14/12/2011 BBC Points West


14/12/2011

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Good evening and welcome to BBC Points West on another wet West

:00:09.:00:14.

Country night. Our headlines this evening:

:00:14.:00:18.

The deadly storms - a lorry driver dies on the M5 as the motorway was

:00:18.:00:25.

lashed by wind and hail. It was one of those moments when

:00:25.:00:28.

you drove past and felt like somebody had stabbed to in the

:00:28.:00:31.

heart because it was clear it was a bad accident.

:00:31.:00:34.

Move over for more bus lanes as millions of pounds are secured for

:00:34.:00:37.

better public transport. Preparing for the unthinkable - the

:00:37.:00:41.

emergency services stage a mock fire in a crowded nightclub.

:00:41.:00:49.

And after the hail - snow. We will have a detailed forecast on what's

:00:49.:00:56.

Police in Gloucestershire believe hail and icy conditions were major

:00:56.:01:00.

factors in a crash on the M5 last night which left a lorry driver

:01:00.:01:04.

dead. Three lorries and two cars were

:01:04.:01:08.

involved in the collision just north of Cheltenham. Tonight, more

:01:08.:01:11.

bad weather is expected and the Highways Agency is warning drivers

:01:11.:01:15.

to take extra care. Our Gloucestershire reporter Steve

:01:15.:01:23.

Knibbs is in Cirencester for us this evening.

:01:23.:01:27.

I am at a Gloucestershire highway stepper, the gritting team getting

:01:27.:01:31.

ready to run into the Cotswolds to light, reacting to this

:01:31.:01:36.

unpredictable weather. At 4pm, there was a heavy downpour of snow

:01:36.:01:41.

in some Hyde Park other county as I was driving here, difficult, slushy

:01:41.:01:44.

conditions on the road with that icy rain and temperatures just

:01:44.:01:49.

above freezing. Last night on the M5, similar conditions with driving

:01:49.:01:53.

rain and low temperatures, and then this sudden extreme weather events,

:01:53.:01:58.

a downpour of hail turning into ice which led to a collision which

:01:58.:02:02.

sadly killed a lorry driver from Bristol in the most treacherous of

:02:02.:02:04.

conditions. Conditions last night were

:02:04.:02:06.

difficult, to say the least. Near freezing temperatures and pouring

:02:06.:02:09.

rain. Because of the weather, police had already warned drivers

:02:09.:02:14.

to be careful. A sudden flash downpour of hail quickly covered

:02:14.:02:17.

the M5 at around 9.30pm. Drivers say it froze instantly and they

:02:17.:02:20.

could not even see the lane markings. One of the lorries

:02:20.:02:24.

skidded on the ice. A car stopped to help, and was hit. It is thought

:02:24.:02:31.

the Royal Mail lorry then hit the back of another truck. The driver,

:02:31.:02:34.

a 55-year-old man from Bristol, was killed. Although there will be a

:02:34.:02:36.

lengthy investigation, police say the weather conditions played a

:02:37.:02:42.

major role in the crash. weather had quite a big influence.

:02:42.:02:46.

Certainly some of the witnesses and officers at the scene described it

:02:46.:02:50.

as almost an ice rink, so we believe it to be a major factor at

:02:50.:02:57.

this moment with regard to the commission itself. -- the collision.

:02:57.:03:00.

Those who were driving past the crash last night said the driving

:03:00.:03:03.

conditions were amongst some of the worst they had seen. When we left

:03:03.:03:07.

home, it was terrible rain, we then hit Hale, it was clear it was a bad

:03:07.:03:13.

Smash. The cab was about 90 degrees to the motorway and there were a

:03:13.:03:16.

lot of firemen working on it and it was one of those moments when you

:03:16.:03:19.

drove past and felt someone had stab you in the heart because it

:03:19.:03:23.

was clear it was a very bad accident. The M5 northbound was

:03:23.:03:25.

closed for ten hours. Traffic police say they have been much

:03:25.:03:29.

busier than normal this week due to the weather. And with a risk of ice

:03:29.:03:32.

on the roads tonight, experts are warning drivers to be more cautious

:03:32.:03:36.

than normal. Helen Frost can come on suddenly and the unexpected. We

:03:36.:03:44.

are taught the two second rule, but that should be at least doubled, or

:03:44.:03:48.

10 times in icy conditions. With worse weather forecast for later in

:03:48.:03:50.

the week, the gritting teams are starting their annual battle

:03:50.:03:53.

against the ice and snow, with stockpiles of road salt at their

:03:53.:03:57.

highest level for several years. As I said earlier, the weather is

:03:57.:04:02.

catching people out, even the gritting teams. You do your best to

:04:02.:04:07.

predict these, but you are finding it difficult? We did not have a

:04:07.:04:10.

forecast of the weather that has moved across the east of the county

:04:10.:04:14.

this afternoon and into this evening. What is the plan tonight?

:04:14.:04:19.

We have had some gritters out today, late this afternoon, to deal with

:04:19.:04:25.

the hot spots, as it were, and now we have another run going out

:04:25.:04:29.

tonight across the whole of the Cotswolds to deal with the area.

:04:29.:04:33.

are hearing there is more bad weather to come in the week, is

:04:33.:04:37.

that what you are expecting? forecast at the moment is for it to

:04:37.:04:41.

get colder as the week goes on and there is the possibility of snow

:04:41.:04:45.

tomorrow night. I said in my report this is an annual battle against

:04:45.:04:50.

the elements, but you have more salt than ever before? At least

:04:50.:04:53.

2000 tonnes more than in previous years, said that should put us in a

:04:53.:04:58.

good place. Thank you. The gritting team is getting ready

:04:58.:05:02.

to go, not as early as last year, but they are doing their best

:05:02.:05:05.

against the elements that none of us seem to be able to predict at

:05:05.:05:15.
:05:15.:05:24.

the moment. Doctors treating Shrien Dewani say

:05:24.:05:27.

they are confident he will recover from the mental health problems he

:05:27.:05:29.

is facing. The Bristol businessman is accused of arranging his wife's

:05:30.:05:32.

murder while on honeymoon in South Africa. His legal team are arguing

:05:33.:05:36.

he is too ill to be sent back there to stand trial. John Maguire

:05:36.:05:38.

reports from the High Court. The Court of Appeal heard Shrien

:05:39.:05:41.

Dewani's Doctor expecting to make a recovery from his mental conditions

:05:41.:05:43.

at the moment. Both sides agree he suffers post-traumatic stress

:05:43.:05:45.

disorder and depression severely in both cases, but when there is a

:05:45.:05:48.

difference is that his legal team believes he is too ill to travel to

:05:48.:05:51.

South Africa, whereas the government there believes he should

:05:51.:05:56.

goes. Once again, the families arrived to

:05:56.:06:02.

spend another day in the same room, but with opposite hopes. This was

:06:02.:06:06.

the South African government's chance to redress the Court of

:06:06.:06:10.

Appeal, to urge it to uphold Shrien Dewani's extradition order. It is

:06:10.:06:15.

in the hands of the courts, so we will be patient. For more than a

:06:15.:06:20.

year, since Anni Dewani's honeymoon murder, families on both sides have

:06:20.:06:27.

endured so many days in court, but with their answers. We are here,

:06:27.:06:34.

the case is here, because of one beautiful girl, innocent girl, who

:06:34.:06:40.

was murdered. She was not even mentioned. It is about have.

:06:40.:06:45.

Thousands of hours have been spent finding how the South African

:06:45.:06:50.

prison system works. If that effort was made to find out what happened

:06:50.:07:00.
:07:00.:07:03.

to her, we would be more satisfied. To give us the answers we need,

:07:03.:07:11.

that is all we're asking. Anni Dewani's husband's family left,

:07:11.:07:16.

making no comment. The court were told he should recover from his

:07:16.:07:19.

mental problems, and it would be for a South African court to

:07:19.:07:23.

determine whether he is fit to stand trial there. All parties will

:07:23.:07:27.

return here on Friday, one step closer to a resolution, if not the

:07:27.:07:30.

truth. The announcement of the extra

:07:30.:07:33.

session on Friday came as something of a surprise, but it is because

:07:34.:07:38.

early this morning the judges said they want to see the latest medical

:07:38.:07:42.

reports on Shrien Dewani's position -- condition before automatic

:07:43.:07:49.

deciding whether he should stay or should go.

:07:49.:07:59.
:07:59.:08:15.

John Maguire, reporting for us earlier.

:08:15.:08:17.

A half-a-billion pound deal was finalised today for the

:08:17.:08:19.

construction of a controversial incinerator near Gloucester. It

:08:20.:08:23.

means that within a few years the West could have two giant waste-

:08:23.:08:26.

burners within 30 miles of each other as another plant is to be

:08:26.:08:29.

built close to Bristol. It, too, has faced opposition. Here is our

:08:29.:08:31.

political editor, Paul Barltrop. For years, there have been protests,

:08:32.:08:34.

petitions and marches, but efforts to stop the West getting two mass

:08:35.:08:38.

burn incinerators have now gone up in smoke. Close to junction 12 of

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the M5, campaigner Gerald Hartley shows me the land chosen by the

:08:41.:08:43.

council. It disappoints me they would choose to put a mass burning

:08:43.:08:45.

incinerator here, which would be bigger than Gloucester Cathedral.

:08:45.:08:48.

He believes it will be a blot on the landscape. It is the wrong

:08:48.:08:50.

solution for Gloucestershire tax payers. This afternoon, he watched

:08:50.:08:53.

as Gloucester councillors met to confirm the deal. It will cost �450

:08:53.:08:56.

million over the next quarter of a century. The council insist that,

:08:56.:08:59.

combined with more recycling, it makes environmental and financial

:08:59.:09:07.

sense. I am convinced this is the right way forward because there is

:09:07.:09:13.

not a viable alternative that the present time to this affordable and

:09:13.:09:17.

-- which is affordable and reliable and can offer firm guarantees on

:09:17.:09:21.

health impacts that energy-from- waste plants can. Campaigners left

:09:21.:09:24.

disappointed, aware the fight against incinerators in the West

:09:24.:09:32.

has failed twice in a fortnight. This former chemical plant on

:09:32.:09:35.

summer site is set to become a bigging incinerator, despite strong

:09:35.:09:39.

political opposition. Bristol City Council turned down a planning of

:09:39.:09:45.

the Asian ear, but the waste firm when on appeal -- turned down a

:09:45.:09:50.

planning application. They hope to start building next year. What is

:09:50.:09:53.

going looks pretty ugly. What is coming, both here and by Gloucester,

:09:53.:10:03.
:10:03.:10:04.

will, for many, be no better. It's Alex and David with you this

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Wednesday evening, with all your local news, sport and weather from

:10:07.:10:09.

the BBC. Yes, you won't want to miss Ian's

:10:09.:10:12.

forecast tonight - there's possible bad weather on the way for Friday.

:10:12.:10:14.

Coming up: Young and jobless - we meet the

:10:14.:10:16.

West teenagers who are struggling to find work.

:10:16.:10:19.

And Santa fails to deliver for the fans of Yeovil Town as their

:10:20.:10:29.
:10:30.:10:32.

Move over for a lot more bus lanes. Bristol, Bath and Weston-super-Mare

:10:32.:10:37.

have all been awarded millions of pounds to improve public transport.

:10:37.:10:41.

It is a consolation prize for the lack of a metro system, but it is

:10:41.:10:44.

being seen as a big step forward for the region's bus services.

:10:44.:10:49.

James Hassam reports. Big changes to the way we get

:10:49.:10:55.

around. At a big cost. Better bus links in Bristol. An upgrade to

:10:55.:10:58.

Weston's motorway junction. And more spaces for Bath's park-and-

:10:58.:11:04.

ride. All adding up to more than a quarter of a billion pounds of

:11:05.:11:11.

Government money heading this way. It is fantastic years, really, for

:11:11.:11:15.

the whole of the region. It means that we have got all five packages

:11:15.:11:21.

that we applied for now approved, and that really means a whole step

:11:21.:11:25.

change in transport for the Greater Bristol region. A step change that

:11:25.:11:31.

is being welcomed by business. represents not just an investment

:11:31.:11:35.

in transport and infrastructure for Bristol, which to my mind is the

:11:35.:11:39.

highest in the last 30 years I have worked here, but it also represents

:11:39.:11:42.

a tremendous boost in confidence from a government that the West of

:11:42.:11:45.

England is quite capable of delivering the kind of economic

:11:45.:11:49.

growth they think we are capable of. Of course, some have been left

:11:50.:11:52.

disappointed. In Bath, plans for a new rapid transit system were

:11:52.:11:55.

scaled back after they provoked huge opposition. Now, the

:11:55.:11:59.

Government is putting in 12 million of the more than 30 million needed

:11:59.:12:06.

for improvements. The council says it is great news, but those on the

:12:06.:12:15.

other side of the political divide are not convinced. It is party

:12:15.:12:18.

politics in the pocket, if you are a local council tax payer and look

:12:18.:12:22.

at the papers, we have the worst settlement in the country. It is a

:12:22.:12:25.

bit more than party politics. changes will start coming into

:12:25.:12:35.

effect at the end of next year. It should mean more buses on many of

:12:35.:12:37.

our roads, and potentially slower journeys for drivers, with local

:12:37.:12:41.

authorities hoping that will be the push to get more of us taking the

:12:41.:12:51.
:12:51.:12:51.

bus. The Princess Royal has been in

:12:52.:12:54.

Bristol today to formally open the city's new museum. Princess Anne

:12:54.:12:57.

took a tour of the M Shed on the Harbourside, before an official

:12:58.:13:00.

plaque unveiling ceremony at lunchtime. She has also visited St

:13:00.:13:03.

Mary Redcliffe and Temple School, and opened the new Alabare Home in

:13:03.:13:07.

Filton for ex-servicemen. You may remember that earlier this

:13:07.:13:10.

year the Government had to abandon its plan to sell off a number of

:13:10.:13:13.

our forests, including the Forest of Dean, because so many people

:13:13.:13:16.

objected. Well, now the BBC has learnt that Somerset County Council

:13:16.:13:19.

is planning to sell some woods and moorland it owns, many of which are

:13:19.:13:24.

in Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty. Ruth Bradley reports.

:13:24.:13:28.

The Quantock Hills, loved by walkers, cyclists and horse riders.

:13:28.:13:31.

Now, Somerset County Council has put nearly 2,000 acres it owns here

:13:31.:13:38.

up for sale. They are Great Wood, Custom Common and Thorncombe Hill.

:13:38.:13:43.

A mixture of woodland and open moorland. Footpaths would stay open

:13:43.:13:47.

to the public. But members of a local charity are angry at the

:13:47.:13:50.

plans. They are worried the land would not be managed properly if it

:13:50.:13:58.

was in private hands. It is for recreational benefit for the Horn

:13:58.:14:04.

of the community, and therefore it should not be private, really. You

:14:04.:14:08.

cannot put a financial value on anything and everything, some

:14:08.:14:13.

things are just for the good of the public, and I think the land on the

:14:13.:14:16.

Quantocks is. Great Wood is currently leased by the Forestry

:14:16.:14:19.

Commission, which says it is interested in buying it. But this

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could just be the start. I have also got hold of council reviews of

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37 more bits of land in the Mendips and the Blackdown Hill, as well as

:14:26.:14:29.

the Quantocks. The council says a number of them could also be sold

:14:29.:14:36.

to private owners. I think we have to understand that we are trying to

:14:36.:14:39.

reduce our liabilities as well as with -- as well as increase our

:14:39.:14:44.

income. We own lots of things that, in the stained age, we probably

:14:44.:14:50.

would not want to own, and we still have a massive debt. We are not

:14:50.:14:54.

borrowing any more money, so to get any income from the sale of these

:14:54.:14:58.

assets would help towards building the schools, for instance. People

:14:58.:15:02.

have until 23rd December to comment on the first bits of land up for

:15:02.:15:05.

sale. And campaigners are promising they will fight to keep Somerset's

:15:05.:15:12.

hills public. There are more people out of work

:15:12.:15:19.

in the West Country, according to new figures. Almost 49,000 people

:15:20.:15:23.

are now claiming jobseekers' allowance here.

:15:23.:15:25.

Young people are particularly affected, and in the Commons

:15:25.:15:27.

earlier, Labour leader Ed Miliband accused David Cameron of

:15:27.:15:31.

"betraying" a generation. All week, we are trying to see what life is

:15:31.:15:33.

like in the region's economy. Yesterday, we investigated the

:15:33.:15:35.

rising cost of living, and tonight our business correspondent, Dave

:15:35.:15:43.

Harvey, looks at unemployment. It is a big number, isn't it?

:15:43.:15:48.

48,776. That is how many people were out of work in the West

:15:48.:15:52.

Country in November and claiming benefit. It is up, but only

:15:52.:15:58.

slightly, on the previous month. Under 200 more people joined the

:15:58.:16:02.

queues at the West's job centres. A lot of numbers this week. And it is

:16:02.:16:05.

easy to forget that each one is a human being. Someone like David

:16:05.:16:15.

Hayne, looking for work in Swindon. Going to places, handing in my CV,

:16:15.:16:20.

or even walking in and begging the landlord of the pubs and stuffed

:16:20.:16:28.

full bar work. -- the landlords of the pubs for bar work. And there

:16:28.:16:31.

are a lot more people like Dave. This graph shows how unemployment

:16:31.:16:35.

has grown over the last two years. A huge increase in 2009, then it

:16:35.:16:38.

falls away as the first wave of the recession fades. But recently

:16:38.:16:40.

things have started getting tough again. Especially for young people.

:16:40.:16:42.

Nearly 8% of young people are claiming jobseekers' allowance,

:16:42.:16:47.

that is one in12. But there are some striking variations. This is

:16:47.:16:51.

Bath and North East Somerset - just 2.8%. But in Swindon, young people

:16:51.:16:57.

are really having a rough time - 8.6%. That is well over the

:16:57.:17:06.

national average. So what is going At Swindon College they are

:17:06.:17:11.

learning DIY. Teenagers on a course preparing for work. These guys are

:17:11.:17:16.

desperate, they will try anything to get a job. Walking around town,

:17:16.:17:20.

phoning different companies, sending CVs off, anything's

:17:20.:17:25.

possible, really. And there is the rub, these youngsters have already

:17:25.:17:28.

been through the course and they are still out of work. Jobs are

:17:29.:17:34.

just hard to come by. They are not there for the people who do not

:17:34.:17:37.

have the qualifications or experience, even I would struggle.

:17:37.:17:41.

Get the education one you can, while it is free, get your maths

:17:41.:17:45.

and English oak, it is important, and get work experience while you

:17:45.:17:50.

can. It is not great working for free, but you will more than likely

:17:50.:17:58.

get a job out of it. You want to work? Of this it, it is difficult...

:17:58.:18:02.

De student signed up for an employment agency. It has three

:18:02.:18:05.

times as many people on its books as before but she might get some

:18:05.:18:09.

Christmas work if she is lucky. has been quiet in November which is

:18:09.:18:13.

usually a peak period but a lot of retail clients are just starting to

:18:13.:18:18.

get into peak now, which is unusual, and they have been saying they

:18:18.:18:21.

found it tough this year. Some of them are doing the same turnover

:18:21.:18:25.

but not making the margins because they are having to be more

:18:25.:18:30.

competitive. No wonder inflation was down yesterday, as retailers

:18:30.:18:35.

cut prices to bring in the shoppers. But that means smaller profits, and

:18:35.:18:42.

fewer jobs, and more unemployment. And David is with us. Those

:18:42.:18:47.

examples were from Swindon, once a boom town, now jobs hard to come by.

:18:47.:18:54.

What 10 young people do? It is hard. The BBC website is awash with

:18:54.:18:59.

stories and advice on this, if you look on the BBC News homepage you

:18:59.:19:05.

will see a section on their call young and jobless. The advice there,

:19:05.:19:09.

whatever you do, do something, don't just sit at home, get out, do

:19:09.:19:14.

these courses, do the training, a lot of places to little courses on

:19:14.:19:19.

how to get a job. Getting work experience is difficult. A lot of

:19:19.:19:24.

kids are in the same boat, whether they have got degrees or no

:19:24.:19:27.

qualifications at all, it is across the board. The basics Greece is

:19:27.:19:33.

there are more people applying for every job so employers can be peaky.

:19:33.:19:39.

You have to put perspective on this. It is a huge increase, out of 10

:19:39.:19:45.

young people looking for work, nine of them are actually encourage, so

:19:45.:19:55.
:19:55.:19:56.

they are not all unemployed. This week, wages have gone up, in

:19:56.:20:01.

unemployment has gone down -- wages have gone down, unemployment has

:20:01.:20:07.

gone up. We had a survey this week, too. It is Christmas shopping with

:20:08.:20:10.

a difference. Around 70 firefighters were called

:20:10.:20:13.

to a nightclub in Gloucester last night where there was smoke, fire

:20:13.:20:15.

engines and crowds of people. Fortunately, though, it wasn't a

:20:15.:20:18.

real blaze but an exercise designed to test how the emergency services

:20:18.:20:28.
:20:28.:20:31.

would cope if they had to face it for real. Sabet Choudhury reports.

:20:31.:20:34.

It may not be a real situation, but there is everything here to test

:20:35.:20:37.

the firefighters' ability to deal with a major incident in a crowded

:20:38.:20:47.

nightclub. The best avenue can do for me at the moment is to stand

:20:47.:20:52.

over there. It is pandemonium and chaos. People are screaming, so

:20:52.:20:57.

whatever the operational plan is, 200 people want to divert you from

:20:57.:21:00.

it. You have to have a clear idea of your priorities and create a

:21:00.:21:05.

safe area for the firefighters to work, and then take it step by step.

:21:05.:21:08.

Inside the club, the firefighters have to wear blackout masks to

:21:08.:21:10.

simulate thick smoke. Their vision here is impaired and their senses

:21:10.:21:15.

disorientated. But they have to inch forward to rescue the stranded

:21:15.:21:23.

clubbers. You cannot see anything at all. It is too basically mimic

:21:23.:21:28.

what you would find in a fire. You can only see in front of your eye

:21:28.:21:33.

is in a fire, and the simplest of tasks are made harder by the fact

:21:33.:21:37.

that you cannot see what is in front of you. It may all be staged,

:21:37.:21:40.

but the realism is vital for training. Some here dealt with a

:21:40.:21:48.

major fire in a warehouse in Warwickshire four years For ago.

:21:48.:21:54.

lot of us here were in that circumstance, so it is about

:21:54.:21:58.

getting them into the building and finding their way out safely,

:21:58.:22:01.

helping casualties on the way. teams here say that they learnt

:22:01.:22:04.

many lessons. Lessons that will help to save theirs and other

:22:04.:22:11.

peoples lives if this were to happen for real.

:22:11.:22:14.

Let's hope very much that it never does happen.

:22:14.:22:18.

In football, Yeovil Town have missed out on a third round FA Cup

:22:18.:22:20.

tie against Blackpool after they were knocked out by non-League

:22:20.:22:23.

Fleetwood Town. They lost their second round replay

:22:23.:22:33.
:22:33.:22:35.

last night by two goals to nil. from favourable, but Yeovil Town

:22:35.:22:39.

felt they could avoid slipping up to a side two divisions beneath

:22:39.:22:45.

them. After letting a two goal lead slip in an early tie, they could

:22:45.:22:50.

have settled this chance -- settled the nerves with this chance. And

:22:51.:22:56.

with this free kick. But it was Fleetwood who took the lead. Jamie

:22:56.:23:05.

McGuire shot past the keeper. And the fans were concerned about the -

:23:05.:23:09.

- were not concerned about falling temperatures. Yeovil had three

:23:09.:23:14.

chances to equalise but the fleet would keeper impressed once more.

:23:14.:23:18.

The manager was left to wonder why they had been more than matched by

:23:18.:23:22.

a side from the lower leagues. Desperate attempts to gain an

:23:22.:23:29.

equaliser and force extra time eluded them. As The Oval pressed,

:23:29.:23:34.

Fleetwood scored their second. Many Yeovil Town fans left early, but

:23:34.:23:37.

not the players, kept in by their manager long after the final

:23:37.:23:41.

whistle. So it was Yeovil who missed out, leaving Fleetwood and

:23:42.:23:51.
:23:52.:23:52.

their fans to enjoy a tie against I think we can safely blame the

:23:52.:23:59.

weather for that, otherwise they Well, we have actually had some

:23:59.:24:02.

snow in the West today. This was Peasedown St John this morning. And

:24:02.:24:05.

it was a similar picture in parts of Wiltshire and Somerset. A little

:24:05.:24:10.

scattering there. And tonight listeners to BBC Gloucestershire

:24:10.:24:16.

have been reporting snow showers there.

:24:16.:24:19.

Ian is here with a full forecast. There has been a lot of confusion

:24:20.:24:25.

over the next couple of days? Uncertainty is the key word to this,

:24:25.:24:29.

and there will continue to be until we get up to the wire. Events will

:24:29.:24:33.

start to develop on Thursday night into Friday. A complex forecasting

:24:33.:24:38.

situation. Having said that, the bulk of tomorrow is straightforward,

:24:38.:24:42.

there will be more showers, some of those wintry, and then some heavy

:24:43.:24:46.

rain, strengthening winds late on and the threat of snow to was

:24:46.:24:51.

Friday morning. The reason is this developing area of low pressure,

:24:51.:24:56.

very potent Atlantic storm, and if we watched his extensive cloud head

:24:56.:25:00.

developing as it sweeps its way in, it has an ominous look to it.

:25:00.:25:05.

Hidden below that is the area of low pressure, which is starting to

:25:05.:25:11.

become more developed with time. It will race towards us on Thursday,

:25:11.:25:14.

and then explicitly develops as it approaches the British Isles. We

:25:14.:25:21.

expect the worst of the winds, the damaging winds, to be in that -- to

:25:21.:25:25.

be in France, but that does not mean the South will escape. The

:25:25.:25:29.

threat of snow into Friday morning as well, and heavy rain before that.

:25:29.:25:33.

Two scenarios for where the storm will get. The most favoured, pretty

:25:33.:25:39.

much across our district, with most of the heavy rain, the worst of the

:25:39.:25:43.

winds further to the south, but the threat of flowers. A second

:25:43.:25:47.

scenario, less chance, takes it further northwards, meaning the

:25:47.:25:50.

south-east could be dire by Friday morning if not before and we still

:25:50.:25:54.

have a risk of rain and snow. Either way, we have to wait up to

:25:54.:25:59.

the wire to see what happens. Tonight, we continue as through

:25:59.:26:03.

today. Further showers, some giving further snow over the Cotswolds and

:26:03.:26:08.

other high ground in the West Country. It could be less as you

:26:08.:26:11.

come further southward and we will have the threat of ice as well.

:26:11.:26:21.
:26:21.:26:22.

Winds will pick up through the night. Temperatures down 1-three

:26:23.:26:32.

Celsius, hence the threat of ice. Further showers across western

:26:32.:26:36.

Somerset, some of those tracking eastwards. Then a law before we

:26:36.:26:40.

start to import that storm feature which will make inroads in its

:26:40.:26:44.

approach by the end of Thursday evening. It will turn progressively

:26:44.:26:47.

wetter and windier for all of us, that is how the day will end.

:26:47.:26:53.

Temperatures about six or seven Celsius. Fairly academic, because

:26:53.:26:58.

on Friday morning it is wet to start off, look how the wind

:26:58.:27:02.

changes direction. Cold and northerly digging in at about 5,

:27:02.:27:07.

6am in the morning. That is when we get the threat of snow. These are

:27:07.:27:12.

just ballpark figures. Less chance further to the west, the M4

:27:12.:27:17.

corridor could be difficult towards London. Exactly how far west and

:27:17.:27:24.

south this no expense, very much open to doubt. Keep an eye on the

:27:24.:27:30.

forecast -- how far west and south of the snow extends, open to doubt.

:27:30.:27:34.

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