05/12/2016 World Business Report


05/12/2016

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Now for the latest financial news with Sally Bundock

:00:00.:00:00.

Italy votes "No" in the referendum, and as promised, Prime Minister

:00:00.:00:20.

We assess what's at stake for Europe's economy.

:00:21.:00:30.

The new connection between the Hong Kong and Shenzhen stock

:00:31.:00:33.

We will take you there for all the latest. Hello, and welcome.

:00:34.:00:53.

Also in the programme, President-Elect Donald Trump

:00:54.:00:58.

Italy has voted a resounding "No," rejecting the electoral reforms put

:00:59.:01:05.

forward in the referendum brought by Prime Minister Matteo Renzi,

:01:06.:01:08.

who has since announced his intention to resign.

:01:09.:01:11.

The result has ushered in a fresh crisis for the Eurozone,

:01:12.:01:14.

with one of the founder members of the European project mired

:01:15.:01:17.

Here's a look at some of the problems facing the country:

:01:18.:01:30.

The economy has barely grown over the last eight years,

:01:31.:01:35.

and is likely to remain the slowest in Europe.

:01:36.:01:42.

Meanwhile, public debt is around 130% of GDP.

:01:43.:01:49.

In other words, the economy doesn't sell and produce enough goods to pay

:01:50.:01:52.

That's about 2% above the Eurozone average of 9.8%.

:01:53.:01:57.

Youth unemployment is nearly among young people is almost 39%.

:01:58.:02:00.

In other words, almost four out of every ten young people

:02:01.:02:04.

The IMF estimates that Italian banks are holding around $400 billion

:02:05.:02:15.

This amounts to about one-third of all bad loans in the euro area.

:02:16.:02:25.

More than 75% of these are loans to companies.

:02:26.:02:28.

Now that we have a "No" vote, we could see the failure of up

:02:29.:02:32.

Prime Minister Matteo Renzi's bank bailout programme

:02:33.:02:35.

One-fifth of loans in the banking system are categorised as troubled.

:02:36.:02:40.

After the vote was announced, Matteo Renzi announced his

:02:41.:02:42.

resignation and said he had no regrets about

:02:43.:02:45.

TRANSLATION: Today's Italian democracy is based on a

:02:46.:03:05.

parliamentary system. We proposed to simplify the system, eliminate

:03:06.:03:07.

separate assemblies, and broaden the areas of Iraq democracy. This is the

:03:08.:03:14.

reform were brought to the referendum. -- direct democracy. I

:03:15.:03:21.

am sorry, but I do away with no regrets. We fought the good fight

:03:22.:03:26.

with passion and determination. It was obvious and evident from day

:03:27.:03:32.

one. My experience and is here. With me is Doni Imeri, a country

:03:33.:03:35.

risk analyst for IHS-Markit. It is good to see you. We heard from

:03:36.:03:44.

Matteo Renzi. He said he would resign if the result was no and he

:03:45.:03:50.

has followed through. The euro is sinking. What do you think will

:03:51.:03:56.

happen? The markets will have a mixed reaction. To some extent

:03:57.:04:01.

markets have been anticipating this. They were also anticipating

:04:02.:04:07.

containment plans from Italy and the EU. But the ECB is likely to extend

:04:08.:04:16.

its asset purchase programme so as not to repeat 2012. The main risk is

:04:17.:04:22.

to bank shares and what happens to it ali in banks. Italian banks are

:04:23.:04:26.

under considerable strength. -- Italian banks. They have to offload

:04:27.:04:35.

loans. The minimal requisite for this is political stability. It is

:04:36.:04:39.

precisely that which they might lack right now unless there is a quick

:04:40.:04:45.

caretaker government that might stabilise the situation. In terms of

:04:46.:04:50.

the Italian economy, it has been in a difficult place for quite some

:04:51.:04:55.

time, hasn't it? That is why politicians are having a tough time

:04:56.:04:58.

in Italy. Caucus through what needs to happen in the short-term to

:04:59.:05:04.

prevent, you know, a collapse of Italian banks and the economy as a

:05:05.:05:09.

whole in the EU. -- talk us through stability plan has been to have a

:05:10.:05:13.

private-sector rescue plan for the banks, creating a second market for

:05:14.:05:17.

the purchase of non-performing loans. If pressure keeps heaping on

:05:18.:05:23.

the banking sector today and in coming days, there could be a

:05:24.:05:28.

situation where the Italian government has to inject capital

:05:29.:05:31.

into the banking system to stabilise it. The private sector bailout of

:05:32.:05:38.

banks is all right, but who wants to buy from the private sector? That is

:05:39.:05:42.

the problem. Exactly. It will be much more difficult to attract

:05:43.:05:47.

investors at this particular juncture. We might have such a

:05:48.:05:54.

situation where the state has to intervene. The fallout of such an

:05:55.:05:57.

intervention would entirely depend on what they agree with the European

:05:58.:06:05.

Commission and what rules will apply and whether bond rules will have to

:06:06.:06:11.

take a hit. If they do, there has to be, they would have to be some sort

:06:12.:06:15.

of compensation scheme going on. Unless they want to avoid a surge in

:06:16.:06:20.

popularity for antiestablishment parties. Thank you for your time and

:06:21.:06:30.

giving us a sense of what we can expect in the weeks ahead. We will

:06:31.:06:36.

be looking at that later on the BBC. Join us to see how markets begin

:06:37.:06:38.

their day in Europe. The long-awaited connection

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between the Hong Kong and Shenzhen Foreign investors can now buy

:06:41.:06:43.

mainland Chinese shares in nearly Chinese investors can access

:06:44.:06:47.

Hong Kong listed companies. For the latest, let's cross over

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to Helier Cheung who's Helier Cheung is our

:06:52.:06:53.

reporter in Hong Kong. Helier Cheung, it is good to see

:06:54.:07:09.

you. Tell us how it is going. It is the first day. Tell us why the

:07:10.:07:12.

authorities have linked the two up the pillow yes. It is the first day.

:07:13.:07:18.

Earlier we had a launch which was very busy. Quite a lot of people are

:07:19.:07:25.

happy about the stock connect and some newspapers have called it an

:07:26.:07:28.

historic day. Why have they been linked out? China once to

:07:29.:07:34.

nationalise the Yuan and internationalise its markets and

:07:35.:07:37.

attract more investment. You might remember earlier this year the MSCI

:07:38.:07:42.

index decided not to include Chinese indexers. They said they were

:07:43.:07:48.

worried about access ability issues with the Chinese market. This will

:07:49.:07:52.

be seen as a step that will help combat that and improve that. On the

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Hong Kong side, Hong Kong sees itself as a link between China and

:07:59.:08:02.

the rest of the world. This morning, the Chief Executive, CY Leung, said

:08:03.:08:08.

it will connect international and national wealth. What is the

:08:09.:08:11.

interest like from outside of Hong Kong and China in what is listed in

:08:12.:08:18.

gems and? -- Shenzen. At the start of this year we were influenced by

:08:19.:08:25.

the casino-style trading in China. It is extremely volatile. Last year

:08:26.:08:31.

it plunged by 14%. The level of interest depends on who you talk to.

:08:32.:08:35.

Some feel investors will be put off by it volatility. Others say it has

:08:36.:08:44.

long-term potential. Thank you so much, Helier Cheung. Live from the

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Stock Exchange in Hong Kong. Let us squeeze in other stories.

:08:51.:08:51.

US President-Elect Donald Trump says he will impose punitive taxes on US

:08:52.:08:54.

firms that move manufacturing overseas.

:08:55.:08:56.

Mr Trump promised a 35% tax on products sold in the US by any

:08:57.:08:59.

business that fired American workers, and built

:09:00.:09:01.

Firms should be "forewarned prior to making a very expensive

:09:02.:09:05.

Mr Trump has promised to help blue-collar workers,

:09:06.:09:08.

as well as reduce taxes and regulations on businesses.

:09:09.:09:10.

Donald Trump has also strongly attacked China in a series

:09:11.:09:13.

He complained about China devaluing its currency,

:09:14.:09:16.

Last week, Mr Trump was criticised for taking a phone call

:09:17.:09:20.

from the President of Taiwan, an island the US hasn't had

:09:21.:09:23.

diplomatic ties with for almost 40 years.

:09:24.:09:30.

The US Army has decided not to allow an oil pipeline to cross under

:09:31.:09:34.

a reservoir on land it controls in North Dakota in a move

:09:35.:09:37.

The Standing Rock Sioux Tribe hailed an "historic decision" and said

:09:38.:09:41.

it was "forever grateful" to President Obama.

:09:42.:09:43.

Instead, the US Army Corps of Engineers will look

:09:44.:09:45.

at alternative routes, a statement by the campaigners said.

:09:46.:09:48.

The Sioux have been protesting since April against the pipeline

:09:49.:09:50.

That is a quick look at international business stories.

:09:51.:09:54.

The euro is at a 20 month low against the dollar. I will see you

:09:55.:09:58.

soon. Some communities in Britain

:09:59.:09:59.

are becoming increasingly divided as they become more ethnically

:10:00.:10:01.

diverse, according to a review

:10:02.:10:05.

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