

expansion into Crimea. This is likely to have a further effect on

:03:47.:03:53.

the investment part of the GDP for Russia. It is hard to restore the

:03:54.:04:01.

confidence of foreign investors once you have lost it. Now it looks that

:04:02.:04:07.

there is nothing to restore confidence in terms of how

:04:08.:04:10.

negotiations are going on between Russia, the US, and the EU,

:04:11.:04:15.

especially with this sort of G`7 gathering going on. The next meeting

:04:16.:04:22.

will definitely exclude Russia and it will not be in Russia but it will

:04:23.:04:27.

be in Brussels in June. There is the argument that sanctions against

:04:28.:04:36.

individual sectors, mining or gas for example, are not needed in order

:04:37.:04:40.

to hit Russia hard in terms of economic growth or performance in

:04:41.:04:45.

general. Our exclusion from international institutions, the

:04:46.:04:51.

magnitude of political risk that is now associated with Russia, all hits

:04:52.:04:57.

our investment in the economy. We have seen three months Russia going

:04:58.:05:04.

from an emerging market that was very resilient and insulated from

:05:05.:05:08.

the effects of what was expected to be the largest effect `tapering in

:05:09.:05:19.

the US. It has gone to a poor performing economy. He's the leader

:05:20.:05:32.

of the economy many believe will dominate the world in the coming

:05:33.:05:35.

years. So when Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived in Europe at the

:05:36.:05:38.

weekend the world paid attention. The man who runs the globe's second

:05:39.:05:41.

biggest economy is mainly here to talk about trade. The EU is China's

:05:42.:05:44.

most important trading partner, with imports and exports now worth well

:05:45.:05:47.

over a billion euros a day. On Tuesday the tour moves to France and

:05:48.:05:50.

our correspondent there, Hugh Schofield, looks ahead to the

:05:51.:05:52.

Chinese presidents travel diary this week.

:05:53.:05:56.

(INAUDIBLE) France, is preparing a sumptuous

:05:57.:06:02.

welcome. The President will be in New York and then Paris for a state

:06:03.:06:07.

dinner on Wednesday. Nothing is confirmed but it is hoped that

:06:08.:06:12.

Airbus may clinch a major deal to sell 150 passenger jets to China, a

:06:13.:06:18.

deal linked possibly with a new Airbus factory there. Other

:06:19.:06:21.

contracts are also being looked at by Paris. The carmaker Peugeot will

:06:22.:06:37.

sign a long forecast steel. The Premier will travel to Brussels by

:06:38.:06:44.

the first visit by a Chinese premier to EU institutions. Anti`dumping

:06:45.:06:52.

legislation will be on the agenda. When we have announcements of deals

:06:53.:06:53.

will update you. The people of Greece are celebrating

:06:54.:07:03.

185 years since independence from the Turkish Ottoman Empire. But for

:07:04.:07:06.

some Greek people, it will not be a holiday. During the turbulent

:07:07.:07:09.

economic times in recent years, many people from Greece opted to move

:07:10.:07:12.

abroad in their hunt for work. And, despite a negative history between

:07:13.:07:15.

the two nations, many set their sights on Turkey. But was it a good

:07:16.:07:21.

move? Selin Girit sent this report from Istanbul.

:07:22.:07:28.

This is one of the symbols of the booming Turkish economy. Turkish

:07:29.:07:34.

Airlines now flies to over 100 countries and has an annual growth

:07:35.:07:38.

of 20%. Its success is attracting pilots from all over the world.

:07:39.:07:44.

Especially from Greece. There is a recession in my country. It has had

:07:45.:07:51.

a serious effect on aviation. A previous company could not sustain

:07:52.:07:54.

an acceptable level of salaries and a major decision to leave my

:07:55.:08:00.

country. I settled with my wife here and will have a career here in

:08:01.:08:05.

Istanbul. More Greeks are leaving their country to settle abroad.

:08:06.:08:08.

Istanbul is becoming one of the most popular destinations for these

:08:09.:08:12.

people. It is estimated that in the last couple of years almost 1000

:08:13.:08:16.

Greeks have come to settle in the city. It is not only the booming

:08:17.:08:22.

Turkish economy that attracts these people. The family groups play a

:08:23.:08:28.

part in their decision as well. My grandmother was from the Asian side

:08:29.:08:32.

of Istanbul. Two years ago I lost my job in Athens. I was a secretary in

:08:33.:08:42.

a big company. I thought that it was a big opportunity for me to leave

:08:43.:08:53.

Athens and come to stumble. The Turkish `Greek business Council says

:08:54.:08:56.

there are Greeks working in every sector here. There are many Greeks

:08:57.:09:05.

working in tourism, hospitals, banking. To Turkish banks are owned

:09:06.:09:10.

by Greece. Greeks are coming to open restaurants, bars, and even

:09:11.:09:18.

musicians of Greece. Once a year, the Greek community in Istanbul pour

:09:19.:09:22.

out onto the streets to celebrate an ancient tradition. This young Greek

:09:23.:09:29.

student of sociology joins the carnival. There are more

:09:30.:09:33.

opportunities. You can find scholarships, you can easily find a

:09:34.:09:39.

job. I thought it would be a better place for me to settle. With the

:09:40.:09:47.

economic crisis back home, it seems that the number of Greeks living in

:09:48.:09:54.

Istanbul is set to increase. Let's look at the financial markets in

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Asia. A lot of this news from the US and

:09:56.:10:10.

slowing manufacturing output has had an effect here. There are reports on

:10:11.:10:13.

consumer confidence and housing data later today. Markets were hit in the

:10:14.:10:22.

US. We will talk through the papers in a moment. Stay with us.

:10:23.:10:48.

There are plans to expand shale gas fracking in the UK. Research suggest

:10:49.:10:55.

they should learn from mistakes overseas. Some have already been

:10:56.:10:56.

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