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Hello. Thanks for tuning in. | 0:00:03 | 0:00:05 | |
Quite a bit happening on the weather front over the next few days | 0:00:05 | 0:00:08 | |
and also a fair bit of uncertainty for the start of next week. | 0:00:08 | 0:00:10 | |
In the short term, we're fairly confident | 0:00:10 | 0:00:13 | |
this weekend is just going to be pretty cloudy for most of us, | 0:00:13 | 0:00:15 | |
quite windy, too, and there's some rain in the forecast as well. | 0:00:15 | 0:00:19 | |
Now, this is the big view across the Atlantic. | 0:00:19 | 0:00:21 | |
There's a big ribbon of cloud stretching across the ocean here | 0:00:21 | 0:00:25 | |
and for us it means a pretty overcast weekend | 0:00:25 | 0:00:28 | |
with bits and pieces of rain. | 0:00:28 | 0:00:30 | |
Now, there's a weather front draped across the Atlantic, | 0:00:30 | 0:00:32 | |
looks a bit like bunting stretching from the UK | 0:00:32 | 0:00:34 | |
right across the North Atlantic to just south of Newfoundland here. | 0:00:34 | 0:00:38 | |
And this weather front separates two air masses. | 0:00:38 | 0:00:40 | |
We've got the colder air mass to the north, | 0:00:40 | 0:00:42 | |
coming all the way from Iceland and Greenland, | 0:00:42 | 0:00:45 | |
and we've got the slightly milder air - quite a bit milder, in fact - | 0:00:45 | 0:00:48 | |
coming all the way from the Azores. | 0:00:48 | 0:00:50 | |
And the UK is going to be on that border | 0:00:50 | 0:00:52 | |
between the cold and the mild air, and it means what it means. | 0:00:52 | 0:00:56 | |
So that means that across Scotland and Northern England | 0:00:56 | 0:00:59 | |
we'll have chilly conditions, there'll be some snow showers, | 0:00:59 | 0:01:01 | |
whereas in the south, significantly milder, | 0:01:01 | 0:01:04 | |
and on top of that you can see a lot of cloud | 0:01:04 | 0:01:06 | |
and bits and pieces of rain. Most of this rain | 0:01:06 | 0:01:09 | |
is actually going to be relatively light and fleeting in the wind. | 0:01:09 | 0:01:12 | |
The rain will be particularly heavy I think across the hills of Wales | 0:01:12 | 0:01:16 | |
and perhaps the north-west of England, | 0:01:16 | 0:01:18 | |
so this area here actually, through the course of Saturday and Sunday, | 0:01:18 | 0:01:21 | |
could even get a bit of local flooding. | 0:01:21 | 0:01:23 | |
The rain won't be heavy all the time, | 0:01:23 | 0:01:25 | |
it'll just keep falling in the same place, | 0:01:25 | 0:01:27 | |
because this weather pattern actually isn't shifting much. | 0:01:27 | 0:01:30 | |
It keeps coming in from the west, | 0:01:30 | 0:01:31 | |
and if you remember that imaginary line here - | 0:01:31 | 0:01:33 | |
the cold to the north, the mild to the south - | 0:01:33 | 0:01:36 | |
and here's that weather front here. | 0:01:36 | 0:01:38 | |
So that rain keeps falling on the same place over and over again, | 0:01:38 | 0:01:42 | |
hence there's that chance of a bit of flooding. | 0:01:42 | 0:01:44 | |
To the south it's cloudy and drizzly, 14 degrees, | 0:01:44 | 0:01:47 | |
maybe a bit of brightness, if we're lucky. To the north, | 0:01:47 | 0:01:50 | |
we keep that colder air, with around 5 or 6 degrees. | 0:01:50 | 0:01:52 | |
Now, early next week, the winds are going to shift in direction | 0:01:52 | 0:01:56 | |
and we'll get a shot of colder air coming in from the north. | 0:01:56 | 0:01:59 | |
Colder and drier air. So what does that mean? | 0:01:59 | 0:02:01 | |
For most of us, it means that we'll certainly feel the chill, | 0:02:01 | 0:02:04 | |
particularly on the North Sea coast with those cold northerly winds, | 0:02:04 | 0:02:07 | |
and cold enough for some wintry showers, | 0:02:07 | 0:02:10 | |
particularly across the Scottish hills | 0:02:10 | 0:02:12 | |
but also as far south as the Pennines. | 0:02:12 | 0:02:13 | |
So here's Monday. The temperatures may not look particularly low, | 0:02:13 | 0:02:16 | |
but because it's dry air, quite a strong wind, | 0:02:16 | 0:02:19 | |
it is going to feel cold. Now, here comes the uncertainty. | 0:02:19 | 0:02:22 | |
By the time we get to Tuesday, | 0:02:22 | 0:02:25 | |
we're looking at an area of low pressure approaching the UK, | 0:02:25 | 0:02:28 | |
and this is going to be a player for midweek weather. | 0:02:28 | 0:02:31 | |
Now, it looks like the area of low pressure | 0:02:31 | 0:02:33 | |
is going to go to the south. When it goes to the south, | 0:02:33 | 0:02:36 | |
we'll get weather that we'll have a look at in just a second. | 0:02:36 | 0:02:39 | |
But if it goes to the north, we'll get different weather altogether. | 0:02:39 | 0:02:43 | |
Let's have a look at this more likely track, | 0:02:43 | 0:02:45 | |
so the low decides to go towards the south. | 0:02:45 | 0:02:48 | |
What that means is it opens up colder air from the north, | 0:02:48 | 0:02:51 | |
and there is a chance of some snow across parts of the Midlands. | 0:02:51 | 0:02:55 | |
Now, if this low were to go a little bit further north, | 0:02:55 | 0:02:59 | |
we probably won't see any snow, it'll be milder. | 0:02:59 | 0:03:02 | |
But this is the more likely scenario. | 0:03:02 | 0:03:04 | |
And then once that low pressure's out of the way, | 0:03:04 | 0:03:06 | |
it does look as though eventually that milder air | 0:03:06 | 0:03:09 | |
is going to once again win and come in off the Atlantic. | 0:03:09 | 0:03:11 | |
So we're going to go a little bit up and down the hill | 0:03:11 | 0:03:13 | |
for the start of next week. | 0:03:13 | 0:03:15 | |
Let's summarise all that, cos a lot's happening. | 0:03:15 | 0:03:17 | |
Here's Monday's weather - pretty chilly, maybe some snow showers. | 0:03:17 | 0:03:20 | |
Then that risk of snow midweek | 0:03:20 | 0:03:21 | |
depending on where that area of low pressure goes, | 0:03:21 | 0:03:24 | |
and then by Friday, it does look as though things are going to turn, | 0:03:24 | 0:03:27 | |
once again, a little bit milder. Thanks for watching. | 0:03:27 | 0:03:30 |