19/04/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


19/04/2016

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Hello there.

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Mother Nature is going to be playing games with us over the week ahead.

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First of all, it'll start to get a bit warmer

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and then it will get noticeably colder later on.

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It's been a fairly quiet start to the week

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and after a chilly start,

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Tuesday sees more sunshine for Scotland,

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northern England, down to East Anglia

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and eventually developing

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across the south-east of England.

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Probably hanging on to more cloud though for Wales,

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the south-west and Northern Ireland

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but still a little sunshine at times.

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The winds will be much lighter in Scotland

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so it should feel warmer here

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and the highest temperature

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probably around the London area, about 15 degrees or so.

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Now, we've got high pressure

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which is sitting right over the UK on Tuesday

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and into Wednesday

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and with that high pressure building,

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it will thin the cloud,

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break it up, allow more sunshine.

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We've got more isobars on the chart

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for the south-west of England

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through the English Channel -

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that means the winds will be stronger here

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and we saw that weather front there

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approaching the north-west corner

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of Scotland to bring more cloud

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and a little rain but otherwise

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very little cloud on the chart for Wednesday.

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Lots of sunshine,

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probably feeling quite a bit warmer as well,

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widely 14, 15 degrees or so.

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So, for the next few days,

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with the high pressure over the top of us,

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there's little or no rain,

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it's probably going to get warmer around the middle

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part of the week but the nights will still be on the chilly side.

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Let's look to Thursday and, again, some sunshine,

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maybe a bit more cloud around

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but some good spells of sunshine.

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Breezy and thicker cloud

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for the far north of Scotland

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and a stronger breeze still in the south-west

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and we could see this area of rain

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beginning to develop towards the end of Thursday.

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And this signals the first change, really,

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through Thursday night and into Friday,

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this slow-moving weather front,

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around this area of low pressure,

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will slide through the Channel and bring more cloud

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and outbreaks of rain to

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southern England and South Wales.

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Elsewhere, there'll be some sunshine,

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there'll be a few showers around.

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Notice where the winds are coming from

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and with that sort of direction,

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temperatures in many places

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will be struggling to make double figures

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so it's getting colder.

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Now, that area of low pressure

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pulls away into the near continent,

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takes the rain away with it

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and if we look at the high pressure,

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it's in a different place

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by the time we get to the weekend -

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it's out in the Atlantic so around it,

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we're drawing down a northerly wind

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and that's going to draw down the air,

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possibly all the way from the Arctic

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and bring with it quite a chill

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so this is where the temperatures

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are starting to drop

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later on Friday, if not into the weekend,

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so those are the temperatures on Saturday.

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There'll be some sunshine around

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but there'll also be some showers

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and they could be of a wintry flavour,

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particularly over the hills,

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a bit like we had

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at the beginning of last weekend.

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So, this is how we're looking for the weekend

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with this wedge of cold air across the UK.

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The warmer air not far away

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but not quite far enough

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and not quite close enough to the UK.

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So it looks like it's going

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to stay cold throughout next week

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and there will be some showers.

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They could be wintry, particularly over the hills.

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Not bad when the sun is out but there's likely to be some

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night-time frost as well, that depends on the strength of the wind.

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Quite a shock to the system but it's not that unusual to get sleet

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and snow falling in April.

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This is a Met Office chart, the number of days of sleet

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and snow falling - the darker colours,

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this is where we're more likely to get it so over the hills.

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But it's interesting to note it's less likely through

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the Central Belt of Scotland, southern and most parts of England,

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mainly because there's a northerly wind,

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but also around the Fens - that's a little interesting -

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but it could be that this colder air

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and this threat of sleet and snow

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falling may continue even into May.

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Goodbye.

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