17/03/2016 World Business Report


17/03/2016

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 17/03/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News.

:00:00.:00:00.

Now for the latest financial news with Sally

:00:00.:00:00.

Brazil's former president to become chief of staff,

:00:00.:00:20.

The Fed scales back its plans for interest rate rises, as fears

:00:21.:00:35.

Welcome to World Business Report, I'm Sally Bundock.

:00:36.:00:44.

Also in the programme: Rico Hizon will talk us through

:00:45.:00:47.

the market reaction in Asia to the news from the US central bank.

:00:48.:00:50.

But first: We start in Brazil, where President Dilma Rousseff is

:00:51.:00:53.

battling to save her government, amid a deepening political

:00:54.:00:55.

On Wednesday she confirmed her predecessor,

:00:56.:01:03.

former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, will be returning to

:01:04.:01:05.

Critics say it is just an attempt to shield him from corruption charges.

:01:06.:01:10.

She says he is there to get the struggling economy back on track.

:01:11.:01:13.

Top of the list of problems, a huge corruption scandal, involving

:01:14.:01:16.

state-owned oil giant Petrobras, construction firms, and politicians.

:01:17.:01:25.

President Rousseff is facing impeachment over the scandal.

:01:26.:01:27.

But Brazil is also facing the worst economic crisis in a generation.

:01:28.:01:30.

The economy shrank 3.8% last year, the biggest slump in a quarter

:01:31.:01:33.

At the same time consumer prices are soaring,

:01:34.:01:45.

Many Brazilian families are struggling with high levels of

:01:46.:01:48.

household debt, and rising interest rates have piled on the pressure.

:01:49.:01:51.

Former president Lula has been calling for more public spending

:01:52.:01:53.

Foreign investors fear Brazil could now abandon its austerity measures.

:01:54.:02:11.

News of Lula's return caused sharp falls in Brazil's currency

:02:12.:02:13.

Daniel Gallas reports from Sao Paolo.

:02:14.:02:17.

This is a former president Lula two weeks ago, hours after having been

:02:18.:02:26.

detained for questioning as part of a probe into corruption. But now, in

:02:27.:02:31.

a surprising turn of events, he is back in the heart of politics as a

:02:32.:02:35.

Cabinet Minister. Usually when politicians are involved in

:02:36.:02:40.

corruption investigations they are suspended or fired, not invited

:02:41.:02:45.

government that these are very strange times in Brazilian politics.

:02:46.:02:50.

Former president Lula remains a very influential politician, and right

:02:51.:02:55.

now President Dilma Rousseff needs all the help that she can get as she

:02:56.:02:58.

fights for her political survival. Time is running out for Dilma

:02:59.:03:02.

Rousseff to react to a serious political crisis. She may be

:03:03.:03:06.

suspended from office as early as May if she loses support from

:03:07.:03:10.

Congress. They will decide whether to carry on with an impeachment

:03:11.:03:14.

process against her. Dilma Rousseff is accused of allegedly doctoring

:03:15.:03:19.

government accounts this year. Bringing in Lula to negotiate with

:03:20.:03:26.

Congress is her last ditch effort to save her government. TRANSLATION:

:03:27.:03:32.

This was an extreme measure taken by the government, which reveals how

:03:33.:03:36.

alone it is incapable of establishing alliances in Congress.

:03:37.:03:47.

But millions of Brazilians who went to the streets on Sunday in one of

:03:48.:03:51.

the largest demonstrations in the country's history have very strong

:03:52.:03:55.

views against Lula. They believe he has only accepted the job in Cabinet

:03:56.:04:00.

in order to get job privileges in case he is charged with being

:04:01.:04:05.

involved in the corruption scandal in state oil giant Petrobras. These

:04:06.:04:10.

will be testing times for Dilma Rousseff if she is to reach the end

:04:11.:04:11.

of her term. Jimena Blanco is principal analyst

:04:12.:04:13.

for the Americas at How do you think this will play

:04:14.:04:27.

out? Well, I think it is a very dangerous political strategy on the

:04:28.:04:31.

part of the Dilma Rousseff administration. The government is

:04:32.:04:36.

clearly trying to settle the coalition and ensure that they

:04:37.:04:43.

remain within the coalition base. That is their main coalition ally.

:04:44.:04:50.

The government's party, which is the party of the Vice President, have

:04:51.:04:53.

had a very fraught relationship over the past year and over the weekend

:04:54.:04:58.

they gave himself 30 days to decide whether they will stay in the

:04:59.:05:02.

coalition or whether they will leave. The idea behind the

:05:03.:05:06.

appointment of Lula as chief of staff is that he will be able to

:05:07.:05:10.

ensure that the relationship with the party doesn't break down further

:05:11.:05:15.

and that their base in Congress doesn't walk away from the coalition

:05:16.:05:22.

and vote in favour of Dilma Rousseff's impeachment. However,

:05:23.:05:28.

having said that, as Daniel pointed out, massive protests over the

:05:29.:05:32.

weekend. Officially it was 3 million but many say it is far more than

:05:33.:05:36.

that. Protests overnight as well. In terms of the short-term risk for

:05:37.:05:41.

Rousseff, she has pretty... You know, incredible act to pull this

:05:42.:05:50.

off, hasn't she? Given all the headwinds against them. Yes, our

:05:51.:05:59.

view is if the appointment of Lula strengthens the anti-government

:06:00.:06:02.

protests, which we saw over the weekend and last night, and they are

:06:03.:06:07.

very much against Lula's involvement in government and very much in

:06:08.:06:11.

favour of him facing potentially criminal charges in the Federal

:06:12.:06:14.

Court 's, then there is a significant risk that the party will

:06:15.:06:21.

decide in 30 days' time that enough is enough, it is time to move on and

:06:22.:06:26.

prepare ourselves for 2018 and see whether we can go it alone. 2018 is

:06:27.:06:33.

the general election, but there are 48 politicians across parties all

:06:34.:06:37.

being investigated. It is not just Rousseff herself as an individual,

:06:38.:06:42.

Lula and a few around her, it is actually 48 all editions. Yes, and

:06:43.:06:46.

they come from numerous parties within the ruling coalition and the

:06:47.:06:53.

opposition. So the investigation of the case could actually remove a lot

:06:54.:06:56.

of potential presidential hopefuls from the race in 2018, and the

:06:57.:07:02.

electorate may not have a very clear choice. Thank you for coming in, and

:07:03.:07:08.

of course we will keep an eye on that story very closely.

:07:09.:07:10.

America's central bank left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday,

:07:11.:07:14.

amid growing uncertainty about the global economy.

:07:15.:07:15.

It said it was on track to raise the cost of borrowing again this year.

:07:16.:07:19.

But it has scaled back the pace of planned rate rises,

:07:20.:07:22.

When in doubt, wait. That seems to be the thinking, at least, of the US

:07:23.:07:36.

Federal reserve as it left its key interest rate unchanged. Officials

:07:37.:07:39.

also pencilled in just two rate hikes this year instead of the four

:07:40.:07:43.

assumed back in December, essentially leaving rates are lower

:07:44.:07:47.

for longer. The bank's chair Janet Yellen made it clear the main reason

:07:48.:07:52.

for the Fed's change was concerned about slower global growth. You have

:07:53.:07:59.

seen a shift this time in most disciplines' assessments of the

:08:00.:08:07.

appropriate path for policy -- most participants' assessments. That

:08:08.:08:10.

largely reflects a somewhat slower projected path for global growth,

:08:11.:08:16.

for growth in the global economy, outside the United States. Like the

:08:17.:08:20.

Bank of England and the European Central Bank, the Fed is worried

:08:21.:08:25.

about lower global growth so while it is becoming easier for Americans

:08:26.:08:31.

to find a job and despite signs of inflation is modest, politicians

:08:32.:08:37.

want to proceed cautiously to allow the US economy more time to recover.

:08:38.:08:41.

Investors seemed pleased with this more gradual approach, the S 500

:08:42.:08:46.

closing at its highest for the year. Markets are on the rise in Asia

:08:47.:08:50.

after that news from the Fed. Rico Hizon is tracking

:08:51.:08:53.

developments for us in Singapore. Nice to see you. How is it going

:08:54.:09:02.

that? A lot of these risky assets are rising in Asia. Stocks in

:09:03.:09:07.

emerging market currencies, an oil all in positive territory. Traders

:09:08.:09:14.

say that the Fed's newsstands is relatively friendly. The potential

:09:15.:09:17.

for more money to continue flowing into commodities and equities rather

:09:18.:09:21.

than being lowered by higher US interest rates is boosting crude oil

:09:22.:09:29.

and emerging market stock. -- new stance. You are seeing the negate

:09:30.:09:39.

two to five, -- Nikkei 225, and other Asian stocks in positive

:09:40.:09:42.

territory in this hour. Other analysts say that removing the

:09:43.:09:46.

interest rate risk in the near term is enough to lure money back into

:09:47.:09:52.

risky assets but price increases in the likes of gold and the

:09:53.:09:54.

depreciation of the US dollar and the game of the Japanese yen which

:09:55.:10:01.

are safe haven assets, would indicate there is still a a degree

:10:02.:10:08.

of risk in the marketplace. Other currencies firming up today. Thank

:10:09.:10:13.

you very much for keeping us up to date.

:10:14.:10:13.

In other news: The Bank of England is expected to leave interest rates

:10:14.:10:17.

unchanged at 0.5% when it meets to set policy later.

:10:18.:10:28.

A cargo ship carrying millions of pounds worth of luxury cars lost

:10:29.:10:32.

control and ended up on a sandbank in the Solent, because

:10:33.:10:36.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS