16/12/2013 Asia Business Report


16/12/2013

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Oxfordshire 13 days ago. No body has yet been found. Ben Blakeley, who is

:00:00.:00:00.

22 and from Reading, is due to appear before magistrates later this

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morning. The Japanese economy - a hit or a

:00:18.:00:23.

miss? To hike or not to hike, the dilemma

:00:24.:00:36.

facing India's central bank. We start off with Japan. Business

:00:37.:00:42.

confidence among manufacturers show that improvement in the three months

:00:43.:00:46.

until December stimulate -- signal that the government stimulation

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policies are working. Sentiment among manufacturers improved by four

:00:55.:01:03.

points to plus 16, a six-year high. We also saw a rise in the index. It

:01:04.:01:12.

comes as Shinzo Abe at Marks is one year in office. He has pledged

:01:13.:01:24.

economic reforms. The survey also showed that large companies planned

:01:25.:01:29.

to increase capital spending by just 4.6% in the financial year to March

:01:30.:01:33.

2014. That is lower than what economists were hoping for. Next

:01:34.:01:37.

year, the government hopes to go ahead with a higher sales tax, from

:01:38.:01:46.

5% to 8% starting in April. I asked if the upcoming sales tax will

:01:47.:01:51.

create a dent in the prospects for the Japanese economy.

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It will have an impact on spending. We will see demand being brought

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forwards. The first quarter will have strong consumer spending and

:02:01.:02:02.

that it will slump in the second quarter. The business outlook survey

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covers a forecast for two quarters and it shows that manufacturers are

:02:10.:02:16.

quite confident that we will see a mild deterioration in the second

:02:17.:02:19.

quarter. What are the three top things in your wish list that you

:02:20.:02:24.

hope that she is a bit will -- Shinzo Abe it will implement is ? .

:02:25.:02:35.

We want to see some quantitive easing. And we want to see some

:02:36.:02:41.

structural reforms. We want to see something in terms of the TBB

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negotiations succeeding. We want to see that agriculture protection will

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be lowered. For more on the progress of the

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Japanese economy, log onto our website. Check out the latest

:02:56.:02:58.

commentary from our chief business, -- correspondent.

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Singapore -based budget airline is joining forces with Thailand's

:03:07.:03:11.

low-cost airline. The two are coming together to create a new low-cost

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carrier. It will be based in Bangkok. The Thai company will have

:03:19.:03:25.

a 51% in the partnership, while the Singaporean one will own the

:03:26.:03:28.

remaining. Investment in the project will total just over 60 million US

:03:29.:03:32.

dollars. Austrian Prime Minister Tony Abbott

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has supported calls from Qantas for a level playing field -- Australian

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prime minister. They face a record loss and rising competition. The

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Qantas sale act, which came into place in 1992, limits foreign

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ownership of the carrier to 49% and requires Qantas to keep the majority

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of its maintenance operations in a straight. The airline has long

:03:59.:04:02.

complained of Virgin Australia and is major shareholders providing a

:04:03.:04:10.

virgin access to foreign funding, thereby providing an unfair playing

:04:11.:04:13.

field. India's central bank will be

:04:14.:04:18.

revealing whether or not it will be changing interest rates. In the past

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three months, the bank has increased the cost of borrowing twice to try

:04:22.:04:25.

to keep soaring prices in check. It is also, at a time when growth has

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remained slow -- it has also come at a time.

:04:33.:04:40.

This man has lived in this building all his life. In the next few

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months, he has to move out. Like most old buildings in the city, his

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home is going to be redeveloped. Even though the developer is

:04:53.:04:56.

providing him with compensation, he says it will not be enough to buy a

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new home. The prospect of taking a loan is not very appealing. I was

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looking for a home loan, but I cannot take the burden right now.

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The interest-rate just keeps going up and never comes down. It has to

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fit my budget, and that is not going to happen with the current scenario

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of real estate and home loan interest rates. High interest rates

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coupled with the slowing economy has made it difficult for consumers to

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buy homes. In fact, it has hit sales in a big way, forcing many real

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estate developers to offer discounts. That has not helped much.

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It is not only consumers that are feeling the pressure of high

:05:35.:05:36.

interest rates. Businesses are also feeling the heat. This factory based

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in Mumbai makes switchgears, which are used in housing apartments and

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industrial complexes. The economic slowdown means it is not getting

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many orders -- not has not been getting many orders over the last

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couple of years. Rising labour and energy prices have impacted its

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costs, which have gone up sharply over the same period. If that is not

:06:07.:06:11.

bad enough, high interest rates have squeezed its profit even further. We

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have to look for some ultimate way of financing. Maybe we have to look

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for some cheaper funding from abroad, if it is available. The

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banking industry here cannot provide us, and we may have to look for

:06:28.:06:31.

alternatives if we are to stay in business. It will be a big challenge

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for us. The Indian central bank has increased key lending rates twice in

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the last three months. This is mainly due to high inflation driven

:06:42.:06:47.

I rising prices. The government and industry have been clamouring for a

:06:48.:06:52.

rate cut to revive the slowing economy. But so far, the bank has

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shown no signs of giving in to the pressure. The rate decision from the

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Indian central bank is due to come out on Wednesday.

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December is traditionally one of the best months. Is because of the

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so-called Santa Claus rally. That is when share prices rise of the final

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ten days of training before the New year. Overall, volatility would

:07:17.:07:20.

probably best described it doesn't get it. I spoke to the Philippines

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stock exchange president, who told me how the stock exchange and the

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Philippines has performed this year. I think the year has been quite good

:07:29.:07:31.

for the Philippines and for the stock market. Good in the sense that

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we have a lot more activity on the exchange, more liquidity, more IPOs,

:07:38.:07:45.

and new stocks and products being launched. How have the bribery

:07:46.:07:50.

scandals and the natural calamities impacted sentiment of investors?

:07:51.:07:54.

There has always been a short-term dip. A big contributor to the

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volatility that you talk about. The same thing happened when the tape a

:07:59.:08:05.

story first came out. There was an overreaction. It contributes to the

:08:06.:08:10.

volatility. Overall, I would say that the basic fundamentals prevail

:08:11.:08:15.

when you take a look at trends. This year has been a milestone for the

:08:16.:08:20.

Philippines. It got an investment-grade status from some of

:08:21.:08:22.

the key ratings agencies. How much has this helped in terms of bringing

:08:23.:08:30.

in new investors into the Philippine capital markets? Tremendous. I would

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say that we are seeing a lot of 1st-time portfolio manner --

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managers who are investing in the first time because they could not

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invest in investment-grade investments. This rating has given a

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third-party cheque in terms of saying the company is OK, the

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financials are OK and the fundamentals are looking decent.

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When you take a look at who we are seeing, a big influx for example has

:09:00.:09:07.

been from Japan. An amazing amount of interest and portfolio flowing

:09:08.:09:11.

from that sector, which was not present before. What could be the

:09:12.:09:21.

big flags for the economy and the capital markets? I think how the

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reconstruction relating to the storm will be, in terms of how much

:09:28.:09:32.

infrastructure building will the company be able to do, something

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that the people have been looking forward to for some time. For the

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capital market, the big question is what will be the US Federal talk.

:09:41.:09:49.

That created so much volatility last year in the local market and that

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could be a factor in how markets are perceived, including the

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Philippines. Investors continue to remain on the

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sidelines amid concerns that the US Federal bank could change policy

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this week. Thank you for interesting your time

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with us. Goodbye for now. -- investing your time with us.

:10:25.:10:44.

The top stories this hour - the actor Peter O'Toole, renowned for

:10:45.:10:50.

playing Lawrence of Arabia in the Oscar-winning film has died, aged

:10:51.:10:51.

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