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As a mathematician, I see the world differently. | 0:00:19 | 0:00:22 | |
POOL BALLS CLICK | 0:00:22 | 0:00:24 | |
Numbers, shapes, and patterns are everywhere. | 0:00:24 | 0:00:29 | |
Together, they make up a hidden mathematical world, | 0:00:29 | 0:00:31 | |
a code that has the power to reveal the inner workings | 0:00:31 | 0:00:35 | |
of life, the universe, and everything. | 0:00:35 | 0:00:39 | |
Here in California, beekeeper Steve Godlin is taking me | 0:00:52 | 0:00:56 | |
to see one of the greatest mysteries in nature. | 0:00:56 | 0:01:00 | |
That's one of the wonders of the natural world. | 0:01:06 | 0:01:09 | |
It's beautiful! | 0:01:09 | 0:01:10 | |
-This almost looks man-made, manufactured. -Yeah. | 0:01:12 | 0:01:15 | |
It doesn't look like something from the natural world. | 0:01:15 | 0:01:18 | |
The precision, the fine straight lines they've created. | 0:01:18 | 0:01:23 | |
The bees' honeycomb is a marvel of natural engineering. | 0:01:23 | 0:01:26 | |
It's a place to raise their young, and to store their food, | 0:01:26 | 0:01:30 | |
and it's all made from wax, | 0:01:30 | 0:01:33 | |
a substance that takes a huge amount of energy | 0:01:33 | 0:01:35 | |
for them to produce. | 0:01:35 | 0:01:38 | |
Every cell is identical. | 0:01:40 | 0:01:42 | |
Six walls, all the same length, | 0:01:42 | 0:01:46 | |
meeting at exactly 120 degrees. | 0:01:46 | 0:01:50 | |
The cross section is a perfect six-sided polygon, | 0:01:50 | 0:01:54 | |
the hexagon. | 0:01:54 | 0:01:56 | |
With a myriad of natural shapes to choose from, | 0:01:57 | 0:02:00 | |
why have the bees selected | 0:02:00 | 0:02:02 | |
this complex geometric structure? | 0:02:02 | 0:02:05 | |
The answer comes from the bees' need to economise. | 0:02:07 | 0:02:12 | |
The problem they have to solve is how to create their comb, | 0:02:20 | 0:02:24 | |
using as little precious wax as possible. | 0:02:24 | 0:02:26 | |
If they want to produce a network of regular shapes, | 0:02:28 | 0:02:31 | |
which fit together neatly, | 0:02:31 | 0:02:34 | |
them you really only have three options. | 0:02:34 | 0:02:36 | |
You can do equilateral triangles, | 0:02:36 | 0:02:39 | |
or you could do squares, | 0:02:39 | 0:02:41 | |
or you can do the bees' hexagons. | 0:02:41 | 0:02:43 | |
But why, of those three, does the bee choose the hexagons? | 0:02:43 | 0:02:48 | |
It turns out that the triangles actually use much more wax | 0:02:48 | 0:02:53 | |
than any of the other shapes. | 0:02:53 | 0:02:55 | |
Squares are a little better. | 0:02:55 | 0:02:57 | |
But it's the hexagons that use the least amount of wax. | 0:02:57 | 0:03:00 | |
It took human mathematicians until 1999 to prove the hexagonal array | 0:03:00 | 0:03:07 | |
was the most efficient possible solution to this problem. | 0:03:07 | 0:03:10 | |
Yet, with a little help from evolution, | 0:03:12 | 0:03:15 | |
the bees worked it out for themselves millions of years ago. | 0:03:15 | 0:03:19 | |
Perfect hexagons! | 0:03:19 | 0:03:22 | |
It's easy to see why the hexagon is important to the bees. | 0:03:22 | 0:03:25 | |
But how on earth do these hard-working creatures, | 0:03:25 | 0:03:28 | |
with a brain smaller than a sesame seed, | 0:03:28 | 0:03:30 | |
create the shapes with such precision? | 0:03:30 | 0:03:34 | |
For that, we need to have a look | 0:03:34 | 0:03:37 | |
at some of the laziest structures around. | 0:03:37 | 0:03:40 | |
The soap bubble reveals something fundamental about nature. | 0:03:48 | 0:03:51 | |
It's lazy. It tries to find the most efficient shape, | 0:03:51 | 0:03:54 | |
the one using the least energy, | 0:03:54 | 0:03:56 | |
the least amount of space. | 0:03:56 | 0:03:58 | |
The sphere is one surface, no corners, infinitely symmetrical. | 0:04:00 | 0:04:04 | |
When bubbles are on their own, they always try to be spheres, | 0:04:10 | 0:04:13 | |
but when you start packing them together, their geometry changes. | 0:04:13 | 0:04:19 | |
The bubbles are incredibly dynamic. | 0:04:23 | 0:04:26 | |
They're always trying to assume the most efficient shape. | 0:04:26 | 0:04:31 | |
The one that uses the least energy. | 0:04:31 | 0:04:34 | |
But if we make each of the bubbles the same size, | 0:04:34 | 0:04:39 | |
a rather magical shape starts to appear. | 0:04:39 | 0:04:41 | |
The hexagon. | 0:04:51 | 0:04:52 | |
This leaves the bees with a very simple way to build their honeycomb. | 0:04:53 | 0:04:59 | |
All they need to do is build a cylinder of wax, | 0:04:59 | 0:05:02 | |
and nature will do the rest. | 0:05:02 | 0:05:04 | |
It's thought that the wax, warmed by their bodies, | 0:05:05 | 0:05:09 | |
pulls itself into the most efficient configuration. | 0:05:09 | 0:05:12 | |
When we see that pattern at the heart of the beehive, | 0:05:14 | 0:05:20 | |
it is, in fact, echoing some of the fundamental laws of the universe. | 0:05:20 | 0:05:24 | |
This drive to efficiency can be seen written throughout nature. | 0:05:26 | 0:05:31 | |
It's this hidden geometric force | 0:05:35 | 0:05:38 | |
that makes the world the shape it is. | 0:05:38 | 0:05:40 | |
At the heart of the mathematical world, lie numbers. | 0:06:10 | 0:06:13 | |
They give us the power to describe, measure, | 0:06:13 | 0:06:17 | |
and count everything in the universe. | 0:06:17 | 0:06:19 | |
But, numbers aren't always what they seem. | 0:06:24 | 0:06:26 | |
Take, for example, negative numbers. | 0:06:28 | 0:06:31 | |
It's impossible to trade anything, stocks, shares, currency, | 0:06:33 | 0:06:37 | |
even fish, without negative numbers. | 0:06:37 | 0:06:40 | |
Most of us are comfortable with them. | 0:06:40 | 0:06:42 | |
Even though we may not like it, | 0:06:42 | 0:06:44 | |
we understand what it means to have a negative bank balance. | 0:06:44 | 0:06:48 | |
But, when you start to think about it, | 0:06:48 | 0:06:50 | |
there's something deeply strange about negative numbers. | 0:06:50 | 0:06:53 | |
They don't seem to correspond to anything real at all. | 0:06:53 | 0:06:58 | |
The deeper we look into the mathematical world of numbers, | 0:07:00 | 0:07:03 | |
the weirder it becomes. | 0:07:03 | 0:07:05 | |
It's easy to imagine one fish, | 0:07:11 | 0:07:13 | |
or two fish, | 0:07:13 | 0:07:15 | |
or no fish at all. | 0:07:15 | 0:07:16 | |
It's much harder to imagine what minus one fish looks like. | 0:07:16 | 0:07:21 | |
Negative numbers are so odd that, if I have minus one fish, | 0:07:21 | 0:07:24 | |
and you give me a fish, | 0:07:24 | 0:07:25 | |
all you can be certain of is that I've got no fish at all. | 0:07:25 | 0:07:30 | |
The strange, and powerful thing about numbers, | 0:07:32 | 0:07:36 | |
is that they can exist in the mathematical world, | 0:07:36 | 0:07:38 | |
whether or not they seem to make sense in the real world. | 0:07:38 | 0:07:42 | |
Some numbers are so strange, | 0:07:45 | 0:07:47 | |
they seem to defy even the laws of mathematics. | 0:07:47 | 0:07:51 | |
This is one of the most basic facts of mathematics. | 0:07:54 | 0:07:58 | |
A positive number, multiplied by another positive number | 0:07:58 | 0:08:01 | |
is a positive number. | 0:08:01 | 0:08:03 | |
For example, one | 0:08:03 | 0:08:05 | |
times one | 0:08:05 | 0:08:07 | |
is one. | 0:08:07 | 0:08:08 | |
A negative number, multiplied by another negative number, | 0:08:08 | 0:08:12 | |
also gives a positive number. | 0:08:12 | 0:08:14 | |
Whenever the signs are the same, the product is always positive. | 0:08:14 | 0:08:20 | |
However, in the code, | 0:08:20 | 0:08:22 | |
there's a special number which breaks this rule. | 0:08:22 | 0:08:25 | |
When I multiply it by itself, it gives the answer minus one. | 0:08:25 | 0:08:29 | |
This isn't a number I can calculate. | 0:08:29 | 0:08:32 | |
I can't show you this number. | 0:08:32 | 0:08:33 | |
Nevertheless, we've given this number a name. It's called "i", | 0:08:33 | 0:08:37 | |
and it's part of a whole class of numbers called imaginary numbers. | 0:08:37 | 0:08:42 | |
Introducing these strange new numbers into mathematics | 0:08:42 | 0:08:46 | |
required an act of the imagination. | 0:08:46 | 0:08:48 | |
But, despite their strange properties, | 0:08:51 | 0:08:54 | |
they turn out to have some very practical applications. | 0:08:54 | 0:08:57 | |
Air traffic control relies on radar to track planes accurately | 0:09:08 | 0:09:11 | |
during their passage through the air. | 0:09:11 | 0:09:15 | |
Complex computation is required to decode these signals, | 0:09:15 | 0:09:19 | |
and distinguish moving objects, like planes, | 0:09:19 | 0:09:21 | |
from the stationary background. | 0:09:21 | 0:09:23 | |
CONTROL TOWER CHATTER | 0:09:23 | 0:09:25 | |
At the heart of that analysis lies i, | 0:09:26 | 0:09:30 | |
the number that cannot exist. | 0:09:30 | 0:09:32 | |
You could do these calculations with ordinary numbers. | 0:09:34 | 0:09:37 | |
But they're so cumbersome, by the time you've done the calculation, | 0:09:37 | 0:09:41 | |
the plane's moved to somewhere else. | 0:09:41 | 0:09:42 | |
Altitude 6,000, on a squawk of 7715. | 0:09:42 | 0:09:47 | |
Using imaginary numbers makes the calculation so much simpler. | 0:09:47 | 0:09:50 | |
You can track the planes in real time. | 0:09:50 | 0:09:53 | |
In fact, without them, | 0:09:53 | 0:09:54 | |
radar would be next to useless for air traffic control. | 0:09:54 | 0:09:57 | |
Although i is an imaginary number, | 0:10:03 | 0:10:05 | |
I trust my life to it, every time I get in an aeroplane. | 0:10:05 | 0:10:08 | |
As strange as it may seem, that's because even the so-called | 0:10:11 | 0:10:15 | |
imaginary bits of mathematics can be used to explain, control, | 0:10:15 | 0:10:19 | |
and accurately predict the real world. | 0:10:19 | 0:10:22 | |
You might think that catching criminals is all about | 0:10:44 | 0:10:47 | |
finding physical evidence. | 0:10:47 | 0:10:49 | |
Fingerprints, DNA. | 0:10:49 | 0:10:51 | |
But, even when these clues aren't available, | 0:10:51 | 0:10:56 | |
a mathematical fingerprint is left behind. | 0:10:56 | 0:10:59 | |
In 1888, the most notorious serial killer of all, | 0:11:02 | 0:11:06 | |
Jack the Ripper, murdered five women in London's East End. | 0:11:06 | 0:11:10 | |
He was never caught. | 0:11:10 | 0:11:12 | |
Kim Rossmo has 20 years' experience as a detective inspector, | 0:11:15 | 0:11:18 | |
and he specialises in catching serial killers. | 0:11:18 | 0:11:22 | |
Although very rare, these criminals are notoriously hard to track down, | 0:11:25 | 0:11:30 | |
because they often murder strangers | 0:11:30 | 0:11:33 | |
in locations they have no obvious connection to. | 0:11:33 | 0:11:36 | |
It's very common, | 0:11:36 | 0:11:37 | |
in the investigation of a serial murder case, | 0:11:37 | 0:11:39 | |
to have hundreds, thousands, even tens of thousands of suspects. | 0:11:39 | 0:11:43 | |
It's a needle in a haystack problem. | 0:11:43 | 0:11:45 | |
But Rossmo is no ordinary cop. | 0:11:47 | 0:11:50 | |
Because he's a brilliant mathematician, | 0:11:50 | 0:11:53 | |
and uses numbers to understand the patterns criminals leave behind. | 0:11:53 | 0:11:58 | |
There's logic in how offenders hunt the victim, | 0:11:58 | 0:12:01 | |
and where they commit the crime. | 0:12:01 | 0:12:02 | |
If we can decode that, and if we can understand that pattern, | 0:12:02 | 0:12:06 | |
we can use that information to help us focus a criminal investigation. | 0:12:06 | 0:12:09 | |
To this day, no-one has been able to identify | 0:12:09 | 0:12:13 | |
just who Jack the Ripper was, or where he lived. | 0:12:13 | 0:12:17 | |
But, based purely on the locations the murders took place, | 0:12:17 | 0:12:22 | |
Rossmo thinks he COULD have tracked him down. | 0:12:22 | 0:12:24 | |
Because he's noticed patterns in criminal behaviour | 0:12:24 | 0:12:28 | |
that are as distinctive as a fingerprint. | 0:12:28 | 0:12:31 | |
And he turned them into a mathematical formula, | 0:12:31 | 0:12:34 | |
based on probability. | 0:12:34 | 0:12:36 | |
This formula calculates the likelihood | 0:12:39 | 0:12:43 | |
that a criminal lives at a specific location, | 0:12:43 | 0:12:45 | |
based solely on where the crimes took place. | 0:12:45 | 0:12:49 | |
The first half models what's known as "the least effort principle". | 0:12:52 | 0:12:57 | |
Inherently, we're all lazy, | 0:12:57 | 0:12:58 | |
and criminals just as much as anyone else. | 0:12:58 | 0:13:01 | |
They want to accomplish their goals closer to home, | 0:13:01 | 0:13:04 | |
rather than further away. | 0:13:04 | 0:13:05 | |
The probability gradually decreases | 0:13:05 | 0:13:08 | |
the further you get from the crimes. | 0:13:08 | 0:13:10 | |
The second half of the equation | 0:13:13 | 0:13:15 | |
describes something called "the buffer zone". | 0:13:15 | 0:13:18 | |
Criminals avoid committing crimes too close to home, | 0:13:18 | 0:13:22 | |
for fear of drawing attention to themselves. | 0:13:22 | 0:13:24 | |
It's the interaction of these two behaviours | 0:13:27 | 0:13:30 | |
that allows Rossmo to calculate the most probable location | 0:13:30 | 0:13:33 | |
of the criminal's home. | 0:13:33 | 0:13:35 | |
So, naturally, I was very interested in what would happen | 0:13:36 | 0:13:40 | |
if I entered the locations of the five linked crimes | 0:13:40 | 0:13:43 | |
into the equation. | 0:13:43 | 0:13:46 | |
With a computer programme based on his formula, Rossmo is creating | 0:13:47 | 0:13:51 | |
a geographic profile to show the hotspots where the Ripper | 0:13:51 | 0:13:55 | |
was most likely to have lived. | 0:13:55 | 0:13:57 | |
It was this geographic profile that led us here, | 0:14:04 | 0:14:08 | |
to Flower & Dean Street. | 0:14:08 | 0:14:10 | |
Flower & Dean Street should have been the epicentre of their search. | 0:14:10 | 0:14:15 | |
Do you think if you'd been alive at the end of the 19th century, | 0:14:16 | 0:14:20 | |
and you'd had this equation, this guy might have been found? | 0:14:20 | 0:14:24 | |
Knowing what we know today of serial killers, | 0:14:24 | 0:14:26 | |
and with modern forensic techniques such as DNA, | 0:14:26 | 0:14:29 | |
I'm pretty sure Jack the Ripper WOULD have been caught, | 0:14:29 | 0:14:32 | |
if he was committing his crimes today. | 0:14:32 | 0:14:35 | |
We may never know the truth about Jack the Ripper, | 0:14:35 | 0:14:39 | |
but Rossmo's technique of geographic profiling | 0:14:39 | 0:14:41 | |
has been used time and time again to help police all over the world | 0:14:41 | 0:14:45 | |
narrow their search, from an entire city, to just a handful of streets. | 0:14:45 | 0:14:50 | |
And at its heart lies pure mathematics. | 0:14:54 | 0:14:57 | |
With the world's fish stocks under pressure, it's vital for us | 0:15:17 | 0:15:21 | |
to find out as much about their populations as we possibly can. | 0:15:21 | 0:15:24 | |
But with so many fish out there, it seems an impossible task. | 0:15:25 | 0:15:29 | |
Yet using mathematics, I can discover things | 0:15:30 | 0:15:33 | |
about the inhabitants of our oceans without even getting my feet wet. | 0:15:33 | 0:15:38 | |
I started fishing in Brighton in 1972. | 0:15:44 | 0:15:47 | |
Been a fisherman for 40 years, catching Dover sole. | 0:15:47 | 0:15:51 | |
That's the main target species for the English Channel. | 0:15:53 | 0:15:57 | |
Each time he goes out fishing, | 0:15:57 | 0:15:59 | |
Sam Brenchley catches Dover sole of all different shapes and sizes. | 0:15:59 | 0:16:04 | |
And by tapping into the power of mathematics, I can predict | 0:16:06 | 0:16:09 | |
a weight for the largest fish Sam has caught in his entire career. | 0:16:09 | 0:16:14 | |
All I need to do is get my hands on today's catch. | 0:16:14 | 0:16:18 | |
That's 180 grams. | 0:16:26 | 0:16:28 | |
'Even though I've only got a handful of fish, | 0:16:28 | 0:16:31 | |
'their weights will give me all the information | 0:16:31 | 0:16:34 | |
'I need for my prediction.' | 0:16:34 | 0:16:37 | |
She's back! Now using these numbers, I can calculate | 0:16:37 | 0:16:41 | |
that the largest one should be about 1.3 kg, which is roughly 3 lbs. | 0:16:41 | 0:16:48 | |
'I've not weighed a single fish anywhere near that size | 0:16:48 | 0:16:53 | |
'so let's see if I'm right.' | 0:16:53 | 0:16:55 | |
What's the largest Dover sole you've caught in your career? | 0:16:55 | 0:16:59 | |
We call them doormats, the large ones. | 0:16:59 | 0:17:02 | |
And...you maybe get four or five a season. | 0:17:02 | 0:17:05 | |
The largest I would say is 3 to 3.5 lbs. | 0:17:05 | 0:17:09 | |
It's always nice to catch big stuff, you know? Well, I think it is anyway. | 0:17:09 | 0:17:14 | |
So without ever getting my hands on one of these giant doormats, | 0:17:20 | 0:17:24 | |
just how did I work it out? | 0:17:24 | 0:17:26 | |
Now, the reason this compilation is possible is because the distribution | 0:17:27 | 0:17:32 | |
of the weights of fish, in fact the distribution of lots of things | 0:17:32 | 0:17:35 | |
like the height of people in the UK or IQ, is given by this formula. | 0:17:35 | 0:17:41 | |
This is the normal distribution equation | 0:17:42 | 0:17:46 | |
and it's one of the most important bits of mathematics | 0:17:46 | 0:17:49 | |
for understanding variation in the natural world. | 0:17:49 | 0:17:52 | |
And it describes the shape of a graph that pops up time | 0:17:52 | 0:17:56 | |
and time again throughout nature, the bell curve. | 0:17:56 | 0:18:00 | |
The area under the curve represents all the fish Sam's ever caught. | 0:18:01 | 0:18:05 | |
Most of them will be an average size. | 0:18:07 | 0:18:10 | |
The small tiddlers and large doormats are much less likely. | 0:18:10 | 0:18:14 | |
To put values to this graph, I just need two bits of information, | 0:18:16 | 0:18:20 | |
the mean shows me where the centre of the bell curve lies | 0:18:20 | 0:18:24 | |
and a standard deviation shows me the range of the weights. | 0:18:24 | 0:18:28 | |
I approximated both of these just by weighing Sam's catch. | 0:18:28 | 0:18:33 | |
Together, they allowed me to estimate values for all | 0:18:33 | 0:18:36 | |
the fish he's ever caught, from the smallest to the largest. | 0:18:36 | 0:18:40 | |
Knowing the weight of Sam's largest fish might not seem important. | 0:18:44 | 0:18:48 | |
But this technique allows us to discover things about all manner | 0:18:48 | 0:18:52 | |
of populations by measuring just a small sample. | 0:18:52 | 0:18:56 | |
And from biology to medicine and even engineering, | 0:18:58 | 0:19:01 | |
the bell curve gives us | 0:19:01 | 0:19:03 | |
the power to make predictions about our world and everything in it. | 0:19:03 | 0:19:07 | |
Right now, across the planet, people are unconsciously building | 0:19:24 | 0:19:28 | |
one of the largest databases in the world. | 0:19:28 | 0:19:31 | |
Every time we go online, | 0:19:31 | 0:19:33 | |
whether it's to check an e-mail or find something out, | 0:19:33 | 0:19:37 | |
we're all adding to an already overwhelming mass of information. | 0:19:37 | 0:19:42 | |
A random jumble of data about our inner thoughts, interests | 0:19:42 | 0:19:45 | |
and future plans. | 0:19:45 | 0:19:47 | |
Yet when we start to look closely at all this complexity, | 0:19:50 | 0:19:54 | |
surprising patterns begin to emerge... | 0:19:54 | 0:19:57 | |
..patterns that can reveal things about our future | 0:19:58 | 0:20:01 | |
and even save lives. | 0:20:01 | 0:20:03 | |
With over 91 million web searches a day, | 0:20:06 | 0:20:08 | |
Google have access to a constantly updating stream of information. | 0:20:08 | 0:20:12 | |
Our random search entries might seem useless at first | 0:20:14 | 0:20:18 | |
but they found ways to tap into this data. | 0:20:18 | 0:20:21 | |
Think of all the things people might search for on a daily basis. | 0:20:21 | 0:20:25 | |
Think of the things that YOU might search for on a daily basis. | 0:20:25 | 0:20:29 | |
You, I've searched for a couple of cities in Mexico | 0:20:29 | 0:20:32 | |
and films in Hackney today. | 0:20:32 | 0:20:34 | |
Lots of people may be searching for a similar thing, | 0:20:34 | 0:20:38 | |
movies and Hackney for example. | 0:20:38 | 0:20:40 | |
And you can see if you look at that query over the past three years, | 0:20:40 | 0:20:43 | |
what would the pattern of searches for that term look like? | 0:20:43 | 0:20:48 | |
Their researchers had a hunch | 0:20:49 | 0:20:51 | |
that if they could decode people's searches, | 0:20:51 | 0:20:53 | |
they'd be able to make predictions about the real world. | 0:20:53 | 0:20:58 | |
And they decided to test their theory | 0:20:58 | 0:21:00 | |
with the global killer influenza, | 0:21:00 | 0:21:03 | |
a virus that's responsible for hundreds of thousands | 0:21:03 | 0:21:06 | |
of deaths every year. | 0:21:06 | 0:21:08 | |
So, flu has a nice, seasonal pattern | 0:21:10 | 0:21:12 | |
and because it has that pattern every year, over many years, | 0:21:12 | 0:21:17 | |
we're able to take that trend and say | 0:21:17 | 0:21:21 | |
which search queries match that pattern. | 0:21:21 | 0:21:25 | |
Although flu tends to come back year after year, | 0:21:25 | 0:21:28 | |
it's very hard to predict exactly when and where it's going to strike. | 0:21:28 | 0:21:32 | |
If we knew, hospitals, doctors | 0:21:32 | 0:21:35 | |
and health organisations across the world could better prepare. | 0:21:35 | 0:21:40 | |
So the team analysed the pattern of every search term | 0:21:41 | 0:21:45 | |
in their database from the last five years, | 0:21:45 | 0:21:47 | |
looking for those that appeared more frequently during flu outbreaks. | 0:21:47 | 0:21:51 | |
And unsurprisingly, when people had flu, | 0:21:51 | 0:21:54 | |
there was an increase in flu-related searches. | 0:21:54 | 0:21:57 | |
So people were searching for things like symptoms | 0:21:57 | 0:22:01 | |
or medications or sore throat. | 0:22:01 | 0:22:04 | |
There are other things like complications. | 0:22:04 | 0:22:07 | |
But what no-one expected was that this correlation would be so exact. | 0:22:10 | 0:22:15 | |
Flu-related terms rose and fell perfectly in line | 0:22:15 | 0:22:19 | |
with real-life flu outbreaks. | 0:22:19 | 0:22:21 | |
There's an accurate data of flu activity based | 0:22:21 | 0:22:24 | |
on lots of people searching for these terms. | 0:22:24 | 0:22:27 | |
We were amazed by this finding. | 0:22:27 | 0:22:30 | |
This allowed them to build a model based solely on search terms | 0:22:30 | 0:22:34 | |
that could reliably detect and predict | 0:22:34 | 0:22:37 | |
the presence of flu epidemics in real time. | 0:22:37 | 0:22:39 | |
Google flu trends can spot an outbreak of flu before people | 0:22:43 | 0:22:46 | |
have even gone to the doctor. | 0:22:46 | 0:22:50 | |
Just 20 years ago, these kinds of predictions were unthinkable. | 0:22:50 | 0:22:54 | |
The data just didn't exist. | 0:22:54 | 0:22:56 | |
But flu trends proves that the vast quantity of seemingly random data | 0:22:58 | 0:23:01 | |
created by our increasingly connected lives isn't useless. | 0:23:01 | 0:23:06 | |
Using mathematics, we can make sense of it | 0:23:06 | 0:23:09 | |
and create tools with the power to save lives. | 0:23:09 | 0:23:12 | |
Mathematics reveals itself in some spectacular ways, | 0:23:34 | 0:23:38 | |
from the bees' honeycomb | 0:23:38 | 0:23:41 | |
and the hexagonal snowflake | 0:23:41 | 0:23:43 | |
to these remarkable salt crystals. | 0:23:43 | 0:23:46 | |
But these are the rare exceptions. | 0:23:49 | 0:23:52 | |
Most of the natural world is complex and seems random. | 0:23:52 | 0:23:57 | |
It's hard to believe that we could use mathematics | 0:23:57 | 0:24:01 | |
to explain all this apparent chaos. | 0:24:01 | 0:24:03 | |
But even things that look disordered like these trees | 0:24:08 | 0:24:12 | |
do have a hidden mathematical order. | 0:24:12 | 0:24:14 | |
Now the reason the tree makes this shape | 0:24:17 | 0:24:20 | |
is because it wants to maximise the amount of sunlight it gets. | 0:24:20 | 0:24:23 | |
Very clever but also very simple | 0:24:23 | 0:24:26 | |
because you just need one rule to create this shape. | 0:24:26 | 0:24:28 | |
And it's easy to demonstrate this rule using computer graphics. | 0:24:30 | 0:24:34 | |
Grow a bit, then branch. Grow a bit, then branch. | 0:24:36 | 0:24:40 | |
Repeat this one rule time and time again and before our eyes, | 0:24:41 | 0:24:46 | |
a mathematically-perfect tree appears. | 0:24:46 | 0:24:49 | |
And allow for some natural variations, different seasons, | 0:24:52 | 0:24:56 | |
the wind and occasional accidents, | 0:24:56 | 0:24:58 | |
and the result is a very real looking tree. | 0:24:58 | 0:25:02 | |
You can imagine this rule repeating itself for ever, | 0:25:06 | 0:25:09 | |
branching into infinity. | 0:25:09 | 0:25:11 | |
In the 1970s, French mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot | 0:25:16 | 0:25:20 | |
set about studying these hypnotic computer-generated patterns. | 0:25:20 | 0:25:23 | |
Just like a tree, they were created from one very simple rule, | 0:25:29 | 0:25:34 | |
set up to repeat itself time and time again. | 0:25:34 | 0:25:36 | |
But these shapes go on for ever, creating infinite complexity. | 0:25:39 | 0:25:43 | |
It's a property known as fractal. | 0:25:44 | 0:25:47 | |
Mandelbrot believed that fractals could be used to describe | 0:25:49 | 0:25:52 | |
many of the seemingly random shapes we see in the natural world. | 0:25:52 | 0:25:56 | |
And the most powerful demonstration of that belief | 0:26:00 | 0:26:03 | |
comes not from mathematics or nature but from the world of make-believe. | 0:26:03 | 0:26:08 | |
Over 30 years ago, Loren Carpenter made it two minute film | 0:26:11 | 0:26:16 | |
that would revolutionise the world of animation. | 0:26:16 | 0:26:19 | |
This is a little film I made in 1980. | 0:26:20 | 0:26:23 | |
The landscape is constructed by me, by hand, of about 100 big triangles. | 0:26:23 | 0:26:28 | |
-That doesn't look very natural. -No, it's very pyramid-like. | 0:26:28 | 0:26:31 | |
What we're going to do is take each of these big triangles and break it up into little triangles | 0:26:31 | 0:26:36 | |
and break those little triangles up into littler triangles. | 0:26:36 | 0:26:40 | |
Until that gets down to the point where you can't see triangles any more. | 0:26:40 | 0:26:43 | |
What Loren had realised was that he could use | 0:26:43 | 0:26:46 | |
the mathematics of fractals to turn just a handful of triangles | 0:26:46 | 0:26:49 | |
into realistic virtual worlds. | 0:26:49 | 0:26:52 | |
We went from about 100 triangles to about five million. | 0:26:54 | 0:26:58 | |
We turned the fractal process loose and instantly it looks natural. | 0:27:00 | 0:27:05 | |
And here's that fractal quality, this infinite complexity at work. | 0:27:05 | 0:27:10 | |
That's exactly what I wanted, yeah. | 0:27:10 | 0:27:13 | |
By today's standards, this animation doesn't look like much | 0:27:15 | 0:27:18 | |
but in the 1980s, no-one had seen anything like it before. | 0:27:18 | 0:27:24 | |
Loren Carpenter had used fractals to revolutionise computer graphics. | 0:27:24 | 0:27:28 | |
It was because of this one short film that Loren went on to co-found | 0:27:33 | 0:27:36 | |
one of the most successful film studios in the world, Pixar. | 0:27:36 | 0:27:42 | |
This empire of cars and monsters | 0:27:45 | 0:27:48 | |
and toys, was built on the power of fractals. | 0:27:48 | 0:27:51 | |
And fractals are still used at Pixar today. | 0:27:57 | 0:28:01 | |
They create the surface of rocks, the texture of clouds | 0:28:01 | 0:28:05 | |
and bring the trees and forests alive. | 0:28:05 | 0:28:08 | |
The fact that these virtual worlds are so realistic demonstrates | 0:28:11 | 0:28:15 | |
the power of mathematics to describe the infinite complexity of nature. | 0:28:15 | 0:28:20 | |
Subtitles by Red Bee Media Ltd | 0:28:28 | 0:28:30 | |
E-mail [email protected] | 0:28:30 | 0:28:33 |