20/06/2017 100 Days+


20/06/2017

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Hello and welcome to One Hundred Days Plus...

:00:07.:00:08.

The Governor of the Bank of England says Brexit

:00:09.:00:10.

will make people poorer. IS the government now

:00:11.:00:14.

It is not clear who has the upper hand.

:00:15.:00:23.

The Chancellor is playing the long game.

:00:24.:00:24.

The transition from Brexit must put the economy first -

:00:25.:00:27.

and provide stability for British business.

:00:28.:00:29.

But the UK's trade minister is on a mission -

:00:30.:00:32.

to convince America, Britain will be going it alone.

:00:33.:00:34.

Tomorrow when the Queen delivers the government's programme

:00:35.:00:36.

I think it's very important that we set out how we intend

:00:37.:00:42.

to deal with our trade once we leave the European Union.

:00:43.:00:47.

They are voting in Georgia in a massively expensive race that

:00:48.:00:51.

It's a small congressional election which has turned into a big

:00:52.:00:56.

Are Democrats as fired up as all those protests suggest?

:00:57.:01:03.

American student Otto Warmbier dies after being released

:01:04.:01:05.

in a coma from North Korea - top politicians say it's

:01:06.:01:08.

unacceptable but it's not clear what they can actually do

:01:09.:01:10.

Welcome to the programme - I'm Christian Fraser in London,

:01:11.:01:30.

Katty Kay is in Washington -- Is Brexit already

:01:31.:01:32.

In his annual Mansion House speech the Governor of the Bank

:01:33.:01:36.

of England Mark Carney, said price rises are now running

:01:37.:01:38.

ahead of wage growth and real incomes are falling again.

:01:39.:01:41.

Speaking alongside the governor, the Chancellor of the Exchequer

:01:42.:01:43.

Philip Hammond was making the case for a longer transition to Brexit -

:01:44.:01:46.

he wants the UK and the EU to agree a new customs' agreement under

:01:47.:01:49.

which current border arrangements would remain in place -

:01:50.:01:51.

perhaps for some years following Britain's exit.

:01:52.:01:55.

In a moment, we'll hear from the British International Trade

:01:56.:01:57.

Secretary who's trying to whip up business in the US -

:01:58.:02:00.

but first, this report from our Economics

:02:01.:02:01.

A year on from the referendum, and cars waiting in sunny

:02:02.:02:08.

Southampton for a journey to the continent of Europe.

:02:09.:02:12.

Exports to the European Union like these are a key

:02:13.:02:15.

driver of our economy, an economy that the Chancellor said

:02:16.:02:17.

would now be at the heart of those complicated Brexit negotiations.

:02:18.:02:20.

Speaking at the Mansion House in central London, Philip Hammond

:02:21.:02:24.

said without a flexible deal with the EU, the economy

:02:25.:02:27.

When the British people voted last June, they did not vote to become

:02:28.:02:35.

They did vote to leave the EU, and we will leave the EU,

:02:36.:02:44.

but it must be done in a way that works for Britain.

:02:45.:02:48.

In a way that prioritises British jobs and underpins

:02:49.:02:50.

Alongside Mr Hammond today, the Governor of the Bank of England.

:02:51.:02:58.

He said that Brexit was likely to make people poorer

:02:59.:03:01.

and that they would need to be a transition period

:03:02.:03:04.

after the completion of the Brexit process in 2019.

:03:05.:03:08.

The Monetary Policy Committee cannot prevent weaker real income growth

:03:09.:03:11.

that is likely to accompany the transition to new trading

:03:12.:03:13.

It can support households and businesses as they adjust

:03:14.:03:20.

The two great economic offices of state -

:03:21.:03:24.

here is the Bank of England, and about two miles down the road

:03:25.:03:28.

that way the Treasury, and the leaders of those two

:03:29.:03:30.

institutions, I think, came together today to make a big

:03:31.:03:33.

point about Brexit up of the economic wealth of Britain

:03:34.:03:37.

first, they both said, even if that means some sacrifices

:03:38.:03:39.

on those controversial issues of sovereignty and strict

:03:40.:03:45.

Mr Hammond and Mk Carney spoke about struggling consumers

:03:46.:03:58.

are weary of austerity, and shoppers today admitted

:03:59.:04:00.

I think things maybe are going up in price a wee bit,

:04:01.:04:07.

and obviously if wages aren't going up, people will be feeling

:04:08.:04:10.

At the moment, I haven't really seen much of a difference,

:04:11.:04:15.

there is a lot more offers and things in supermarkets.

:04:16.:04:18.

I think they have gone up, they don't match

:04:19.:04:20.

Higher prices, Brexit, the need for a good deal.

:04:21.:04:27.

There were plenty of warnings today but the economy has been far

:04:28.:04:30.

stronger than people expected since the referendum.

:04:31.:04:34.

I don't think there is any doubt that since the Brexit referendum,

:04:35.:04:37.

Now, it is a glass half full or half empty.

:04:38.:04:42.

Clearly, that has meant there is higher inflation,

:04:43.:04:45.

and that has had a knock-on effect for real incomes, but on the other

:04:46.:04:48.

hand it has been a much-needed boost to exports, we really needed that

:04:49.:04:51.

boost because the currency was overvalued.

:04:52.:04:54.

It was a day for stepping back and taking the wider

:04:55.:04:57.

An economy for consumers so uncertain, Mr Carney said

:04:58.:05:02.

there would be no interest rate rises in the near future.

:05:03.:05:07.

Sunny today, yes, but there could be more squally weather ahead.

:05:08.:05:09.

If there is this longer transition to Brexit -

:05:10.:05:16.

with the UK and EU remaining in a customs arrangement for some

:05:17.:05:19.

years - will that delay the new global trade deals Britain

:05:20.:05:22.

is hoping to strike, post Brexit. The international trade secretary

:05:23.:05:24.

Liam Fox is currently in Washington to discuss the future relationship

:05:25.:05:27.

been speaking to members of the administration about trade deals,

:05:28.:05:45.

you are now at Capitol Hill, but there is not a person in the Trump

:05:46.:05:48.

White House who does not know that Britain needs a trade deal more than

:05:49.:05:54.

the United States does. It is not a great bargaining position. We have

:05:55.:05:59.

been talking about trade between our countries and future trade policy.

:06:00.:06:03.

We are coming into this at a good time. Trade between the US and UK

:06:04.:06:08.

last year rose by 8% when global trade only rose by 1.2%. We have $1

:06:09.:06:15.

trillion worth of assets invested in our countries. The US employs about

:06:16.:06:19.

1 million people in the UK and the UK employs about 1 million people in

:06:20.:06:25.

the US. We have a good solid trade and investment relationship and our

:06:26.:06:29.

economies of -- are of similar shape. We want to get agreement in

:06:30.:06:34.

the future that will help us go down that road but it is more than just

:06:35.:06:40.

the UK and the US, it is also about how we shape the global trading

:06:41.:06:43.

environment and ensure that we have mechanisms in the future to make

:06:44.:06:47.

ourselves more agile and responsive in terms of changes in the global

:06:48.:06:53.

economy. It is pretty clear that if Britain leads the European Union

:06:54.:06:56.

without a trade deal with the United States, the country looks a lot less

:06:57.:07:00.

economically viable and everyone here knows that. Britain needs this

:07:01.:07:06.

deal more than they do. We already trade with the United States on our

:07:07.:07:09.

current rules and it would be no change. We are talking about whether

:07:10.:07:14.

we can get an even better agreement. The worst that will happen to the UK

:07:15.:07:19.

and US is that we already trade at an exceptionally high level and we

:07:20.:07:23.

hope to improve on that so there is nothing but a more optimistic

:07:24.:07:29.

picture. We have been watching Phillip Hammond today who has been

:07:30.:07:32.

making his Mansion house speech and clearly from what he is saying,

:07:33.:07:36.

there is a struggle within Cabinet about what kind of Brexit this is

:07:37.:07:41.

going to be. Can you confirm that there has been a discussion in

:07:42.:07:46.

Cabinet since the election? I do not think there is a conflict. What the

:07:47.:07:49.

Chancellor said in his speech was that we were leaving the single

:07:50.:07:52.

market and the customs union but we may need some transition time to

:07:53.:07:59.

help by businesses adapt to that. I do not think any of us have a

:08:00.:08:02.

problem with that and I think what the Chancellor has set out is

:08:03.:08:04.

actually very sensible and we need to look at the economic benefits and

:08:05.:08:07.

how we can maximise those that is exactly what we are doing in our

:08:08.:08:13.

discussions the United States. What he is talking about our customs

:08:14.:08:16.

arrangements similar to what we have at the moment within the customs

:08:17.:08:20.

union and a much longer slope, rather than this cliff edge. Does

:08:21.:08:24.

that complicated for you when you're trying to sew up these global trade

:08:25.:08:28.

deals, if we have a longer transition bound by the customs

:08:29.:08:32.

union rules? We have to discuss what sort of transition it would be and

:08:33.:08:36.

that is quite a long way off. What is clear is that we will be leaving

:08:37.:08:40.

the customs union and back gives us the opportunity to be able to do the

:08:41.:08:44.

transitional adoption of agreements that the EU already has, that the UK

:08:45.:08:50.

as a party to. It gives us the ability to make agreements with

:08:51.:08:54.

developing countries about the sort of tyrants we apply to their goats

:08:55.:08:58.

and it might help us develop their more. It enables us about the future

:08:59.:09:05.

free trading agreements. We have agreed we went to do that. What we

:09:06.:09:12.

are talking about is what sort of customs facilitation agreement there

:09:13.:09:14.

would be to ensure that we get frictionless borders and do not

:09:15.:09:21.

apply any extra costs to add a UK businesses exporting to Europe or

:09:22.:09:25.

European exporters coming to the UK. It is in the interests of everyone

:09:26.:09:29.

that we reach such an agreement. Also at Mansion House, Mark Carney

:09:30.:09:35.

was digging and he said that Brexit is already making British people

:09:36.:09:41.

poorer, because rising costs are outstripping wage growth, do you

:09:42.:09:48.

agree? There are other influences on the global economy rather than

:09:49.:09:51.

Brexit. We have seen inflation rise elsewhere and we are now seeing some

:09:52.:09:57.

increases in UK experts. That seem to follow on from the devaluation,

:09:58.:10:01.

if you look at the food and drink industry, we saw a record export

:10:02.:10:07.

last year, a 10.5% increase this year. You have to take all of these

:10:08.:10:12.

things when they are aggregated. So you mean the governor is wrong? My

:10:13.:10:15.

job is to look for the opportunities that come from Brexit, one of the

:10:16.:10:20.

reasons I campaign to leave the European Union is that I believe

:10:21.:10:23.

there are great opportunities for Britain to take advantage of these

:10:24.:10:28.

growing markets and most of the global growth will come outside

:10:29.:10:31.

Europe. We have to be able to get our share of that to increase

:10:32.:10:34.

prosperity in Britain and make it sustainable in the long run. Can you

:10:35.:10:40.

confirm that tomorrow when the Queen sets out the legislative programme

:10:41.:10:45.

that there will be a trade built with vivid? My understanding is that

:10:46.:10:49.

there will be. I think it is very important that we set out how we

:10:50.:10:53.

intend to do with our trade once we leave the European Union and clearly

:10:54.:10:57.

we have to make provision for that, to ensure there are no gaps and we

:10:58.:11:02.

give adequate protection to British business and industry in terms of

:11:03.:11:07.

the global trade remedies that we have. Rowenta make sure there are no

:11:08.:11:12.

risks being run here and that is what responsible government is

:11:13.:11:16.

about. They were keen to say that there has not been a dispute in the

:11:17.:11:21.

Cabinet over a soft or hard Brexit, but specifically on the issue of

:11:22.:11:25.

what matters more, immigration policy or economic policy, you have

:11:26.:11:29.

had Michael Gove and Phillip Hammond saying that what takes priority is

:11:30.:11:33.

the economy and business, does that mean that the people who would like

:11:34.:11:37.

to see immigration policy take priority are losing the argument?

:11:38.:11:41.

The government will have a balance that is in the best interests of the

:11:42.:11:44.

country and clearly we want to ensure that if business gets access

:11:45.:11:50.

to the Labour it needs, there is a worry that people are coming to the

:11:51.:11:54.

United Kingdom and using our public services who may not be contributing

:11:55.:11:57.

to our national wealth. That is the problem that the government will

:11:58.:12:01.

deal with and will deal with that in a reasonable weight over a period of

:12:02.:12:05.

time. Thank you very much for joining us. He did a pretty good job

:12:06.:12:12.

of being a politician and not saying anything that would get him into

:12:13.:12:15.

trouble with either side but the truth is if you listen to members of

:12:16.:12:20.

the Cabinet, there does seem to be a division merging, particularly on

:12:21.:12:24.

this balance between immigration and business. Those who would like a

:12:25.:12:28.

softer Brexit and those who would like business and the economy to

:12:29.:12:32.

take precedence seem to have been emboldened since the election. I

:12:33.:12:36.

think so. There are certainly a lively discussion going on in

:12:37.:12:40.

Cabinet and I understand that he fought very hard to avoid any delay

:12:41.:12:44.

on the trade built theme in the Queen's speech. There will be no

:12:45.:12:47.

Queen 's speech next year and he wanted it in there so that the

:12:48.:12:50.

government can prepare for trade deals outside the EU and that is an

:12:51.:12:54.

important signal that we are leaving the customs union but there are

:12:55.:12:58.

other battles being fought within Cabinet, over migration and on that

:12:59.:13:02.

transition that that answer was talking about in his Mansion house

:13:03.:13:06.

speech. I was struck by the Michael Gove comment, there is an absolute

:13:07.:13:10.

commitment from the Prime Minister of all of us in Cabinet that when it

:13:11.:13:14.

comes to shape the new migration policy, the economy comes first.

:13:15.:13:18.

That is not so subtle shift away from where they were before the

:13:19.:13:23.

election. They were talking about freedom of movement coming to an end

:13:24.:13:25.

and now they are saying that people and skills and the skills that

:13:26.:13:29.

business needs must be a priority as well. We will see on Monday how far

:13:30.:13:34.

they have shifted, because David Davis will present the government

:13:35.:13:38.

offering on citizens rights to the European Commission and we will see

:13:39.:13:42.

what is in that, what are they doing to protect rights here in Europe and

:13:43.:13:46.

also going forward, for those who want to come and work here. It will

:13:47.:13:51.

be interesting to see what Doctor Fox comes up with both here and

:13:52.:13:56.

America, Americans are looking up written differently at the moment.

:13:57.:14:00.

Conversations I have had, the fact that we are leaving the European

:14:01.:14:04.

Union does make us less valuable to our American allies, there is no

:14:05.:14:06.

question about that. Hundreds have gathered for a vigil

:14:07.:14:08.

after a terror attack Faith leaders and the head

:14:09.:14:11.

of the Met Police attended 47-year-old Darren Osborne has been

:14:12.:14:15.

held on suspicion of attempted murder and alleged terror offences

:14:16.:14:19.

after the attack in Finsbury Park. 180 families directly affected

:14:20.:14:22.

by the Grenfell tower fire in west London have been given money

:14:23.:14:24.

from an emergency fund. A public inquiry has been announced

:14:25.:14:28.

by the Prime Minister and investigations into the fire

:14:29.:14:32.

safety measures that Police have named five victims

:14:33.:14:34.

of the fire which is thought Barclays Bank and four of its former

:14:35.:14:38.

senior executives have been charged with fraud and other offences

:14:39.:14:46.

stemming The ex-chief executive,

:14:47.:14:47.

John Varley, is among those The charges concern the way Barclays

:14:48.:14:52.

raised billions of dollars from investors in Qatar

:14:53.:14:56.

during the crash. We wonder what Moscow

:14:57.:15:03.

will make of this meeting. The US President has hosted

:15:04.:15:05.

the Ukrainian President, Petro Poroshenko, at the White House

:15:06.:15:07.

where the Mr Trump was thanked It was the first face-to-face

:15:08.:15:10.

meeting between the leaders They can be certain that Vladimir

:15:11.:15:14.

Putin was watching. You know we live in crazy times

:15:15.:15:28.

when a small local election in the US attracts a whopping

:15:29.:15:31.

$56 million in campaign spending. Today's election in Georgia's 6th

:15:32.:15:33.

district has become most expensive It's also a proxy war

:15:34.:15:36.

between Democrats and Donald Trump. Here's how we got to

:15:37.:15:43.

today's mega bucks vote - The seat was occupied

:15:44.:15:45.

by Congressman Tom Price who left to join the Trump administration

:15:46.:15:48.

as health secretary. Republicans believe they can win

:15:49.:15:52.

this affluent seat that they've held since 1979.

:15:53.:15:55.

But it's close - they don't love Trump here, he only won the district

:15:56.:15:58.

by one-and-a-half points last year. The two candidates are Democratic

:15:59.:16:11.

novice Jon Ossof and Republican Our North America Correspondent Nick

:16:12.:16:14.

Bryant is in Atlanta for us. Why has this become such a big deal

:16:15.:16:29.

and how on earth is costing $56 million? If you turn on the

:16:30.:16:36.

television, you will see because every two minutes there is another

:16:37.:16:40.

political advertisement featuring either this democratic 30-year-old,

:16:41.:16:43.

this unlikely challenger, the guy who could go from long shot to big

:16:44.:16:48.

shock, Jon Ossof up against Karen Handel who is a former Georgia

:16:49.:16:54.

Secretary of State. I has it becomes all-important? Democrats here want

:16:55.:16:57.

to deliver a bloody nose to Donald Trump and that is why so much money

:16:58.:17:00.

has been poured into this race, much of it, it has to be said, from out

:17:01.:17:06.

of state. A lot of money is said to have from New York and California to

:17:07.:17:11.

try and get Jon Ossof into Congress. As you say, it is not natural Trump

:17:12.:17:16.

country, it is a Republican stronghold, this seat was

:17:17.:17:21.

represented previously by Newt Gingrich. Tom Price used to

:17:22.:17:26.

represent it as well. It was not very favourable towards Donald Trump

:17:27.:17:30.

in the last one, he only won it by over 1% of the vote, that Romney won

:17:31.:17:38.

by 23%. Last year, this district actually went for Marco Rubio. There

:17:39.:17:43.

is this feeling that his behaviour as President, the unorthodox way he

:17:44.:17:49.

carries out his daily duties in the White House has depressed that

:17:50.:17:52.

Republican vote even further. Everyone is saying that this is all

:17:53.:17:56.

about Donald Trump and if the Democrats win, it will be a sign

:17:57.:18:00.

that they can do even bigger things next year, maybe even take back the

:18:01.:18:03.

House of Representatives. During the course of this campaign, I

:18:04.:18:07.

understand that neither candidate has talked about Donald Trump very

:18:08.:18:14.

much. When I suggested to Karen Handel that this was Trump

:18:15.:18:17.

referendum, she almost bet my head of and she was very annoyed that

:18:18.:18:24.

that is the way that the media, especially the out-of-state media,

:18:25.:18:28.

has tried to present this. Jon Ossof is trying to present himself as a

:18:29.:18:33.

pragmatist, a third way Democrats, he wants to reform Obama care but

:18:34.:18:38.

not fix it, but he and in his television advertisements has made

:18:39.:18:41.

Donald Trump central to this race calling him a national

:18:42.:18:44.

embarrassment, he wants to go to Congress to hold him to account. The

:18:45.:18:50.

Trump the fact has had two distinct impacts, one is it has galvanised

:18:51.:18:55.

the Democrats. I was at their campaign headquarters on the EU vote

:18:56.:18:58.

this boat and the spirit and the energy out room was quite

:18:59.:19:02.

extraordinary and much of that was against Trump. There is a feeling

:19:03.:19:06.

that the Trump a fact has depressed the Republican vote and that is why

:19:07.:19:10.

Karen Handel is so determined to keep it on local issues and the

:19:11.:19:14.

inexperience of a candidate rather than Donald Trump in Washington.

:19:15.:19:18.

Like you say, Karen Handel is then it is not a Trump referendum but if

:19:19.:19:22.

you look at the tweets, the President is putting out, he knows

:19:23.:19:26.

how important it is for them to win it. Democrat Jon Ossof wants to

:19:27.:19:31.

raise your taxes to the highest level, he is weak on crime and

:19:32.:19:35.

security does not even live in the district, he tweeted. I wonder will

:19:36.:19:38.

he be tweeting tomorrow if they lose? They're trying to say that Jon

:19:39.:19:45.

Ossof is a carpetbagger, that he is a bit of a loony lefty and that is

:19:46.:19:48.

why he is so determined to present himself as this political centrist

:19:49.:19:56.

in a Republican stronghold. This is big reverberations, if the Democrats

:19:57.:20:00.

were to win this, it may unnerve the Republican leadership, especially

:20:01.:20:05.

ahead of the mid-term congressional leadership centre might have an

:20:06.:20:09.

impact on the move is to repeal and replace Obama can Best Obamacare.

:20:10.:20:12.

That will certainly emboldened the Democrats, real -- a real morale

:20:13.:20:20.

booster. A lot of Democrats feel they cannot win back the Senate,

:20:21.:20:24.

they are defending a lot of seats but they think they can wrestle back

:20:25.:20:29.

control of the House and that is a tantalising prospect because if they

:20:30.:20:33.

do win back the House, they win subpoena power and they would be in

:20:34.:20:36.

charge of some of those committees that have been carrying out the

:20:37.:20:41.

probes into Donald Trump and that, for them, is a tantalising prospect.

:20:42.:20:45.

Nick Bryant in Georgia. Thank you. With me now is Ron Christie -

:20:46.:20:47.

the former advisor to Thank you for coming in. At this

:20:48.:20:57.

stage is it more important for Democrats to win this to show that

:20:58.:21:01.

they are galvanised against Donald Trump or is it more important for

:21:02.:21:04.

Republicans to win it to show they can hold on seats. I think it is

:21:05.:21:08.

more import of the Democrats, they have spent a lot of money. I am so

:21:09.:21:12.

glad you agree with me. They spent a lot of money here and I find it

:21:13.:21:19.

fascinating that Jon Ossof only has 700 donors in Georgia. It has come

:21:20.:21:23.

from California, Massachusetts and New York. The Democrats are angry

:21:24.:21:28.

and looking for a way to find some way to send a message to Donald

:21:29.:21:31.

Trump and I think that is what this race is all about, 26 million

:21:32.:21:37.

dollars. They have had to near losses recently, in cancers and

:21:38.:21:40.

Montana and they really need to win Georgia. I am intrigued about how

:21:41.:21:47.

flippant you are about the cost. All the parties that the UK party spent

:21:48.:21:54.

was around ?40 million. Was never a debate in the US about what you

:21:55.:21:58.

spend? This is the sixth district of Georgia! Britain has bargain

:21:59.:22:03.

basement democracy. Cheap and cheerful. Is deliver a debate about

:22:04.:22:11.

it? I think there is a lot of discussion. You have Jon Ossof

:22:12.:22:15.

spending 26 million and the Republican contender spending about

:22:16.:22:20.

the same amount, over $50 million for a conversion are some people are

:22:21.:22:22.

scratching their heads and saying, if you're going to spend this amount

:22:23.:22:28.

of money for a district in the suburbs of Atlanta, what does this

:22:29.:22:31.

mean about reforming the amount of money spent in other elections? We

:22:32.:22:36.

have breaking news from the White House and that is the fact that we

:22:37.:22:40.

have a press briefing taking place. We have been missing it and it is

:22:41.:22:44.

Sean Spicer before he might possibly be leaving the podium, he is

:22:45.:22:48.

speaking to the press again. Right here. Keep taking your selfies. It

:22:49.:23:01.

is those who put, we have had a couple of vacancies. We have been

:23:02.:23:06.

seeking input from individuals and meeting with potential people who

:23:07.:23:09.

may be of service to the administration. I do not think that

:23:10.:23:12.

should come as a surprise but we are always looking for ways to do a

:23:13.:23:16.

better job of articulating the message of the President and his

:23:17.:23:20.

agenda and we will continue to have those discussions internally and we

:23:21.:23:22.

have an announcement we will you know. That White House briefing is

:23:23.:23:30.

over and we keep hearing the possibility of a big staff shake-up.

:23:31.:23:33.

I think he is out and from what I have been hearing is that this is

:23:34.:23:37.

the first wave of a white out shake-up. There were kick him

:23:38.:23:44.

upstairs to take the communications director job, get someone who has a

:23:45.:23:48.

less combative relationship to do the briefings. Will they keep doing

:23:49.:23:52.

press briefings? I have not known and administration who has been so

:23:53.:23:57.

camera shy. There is a value to the American public in having members of

:23:58.:24:00.

the press question the press secretary. No question. We have

:24:01.:24:05.

never seen a President like theirs, one who puts tweets out several

:24:06.:24:09.

times a day. I think the President believes he is as best press

:24:10.:24:12.

secretary and I think that is why you have seen a diminished role at

:24:13.:24:18.

the White House podium. He is need -- he will need a strong and robust

:24:19.:24:23.

communications director. The White House is saying that Mr Trump will

:24:24.:24:25.

make an announcement this week on the existence of any tapes or

:24:26.:24:30.

conversations with the former FBI director, whether those tape --

:24:31.:24:36.

tapes exist. They will need a strong man in that position. Or woman.

:24:37.:24:42.

Absolutely. No question. The notion we are talking about, recordings,

:24:43.:24:47.

tapes, up whatever he may have done, sometimes he is his own worst enemy,

:24:48.:24:53.

things come on Twitter, where he makes these comments and then you

:24:54.:24:58.

have a special counsel, investigating this administration. I

:24:59.:25:01.

think it is safe to say that this administration needs a strong man or

:25:02.:25:06.

woman at the podium as well as the communications shop, to make sure

:25:07.:25:09.

they can write this ship sooner rather than later. The real question

:25:10.:25:12.

is whether the President actually wants that would prefer to do his

:25:13.:25:18.

communications himself. Saturday Night Live are going to miss Sean

:25:19.:25:23.

Spicer. So are we! He does provide good copy. He does.

:25:24.:25:26.

You're watching One Hundred Days Plus from BBC News.

:25:27.:25:29.

Still to come for viewers on the BBC News Channel and BBC World News -

:25:30.:25:33.

another escalation - as the US accuses North Korea

:25:34.:25:35.

of murdering an American student, we'll get the thoughts of one

:25:36.:25:38.

ambassador who's negotiated with the regime.

:25:39.:25:42.

And how hot does it have to get before planes are grounded?

:25:43.:25:45.

If you're sweltering in Europe - spare a thought for America's

:25:46.:25:47.

southwest...That's still to come on 100 Days Plus, from BBC News.

:25:48.:26:09.

Today was not quite as hard as yesterday, hot enough though, lots

:26:10.:26:16.

of blue skies in many parts of the UK, a beautiful picture here from

:26:17.:26:20.

Devon. Temperatures in the South East cut up to 31, yesterday we

:26:21.:26:26.

district out at 33 degrees. A contrast on the North Sea coast, 17

:26:27.:26:31.

degrees. What will happen over the next 24 hours, the heat will peak in

:26:32.:26:34.

the south tomorrow and then we have got some thunderstorms on the way

:26:35.:26:38.

and they will mostly affect the north and south of the UK as well.

:26:39.:26:42.

Temperatures at 9pm tonight, still very hot in the south, uncomfortable

:26:43.:26:47.

going to bed, 15 degrees, a lot fresher in Newcastle around nine

:26:48.:26:53.

o'clock this evening. Tonight, we are seeing the threat of one or two

:26:54.:26:57.

showers, may be isolated thunderstorms in the north-west of

:26:58.:27:00.

the UK, to the south of that in the morning, that hot air starts pumping

:27:01.:27:05.

in once again from the near continent. Already at eight o'clock

:27:06.:27:09.

we are talking about temperatures into the 20s, across the south of

:27:10.:27:13.

the country, is still around the mid teens, and noticed these little

:27:14.:27:17.

blobs of blue, these are the showers and potential thunderstorms that

:27:18.:27:20.

could affect Northern Ireland or the South West of Scotland into the

:27:21.:27:23.

north of England and further north as well and here, a lot fresher

:27:24.:27:35.

first thing are talking about temperatures of 12 or 14 degrees.

:27:36.:27:38.

Not everyone is getting the heat. Big north and south split. We have

:27:39.:27:40.

that hate resurging from France and the near continent, very hot air,

:27:41.:27:43.

exceptionally hot, in the North vicar cloud and the possibility of

:27:44.:27:48.

some thunderstorms. 34 as possible, in London, if that happens, we get a

:27:49.:27:54.

whole of 34 degrees and back and be the hottest day in 40 years, more

:27:55.:28:00.

than 40 years. Then, weapons united that Thursday, fresher and cooler

:28:01.:28:03.

area starts pushing them, but look at that, thunderstorms are rumbling

:28:04.:28:10.

through Bill West of the UK. By Thursday, that heat will be pushed

:28:11.:28:14.

into the continent and look at the drop, still 26, warm in London but

:28:15.:28:19.

mostly in the teams across the West and north. Bacuna trend will

:28:20.:28:22.

continue into the weekend, some of us will have a little bit of rain

:28:23.:28:26.

and not an awful lot of sunshine on offer. Goodbye.

:28:27.:30:10.

Welcome back to One Hundred Days Plus with me Katty Kay

:30:11.:30:12.

in Washington, Christian Fraser is in London.

:30:13.:30:14.

Our top story - the Bank of England governor says Brexit

:30:15.:30:17.

But on a trip to America, the UK's trade minister

:30:18.:30:21.

tells this programme, there are opportunities

:30:22.:30:23.

My job is to look for the opportunities that come from Brexit.

:30:24.:30:33.

One of the reasons i campaigned to leave the european union

:30:34.:30:36.

is i believe there are great opportunites for britian

:30:37.:30:38.

to take advantage of those growing global markets.

:30:39.:30:40.

And coming up - a water-bombing aircraft crashes in Portugal

:30:41.:30:42.

as the fire emergency, which has killed 64 people

:30:43.:30:44.

And with given in Portugal as there are questions about whether a major

:30:45.:31:14.

highway was not blocked off. At least 64 people died in the fire

:31:15.:31:17.

since Saturday and the government has declared a state of emergency in

:31:18.:31:19.

the forested Our correspondent James Reynolds has

:31:20.:31:20.

travelled to Varzeas, where a fifth of the population has

:31:21.:31:26.

died in the blaze. This afternoon, Portugal

:31:27.:31:30.

despatched more planes The government is yet

:31:31.:31:32.

to make this region safe. The relief effort is too late

:31:33.:31:43.

for the village of Varzeas, it's lost one in five

:31:44.:31:48.

of its residents. Sisile Tina told me

:31:49.:31:53.

she knew all the victims. On Saturday afternoon, the village

:31:54.:31:56.

watched the forest catch fire. "There was a massive

:31:57.:32:18.

noise", Amal told us, "We'd never seen anything like it",

:32:19.:32:22.

said Valdemar, "it all happened Residents were then forced

:32:23.:32:29.

to take an immediate, terrifying decision -

:32:30.:32:35.

stay here and risk getting caught by the flames or drive off

:32:36.:32:38.

in search of safety. Many drove, it proved

:32:39.:32:44.

to be a fatal mistake. On this road, flames

:32:45.:32:51.

engulfed many in their cars. Mario Pinhal told Portuguese TV

:32:52.:32:56.

that his family tried His wife, Suzanna and their

:32:57.:32:58.

daughters Joanna and Margarita drove Everyone has been kind,

:32:59.:33:05.

but I just want my wife Mario and his parents barely

:33:06.:33:15.

escaped in the car behind. "We should have died",

:33:16.:33:24.

Mario mother's cries, Mario Pinhal's home remains

:33:25.:33:27.

standing, it is a shattering monument to his family's

:33:28.:33:34.

decision to flee. If they'd simply stayed put,

:33:35.:33:40.

they would have all survived. James Reynolds, BBC

:33:41.:33:42.

News, central Portugal. The European Court of Human Rights

:33:43.:33:52.

has ruled Russia's 'gay propaganda' law is discriminatory

:33:53.:33:55.

and encourages homophobia. The law bans the promotion

:33:56.:33:57.

of homosexuality to minors but judges ruled it breaches rules

:33:58.:34:01.

on freedom of expression and did not The Kremlin says it will review

:34:02.:34:05.

the court's decision. Football manager Jose Mourinho has

:34:06.:34:12.

been accused of tax fraud. Spanish prosecutors investigating

:34:13.:34:15.

Mourinho's time as Real Madrid's head coach say he did not declare

:34:16.:34:19.

income from the use The Manchester United manager

:34:20.:34:21.

is accused of defrauding Spain of 3.7-million dollars between 2011

:34:22.:34:27.

and 2012. Donald Trump may have condemned

:34:28.:34:36.

the brutality of the North Korean regime following the death

:34:37.:34:38.

of American student Otto Warmbier but John Mcain

:34:39.:34:40.

has gone even further. The Republican US Senator says

:34:41.:34:42.

Otto Warmbier was murdered He died just days after arriving

:34:43.:34:44.

back in the US in a coma. Otto Warmbier was 'bright,

:34:45.:34:51.

intelligent and likeable' - according to a fellow traveller

:34:52.:34:53.

who met him on a trip It was on that trip he was arrested

:34:54.:34:56.

and imprisoned for allegedly stealing a propaganda poster

:34:57.:35:01.

from a hotel. He died yesterday, surrounded by his

:35:02.:35:04.

family in a Cincinnati hospital. Here's what the president

:35:05.:35:06.

had to say today. It's a total disgrace

:35:07.:35:12.

what happened to Otto, it should never ever have been

:35:13.:35:14.

allowed to happen. Frankly if he had been

:35:15.:35:19.

brought home sooner, I think the result would have been

:35:20.:35:21.

a lot different. He should have been brought

:35:22.:35:26.

home that same day. The result would have been

:35:27.:35:28.

a lot different. Such a sad story with so many

:35:29.:35:43.

questions and everyone saying what a great guy Otto Warmbier was and how

:35:44.:35:47.

he fell victim to the regime. But we do not really know what happened, at

:35:48.:35:51.

what stage she got these brain injuries that put him into, and what

:35:52.:35:54.

the circumstances where. Well among those who aided in Otto's

:35:55.:35:55.

release was Former US Ambassador There are still questions about the

:35:56.:36:11.

captivity of Otto Warmbier and what happened to him. You helped to get

:36:12.:36:15.

him out of North Korea, when did you know that he was in a coma? I found

:36:16.:36:25.

out when the news was reported to the American State Department. I

:36:26.:36:28.

have met with the North Korean is 20 times in the past year, I had sent a

:36:29.:36:34.

delegation to try to get Otto out in exchange for humanitarian

:36:35.:36:37.

assistance. So I learned a year later after he was in a coma, this

:36:38.:36:42.

was a crime of humanity what the North Koreans did, a gross human

:36:43.:36:48.

rights violations and cover-up. This optimism excuse, sleeping pill, he

:36:49.:36:54.

might have been tortured, he might have been abused. This is wrong and

:36:55.:36:58.

there should be some kind of punishment for the North Koreans. I

:36:59.:37:03.

imagine it would make any kind of negotiation with the North Koreans

:37:04.:37:06.

more difficult but also it is an indication of the fact that you and

:37:07.:37:09.

others did not know and it shows how little we know about what is

:37:10.:37:14.

happening in North Korea, how limited our intelligence is. It

:37:15.:37:21.

shows that Kim Jong Un is governing almost without any input, it could

:37:22.:37:25.

be that the foreign ministry that normally deals with these issues was

:37:26.:37:31.

sidelined and the security forces did not want to tell Kim Jong Un of

:37:32.:37:35.

the problem. That might have happened. Or maybe he knew and they

:37:36.:37:39.

felt the best thing to do was hoped that he would come out of that, and

:37:40.:37:44.

things would be OK. But I think the fact that they failed to disclose,

:37:45.:37:49.

they failed to give proper medical treatment, that possibly he was

:37:50.:37:52.

tortured right left his trial, that he is being in a coma for a year is

:37:53.:37:58.

a major violation under the Geneva Convention of the treatment of

:37:59.:38:02.

prisoners and should be some for that, they should pay for that. The

:38:03.:38:06.

issue is how you make them pay. Obviously it is such a closed and

:38:07.:38:11.

repressive regime. I know he's spent a lot of time talking to the family

:38:12.:38:16.

and we watched the father speaking brave and last week. He was critical

:38:17.:38:19.

of the Obama administration for not publicising that Otto was there and

:38:20.:38:24.

the kind of conditions he was being kept in. There are now three

:38:25.:38:28.

Americans still there and six South Koreans as well. Should we not be

:38:29.:38:32.

making more of that and keeping up the pressure and publicising the

:38:33.:38:38.

fact that they're being held? Yes and I think this is a major

:38:39.:38:43.

consideration for any future policy towards North Korea. Let's get those

:38:44.:38:47.

three Americans out and a Canadian, there is a Canadian there as well do

:38:48.:38:52.

not forget. We should also make every effort to get the North

:38:53.:38:56.

Koreans to disclose what happened. But I worked with the Obama

:38:57.:39:00.

administration on this for the past year and they were concerned, they

:39:01.:39:04.

supported my trip when I sent my delegation there. They knew what we

:39:05.:39:08.

were doing through private efforts, not necessarily government to

:39:09.:39:15.

government. So the Obama administration was deeply involved.

:39:16.:39:18.

But the North Koreans were waiting for the new administration to come

:39:19.:39:23.

in, they did not want to deal with a lame-duck administration that was

:39:24.:39:26.

leaving and so I think that this slow things down. But I give

:39:27.:39:31.

President Trump and his team credit for being aggressive and getting

:39:32.:39:35.

Otto out when they found out he had been in a coma, they demanded to go

:39:36.:39:39.

to North Korea to bring him out in an aeroplane. That was the right

:39:40.:39:43.

course of action. And we made the point that for all the strong words

:39:44.:39:47.

we've heard from John McCain, what do they do because it seems for all

:39:48.:39:51.

the pressure that Donald Trump is put on the Chinese to start ramping

:39:52.:39:56.

up the pressure on North Korea, it is not working, they're just

:39:57.:40:04.

ignoring it. China has put in a little more pressure than they have

:40:05.:40:07.

in the past but they need to do more, they need to step up. They

:40:08.:40:12.

need to realise that there is turmoil in the Korean Peninsula and

:40:13.:40:16.

it is not an interest from these missile tests destabilise the region

:40:17.:40:20.

where they want to be paramount. They should also be concerned about

:40:21.:40:25.

the human rights case, Right on their own border with Otto Warmbier.

:40:26.:40:30.

Not just because he's an American but because the North Koreans take

:40:31.:40:34.

these prisoners, they detain these individuals and use them as

:40:35.:40:39.

bargaining chips. Possibly torture. Mishandle the whole situation. China

:40:40.:40:43.

needs to step up more than they have. They've not done enough and

:40:44.:40:47.

they are the major lever we have with North Korea because they give

:40:48.:40:52.

food and fuel, energy assistance, economic assistance, coal and oil,

:40:53.:40:57.

they can do a lot more and the international community should step

:40:58.:41:02.

up on China. But also maybe the United Nations do an investigation

:41:03.:41:06.

of this Otto Warmbier case, the human rights commission. There has

:41:07.:41:11.

to be some transparency, there has to be some explanation and the North

:41:12.:41:14.

Koreans need to explain what happened to Otto Warmbier and his

:41:15.:41:18.

family. A wonderful American family that is heartbroken and unjustly

:41:19.:41:24.

treated, their son. Thank you very much. And of course for all your

:41:25.:41:29.

efforts in trying to get all these prisoners out. It is interesting

:41:30.:41:34.

talking about the prospect of retaliation, it is just not clear

:41:35.:41:37.

what that means when John McCain says it should not happen. What does

:41:38.:41:43.

retaliation look like. With a regime like North Korea. It is not easy.

:41:44.:41:48.

And the White House saying in the past few minutes that it is an

:41:49.:41:53.

increasingly remote possibility that Donald Trump will meet with Kim Jong

:41:54.:41:54.

Un. It's a close run thing on what we

:41:55.:42:00.

talk about most in Britain - or perhaps what we moan about most -

:42:01.:42:04.

it's either Brexit or the weather. Way too hot for chimpanzees,

:42:05.:42:07.

this is Whipsade zoo The temperature at London's Heathrow

:42:08.:42:11.

airport - 34 degrees today - In Arizona this week it is so hot

:42:12.:42:17.

the planes can't take off. This is Phoenix airport where more

:42:18.:42:41.

than 40 flights have been grounded That is not a fair comparison! That

:42:42.:43:05.

is in the Desert. Thank you for

:43:06.:43:06.

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