28/01/2016 World Business Report


28/01/2016

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Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News.

:00:00.:00:00.

Now for the latest financial news and World Business Report.

:00:00.:00:17.

Shell shocked - shareholders will seal a 49 billion

:00:18.:00:19.

But does it still make any financial sense?

:00:20.:00:26.

Has the market turmoil put plans for higher US interest rates

:00:27.:00:31.

I'm Sally Bundock, also in the programme -

:00:32.:00:51.

powering ahead - Facebook notched another record profit with sales

:00:52.:00:53.

We start with a mega merger in the oil industry - and

:00:54.:01:01.

On Wednesday the shareholders of Royal Dutch Shell gave the

:01:02.:01:05.

go-ahead for the takeover of oil and gas exploration company BG Group.

:01:06.:01:14.

Later today it's the turn of the BG Group shareholders, they are

:01:15.:01:17.

At 49-billion dollars, the deal would be the biggest seen

:01:18.:01:21.

But some Shell shareholders have questioned the logic

:01:22.:01:28.

Oil had already fallen to 55-dollars a barrel

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when it was first announced in April - the plunge has continued of course

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One major investor said crude would need to be at 60 dollars

:01:36.:01:40.

If it goes ahead - the companies would merge on the 15th of February.

:01:41.:01:56.

Iain Reid is the Senior Oil Gas equity analyst

:01:57.:02:01.

at Macquarie, he joins us from their London trading floor.

:02:02.:02:04.

We mention the key shareholders raising red flags about this deal

:02:05.:02:13.

saying that it has to be around $60 a barrel for this to make any sense.

:02:14.:02:19.

What is your thought? You do need recovery in the price for this

:02:20.:02:25.

merger to make money for Shell. If it does not recover, there are a lot

:02:26.:02:30.

of other investments that will not make sense either. They've taken a

:02:31.:02:36.

long-term decision in the best interests of the Shell shareholders

:02:37.:02:40.

and eventually it will make sense. You need a recovery in the oil price

:02:41.:02:43.

and we're thinking it is coming towards the end of this year. It'll

:02:44.:02:50.

seem to be a good deal retrospectively. Do think that made

:02:51.:03:00.

the right decision then? -- do you. They are not stupid. They have

:03:01.:03:08.

recovered to all priced above 100 when it went down previously. I'm

:03:09.:03:11.

not saying it is going to those levels. $60 is not ridiculous at

:03:12.:03:21.

all. In the meantime, they also said yesterday that they will go ahead

:03:22.:03:27.

with the deal, what short-term changes for this company had to put

:03:28.:03:31.

in place to keep their head above water financially? Shell has already

:03:32.:03:38.

said they will dispose of a lot of assets, not only in BG Group assets

:03:39.:03:45.

but also their own. They will try to make Shell are much lower company

:03:46.:03:48.

that can survive and prosper at lower prices than it has in the past

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and to do that they have to get rid of some of the higher costs in the

:03:54.:03:59.

portfolio. We will see a swift move by Shell to try and dispose of those

:04:00.:04:04.

kinds of assets and slim the company down a little bit. Thank you for

:04:05.:04:12.

your time very early in the morning. Thank you. We will update you hear

:04:13.:04:16.

more on that story later. We are also

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in Washington DC where the world's most powerful central bank has been

:04:19.:04:20.

holding its monthly meeting. But the US Federal Reserve has done

:04:21.:04:23.

little to calm nerves The Fed expressed its concern

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about the economic outlook and market turmoil - but left investors

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guessing about how it will react. As expected the Fed left interest

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rates unchanged - after raising them last month

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for the first time in a decade. Let's take a look at the details In

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language that echoed the European Central Bank last week -

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the Fed said it's "closely monitoring" global economic

:04:42.:04:44.

and financial developments. At the end of last year investors

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were betting that another interest rate rise in March was more likely

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than not - ie more than 50/50. Those bets have now all

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but collapsed to about one in five. But the Fed also repeated its

:04:57.:05:01.

promise that rate increases would be 'gradual' - suggesting its plans

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are not out of the window yet. From New York here's

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Michelle Fleury. America's Central bank is keeping

:05:08.:05:21.

its options open even as growth in the world 's biggest economy had

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slowed. Six-week after raising the rates it left them are unchanged on

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Wednesday. They said they wanted more time to study the impact of

:05:30.:05:33.

increased weakness in the global economy. In a statement published

:05:34.:05:39.

after a two-day policy meeting, they said it is closely monitoring global

:05:40.:05:44.

economies and markets. They now expect three quarters rate increases

:05:45.:05:52.

this year. We are still thinking they will increase rates three times

:05:53.:05:57.

this year. Our baseline forecast is that it will go again until June and

:05:58.:06:01.

they will need some time to assess the economic conditions and need

:06:02.:06:04.

some time for that markets to stabilise and have a little bit more

:06:05.:06:08.

clarity as to what is happening in the global markets as well. Our

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baseline view is that we have steady growth, continued expansion of the

:06:14.:06:18.

legal market, some signs of inflationary pressures building

:06:19.:06:21.

following by two more hikes at the end of the year. But no one can be

:06:22.:06:27.

sure. Despite the gloomy outlook, they did not commit to slowing their

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rate increases. That would explain why it fell on the news. They're

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hoping for a clear signal that they would move more slowly this year

:06:39.:06:39.

were left disappointed. Also in business today, Facebook

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has been winning even more friends - Shares in

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the social media giant jumped almost 12% in after-hours trading after it

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said quarterly profits doubled. Revenue was up strongly, as were the

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number As Nada Tawfik

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in New York explains - Facebook's advertising strategy is getting

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the big thumbs up with investors. They were very quick to get in on

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mobile ads and video ad. That has really been helping Facebook. They

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have been having a strong growing user base but some investors are

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concerned that that will slow down. But that is why they have had

:07:27.:07:30.

advertising spending with them taking on that TV revenue and having

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advertisers put it into mobile video. They have also made some

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smart investments into some of their other apps. These are the key moves

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that Facebook has made in the last few years that has left shareholders

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optimistic. They are planning to keep investing in different products

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and for now, at least, they can keep that momentum up.

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Let's go to Asia now where Samsung has been adding to fears

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of technology investors about the smartphone market.

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It has been warning of weaker sales, just a day

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after arch rival Apple forecast its first drop in sales in 13 years.

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Rico Hizon is following the story for us in Singapore.

:08:12.:08:15.

Nice to see you. Samsun is struggling still? It is being

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squeezed into the smart phone market and 2016 is not looking bright for

:08:28.:08:30.

the smart phone manufacturers. After years of record profits which we

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have been reporting for a while, it seems to be slowing down. Profits

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are falling by about 40% to two points 7 billion US dollars. This

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was in the three months leading from September. That was significantly

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below expectations. Getting some guidance as to what is looking like

:08:57.:09:01.

going forward, they cannot you to softer sales because of gadgets of

:09:02.:09:04.

smart phones, a trend that is also herding their rival Apple --

:09:05.:09:12.

hurting. They are basically undercutting sales of trunks rating

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from televisions to personal computers. Not such a good day for

:09:21.:09:29.

eBay either. Their shares fell sharply after they forecast lower

:09:30.:09:37.

earnings than expected. They are struggling from the competition from

:09:38.:09:39.

rival retailers, Amazon. Steep falls too

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for Boeing shares after the US aircraft giant braced its investors

:09:49.:09:51.

for a rough ride in 2016. Boeing says it will be delivering

:09:52.:09:53.

fewer planes and making less profit than expected as it re-jigs its

:09:54.:09:56.

production lines for new models. Analysts had expected it to maintain

:09:57.:09:59.

production levels rather than risk Boeing still says it sees

:10:00.:10:02.

a strong market for new aircraft despite slowing

:10:03.:10:05.

global growth and low oil prices. The markets are all high in the

:10:06.:10:11.

Asian markets. The fact that the rate rises are further away our

:10:12.:10:15.

music to their ears. You can see the price of oil going down as well.

:10:16.:10:20.

Apple 's shares up pulling down the NASDAQ quite significantly. I will

:10:21.:10:24.

see you soon. A report looking at care for elderly

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people in England and Wales says

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