20/06/2017 Asia Business Report


20/06/2017

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Here is Rico now with Asian business report.

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Chinese shares on a global index. We look what this could mean for

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investors in Asia and around the world. And what are the big spenders

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from the aviation industry eyeing off at the Paris air show? It is

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Tuesday. Good morning Asia hello world, glad you could join us for

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Asia Business Report. We start off with Chinese stocks. After years of

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discussion, MSCI it will announce whether it will include China's a

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shares, the mainland shares traded in China, in its emerging markets

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index. This is the fourth time that MSCI is looking into the

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possibility. It could mean potentially a lot of investment

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going into mainland issues. Our correspondent has more from a rainy

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day in Beijing. China is chasing a global financial benchmark here.

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Inclusion for its eight shares, leading shares here would mean that

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they attract by investors and responsible for trillions of dollars

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of investment. There would no doubt be a boost to those shares although

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it is hard to quantify exactly what that would be. To more significance

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to the Chinese authorities is that they would regard a yes vision here

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as being a vote of confidence in the financial sector. This is, however,

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the fourth time they have asked. In the past what has been an impediment

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has been the old familiar tale of reciprocal access. It is not easy

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for foreign investors to invest here in China and buy shares. Authorities

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have taken measures to try and make that simpler but it is still the

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case that if you wish to purchase shares you need to deal with quotas

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from the regulatory authority or you can invest via a linkup with the

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Hong Kong stock exchange which has a linkup with either here in Shanghai

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or another city. A note of warning, Chinese stock markets unnoticed

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speculative peril -- are known for speculative peril. They have not had

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a good 2017, they are up by 6% half way through. Broader economic

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context, the authorities are trying to do and the insurance sector to

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make sector has clamped down on shadowy products being sold,

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particularly wealth management products. And in housing, what many

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regard as a bubble here in this country, authorities are still in

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the process of bringing in restriction on the selling and

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buying sides. If this was a yes, however, there is no doubt that the

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Chinese authorities would see it as a big tick in a box in terms of

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being trusted globally. Over now to Australia where the cost of home

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ownership has turned out to be risky business. That is one of the main

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reasons that the ratings agency Moody 's has downgraded its

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long-term ratings of the banks in the country, including the biggest

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fall. Currently the banks down in Sydney trading. To tell us more

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about this downgrade and the outlook for the banking sector, I'm joined

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now from Moody 's. Frank, great to have us. So, 12 banks have been

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downgraded. What will it take to improve ratings again? We need to

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see a period of relative stability. We need to see a period where income

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starts to write in household debt does not increase of March. That

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gives households a chance to reduce their leveraged and if those

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mortgages start to perform in line with expectations, then that is of

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benefit to the banks. If that trend continues for a while then there

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could be upward pressure on bank ratings. How long will these banks

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take to get back to that level? I think it will take some time. If you

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look at at forward projects and is and predictions for income growth,

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it takes a while, even at the current levels of debt, just to

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bring the leveraged down. You need a few years of the current loans so

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people start paying them down, and income rises to come through as

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well. At that point you may start to see some benefit. Looking at these

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12 banks, are some worse than others? The ones we have downgraded,

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we have primarily downgraded because of the household debt level and the

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exposure that the banks have. Obviously some banks are much

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smaller and have lower flexibility. They will find it more difficult to

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respond if things mature or improve they will probably not improve as

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quickly where is the larger banks with more flexibility to reduce

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costs and raise capital, they have more pricing power and are better

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placed to take advantages of an improving operating environment. How

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about the latest rate hike from the US Federal Reserve. There could be

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another one before the end of the year as well. Could this have an

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impact on Australian banks and their profitability? Potentially. If US

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investors start to look at higher prices to buy a stream bank debt

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than that impacts profitability. But most swap back into Australian

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dollars so it depends on the cost. If there is a rapid rise in swap

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cost than it does not have a material impact we will have to wait

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and see. Thank you for those inside in other business news. Time Warner

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and Snap have agreed to create original dramas for Snapchat. Warner

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Brothers will also advertise on the augmented reality and messaging

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platform. The deal is reportedly worth around 100 million US dollars.

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President Donald Trump met with the head of 18 US technology companies

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including apple, Amazon and Microsoft, seeking their help to

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make the government's competing systems more efficient. The White

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House wishes to update government information technology systems, cut

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costs, eliminate waste and improve service. Mr jumpstarted -- said it

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estimates that the government could save up to $1 trillion over ten

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years through such initiatives. The war's biggest airshow has kicked off

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in Paris where manufacturers are showing off their newest aircraft.

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On Monday, Boeing launched the latest version of its 737. It will

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compete with the air bus a three to one. So what are Asia-Pacific

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carriers purchasing? I asked that question earlier to flight global's

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financial editor. The Boeing 737 max ten, the latest in the long line of

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737s launched yesterday and we have seen that Asian carriers are pleased

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a large role in that. Line a announced major commitment of 50

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aircraft will stop we have also seen many Asian leasing companies, CDP

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Asian leasing and finance, owned by CDB leasing, has committed to this.

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They obviously see that there is great potential in the Asian market

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for this Longer 737 jet. So why are we seeing more leasing of aircraft

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rather than direct purchase of these planes? At the moment it is a good

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environment for leasing companies to pick up the aircraft. One of the

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reasons that airlines to deal with leasing companies is that it takes

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away a sense of risk for them because, ultimately, they don't have

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to put a lot of capital into the aircraft and so they can get a

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leasing company to do that and that makes it easier for them to run

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their business and focus on running an airline rather than being a

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financial manager. So the Airbus A380 also getting a lot of attention

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at this Paris airshow. Do you any of the regional airlines to make major

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purchases? BA 380 has been very interesting. They show an 8380 plus,

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it has a package of enhancements. These will not flow through till

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2020 so it is hard to say that will have much interest in the region.

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They speak about reduction in fuel burn with all of the enhancements to

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the wing and a few other things. That would be quite appealing to

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many airlines but it will only be for new aircraft so many of these

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airlines would be up for taking the new A380 in that time frame. At the

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end of this Paris airshow, who will have the upper hand in terms of

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orders? Knowing or air bus? At this stage, Boeing has come out was a new

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aircraft to launch, traditionally, Paris is a big one for Airbus so we

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will have to see what happens towards the end. I think it will be

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close. Let's have a quick look now at the markets and Asia is rising

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for a second day with the Japanese market up. The All Ordinaries is

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flat to hire at this point, because all big four banks in Australia are

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in negative territory due to the downgrade by Moody 's. But overall,

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the mood is positive after the Dow closed at record high overnight.

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Tech shares had strong gains. The table at the Dow and the NASDAQ.

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They are both in positive territory. There is a suggestion that investors

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think there may be a rival bid for whole foods after Amazon placed

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theirs. Sport Today is

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