02/01/2018 Asia Business Report


02/01/2018

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of New Year's Day in

unrelated incidents.

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Police have made five arrests.

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Now on BBC News, all the latest

business news live from Singapore.

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All that rubbish - China bans the

import of waste. So where will all

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of the garbage go and what

businesses are most affected? And we

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look at how China will plans to

shake up the oil futures market, but

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will foreign traders buy it? Happy

New Year, and welcome to Asia

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Business Report live from Singapore.

Did you know that China has been the

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biggest importer of foreign rubbish?

Everything from paper waste,

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textiles to used plastic is sent to

China for recycling. But not any

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more. These imports are now banned

because Beijing is trying to clean

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up the country's environment and

improve public health. But the ban

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will disrupt billions of dollars in

trade. In 2016, China imported $18

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billion in waste. From Hong Kong,

Danny Vincent reports.

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Recycling in Hong Kong - this is

where plastic waste ends up. Used

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plastic near and far. Recyclers must

change the way waste is processed.

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China's has introduced a ban on

recycling products. Hong Kong has a

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challenge when it comes to dealing

with plastic waste. Right now the

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majority of the West Coast to

mainland China. But that could be

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set to change. The change also

represents an opportunity for

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recyclers. Waste management is big

business. Some companies in Hong

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Kong want to recycle the plastic

rubbish themselves. The man in the

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driving seat is Mr Lam. The CEO of

one of Hong Kong's largest

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recyclers. He has invested close to

$1 million to upgrade his equipment,

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ready for the ban. TRANSLATION:

The

recycling industry in Hong Kong

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faces many obstacles that these

days. The Chinese government has put

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in place certain restrictions on

importing waste plastic. Because of

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this, the industry has to look at

how to deal with the imminent demand

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of how we process it.

Hong Kong has

a relatively underdeveloped

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recycling sector. Activists hope the

Chinese ban will encourage Hong Kong

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companies to do more to develop the

industry. Andy Lee is the founder of

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a community-based recycling

programme.

If the Chinese policy is

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changed, I think they don't want to

accept waste from the other

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countries. They want good quality

items, good-quality recyclable

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materials.

For years Hong Kong

companies are dependent on Chinese

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appetite for waste product. Now that

many plastics are no longer

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welcomed, these Hong Kong companies

will have to process the rubbish

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themselves. That is if they wish to

make a profit.

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In other news, Airbus begins the

year with a record number of

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deliveries in 2017. The aircraft

maker is expected to be its target

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of 700 deliveries with staff having

to work through the holidays to make

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up for earlier delays. There is

still no word on a crucial $15

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billion deal with Emirates. South

Korea's Hyundai has a dim outlook of

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5 million cars for 2018. They lost 9

million cars last year over labour

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strikes affecting sales in its big

market. Saudi Arabia has raised

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local gas prices in the kingdom. The

initiative is aimed at more

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efficient energy use and is part of

a programme to gradually eliminate

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fuel subsidies as the Kingdom seeks

to overhaul the economy and balance

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the budget.

Now, in the oil sector still, China

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is edging closer to opening a

domestic market to trade oil futures

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contracts, which means Chinese

buyers will be able to lock in oil

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prices and pay in local currency.

Foreign traders will also be allowed

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to invest - a first for Chinese

commodity markets. Oil prices saw a

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fair bit of volatility last year -

this is the benchmark of crude last

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year and earlier I spoke with an

energy expert, John Driscoll, about

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the outlook for oil, and he said he

is sceptical about Chinese plans for

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an oil futures market.

This time

there appears to be more conviction

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but the real question is are if a

Chinese energy futures contract can

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ascend to the same kind of level as

the CME in the States, or the

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intercontinental futures exchange in

London, which are the main benchmark

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futures exchanges for crude oil and

products globally. It has to also

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gain acceptance from the industry at

large. You can look at some

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commodity contracts in China and see

that there are large volumes traded,

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but they are more speculative. It

seems almost like a casino for yield

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seeking punters, large interests,

and long forward trade. The other

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question will be the role this

Chinese central government will

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play. If you are a foreign trade and

want to enter the Chinese market,

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would you be willing to take on the

yuan denominated exposure, versus

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the US dollar? Will there be

deliverability on the contract? Can

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you access the domestic market?

Generally the central government of

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China is hands-on in all phases of

the economy.

Is it fair to say this

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is part of Beijing's effort to try

to replace or challenge the US

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dollar's dominance in the oil

market?

You might take a cynical

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type of you and say that this is

consistent with a pattern we have

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seen going back a couple of years,

the establishment of the Asian

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infrastructure bank, the rollout of

the belt and road initiative, this

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is China ascending as an economic,

global superpower, challenging the

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dominance of the west, in particular

the US, their roles in the economy

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and leadership in Asia. You could

take that view, but there is no

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doubt that China, as the world's

fastest growing energy consumer, the

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biggest year-on-year growth in

imports, they feel that they deserve

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a seat at the table and their

currency should be a basis for

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settlement.

We saw some volatility

in oil prices. What is your outlook

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for this?

We are going to test $70

but I see that as kind of a ceiling

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that is going to be difficult to

breach because as the price of oil

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goes up it affects the demand and it

makes it difficult for OPEC and non-

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OPEC to withhold control output, but

if oil prices go up you are tempted

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to overproduce more and break ranks

and that is what I would watch for

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in the coming year.

If you thought oil prices were

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volatile it is nothing compared to

the wild ride that Bitcoin took in

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2017 and the digital currency is

tumbling and trading at around

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$13,800, well below the record of

$19,000 in mid-December.

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Now, to the special series,

Disrupters. Gene editing is

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something you hear about in movies,

but one biotech firm is developing

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technology to do that. They say they

have the potential to treat and

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possibly even eradicate genetic

diseases, but it is not without

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controversy. Let's have

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diseases, but it is not without

controversy. Let's have a look.

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It provides us with the ability we

hope to go in, modify your DNA at

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the point that it is driving the

disease and allow us to repair the

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DNA typo, repair it and fix it in a

single or handful of treatments.

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This technology has the potential to

revolutionise healthcare as we know

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it today.

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The speed at which we have moved

forward from discovering it in 2012

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and testing in animal systems in

2017, I think, is unprecedented.

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It is the first trading day for many

of the global markets. Let's show

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you how Asia is trading now. Hong

Kong Hang Seng index opening higher,

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flirting with the import and 30,000

mark. Australia is down. Japan is

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shut.

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