12/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


12/06/2016

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Hello. It's that time in the day where we take a look further forward

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and look at the weather trend over the next six to ten days.

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This week the trend has been to lose

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the sunshine, really,

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and the high temperatures, but we did at least see a little sunshine

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during the day on Saturday, thanks to our weather watchers in Cornwall.

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But we had some intense storms, this was in Stockport as well,

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through the latter part of the afternoon

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and the intense storms have again led to flash flooding.

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Now those storms will take a while

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to fizzle out through

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the evening, but will do overnight

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and then it's a grey and a murky picture

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to start Sunday with another weather system

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coming in, as well as

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the one we have across Scotland,

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keeping things rather damp

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and grey and murky here.

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The energy from this next weather system

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will inject more moisture

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into the atmosphere and again the risk

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of some more severe thunderstorms,

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torrential downpours

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across England and Wales,

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possibly Northern Ireland

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and the south-west of Scotland.

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Those storms again then

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through Sunday evening will tend to

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fizzle out and again

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it'll be uncomfortably close by night

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but the mist and fog returning

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and yet another band of showery rain

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coming back in for the start

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of the new week.

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So the trend for rather cloudy,

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misty, grey mornings and then

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quite showery afternoons continues

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through Sunday and into Monday.

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And that's because we've got low pressure

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sitting to the west of us

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and throwing in these weather systems

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into what is already very moist and humid air,

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so Monday looks as if we could,

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once again, have some torrential downpours,

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especially for England and Wales,

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not exclusively. Further north

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we have the remnants of the weather front.

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The far north of Scotland,

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as we've seen through Saturday

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and again on Sunday will have

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some very decent weather.

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It's fresher up here.

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That fresher air will eventually

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make its way southwards

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across the rest of the country,

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but not through Monday.

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And indeed not through Tuesday.

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That low pressure makes

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a little further progress

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eastwards during Monday night and into Tuesday.

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It's still a very slow moving

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or meandering low pressure,

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so that means a lot of our showers

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will have little winds

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surrounding them,

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so they will last a while as we've seen.

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We're just starting to feel that effect

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of the fresher air already in the north

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and the weather system with it on Tuesday.

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Elsewhere, sunny spells

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and scattered heavy showers.

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But it will start to feel a little bit fresher

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and more comfortable for sleeping by night.

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As we get towards Wednesday,

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we're starting to see that northerly wind

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affecting more areas of Scotland,

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so we'll start to feel the fresher effect here

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and hopefully it'll break up the cloud,

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but still there'll be showers in the forecast

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and still temperatures

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into the mid- to high teens,

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so although we're dropping our humidity,

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we're still achieving temperatures

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of around average for the time of year.

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And then the low pressure

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drifts into the North Sea

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and high pressure starts to encroach

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from the Atlantic

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and that's coming in for the latter part

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of the coming week,

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but for Thursday, again,

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it does look particularly unsettled -

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further spells of showery rain

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and some heavy ones.

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But that northerly breeze makes it feel fresher.

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Thereafter, as I mentioned,

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that low pressure which will be with us for much of the week

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starts to drift away and that high pressure comes in.

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That Azores high

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comes in temporarily

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because after the coming weekend,

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it looks as if that will be

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scooted out of the way

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and it looks as if the jet stream

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will once again strengthen.

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The jet stream, remember,

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the upper winds that drive in the low pressures across the Atlantic.

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It does look as if things will become

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what we call more mobile again.

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So further weather systems,

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bringing showers or indeed longer spells of rain,

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which is pretty much

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how this week is shaping up,

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although it will feel fresher,

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a little bit cooler by night,

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between those showers

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and we will have that drier period

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very briefly before it turns

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much more unsettled

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once again

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after the following weekend.

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