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EU leaders gather for a summit as they face up to a future | :00:00. | :00:21. | |
without Britain, and the financial fallout. | :00:22. | :00:27. | |
Plus London Fashion Week's power dresser. | :00:28. | :00:28. | |
We meet the designer whose clients include Kate Middleton and Michelle | :00:29. | :00:32. | |
Welcome to World Business Report. Hello. | :00:33. | :00:42. | |
We will also be talking to the boss of Lloyds of London, | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
he's among senior UK financial figures who want to see much more | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
clarity from the Government over Brexit. | :00:50. | :00:51. | |
We start in the Slovakian capital Bratislava where leaders | :00:52. | :00:57. | |
of the European Union member states are about to start | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
Notably absent from the guest list, and the obligatory family photo, | :01:01. | :01:04. | |
And top of the agenda of course, the reason why she is not there. | :01:05. | :01:09. | |
They will be trying to work out how to respond to the biggest crisis | :01:10. | :01:15. | |
Critics have warned that the EU faces disintegration if it does not | :01:16. | :01:19. | |
address the problems that led to the Brexit vote. | :01:20. | :01:22. | |
But in the shorter term there will also be a financial | :01:23. | :01:25. | |
The EU's budget could shrink by at least 10 billion euros a year | :01:26. | :01:34. | |
once Britain leaves, according to the first official calculations. | :01:35. | :01:36. | |
Last year, Britain was the second biggest contributor | :01:37. | :01:39. | |
And it's Germany that may have to pick up much of the bill | :01:40. | :01:44. | |
Brexit could mean Germany ends up funding a quarter of the EU's | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
budget compared to the 21% it contributes today. | :01:49. | :01:50. | |
That's according to calculations made by the German government. | :01:51. | :01:52. | |
It's a figure that will further anger Eurosceptics in Germany. | :01:53. | :01:55. | |
Ahead of today's summit, a stressed looking European Council | :01:56. | :01:57. | |
president Donald Tusk said the EU needs a shake-up if it is to survive | :01:58. | :02:01. | |
Definitely. We haven't come to Bratislava to comfort each other all | :02:02. | :02:31. | |
to deny the real challenges we face. -- or. In this particular moment in | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
the history of our community, after What we need today is an optimistic | :02:35. | :03:00. | |
vision for the future, that I have no doubt. But it requires a | :03:01. | :03:06. | |
realistic diagnosis of the causes of Bradford and its political | :03:07. | :03:12. | |
consequences for all of Europe. -- Brexit. | :03:13. | :03:15. | |
Lorenzo Codogno is a visiting professor at the London School of | :03:16. | :03:18. | |
He was also Chief Economist at the Italian Treasury | :03:19. | :03:20. | |
Welcome to the programme. An informal meeting. A significant and | :03:21. | :03:31. | |
symbolic one. How stormy will it be? There will be a discussion on | :03:32. | :03:38. | |
Brexit, clearly. But this is a discussion on Europe. It will be | :03:39. | :03:43. | |
informal, a brainstorming session. That is key and very important. | :03:44. | :03:48. | |
After Brexit there is clearly need for rethinking the future of Europe | :03:49. | :03:57. | |
and new ideas. I think for Europe the debate will kickstart with the | :03:58. | :04:05. | |
same speech that Juncker gave a few days ago in front of the European | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
Parliament. That is the focus of the days. So that will involve security, | :04:11. | :04:18. | |
military force, and economic security. Those are the three themes | :04:19. | :04:25. | |
delivered a few days ago. I wonder how many of the 27 remaining members | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
of the EU share his vision for the future. They mainly share his | :04:31. | :04:37. | |
vision. I have to say I am suspicious. The same leaders that | :04:38. | :04:41. | |
yesterday were saying we do not need more Europe now seem to be | :04:42. | :04:44. | |
enthusiastic about more cooperation in terms of military and security. | :04:45. | :04:51. | |
So we will see. It is encouraging that at least there are new | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
initiatives because I think as was said by many, especially a few days | :04:57. | :05:09. | |
ago, we need to hand deliverables, concrete actions that can be | :05:10. | :05:12. | |
delivered We have to show people that Europe is delivering. You need | :05:13. | :05:17. | |
vision but also concrete steps. That is exactly it. There seems to be a | :05:18. | :05:25. | |
divergences opening up, even between Myra -- Mario and Juncker. | :05:26. | :05:38. | |
Cooperation on these areas is important. I think this is something | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
that can connect Europe with the people. OK? We should not forget the | :05:43. | :05:48. | |
number of plans and projects that are still open on the side of the | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
economy. Ban Ki-moon has left an unfinished job. We need to finish up | :05:54. | :06:01. | |
what he has already started, as Mario said. That is also a key | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
message. Yes, new initiatives. We fully understand that it is | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
difficult to deliver March. But we need to start the discussion. -- | :06:13. | :06:19. | |
much. But at the same time it is very important to finish up what is | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
on the table. OK, we will have to leave it there. OK. The start of a | :06:24. | :06:26. | |
very long process, I am sure. Let's stay with the issue of Brexit, | :06:27. | :06:28. | |
because tension is mounting in the UK's business community | :06:29. | :06:31. | |
about the terms under which Britain The financial industry | :06:32. | :06:34. | |
is particularly concerned. The Chairman of insurance market | :06:35. | :06:37. | |
Llloyds of London has been warning that his company will have to move | :06:38. | :06:40. | |
business out of the City if it is not given guarantees | :06:41. | :06:43. | |
about its access to European At the moment, the single insurance | :06:44. | :06:46. | |
market means Lloyd's can operate in all the other 27 member states | :06:47. | :06:49. | |
via what's known as passporting. John Nelson is the Chairman | :06:50. | :06:54. | |
of Lloyds of London and he joins me Hello. Good morning. Good morning to | :06:55. | :07:08. | |
you. A wonder what happens to Lloyds of London if return does not | :07:09. | :07:13. | |
maintain access to the single market of the EU. -- Britain. We have been | :07:14. | :07:20. | |
developing contingency plans for some time. In fact, if you look at | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
Lloyds as a whole, we are a very global market. We have a global hub | :07:26. | :07:31. | |
of specialist insurance. We do business in 200 countries around the | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
world. With regards to the EU, they are 11% of our business. A chunk of | :07:37. | :07:41. | |
our business is insurance which is not directly affected. It is | :07:42. | :07:44. | |
important to us, but it is not fundamental. So, if we don't get | :07:45. | :07:51. | |
passport rights, as I said before, what we would have to do and what we | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
would do is to write the business, that part of the business, a | :07:57. | :07:59. | |
relatively small part of that business, but important, onshore EU. | :08:00. | :08:05. | |
What contingency plans are you drawing up? Well, every insurer, in | :08:06. | :08:12. | |
terms of the insurance industry, they have different business models, | :08:13. | :08:15. | |
they have different priorities, the life sector has different issues to | :08:16. | :08:21. | |
the general insurance sector which is what we are in. But most of us in | :08:22. | :08:25. | |
the sector have our own contingency plans stop at OK. We will have | :08:26. | :08:33. | |
delivered there. Short but sweet. But thank you for joining us from | :08:34. | :08:35. | |
Singapore. Thank you. From Singapore back to London now, | :08:36. | :08:37. | |
and Fashion Week which gets What do the Duchess | :08:38. | :08:40. | |
of Cambridge, Samantha Cameron, and Michelle Obama, | :08:41. | :08:44. | |
all have in common? They are all well-known | :08:45. | :08:46. | |
as stylish dressers, and they are all fans | :08:47. | :08:48. | |
of Serbian-born designer. Roksanda Ilincic, who is behind some | :08:49. | :08:50. | |
of the designs you can see here. We have been speaking to her ahead | :08:51. | :08:53. | |
of London Fashion Week, the biggest event in the fashion | :08:54. | :08:56. | |
trade, which starts today. Here she is making | :08:57. | :08:59. | |
final preparations. Ilincic left Serbia for London | :09:00. | :09:01. | |
to study fashion, and went on to build a global business | :09:02. | :09:03. | |
from scratch here in the UK. She has been telling our | :09:04. | :09:06. | |
correspondent Emma Simpson why London remains at the centre | :09:07. | :09:09. | |
of the global fashion industry. I think what London Fashion Week has | :09:10. | :09:25. | |
managed to achieve in the last decade or more so is to create very | :09:26. | :09:38. | |
big international buzz. All eyes are on us. Media, retailers, lovers of | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
fashion, to see what we have come up with. Would you be where you are | :09:44. | :09:48. | |
today if you had not in able to come to London? Definitely not. And this | :09:49. | :09:52. | |
is a very straightforward answer, because London was always the best | :09:53. | :09:59. | |
place to be if you are a young designer. Especially now that there | :10:00. | :10:05. | |
are so many skills that are supporting young designers. London | :10:06. | :10:12. | |
has come up with more support than when I started. There are many ways | :10:13. | :10:16. | |
to encourage young designers in creativity. If I was not in London I | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
don't think I would have achieved this, at least not in this time that | :10:22. | :10:26. | |
I did hear. Just one more story for you. | :10:27. | :10:27. | |
The US Department of Justice is asking Deutsche Bank to pay $14bn | :10:28. | :10:30. | |
to settle an investigation into mortgage-backed securities. | :10:31. | :10:32. | |
Deutsche Bank says it "has no intention to settle these potential | :10:33. | :10:35. | |
civil claims anywhere near the figure cited." | :10:36. | :10:37. | |
The claim against Deutsche, which is likely to be negotiated | :10:38. | :10:39. | |
for several months, far outstrips investor expectations. | :10:40. | :10:50. | |
The markets. Japanese stock rose. The Federal Reserve rate -- rate | :10:51. | :11:08. | |
hikes are looking more unlikely. That is it. | :11:09. | :11:13. |