02/02/2017 100 Days

Hello and welcome to 100 days. Nothing is off the table, president

Trump warns Iran as he puts it on notice. Words for friends as well.

Australia blasted for what he calls a Domvo refugee deal. Iran is water

after flying a rustic missile but Iran hits back warning it will keep

up its ballistic missile activity and says Mr Trump is ranting.

Australia isn't happy after reports of a bad-tempered phone call with

the new US president. We are taking advantage of by every nation in the

world. It is not going to happen any more. The US military admits

civilians were likely killed during a special forces raid in Yemen, so

what went wrong? Also coming up, what does the British government

want from the Brexit negotiation? We now have a strategy document, in

white paper, that sets out in detail. And the president is praying

for better ratings, not for himself, but for the apprentice, the show

that Arnold Schwarzenegger on all fronts. Arnold Schwarzenegger to

take my place and we know how that turned out. Why don't we switch jobs

question would you take over TV, because you are an expert, I take

over your job. Hello and welcome to

One Hundred Days with me Katty Kay in Washington

and Christian Fraser in London. It's safe to say we learn a lot

about the President's foreign policy As you'd imagine, since his tweets

are so wide ranging, almost every government in the world

is on tenterhooks to see He warned that Iran has been put

on notice for firing He had this message too: "Iran

was on its last legs and ready to collapse until the US came along

and gave it a life line in the form But it is not just the old enemies

that get Trump's twitter treatment. After a bad-tempered phone call

with Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull here's the accompanying Presidential

tweet: "Do you believe it? The Obama Administration agreed

to take thousands of illegal Here's Friday's tweet: "Mexico has

taken advantage of the U.S. Massive trade deficits little

help on the very weak The world is in trouble, but we are

going to straighten it out, OK. That's what I do, I fix things.

We're going to straighten it out. Believe me, when you hear about the

tough phone calls I'm having, don't worry about it. Just don't worry

about it. We have to be tough, it is time to be tough. We are taking

advantage of by every nation in the world, it's not going to happen any

more. It's not going to happen any more. A senior Iranian official

dismissed what he described as President Trump's baseless rants.

With me now is William Cohen, who was US Secretary

Of course the Iranians are going to respond in that kind of language, it

is what we expect from Tirana when it comes to this relationship. What

do you think the White House means when the president says that nothing

is off the table and now Iran is on notice? I think it implies that

military action is a real possibility. It is not off the

table, therefore it is on the table, therefore it could be one of the

means of trying to prevent Iran from testing missiles in the future. Now,

Iran will save the missile testing complies with international law,

they have not violated that. I am not expert enough to make a

judgment, but once he issued a warning you have to take care.

Someone will call you on it. If they do then you have to take action. Do

you think this White House is seriously considering issuing that

red line that they criticised President Obama fought over Syria

and following through and taking some kind of military action against

Iran? They could. To paraphrase Henry Kissinger, he said if an idle

threat is taken seriously, that can be helpful. If a serious threat is

not taken seriously, that can be catastrophic. The question is, if

you issue a threat and don't intend to follow up with what is implied,

then you run the risk, as we saw with President Obama, Trump having a

red line and then being called on it. If he takes military action,

have the calculated how that goes up the escalator? How do you manage the

escalation of the conflict in an area that is article to the world

economy? Hopefully they have a plan for that. They have looked at the

options. In coming out with the White House press secretary and then

the president this morning, unilaterally against Iran like this,

the White House has missed an opportunity to act multilaterally,

to bring American allies on board, which has been the work we have

negotiated with Iran in the past? The president has taken the attitude

that the United States is big enough work can be big enough to take on

the world without any friends. To insult the Australian Prime

Minister, to level criticisms against Chancellor Merkel and to

compare her and put on an equal status with President Putin, he

seems to be attacking his friends, attacking everyone except President

Putin. He will find out very quickly, if you wants to take

military action he will say who is with us? Make sure you have friends

with you before you take any action. Good luck to them after. Dealing

with Iran is a nuanced thing. There are moderate forces and there are

the hardliners, the Republican guard. We have presidential

elections coming up in May. Are you worried this confrontational stance

that America is taken to push the hardliners to the forefront? I think

the hardliners have always been to the forefront. The IR GC are the

ones who control the government. They are the ones who have the

investments in the private sector. It is the Iranians guard who have

the position in front. The moderates are in the background. To stay with

this. We want to talk about another story in a second. We will get back

to you on that. We mentioned the spat between

the Australian Prime Minister, "A call cut short" is how

it is reported, though the White House have just described

it as "cordial." It seems the conversation may have

turned sour over a deal President Obama made to take in 1600

refugees from Australia. Yes most of the Australian papers

have it on their front page, the Aussie tabloids never shy

when it comes to "Allies in a war of words,

megaphone diplomacy" The Sydney Morning Herald, "Dumb

deal" quoting Mr Trump's tweet. And this Christian,

is the Daily Telegraph, which is to the point:

"Donald Thump". So, we've got a flavour

as to the how the Australians might be feeling Christian but here's

a little more of what the President's press

secretary had to say, I have a lot of respect for

Australia, I love it as a country, but we had a problem where, for

whatever reason, President Obama said they would take probably well

over 1000 illegal immigrants who were in prisons and they were going

to take them into this country and I just said why question what I just

wanted to ask that question. 1000, it could be 2000, could be more. I

said why? What is the purpose? We will see what happens. The previous

administration does something, you have to respect that, but you can

also say why are we doing this? That is when you're in the jam we are in.

With me now is Representative Marsha Blackburn, a Republican

from Tennessee and a big supporter of Mr Trump from the

Thank you for joining us. I want to pick up on the Australia question.

Whatever you think of this refugee dude that President Obama made with

the Australians, is it useful, wise, helpful for President Trump to be

taking on somebody who has been such a key ally of the United States?

There is no doubt that Australia has been a key ally of the United

States. I think it is also fair to say that this was not an agreement

that was popular with the American people. You can look at the election

results and see that. People want to make certain that the refugee issues

are addressed, absolutely. Systems, ways we can be of help, but having

refugees that are coming in without proper vetting or agreements to take

refugees in large numbers without this, the president is ready to go

back and say with a minute, with this administration, going forward

we want to look at this, we wanted to revisit it. This is not a step

the American people are wanting to take. I get at that point about this

deal, he didn't make it, he doesn't like it. The broader point is how is

America going to treat its allies? We heard Secretary Cohen talking

about the criticism of Angela Merkel. How many more allies is

president Trump going to offend because, at some point, he will need

those allies. Of course, we need our allies. One of the things we have

heard from our allies is they want to see some consistency out of the

United States. What has happened through the Obama years, especially

the last four years, our allies are saying where are you? We don't know

where you are on an issue because you have a tendency to be on all

sides of an issue. Then our enemies are saying the US is not exerting

leadership, so, therefore, we can go in and fill that void. Some

certainty, of course. That is appropriate. I will tell you also, I

think some of our allies are pleased that we are taking steps to address

the issue around lack of vetting with these refugees, because they

would like to be able to do the same thing also and, of course, you all

in the UK are fully aware of this with members of the EU. I think that

people want to see a precise nature of vetting, so we know the

individuals are, we know where they are coming from and we know their

intentions. I have to say, what I am hearing from American allies is that

they are confused and they are not clear about what is coming out of

Washington. I think that is fair. Let me get to a poll that came from

Reuters which suggests that an -- a majority of Americans, 49%, support

the immigration policy of the President, 41% do not support that

immigration policy. Dig down a little bit deeper and 56% of

Americans say that it is not right that America favour Christian

refugees over Muslim refugees. Is this getting that some inherent

sense of American religious fairness? No. I think people are

right to say anyone who is in danger and can be vetted thoroughly as a

refugee and tendency to that place of refuge, yes, and we understand

that we are a nation of laws, we are a nation of immigrants. We know

that. We appreciate that. What people want to see is that there is

fairness in the system. They want to make certain that people represent

themselves appropriately, they want to make certain that the US does all

it can do to help create safe zones in the region, to get people out of

harm's way. Because of that, I think that most people do give her what

the president is doing. There are a lot of people who are still

uncertain as to all of the changes, but I think as President Trump moves

forward, there will be more people who say yes, I agree with where he

is calling on this. I want to come back to the consistency thing,

because we get this tweet from the president today, the reports but he

cut short this call with the Australian Prime Minister to stop

the front pages in Australia, we have shown people. Then we get this

more loving feeling from President Trump if you are slicker. On top of

that, from the American side, we hear Senator McCain is running the

Australian ambassador. This is what he is saying, I asked the Australian

ambassador to Washington to convey to the people of Australia that

there are American brothers and sisters value are historic alliance.

Is it right and proper that a Republican senator asked to ring the

Australian ambassador and almost apologise on behalf of the

president? I think as we move forward you will see more

consistency. During the Obama years there were some of us who stepped

forward to apologise to allies, certainly to Israel, four steps that

were taken. There has been that inconsistency for the last eight

years, there has been the questioning as to where America

stood. We have our Secretary of State who was sworn in last night.

He is on the job as of this morning, we have a Secretary of Defense who

has headed into South East Asia. The administration is getting themselves

together. If the Senate want to see more consistency, they need to be

consistent in shoring up to vote in approving the President's cabinet.

That would be a great step for helping to make certain that you

have the Cabinet in place and that they are fully functioning. Thank

you for joining us. Some interesting lines

coming out of the Pentagon They are confirming there was a US

special forces raid in Yemen over the weekend and that an American

soldier was killed on the ground, as well as a number

of women and children. The reports in the US press this

morning suggest the mission, the first operation to be authorised

by President Trump, With me now is Nawal Al-Maghafi

from BBC Arabic, she's reported from Yemen several times,

documenting the conflict Difficult to pull everything

together, because there are different reports from what the

Pentagon is saying from what we are hearing from the ground. What is

your best guess about what happened? They don't think we can say they

didn't go to plan because I don't think there was much planning.

According to people on the ground, US Army members landed on the ground

to ambush the building which had tribal members who had been

contacting Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula. The plan was to take

their computers and the technology they had to use it for intelligence.

When they landed, tribal members were retaliating and shooting back

at the US Army. A couple of men were badly injured, one of who later

died. They retaliated, shooting back killing a number of civilians. The

people on the ground dispute strongly the information that came

out today that the tribal members were using women and children as

shields. They say that when a couple of the US Army members were shot,

they were shooting back frantically, killing everyone in the building. We

are talking about Al-Qaeda, because we are usually talking about

so-called Islamic State, but Al-Qaeda still exists there. They

save, even though it might have gone wrong, they have recorded some

information, some files or some intelligence that might help prevent

future terrorist attacks. That is what they say, but we have not seen

anything yet. They also killed a US citizen. Reports from the ground

suggest another six women were killed and another 30 civilians were

killed in the raid. It seems that it would drastically wrong. Also, one

of the helicopters was not prepared, they had no back-up. It went wrong

for the civilians on the ground, but also for the US Army members who

landed without a clear plan of what they had to do. Does this incident

heel into the bigger things going on in Yemen with the conflict, or will

they use this for propaganda? Al-Qaeda are definitely using this

for propaganda purposes. The drone war has been going on since the

Obama days. At least that was more targeted and better planned. Attacks

like this, where there is a huge civilian loss are great games for

Al-Qaeda. They swoop in and these are the people they recruit, people

who become sympathetic because of his family members. Also, people in

Yemen are extremely worried because this attack shows how he's the

President Trump's decisions can be. In light of his statement on Iran,

it has made people really worried in Yemen about what his decisions will

be in light of the war going on there. Interesting to get the

perspective from the Yemeni side. Let's bring the former secretary of

defence back in. Bill Cohen, missions go wrong, of course they

do, what do you make of what happened in this incident in Yemen?

I wouldn't make the judgment that it was President Trump, his lack of

experience or preparation of planning, if anything, I suspect

this kind of operation was in planning for some time now. You can

have faulty intelligence, things go wrong, planes helicopters crash and

you end up killing innocent people. I would assume this has been planned

for some time, at least weeks or longer. The question I have is what

is the Secretary of Defense doing to try to solidify our relationship

with the South Koreans, were President Trump has really caused

some questions, some concern about what our relationship is going to

be. The president, and I followed him on this, he is making it seem as

if the US military is a mercenary force. If you pay for us we will

send them and if you don't, they stay at home. That is not the way

America functions. We need our allies, we need to extend the

perimeter of defence around the world. We need the Australians, the

Japanese, the South Koreans, the Germans. It is important that we

build alliances and not have the notion, Australia needs is more than

we need Australia. Australia has been with us in every war since

World War I. We need them and we don't start picking out whether they

have done enough. The images that America has been taken advantage of

by every country, that is simply not true. We have two the other

countries can pay more, I have insisted on that in the past and we

should do that, but do not undermine the nature of the relationship. Do

not call it a obsolete, do not equate Angela Merkel with Vladimir

Putin. Do not do these things to jeopardise those relationships.

Thank you very much Bill Cohen. President Trump has been complaining

all week about the Democrats holding up the approval of his cabinet

but last night the senate did vote through the appointment of

Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State. Tillerson got straight down to work

today and his first job was easing concerns of his new staff,

many of whom have criticised I know this was a hotly contested

election and we do not all feel the same way about the outcome. Each of

us is entitled to the expression of our political beliefs, but we cannot

let our personal convictions overwhelm our ability to work as one

team. Change for the sake of change can be counter-productive and that

will never be my approach. But we cannot sustain ineffective

traditions over optimal outcomes. I will gather information on what

processes should be reformed and do my part to nature we are functioning

in the most productive and efficient way possible.

So, Christian, let's have a look at where we are on the rest

There are 15 executive departments, the heads

Here they all are, with Donald Trump's pick for each one.

So far, only four of these have been confirmed by the Senate

The Secretary of State, Secretary for Defence,

Secretary for Homeland Security and the Secretary of State

To put that into context, in 2009, President Obama had 10 cabinet posts

confirmed in the first week So why the delay Katty?

Is it the transition team who have not done their work properly, or are

the Democrats digging in their pieces? It depends on who you speak

to. The Republicans say Democrats are obstructionist and the Democrats

are saying these people were not feted and there are physical and

ethical concerns about them and that is why they have not been confirmed

yet. He is facing a big problem with his Education Secretary, two

Republican secretaries said they will not vote to confirm her.

One of the subject earlier and was this, take.

When I ran for President, I had to leave the show.

That's when I knew for sure I was doing it,

and they hired a big, big movie star, Arnold

Schwarzenegger, to take my place, and we know how that turned out.

The ratings went right down the tubes.

Mark will never ever bet against Trump again and I want to just pray

for Arnold, if we can, for those ratings.

And that Christian prompted this response

Donald, I've a great idea, why don't we switch jobs,

you take over TV, because you're such an expert in ratings,

and I take over your job, and then people can finally

You can pick a fight with China and Iran, but the terminator? I don't

know. You're watching One Hundred

Days from BBC News. Good evening, it has been a

turbulent day to day. Really, but particularly with the wind, it is

circulating around this massive cloud. A big area of low pressure.

This area is still giving us cause for concern, but it has been windy

today. Just ahead of this weather system of pushing it went northward

and we will see severe gales and sees such as we have seen today. In

contrast, although it is a windy day across the board, the seat looks, in

Norfolk. There will be a squeeze in those winds across Cardiff Bay and

into the east of Northern Ireland and western Scotland. The wind and

further bands of showers will, especially in the West, maintain

temperatures were above freezing, but in rural areas it could turn

cold. It is late frost free at this stage. Write to start away from the

north of Scotland. Not a bad start. The next area of rain, the low

pressure we have been watching with potential gales and severe gales is

soon upon us in the South West and Wales. It includes will spread

eastward. The northern half of the country could stay fair for most of

the afternoon. It is not as mild tomorrow. Temperatures are two or

three degrees down on today and that is important because if the rain

continues for any length of time it could turn to snow across the Welsh

mountains and further north. The wind likely to cost 250 miles an

hour again in land, 70 miles an hour along the coast and a battering for

the channel islands. There are warnings on the website. If you

cross into fronts there are ample warnings for the storm. Another low

pressure across northern fronts on Saturday, brushes into the southern

half of the UK. The other low pressure is sad across Scotland for

a more unsettled and windy day. In between it is not as mild as recent

days, but it is not a bad day. Dry and bright weather. The pressure of

meanders through the North Sea to affect East of Scotland for Sunday.

Wet and windy here. Further weather system is close to the south could

bring rain but for many parts there will be dry, bright and chilly

weather. Welcome back to 100 Days with me

Katty Kay in Washington - A reminder of tonight's top story -

Iran put "on notice" and Australia blasted for a "dumb" refugee deal -

welcome to diplomacy, Iran is warned after firing

a ballistic missile, but Tehran hit back -

promising to continue its missile activity and accusing

Mr Trump of "ranting." And coming up - as Britain begins

the formal Brexit process what move will the Scots make as many remain

committed to breaking Here in the UK the government has

just published its official policy document setting out

plans for Brexit. Yes, the Brexit bill Christian

showed you yesterday This is the strategy

document to go with it. It puts a bit more

flesh on the bones. I have been looking through it. I

would pull out the three things. The Prime Minister is keen to sort out

the future of those Europeans already here in the UK. And also

those Brits living in Europe. She wants to do that before negotiation

begins and ends. wants to do that before negotiation

begins and She wants a tapered transition period for business.

Thirdly, she is offering the lower House of Commons vote when the

negotiation has finished. If they vote against the negotiation, then

what? Do they revert to the World Trade Organisation deal? If that's

not to the satisfaction of Labour. They want to vote on the document so

they can send it back to start again. They're trying to pull over

some Conservative rebels from her site.

You might think with Britain so close to the exit

there would be a renewed appetite for independence in Scotland.

Remember that 62% of the people in Scotland voted

to remain in the European Union in last year's referendum.

But when it comes to independence from England, public opinion

So what will Scotland's First Minister and the leader

of the Scottish Nationalists, Nicola Sturgeon, do next?

Our Scotland Editor Sarah Smith has been taking a look.

Scotland voted to remain, but will have to leave the EU along with the

rest of the UK. There could be a second independence referendum.

Nicola Sturgeon said immediately she might call another vote. I think

another referendum is highly likely. Her next move is to start

preparations. I can confirm today that the independent Referendum Bill

will be published for consultation next week. Always insisting that

Scotland should not be forced to accept a hard Brexit they did not

vote for. Do we want to take control of the future of our own country in

our own hands? That is the choice for the people of Scotland. During

the 2014 independence referendum, yes voters were warned that an

independent Scotland would not be allowed to join the EU, but now it

Scotland will have to leave precisely because it is still part

of the United Kingdom. The Scottish Government has said that Scotland is

being dragged out of the EU against its will and they complain that the

Scottish Government's views are being ignored. So it is somewhat

surprising that independence polls are not shifting. Some no supporters

have changed to yes. Conversely, some yes supporters are now inclined

to vote no because they are not very keen on the EU and the actually

voted to leave. So there is a churn underneath the apparent instability.

But that leaves the debate much where it was before June 23. Nicola

Sturgeon will have to do play her next move very carefully. She argues

leaving the EU will be an economic catastrophe. She has devised a plan

she thinks could keep Scotland in the European single market, even if

the rest of the UK leads. I do not accept there is a mandate to take

any part of the UK out of the single market. Scotland could stay in the

single market even if the rest of the UK chooses to leave. When Nicola

Sturgeon presented her proposals here at her official residence in

Edinburgh, she knew it was unlikely the Prime Minister would agree to

them. But if her plan is dismissed, then she can argue that Scotland's

wishes are being ignored by the London government and use that as a

reason to ask voters to reconsider Scottish independence. Theresa May

needs to play it cautiously if she wants to keep Scotland on site. But

she insists there will not be different deals for different parts

of the UK. There are parts of the country that voted to remain and

others voted to leave. What we now do is unite behind the result of the

vote that took place. We come together as a country, we go out

there, we make a success of this. Nicola Sturgeon insists she's not

bluffing about a second independence referendum.. Theresa May knows she

is unlikely to go for it until opinion polls improve. If the SNP

call for another vote, that will be one they cannot afford to lose.

Did you know Katty that the BBC currently

Which means we send Donald Trump's message far and wide.

Yes, and that can't be easy, interpreting accurately

But one man who can tell us what is like is BBC

He's been explaining the challenge of becoming The Donald.

I don't care if they're free, I don't care if they're fair,

I don't care if there are good, I don't care if they are horrendous,

You thought Trump was hard enough to understand in English,

imagine putting his words in another language.

I find the best way to translate President Donald Trump is to become

Trump and speak his words the way he says them.

I am a journalist with the BBC's Persian TV service.

And part of my job is doing live translations of world leaders,

like the new US president, from English to Farsi.

Translating the unscripted word is what I find difficult.

I've brought in Richard Newman, the speech and body language expert,

to explain how Donald Trump often veers from subject to subject.

He's always aiming for the final punchy phrase.

He will start a sentence to reply or respond to something

and if he thinks I'm not going to get there,

he will abandon it and just shift off somewhere else.

And then think, is this going to work, now I'll abandon this

and shift off somewhere else, until he finds his final driving

message and then he'll go all the way home and always end

on a strong emotive word, which he does in his tweets.

President Trump's words can easily get lost in translation.

Being a journalist as well as a live translator, I understand how this

can have significant consequences in terms of how people

and policymakers in Iran perceive the American president.

You almost need somebody who is an actor because unless you embody

them and almost physically embody the gestures as you see the words,

the meaning is going to get lost in translation.

So for those impersonating Donald Trump, there are a few

You know when he thinks he's got it, he'll start doing this threading

the needle gesture and bashing the air, which is where he is being

precise about hitting home with a strong, hard message.

When he is dismissive, and this is where, for translating

things you might think, now I need to change my tone

because he doesn't necessarily mean this,

he will go into a palms up gesture, just like a throwaway comment.

Of course I'm going to give you all my financial statements.

It seems interpreting Donald Trump as he speaks live,

it takes more than just a straightforward word

They have translated some of my report in the past. It is

extraordinary. The other focus I have had today is on France.

Investigators have widened their investigation into allegations

facing the candidate on the right. The allegation as he paid money to

his wife for work she may never have done. Today they are looking at

allegations that his children were on the payroll when they were still

at law school. French television will show an interview from 2007. I

have never been his assistant. We both lived in Paris. We know they do

things differently, the nepotism side of this is enough in itself.

Even by French standards, giving hundreds of thousands of euros from

work you never did, is that a bit too much? I think he is in serious

problems. He has now slipped to third position. This is an election

that the centre-right should be winning. He has said if he is placed

under formal investigation he will stand aside. But there is this drug

of allegations. We are in the run-up to the election. It might be his own

side that pushes him in and. If he is out of the snow, or possibly out

of this and the Conservatives can't find another candidate in time to

get them up in the polls, everyone will look at the second round. Are

there any polls in France that show Marine Le Pen and the National Front

winning? The short answer is no. But there is that Trump effect in

France, so there are disaffected voters flocking to the side of the

National Front and she looks certain to get into the second round.

After the last year we have had, who would bet against Marine Le Pen? I

think we have to go to Paris to look at the election and Emmanuel Macron.

Thank you. Just days after deciding to cancel

a trip to a Harley-Davidson factory, President Trump has welcomed

the company's CEO on the South Lawn The chief of the giant US motorcycle

maker brought along a number of motorbikes to show off

to the president prior Vice-President Mike Pence

accompanied the president, who greeted the executives saying:

'Made in America, Harley-Davidson'.