18/08/2014 Asia Business Report


18/08/2014

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year, by remanding people in custody unnecessarily. They said the over

:00:00.:00:00.

sentencing was adding to prison overcrowding.

:00:00.:00:07.

Now on BBC News, all the latest business news, live from Singapore.

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As Thailand releases its latest economic record `` report card, we

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look at how the bottomline is working under military rule.

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Recent data shows India is losing visitor numbers. We find out why.

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Welcome to Asia Business Report. In a short while we will hear whether

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Thailand's economy has avoided slipping into recession. In the

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first three months of this year, which saw political chaos and

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thousands protesting, the economy shrank. All eyes are on what

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happened in the second quarter up when the military took control of

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the country in a coup. I spoke earlier to our South East Asia

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correspondent Jonathan head. All the polls that have been taken suggest

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that we won't have a second quarter of negative growth. That will be

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better country in technical recession. That we will perhaps see

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growth of close to 1%. And annual growth just name `` narrowly in

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positive territory. These are not by south`east Asia numbers great

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numbers but they indicate a positive trend. Remember the second quarter,

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for most of it to the military was not yet in control. It only took

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over towards the end of the quarter. It is not a test of how the military

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is doing but it will give it some encouragement, if it believes the

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trend is positive. It's not just growth going up, there's a small

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uptake in export growth, although nowhere near the very energetic

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rates we saw a bout 1.5 years ago. A small bounce back of consumer

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confidence. But that was very low. If the trend follows these polls, it

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usually pretty accurate, is encouraging but doesn't solve the

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fundamental problems here. It will probably give us annual growth of

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somewhere between 1% and 2% at best. Those aren't good numbers. But at

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least it's going in the right direction. The generals can say they

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can build on this and help to repair the damage done over the past year.

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Indeed, as you've touched on, the military coup has been seen to have

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stabilised the economic situation somewhat. But how will the economic

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outlook continued to look under military rule? I think investors are

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grateful for the stability. Consumers will be, to some degree.

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There was extreme uncertainty during the many `` many months of political

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turmoil. In the long`term, it's hard to know what is the most military

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government with singing this country, or most parts of Asia, for

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the past 30 years, how they will drive a very complex economy. The

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generals have revived the enormous infrastructure spending plans of the

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previous government. In many ways that almost augmented them. We will

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see a huge amount of government spending. Jonathan Head in Bangkok.

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In other news from around the region, one of the world's biggest

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property developers in Shanghai has reported a boost in its first half

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net profits. Results, despite a dent in the housing market in China and

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government efforts to cool the sector. The firm's net profit rose

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56% from the six months ending June. `` rose 6%. Many bolts were in

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vehicles have been recalled on the mainland due to a problem with the

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steering systems. China's state owned news agency said the recall

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could affect more than 80,000 cars made between 2010 and 2012. Aux

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wagon has a joint`venture with the Chinese auto group. `` Volkswagen.

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They say they will replace the parts free of charge. Staying with

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automakers, South Korea's top carmaker and the world's fourth

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largest is preparing for its 47,000 unionised workers to strike. They

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voted to take action after talks over wages collapsed last week but

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it isn't yet clear when they will strike or for how lawn. South

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Korea's car producers face rental stock workers by employees but it

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doesn't mean they are immune to the damage that can be done. `` for how

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long. Earlier I asked about the effect of the strike.

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There will be quite a bit of damage, especially considering the

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Korean industry and Korean exports are facing headwinds from both the

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weakening Japanese yen and a more competitive environment. If the

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unions' demand is met or diverted, the profits and product of Hyundai

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will be not so competitive in relation to regional peers. If the

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unions achieve what they want and get their higher wages, what impact

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might this have on Korean manufacturing at large? With its

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drive Korean companies to the heart seek lower manufacturing elsewhere?

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It's very likely. In fact, there is an ongoing trend of relocation of

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auto industry from Korea to China and now, with the US manufacturing

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wage becoming more competitive in relation to the Korean wage rates,

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it is likely that some of the manufacturing production will be

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moved to the US, especially if that's going to be sold within the

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US. For a long while India has admitted

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it doesn't get as many foreign visitors as it might expect, even in

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Asia it lacked behind Taiwan and Indonesia. Despite talk of trying to

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change that, recent data suggest tourist numbers are falling,

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possibly by as much as 30%. What is going on? In Delhi, our

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correspondent tells us more. The fatal gang rape of a young

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student here almost two years ago led to a countrywide protest and it

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was reported worldwide, adding to an image that India, and especially

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Delhi, was unsafe for women. The organisation running India's famous

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monuments says since then they have seen a sharp fall in ticket sales to

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foreign tourists. Tourism makes up about 7% of the country's GDP, about

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the same as the IT sector. It is responsible for about 100 million

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jobs. But official data from last year showed the entire country

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attracted fewer than 7 million tourists. While cities like London

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and Bangkok attract twice as much. But experts say not enough is being

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invested in making tourism here attractive. There are clear

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infrastructure issues, it is difficult to get to and from places.

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It's poor connectivity between places, lack of hotel, quality

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hotel, infrastructure is. And getting to India isn't the easiest.

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These tourists have chosen India for their holidays. But with competition

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increasing from countries across the region, encouraging more to do the

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same is getting harder. And with an economy that is growing at its

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slowest pace in a decade, India can't afford to lose out on precious

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tourism dollars. Imagine knowing what you wanted to

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do from about the age of eight. Well, Matt Grainger did. He started

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working as a young surfing instructor at 12 before going on to

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use `` to study sport at university. Now he runs one of Australia's most

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successful surf schools on Sydney's Manly beach. He told the BBC more

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about his operations. When we first started we only had about 15

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surfboards and it was me and another guy. Now I have about 50 staff in

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the summertime, in the peak `` peak period. We teach people from around

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the world, local kids, we teach as part of the school curriculum as

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well. It's turned into this really good business. Who would have

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thought? At the end of the day, for me, surfing is about having fun,

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getting stoked. Big wave surfer adrenaline. Let's have fun! We run

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four session today at Manly. For group lessons. Then we have private

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lessons from when the sun comes up until the sun goes down. In winter

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we have about 12 staff. We have all things like trip adviser rating us.

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It's a big operation in summer. We have other beaches as well. I'm

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lucky because I loved teaching surfing. I pretty much hand`picked

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most of my staff and trained them. 'Glee' we do lower ratios for

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foreigners. `` trained them up. Our core business is foreigners. As

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we've grown, we taken on local school groups which we don't charge

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so much because they bring in about 60 kids at once. The seasonal thing

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is the problem because we have this massive... Bank or bust. So many

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customers through summer and business driving,

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onto Alcor staff, keep them in the game. `` our core staff. Rather than

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shutting down, we keep going. For the people to come and experience

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the buzz of Manly beach, sand, surf, loose guys, Clearwater, we make it

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happen. `` blue skies. This is a happen. `` blue skies. This is a

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Sounds like a great job. That's it for this edition of Asia Business

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Report. Thanks for watching.

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