13/11/2015 World Business Report


13/11/2015

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Now for the latest financial news, with Aaron and

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An economy choked by austerity, or one that has just failed to reform?

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No end to the misery for Greece, as it slides back towards recession.

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Plus: Turning breakdowns into big bucks.

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Why the AA is answering the call of India's new motorists.

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How long have I got? You give me nine minutes and I will give you a

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snapshot of the latest in the world of business and money.

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We start with Greece, and growing fears the country is

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Some are blaming the harsh austerity imposed

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by the EU and IMF, others a failure by Athens to stick to its reforms.

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Either way, the suffering of the Greek people is set to continue.

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Greece returned to economic growth last year, after a six-year slump,

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but it looks like that recovery is over.

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GDP figures for the three months to September

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They are expected to show Greece's economy contracted 1% compared to

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the last three-month period, wiping out the growth

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And it is a trend that could be set to continue.

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Both the European Commission and the OECD warn that Greek GDP

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will end the year down 1.4%, with a similar fall again next year.

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A quarter of the Greek workforce are still unemployed, over twice the EU

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average, and almost half of those under 25 are without a job.

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On Thursday, Greece was paralysed by a general

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strike over new austerity measures, with over 20,000 protesters taking

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Trade union leaders and many Greeks have turned on

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Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and his Syriza party, accusing them

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Here is what some had to say yesterday.

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TRANSLATION: I believe strikes can backfire on the worker, but there

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are some moments when people need to react.

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This is the time when people need to react.

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Enough already with the taxes, enough with the double talk.

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TRANSLATION: It's an expression of worry about the uncertainty and

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insecurity that prevails in our country, and for the living

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standards of our society and people.

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TRANSLATION: Enough with cuts to our pensions and wages.

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The Greek people must rise up and take to the streets,

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because the situation is only going to get worse.

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TRANSLATION: These measures that the government wants to pass are

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Vicky Pryce is chief economics adviser at the Centre for Economic

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Always good to have you in the studio. Thanks for getting up so

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early for this. We were just listening to some of the protesters,

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obviously not very happy. The problem outside is we look at that

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and say that Greece signed up to this. They voted in favour of

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staying in the EU, taking on-board the austerity. All that money that

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Greece is getting doesn't come for free. The truth is of course that

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not everyone voted for austerity. Quite a lot of the demonstrations

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were supported by a Syriza, the ruling party. So there is a bit of

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schizophrenia in Greece which is going on still, to this day, in

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terms of what do we really want from all these arrangements we have made?

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But everyone who has looked at this, the demonstrations were quite

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peaceful, there were a few anarchists as usual. But if we had

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New Democracy, the hard right party, we would have had paralysis in

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Greece. So there is a limit to the Syriza demonstrations we are going

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to see. So in some ways what we see is what we get and it is not going

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to get much worse. Particular sticking point seems at the moment,

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we've got Greece's European peers, other countries, are venting their

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frustration that happens is act into slowly on the reforms. -- acting too

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slowly. One of the sticking point is that Athens wants to protect those

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who want to write off their mortgage debt, and Europe is not going to

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have that, surely? It is a problem, many Greeks have just stopped paying

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interest on their debt because they simply haven't had the money to do

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so. So they have been paying taxes but they have actually not kept up

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with their payment schedules. Now the question is, what do you do with

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these houses that people have, the primary property is the real issue,

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do you lose the primary property as well as a betting else you can't pay

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back. And the issue is that these properties that people have are just

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not worth an awful lot right now. What will banks do with all those

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houses they are going to acquire? It makes no real sense because what is

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going to happen as little like what is going on in Ireland. What we

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really should be looking at is how to restructure the banks, how to do

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something about the bad debts that are there. It hasn't happened. They

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have to do something about the banks, 14.5 billion euros within the

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next matter of weeks or they are all going to basically closed shop. And

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we have seen that. Not all of this ugliness, if you will, and the pain

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the Greeks are feeling, are we getting one step closer to the

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realisation from the rest of the world that Greece is going to have

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to write off some of this debt and we will have to suck it up and cop

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it? You have to go through various places, it will not be anything like

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as large as people expected. We have just seen the European bank for

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restructuring and development saying they will not participate in funding

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some of this recapitalisation, which is a sign of adding a bit of trust

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and confidence to the whole system. So I think we will be, through

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various steps, getting there. But we have to do that first, and then I

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think absolutely looking again at the debt situation in Greece is

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going to be a must. Always a pleasure in a short and sweet

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programme, thank you very much for joining us there.

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As you have been hearing, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi

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continues his trip to the UK on Friday, and is keen to convince

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British firms to come and do business in his country.

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From Triumph Motorbikes and Costa Coffee to Vodafone and JCB,

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some well-known UK names are already operating there, and now

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another famous brand is testing the market, trying to cash in

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If you break down in the UK, chances are you will call the AA.

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It is the biggest roadside assistance company in the country.

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It has 14 million customers, and last year it came to the aid of 3.5

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million motorists. It has got its sights on a brand-new

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market. The roads of India's cities are already pretty congested.

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Every month, about 150,000 new cars are sold across India.

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But while those vehicles will have warranties and breakdown cover,

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it is estimated that more than 20 million cars do not.

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And that gap in the market is why the AA has purchased half

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We are very excited about the prospects for India.

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We think the India market will be three times the size of the UK

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There will not be any of the famous yellow trucks

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on the road, but you will find its logo on vans belonging to its

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new partner. We needed a local partner with local contacts and

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local expertise. And we think that the business will benefit from our

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experience. They have been going ten years, we have been going for 110

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years. We have a lot of knowledge and experience. The technology

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appeals. In the drivers tend to only call the firmware problem occurs.

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They want customers to pay in advance for breakdown membership.

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The customer wants service technicians coming.

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They want to deliver the same promise in India and

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That is where they can make a difference.

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Changing that habit and selling the idea of a recovery service run by

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two well-known established brands will determine if the ad venture

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In other news: Shares of Swiss agricultural chemicals giant

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Syngenta have soared in the US, on reports of a massive takeover bid

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According to Bloomberg, Syngenta has rejected

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the $42 billion offer by ChemChina, citing regulatory concerns.

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It follows a similar offer from US rival Monsanto,

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which was withdrawn after Syngenta dismissed it as too low.

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which was withdrawn after Syngenta dismissed it as too low.

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Could be a bit of a bidding war going on. We will keep across that

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and take a quick flash of the markets. The market in Asia down,

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commodity prices down, worries about China and US interest rates. All

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very ho-hum. Don't forget,

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you can get in touch with me

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