29/10/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

It's been a good week for getting out and enjoying the autumn colours,

especially where you've been lucky enough to see occasional sunshine.

Lovely view from one of our Weather Watchers on Friday

in the grounds of Blenheim Palace in Oxfordshire.

Beautiful colours on show.

And each day this week, if you've had a bit of sunshine,

temperatures have been as high as around 18 Celsius.

Of course, that's well above average for this stage of October.

And the mild weather will stay with us through the weekend

into the very first part of next week.

The air is coming around this area of high pressure

from the west, south-west.

It is bringing quite a lot moisture our way through the weekend,

and it's not necessarily in the way of rain,

but plenty of cloud coming our way,

so sunshine will be harder to come by.

The colours show the type of air, the air mass,

the temperature of the air rather than the sunshine on offer.

The blue's indicating the colder air

to the north and north-west of the UK,

and it looks like some of this will filter southwards

across the UK next week,

and we'll look at that in just a moment.

First of all, though, let's take you through the weekend weather.

A foggy start in places on Saturday morning, hill fog in the west,

low-level fog patches elsewhere in England and Wales.

Western hills throughout the weekend

could see some occasional drizzle at times.

East is best, or most favoured,

for the chance of getting a bit of sunshine occasionally.

Probably going to see the highest temperatures too.

It's on the mild side wherever you are, and light winds as well.

Now, there is a weather front approaching from the Atlantic

as we go through Saturday night and into Sunday.

What that means for Northern Ireland and Scotland,

a bit of a change,

there will be some outbreaks of rain around,

patchy in nature, coming and going, not all of us will see them,

but there's potential for seeing some heavier bursts.

But we're more likely to see in the way of sunshine

reaching parts of south-east England on Sunday.

Sunday is Diwali, the festival of light.

Sunset, an hour earlier on Sunday,

which probably suits a festival of lights.

Don't forget, of course, the clocks going back on Saturday night

to lead to that early sunset.

And then on Monday, we're still watching this weather front

to the north-west of the UK.

It's behind that we're eventually going to see

some cooler air filtering in.

Not moving very much on Monday, so it looks like

Scotland and Northern Ireland close to that.

Again, some of us will see some outbreaks of rain.

But for parts of England and Wales,

a slightly sunnier picture than we had over the weekend.

Now, into Tuesday,

our weather front is beginning to slip its way southwards.

Of course, with that, there will be cloud

and some outbreaks of rain, but probably patchy in nature.

But across the northern half of the UK, notice a change?

Yes, temperatures are coming down, cooler areas filtering in.

But it's a sunnier picture too.

So the change taking place

as we go through Tuesday into Wednesday.

Dislodging the mild air,

getting something colder coming our way.

Not terribly cold, though.

It's just bringing temperatures down

closer to where we should expect them to be at this time of year,

or closer to average, if you like.

By Wednesday, the leading edge of that cooler air

somewhere in southern England,

a bit of uncertainty about how quickly it's going to clear away

and allow that cooler air to come in.

But, of course, that is the most significant change

in next week's weather.

A dip in temperatures, closer to average.

There'll be sunshine with that dip,

but also some showers around.

Perhaps wintry on the hills of Scotland,

perhaps into Northern England as well.

And a breezier picture for a time,

especially down the eastern side of the UK.

Looking a little further ahead into November,

we're expecting temperatures to be at or maybe slightly below average

during the first part of November,

but looking less likely than usual at this time of year,

deep areas of low pressure with strong winds,

which means getting out and enjoying those autumn colours.

Yeah, still looking good.