02/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


02/06/2016

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Hello. So far this week, the weather pattern has been stuck in repeat,

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so many of us across the southeast have had skies like this,

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a disappointing feel across the beaches of Cleethorpes,

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only highs of 11 Celsius.

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Different story north and west -

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absolutely glorious, not a cloud in the sky in Derrylin, 23 Celsius.

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It looks as though

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the northwest seeing the best of the weather

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on Thursday, but even western fringes,

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starting off overcast,

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will see the cloud nibbled away,

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more sunshine coming through.

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On North Sea coasts, always more cloud,

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and a disappointing 11 to 13 degrees,

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but with some sun, highs of 19 Celsius.

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As we move out of Thursday,

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we could pull in more persistent rain

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across the Northern Isles.

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That will just fringe with northern Scotland

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overnight. Waiting in the North Sea,

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we could see further showery rain to come.

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So, it'll be fairly cloudy, fairly overcast.

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Friday looks likely to be quite a dull day

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with showery outbreaks of rain

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drifting their way from east to west,

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particularly in Scotland,

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sheltered fringes in the west

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seeing the best of the sunshine

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but there'll be more cloud around, I suspect,

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and not quite as warm -

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13 to 18 Celsius.

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But there's a change to come

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as we move towards the weekend.

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It's looking pretty decent.

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Mostly dry, hopefully the cloud breaking up,

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with a little more sunshine

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and, as a consequence, it will be warm.

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There's a risk of a few showers

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and that risk is most likely to be

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out to the west,

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but top temperatures likely

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of around 13 to 21 Celsius.

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On Sunday, there's a greater chance

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of more sunshine.

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The high pressure that's been influential

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this week starting to lose its grip

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across the UK, the isobars are opening up,

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lighter winds are likely on Sunday,

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and as a consequence,

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that'll help the cloud break up,

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we'll see more sunshine coming through,

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so quite a pleasant day.

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There is still the risk of disappointing temperatures

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on North Sea coasts as we keep cloud and haar,

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so west again is best,

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in terms of sunshine,

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but not bad in the southeast corner,

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but along these North Sea coasts,

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could be a little disappointing.

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Further inland, if the cloud breaks up

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and the sun comes through,

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it'll be pleasant.

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So far this week,

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we've had a very weak jet stream

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and that hasn't been influencing

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the weather. It's almost been

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reverting back on itself

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and allowing that high pressure

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across the far northwest

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to sit there, stationary,

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influencing the story.

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That's been allowing this cold

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northerly flow, dragging in cloud

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off the North Sea,

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and it's produced this real

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northwest-southeast contrast.

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But as we move towards the weekend,

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we're starting to see a change.

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We'll revert back to more of a

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mobile westerly, an area

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of low pressure comes into play

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across the southwest. That'll

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drag up some pretty humid air

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and we could see the potential

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for some thunderstorms,

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starting off in the southwest

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but then developing elsewhere.

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So, early next week, we have

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this warm, humid plume of air,

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temperatures could get

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at least into the mid-20s,

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maybe higher, but, as a consequence,

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that could spark off

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some thundery downpours as well,

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so it's not perfect weather,

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but it looks better in the southeast

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than it has been.

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