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the UK will be prepared if it has to leave | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Now on BBC News all the latest business news live from Singapore. | :00:00. | :00:10. | |
With the president forced out of office, what challenges lie ahead | :00:11. | :00:16. | |
for the South Korean economy? And how the secrets of how to succeed in | :00:17. | :00:21. | |
business could lie in a bit of horseplay. | :00:22. | :00:31. | |
Hello and welcome to this Monday edition of Asia Business Report, I'm | :00:32. | :00:34. | |
Sharanjit Leyl. Within the next two months South Korea will have a new | :00:35. | :00:37. | |
president and that President will have a raft of economic challenges | :00:38. | :00:43. | |
to deal with, the worsening of relations with China over a missile | :00:44. | :00:47. | |
defence system is a big worry and what will candidates for the top job | :00:48. | :00:50. | |
have to say about giant conglomerates like Samsung, so tied | :00:51. | :00:55. | |
up in the corruption scandal that brought down Park Geun-hye? The | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
disgraced leader left the presidential house on Sunday, two | :00:59. | :01:02. | |
days after a court dismissed her of a corruption scandal. What will the | :01:03. | :01:06. | |
next couple of months looked like for South Korea politically and | :01:07. | :01:10. | |
economically? Here's the view our analyst. | :01:11. | :01:12. | |
There's a lot of moving parts at the moment, the candidates, the leading | :01:13. | :01:18. | |
candidates for the election, they have said they will hold that by the | :01:19. | :01:23. | |
ninth of May, that's a positive outcome straightaway from the | :01:24. | :01:30. | |
Electoral Commission. The leading candidate, Mr Moon, he is very much | :01:31. | :01:35. | |
a reformer, so he is very much about appeasing North Korea and also | :01:36. | :01:39. | |
actually taking a close look between these conglomerates and their cosy | :01:40. | :01:43. | |
Wallacia ships with the government. He's quite a reformist. So a role I | :01:44. | :01:47. | |
guess you could say it's positive for South Korea in the bigger | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
picture. In terms of the Korean won, where is it headed, there are | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
concerns they might be labelled a currency manipulator by the | :01:57. | :02:00. | |
Americans. This is the thing, nobody is pricing into Asia this year so | :02:01. | :02:08. | |
far, I think that the secretary would be ready by early April with | :02:09. | :02:11. | |
regards to labelling or not labelling countries currency | :02:12. | :02:14. | |
manipulators. If China is in that list then South Korea will either be | :02:15. | :02:18. | |
number two or three on the list in all honesty. This is something that | :02:19. | :02:22. | |
could impact on the won later on in the year. Definitely the trajectory | :02:23. | :02:26. | |
of US interest rates with regards to the Federal Reserve will also have | :02:27. | :02:30. | |
its impact as well. I would expect to see the won gradually weakening | :02:31. | :02:34. | |
over the next couple of months. Very briefly, you talk about the | :02:35. | :02:39. | |
potential front runners, the likes of Mr Moon and others, how will that | :02:40. | :02:44. | |
impact the cosy relationship we are seeing with the South Korean | :02:45. | :02:46. | |
government and the huge conglomerates? The head of Samsung | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
is actually on trial now, being involved with the ex-president Park | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
with corruption charges. That will lay down a marker for the behaviour | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
going forward but definitely he is a very strong reform agenda person | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
with regards to relations with the companies. The proof is in the | :03:07. | :03:09. | |
putting, it could be easier said than done. | :03:10. | :03:12. | |
Jeffrey Hayley. In other business news, King Salman of Saudi Arabia | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
has arrived in Tokyo at the start of the first visit to Japan by a Saudi | :03:17. | :03:20. | |
monarch for nearly 50 years. Japan hopes to use the visit to broaden | :03:21. | :03:25. | |
its relations with Saudi Arabia and help the Kingdom's effort to | :03:26. | :03:29. | |
diversify its heavily oil dependent economy. Banking giant HSBC has | :03:30. | :03:34. | |
appointed Mark Tucker, the current CEO of Asian insurer AIA is group | :03:35. | :03:40. | |
chairman. He will take over on the first of October, succeeding Douglas | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
Flint, who had been in the role since 2010. He was there for seven | :03:45. | :03:50. | |
years and he oversaw the insurer's expansion in Asia. HSBC is the | :03:51. | :03:55. | |
European biggest bank but the bulk of profits are generated in Asia. | :03:56. | :04:00. | |
Iceland will lift capital controls on its citizens' businesses and | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
pensions funds from Tuesday. Capital controls like restrictions on money | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
flowing out were imposed after Iceland's three biggest banks | :04:10. | :04:12. | |
collapsed in 2008. The government now thinks the economy has recovered | :04:13. | :04:17. | |
sufficiently to end those controls. For a look ahead at what's coming up | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
over the next two days, we will start with Toshiba and they are due | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
to publish their delayed earnings results from April to December on | :04:25. | :04:30. | |
Tuesday. This was originally June in February. Next up we have the US Fed | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
they are exacted to make their decision on interest rates on | :04:35. | :04:37. | |
Wednesday, and that will be Thursday morning in Asia with the prospects | :04:38. | :04:40. | |
of a rate hike looking fairly likely. | :04:41. | :04:43. | |
We have the US Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, he is heading to Asia | :04:44. | :04:48. | |
this week and he will be viewing traditional airlines in Tokyo and | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
Seoul before going on to Beijing. And finally, China will take centre | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
stage on Wednesday when the National People's Congress comes to a close. | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
For a closer look at the week ahead, earlier I spoke with Paul from a | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
bank and first asked what he was expecting. | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
Expectations have shifted a little bit to the chance they will delay | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
again. If they miss this earnings reporting released they could go | :05:15. | :05:18. | |
another big business days. It looks like the most likely scenario, they | :05:19. | :05:24. | |
have a roughly $6 billion hole to fill with Westinghouse. The problem | :05:25. | :05:29. | |
is if they go Chapter 11 with Westinghouse it opens up other | :05:30. | :05:32. | |
concerns with respect to loan guarantees in the US, performance | :05:33. | :05:36. | |
guarantees with respect to some of their plants. Chapter 11 doesn't | :05:37. | :05:40. | |
solve as many problems as you might think. There is a likelihood they | :05:41. | :05:45. | |
will delay. Moving on US interest rates, will they go up as everyone | :05:46. | :05:49. | |
thinks? Market has given them 100% of a chance, it is as closely priced | :05:50. | :05:55. | |
in as I've seen for a long time. How much? They will go .25 basis points, | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
they won't want to go more than that. Certainly the Federal Reserve | :06:01. | :06:04. | |
have a delicate balancing act with rogue guards to the currency, they | :06:05. | :06:08. | |
don't watch it as far as their mandate but given what's going on | :06:09. | :06:12. | |
around the world they have to be aware of how currencies will affect | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
things, especially in the region, with China. -- with regards to. Rex | :06:16. | :06:22. | |
Tillerson in Asia, he is headed to China but then he is also going to | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
visit traditional airlines in Japan and South Korea, what is he | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
expecting? That's a good question, we haven't heard much from the State | :06:31. | :06:33. | |
Department since Tillerson took over. If you're in Japan you expect | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
a reconfirmation of the security arrangement, in South Korea you | :06:39. | :06:42. | |
expect more than that in terms of dealing with North Korea and in | :06:43. | :06:45. | |
China I'm hoping at least we don't get something from the currency | :06:46. | :06:51. | |
side, which we could have with Manu chimp at the G20. There's things | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
with the security in the region but also trade. It's a blank slate | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
because we don't see Tillerson in many press conferences. China and | :07:01. | :07:07. | |
the closing of the People's Congress, any surprises? The words | :07:08. | :07:13. | |
that come out to me our stability and flexibility. | :07:14. | :07:19. | |
Paul Burt and. It may sound like forcing around but some experts say | :07:20. | :07:23. | |
these animals can teach us a thing or two about leading people. -- Paul | :07:24. | :07:29. | |
Bertrand. Andrew Froggatt teaches key leaders ship skills to chief | :07:30. | :07:33. | |
executives, coaches and managers by showing them the right way to deal | :07:34. | :07:36. | |
with horses. The horse whisperer turned management trailer told us | :07:37. | :07:38. | |
how. -- leadership. We set ourselves up as the boss, I'm | :07:39. | :08:07. | |
the leader of the horse, the horses behind me and it is a matter of | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
consistency. If I say once to the horse to come close and the next to | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
stay back, some people are confused, he is going to be confused if I say | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
that. Until it becomes more of a habit it is important to be pretty | :08:21. | :08:22. | |
firm. I do a lot of problem-solving, a lot | :08:23. | :08:33. | |
of racehorses, starting gates and things like that, big problems. One | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
of the things we do is focus on those little things, personal space, | :08:38. | :08:41. | |
boundaries, what they are allowed to do and what they can't do and if | :08:42. | :08:45. | |
those things are clear than a lot of the bigger issues don't develop. All | :08:46. | :08:49. | |
of the biggest people, sport people, business people, they do the little | :08:50. | :08:53. | |
things really well. A lot of people these days get caught up in the | :08:54. | :08:57. | |
bigger picture and where they're heading and the little things get | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
lost and if the little things get out of hand then you're never going | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
to get to the big pictures. We used to have 25 horses on the go, | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
often we would only get 15 but if 15 were happy and ten weren't then that | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
affects the environment and it is evident in big companies, the boss | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
of 250 might know 50 and the other people don't get much of a look in. | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
It's little things going around the office, hello, how are you, even for | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
a minute, making people feel a part of things, it starts to bring people | :09:27. | :09:33. | |
together. Praise is really big. I praise more | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
than most people, I want to really build that strong Wallacia ship, I | :09:39. | :09:41. | |
want people comfortable and want to work with me so I tend to praise all | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
the time and when they have a bad day I tend to ignore them -- strong | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
relationship. We talk a lot about that in office situations. Do we | :09:52. | :09:56. | |
praise enough? Some might be lacking in confidence, a lot more praise | :09:57. | :10:00. | |
needed to build them up and get them to try and do things other people | :10:01. | :10:04. | |
won't do. Others won't need enough but it eventually comes down to | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
knowing who your trying to lead. That was horse whisperer Andrew | :10:10. | :10:16. | |
Froggatt with the Falco in the starring role. Looking at the | :10:17. | :10:20. | |
markets, we can see the Nick Caitlin is currently flat, scaling up a bit, | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
we saw a stronger yen. -- the Nikkei. Hang Seng shares up 1% on | :10:26. | :10:32. | |
the news of the new CEO. That's it, thanks for watching. | :10:33. | :10:35. | |
of South Korea, Park Geun-hye, has finally left her official | :10:36. | :10:45. | |
residence saying the truth will emerge in time. | :10:46. | :10:48. |