18/04/2016 World Business Report


18/04/2016

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Oil prices fall sharply after major producers fail to agree

:00:19.:00:22.

on a plan to limit global production to drive up revenues.

:00:23.:00:27.

And another blow for Brazil's President, Dilma Rousseff.

:00:28.:00:32.

Its lower house of Congress has voted to start impeachment

:00:33.:00:35.

proceedings over charges of manipulating government accounts.

:00:36.:00:39.

Also in the programme: India's Finance Minister tells us economic

:00:40.:00:50.

The world's leading oil producers have failed to come up with

:00:51.:00:58.

an agreement to cap production in a bid to stabilise prices.

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They met in Doha this weekend to try to thrash out a deal.

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But in the end they had to concede they "need more time".

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After that statement, crude prices swiftly fell more than 5%.

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To give you some perspective on what's at stake,

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Around 1.5 million barrels of crude are produced every day

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in excess of demand, according to the International Energy Agency.

:01:20.:01:23.

The IEA believes that oversupply will fall to 200,000 barrels

:01:24.:01:26.

per day in the second half of this year, but the agency says freezing

:01:27.:01:29.

at current levels would have limited impact as both Saudi Arabia and

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Russia are already pumping at near record rates. And Iran says it will

:01:38.:01:43.

not agree to a freeze in production now as it wants to hit pre-sanction

:01:44.:01:46.

Oil kingpin Saudi Arabia had counted on rock-bottom oil ending America's

:01:47.:01:55.

But America's frackers, although they've been hard hit, are seeing

:01:56.:01:58.

David Hunter is an energy analyst with Schneider Electric.

:01:59.:02:14.

Good morning, David. I must confess I wasn't surprised to hear there was

:02:15.:02:23.

no agreement in Doha and yet markets were really anticipating a good

:02:24.:02:27.

result prior to this weekend, were they not? That is right. Since their

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potential freeze was announced in February there has been more

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optimism in the markets, it has risen from the trough something like

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two thirds up to the mid- $40 per barrel. No agreement has spooked

:02:42.:02:52.

markets. Where do we go from here? Clearly, OPEC producers and some

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non- OPEC producers, who have all met, cannot agree, which was kind of

:02:57.:03:00.

what happened last time, when it was quite chaotic, wasn't it? That is

:03:01.:03:07.

right. I think what is driving this, what sits behind the discussions is

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the geopolitical differences between Saudi Arabia and Iran and also Saudi

:03:13.:03:18.

Arabia's memory of what happened in the past with weak oil prices, in

:03:19.:03:26.

that it risks losing market share by cutting production. That affects a

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number of countries, they are desperate not to lose market share

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because it is difficult to get it back. Iran, obviously, as pointed

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out, is trying to increase production post sanctions, and that

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is really behind it, in that Iran feels it has the right to do that,

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meanwhile Saudi Arabia does not want to lose market share. Talk us

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through the consequences. Oil prices will remain low for the rest of this

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year. Who will be the biggest losers? We have mentioned fracking

:04:00.:04:07.

in America. Some companies are in dire straits. Saudi Arabia it self,

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although it has deep pockets and large reserves, is struggling. Any

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economy that depends largely on oil is struggling at the lower prices we

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have seen -- itself. Some African countries, also in Venezuela, Russia

:04:24.:04:30.

is travelling as well. These major producers are finding it very

:04:31.:04:37.

difficult and they would all like the oil price to stabilise, to

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recover, for the market to come back into balance -- struggling. As you

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mentioned, in the US, the unconventional oil production has

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been relatively higher cost, and as the price per barrel has fallen,

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that has resulted in lower production, falling production in

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the states, but these producers have been more resilient than Saudi

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Arabia anticipated. Thank you for your time. That is a story we will

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talk about when we look at the papers today as well.

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Since India has overtaken China as the world's fastest growing

:05:13.:05:15.

economy, there's been a strong focus on the government's reform drive

:05:16.:05:18.

The International Monetary Fund has just confirmed its bullish stance

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on the country, despite gloomy predictions for the global outlook.

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India's Finance Minister Arun Jaitley told us about

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I don't think double-digit growth is so easy. Countries can reach that

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target when the global nations are all supported. When they are hostile

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it is extremely difficult. Even within the present limitation of the

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world economy going slowly, volatility being fair, commodity

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prices being low, I think if we have a good monsoon and if we are able to

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address several domestic reforms, including strengthening the Indian

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banking system, which is what we are trying to do, for us to grow over

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the 7.5% we have reached is reasonably possible -- being there.

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That was the finance minister of India.

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Other business stories: As rescue efforts continue in the south

:06:36.:06:37.

of Japan after the weekend's earthquakes, factories in

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Car maker Toyota has suspended much of it's production

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across the entire country because of a shortage of parts from suppliers.

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Honda has suspended work at a motorcycle plant near the quake-hit

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city of Kumamoto, while electronics firm Sony has halted operations at

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The first Air France flight has landed in Tehran after a gap

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of 7.5 years, following last July's agreement to

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The airline had suspended flights to Tehran in October 2008 as the UN

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On board the flight was a delegation of French business

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leaders and the French Transport Minister, Alain Vidalies.

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-- Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff has lost her fight against plans to

:07:23.:07:31.

She says she will take her political battle for political survival to

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Two thirds of the lower chamber in Congress voted

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It comes after she was accused of tampering with government

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She says the impeachment amounts to a political coup.

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With me Jimena Blanco, head of Americas at risk consultancy

:07:48.:07:50.

Lovely to see you at again. We have talked about this on many occasions,

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haven't we, as this has unfolded. Talk us through this latest

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chapter. What now? It's now goes to the Senate. It is a 3-step process.

:08:08.:08:15.

The first two steps require a simple majority. It is likely the

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impeachment procedures will continue. Towards the third stage,

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what we would call a formal trial, at that point the head of the

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Supreme Court takes over as head of the Senate and overseas that process

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to ensure its constitutional, legal process cannot be challenged. I

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understand that he, you can remind me of his name, it is an individual

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many see as one that is not tarnished by the various allegations

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that not just pointed at Dilma Rousseff but many players in the

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political scene. Yes, when we look at the public opinion polls, the

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electorate has taken a negative at look of the political class. It is

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not just Dilma Rousseff but the vice president, the head of the lower

:09:07.:09:10.

chamber and the Senate, who people would like to see out of their jobs.

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When we get to the head of the Supreme Court, that is when public

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opinion turns and has a more positive outlook of him as an

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individual who can look over this process. How is the economy going

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with this going on? It is battling with low commodity prices, as with

:09:31.:09:36.

many economies around the world, but this political instability... And of

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course, not to forget the Olympics coming up. How is the economy sort

:09:40.:09:47.

of dire jesting all of this? It isn't. It is a captain less ship.

:09:48.:09:57.

The official data shows the recession is very deep and none of

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the changes are taking place. Therefore we don't see an end in

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sight. -- Ricardo Lewandowski it is worrying time for Brazil --

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captain-less ship. The political stalemate could continue -- it is a

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worrying time for Brazil. Even when President Rousseff, if she was

:10:16.:10:20.

removed from office, we don't know what would happen and who could be a

:10:21.:10:24.

viable successor to bring the Brazilian economy back on its feet.

:10:25.:10:30.

OK. We appreciate your time. Thank you so much. It is a story we will

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keep across. The price of oil has slid dramatically after the Doha

:10:38.:10:40.

meeting. It has pulled down share markets across Asia with Japan at

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one point down 3%. I will see you in a few minutes' time.

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Families across England will learn today where their children

:10:55.:10:56.

According to research by the charity, "Teach First,"

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parents from poorer households are losing out in the competition for

:11:00.:11:03.

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