17/11/2015 World Business Report


17/11/2015

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Now for the latest financial news with

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Manila prepares to host leaders of Asia-Pacific nations, including

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Rico Hizon is there to tell us what's at stake.

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With an increase in interest rates a live possibility

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in the US, we assess today's inflation numbers for any clues

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Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Sally Bundock.

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In a minute, we'll also have news of a huge merger in the hotel industry.

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World leaders, including the US President, are arriving in Manila,

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the capital of the Philippines, for the annual APEC summit.

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That's the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation.

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Proceedings officially start tomorrow and it's the first time

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these leaders have met since they agreed on a major trade deal known

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For the Philippines, hosting this event is a huge undertaking.

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And from our point of view, there is only one man to send to

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this event and that is Rico Hizon, who is from Manila.

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Currently, I'm here at the APEC summit in Manila, the second day of

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the CEO APEC summit. The focus is on inclusive growth and inclusive

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economies. And the Trans-Pacific Partnership, of which 12 members are

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from the APEC economies, they will be meeting to discuss what has

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already been agreed on since the last meeting in Hawaii. The host

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country, the Philippines, is not part of APEC at the moment but the

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president says that the Trans-Pacific Partnership must be an

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agreement of inclusive growth. And here we have more than 1000

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delegates talking about inclusive growth, inclusive economies and

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infrastructure development, and they will also be discussing this with

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the 21 APEC leaders when they meet tomorrow before the official start

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of the summit in the afternoon on Wednesday. Infrastructure, of

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course, as I mentioned, is an important factor in this summit.

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That is one of the major challenges that the host city faces. Manila.

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Replace with huge potential. But it has its setbacks. Even getting to

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work each day here can be a chore. I want to experience people's daily

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frustrations, so today, I'm going to take a ride with this management

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consultant on his journey to work. At this point, I'm wondering, if

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Manila really the worst city in which to drive on earth? We are

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currently in the middle of an major traffic jam. It is

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bumper-to-bumper. This is the reality every day that we face. It

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takes 2.5 hours to get one point two another. Public transport is

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completely dysfunctional here. It is obsolete, 30 years behind the Times.

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And time is money. No one knows that more than, who owns a meat

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processing company. These plans churn out more than 5000 hotdogs

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every minute. 6 million per day, supplying 80% of the fast food

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restaurants in the Philippines. The profits are being squeezed. Expense

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transport costs brought about by congestion and very busy roads. That

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hampers our efficiency and brings about cost of distribution. Poor

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infrastructure costs the Philippines economy an estimated $60 million per

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day. The government insists that infrastructure spending has more

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than tripled since the president came to power five years ago. The

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projects to build rail networks, airports, ports and roads have been

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hit by delays, and even the minister in charge admits that it has had an

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economic impact. Definitely there is a huge cost in terms of delayed

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infrastructure, but what I'm saying is that it took some time to put the

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programmes in place. With elections next year, pressure is on the next

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government to ease the burden on commuters and businesses working in

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the capital stock apart from infrastructure being a key issue

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that the Philippines faces, inclusive growth, inclusive

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economies and the Trans-Pacific Partnership, what is also being

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discussed here is the slowdown of the Chinese economy, what it will do

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going forward, and, of course, the potential interest rate hike by the

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Federal Reserve as soon as December. Thank you. And while we are on the

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subject... America could be on the verge

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of a rate rise and economists are looking towards

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the inflation figures for clues. Officials from the Federal Reserve

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are hoping to see inflation firm up before they push the button

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on a rise. Headline US inflation has held

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steady below the Fed's 2% target and rates have been near zero

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since 2008. Experts are now looking

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for a rate rise in December. With me is Marc Ostwald, FX,

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Rates and EM strategist at ADM The inflation results are out today

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as well as the merits of the last meeting. While headline inflation is

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around flat, that is largely due to energy prices. They are down 18.4%

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year on year. Airline fares are also a contributing factor, down 6%. We

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are at the point where the Federal Reserve is looking through this and

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what it is looking at is the so-called core inflation, which is

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running at about 2%. And that is hiding a lot of things that are

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rising much faster, such as rent, prescription drugs, services... It

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is not a disinflationary problem that they have. They say they can

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look through this energy price fall and given that the economy is

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performing very well, I think that they definitely want to get away

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from this excessively accommodative style that they have had for quite

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some time. There will be quite little to stop them. May be some

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international development but when they talk about that, it would be

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more like signs of the Chinese economy stalling, which they were

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very worried about earlier in the year, and perhaps admitting that

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they were led astray by the gyrations of the Chinese stock

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market. Now they are looking through that and saying that it is perhaps

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not quite as bad. In terms of the recent events in Paris and the

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geopolitical impact, that will not impact Janet Yellen's choices on

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Friday? Some analysts were saying yesterday that could be a factor. If

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financial markets had react in a very negative way on a consistent

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basis between now and December, it could be more of a threat, but as is

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typical of these events, there is an initial knee-jerk reaction, but

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unless there is a perceived threat to the economy, it is not likely to

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have much of an impact on the Federal Reserve's decision. Rates

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going up in December? Yes, but after that added very slow pace. -- at a

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very slow pace. Thank you. In other news,

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US hoteliers Marriott International and Starwood Hotels have agreed

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a $12.2 billion deal to create The deal,

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where Marriot buys Starwood, will create a giant with more than

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5,500 hotels with 1.1 million rooms The tie-up will see them overtake

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the UK's Intercontinental Hotels, BHP Billiton and Vale have been

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fined a further $260 million for the mining disaster that killed 11

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people in Brazil earlier this month. The mining giants had already been

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ordered to pay $65 million after a dam burst at their jointly-owned

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Samarco mine on November 5. 12 people remain missing following

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the incident in southern Brazil The fine will provide aid to

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the victims The markets are much healthier

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today, the concerns about the attacks in Paris and the

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geopolitical impact reading away. We also have a weaker Japanese yen

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today as investors withdraw from safe havens. I will see you soon.

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There will be a shortage of nearly 200,000 UK care workers

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