29/09/2016 World Business Report


29/09/2016

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Oil prices surge after OPEC agrees to cut production,

:00:00.:00:23.

Does this mean a new lease on life for the divided cartel?

:00:24.:00:28.

Plus, clearing the air, VW pledges a cleaner future as it

:00:29.:00:31.

We hear from the boss at the Paris Motor Show.

:00:32.:00:40.

We'll be hearing from VW's Matthias Mueller in just a moment.

:00:41.:00:52.

This story is really moving the markets.

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We start in the Algerian capital Algiers where the OPEC group of oil

:01:04.:01:06.

producing nations have been holding talks.

:01:07.:01:08.

They have shocked global markets by agreeing to limit oil production

:01:09.:01:11.

The collapse in the price of crude from more than $100 a barrel to less

:01:12.:01:17.

But infighting between them has meant no co-ordinated action

:01:18.:01:21.

since the Global Financial Crisis eight years ago.

:01:22.:01:23.

OPEC is proposing to limit total oil output by its members to between 32

:01:24.:01:32.

and a half million and 33 million barrels per day.

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At the moment they are pumping 33 point two million barrels a day.

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So, that's a production cut of up to 700,000 barrels a day.

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It's not a lot on a global level, and the details still have to be

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agreed, but the news sent crude prices soaring.

:01:47.:01:48.

Brent Crude jumped 6%, to almost $49 a barrel.

:01:49.:02:00.

As ever with opaque it is not always very easy to understand what they

:02:01.:02:18.

have done. -- OPEC. The devil is in the details. The comments suggest

:02:19.:02:22.

there is a production cut coming but it is still unclear what that would

:02:23.:02:26.

look like. Which member countries will be reducing the amount of crude

:02:27.:02:31.

oil they produce. That will likely the decided at OPEC's next official

:02:32.:02:36.

meeting at the end of November. Although this is tentative, it is

:02:37.:02:40.

nevertheless very significant. This will be the first agreement to cut

:02:41.:02:44.

production by the cartel in eight years. Clash is on oil policy,

:02:45.:02:49.

especially between Iran and Saudi Arabia, make the likelihood of an

:02:50.:02:55.

agreement difficult. In the last two years, the price of crude has seen

:02:56.:03:00.

dramatic falls and the oil cartel has been under pressure to reduce

:03:01.:03:05.

how much it was pumping. Samira Hussain, BBC News, New York.

:03:06.:03:06.

Let's see how markets are reacting in Asia.

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Rico Hizon is following them for us in Singapore.

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It is nice to see you. Sally! Talk us through it. Investors are happy

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at this point. Especially those with exposure in energy companies. They

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are leading the rallies in Asia trade. That is after the news from

:03:29.:03:33.

OPEC they plan to cut oil production for the first time in eight years.

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Oil prices, as you can see, are also continuing to gain in Asia trade on

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top of that search you mentioned in New York. It is soaring by 9.5%. And

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a Chinese oil producer is jumping as well. Australia's would petroleum

:03:52.:03:56.

leaping. And the BHP Billiton leaping as well. Across-the-board,

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gains. Markets are broadly optimistic about the deal. But there

:04:04.:04:07.

are some analysts who are sceptical. They have pointed out the further

:04:08.:04:12.

rise in crude oil prices may be difficult because shale producers

:04:13.:04:15.

will not be cutting in recent months and will start increasing output.

:04:16.:04:21.

Currencies have firmed up on the news, like the Australian and

:04:22.:04:27.

Canadian dollars. Sally. Bank is. Rico Hizon in Singapore for us.

:04:28.:04:29.

Miswin Mahesh is an oil analyst at Barclay's.

:04:30.:04:33.

Nice to see you. Good morning. Give us your reaction. Rico Hizon says

:04:34.:04:41.

some people are still sceptical. We are still sceptical about it. They

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still had a few days before they iron out the details that matter

:04:52.:04:54.

because it producer has to tell the market how much they will be willing

:04:55.:04:58.

to get off it. In terms of scale, OPEC represents 40% of production

:04:59.:05:02.

but are only taking 1% off of global production. In that instance, one

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really needs to decide how are Libya, Nigeria, and Iraq going to

:05:07.:05:12.

react to this and if they do come up with the deal and they don't agree

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by the end of November, we might be back to square one again. In terms

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of the timetable, there is an OPEC meeting on November 30, where this

:05:23.:05:26.

gets signed and sealed, we hope and assume. But there is a long time to

:05:27.:05:33.

iron out the detail. Iran was key. Absolutely. The fact they can still

:05:34.:05:38.

pump there oil. Give us information on that. The big discussion is

:05:39.:05:44.

around how much will they let you run to? They are coming under

:05:45.:05:50.

sanctions. -- Iran. Initially the big stumbling block was that they

:05:51.:05:54.

could only do 3.8 million barrels of. Now they have given Iran an

:05:55.:06:00.

exception. That is good news for then. Once again, the thing is that

:06:01.:06:05.

even if they do agree in November it will only be implemented by January.

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OPEC does know that by January, it will be tighter in terms of demand

:06:13.:06:16.

in the Western Hemisphere as well. That will pick up. Briefly, Saudi

:06:17.:06:21.

Arabia itself, we have seen signs it is under a lot of pressure, for

:06:22.:06:25.

example, The Fall in the price of oil. Only last week it announced a

:06:26.:06:31.

big cut in salary wages in the service for them. It yes. The points

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of pain are being felt across the economy, civil servants, everything

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is going down. Clearly, $50 per barrel is not working for then. So

:06:44.:06:47.

it does seem like this effort to boost optimism in the market will

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help them get a better range, 50- $60 per barrel range. To get higher

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than that is difficult. We have shale to think about. We appreciate

:07:00.:07:03.

you coming in and sharing your analysis. We will keep an eye on the

:07:04.:07:07.

price of oil today as this continues.

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To Paris now, where the Paris Motor Show is getting under way.

:07:08.:07:10.

On Wednesday, VW unveiled its latest model, a small electric car.

:07:11.:07:13.

It has pledged to sell between 2-3 million electric vehicles

:07:14.:07:16.

The German car giant is struggling to draw a line under the worst

:07:17.:07:21.

crisis in its 78-year history, after admitting using technology

:07:22.:07:23.

in its diesel cars to cheat emissions tests.

:07:24.:07:25.

Our correspondent, Theo Leggett, is there and has been speaking to VW

:07:26.:07:29.

Just look at this crowd of journalists, all coming to see the

:07:30.:07:41.

unveiling of Volkswagen's new brand new high-tech car over there. It is

:07:42.:07:48.

a fresh start for VW. It is exactly one year the diesel emissions can do

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erupted causing the company so many problems. Watch progress as it made

:07:53.:07:57.

in sorting itself out since then? Let us go and ask the boss.

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TRANSLATION: Well, undoubtedly, this company made a huge mistake. We lost

:08:05.:08:09.

the trust of the authorities and our customers. We are in the process of

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resolving the crisis. We are working very constructively with authorities

:08:15.:08:18.

in Germany, Europe, and especially the United States. We want to get

:08:19.:08:23.

into an agreement with the Department of Justice, hopefully

:08:24.:08:27.

this year, so we can plan for the future with a sound base, especially

:08:28.:08:36.

with the fines will we have to pay. Investigations will decide what the

:08:37.:08:40.

problems were. It remains to be seen who exactly was involved. Recently,

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the United States, one of your former engineers, he pleaded guilty

:08:45.:08:51.

to four scandals related to the major scandal. It seems like a

:08:52.:08:54.

conspiracy is. Does this concern you that it may go much wider? There are

:08:55.:09:02.

more current and former people involved? Well, as I said before,

:09:03.:09:07.

our lawyers are working to clarify this. They are working with the DHA

:09:08.:09:12.

and are working flat out. At the moment I can't say if it was a

:09:13.:09:17.

conspiracy or not. Jones has looked at 13 million documents. They are

:09:18.:09:24.

reviewing then. And this is a very time-consuming process. We hope it

:09:25.:09:28.

is completed as soon as possible, ideally before the end of the year,

:09:29.:09:31.

so we can really start looking ahead. In the meantime, you are

:09:32.:09:36.

trying to plan ahead a future with electric cars making a quarter of

:09:37.:09:40.

your output. How difficult is it to plan for that when you don't know

:09:41.:09:44.

how much you are going to have to pay for mistakes in the past?

:09:45.:09:47.

TRANSLATION: I have always said that Volkswagen is about more than the

:09:48.:09:51.

crisis. We don't want the crisis to paralyse the company. We want to

:09:52.:09:57.

shape the automotive future and we have put in place our strategy up

:09:58.:10:03.

until 2025. We know what we have to do. Of course, we would love to use

:10:04.:10:07.

the money we will have to pay in fines, but we also know that

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Volkswagen is a copy and robust companies. We don't need to be

:10:12.:10:16.

afraid of the future. -- healthy. We have good prospects and are going to

:10:17.:10:21.

make the most of them and at the end of the day we will be a leading

:10:22.:10:24.

provider of sustainable mobility. That is the boss of VW. That is the

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end of World Business Report. We will see you in a moment for a quick

:10:31.:10:33.

look at the

:10:34.:10:34.

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