08/02/2016 Asia Business Report


08/02/2016

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 08/02/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

across England for Monday a storm imaging comes in. Dover sport has

:00:00.:00:00.

been closed because of extreme weather. Dover's port.

:00:00.:00:00.

Now on BBC News, all the latest business news live from Singapore.

:00:00.:00:17.

India's latest growth numbers look set to confirm the country is

:00:18.:00:23.

growing faster than China, but does it trickled down to the real

:00:24.:00:28.

economy? And it is the first day of the bin New Year. So what does the

:00:29.:00:33.

Year of the Monkey mean for business -- Lunar New Year.

:00:34.:00:40.

Good morning, Asia, hello, world. Glad you could join us for Asia

:00:41.:00:46.

Business Report. Happy Chinese New Year. I'm Rico Hizon in Singapore.

:00:47.:00:53.

Later today we will be finding out how fast India's economy grew in the

:00:54.:00:58.

last three months of 2015. Most expect a continuation of the trend

:00:59.:01:04.

seen in the last year, growth above 7%. A pace that would confirm India

:01:05.:01:08.

is the fastest-growing large economy of 2015. But there is concern that

:01:09.:01:14.

the benefits of that growth are not filtering down to the so-called real

:01:15.:01:18.

economy. The car industry has traditionally been seen as a guide

:01:19.:01:22.

to how things are going. We were there to test the mood at the Delhi

:01:23.:01:24.

auto show. Fast cars, new launches, and a

:01:25.:01:38.

hopeful industry. After years of underperformance, the expectation

:01:39.:01:41.

here is that India's growing economy will finally read our business.

:01:42.:01:48.

IndyCar cells grew by more than 7.5% last year, faster then any of the

:01:49.:01:59.

world's, gets -- India castles. Hoping to cash in on this, have

:02:00.:02:05.

already spent hundreds of hundreds of millions of dollars on factories

:02:06.:02:10.

like this one. In common with other brands, this factory is used

:02:11.:02:15.

primarily to make cars for export. It is also betting on more Indians

:02:16.:02:20.

buying cars. For now, it only has 1.5% share of the local market but

:02:21.:02:26.

is here for the long haul. The growth is outpacing the rest of the

:02:27.:02:31.

world and the auto industry seems to be following that trend. While

:02:32.:02:36.

people in cities are buying cars, any worried this rapid growth is

:02:37.:02:40.

affecting the two thirds of India's population that we've in urban

:02:41.:02:45.

areas. It is not just cars that are not being bought. Sales of

:02:46.:02:49.

motorbikes and small trucks in rural India have been weak. Back-to-back

:02:50.:02:54.

monsoons have left many farmers worse off, and wary of spending

:02:55.:02:58.

money. That has been felt by businesses like this one, the

:02:59.:03:05.

country's largest tractor maker. There was some liquidity. The ruling

:03:06.:03:11.

economy right now is a sleeping giant, one of the recent sales have

:03:12.:03:20.

not been searching is because there is a lot of ground still to cover.

:03:21.:03:26.

Cells are a good indicator of how people are feeling about the

:03:27.:03:31.

economy. Back at the car show, malefactors hope optimism about 2016

:03:32.:03:35.

will help the industry pick up speed -- manufacturers.

:03:36.:03:39.

It has been over a week since Japan's decision to push the cost of

:03:40.:03:47.

borrowing to negative. Their aim was to force companies to spend, but

:03:48.:03:51.

economists believe it will have limited impact with business

:03:52.:03:55.

investment not held back by high interest rates. As much as worries

:03:56.:03:59.

about the long-term outlook. What has been the early response to

:04:00.:04:05.

negative rates? Earlier I asked why we have not seen a sustained

:04:06.:04:09.

depreciation despite the initiative. What we're seeing in Asia is not

:04:10.:04:15.

everybody is in such good shape as India. There are big concerns, and

:04:16.:04:21.

that usually means the Japanese yen is becoming a safe haven currency,

:04:22.:04:25.

the dollar being awake does not help either. We have strong pressure this

:04:26.:04:30.

year on the yen and the bank of Japan wanted to show we have a new

:04:31.:04:34.

tour here. If this goes too far, we have a new tool and we will use it.

:04:35.:04:41.

Could this be wrong timing? No, the timing is quite good. This week we

:04:42.:04:48.

will have new data at showing prices double feather.

:04:49.:04:56.

it also means overall pressure. This is a

:04:57.:05:04.

will be used to have an impact on currency markets, and when the bank

:05:05.:05:06.

of Japan is just moving beyond the current limit of -0.1% or even

:05:07.:05:13.

further. But the main objective as well for implementing this negative

:05:14.:05:16.

interest rate policy was to force companies to spend. When do you

:05:17.:05:23.

think they will start spending? What we are seeing is that there is a

:05:24.:05:31.

strong focus on the exchange rate, on exports, on companies moving

:05:32.:05:35.

their business investment. But there you are focusing overseas

:05:36.:05:39.

investment. The domestic economy has limited growth potential, so the

:05:40.:05:43.

government is trying to help companies to invest in Asia in the

:05:44.:05:47.

longer-term, and this is a target. The exchange rate is important for

:05:48.:05:51.

that and they are focusing on it. Apart from this policy, other other

:05:52.:05:58.

options they can still implement to jumpstart the economy? -- are there

:05:59.:06:00.

other options? We will have elections this summer, and

:06:01.:06:03.

policymakers are reluctant to do big problem -- electorate. This will

:06:04.:06:17.

have an impact on the currency, buying even more time than the

:06:18.:06:20.

government the Labour side, reforms in health

:06:21.:06:30.

and agriculture, and necessary changes in the domestic

:06:31.:06:36.

economy. That is basically the idea. And in other business news: The

:06:37.:06:40.

foreign exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest level in more

:06:41.:06:44.

than three years as Beijing defends the one. China's foreign country

:06:45.:06:51.

reserve plans by about 100 billion US dollars in January -- currency

:06:52.:06:57.

reserves. It has been running down its fast currency holdings, which is

:06:58.:07:02.

more than 3 trillion US dollars in a bid to boost the UI's value. It is

:07:03.:07:09.

the Lunar New Year, and the first day of the Year of the Monkey. It is

:07:10.:07:15.

time for celebrating across Asia and an opportunity to look ahead to what

:07:16.:07:19.

the next 12 months will bring. We went out on the street in Singapore

:07:20.:07:23.

to see what's on in business are expecting. I feel in the year of the

:07:24.:07:29.

Fire monkey, I work in tech, said there will be a trend moving towards

:07:30.:07:33.

small businesses growing and social enterprise. I'm looking at the

:07:34.:07:41.

industry and I wish the Year of the Monkey would bring prosperity to the

:07:42.:07:45.

banking industry. I know there are challenges. In the Year of the

:07:46.:07:50.

Monkey, it should be quite challenging because of what is

:07:51.:07:56.

happening in the global markets. I work in performance coaching and

:07:57.:07:59.

innovation and believe that in the year of the Fire monkey, innovation

:08:00.:08:05.

will be continuously trending, not only in companies that outside of

:08:06.:08:08.

companies. I work in hospitality. For the Year of the Monkey, the

:08:09.:08:13.

economy now is not that good. I don't think people will travel that

:08:14.:08:23.

much. I am from the legal industry, and there has been a lull in the

:08:24.:08:27.

shipping industry right now, so I expect the Fire monkey to help us

:08:28.:08:32.

pick it up. Challenging times ahead, but still upbeat and positive. But

:08:33.:08:37.

what about an equity analyst who is doubling as an expert. Every year,

:08:38.:08:45.

they come up with the index. It is a tongue in cheek forecast for the

:08:46.:08:50.

lonely year. -- minute New Year. We can find out what this means for

:08:51.:08:58.

you, the investor. In Chinese culture, we love this animal, the

:08:59.:09:04.

Fire monkey, because we think the monkey has he managed to buck we

:09:05.:09:09.

don't like the monkey because of its mischievous behaviours. -- but

:09:10.:09:14.

sometimes we don't like. The Hang Seng index also has the

:09:15.:09:19.

characteristics of the monkey. It will be a rocky ride, and we believe

:09:20.:09:27.

there will be lots of ups and downs. In this year, each year, the

:09:28.:09:35.

animal, the Zodiac, and each element of the five elements rotate, and

:09:36.:09:42.

this year, you can see the monkey is sitting on top of sectors including

:09:43.:09:51.

the auto sectors and financial. We would suggest avoiding water related

:09:52.:09:59.

sectors. They often do not work well. Water related sectors include

:10:00.:10:05.

transport, gaming, consumer retail, and also healthcare. Volatile times

:10:06.:10:11.

ahead. Let's have a look at the markets. Many of them are closed for

:10:12.:10:16.

the Lunar New Year holidays, but those open for trading are in

:10:17.:10:22.

negative territory. Hong Kong, Singapore and China are closed today

:10:23.:10:25.

due to the Chinese New Year holidays. Thank you for investing

:10:26.:10:29.

your time with us. Happy New Year.

:10:30.:10:34.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS