24/05/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


24/05/2016

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Hello. A bank holiday weekend is on the horizon, so typically,

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the weather becomes more complicated,

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more difficult to predict.

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We'll get there in a moment but we start the week with high pressure

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close to our shores, just sitting to the north of Scotland.

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Some people may argue that it is in the wrong place, particularly

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if you live down the east coast of Scotland and England,

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because the breeze is coming in off a chilly North Sea.

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Now, Tuesday should start dry and sunny for most areas.

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Temperatures rise quickly and the cloud bubbles up

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but for the most part, it is fair-weather cloud this time,

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so there'll be few, if any showers.

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So a drier day for Eastern and Central Scotland,

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fine in the sunshine, cool in the breeze.

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If there is a shower in Scotland, it's a risk in the south-west,

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possibly Northern Ireland if you are unlucky.

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A lot of showers on Monday, from the Pennines to the south-east.

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Here, Tuesday should be dry.

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There will be some sunny spells and away from the coast,

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it will be some quite warm - temperatures, 18, 19 degrees.

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Isolated showers popping up across Wales and the south-west

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but very hit and miss.

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And any that do form will fade away on Tuesday evening.

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But then there are signs of change

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because there is a lot of cloud at this stage lurking

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in the North Sea and that will be spilling its way towards the UK.

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So with more cloud around overnight it won't be as chilly

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in the countryside in particular.

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Still got high pressure close to the UK as we head into midweek.

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But there is a weather system over the near continent,

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a vortex spinning our way and it's that that is likely to bring

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much more cloud around on Wednesday.

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And maybe bring a little light rain or drizzle across eastern England,

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maybe into the Midlands.

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A lot of doubt about the area of rain that's coming in.

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But for the most part,

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it will be a cooler day on Wednesday because of more cloud.

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There will be sunshine at times in the south-west.

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Maybe Northern Ireland and across Scotland as well.

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Thursday, the outbreaks of rain or drizzle

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should be in this sort of position, leaving us with a three-way split.

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Some sunshine developing across Scotland and across the south

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where it's going to be a little bit warmer as well.

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Although there could be showers. And after cooling down with the cloud,

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it starts to warm up again towards the end of the week.

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Dry weather, fine weather with some sunshine in the north,

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however across the southern half of the UK, we are more likely

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to get some showers and they could be heavy and thundery.

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Not many isobars on the chart by the end of the week.

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Very light winds, very slack airflow.

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Higher pressure to the north keeping it dry.

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A weather front marking the boundary between the more subsided air

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across northern parts of the UK and the showery air

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which is going to pop up on Friday, heavy showers likely.

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You see the warmth, though, 21 in London,

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15 and 16 through the central belt of Scotland.

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That's Friday, then. Saturday, similar sort of vein.

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Sunny spells for most places but those showers popping off

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across England and Wales and again, they could be on the heavy side.

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So, as we head into the holiday weekend,

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we have a north-south split with some showers

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developing across the south, heavy and possibly thundery, but warm.

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And to the north, we will find sunny spells

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and largely dry weather as well.

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Looking further head, high pressure in this area,

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lower pressure to the south, and if it is sitting here,

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it allows us to draw up some air from the near continent,

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that is a warmer direction.

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But another scenario is, with high pressure still across the north,

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the lower pressure is a little further towards

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the south-east of the UK

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so that brings air from a different direction.

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It's very difficult to get the details right

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when the weather is so slow moving.

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That's enough excuses from me. See you again.

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WIND WHISTLES

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'I've had a most rare vision.'

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