22/04/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


22/04/2016

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Hello there, as we head towards the end of April,

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we're well and truly into spring now, but the weather can be

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a little bit of tease at this time of year - on the one hand it giveth,

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and that's exactly what happened on Thursday -

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warmest day of the year so far, 20 degrees in Porthmadog,

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68 Fahrenheit, but it can also taketh away.

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And just look at next week, it's going to feel noticeably cooler,

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yes, with even a dusting of snow to the tops of higher ground.

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For the here and now, though,

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we've got some contrasting weather conditions around as well.

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Sunshine across Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland

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but a cooler feel here, and there'll be some outbreaks of rain.

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Fairly persistent across the south-west,

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light and patchy through southern England and the Midlands.

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But temperatures down on where they have been in recent days for some.

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And the reason being this colder air that's spilling in from

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the Arctic and that is going to descend further south

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as we move towards the weekend. A noticeable change in the story,

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not only for the weekend but also into next week.

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So, yes, it's going to feel colder - there will be some sunshine

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and showers, turning increasingly wintry

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and also at the same time, with clearer skies we could see

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widespread night-time frosts. So that weather front meanders its way

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slowly south, it will be slow to clear across Channel coasts

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and then a day of sunny spells. Most of the showers on Saturday

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across the North Sea coast where that brisk breeze will be

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making it feel much cooler. And to higher ground there will be

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some sleet and snow as well. But there'll also be some sunshine...

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But the difference will be the feel of the story -

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6 to 13 degrees at the very best. And as we move out of Saturday

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into Sunday, that's when we're likely to see the clearer skies

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and the frost descend across the country.

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So, it's going to be a chilly start to Sunday morning -

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lows could get down to minus 4 degrees.

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Certainly, gardeners take note and if you're taking part

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in the London Marathon, you might need a couple of extra bin bags

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for waiting on the starting line.

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And a very chilly start first thing on Sunday morning,

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with the risk of some showers.

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Now, turning increasingly wintry to lower levels in the north.

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Hail could be an issue in the south-east corner

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by the end of Sunday afternoon. As we move into Monday, again we've

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still got this cold, Arctic flow descending on us,

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with most of the showers across the north and east.

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There will be some snow falling now, even at lower levels,

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feeling quite cold here. But in a little more shelter into the west,

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perhaps not quite as bad. Now, the showers will be enhanced

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overnight into Tuesday by these troughs and that could

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leave some snow, some slushy deposits at lower levels

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first thing on Tuesday. But with a little bit of sunshine,

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it should help to thaw that quite rapidly away.

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But it's going to be a cold day. Again, the further west

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the best of the sunshine - highs 6 to 13 degrees.

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"What on earth is going on?" I hear you ask.

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Well, there's an area of low pressure

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and it's centred into the North Sea. Now, around that low,

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the winds swing in a anticlockwise direction -

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it's dragging in this colder, Arctic flow, but as we move out of

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April into the early stages of May, it looks as though this

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high pressure is set to build from the west.

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And around the high, the winds swing in a clockwise direction,

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turning back to a westerly. So, a milder direction.

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So, potentially we could be back to square one.

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It looks as though, by the early half of May there's the potential

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for something a little milder, a little drier,

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with fewer showers and certainly not wintry.

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And even, fingers crossed, back to some decent sunny spells.

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I'd like to end on a positive note, take care.

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