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Is China's dragon economy still firing on all cylinders? | :00:00. | :00:18. | |
The country is growing at 6.7%, but analysts warn it could be | :00:19. | :00:21. | |
Box office superstar Leonardo DiCaprio says | :00:22. | :00:32. | |
he is cooperating with an investigation into Malaysian | :00:33. | :00:34. | |
state fund 1MDB, which may have helped to fund The Wolf | :00:35. | :00:38. | |
I'm Sally Bundock, here with your daily business snapshot. | :00:39. | :00:57. | |
We will have the details on Yahoo! 'S latest results in a moment. | :00:58. | :01:03. | |
New growth figures from China has added to a raft of indicators | :01:04. | :01:06. | |
suggesting the Asian powerhouse is becoming addicted | :01:07. | :01:08. | |
The world's second-largest economy grew at an annualised rate of 6.7% | :01:09. | :01:19. | |
That is slightly below last year's growth rate, | :01:20. | :01:22. | |
but still within the government's target range of 6.5%-7%. | :01:23. | :01:25. | |
As we have been reporting, the country's growth rate has slowed | :01:26. | :01:28. | |
significantly since hitting double digits five years ago, | :01:29. | :01:30. | |
and is now at its slowest rate in more than 25 years. | :01:31. | :01:33. | |
The figures underline China's difficulty of transforming | :01:34. | :01:35. | |
the economy away from factories and exports, towards consumption, | :01:36. | :01:38. | |
to help drive up wages and living standards. | :01:39. | :01:51. | |
And that is a transition that takes time. | :01:52. | :01:53. | |
To keep the economy on track in the intervening period, | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
the government has been stimulating growth through cheap credit. | :01:57. | :01:58. | |
Now, while government debt in China may appear to be relatively low, | :01:59. | :02:02. | |
corporate debt stands at a worrying 145% of GDP. | :02:03. | :02:04. | |
State-owned businesses actually account for more than half of that | :02:05. | :02:09. | |
debt pile, and Chinese banks are now holding more and more loans | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
from those companies that are either in default or close | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
We can cross live now to Beijing, and speak to Jeremy Stevens, | :02:16. | :02:29. | |
Good morning. Give us your reaction to today's numbers, in the middle of | :02:30. | :02:40. | |
the government target, with the service industry pacing the growth. | :02:41. | :02:46. | |
Good morning. As far as I can tell this is a continuation of relatively | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
stable data out of the Chinese economy, underpinned by state led | :02:52. | :02:54. | |
infrastructure spending, and we are telling our client is predominantly | :02:55. | :02:59. | |
that but we anticipate that the next six months will probably see some | :03:00. | :03:05. | |
weakening in the macroeconomic data, as they shift to supply-side reform, | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
getting a little bit more serious on debt, and pushing against the | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
housing price gains. What about the issue we have raised about credit, | :03:14. | :03:19. | |
about toxic debt? It is a problem, a huge problem, and something that we | :03:20. | :03:22. | |
have been watching very carefully. China is basically, there are | :03:23. | :03:26. | |
economy has become more reliant on credit and it is a very policy | :03:27. | :03:32. | |
oriented economy, and this year has really all been about fixed | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
investments underpinned by debt and we are seeing the average continue | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
to rise but one of the things we are seeing on the ground here in China | :03:43. | :03:46. | |
is that a lot of the policy documents which have been released | :03:47. | :03:49. | |
in the last two months have started to push ordered against this rising | :03:50. | :03:53. | |
debt and finding ways to address, and we are seeing debt commissions | :03:54. | :03:56. | |
where companies are sitting with creditors and local government | :03:57. | :04:00. | |
authorities to try and negotiate the terms of the debt and try and get | :04:01. | :04:03. | |
serious on repaying the debt. It suggests to us that the credit cycle | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
has probably peaked in the Chinese economy for the time being, and they | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
are going to push forward on constraining the credit so that they | :04:12. | :04:17. | |
can create a better environment for the private sector next year. So as | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
you say that has been a policy towards reining in financial risk. | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
They have also tried to prevent a real estate bubble from bursting, | :04:25. | :04:30. | |
and figures 'Today' show that investment was up by nearly 6% | :04:31. | :04:35. | |
between January and September, so it would seem that the real estate | :04:36. | :04:42. | |
market is also spiking as well. Correct. So this year we have seen | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
life in the real estate market, it has predominantly been in prices and | :04:48. | :04:52. | |
sales. Construction, and as you mentioned 6% growth is not crazy in | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
the context of China. We anticipate that inventory levels in one or two | :04:57. | :05:02. | |
cities will be back to 2011 levels by the end of the year and so one of | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
outside calls for the end of next year is that when the government | :05:07. | :05:09. | |
does want to support growth next year after the second, third and | :05:10. | :05:12. | |
fourth quarters, they may allow development in real estate in one or | :05:13. | :05:16. | |
two cities but the inventory levels are way too high in third and fourth | :05:17. | :05:21. | |
years cities, and we see them as deadweight on the economy, and have | :05:22. | :05:27. | |
for some time. Are you concerned about the outlook for China? If you | :05:28. | :05:31. | |
say what is happening over China for the next five years, absolutely. | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
What I am trying to fight against is the complacency around the data we | :05:37. | :05:39. | |
have seen for the first three quarters. We do anticipate witness | :05:40. | :05:42. | |
in the economy over the next six months. Then we think as China leads | :05:43. | :05:49. | |
into the 19th party congress, we see life in the second, third and fourth | :05:50. | :05:54. | |
quarter. Then we see the downgrading and continuing weakening in economic | :05:55. | :05:58. | |
momentum in China to continue for some time. That is typical in an | :05:59. | :06:03. | |
economy which has seen an explosion of credit as we have in China, for | :06:04. | :06:06. | |
some time. In other news: Yahoo's profits more | :06:07. | :06:08. | |
than doubled to $163 million in the third quarter, | :06:09. | :06:10. | |
beating Wall Street estimates. The numbers provides some | :06:11. | :06:13. | |
reassurance to investors, after it was revealed that | :06:14. | :06:15. | |
500 million customers These are the first financial | :06:16. | :06:17. | |
results since Verizon announced its plan to buy the tech | :06:18. | :06:20. | |
company for $4.8 billion, a figure that could now be | :06:21. | :06:23. | |
renegotiated in light Two of Australia's biggest gambling | :06:24. | :06:26. | |
firms have announced a plan to merge, as they try to compete | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
against the rise of online betting. Tabcorp and Tatts Group, | :06:33. | :06:35. | |
the country's two largest non-casino gambling firms, hope to form | :06:36. | :06:38. | |
a business worth $US8.7 billion, if they can get regulatory | :06:39. | :06:41. | |
and shareholder approval. Australia is the world's most | :06:42. | :06:43. | |
lucrative gambling market per head, with an average loss every year | :06:44. | :06:45. | |
of $US1,130 per person. Shares in Sharp have | :06:46. | :06:53. | |
risen by more than 10%, after the loss-making Japanese | :06:54. | :06:56. | |
company announced it expects this full year profits to improve | :06:57. | :06:58. | |
significantly compared to last year. The electronics firm was snapped up | :06:59. | :07:01. | |
by Taiwanese manufacturer Foxconn for $3.5 billion in July, | :07:02. | :07:04. | |
after going through two major South Korean prosecutors | :07:05. | :07:06. | |
are reportedly poised to file corruption charges against | :07:07. | :07:19. | |
the chairman of one of the country's most influential conglomerates, | :07:20. | :07:22. | |
the Lotte Group. It is alleged Shin Dong-bin, | :07:23. | :07:24. | |
together with his father and brother, committed | :07:25. | :07:26. | |
offences worth hundreds Oscar-winning star Leonardo DiCaprio | :07:27. | :07:28. | |
says he is aiding authorities with the ongoing investigation | :07:29. | :07:40. | |
into Malaysian state In July, the US department | :07:41. | :07:42. | |
of justice moved to seize more than $1 billion from the fund, | :07:43. | :07:45. | |
which it said had been misappropriated to fund the lavish | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
lifestyles of some public officials. The Hollywood star is tied | :07:50. | :07:51. | |
to the case because money from 1MDB was allegedly used to fund | :07:52. | :07:55. | |
the production of the movie The Wolf of Wall Street, and might even have | :07:56. | :07:58. | |
gone to Mr DiCaprio's charity Mariko Oi joins us | :07:59. | :08:01. | |
now from Singapore. Good to see you. So the plot | :08:02. | :08:24. | |
thickens. Tell us the latest. Indeed, it is a bit ironic, isn't | :08:25. | :08:29. | |
it, his film about Wall Street corruption and greed was actually | :08:30. | :08:32. | |
financed by a production company which was co-founded by the stepson | :08:33. | :08:39. | |
of the Malaysian Prime Minister, who of course created the 1MDB fund back | :08:40. | :08:47. | |
in 2009. The aim was to invest in the country's development, but of | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
course as we have been reporting over the last year or so, it has | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
been accused of corruption and has now been investigated, not just in | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
the US but in several countries including here in Singapore. Both he | :08:59. | :09:07. | |
and 1MDB deny the investigation but when the actor found out, he had his | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
representative contact them to see whether he or his charity received | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
any gifts or donations, and if so to return them as soon as possible. US | :09:18. | :09:21. | |
authorities are, as you mentioned, trying to seize more than $1 billion | :09:22. | :09:27. | |
from 1MDB, so the plot thickens, as you mentioned. This is probably the | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
twist that we were not really expecting. Let's show you financial | :09:31. | :09:42. | |
markets. The news about the Chinese markets being stable has led the | :09:43. | :09:45. | |
market is treading water at the moment. The price of oil heading up | :09:46. | :09:49. | |
by 1% and you can see the pound tinkering around $1, just over 22 | :09:50. | :09:57. | |
cents at the moment. I will see you very soon as we review the other | :09:58. | :09:59. | |
stories in the media. Stay with us. A senior member of the European | :10:00. | :10:06. | |
Parliament has accused | :10:07. | :10:09. |