18/04/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


18/04/2016

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After a rather wintery start to the weekend,

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things warmed up a little bit on Sunday, but this spring

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seems to be a case of one step forward and two steps back

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as we'll see in a moment.

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Not a bad start to the new working week in most places,

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although a weak weather front

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will topple its way southwards bringing some lightish showers.

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Most places, actually, will stay dry with increasing amounts

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of sunshine behind that for parts of northern England,

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Northern Ireland and Scotland through the second half of the day.

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Temperatures - 10 to 12 degrees, typically.

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There will be a blustery wind across the far north of Scotland,

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making it quite chilly here.

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Fast forward to Tuesday, a touch of frost for Scotland,

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north-east England, but here the best of the sunshine I think.

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Further south and west, more cloud around.

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But, again, just the odd lightish shower.

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Most places will once more stay dry with fairly light winds.

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It should feel pretty pleasant, I think.

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High pressure dominating the weather for the next few days.

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More or less, slap bang on top of us.

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That's going to keep the rain-bearing weather fronts at bay

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for the time being.

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High pressure, more often than not, translates into dry weather.

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So, for the next few days, I'm pretty optimistic

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that in the sunshine it should feel pretty pleasant.

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Although, overnight, where the skies are clear,

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it will be quite chilly

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with an ongoing risk of a frost in some rural areas.

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Let me show you a chart for Wednesday.

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You can see most places dry, having a nice day.

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Increasingly breezy and cloudy across southern counties.

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But the rain will hold off and again temperatures slowly creeping up.

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Mid teens in a good few places.

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From Wednesday into Thursday, we've got to keep our eye

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on this approaching weather front from the south,

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with an increasing chance of some showery rain

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initially across the more south-western parts of England.

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Again, quite a blustery wind here. Most other places,

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though, having another fine day with sunshine

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and 15, maybe 16 or 17 degrees in the best of the sunshine,

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with some shelter from that wind.

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As we go from Thursday into Friday, it does look as if this front

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will edge up into southern and perhaps some central parts

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of England and Wales.

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It could end up a wet day here,

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whereas the further north it stays drier,

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but the winds beginning to come down from the north

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and the temperatures beginning to slide down as well.

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That is a sign of things to come.

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As we approach the weekend, this front turns around

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and heads back southwards again.

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We look to the north, this is an Arctic front, coming down -

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as the name implies, from the Arctic -

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turning showers across Scotland to sleet and snow.

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We're going to see another plunge of blue.

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Yes, the blue coming down from the Arctic,

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and it's all courtesy of a meandering jet stream.

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Whenever you get a meander, which sends warm air up over Greenland,

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we get a corresponding dip in the jet stream,

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which sends cold air down across the UK,

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and it's exactly what we're going to have next weekend.

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That sort of pattern is going to persist into the early

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part of next week as well.

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And with low pressure in close attendance,

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that does give the risk of some wintery showers

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and some of those showers could be quite heavy and possibly prolonged.

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So, yeah, the risk of some snow is a fairly wintery prospect

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through the early part of next week.

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Certainly cold, there'll be some wintery showers knocking about.

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Some sunshine, yes, but gardeners take note -

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some fairly widespread frosts at night.

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Now, how unusual is this for so late in the season, I hear you ask?

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Not that unusual.

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If you cast your minds back 35 years,

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blizzards swept across the UK.

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I'm not expecting it to get as bad as this, hopefully.

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Darren Bett will update you tomorrow.

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