19/11/2015 BBC Business Live


19/11/2015

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This is Business Live from the BBC, with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

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Cutting off funding for terrorists - as world leaders try to stem

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the rise of IS and other armed groups, attention shifts to blocking

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Live from London, that's our top story on Thursday 19th November.

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With an income of billions of dollars a year, IS is the richest

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But how do they make it, and how do global leaders intend to hit back?

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A Pacific power struggle - the US and China square up

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at the Apec summit in Manila, with territorial disputes

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And the European trading day is under way,

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In Japan, shares headed higher despite Government data showing that

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exports fell in October for the first time in over a year.

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And we'll hear from the chief executive of Forbes.

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It's known, amongst other things, for its influential rich-list.

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But can the magazine stay relevant in a digital world?

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Mike Perlis is a veteran of the magazine world -

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And as one bank in the Gulf says it will offer customers more interest

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on their savings if they do more exercise, we want to

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know - are financial rewards an incentive to stay fit and healthy?

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Let us know - just use the hashtag #BBCBizLive.

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The fight against so-called Islamic State has stepped up

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after the attacks in Paris which killed 129 people.

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Today the focus is on how the terrorists are funded,

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with a commission set up by Russia's President Putin.

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It's thought the militant group IS has an annual income of $2-billion.

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The US Treasury says it's probably the best-funded terrorist group

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Up to $500 million a year comes from the illicit sale of oil.

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That's sold to smugglers, who then sell it on through middle men.

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The UN says eight million people live in territory controlled

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by the group, with taxation and extortion a key source

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of revenue, bringing in hundreds of millions of dollars a year.

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The group has also looted up to $1billion from banks

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when it took over the Iraqi city of Mosul in 2014.

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Joining me now is Dr Sally Leivesley,

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director of NewRisk - they look at issues of terrorism and security.

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As Ben outlined, this is an organisation that is self funding

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and from that point of view is doing pretty well? It is a different

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situation to other terrorist groups, you cannot easily disrupt with land

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and revenues and resources, so their resilience against disruption means

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we are in for a very long time with them. Prior to the terrorist attacks

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in Paris of last week, this was looked into in great detail because,

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of course, there was that issue of how this organisation operates, how

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do we try and curb that? What conclusions are drawn about that,

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and do we have any more insight, given what happened in Paris? The

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stimulus with the G20 nations is that the leaders have to cooperate

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because so much of this is banking through the Internet, and also it is

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coordination of data collections, and unless the country leaders all

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take that on and look at issues of privacy versus trying to really find

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these plots on the run, and it is to find inside or our countries who is

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being recruited. In a sense, is technology, the online banking,

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social media for recruitment, that whole world is the key to this, I

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assume, and it is at a time when big companies that provide that are

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fighting with governments over privacy? Indeed, and unfortunately

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this is a public safety issue because marauding attacks across

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cities like Paris mean the finances of cities like Paris will take a

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hit, so IS is now becoming a very expensive terrorist group because

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they are causing us a cost within our own countries as well. As you

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say in some of your analysis, it is about demand, supply, looking at the

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basics of how business operates, and how you affect change through that

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analysis? What is good is that the countries have got together and

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understand that a lot of recruits are crowdfunding through family,

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friends, social media, so getting over there is an easy situation but

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the state itself needs energy, needs fuel, so what is happening is trying

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to disrupt, if you could fuel convoy you may be stopping a fighting

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effort that Isis leads, said that immediate impact within the Islamic

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State by what countries like ours and Russia are doing, but back home,

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while we are looking at what is over there we are missing the point that

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we have to upgrade these patterns of buying types of equipment online.

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Small bits of funding, people who are quite educated but never in a

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job and you need large datasets in the analysis. We appreciate you come

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again, very interesting, so much more to talk about. As you say,

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governments are talking about this and trying to coordinate more and

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more as time goes by. Difficult to know where to start,

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though. Let's bring you up-to-date with some

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other business stories. Reports say the US drug giant Pfizer

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is in talks to buy Irish rival It's a deal that could be worth

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$150 billion, making it the biggest It comes despite the US Treasury's

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plans to clamp down on so called tax "inversions",

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where a big US firm buys a smaller foreign rival then moves

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its headquarters to avoid US tax. America's Central Bank,

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the Federal Reserve, has given its strongest hint yet that it could

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raise interest rates next month. Minutes

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of the Fed's October meeting showed "most" officials felt conditions for

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a rate hike "could well be met That takes place on the 15th

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and 16th of December. Troubled Japanese electronics giant

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Sharp is trying to persuade its employees to buy its products

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in a bid to boost sales. The firm says it's not mandatory

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for staff to buy its goods, but that it wants workers to choose its

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products over those from rivals. The company recently announced its

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operating profit fell 86% in the The annual

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Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation - or Apec - summit is wrapping up

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in the Philippine capital, Manila. Apec's members include huge

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economies like the United States, China, Japan, and South Korea,

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as well as the likes of Indonesia, Between them, they account

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for almost half of global trade. Our correspondent Rupert Wingfield

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Hayes is at the summit for us. It has been an interesting time,

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because although they want to remain a coherent club all about trade,

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making it easy, there are deep divisions particularly between the

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US and China? That's right, we have heard lots of

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platitudes here about improving cooperation, enhancing inclusive

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growth, which has been the slogan of the meeting, but I think what has

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been start here is the noticeable deepening differences between China

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and the United States on a number of fronts. Firstly on territorial

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issues in the South China Sea, President Obama came here much more

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assertive in opposing what China has been doing in the South China Sea

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over the last year, building on weeks, creating artificial islands,

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President Obama said that must stop. He backed it up with new

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military aid for the Philippines and Vietnam, including cue new ships he

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announced yesterday for the Philippine Navy. That is on one

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side. On the trade site, deep differences on trading blocs.

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President Obama pushing his big trading group, the TPP, the

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Trans-Pacific Partnership, which includes 12 nations including

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Japan, Australia and several other Asia-Pacific nations but excluding

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China. President Xie Jin Ping of China has come here pushing another

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block, you may have heard of TPP but I doubt many people have heard of

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FTAP, the free trade area for the Pacific, which China say should be

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the new trading bloc for this region. It wants that taken more

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seriously and wants to push ahead with plans for its own free trade

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area to oppose the Americans' creation of the TPP.

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Thank you so much. That Apec summit under way there in Manila.

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Some news coming across the wires from Reuters, basically telling us

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that Belgium will spend an extra 400 million euros, $427 million, on the

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fight against Islamist violence, that coming from the Prime Minister

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of Belgium. More funds to fight hate speech in particular, to track

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potential extremists, and boost its intelligence services. Interesting

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this should be announced, given the conversation we have just had with

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Doctor Sally lately, so Belgium, to reiterate, spending an extra 400

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million euros specifically geared to fighting Islamist violence, that

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story just coming across the wires. Let's just take you to the market

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numbers. Stocks rising in Tokyo

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after the Bank of Japan decided to keep its stimulus programme

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unchanged, pushing up But elsewhere,

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that early rebound at the start of the week levelled off yesterday

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with further developments in Paris. In Europe, this is how

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the numbers are looking. This after last night's news

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from the Fed, where America's Central Bank laid out the case for

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a potential rise in interest rates That's dominating Wall Street, but

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what else is ahead in the US today? Wall Street will be hit with a

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double whammy as two high-profile tech companies begin trading.

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Square, Twitter CEO's Jack Dorsey's company, is one of the most

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prominent unicorns, Private start-ups valued at over $1 billion.

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The valuation has been significantly discounted from $6 billion a year

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ago. The company has not been profitable and investors worry that

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Jack Dorsey will be spread too thin between Square and Twitter to turn

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things around. Match group which owns online dating

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services will try to woo investors when it debuts on the Nasdaq. The

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company plans to use the money raised to repay the debt it owes to

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its parent company, IAC. And if we tell, Best Bites and Gap released

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their earnings. Joining us is Sue Noffke, UK

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equities fund manager at Schroders. It would seem that markets today are

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quite happy with what they read in the central bank minutes on

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Wednesday? The Fed are doing an important job of communicating to

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market what it is that will cause them to start to move interest rates

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after nine years. And then what they might look for in terms of the pace

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of any further interest rate rises. It is clear that December, all other

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things being equal, we will likely see the first rate rise. But the

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pace and further moves are likely to be quite modest. It was that move

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that boosted Asia? And we are seeing follow-through to Europe. What is

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interesting in the detail, they talk about how the US economy has

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weathered the storm perhaps better than they expected, talking about

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external factors. They were unnerved in the summer and early autumn by

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China in particular and what was going on in the emerging markets,

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and I think they looked at the statistics, both internationally,

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and what it means for the US domestic economy, and the data is

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coming through reasonably strongly. I think we need to get away from

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these kinds of emergency levels that we have lived with for so long. We

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also have UK retail sales coming through later, expecting to see an

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increase of something like 5% in sales, which sounds fairly decent.

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What does that tell us about how the UK economy is doing? We always have

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the comparison, year-on-year, what was the weather doing this time last

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year to this year? It always comes back to the weather in UK sales!

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There is a big weather in fact, in October and November we also have

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the lead up to Christmas and also the important Black Friday,

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pre-Christmas sales as well. Some retailers have decided to step away

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from Black Friday, so I think we might be in for a surprise. We will

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assess whether it is a good or bad move, but we need the right kind of

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rain in the meantime! Stepping away from Black Friday, but

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I don't think it is gone for ever, I think we are likely to see those

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pictures of people scrabbling over TVs.

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Also not gone forever, the various rich list, various people compiling

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them and a bit obsessed with them. We'll hear from the first man

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to head Forbes Media Steve Perlis is also a veteran

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of the magazine industry, so we'll ask how do magazines

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survive in a digital world? You're with Business Live

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from BBC News. into what went wrong at the bank

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HBOS will be published later. Our business reporter Simon Jack

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is following the story for us. Simon, this is a long-awaited

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report, we should get some detail but it is expected to be rather

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critical? Yes, there is a big cast of

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characters in this disaster movie but let's focus on the three leads,

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James Crosby, former chief executive of HBOS, architect of an aggressive

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sales driven growth strategy, Andy Hornby, his protege, came from

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ASDA, retail background, went from selling mids to mortgages, he was at

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Wembley when the bank went down in 2008. Dennis Stevenson, the chairman

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of the bank who it could be argued was responsible for keeping his

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aggressive executives in check. Possibly also criticism for the

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auditor, KPMG, why were they not aware of what was going on, and

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regulators at the time, people like John Tyler and Callum McCarthy,

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around at the time at the FSA, expect them to get some flak, and

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also the then Prime Minister Gordon Brown who brokered the deal for

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Lloyds to take over HBOS -- HBOS, much to the chagrin of the

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shareholders who say it prompted a hole in their bag. But why do we

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care about this, it was seven years ago? 40,000 jobs were lost and it

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cost a lot of money for the taxpayers. People will wonder why

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only one single prosecutor, Peter Cummings, was fined when the rest

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went Scot free. There will be a separate report on why that happened

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out today by a QC called Andrew Green.

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That report will definitely dominate the UK business news today.

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The reason is caught our attention, news from Poundland, the brilliance

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team who put it together, if you could hear the debate they had about

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the pronunciation! This is Jim McCarty, TCL of

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Poundland, he has been talking to the Today programme, about the

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impact of the national living wage, and what impact it will have on his

:16:54.:16:59.

company. Because he cannot put his prices at about ?1. And they are

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merging with 99p Stores, so clearly a debate about whether prices will

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go up or down! After attacks in Paris

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killed 129 people on Friday, global leaders are now looking

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at what they can do to limit the power

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of the so-called Islamic State. the group's multibillion-dollar

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funding stream. Russia has announced a commission

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to combat terrorism financing, while the European Union

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is now looking at what it can do to restrict the supply of

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money to IS. Details of that as we get it, and

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plenty more on the website, of course.

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The magazine business has had a tough time of late.

:17:52.:17:53.

The internet has been responsible for the demise

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And denting the advertising revenues of others.

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But there has been one notable exception, Forbes magazine.

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The business magazine ended last year

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with a record US readership of 6.7 million.

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US visitors to Forbes.com have also risen significantly,

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That success has spawned many admirers.

:18:13.:18:20.

In 2014 Forbes Media, which controls the magazine, sold

:18:21.:18:22.

a majority stake worth $300 million to a Hong Kong based investor group.

:18:23.:18:27.

One of the key drivers of that success has been Mike Perlis,

:18:28.:18:31.

back in 2010 he became the first chief executive of Forbes Media

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to not be a member of the Forbes family.

:18:35.:18:36.

Michelle Fleury asked him what he was doing differently.

:18:37.:18:42.

I invested principally in digital content businesses, Huffington Post,

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Buzzfeed, associated content, Buddy Media, and I learned a lot

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about how to create content, how to figure out the right kinds

:18:51.:18:53.

of business models around the creation of high quality content.

:18:54.:18:58.

And I reached a certain age, and as a guy who's been an operator most of

:18:59.:19:04.

my life, I decided, after ten years of venture capital investing, that

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I wanted to take what I've learned and apply it to a grand old brand,

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and I found Forbes, I've known Forbes,

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they are very forward thinking, very nimble, and able to move,

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and we put the old brand together with new digital thinking

:19:21.:19:24.

and really transformed the company over the last five years,

:19:25.:19:26.

which is what I left Softbank to go out and try and do.

:19:27.:19:31.

You talk about the bigger opportunity being digital,

:19:32.:19:33.

I mean, most of your advertising revenue now comes

:19:34.:19:35.

from digital ads, not traditional ads.

:19:36.:19:38.

It does, we crossed over that threshold

:19:39.:19:41.

I think we are unique in old, well-established brands,

:19:42.:19:48.

having found ourselves, worked very hard to get there,

:19:49.:19:51.

but finding ourselves in the position

:19:52.:19:54.

where most of our advertising from advertising comes from digital.

:19:55.:19:59.

Which brings me to a concern that some people have about native

:20:00.:20:02.

advertising, they are worried that somehow that wall between content

:20:03.:20:06.

and advertising has been broken - how do you address those concerns?

:20:07.:20:13.

Our native advertising product is something called Brand Voice.

:20:14.:20:17.

We have over 100 marketers who take advantage of that.

:20:18.:20:20.

they work with the business side of the house.

:20:21.:20:26.

But the content that they create, it's not salesy,

:20:27.:20:30.

it's not advertorial, it's thought leadership

:20:31.:20:34.

that represents their company in the way

:20:35.:20:36.

that they'd like consumer to see them, and as a result

:20:37.:20:40.

is of great interest to our audience and drives traffic to Forbes.com

:20:41.:20:44.

along with the content we do create, you know, in the old-fashioned way,

:20:45.:20:47.

You also have to work with Hong Kong investment group that owns a portion

:20:48.:20:53.

of Forbes, what has that been like? It's been...

:20:54.:20:57.

It's new, it's just a year, we sold a majority stake in Forbes

:20:58.:21:03.

Media to Integrated Whale Media, ut's a group of Hong Kong invesors

:21:04.:21:09.

There are great opportunities for Forbes in Asia, and one of the

:21:10.:21:14.

reasons that our new investors came on board, in addition to wanting to

:21:15.:21:22.

continue to run the media company in an innovative way and ambitiously

:21:23.:21:30.

and continue to grow it, they also see, and I agree,

:21:31.:21:33.

that there are amazing opportunities from a branding standpoint

:21:34.:21:35.

Products that are based on the image and the character and ethos

:21:36.:21:41.

that is created by our media product, but that may be in the

:21:42.:21:47.

travel area, the financial services area, the real estate area.

:21:48.:21:50.

So when you mention travel there, is there an example you can give me

:21:51.:21:55.

of what a Forbes branded travel experience might look like?

:21:56.:21:59.

Well, we have a travel guide, Forbes Travel Guide, that rates hotels, a

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five-star rating system, but I think beyond that we are looking at things

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along the lines of investments in real hotel and conference properties

:22:08.:22:13.

that may have the Forbes name, probably like everything we do,

:22:14.:22:17.

with a strong dollop of business as an overlay.

:22:18.:22:26.

Forbes branded business travel products.

:22:27.:22:29.

So the Michelin Guide but for business travellers.

:22:30.:22:32.

A bit more breaking news related to the events in Paris on Friday, news

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on the AP newswire that authorities in Belgium have launched six raids

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in Brussels. They say this is in the Brussels region, all linked to the

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suicide bomber Bilal Hadfi. They say an bushel in the federal

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prosecutor's offers say that is taking place in the Molenbeek area

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of Brussels but other areas are included. Six more raids taking

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place in Brussels. 24-hour is ago, the raids were ongoing in

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Saint-Denis, a suburb of Paris, which was taking place this time

:23:21.:23:23.

yesterday. Bilal Hadfi has been identified as one of three attackers

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at the Stade de France stadium. The raids are centring on his

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the AP newswire. We will update you the AP newswire. We will update you

:23:34.:23:39.

when we get more information. We just want to take you through some

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of the business pages, welcome back. We are hearing from Forbes, Mike

:23:45.:24:00.

Perlis, this is the rich list, the hot 40 under 40, making us all feel

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a little like failures in our careers! But nonetheless, the top

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ten are worth $122 billion between them. A lot of money, and a lot of

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very new companies, eight Facebook associates, three from air B, so

:24:15.:24:22.

all the new companies that have really risen up so quickly, and what

:24:23.:24:29.

is happening is that age is not a barrier to very real success,

:24:30.:24:33.

certainly in monetary terms. It is happening for people a lot quicker

:24:34.:24:38.

in the digital age than it did some generations ago. Just one on the

:24:39.:24:46.

list is a woman, Elizabeth Holmes, who started a biotech company. Yes,

:24:47.:24:53.

diagnostics. , worth $4 billion. Quite interesting, but it would be

:24:54.:24:58.

nice to see more women on that list. One out of 40 is quite disappointing

:24:59.:25:02.

as a hit rate, it should be something that is more

:25:03.:25:06.

representative of our place in society. Indeed. Maybe it's big to

:25:07.:25:11.

the entrepreneurial spirit, I'm not quite sure. -- maybe it speaks.

:25:12.:25:19.

Speaking of diagnostics, big business in the United States,

:25:20.:25:23.

health devices, this is a whole new take.

:25:24.:25:26.

You get a higher interest rate on your savings account if you take

:25:27.:25:32.

exercise. That is one way of getting people to do exercise. Depending on

:25:33.:25:36.

the number of steps you are prepared to take, they will monitor your

:25:37.:25:40.

activity rate and adjust the interest rate accordingly. I think

:25:41.:25:44.

Big Brother is going to be watching us all, we will get something for

:25:45.:25:49.

being more active in our lives. Thanks so much for coming in,

:25:50.:25:50.

counting every step! Thank you for your company, we will

:25:51.:25:58.

see you soon. Bye-bye.

:25:59.:26:03.

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