21/01/2016 BBC Business Live


21/01/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

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The bear necessities - investors head for safe havens

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as the global market turmoil deepens.

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Live from London, that's our top story on Thursday 21st of January.

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Stock markets in Asia suffer further losses a day after global turmoil

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saw billions of dollars wiped off the value of shares worldwide.

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It's rate decision day for the European Central Bank.

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We'll be looking at how the global volatility is making it much harder

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And we are 30 minutes into the European trading day

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with traders on high alert again, so shares are mixed not knowing

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which way to head after Wednesday's heavy losses and the price of oil

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And how do you reach over a billion people?

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We'll be talking to the chief executive of India's largest private

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sector bank about the challenges of reaching customers

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And Facebook's chief operating officer Sheryl Sandberg says men

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still run the world and it's not going so well.

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Basically if we had more women running our global economy,

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And its becoming an all too familiar tale, the turmoil on financial

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markets which shows little sign of abating.

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There have been further falls in Asia today.

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in Singapore in just a moment, but lets just recap the roller

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At one point the Dow Jones industrial average was down

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They did stage a recovery later in the day to wipe out some

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So far, though, the damage to global share prices has been enormous.

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Here's the big number - around 15 trillion dollars

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is the amount that has been wiped off stock markets around the world

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since the peak according to Bloomberg.

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The fears of many investors are now being realised.

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That's when an asset slumps 20% or more from its peak.

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It signals a serious loss of confidence and usually means more

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Well, on Wednesday London's FTSE 100 entered bear territory,

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down 20.5% from its peak in the summer.

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Japan's Nikkei 225 is there already.

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And the index of global shares known as the MSCI is just a whisker away,

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Our Asia business correspondent Karishma Vaswani is in Singapore.

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Tell us more about how things went today. Well, markets in ASEAN

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started the day faring better than most expected, but almost every

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single one turned negative by the time they closed. Chinese shares

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were down 3%, despite the huge cash injection from the central bank.

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They are doing that a lot these days to shore up support and confidence.

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Korea and Hong Kong were down as well. Japan's new K lost 2.4% after

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entering bear market territory on Wednesday. Initially Tokyo shares

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were doing better. But as the day progressed the yen strengthened and

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it got investors nervous and worried about corporate profits. It is not

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just the Japanese yen. Do not forget the slowdown in China and lower oil

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prices or affect things, so it is likely shares will continue to be

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volatile in this part of the world. Good to speak to you. Let's show you

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the numbers. The price of Brent crude in the UK is trading below $28

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a barrel. Let's look at Europe as it is trading now. All these markets

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are high across Europe and Germany, France up 1% and so is London. But

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these markets lost serious amount of ground on Wednesday. London entered

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a bear market. Is this a short lived upside for Europe's markets. I am

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going to hand over to you. Is it my turn? We get a little chat.

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Maike Currie joins us from Fidelity Worldwide Investments.

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There they are. Market turmoil, more than $3.5 trillion wiped off

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yesterday. The turmoil on the market does not necessarily reflect the

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economic picture on the ground. Yes, as we have heard so many times stock

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markets do not reflect what is happening in the broader economy and

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if we look at the fundamentals, things are looking better,

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especially in the US and the UK. The IMS growth forecast of three or 4%

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is higher behind these falls? One is

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valuations. Since 2009, valuations have doubled, but earnings growth

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has not come through and investors are asking if they are paying the

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right price. Then the biggest investors are withdrawing

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panicking, they should be sticking to their strategy and they say look

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at the fundamentals. The fundamentals are there, but do you

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think the markets will have to accept or realise that a slow in

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China and lower oil prices is the norm? Certainly for 2016?

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Absolutely. China is on a path of transformation to a consumption led

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economy and that will not be without pain. With China's fixed asset

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investment it is off the scale. But it does not mean China is in

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meltdown, it is slowdown. You know the routine. You are going to come

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You are going to come back and take us through the newspapers.

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Meanwhile, it's rate decision day for the European Central Bank.

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While in the past, troubles in southern Europe have slowed

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growth, now it's the same issue troubling global markets

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which are vexing Europe's central bank.

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Nobel Prize winning economist and professor at Yale University

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No doubt all the market turmoil we have just been speaking about, the

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slowing of China, the oil prices, Mario Draghi, the boss of the

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European Central Bank, what do you think he should be doing? What do

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you think the European Central Bank needs to do? Well, the European

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Central Bank's primary mission is not to stabilise the stock market.

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On the other hand there is a feedback loop going on between the

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stock market and the general economy. The stock market is

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well-known a leading indicator of the aggregate economy and so it is

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troubling when it declined this much. If I were Mario Draghi, I

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would be considering more stimulus. It is funny you should say that,

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this is Sally in the studio, I know last week Mario Draghi had a private

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meeting with Angela Merkel, which he does regularly, but in that meeting

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it was expected she would put pressure on him to start an exit

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from the stimulus programme, because for Germany it is not the right

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path. I do not think this is the time for an exit. This is a time of

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concern. We had big drops in August and now they are coming again

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several months later. It is changing the mood. People are saying

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different things and it has a darker, more ominous look to it now.

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This is the time for the central bank not to try to stabilise the

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market. The US market particularly, we do not want to worry about the

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stock market, but we do not want to see a meltdown. You mentioned the

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phrase it was not a good time to exit stimulus in Europe. Let's go

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from that to a British exit, David Cameron speaking at Davos today. In

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terms of economics will Britain be better off or worse off in or out of

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Europe? You say in terms of economic 's, unfortunately there is no clear

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dividing line between economic 's and politics. Britain's except does

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not feel right. I am not involved directly, but it seems like European

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unity was a dream that came out of World War II and I would like to see

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it continue personally. It might be better for the UK in terms of narrow

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economic thinking to pull out, but I would not let that dominate. Thank

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you, we appreciate your time. Enjoy Davos, it looks like a beautiful

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day. Nicer than it is here. I am just talking about the environment.

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I am just talking about the environment.

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The boss of Italian bank Monte dei Paschi di Siena

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has admitted some customers have been pulling out their savings

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but called the fall in deposits limited

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Italy's third biggest bank was founded in 1472

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and is thought to be the world's oldest.

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It has lost 60% of its stock-market value this year

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amid fears about its mountain of bad loans.

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more than 1,000 investment banking jobs,

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with Asian operations hit particularly hard -

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Bloomberg News says the banking giant may abandon

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several Asian markets altogether as it battles to cut costs.

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Barclays has refused to comment on the reports.

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There is the story breaking on the website about Pearson, the British

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education publisher, shares up 8%. The shares may be up, but look at

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that, 4000. Investors like to hear about a company restructuring. It

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said it had to cut its earnings forecast for last year and this

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year, so it is clearly struggling and 10% of the workforce is going.

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We are going to talk about car is very shortly, but I like this. This

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is Jaguar Land Rover. We will not rot up and win it. We will add

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value. I like that, I thought it was very cool. We will be talking to the

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chief executive of India's largest private bank who is trying to reach

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people in rural areas. UK car production is at a 10-year

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high and more of them are exported than ever before and more than 80%

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of them get shipped abroad. Then is in Solihull this morning, looking

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very casual with those robots all around him. We export a lot, but is

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China a big concern? Record car sales in the UK last year, 1.5

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million cars were made right here and 1.8 million of them were sold

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around the world. We even sold cars, and our second biggest export market

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is America taking on the likes of General Motors and Ford in their

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home market. It is an industry we had all but written off a decade

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ago. Professor David Bailey is with us. We wrote off carmaking and yet

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there has been a big resurgence. What changed? The UK is good at

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making cars and what we have seen is a huge resurgence in assembly, great

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skills base, good relationship between unions and management, big

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investment and a supportive industrial policy. It has been so

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successful the supply change has struggled to keep up. We want to see

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the benefits of that assembly in the wider economy. That is the issue. It

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is a big success story, but all of this massive machinery requires a

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lot of investment. One of these machines probably costs about

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?100,000. I want to show you something. If we think about the

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size, the scope and the expense of those machines, what they are doing

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is putting this tiny little thing, a rivet, that will hold the car

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together. That is a small component of many thousands that go into this

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process, but it shows the power of this technology. What are your

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goggles for? What? Why are you wearing glasses?

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You are not near dangerous stuff. It is health and safety, I hope he does

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not drop that little thing, it looks expensive.

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And more parcels have been sent this year, that is on the Business Live

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page. You're watching Business Live,

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our top story: Stock markets in Asia

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suffer further losses, a day after global turmoil

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saw billions of dollars In Europe right now, markets across

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the board are trading up around about 1%, but let's not forget that

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yesterday they lost more than 3%, the main markets in Europe, and for

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London a significant, symbolic day, it entered into bear territory.

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$3.5 trillion since the beginning of the year, since the peak.

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Let's look at the world of banking in one of the most difficult

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but exciting countries in the world, India.

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with the chief executive of ICICI Bank, Chanda Kochhar,

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but first let's look at some of the basics.

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ICICI is the largest private Indian bank

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and the second biggest overall in the country.

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While the majority of its activities are in India,

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it now operates in 17 other countries around the world.

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The bank's home territory offers a great deal of challenges.

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With a population of over 1.2 billion people,

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and access to services is not an easy task.

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Under Mrs Kochhar, the bank has put a particular focus on mobile banking

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to broaden access, particularly into rural areas.

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Well, let's speak to Chanda Kochhar now, who joins us from Davos.

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Welcome to the programme, thank your -- thank you for being with us,

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let's talk about the success of the Indian economy, how do you think

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India is managing to see the growth it is seen when everyone around it

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is slipping? If you look at the Brics, you are the last woman

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standing! Yes, first of all, I think the entire macroeconomic factors for

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India have been managed very well, we have built strong reserves, we

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made sure we build another import covers. Of course, the fall in oil

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prices has helped substantially. Inflation has been part of the

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control, so with this our currency has been relatively more stable

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compared to the rest of the world. Second, I think there is a whole lot

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of effort being put in by the government to attract more foreign

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direct investment in some of the various, very important sectors, and

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that has brought in a lot of foreign investment. Third, I think on the

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ground a lot of focus on increasing production of coal, increasing

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production of iron ore, so all that has got the economy ticking, and

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that is why we are where we are. We in India believe our potential is

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even more, and we ought to be doing even more and even better than this.

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Talking of foreign investment, some big names in the world of

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technology, Google and Facebook are talking extensively about doing all

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they can to connect the mass population of India to the world

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wide web etc, and for you, in banking, that must be the key to

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getting those rural areas the kind of access to banking that they

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require. It has to be an online service by a smart device.

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Absolutely, I think the way technology and use of mobility and

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mobile is penetrating in India, I think the business models for

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banking are changing in India. So we have, of course, 1 billion mobile

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users in the country, 400 million people using internet, and most of

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them use internet on mobile. And that gives us the opportunity to

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actually spread the access of banking to those people who, in the

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past, could not access banking. And as a country, as a whole, in less

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than 18 months, we have opened more than 200 million accounts for people

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who have not had bank accounts so far, and just in our bank, mobile

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banking has crossed even banking in branches. The number of transactions

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that take place on the mobile phone are much more than what take place

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in branches. Branches total less than 10% of transactions, and all

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the rest are done on this technology based platform. We have a very

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strong mobile offering, more than 100 kind of banking products and

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services through the mobile phone. Can I ask you this while we have got

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you, no disrespect here, you are a rare breed where you are in Davos,

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because only 17% of the big power hitters are women. Sheryl Sandberg

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of Facebook said that men still run the world, but I am not sure it is

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going that well. I want to ask you, do you think if more women were in

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power in economic institutions, banks and you name it, would we have

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a richer world, do you think? Well, I think in any case women are almost

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50% of the talent, so if we had more women participating in the economic

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development and economic growth, we would just ensure that we are using

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more and more of the right talent available and creating diversity in

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decision-making. You know, my belief is, in every decision making, we

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need diversity of thought, and that is where gender diversity really

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helps. So to have more women making better economic participation, just

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more diversity in decision-making, making decisions even more

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comprehensive. Chanda Kochhar... And I must add that India is actually

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doing very well on this count. I mean, you have a large part of the

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banking sector in India being run by women. Really good to hear, as we

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were just about to say, it has been a pleasure to have you on the

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programme, Chanda Kochhar, chief executive of ICICI Bank. Thank you.

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She hadn't finished! Let's talk about what the viewers are saying,

:21:29.:21:33.

their views on that subject. Fabry is -- Fabrice says men are not to be

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blamed, it is just a bad part of the cycle, run the world, girls. Another

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says, without being rude, would there be much difference if there

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were more women in power? Lemmon says, as long as we can remember,

:21:57.:22:00.

men have been in power, maybe a change of shift would not be a bad

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thing. We have a special Davos page,

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because many of the world's key business leaders, politicians etc

:22:12.:22:15.

are in Davos at the moment, and one of our leading ladies, Tanya

:22:16.:22:19.

Beckett, you can see her there discussing the key issues. She is

:22:20.:22:24.

interviewing many of the key people, as is Kamal Ahmed, our economics

:22:25.:22:30.

editor, who is there as well. And Leonardo DiCaprio attacks corporate

:22:31.:22:36.

greed, that is amazing, isn't it? There are always Hollywood stars

:22:37.:22:41.

there. By Mikey makes about $30 million a film!

:22:42.:22:43.

I went a few times, and Richard Gere was there. Maike is back with us, by

:22:44.:22:51.

the way. Security is very tight, and they would not let Richard Gere

:22:52.:22:55.

through the security, because he did not have his badge on. He was

:22:56.:22:58.

desperately trying to find it under his coat, I was saying, don't you

:22:59.:23:06.

know who he is?! Sharon stone was there as well. It was a bit of a

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double act, I have to say. Are you from the nineteen eighties?!

:23:12.:23:20.

She is still around, you know! Maike, what are we going to start

:23:21.:23:25.

with? Since we're on the theme, shall we start with Sheryl Sandberg?

:23:26.:23:33.

You interviewed a power hitter this morning, a female, I interviewed the

:23:34.:23:36.

president of MasterCard yesterday, another woman, at Davos, and she

:23:37.:23:42.

said that there have been studies done, if more women ran the world,

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we might be $12 trillion richer. There is the benefits of balance and

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diversity of thought, and I think it is quite staggering in this day and

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age that if we look at the FTSE 100, of the 100 companies, we only have

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six female CEOs, it is really staggering. Look at executive

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positions, a number of nonexecutive positions have gone up, but

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executive directorships, only one in ten in the FTSE 100, and lower down

:24:19.:24:23.

the company scale, it is one in five. Do you feel, if we could ask

:24:24.:24:27.

you a personal question, do you feel held back at all? Is it an obstacle

:24:28.:24:33.

for you? No, I don't, there are lots of opportunities, you have to go out

:24:34.:24:37.

and grab them, but it would be an advantage if we had more leaders in

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place you could look up to, who set an example. I think Sheryl Sandberg

:24:43.:24:48.

is a good example of that. Even Sheryl Sandberg, who makes a lot of

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good points, and I would encourage every to read her book, even she

:24:53.:24:57.

works for a man. She does, Mark Zuckerberg, we know him well.

:24:58.:25:07.

Luck, Abba is back together for the promotion of a new restaurant in

:25:08.:25:16.

Stockholm, a temp one restaurant. Are you a fan? I am a very big Abba

:25:17.:25:25.

van. I will definitely be going. What a fantastic marketing event,

:25:26.:25:28.

they will probably never need to advertise again, do you imagine? I

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don't think so. I know they have been trying to get them together,

:25:34.:25:37.

they were once offered $1 billion and they said no. They don't need

:25:38.:25:42.

the money. Their royalties must be incredible. It has been great to

:25:43.:25:47.

have you on the programme. That is another addition of Businesslike, we

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will see you tomorrow. OK, bye.

:25:52.:26:08.

Good morning, although it is not as cold as this time yesterday

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temperatures are widely below freezing across the eastern side of

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the country,

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