27/06/2016 World Business Report


27/06/2016

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Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News.

:00:00.:00:00.

Now for the latest financial news with the World Business Report.

:00:00.:00:19.

The Brexit aftershocks, the pounds slump escalates as China

:00:20.:00:21.

steps in to weaken its currency, the Japanese government is closely

:00:22.:00:24.

Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne,

:00:25.:00:29.

will seek to bring some calm before the European trading day begins

:00:30.:00:32.

setting out his actions to protect the UK economy.

:00:33.:00:40.

Welcome to World Business Report, I'm Sally Bundock.

:00:41.:00:49.

Also in the programme: As the big banks prepare to shift their staff

:00:50.:00:52.

from the City of London, we take a closer look at what Brexit

:00:53.:00:56.

But first, China, Japan and South Korea have all expressed

:00:57.:00:59.

concern about the impact on the global economy of Britain's

:01:00.:01:01.

The pound is falling further today adding to Friday's

:01:02.:01:05.

Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osbourne,

:01:06.:01:08.

is expected to address market unease before trading gets under way

:01:09.:01:11.

And over the weekend the head of the International Monetary Fund,

:01:12.:01:25.

Christine Lagarde, said financial markets had vastly underestimated

:01:26.:01:27.

the outcome of the British vote, but so far there was no panic.

:01:28.:01:30.

Financial markets in Asia are regaining some of

:01:31.:01:32.

The stock market in Tokyo has recovered from a battering that saw

:01:33.:01:37.

more than $2 trillion wiped off global financial markets.

:01:38.:01:43.

The Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has held an emergency meeting

:01:44.:01:45.

with the Bank of Japan to ensure the markets remain calm.

:01:46.:01:51.

Mariko Oi is in Tokyo for us outside the Stock Exchange,

:01:52.:01:57.

and there are concerns about the strength of the Yen?

:01:58.:02:01.

The pound is losing ground, but gold is a safe haven. Shinzo Abe has held

:02:02.:02:15.

an emergency meeting to assess the situation. We cross live to Tokyo.

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We were thinking there could be some possible manoeuvring from the

:02:27.:02:28.

authorities in Japan, but not as yet? Not yet. As you said, Japan's

:02:29.:02:38.

stock market has managed to stay in the positive territory. That is

:02:39.:02:45.

after falling from 8% on Friday. That fall was a bigger than the

:02:46.:02:52.

global financial crisis and the earthquake in 2011. It is difficult

:02:53.:02:57.

to guess whether investors are bargain hunting or whether they

:02:58.:03:00.

thought that the panic sell on Friday was too much, or if the Prime

:03:01.:03:06.

Minister's repeated promise that the government is ready to intervene if

:03:07.:03:12.

necessary has come to the market. The yen seems to have stabilised, it

:03:13.:03:15.

is strengthening against the US dollar. We are still seen around 101

:03:16.:03:24.

against the US dollar, which is OK from the government's point of view.

:03:25.:03:29.

It helps exporters because it makes their products cheaper and more

:03:30.:03:34.

competitive abroad. The government is monitoring the situation, but so

:03:35.:03:38.

far no intervention. The fallout from Brexit could have

:03:39.:03:39.

serious implications The BBC understands HSBC is expected

:03:40.:03:41.

to move up to 1,000 staff from London to Paris,

:03:42.:03:46.

following Britain's President Francois Hollande

:03:47.:03:47.

of France has said his country, together with Germany,

:03:48.:03:56.

should take the initiative. Tanya Beckett is in

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Frankfurt for us. You've been out since Friday, tell

:03:59.:04:17.

us what the mood is at the moment? The initial reaction was one of

:04:18.:04:23.

shock. I have spoken to plenty of Germans over the weekend who express

:04:24.:04:27.

some Euroscepticism. It is mostly around the functioning of the EU and

:04:28.:04:36.

Russells appears to have felt that of late, that they are more

:04:37.:04:40.

therefore the purpose of the EU than for the purpose of the people --

:04:41.:04:49.

Brussels. -- there for. It is damaging to the block, it was

:04:50.:05:02.

Britain has been a very strong ally of Germany. -- bloc -- because. In

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the meantime, we are all aware of the rivalry between Frankfurt and

:05:16.:05:19.

London when it comes to financial services and staffing. Frank that

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could be viewed as a winner from this outcome? Yes, although it might

:05:25.:05:29.

have economic concerns in the broader picture. But Frankfurt is

:05:30.:05:34.

dwarfed by friends in London in terms of the number of people

:05:35.:05:39.

employed here. That has improved enormously in recent years. I lived

:05:40.:05:45.

here in the 90s, working as an investment banker. I had a look

:05:46.:05:49.

around over the weekend to see how things had changed. When I lived in

:05:50.:05:58.

Frankfurt in the 1990s, it was impossible to buy anything after

:05:59.:06:02.

lunchtime on Saturday, because everything was shut. Look at it now!

:06:03.:06:07.

German Labour market reform has changed everything. The centre of

:06:08.:06:13.

Frankfurt is awash with consumers. And with a more global outlook, the

:06:14.:06:17.

city celebrates not just German but international culture. This is

:06:18.:06:32.

Frank's iconic square and an absolute tourist magnet. --

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Frankfurt's. Behind the traditional facade, Germany's financial hub has

:06:40.:06:48.

a modern agenda. It might be too soon to celebrate a windfall for

:06:49.:06:54.

Frankfurt's banks, but this is a city that has long coveted a bigger

:06:55.:07:02.

future. The skyline has grown enormously in stature in the last 20

:07:03.:07:07.

years, but as a financial centre it is still dwarfed by a European

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rivals such as Paris and London. It is about to find out whether it has

:07:15.:07:21.

built an appeal to capitalise on Britain's departure from the

:07:22.:07:22.

European Union. We will hear from Frankfurt again

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later in the show. We've heard a lot about the market

:07:30.:07:31.

reaction from around the world, but what about the challenges facing

:07:32.:07:34.

the British government over Brexit? Chancellor George Osborne

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is due to speak shortly, Will he announce

:07:38.:07:39.

an emergency budget? With me is David Owen,

:07:40.:07:51.

Chief European Financial Economist, We don't know if it will be a press

:07:52.:08:01.

conference or just a statement, what do you think he will say? Well, he

:08:02.:08:09.

has been in constant contact with the Bank of England, they will be

:08:10.:08:12.

trying to keep everything afloat and try to stress that things are not

:08:13.:08:19.

quite so bad on the economic front. Hopefully the economy will get

:08:20.:08:24.

through it. There will be no emergency budget, that is clear.

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Tell us about that. It was very clear from him and other ministers

:08:28.:08:33.

prior to last Thursday that that was going to happen quickly after a vote

:08:34.:08:39.

to Leave? Some people called it a punishment of budget? It won't

:08:40.:08:47.

happen immediately. If the UK does slip back into a recession and we

:08:48.:08:51.

have lower growth as we have to engineer our exit from the EU, then

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the position will be much worse. We know that when it comes to next

:08:57.:09:01.

March, they are going to have to address these issues and possibly

:09:02.:09:09.

delay how long it takes to get back to balance. There may be some

:09:10.:09:15.

additional austerity. What they are trying to do is make sure the

:09:16.:09:20.

economy doesn't slide back into a serious recession. What do you think

:09:21.:09:27.

will happen to the UK economy? On Friday, one of the main economic

:09:28.:09:31.

agencies downgraded the UK? I think we will fight back to a temporary

:09:32.:09:37.

recession in the later quarters of the year. It will be a slow

:09:38.:09:43.

recovery. We have the process of negotiation to exit, it will

:09:44.:09:48.

heighten uncertainty. It will be October at the earliest before

:09:49.:09:59.

Article 50 is enacted. And what about Europe? In some ways, the

:10:00.:10:10.

fallout for the rest of Europe could be much more serious. What a lot of

:10:11.:10:18.

economists have argued is that they may need to close the union. But

:10:19.:10:25.

that is a long way out. Buying bonds as it were on Friday will continue.

:10:26.:10:31.

The banking sector in some countries is quite exposed in this situation.

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Thank you for your time. A lot more detail on this story on our website.

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In other news: A giant Chinese container ship has become the first

:10:47.:10:49.

vessel to move from the Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean

:10:50.:10:52.

The ship was greeted with fireworks and cheers from a crowd that had

:10:53.:10:56.

gathered at the Cocoli locks to celebrate.

:10:57.:10:58.

The Panamanian President, Juan Carlos Varela, described

:10:59.:11:00.

the waterway as a route that would unite the world.

:11:01.:11:02.

Britain is likely to enter a recession within the year

:11:03.:11:04.

as a result of last week's vote to Leave the European Union,

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according to Goldman Sachs' economists.

:11:09.:11:09.

They bank also says that the decision could stunt global

:11:10.:11:11.

Goldman Sachs estimates that the Leave outcome will chop

:11:12.:11:15.

a cumulative 2.75% off UK gross domestic product in

:11:16.:11:17.

There will also be knock-on effects in the US and European economies.

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We will talk some more about this in a moment when we look at the papers.

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Stay with us. Eight children and two adults have

:11:37.:11:44.

been injured after a rollercoaster

:11:45.:11:48.

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