26/05/2014 World Business Report


26/05/2014

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ceremonial process we are seeing now. We see the general receiving

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the King's formal endorsement as head of the ruling military council.

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Those are the latest headlines from BBC News. Now for the latest

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financial news with Alice Baxter and World Business Report. The business

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communities in Asia and Europe react to the elections in Europe, and look

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at how they might influence the way it is run in future. And the latest

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in our series revisiting those affected 25 years after the fall the

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of the Berlin Wall. This week Estonia, and what was dubbed the

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singing revolution. Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Alice Baxter.

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In a minute we'll have more on Estonia, 25 years after the fall of

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the Berlin Wall. But first: Europe's anti`EU protest vote has left

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business experts asking what it might mean and how might it

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influence the way the EU is run in future? Have we reached the high

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watermark of integration, and where would that leave the project of

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closer union that still underpins the single currency? And will we see

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restrictions on labour movements being re`imposed within the EU? Lets

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get some global business reactions. Carsten Brzeski from ING is in

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Brussels. Thank you for joining us. This swing towards the anti`

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establishment, anti` European parties, which we have seen

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throughout much of Europe in these elections, how will that play out in

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the business community? I think it will mean that further integration

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in Europe and in the eurozone will be much more difficult to achieve.

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What I am more concerned about is the repercussions on national

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policies and national politics, especially when we look at France.

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We will really have a problem. France economically is in trouble,

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and now politically. This could open a discussion at the European level

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about posterity versus structural reforms. What does this mean for a

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single currency in France, for example, much of the campaign of the

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National front was run on the idea that France will pull out of the

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euro. I think a single country pulling out is totally impossible.

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It doesn't seem realistic. Also not for France. What it does mean is

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that we might again get this confrontation between the French and

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the Germans. The French will now push for more time to implement

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their austerity measures. A will try to find a way out, to implement

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structural reforms. On the other side Angela Merkel will also be

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disappointed by the result, and she will not eat, it will not be easy to

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change her course. Without the functioning axis of French and

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German, there might be a problem in the eurozone. One of the other

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topics we have seen discussed across many of these countries which voted

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for the anti` E U trend, is a clampdown on the freedom of

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movement. That, of course, is one of the main underpinning beliefs of the

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EU. How would that affect economies? Adversely, especially if you look at

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the monetary eurozone countries, labour mobility is essential.

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Without it, we cannot have a functioning currency unit. That is a

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fact. If you look at the European Union at a wider European level, we

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might see some more labour mobility. But again, a monetary

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union across Europe, with severe labour market restrictions, it's not

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going to work. Thank you for giving us the European perspective on those

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election results. For the viewpoint from Asia, I'm joined by Linda Yueh

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the BBC's Chief Business Correspondent, who is in Singapore.

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Politics versus economics? For some time, the growing influence of

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Brussels has led to debates over the democratic deficit. Now, we have a

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glimpse of the views of voters. Not a great deal of reaction, markets

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are up on the back of promising news from the US. But globally, investors

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are watching. One of the biggest trading blocs in the world, it had

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been believed integration would continue in terms of the single

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market and what all countries except written and Denmark who are slated

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to join the euro. The rise of the Eurosceptic parties will raise

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debate about the direction in which Europe will head after these

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election results. Is Asia particularly concerned about

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possible implications on a single currency? I wouldn't say it is a

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particular concern for Asia, it has its own trade region to think about.

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But if I could take it again globally, into why it is it matters

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so much, the euro project has been one which has created the largest

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economic entity in the world. Bigger than the US, that is what the EU

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economy as a whole. There have been moved since the euro crisis in 2010

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to integrate the region further under a single currency or banking

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union. A fiscal co`ordination. All of these things are separate from

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what has been called the Democrat at deficit. Concerned that Brussels was

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power without consulting voters. What today's results show is that

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voters have spoken. I wonder if it means there will be further

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integration, solidifying this huge in economic region. Or there could

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be pulled back. That is one possible path for the eurozone after these

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results. Of course, it is not just about the eurozone, but about the EU

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as a whole. These results can't determine whether or not a country

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stays in or out of Europe. That is up to the national legislatures. But

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the inroads being made across countries ranging from Britain to

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Denmark to Greece, will certainly mean the EU will also be in focus,

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as everyone begins to die just what this means for further at usual

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reforms in the world's biggest economic region. Many thanks. It is

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25 years since the fall of the Berlin Wall, and collapse of

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communism in Eastern Europe. In Estonia, the break with communism,

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referred to as the singing revolution, was followed by a

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no`holds`barred introduction to capitalism, with a boom and

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subsequent bust. That bust was so severe its economy shrank by nearly

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20%. Harsh austerity measures had to be introduced. Public sector

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salaries were cut by 10%, but unlike in Greece, there was very little

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protest. Tanya Beckett reports from Tallinn. Estonia's operatic

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depiction of the agony of austerity, as the country fights

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back, after the financial crisis of 2008. For Estonians, in during

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hardship is a familiar story. `` enduring. In Soviet times we had no

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money. Even if you had money, you wouldn't have anything to do with

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it. Because there was nothing available, anywhere. Discussion

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about the sort of stimulus, posterity, and this crisis, has a

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lot to do with the fact that Estonians could get through it

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because they had gotten through much of worse for. Estonia's break from

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communism was called the singing revolution. It was a path to freedom

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paved with music. There was also spectacular joining of hands which

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started here in Tallinn and extended across the Baltic navy neighbours,

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Lithuania and Latvia. It wasn't long before they realised they would also

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need other hand to hold. The Prime Minister at the time of the

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transition was just 32. I was so young. When you are young you are

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not afraid of anything. You do things which others might consider

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impossible. Within a few years, the economy had left its Soviet past

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behind. But then came the most recent low. The financial crisis of

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2008. Estonia was hit hard, and sort its wealth shrink by almost one

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fifth. Any change in the surrounding economic system affects us quite

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badly. I think we have learned a bit from the financial crisis, in the

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sense of trying to come up with better policies to counteract some

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of the negative aspects of growth. So hopefully next crisis will be

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less drastic for Estonians than the last one was. And tensions are on

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the rise again. The troubles in Ukraine cast a long shadow over

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Estonia, about a quarter of its population is Russian. In struggling

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to close a difficult chapter, Estonians are reluctant to be forced

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to open another. A quick flash of the markets now for you. As Linda

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was just saying, Asian stock markets for the most part pushed higher on

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Monday on optimism about the US economy. We will have some analysis

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of the European elections in a moment. At first, let's pop over to

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the world of fashion. And in the UK there is

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