27/09/2016 World Business Report


27/09/2016

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Plenty more on this to come but now it is time for World Business

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Report. The great debate -

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US presidential hopefuls Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump have

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gone head to head in the first televised debate but how important

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was the economic message? And Britain's first import

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of fracked gas from America is due to arrive in Scotland in the next

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few hours amid fierce debate about the future of

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fracking in the UK. Also in the programme:

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"Not too big to fail." Angela Merkel says Germany will not

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come to the rescue of Deutsche Bank Deutsche shares sank

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again on the comments. So, we've had the first debate,

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and it started with the state of the US economy, with both

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candidates putting forward their competing visions for how

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they would guide the way ahead. Michelle Fleury watched

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the debate for us in New York. So, Michelle, looking at financial

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markets, interesting. We have the Mexican Peso rising. Gold and the

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Japanese yen falling. Give us your take on what they had to say about

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the economy. Well, it was interesting. The debate started

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immediately on how to create prosperity in America. And right out

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of the gate you saw Donald Trump going on the offence if, Sally. He

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attacked Hillary Clinton on trade. He blamed the flight of jobs to

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China and to Mexico for America's economic struggles. Many people

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commented that, actually, his performance was uneven through the

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course of the 1.5 hours but when it came to trade he sounded quite

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confident. This is a major topic for the Republican presidential

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candidate. It resonates very well with white working-class voters in

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the rustbelt. One particularly effective line

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was when he referred to her long career on the American political

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scene, saying she'd been doing this for 30 years but hadn't

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come up with solutions When Clinton started talking

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about how well the US economy did under her husband in the '90s,

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Mr Trump jumped on it, describing the economic devastation

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he'd seen in declining manufacturing regions and blaming the North

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American Free Trade Agreement, You go to our higher, Pennsylvania,

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you go anywhere you want, Secretary Clinton, and you will see

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devastation -- you go to Ohio. NAFTA is the worst trade deal ever signed.

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And now you want to approve the TPP. You were in favour of it. And then

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you heard when I said how bad it was and you thought you couldn't win

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that debate. You know that if you did win you would approve that and

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that would be almost as bad as NAFTA but nothing would ever top NAFTA.

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So, Michelle, tell us a little bit about how she reacted to that - what

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was a counter argument? It was interesting. On the one hand you

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have Donald Trump, who thinks the way to create prosperity in America

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is to address unfair trade. You have heard the clip, him talking about

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some of his criticism. Hillary Clinton offered

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a different view. She believes inequality

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is about jobs and focussed on the economic struggles

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and experiences of middle-class She promised to push

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policies to assist them, She also needled Donald Trump,

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saying he was born wealthy and that he wants to help wealthy

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people like himself. She accused him of supporting

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an extreme kind of trickle down economics, warning that

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the across-the-board tax cuts he was proposing would not

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help the US economy. We need to have smart, fair trade

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deals. We also, though, need to have a tax system that rewards work and

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not just financial transactions. And the kind of plan that Donald has put

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forward would be trickle-down economics all over again. In fact,

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the most extreme version of the biggest tax cuts for the top % of

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the people in this country that we have ever had. I call it trumped up

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trickle-down because that is exactly what it would be - that is not how

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to grow the economy. Taken as a whole, both candidates

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played directly to type. Hillary Clinton tends to give

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detailed, wonky answers. We have seen that on the campaign

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trail. Just take her ideas on jobs,

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equal pay for equal work, Donald Trump tends to go

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to descriptions of problems, painting an apocalyptic message,

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jobs going abroad, decaying infrastructure but not offering much

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detail in terms of policy ideas. OK, thank you so much, Michelle,

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watching that debate from New York. We will have a lot more on that

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honour we will look at how the media has reacted to that debate -- we

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will have a lot more on that. Let's have a look at some other business

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stories right now. The first shipment of fracked US

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shale gas is set to arrive in the UK today and bringing

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controversy in its wake. A ship belonging to the chemical

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company, Ineos, is due to arrive in Grangemouth Scotland

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and with it some 27,500 cubic This shale gas shipment is part

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of a two billion dollar investment by Ineos with eight tankers

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creating a virtual pipeline Ineos says US shale will

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"complement" the dwindling supplies But critics argue importing ethane

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and other gases made no sense when there were known reserves

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already under the ground in Britain. With me is Richard Mallinson,

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geopolitical analyst at research Good morning, Richard. It is nice to

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see you. Talk us through this. It is a very symbolic arrival in the next

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few hours, isn't it, and the man behind Ineos came up with the master

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plan which, literally, is rescuing Grangemouth, isn't it? That is the

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aim, they took supplies from the North Sea but there is less and less

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of the specific chemical they need, ethane, so it is turning to the US

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where they have had the shale gas revolution, where we have had the

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liberalisation of export laws, and it is trying to find a way to make

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the economics work to bring the gas across, process it in the existing

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plant but it will face a lot of competition from plants that don't

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need to pay the big transport costs. So, does it work, do you think? I

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mean, a ?2 billion investment in this project over the next five

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years in Grangemouth. Is it financially viable? That is the

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really big question, that is what we're gonna have to see. Ineos is

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confident that it can make it work and they made the case when the

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future of the plant was in doubt not long ago. But it faces big plants

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that are starting in the Middle East which have subsidised or very low

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cost input. It has plants in the US, which benefit to being closer to

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this production, and then it opens up the debate about, does the UK and

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allow more fracking, which of course is very politically controversial.

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Extremely controversial. Many are protesting that in the UK, and yet

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the previous Government was pushing it along. Also as well, the shale

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industry in the US is under so much financial pressure, isn't it, with

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the price of oil falling dramatically. Many producers have

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found it difficult in the US, haven't they? That is right, which

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could be a curveball for Ineos, which started the process when it

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looked like US production was on an upward trajectory, but now with low

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investment we have seen the production declining. I think if oil

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prices and gas prices can rally, then they could start drilling more

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and we could see more production but the risk comes that if the supply is

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dwindling in the US, one of the places, one of the cost input for

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Ineos might be higher than anticipated. OK, thank you, Richard,

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for coming in, and that is a big event taking place in Grangemouth

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today. Now, a story in the financial press, all over the newspapers, like

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the Financial Times today, Deutsche Bank.

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Shares in Deutsche Bank have closed down

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7.54% to a new low after a weekend report said Chancellor Angela Merkel

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Concerns have been raised about its financial health

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and the bank's shares are down more than 50% this year.

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German media reports claim Angela Merkel would not get involved

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in its dispute with the US over a $14 billion bill

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regarding the sale of mortgage products.

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We will keep an eye on how that stock trades when the markets in

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Germany opened later today. The Walt Disney and Microsoft

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could both be joining a list of potential suitors for Twitter,

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according to media reports. Twitter shares were up more than 2%

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at $23.36 in after-market trading. The microblogging service has

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reportedly started talks with a number of technology

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companies to sell itself, Disney is said to be working

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with a financial adviser to evaluate So, financial markets. Risk appetite

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is around following the debate. Oil has gone down, as has the Japanese

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yen, falling versus the dollar. The Mexican Peso is higher. Gold is

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retreating as well. That is a quick look at markets in Asia. That is all

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from me for now but I will see you very soon as we look through the

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media reaction to that great debate - see you in a minute.

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Sam Allardyce used his role as England manager to negotiate

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a ?400,000 deal and offer advice on how to 'get around' player

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transfer rules, an undercover investigation by the Daily Telegraph

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He's not yet responded to the allegations.

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