30/11/2015 World Business Report


30/11/2015

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greatest rugby players. He died this month at the age of 40 because of

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convocations arising from a long-standing kindie -- kidney

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condition. As world leaders gather in Paris in

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an attempt to seal the deal on climate change, we will be looking

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at the potential cost of the ignoring the issue. On track to

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outpace China, India releases its latest growth numbers. We are in

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Mumbai to find out whether it will further boost the economy. Hello and

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welcome. East China's yuan about to make it into the big league? We will

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be finding out. Now to the event that we have been telling you all

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about, heads of government from across the world, including

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President Shi, President Obama and David Cameron meeting. It would be

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legally binding. Inactivity could prove expensive, US bank Citigroup

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puts the total cost of doing nothing at $44 trillion by 2060. If sea

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temperatures rise by five Celsius, it is predicted assets worth $7

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trillion could be lost, more than the total market capitalisation of

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the London stock exchange. In the US, the White House has said that

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inaction will cost its economy 150 billion dollars per year. Our

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business is ready to tackle this issue, and which ones are the

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winners and losers in the race to reduce its carbon footprint? I am

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joined by Paul Simpson from the International environmental

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non-profit group, CDP on the Carbon disclosure Project. There has been

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an awful lot of momentum in the run-up to this event in Paris, and

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for business leaders around the world I imagine they have also been

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preparing. That is right, we have seen momentum building, many leading

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countries taking action. More than 800 corporations have called for a

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strong global deal limiting a temperature rise to 2%. So this will

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mean a level playing field for businesses around the world? What

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business really wants is policy certainty. They want something solid

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from France that will provide a framework, a limit of two degrees

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over time. That means businesses complain correct and invest in it

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and they can avoid the greatest risk. What is the likely outcome in

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terms of policy, change, and what that means for businesses? We have

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seen more than have seen business initiatives

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taking action and committing to 100 sent emissions reductions using a

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carbon price. Businesses and policies moving, Paris needs to

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capture that are mentioned -- capture that dimension. Do you think

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we will achieve this goal? Six years ago in Copenhagen it seemed a bit

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chaotic, a bit of a mess, that is overstating it, but for sure, no

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agreement. I think the signs are good this time, that there will be a

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good deal in Paris. A lot has changed since Copenhagen, with an

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aggressive plan to reduce emissions and bring in a carbon trading

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scheme. The US reducing emissions from power plants, and leading

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business is already taking these actions. Momentum is with us, we

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need to capture that and drive a transition to a sustainable low

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carbon economy. Thank you for coming in, and as and when decisions are

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made, agreements on policy and etc, we will update you.

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more information on our website as well. In the next few hours, India

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is due to release the latest report on the help of

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expected to have growth by more than 7% in the last three months, despite

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weak rain is hurting its agricultural sector. Analysts say

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strong growth in the manufacturing sector is behind the gains.

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This construction site is buzzing with activity. Due to the economic

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slowdown, the last few years have been difficult for the construction

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sector. That is changing now, with sales picking up sharply this year

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and providing confidence to resume work. Like the construction

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industry, other parts of the economy are also showing signs of growth.

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Consumer demand for cars, motorbikes, and electronics picked

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up and is a big importer of oil, this is also helping the country's

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finances. But there are plenty of things that could get in the weight

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of more consistent growth. One of them is weak demand in rural areas,

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on the back of low rainfall for two consecutive years. There are

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concerns that a poor harvest could also put pressure on food prices in

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the coming months. On the political front, PM Narendra Modi was defeated

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in an important state election recently, which investors worry will

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have a key impact on some legislation that is stuck in

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Parliament for approval. That his government has announced some

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reforms in the past few weeks, saying that to sustain high economic

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growth levels more needs to be done. The growth that we are seeing is

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lopsided, so won the investment side of the economy we are seeing more

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public invest and driven growth rather than private investment. On

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the consumption side we are seeing more demand led demand in rural

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areas. To balance this across all the sectors is what is going to be

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the primary challenge in front of the government. For that to happen,

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Narendra Modi is betting on his ambitious initiative trying to

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attract international firms to set up manufacturing factories in the

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country. Despite some initial success, it is still early days to

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judge whether this programme can drive high growth consistently for

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Asia's third-largest economy. When we get the numbers for India we

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will update you. For China it is decision day as far as the

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International Monetary Fund is concerned, because it has been

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deliberating on whether it should allow the Chinese currency, to have

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status as a reserve currency. Just the US dollar, the euro, the yen and

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the pound are part of this elite band. Rico Hizon is in Singapore for

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us. If the yuan likely to get the thumbs up from the IMF and what does

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it mean? It looks like they will pass the test and be part of this

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so-called elite club of currencies, and for Beijing, the inclusion would

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represent recognition that the status of the yuan is rising along

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with China's place in global finance. Over the years, concerns

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about Beijing's keeping the yuan artificially low to help exporters

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was one reason why the currency previously failed to meet the

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criteria for reserve currencies set out by the IMF. But now we have

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Chinese officials making a concerted effort to build support for the

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one's inclusion and a recent IMF staff report has indeed endorse such

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a move. But, when they get into this group, this is where the hard part

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comes. The inclusion puts new pressure on Beijing to change

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everything from how it manages the yuan to how it communicates with

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investors in the world. China has pledged to loosen its tight grip on

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the currency's value and open its financial system, which will come

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under new scrutiny. A lot of challenges ahead if indeed they join

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this reserve basket of currencies, also known as special Drawing

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rights. Iran has overhauled the way it offers contracts to foreign oil

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companies in a bid to attract $30 billion of new investment. The terms

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of the new contracts will be more favourable to investors, allowing

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them a greater stake in long-term profits. Iran is gearing up for the

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lifting of sanctions following the nuclear deal with Six Nations in

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July. Lufthansa will avoid future strike action by giving a 1-off

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payment to ground staff. Europe's biggest airline is yet to reach an

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agreement with cabin crew who called a weeklong industrial action in

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early November. Looking at markets, a brand-new trading week for Asia,

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and of course American markets will open again as normal this week

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having had a shorter week last week because of thanksgiving. This is how

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things have gone so far in Asia, this is how the oil price is

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trading, with OPEC meeting this week which will be key for the oil

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industry.

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