16/12/2015 World Business Report


16/12/2015

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Global markets are braced for the most pivotal moment

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to raise interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade.

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China will make its case for more control at the World

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Internet Forum, home to the largest number of internet users and some of

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Prada shares are sliding in Hong Kong as the company sees

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Our team in the region will have the details.

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Have we arrived at the day the US Federal Reserve will begin to

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If so, it would be the first time in nearly ten years.

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In fact, it's such a long time since the US central bank has been

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in "tightening" mode that some stockbrokers have had to provide

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special training to younger staff members on how to react.

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Since December of 2008 the main cost of borrowing

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in the world's biggest economy, has been held at a historic low of

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America's car industry is back. Rock bottom interest rates breathed life

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back into it. Dealerships like this in New Jersey once again buzzing.

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The economy is coming back, stabilising. The fear factor is not

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there. Consequently, they are hitting dealerships and getting what

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they want. Enjoying life. With the US economy purring back to life,

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rather than roaring, the central bank is poised to raise rates from

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near zero. I will make it work. We are always trying to find a good

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deal. But will hire rates, which strengthens the US dollar, stamp out

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America's export revival? This man makes leather notebooks and wallets.

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In Canada we've lost $125,000 in revenue this year. Simply because

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department stores we sell to cannot afford the product at those costs.

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Those inside here believe the economy is strong enough to survive

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a rate hike. Good news and not just in America. The US consumer is the

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Atlas to the rest of the world. It doesn't have the grace of credit it

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did but the world is looking for it to export their goods to the US and

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have asked by a lot of goods, which will happen in 2016 -- buy. The Fed

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has kept rates near zero for seven years. A measure of how bad the

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crisis was and how long the recovery has taken. But now here we are, the

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widely expected interest rate rise won't necessarily be followed by any

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more in the near future but it is a validation of America's return to

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some kind of prosperity. With me is Justin Urquhart Stewart,

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Director Seven Investment Management -- With me is Justin Urquhart

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Stewart, Director of Seven Your thoughts. We were led up the

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garden path by Janet Yellen and the Fed. This time everything has been

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fed towards us. What will happen, this is good news. It shows the US

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economy has recovered rather well. It is a key moment. You are coming

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off the stimulus that was put in years ago after the financial

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crisis. We are strong enough it would seem to go through it. Jobs

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are good. Companies are much stronger. Deflation isn't there.

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That is a concern. What about the impact elsewhere? What fireworks

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will this cause? It will show we are in a state of further recovery. We

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are onto the next stage. In the eurozone, well they have a lot more

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QE to go. They have a weak currency as well against the dollar

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especially. Things are looking positive for them. That shouldn't

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have much impact. The UK does not mean interest rates will go up.

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Interest rates are far more directly impacted. We have short term

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mortgages and much more interest related rates. Whereas in the United

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States people have 30 year mortgages. Briefly, concern for

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emerging markets. Are you concerned about India, Rozelle? That has been

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to do with the dollar which has gone up in price already and the weak

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emerging market currencies have already occurred and it is already

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fair -- Brazil. I think it is a positive sign. Thank you. -- already

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there. Justin Welby back with us to talk more on the papers in a couple

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minutes. -- Justin will be back. China has the world's largest number

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of internet users and is home to some of

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the world's biggest internet firms, but it's also home to the Great

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Firewall, which hides away many Now China will make its case for

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more control at the World Internet The three day summit

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in the eastern city of Wuzhen will focus on major development

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strategies, with foreign tech firms eager to get a slice of the massive

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but tightly managed market. John Sudworth is at the

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World Internet Conference for us. President Xi Jinping did the opening

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speech, as it were. What did he say? Well, Sally, as you can see, Wuzhen

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is a picturesque place. This is a conference with a laudable slogan,

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and interconnected world governed by all. It is the word governance that

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was central to she jinking's speech. He mentioned control and security

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over and over again -- Xi Jinping. The concern I think four observers

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is that China is using it to try to build an alternative view of the

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Internet. The message is clear, as you say, 650 million users, it feels

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Internet. The message is clear, as you say, 650 million users, it its

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time has come. It wants to push cyber sovereignty, that individual

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nations should decide what controls and what censorship they want to put

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in place. And essentially, if and other nations want to join in and

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profit from that, they have to abide by those rules. How is that message

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being received? As we know, many Western companies have had a tough

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time in China. Yes, well, it is interesting. There are

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representatives of foreign tech firms here. We have tried to speak

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to some. Unsurprisingly, perhaps, they are slightly bashful. There has

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been a lot of focus on this conference, the campaign group

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borders without borders -- Reporters Without Borders has told those to

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boycott it. It gives the conference legitimacy. In some ways it becomes

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compliant with Chinese efforts to censor the Internet. Those companies

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are perhaps keeping a low profile. But the list of foreign heads of

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government, senior political leaders who are here is a little telling.

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The countries limited to just five, Russia, Pakistani, Kazakhstan,

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Kurdistan and Katich is done, none of whom would be at the top of any

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list of Internet freedom. Weak sales in Asia have sent

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profits at the Italian luxury This is something we've talked a lot

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about, the fact that luxury goods companies are struggling in your

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part of the world. Indeed. Profits were down sharply almost 40% of the

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quarter. That is sending Prada shares down to their record low

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levels as much as 6%, down 40% from the IPO price in Hong Kong. As you

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have mentioned this is because of the slowing growth in China that we

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talk about and not just affecting Prada but other luxury brands. The

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crackdown on corruption is also taking its toll. It has also been

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affected by the strength of the Hong Kong dollar, which of course is

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pegged to the US dollar. Hong Kong has always been the destination for

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the mainland shoppers. The strong dollar has meant it has become

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rather expensive and they are choosing to go elsewhere. That has

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definitely been affecting them. Thank you. Let's quickly look at the

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financial markets in Asia as we run up to that decision. That is with

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regard to the Fed. A bounce back for Asian markets getting ready for the

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announcement later in Washington. That is all from me for now. I will

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see you soon. Doctors and nurses are being urged

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to treat dying patients as individuals rather than making

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"snap decisions" about their care.

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