13/05/2014 Asia Business Report


13/05/2014

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believe that Gary Barlow should return his OBE, despite the ruling

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that he avoided taxes. Now on BBC News all the latest business news

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live from Singapore. Led by Prime Minister Tony Abbott, a

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straighter's government gets set to hand down what could be one of the

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nation's toughest Budget in years. Investors react as India wraps up

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white Tomic five weeks of voting. Thank you for joining us on Asia

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Business Report, on BBC World News. I Rico Hizon. How big Budget problem

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does Australia have? Well, we will find out today the government

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details its first Budget since coming to power late last year. With

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warnings of the crisis, with the country's finances, Australians are

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being told they will all have to do the heavy lifting to balance the

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books. So while the local economy is picking up speed, locals are bracing

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themselves for higher taxes for the rich, as well as cuts to welfare and

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government jobs. From Sydney, our correspondent has this preview.

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Australia managed to chart a safe path through the choppy waters of

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the global recession, thanks to a mining boom. But the government

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believes that this lifestyle superpower must endure Budget pain

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to guarantee future prosperity. The Budget is something that does need

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to come down, does need to have some tough measures in it. What I don't

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think we are as poorly off as people might think we are. I think it will

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be tough and hit a lot of people who don't want to be hit hard. I think

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it will be brutal and will hit middle range. Tax hikes for the

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rich, cuts to welfare, and the raising of the retirement age to 70

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are expected to be included in its latest economic loop rent.

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Economists believe that with a deficit of about 3% of GDP,

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Australia's financial woes are modest. Compared with the US and

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Europe. It is right to say Australia has a Budget problem. We have had

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the biggest boom in our history. We should be running Budget surpluses

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now, not deficits. There is a problem there, but we don't have the

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sort of emergency that we have had over the last years. Australia does

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the significant challenges. Although unemployment here is low by

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international standards, at less than 6%, it is expected to rise. And

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a decade`long mining boom is fading. At economic growth is steady, and

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the weakening currency is helping exporters. So in many ways,

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Australia remains the lucky country. But academics warned that

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an overly tough Budget could harm the economy. In the medium to

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long`term they could be some issues. The resources boom is over,

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There are a fundamentally good There are a fundamentally good

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aspect in the economy, and it is a question of sensible stewardship

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rather than the sort of panic attack we are seeing at the moment. The

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sand and the surf are part of Australia's famous, no worries,

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lifestyle. But the government believes this fun loving nation is

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living beyond its means and warns that all Australians will have to

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share the pain to health balance the books. And the Budget will be

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released this evening in Canberra. We will bring you updates and

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reactions on tomorrow's Wollaton right here on Asia Business Report.

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One of the key drivers of Australia's economy is China's

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demand for its resources, with exports highly sensitive to

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Beijing's slower growth. While the mainland's economic engine has lost

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momentum, that is not necessarily bad news. I spoke to Mark Williams

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from Capital Economics, who explained why China slowdown is not

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stopping to worry about. It is slowing, but the sense of panic

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which takes hold in some parts of the market, is massively overdone.

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After all, we have to remember that China's growth rate has halved since

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2007. It has come down from 14 to 7% in the past seven years. The fact it

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is slowing at bit more should not because massive concern. Actually,

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seeing is positive. We are seeing seeing is positive. We are seeing

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slightly weaker investment spending. So some of those imbalances in

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China's economy are eroding. We shouldn't be too worried about it.

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We shouldn't be too worried about it, but where are we seeing the

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risks in this slowdown in the China economy? Is because of debts,

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laboured disputes... The focus of concern shift every few months, but

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the area we should really focus is property. That is the area of the

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economy which has massive oversupply of houses at the moment. It is also

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big enough that something goes wrong we will have widespread recognition

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is, not just in China but around the world. With the slowdown in the

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Chinese economy, where is this most being felt in Asia? It is the

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commodity producers who are most exposed to the sort of slowdown we

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are seeing at the moment. And the sort of slowdown which is the big

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risk. If the property sector goes down, that is going to hurt copper,

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steel, iron ore producers. At the same time, if the government manages

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to start keen to some consumer demand through spending, then

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produces of consumer goods Tomic of which there are many in this part of

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the world, should stand to do very well. Mark Williams from Capital

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Economics. Later China will be revealing its sales numbers and

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figures for industrial production. He will give us an insight into how

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Chinese consumers are behaving and also provide an indication of how

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the country's main factories are the country's main factories are

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faring so far this year. In other business News making headlines,

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Britain's biggest satellite television company has confirmed its

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interest in buying its sister companies in Germany and Italy. The

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UK broadcasting giant said the move would have the potential to create a

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world`class multinational paid TV group. Rupert Murdoch owns almost

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40% of Sky. Several former Barclays executives will be questioned over a

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deal in 2008. They include former chief executive of diamonds, who is

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among 12 senior managers due to be quizzed. Another ex` chief executive

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was also named by the Financial Times and will also be interviewed.

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The Royal Bank of Scotland has announced plans for a public share

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sale later this year. Of part of its US affiliate, Citizens Bank. It is

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expected to raise a lot of money. They turned it into one of the

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biggest regional banks in America. It has since in bailed out by the UK

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government in 2008. RBS has been under pressure to sell its foreign

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holdings. Shares in Sharp rising by more than 4% in Tokyo trading, after

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the firm reported its first annual profit in several years following a

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huge restructuring move. Japan's electronics giant reported a net

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gain of $140 million for the 12 months to March. More than double

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its own forecast. Share sharp is the largest maker of LCD screens used in

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televisions and smartphones. India's stock market owns in a few

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hours' time, giving investors the chance to react to the first exit

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polls released last night, after they racked `` wrapped up voting in

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their five`week election process. The BJP, under the leadership of

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Narendra Modi, will form the next government. Our correspondent has

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more from Mumbai. This is the Mumbai stock exchange, located in the heart

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of the financial capital of India. It is the best indicator of how

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investors are feeling, and in the part few months, the only way has

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been up. Time after time, the market have seen new record highs. Foreign

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investors are low and have put $5 billion into Indian companies in the

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last five months. It is a frenzy driven by the opinion that India is

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set for a change of government. Polls have placed the coalition of

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BJP headed by Narendra Modi as the front will run to form the next met.

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The markets want a government led by Narendra Modi. And they also hope

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that Narendra Modi can do it without the support of his coalition

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partners, and can get some kind of a clean sweep, which would lead to a

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lot of stability as far as policies are concerned. They won't have to

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dance to the tunes of the coalition partners as they have seen the last

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few years. Many expect sharp rises when trading begins on Tuesday. Some

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are urging caution. Opinion polls turned out to be absolutely wrong

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during the previous two elections. That left many investors worried, as

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the fear is that stock markets could see a major fall if the prediction

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turned out to be different from the outcome. But whatever happens today,

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the long`term mood of investors, both from home and abroad, will be

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determined not by what people are predicting will happen, but by who

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takes power when the votes are in. In the markets, let's have a quick

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look at Asian stocks. Broadly, in positive territory in mid`morning

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trade, after an overnight boom led by the biotech sector. In Hong Kong,

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South Korea, and Australia, all in the past column. The UK situation

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remains uncertain after the weekend referendum. Those other markets.

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Thank you for investing your time with us. I am macro one. `` I am

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Rico Hizon. Goodbye for now. Relatives of the missing schoolgirls

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in Nigeria have been speaking about their anguish after seeing a video

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