19/10/2016 World Business Report


19/10/2016

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Is China's dragon economy still firing on all cylinders?

:00:00.:00:18.

The country is growing at 6.7%, but analysts warn it could be

:00:19.:00:21.

Box office superstar Leonardo DiCaprio says

:00:22.:00:32.

he is cooperating with an investigation into Malaysian

:00:33.:00:34.

state fund 1MDB, which may have helped to fund The Wolf

:00:35.:00:38.

I'm Sally Bundock, here with your daily business snapshot.

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We will have the details on Yahoo! 'S latest results in a moment.

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New growth figures from China has added to a raft of indicators

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suggesting the Asian powerhouse is becoming addicted

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The world's second-largest economy grew at an annualised rate of 6.7%

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That is slightly below last year's growth rate,

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but still within the government's target range of 6.5%-7%.

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As we have been reporting, the country's growth rate has slowed

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significantly since hitting double digits five years ago,

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and is now at its slowest rate in more than 25 years.

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The figures underline China's difficulty of transforming

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the economy away from factories and exports, towards consumption,

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to help drive up wages and living standards.

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And that is a transition that takes time.

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To keep the economy on track in the intervening period,

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the government has been stimulating growth through cheap credit.

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Now, while government debt in China may appear to be relatively low,

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corporate debt stands at a worrying 145% of GDP.

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State-owned businesses actually account for more than half of that

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debt pile, and Chinese banks are now holding more and more loans

:02:10.:02:12.

from those companies that are either in default or close

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We can cross live now to Beijing, and speak to Jeremy Stevens,

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Good morning. Give us your reaction to today's numbers, in the middle of

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the government target, with the service industry pacing the growth.

:02:41.:02:46.

Good morning. As far as I can tell this is a continuation of relatively

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stable data out of the Chinese economy, underpinned by state led

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infrastructure spending, and we are telling our client is predominantly

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that but we anticipate that the next six months will probably see some

:03:00.:03:05.

weakening in the macroeconomic data, as they shift to supply-side reform,

:03:06.:03:09.

getting a little bit more serious on debt, and pushing against the

:03:10.:03:13.

housing price gains. What about the issue we have raised about credit,

:03:14.:03:19.

about toxic debt? It is a problem, a huge problem, and something that we

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have been watching very carefully. China is basically, there are

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economy has become more reliant on credit and it is a very policy

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oriented economy, and this year has really all been about fixed

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investments underpinned by debt and we are seeing the average continue

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to rise but one of the things we are seeing on the ground here in China

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is that a lot of the policy documents which have been released

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in the last two months have started to push ordered against this rising

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debt and finding ways to address, and we are seeing debt commissions

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where companies are sitting with creditors and local government

:03:57.:04:00.

authorities to try and negotiate the terms of the debt and try and get

:04:01.:04:03.

serious on repaying the debt. It suggests to us that the credit cycle

:04:04.:04:07.

has probably peaked in the Chinese economy for the time being, and they

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are going to push forward on constraining the credit so that they

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can create a better environment for the private sector next year. So as

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you say that has been a policy towards reining in financial risk.

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They have also tried to prevent a real estate bubble from bursting,

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and figures 'Today' show that investment was up by nearly 6%

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between January and September, so it would seem that the real estate

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market is also spiking as well. Correct. So this year we have seen

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life in the real estate market, it has predominantly been in prices and

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sales. Construction, and as you mentioned 6% growth is not crazy in

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the context of China. We anticipate that inventory levels in one or two

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cities will be back to 2011 levels by the end of the year and so one of

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outside calls for the end of next year is that when the government

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does want to support growth next year after the second, third and

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fourth quarters, they may allow development in real estate in one or

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two cities but the inventory levels are way too high in third and fourth

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years cities, and we see them as deadweight on the economy, and have

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for some time. Are you concerned about the outlook for China? If you

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say what is happening over China for the next five years, absolutely.

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What I am trying to fight against is the complacency around the data we

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have seen for the first three quarters. We do anticipate witness

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in the economy over the next six months. Then we think as China leads

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into the 19th party congress, we see life in the second, third and fourth

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quarter. Then we see the downgrading and continuing weakening in economic

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momentum in China to continue for some time. That is typical in an

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economy which has seen an explosion of credit as we have in China, for

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some time. In other news: Yahoo's profits more

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than doubled to $163 million in the third quarter,

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beating Wall Street estimates. The numbers provides some

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reassurance to investors, after it was revealed that

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500 million customers These are the first financial

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results since Verizon announced its plan to buy the tech

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company for $4.8 billion, a figure that could now be

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renegotiated in light Two of Australia's biggest gambling

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firms have announced a plan to merge, as they try to compete

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against the rise of online betting. Tabcorp and Tatts Group,

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the country's two largest non-casino gambling firms, hope to form

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a business worth $US8.7 billion, if they can get regulatory

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and shareholder approval. Australia is the world's most

:06:42.:06:43.

lucrative gambling market per head, with an average loss every year

:06:44.:06:45.

of $US1,130 per person. Shares in Sharp have

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risen by more than 10%, after the loss-making Japanese

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company announced it expects this full year profits to improve

:06:57.:06:58.

significantly compared to last year. The electronics firm was snapped up

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by Taiwanese manufacturer Foxconn for $3.5 billion in July,

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after going through two major South Korean prosecutors

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are reportedly poised to file corruption charges against

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the chairman of one of the country's most influential conglomerates,

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the Lotte Group. It is alleged Shin Dong-bin,

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together with his father and brother, committed

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offences worth hundreds Oscar-winning star Leonardo DiCaprio

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says he is aiding authorities with the ongoing investigation

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into Malaysian state In July, the US department

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of justice moved to seize more than $1 billion from the fund,

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which it said had been misappropriated to fund the lavish

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lifestyles of some public officials. The Hollywood star is tied

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to the case because money from 1MDB was allegedly used to fund

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the production of the movie The Wolf of Wall Street, and might even have

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gone to Mr DiCaprio's charity Mariko Oi joins us

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now from Singapore. Good to see you. So the plot

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thickens. Tell us the latest. Indeed, it is a bit ironic, isn't

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it, his film about Wall Street corruption and greed was actually

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financed by a production company which was co-founded by the stepson

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of the Malaysian Prime Minister, who of course created the 1MDB fund back

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in 2009. The aim was to invest in the country's development, but of

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course as we have been reporting over the last year or so, it has

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been accused of corruption and has now been investigated, not just in

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the US but in several countries including here in Singapore. Both he

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and 1MDB deny the investigation but when the actor found out, he had his

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representative contact them to see whether he or his charity received

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any gifts or donations, and if so to return them as soon as possible. US

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authorities are, as you mentioned, trying to seize more than $1 billion

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from 1MDB, so the plot thickens, as you mentioned. This is probably the

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twist that we were not really expecting. Let's show you financial

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markets. The news about the Chinese markets being stable has led the

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market is treading water at the moment. The price of oil heading up

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by 1% and you can see the pound tinkering around $1, just over 22

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cents at the moment. I will see you very soon as we review the other

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stories in the media. Stay with us. A senior member of the European

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Parliament has accused

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