13/07/2017 Asia Business Report


13/07/2017

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Now on BBC News, all the latest business news live from Singapore.

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China or Japan takes the lead in reviving the ambitious Trans-Pacific

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Partnership trade deal after the US pulls out.

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And we look at why start-ups in India are hitting major roadblocks

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and struggling to raise money. They are hoping to reach a new trade

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arrangement. Japan is hosting them until Friday, but, without the US at

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the negotiating table, is there still a point? Economist Martin

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Schultz says yes. TPP was thought to be dead after the US was leaving,

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but with the EU, Japan FTA, which has been signed and brought on track

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to be going, there is some life still in free trade and getting

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things going in terms of having trading platforms, and that is the

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most important thing for Asia. Asia is a very attractive market. So

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creating a platform, even without the US, makes the entire area more

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attractive. Trade talks are keeping going. This is very helpful. But the

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linchpin of this Trans-Pacific Partnership is the United States,

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and it represents more than 60% of the initial members' GDP. Without

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the US, the 11 remaining countries will not represent a whole lot.

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Absolutely. It would be just 15% of world trade, and a lot of that is

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already covered by existing FTAs. Within Asia most countries already

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have that relationship, so that the question is, where is the value?

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It's easy to see from the American side, Canada, Mexico down to per

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room, they don't have these trade agreements and they are very

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interested. The drivers are Australia and New Zealand who needs

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of platform access to the Asian markets. Now Japan is getting

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interested because China is so active in building trade ties, so a

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platform without chiding that provides the potential for the US to

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come back is really a political incentive -- a platform without

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China. Do you think the Trans-Pacific Partnership will

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really survive? The big question is, if they get the framework going so

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it can exist for a while without the US, that is possible, and it will

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probably be possible until November, and then it's really just something

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that provides some good arguments for liberal US interests, or US in

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-- industry, to say, guys, we need to get back into trade talks. That

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would be really a big political positive point.

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The United States has officially notified South Korea that it wants

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to start talks next month on revising their Free Trade Agreement.

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The two countries have a significant trade deficit and US President

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Donald Trump has called the trade deal horrible. Earlier I asked an

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employee of McQuarrie securities for his reaction. Yes, it is about 15%

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of our exports, so the actual impact on negotiations would not be huge.

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It depends - even though it depends on the actual negotiation between

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Korea and the US. But obviously Trump and our government is trying

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to lower the trade deficit against Korea, so it could have an impact

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for a long time, but the actual impact on the economy would not be

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huge. It may not be huge, but what particular industries and areas do

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you think will be renegotiated by the United States with South Korea?

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We have many exporting products to the US, but the main product for us

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to sell to the US is cars, and steel products, so these two could be

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affected in the future. In around 30 minutes' time, South Korea's Central

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Bank is set to unveil their interest rate decision. The bank of Korea is

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expected to keep its benchmark lending rate unchanged at 1.25%.

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US stock and bond markets rallying overnight after the Fed chair Janet

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Yellen indicated the US central bank won't rush to raise interest rates

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further this year. In testimony to Congress, Janet Yellen said

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inflation levels would be a key factor in their decision. Because

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the neutral rate is currently quite low by historical standards, the

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federal funds rate would not have the rise all that much further to

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get to a neutral policy stance. Speaking of central banks, Canada's

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currency is trading at its highest level in a year after policymakers

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raised borrowing costs for the first time since 2010. Its central bank

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raised the benchmark rate to 0.75% from 0.5% following strong economic

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growth. The former head of my box says he

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denies embezzling and wrongdoing at his trial this week. The company

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went bust after losing nearly $500 million worth of bit coins. He

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allegedly spent $3 billion of customers' money for his personal

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use and altered the company's books. He was arrested in 2015 after the

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company collapsed. In Hong Kong, many of the world's biggest

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companies in start-ups have gathered for Rise. It's a turbulent time for

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many of them after Trump Administration moved to disassemble

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the start-up programme. It's certainly not a concern for the

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United States, I don't think. In technology for a number of years now

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I don't think the US is any longer seen as the capital or central

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technology, certainly not silicon valley. Thomas Friedman wrote a book

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quite some time ago saying the world is flat but the world is very much

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tilted, and it has tilted in the direction of China and Asia, and I

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think that's reflected in the fact that the number of American

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start-ups here this week has more than doubled year over year. So Asia

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will now be the linchpin for technology innovation going forward?

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I think it's certainly more diversifies in the world. Chen Zen,

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a long time ago, arguably became the hardware centre of the world, and

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the number of start-ups coming out of Beijing every month is greater

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than anywhere else in the world, and the amount of venture capital being

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deployed in China alone is unprecedented. So all the indicators

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are that the activity is switching. Paddy Cosgrave in Hong Kong.

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India has become known as a good place but competition is tough and

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many ventures have failed. Some companies are failing to raise money

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and are laying off employees. What are the ramifications for industry?

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When this woman set up her business, she fulfilled a lifelong dream. She

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always wanted to work in education, and so, in 2013, she started Purple

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Squirrel, a company that organise work experience trips for college

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students. But despite a promising start, she was forced to shut shop

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within three years. We were not generating enough profits to sustain

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operations, and given that we did require funds, we didn't have as

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many options as investors who truly understood the fabric of an

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education industry. In 2015, Indian start-ups received more than $8

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billion worth of investments. But last year that was down by more than

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50%, and that's forced many ventures to shut down. In 2015, the figure

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was 250, and it was more than 300 last year. The warning signs had

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been around for a while with some of India's most well-known companies

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taking drastic steps to cut costs. That has lead to uncertainty for

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those working in the industry. People like this man. After five

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years of working with start-ups, he chose to move back to the corporate

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world. There's a lot of fear, there's a lot of insecurity in the

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minds for people, because, when they join an organisation, they obviously

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want to make a career out of it, but eventually when you see that the

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organisation does not really treat them as a valuable resource, and

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they basically leave them in a hire and fire kind of strategy, it really

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puts them down. That hasn't put off these entrepreneurs. They've come to

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this workshop to hear from fellow business founders about their

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journey to success. But success in the start-up space will rely on

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funding and, until the investment climate improves, it will be

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difficult for the industry, which India is so well-known for, to fully

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bounce back. Let's have a look now at the

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markets. A positive start so far for the regional forces:

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This is after the rallies are being led by the US gains overnight, and,

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as Janet Yellen said, she foresees graduate rate hikes even as the US

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economy grows stronger. On Wall Street, another record breaking day

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for the Dow Jones industrial average, up by 123 points:

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Thank you for investing your time with us. Sport Today is coming up

:10:25.:10:28.

next. The nominated head of the FBI has

:10:29.:10:39.

told senators he doesn't regard the investigation into Russian

:10:40.:10:46.

intervention in last year's American

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