18/08/2014 World Business Report


18/08/2014

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unrest following the shooting of the teenager, reportedly unarmed,

:00:00.:00:00.

Michael Brown. We will keep you up`to`date.

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Two more airlines has suspended flights to different African

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destinations in the wake of the Ebola outbreak. If more airlines

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begin to follow suit, what impact will that have on the broader

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African economy? And in Switzerland, cheesemakers and

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other businesses get ready to cash in on the EU and US sanctions on

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Russia. Welcome to World Business Report.

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I'm Aron Heslehurst. Let's have a look at the latest business news. We

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will talk about Switzerland and we have the latest growth figures from

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Thailand. First, Kenya Airways has suspended all commercial flight

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operations to Liberia and Sierra Leone from midnight Tuesday. The

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suspension comes after Korean Air announced last week it. All flights

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to and from Kenya from Wednesday this week. That underlines the

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growing fears outside of Africa about the spread of Ebola, however,

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so far there have been no cases in East Africa, let alone Kenya. If

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more airlines begin to follow suit, what impact will that have on the

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broader African economy? Razia Khan, Regional Head of

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Research for Africa at Standard Chartered, joins us. Looking at this

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story, you think there are mixed messages coming from the World

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Health Organization. On one hand they say the outbreak has been

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farcically underestimated and requires extraordinary measures on a

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massive scale. `` drastically. But they say they aren't urging

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organisations to put a blanket ban on travel. It's a hard decision.

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Unfortunately this is adding to some degree of confusion in the `` in

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relation to the response required. The Kenyan economy isn't yet

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impacting but of course it is important as a travel hub. It has

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the kind of infrastructure that Africa needs more of, in terms of

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boosting trade. Yet we've had the guidance from the World Health

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Organization that Kenya might be considered at high risk, precisely

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because it's a hub. It's also a big hub for cargo. For a lot of that

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region, it is the gateway to East Africa. A lot of the region's

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perishables, the produce we consume, go through Nairobi and have to go on

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planes. Absolutely. Economically, there have been concerns about

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travel warnings and security issues in Kenya, which have led to a

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falloff in tourism numbers. Because Kenya is such a big hub for culture

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and horticulture exporter, it does need this frequency of air traffic

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into the country to be able to keep cargo costs down. If we see any more

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cancellations that can potentially have more in `` more than in fact on

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exports. Is this the start to that? I spoke to experts over economic

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worries about Ebola and the wider impact on Africa, is busy start to

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the content and worries? Not of the virus but economic contagion what

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about Nigeria? `` contagion worries? This is the situation around Nigeria

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that we have to focus on closely. There was a Liberian traveller going

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into Lagos. That's the economic hub of the entire sub region. Nigeria is

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the largest economy in Nigeria, Lagos the centre of a lot of the

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commercial activity that takes place. So far the impact has been

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relatively contained and it's hard to pinpoint a clear economic

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impact. But, should be getting is that this is, greater severity, of

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Ebola, this could all change and change rapidly. Clearly the risks

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are there. Risks and worries. Is there a worry that Korean air could

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be setting the precedent for other airlines to follow? For the moment

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that kind of reaction is seen as fairly limited. We haven't crucially

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seen the same for many European airlines, but are more crucial to

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those ex` other routes. For the moment, this is a developing

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situation and we will have to monitor it carefully. `` other

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airline routes. Indeed. Thank you. Now, is it a nice little opportunity

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or an awkward dilemma? Non EU member Switzerland is in a quandary over

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Russian sanctions. It hasn't imposed them and so its own goods, like the

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cheese you can see here, aren't subject to that tit for tat spat and

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those Russian food banks, a situation that doesn't please

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Switzerland's biggest trading partner, the European Union.

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Switzerland has something the Russians crave. Cheese. Here, they

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have been exporting to Russia for 20 years and now the Russians want

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more. Much more. Since last Wednesday we received maybe 15 calls

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from Russia every day. A lot of queries about cheese or dairy

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products. Russia's bands from EU countries on dairy products means

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its supermarkets will soon be empty of French camembert or Dutch food.

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So, the Russians are turning to Switzerland. `` Dutch gouda. But the

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Swiss want to take `` stay neutral. The government won't adopt

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sanctions. They say Switzerland would be the place to break them.

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The policy has highlighted many close ties the Swiss have with

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Russia. Geneva in particular has strong business ties with Russia.

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The city is a global hub for commodities trading and 75% of

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Russian oil is traded here. 66% of Russian green. Sanctions on Russian

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banks and on Russian individuals could affect this business. ``

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grain. Geneva traders say they will be forced to comply, whatever

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Switzerland's policy. Traders are active everywhere in the world. They

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are already subject to US and EU sanctions, it was of the present in

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this market. They have to care about that and they have to care for their

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reputation, also because of the financing, which is transactional

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financing. This means they have to be careful, so counterparties don't

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come up against someone who has sections. The opportunity for Swiss

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cheese makers may not be so great. Unlike the French or Dutch, they are

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too small to produce the industrial quantities Russia now wants. Its

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efforts not to take sides in the sanctions may cause Switzerland more

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pain than gain. We will keep across that story. A

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sigh of relief in Thailand, as the country narrowly avoided recession.

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The economy grew 0.9% in the second quarter from the previous three

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months and 0.4% from a year earlier. Saranjit Leyl is in our Asia

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Business hub in Singapore. Not bad, given all the worries we had after

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the last government upheaval. That's right. The growth of just .4% from

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the previous year, ever so slightly. It does mean Thailand

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avoids that technical recession everyone feared. The first three

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months of this year we saw that political chaos, thousands

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protesting in Bangkok. That's when the economy shrank nearly 2%.

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Despite the political uncertainty, they are actually seeming to have

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helped the economy slightly. They have ended the political and

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economic impasse and this growth basically shows an uptake in

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consumer confidence, investor confidence as well to summit stand

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and busily courage the military government, which is said to impose

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an $80 million budget today to date is delayed the economy. They have

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renewed payments to farmers, restarted in `` infrastructure

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plans. They have cut fuel prices. They hope all of this will get the

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economy going again until some sense of political stability is restored.

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We know other elements of the economy haven't been doing well,

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reticular literalism, which is a key part of the Thai economy and counts

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for some 10% of the total. `` especially tourism. The number of

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visitors has fallen nearly 12% in the first couple of months of this

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year from the previous year. Thank you for the update. You can tweak me

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as well. I will be back shortly to have a look at the headlines from

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around the world. `` tweet me. We will go to the papers in a

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moment. First, courts in England

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