22/06/2016 World Business Report


22/06/2016

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from "Islamic State" militants, a US military commander says

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the jihadists are still in control of two-thirds of the city.

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Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News.

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Now for the latest financial news with, with Sally Bundock,

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Global markets remain on edge ahead of the UK Referendu.

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We get an expert view on the wild swings in currency markets as voters

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We have a special report on why your vehicle damages

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the environment more when the temperature

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In a minute, we'll hear from a farmer in Italy how Brexit

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would affect him and his country.

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Today is the final day of campaigning ahead of tomorrows

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decision on the UK's future in the European Union.

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Investors, business leaders, central bankers, and politicians,

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worldwide, have been following every twist and turn causing gyrations

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The most sensitive has been the currency markets with the pound

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soaring to a 5.5-month high on Tuesday against the US dollar.

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Also it was a key part of Janet Yellen's testimony before

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The head of the US Federal Reserve warning a UK vote to leave

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the European Union could have serious consequences

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for financial markets and in turn affect economic growth.

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With me is Jeremy Stretch, Head of Currency Strategy at CIBC

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You have been extremely busy. Indeed. Like many of my guests in

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the past week. Let's talk about the pound. Interesting, yesterday it was

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soaring, and yet the polls are not in the bag. They aren't saying that

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remain has it in the bag but it is expected. Last week the Stirling was

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on a bit of pressure. That character rises strong gains, especially on

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Monday, with the best movement in eight years. That extended into

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yesterday morning. Now we have pulled back a bit. Markets are a bit

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more sanguid about the risks. Central banks globally are very much

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a tuned to the uncertainties that a Brexit could bring. -- attuned. If

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these earnings fell after an exit there would be ramifications for

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other currencies, like the dollar. Talk us through that. The Japanese

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yen is seemingly going to remain extremely strong. The US dollar as

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well. Mentioned by Janet Yellen. It has been strengthening. Yet. She

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mentioned it had been strengthening since the 14, appreciating by 20%.

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-- 2014. Britain has relied on exports but it has had a dragging

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effect with productivity. If we saw them exit, the Stirling will fall

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significantly. But currencies and bilateral. Money flow goes on to

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other markets if it falls. Including the Japanese yen. It perceived safe

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haven. That would cause increasing concern for the Japanese

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authorities. Abenomics has relied on a relatively cheap yen. It will be

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interesting to see what happens next in terms of what countries do. The

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G20 summit earlier this year. There was a discussion about currency

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intervention. It was in the thinking of what people said. The Chinese

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currency was on the move. Currency wars. In light of this and the

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strong yen, will be pounds do anything? We have had currency wars

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mentioned periodically over the last six years. People are discussing it.

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I think if the Japanese yen is heading back towards 100 against the

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US dollar than in every the Japanese yen will feel duty-bound to stop the

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move. They have not been active in the foreign exchange market since

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2011. If markets are one-sided as Janet Yellen suggested, I think the

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Japanese will feel it is inevitable that the need to stem the slide. I

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am meant move. Financial markets globally are watching what is a

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global issue because of these global ramifications. It will be an

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interesting 24 hours. It will be. We will talk to you about it again, I

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am sure. OK now. One major sticking point

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in the great Brexit They divide the farming community,

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not just here in the UK, Italian cattle farmer,

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Fabio Baldassarri, says EU policy has pushed milk prices so low

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that he will have to sell up He believes a Brexit could spark

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similar votes in Italy, where anti-EU sentiment

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is currently running high. TRANSLATION: My name is Fabio. I

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breed cattle. I think if the UK left the European community, this would

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cause a domino effect that would give a future to biodiversity in

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agriculture. We are inundated with meat coming from northern and

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Eastern Europe with extremely low prices. I am talking about prices

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lower than 30 cents delivered in the area of Rome when our price of

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production is above 40 cents. Italy and Europe did not protect us in any

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way. So, we will have to close our farms. We will be forced to

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slaughter our animals because we have become no longer competitive in

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a short time. And, of course, there are many

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leaders of small and medium size businesses who argue the UK leaving

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Europe is the best option. To hear all the views,

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go to the BBC Business Webpage. Please take a look when you have a

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chance. New research seen by the BBC

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suggests pollution from many popular diesel cars is much worse when it's

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colder than 18 degrees outside. It means millions of vehicles

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could potentially be driving around for most of the year

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with their pollution controls Testing company Emissions Analytics

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says it's measured a significant rise in poisonous gas emissions

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from a wide range of models The SMMT, which represents

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the industry, says it's all within the rules and it's

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to stop damage to the engine. More from our transport

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correspondent, Richard Westcott, It is below 18 degrees for most of

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the year in Britain. This new research seen by the BBC suggests

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that millions of popular diesel cars could be driving around with

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pollution controls partly turned off below that temperature. What is

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more, it is perfectly legal. Testing company, Emissions Analytics, said

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it looked that the 100 and 13 different models across 31 different

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manufacturers. -- 213. On average, about 18 degrees, levels of

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poisonous gases were 3.6 times over the European limit. Below that

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temperature, pollution increased to 4.6 times over the limit. The

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scandal of Volkswagen has ripped the lid off this whole area and people

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have been investigating in more details. Us and others are

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unearthing lots of other issues. Loopholes in the regulations that

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perhaps have been found. They are asked to win down their pollution

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controls to help the engine. There is suggestion some are taking

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advantage of the rule because turning it off can improve fuel

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economy. Can you guarantee they need to do this for engineering reasons?

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Absolutely. It is about ensuring the engine maintains optimal condition.

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That means you can get what you expect, the car will start, it will

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operate smoothly, and there is no long-term damage. Cars have to pass

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the slightly older emissions test. There are 5.1 million of them on

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Britain's roads. There are now calls for car companies to come clean

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about how their pollution systems work.

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Embattled German auto giant Volkswagen will face the wrath

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of its shareholders at its annual meeting on Wednesday.

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Nine months after VW admitted it installed emissions-cheating

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software into millions of diesel engines worldwide,

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investors want to know why the German giant is nowhere

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near drawing a line under this crisis.

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Shareholders have been vocal about the way VW management has

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Meanwhile, prosecutors are investigating former VW boss

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Martin Winterkorn for having allegedly manipulated the market

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by holding back information about emissions cheating.

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The market. Different moves going on. The pound against the dollar.

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And that is the close on Wall Street. Oil above $50 a barrel. See

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you later.

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