25/07/2016 BBC Business Live


25/07/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson

:00:00.:00:07.

It's flying high, but are there be headwinds on the horizon?

:00:08.:00:13.

Ryanjet says profits are up,

:00:14.:00:14.

but warns of more Brexit uncertainty.

:00:15.:00:16.

Live from London, that's our top story on the 25th July.

:00:17.:00:37.

Ryanair releases their latest results, but the shadow of Brexit

:00:38.:00:40.

looms large over their plans for the future.

:00:41.:00:42.

We'll be speaking to the company's top man money man in just a moment.

:00:43.:00:45.

Also in the programme, what goes up, must come down.

:00:46.:00:47.

Shares in Nintendo, the company behind Pokemon GO tumbles in Tokyo,

:00:48.:00:50.

we're going to find out why investors have cooled on last week's

:00:51.:00:53.

This is what the markets are doing this morning. Optimism on the

:00:54.:01:07.

European markets, after a good session last week. In Asia and the

:01:08.:01:09.

US. We have the details. Augmented reality technology has

:01:10.:01:12.

already swept the globe thanks to the smash-hit smartphone game

:01:13.:01:15.

Pokemon Go. So we'll get the Inside Track on how

:01:16.:01:18.

real-time imaging is revolutionising And as one of the UK's

:01:19.:01:21.

biggest newspapers slumps to a record loss of ?180m,

:01:22.:01:26.

we want to know, do Let us know, just use

:01:27.:01:29.

the hashtag #BBCBizLive. It's a good job it's written in

:01:30.:01:50.

about five places on the screen. The world's second largest budget

:01:51.:01:54.

airline, Ryanair says the UK's decision to leave the EU means

:01:55.:02:01.

that it will "pivot" growth away from the country's airports

:02:02.:02:04.

and instead focus on growing The company made the comments as it

:02:05.:02:06.

announced its latest numbers, a modest a 4% rise in profits

:02:07.:02:10.

for the first quarter of the financial year,

:02:11.:02:19.

bringing in Euro 256 million, But the company insists that it's

:02:20.:02:21.

on track for its best ever year despite the uncertainty surrounding

:02:22.:02:26.

the Uk's vote to leave the European Union, but warned

:02:27.:02:28.

there could be further implications if the UK is unable

:02:29.:02:32.

to negotiate access The referendum result has seen

:02:33.:02:34.

a 10% drop in the value Although Ryanair is an Irish

:02:35.:02:39.

airline, it still makes a lot of its money

:02:40.:02:46.

in pounds and they just aren't worth It's not just the exchange rate

:02:47.:02:49.

that's been affected British airlines still benefit

:02:50.:02:52.

from the EU's single aviation market, giving them

:02:53.:02:55.

unrestricted access to cities The referendum could potentially

:02:56.:02:57.

make it more difficult for companies like Ryanair to fly to Europe

:02:58.:03:05.

from its London-based airports. Neil Sorahan, Ryanair's Chief

:03:06.:03:15.

Financial Officer, joins us now. The big-money man. Good to have you

:03:16.:03:27.

with us. How are you? I am fine. I will let you do some positive at the

:03:28.:03:30.

beginning, some have been telling us this morning, and I know for a fact,

:03:31.:03:37.

Ryanair have a fairly decent, flexible model. The beauty is that

:03:38.:03:42.

if you have a downturn in one area, you can up sticks, move those planes

:03:43.:03:47.

to another area that is doing relatively better, right? Yeah, we

:03:48.:03:50.

operate in 33 different country with just over 350 aircraft in the fleet.

:03:51.:03:55.

The beauty of the model is that we have a low-cost model, more airports

:03:56.:03:58.

searching for our business and aircraft available. We have a lot of

:03:59.:04:05.

flexibility built into the model. There is the positive, flexible

:04:06.:04:09.

business model. I am not too sure how flexible it is going to be when

:04:10.:04:14.

the UK is out of the EU. Something like almost 40% of your flights, I

:04:15.:04:20.

can imagine close to nearly half of your revenue, involves flights in

:04:21.:04:25.

and out of the UK. I would correct you, 28% of our revenue, 21% of our

:04:26.:04:34.

cause offsetting that. It is not as big a financial impact. 28%. Let's

:04:35.:04:39.

rounded up, 30%, that is a big chunk. Almost 40% of your flights,

:04:40.:04:44.

not your revenue but 40% of your flights in and out of the UK, that

:04:45.:04:48.

will be a bit tricky once the UK is out of the EU. No, if you look at

:04:49.:04:54.

it, Aaron, if they leave the EU and they have two negotiate bilaterals

:04:55.:04:57.

with the EU negotiation to travel rights, what would be impacted would

:04:58.:05:03.

be three domestic routes in the UK stopped 1800 routes in the entire

:05:04.:05:05.

network in three of those would be under question. At that stage we

:05:06.:05:09.

would have to decide whether we keep them operating or not or whether we

:05:10.:05:13.

would just get a UK air operated certificate. In the context of 1800

:05:14.:05:18.

routes the network, not hugely significant. UK-based airlines, it

:05:19.:05:22.

does become a bigger issue for them. In as far as a lot of their traffic

:05:23.:05:27.

would be into the EU. Unless the correct bilaterals are put in place,

:05:28.:05:30.

to makes it difficult for them to travel around in Europe. What I am

:05:31.:05:35.

interested in is this concept of pivoting away as we talked about

:05:36.:05:38.

earlier. What it means on the ground. Does it mean less investment

:05:39.:05:44.

in the UK? Yes, as we take delivery of 52 aircraft, they are issuing

:05:45.:05:48.

another 50 next year. The growth rate we would have planned for the

:05:49.:05:52.

UK will lowdown, somewhat. This winter, we will start moving some

:05:53.:05:56.

capacity out of Stansted. We are already a couple of years ahead of

:05:57.:06:00.

our long-term deal with them. While we don't plan to close any routes

:06:01.:06:03.

this winter, we will reduce frequencies on a number of different

:06:04.:06:07.

routes out of Stansted over the winter. Future growth and future

:06:08.:06:16.

revenue growth, bottoms on seats, it is a good number. Other airlines

:06:17.:06:22.

would like it. 95%. That makes it very difficult to grow, you don't

:06:23.:06:26.

have more seats on the plains to sell. Where do you look at growing

:06:27.:06:32.

future revenue? We have a lot of opportunities around Europe. As you

:06:33.:06:36.

said, we have an eye watering load factor, 95% on aircraft in the last

:06:37.:06:41.

quarter. We will consider new to see those load factors being maintained

:06:42.:06:46.

throughout the year, 93% load factor for the year. 2019, we start taking

:06:47.:06:53.

delivery of the Boeing 737, the game changes, as we call them, 4% more

:06:54.:06:59.

capacity, eight extra seats. We can spread our cost of a more passengers

:07:00.:07:03.

and enhance ancillary opportunities. No short places to grow around here.

:07:04.:07:08.

We appreciate your time, thank you very much for joining us. We will

:07:09.:07:10.

talk to you sometime soon. Bank you. Reports say US telecoms giant

:07:11.:07:14.

Verizon is to buy Yahoo's search and advertising operations

:07:15.:07:19.

for $5 billion. Yahoo announced in February

:07:20.:07:20.

it was looking at "strategic alternatives" for its core internet

:07:21.:07:22.

business, but Verizon has declined A formal announcement is expected

:07:23.:07:25.

later today before US markets open China's Huawei has reported a

:07:26.:07:34.

40% jump in first half sales and says it's confident the growth

:07:35.:07:44.

will continue in the The telecoms equipment maker is also

:07:45.:07:47.

China's biggest smartphone maker. But, the company is currently

:07:48.:07:50.

being sued by rival Samsung, which accuses it of

:07:51.:07:53.

copying its designs. Who isn't suing everybody in that

:07:54.:07:56.

industry? You said it so well. European Commission President

:07:57.:08:05.

Jean-Claude Juncker has poured cold water on any ideas of a quick

:08:06.:08:07.

accession of Turkey to the EU. Speaking earlier on French

:08:08.:08:10.

television, Juncker said that Turkey is in no situation to become

:08:11.:08:12.

a member of the EU any time soon. He added a stern warning,

:08:13.:08:15.

saying that if Turkey re-introduced the death penalty,

:08:16.:08:17.

accession talks would be halted Shares in Nintendo have fallen

:08:18.:08:20.

sharply after the Japanese gaming giant said Pokemon Go's success

:08:21.:08:34.

would have a limited impact At one point it was down 18% in

:08:35.:08:37.

Tokyo. Our Business Correspondent, Tim

:08:38.:08:52.

McDonald is in Singapore with more. I'm getting caught under the desk.

:08:53.:09:00.

But to see you. I don't know if they had to make this statement, we had

:09:01.:09:04.

to say. Did they not think this has got legs to carry it further? It's

:09:05.:09:11.

not a matter of Pokemon not being a huge global hit and phenomenon, it

:09:12.:09:15.

is the investors worried they won't see much money from it. Nintendo

:09:16.:09:19.

itself is a bit more removed from Pokemon and perhaps many investors

:09:20.:09:24.

realise. The game is a collaboration between the Pokemon company which

:09:25.:09:30.

owns the licensing rights, it is Pickachu and the US game studio with

:09:31.:09:34.

Nintendo holding it states in those companies. Nintendo reports its

:09:35.:09:38.

first quarter is this week and says the game will not have that much of

:09:39.:09:44.

an impact. Investors are not happy. Nintendo stocks plummeted almost 18%

:09:45.:09:48.

in trading today. Lowest since 1990. It needs to be kept in perspective.

:09:49.:09:52.

Even with today's sell-off, the shares are still up about 60% in the

:09:53.:09:57.

game launched in the US, Australia and New Zealand on July sixth. Thank

:09:58.:10:04.

you. It's my favourite joke, how would you get Pikachu on a bus? You

:10:05.:10:08.

Pokemon. Japan's Nikkei paring back its early

:10:09.:10:10.

gains and ended flat at the start of the week as investors cashed

:10:11.:10:13.

in with abit of profit taking. That is why the numbers in Asia are

:10:14.:10:17.

down slightly. Hopes that the Bank of Japan

:10:18.:10:20.

will unveil more stimulus later this week also boosted the numbers

:10:21.:10:23.

earlier this week. For markets in Europe,

:10:24.:10:27.

they're coming off four consecutive weeks of decent gains,

:10:28.:10:29.

largely driven by the expectation that interest rates are likely

:10:30.:10:31.

to stay lower for longer. Economic data has been

:10:32.:10:40.

better than expected in the last couple of weeks,

:10:41.:10:42.

despite some worries, We'll talk more about that

:10:43.:10:45.

in a moment, but here's Michelle with the details about the day

:10:46.:10:50.

ahead on Wall Street. Prepare for an action-packed week,

:10:51.:10:56.

Wall Street gets a peek at the growth in the second quarter,

:10:57.:10:59.

where GDP figures are released this With the US economy showing signs

:11:00.:11:02.

of improvement, after a weak start to the year, will America's

:11:03.:11:08.

central bank raise interest rates? The Federal Reserve announces

:11:09.:11:14.

its decision on Wednesday. Most investors consider a rate hike

:11:15.:11:17.

unlikely at this time. This Monday, chip-maker

:11:18.:11:20.

Texas Instruments report The recent drop in

:11:21.:11:24.

iPhone sales could put We will hear more from

:11:25.:11:27.

the tech sector this week when big names such as Apple,

:11:28.:11:30.

Facebook and Amazon, among others, Joining us now is Brenda Kelly,

:11:31.:11:33.

an independent market analyst. A familiar face and our friend.

:11:34.:11:49.

Great to have you with us. The big central bank seen again, it

:11:50.:11:53.

continues will stop American central bank meeting this week. Expectations

:11:54.:11:59.

will it do something? Also, bank of Japan, is it going to... I don't

:12:00.:12:03.

know, more stimulus? Negative interest rates already in Japan,

:12:04.:12:08.

despite the fact that you have Corroda lined negative interest

:12:09.:12:11.

rates were possible three days before invoking them. At this

:12:12.:12:14.

particular point it is hard to know what the bank of Japan can do.

:12:15.:12:19.

Helicopter money is one of those areas that has been banded around

:12:20.:12:23.

for a while. It has never been tested, he has denied it is a

:12:24.:12:27.

possibility but loss of credibility in respect of other monetary policy

:12:28.:12:32.

decisions in the past, it could happen. For the time being, Japan's

:12:33.:12:36.

exports were a bit better than were expected in terms of the fall but

:12:37.:12:39.

they have fallen for nine consecutive month in a row. Strong

:12:40.:12:44.

currency we have seen as a result of the risk of in equity markets has

:12:45.:12:50.

led to a strong yen. It did not help exports. Nine consecutive months in

:12:51.:12:53.

April of declining exports in Japan, something will need to happen.

:12:54.:12:57.

Indeed. It will, I should say. We will have to leave it there. Time is

:12:58.:13:02.

short but you will take us through the newspapers. Helicopter money is

:13:03.:13:07.

the bank of Japan injecting money into people's personal bank

:13:08.:13:10.

accounts. These phrases we learnt in the course of this job. We will keep

:13:11.:13:13.

you up-to-date. Still to come,

:13:14.:13:15.

we'll take a closer look at the future for

:13:16.:13:18.

augmented-reality technology. We'll be speaking to the co-founder

:13:19.:13:20.

of a business which hopes to revolutionise the way we search

:13:21.:13:22.

for information online. You're with Business

:13:23.:13:24.

Live from BBC News. And now a look at some

:13:25.:13:29.

of the stories from around the UK. MPs who've examined

:13:30.:13:32.

the collapse of BHS have called its former owner,

:13:33.:13:34.

Sir Philip Green, the "unacceptable

:13:35.:13:36.

face of capitalism". A joint report by the Business

:13:37.:13:42.

and Work and Pensions committees accuses Sir Philip of making

:13:43.:13:45.

"incredible wealth on the back of BHS",

:13:46.:13:46.

and in doing so reducing its ability Our Economics Correspondent

:13:47.:13:49.

Andrew Walker joins me now They can say all of that, but can

:13:50.:14:05.

they do anything about it? I didn't hear you. They can say all of

:14:06.:14:12.

this... Accusations against Philip green, but can they do anything? Can

:14:13.:14:18.

they claw back money, can he lose his knighthood? They can certainly

:14:19.:14:21.

make life very uncomfortable for him, do a great deal of damage to

:14:22.:14:24.

his reputation but they have very limited powers. But they can put a

:14:25.:14:30.

certain amount of moral pressure, if you like, on authorities that do

:14:31.:14:35.

have some powers. You mentioned his knighthood, that, we know, is under

:14:36.:14:39.

review. The decision on whether or not it should read stripped from him

:14:40.:14:45.

is one that is basically a recommendation that can be made by a

:14:46.:14:48.

committee of very senior civil servants.

:14:49.:14:53.

It would then be sent on by the Prime Minister to the Queen, who

:14:54.:14:58.

makes the final decision on whether that would happen. It certainly has

:14:59.:15:03.

been, something that has been done on a number of occasions in the

:15:04.:15:08.

past. Fred Goodwin, former chief executive of RBS was one example,

:15:09.:15:12.

but then he was seen by some people as a central player in the near

:15:13.:15:16.

collapse of the British financial system. Other examples have tended

:15:17.:15:21.

to be people convicted of criminal offences, but that is undoubtably an

:15:22.:15:26.

option for the government to consider and I think the strong

:15:27.:15:32.

language of this report does, I suppose, pushed them a little bit

:15:33.:15:38.

further in that direction. OK, good stuff. Andrew, thank you as always.

:15:39.:15:44.

All the data and information we are getting through from those BHS

:15:45.:15:49.

comments are on the business live pages. That damning report by MPs

:15:50.:15:53.

and the collapse of BHS. The important thing at the moment is the

:15:54.:15:57.

staff involved who are not just currently working there, but their

:15:58.:16:01.

pensions. Thousands of pensioners with their money saved in BHS, what

:16:02.:16:06.

future for them? There is a black hole of ?570 million was that many

:16:07.:16:09.

employees with an uncertain future. You're watching Business Live.

:16:10.:16:11.

Our top story: Europe's largest airline by

:16:12.:16:21.

passenger numbers, Ryanair, has reported its latest set of financial

:16:22.:16:24.

figures following Britten's decision to leave the EU.

:16:25.:16:27.

It's net profit rose by 4% compared to the same quarter last

:16:28.:16:29.

year to 256 million Euros, that's $281 million.

:16:30.:16:32.

A quick look at the market boards. Not a huge amount of movement in the

:16:33.:16:41.

markets. It is in Asia where the attention is focused. The exchange

:16:42.:16:47.

rate their... Wall Street had another record close

:16:48.:16:48.

as well. Chances are, you'd never heard

:16:49.:16:51.

of augmented reality until this And now everyone's talking

:16:52.:16:54.

about it, all thanks to the smartphone game Pokemon Go,

:16:55.:17:02.

which has hit the headlines and sent The technology superimposes virtual

:17:03.:17:06.

images onto a real-life feed captured, using a smartphone

:17:07.:17:18.

camera or 3D headset. Aside from games, it's hoped that AR

:17:19.:17:21.

can help provide relevant information to people

:17:22.:17:26.

out-and-about in the real world. When consumers use an app called

:17:27.:17:28.

Blippar, they can point their camera at an object,

:17:29.:17:34.

for example a dog, and the software will provide information

:17:35.:17:37.

about the dog. The company behind Blippar hopes it

:17:38.:17:42.

will provide an alternative Jess Butcher, co-founder

:17:43.:17:47.

of Blippar is with us. Welcome to the programme. Great to

:17:48.:17:59.

have you with us. It sounds... You showed me in the green room what it

:18:00.:18:04.

is. I have to say it is amazing, but what is also amazing... A unicorn.

:18:05.:18:13.

For the uninitiated a company valued at $1 billion before you even go to

:18:14.:18:18.

market. Yes. That is pretty impressive. It is a pretty fluffy

:18:19.:18:24.

term. We don't really discuss our valuation but we are proud to be

:18:25.:18:28.

part of a very small groups of businesses in Europe, and of British

:18:29.:18:35.

tech companies. Most of the big names and big verbs in technology

:18:36.:18:42.

are all West Coast businesses. Our aspiration is there will be a

:18:43.:18:44.

British business to become the next big verbs and we will be Blipping

:18:45.:18:53.

before we know it. We had a go at explaining how it works, talk us

:18:54.:18:56.

through it and why it is so important. We have seen the big rise

:18:57.:19:00.

in Nintendo shares, not just because of the game but the commercial value

:19:01.:19:07.

and what they can do with it. Blippar is a real-world visual

:19:08.:19:11.

browser. You can point a camera at anything in the physical world

:19:12.:19:15.

around you and instantaneously satisfy your curiosity about that.

:19:16.:19:20.

Whether it is pets, food, works of art, buildings, the natural world,

:19:21.:19:26.

you can find out whatever your general curiosity will be about that

:19:27.:19:30.

image or object. That is very powerful, a new form of discovery, a

:19:31.:19:36.

new form of search and one that doesn't require language. In

:19:37.:19:41.

traditional searches you need to type in the question to find the

:19:42.:19:45.

answer. Blippar allows the ability to look at anything and bring it to

:19:46.:19:50.

life. That has massive ramifications for how people go about their daily

:19:51.:19:54.

lives, simply extracting information and putting the Internet on the

:19:55.:19:58.

physical world around us. For brands and advertisers who on much of that

:19:59.:20:03.

physical world, there is a huge opportunity for very contextually

:20:04.:20:06.

putting their message in that place at that time, whether it is a dog

:20:07.:20:12.

food next to a dog, for example. Our priority is to make sure the

:20:13.:20:15.

information the consumer is getting his most relevant and likely to

:20:16.:20:18.

answer whatever that spontaneous curiosity might be. How much of this

:20:19.:20:24.

is a change of mindset? To get people away from searching by text?

:20:25.:20:28.

I suppose it is just a habit, to get people to hold up their phone to

:20:29.:20:32.

search for something? Sure. There is a new behaviour and that is our

:20:33.:20:37.

biggest challenge, to get people looking and unlocking the world in

:20:38.:20:41.

that way. The phone is a visual medium, it is all ready out. The

:20:42.:20:45.

photo -based businesses are the most successful in the world right now.

:20:46.:20:53.

We are taking selfies, snapchatting. We are a very visual human race and

:20:54.:20:57.

looking at everything. It is not that big a leap of faith that

:20:58.:21:01.

behaviour will happen. Pokemon go is massive. It must've been a godsend.

:21:02.:21:10.

A game changer for us in terms of adopting AR and understanding what

:21:11.:21:14.

it is. Our biggest complaint about the AR space is it won't get there

:21:15.:21:18.

until Rivera VR headsets on the hardware has come up to scratch. We

:21:19.:21:24.

wasted the phone is capable of this. Pokemon Go, there has never been so

:21:25.:21:32.

many downloads. Can I just ask you, you, co-founder, five years, how did

:21:33.:21:39.

you get into this? Have you always been a techie? I studied ancient

:21:40.:21:48.

history! So no, but I love technology, I love disruption and

:21:49.:21:52.

disruption is happening in tech right now. My desire is to affect

:21:53.:21:56.

behavioural change and that is what Blippar is trying to do. I'm all

:21:57.:22:03.

about the translation of that tech in a way that is meaningful for

:22:04.:22:12.

translators. I am the marketer and communications expert on our team,

:22:13.:22:16.

with some very smart technology people behind me. Blipping, I love

:22:17.:22:23.

it! We will continue the conversation later on Facebook live.

:22:24.:22:28.

But for now, thank you, Jess. In a moment we'll take a look

:22:29.:22:39.

through the Business Pages, but first here's a quick reminder

:22:40.:22:41.

of how to get in touch with us. Stay ahead of the breaking news,

:22:42.:22:47.

we'll keep you up-to-date with the latest details with insight and

:22:48.:22:50.

analysis from the BBC's team of editors from around the world. We

:22:51.:22:54.

want to hear from you. Get on the BBC live web page. You can also get

:22:55.:23:03.

in touch on Twitter, and on Facebook. Business Live on TV and

:23:04.:23:09.

online whenever you need to know. Michelle with the details on how to

:23:10.:23:16.

get in touch. Brenda is back to talk us through some of the papers. The

:23:17.:23:22.

Guardian, an important newspaper, one of the biggest newspapers in the

:23:23.:23:28.

UK. Expected to see a record loss of ?170 million. We asked people at the

:23:29.:23:32.

start of the programme to get in touch, and see if you still buy a

:23:33.:23:36.

newspaper. One says I don't buy one but its very one that the

:23:37.:23:40.

supermarket. She said it is great for a paint job or wrapping things.

:23:41.:23:45.

Another says, I have bought the express for the last 60 years. Let

:23:46.:23:52.

us know. Do you? I do on a Sunday, I prefer a Sunday newspaper. Every

:23:53.:23:56.

single day I would be more about online. The Guardian is free online.

:23:57.:24:02.

And it is out of date so quickly. The way news changes these days, if

:24:03.:24:06.

you're looking at it on Facebook or Twitter, it is out of date. Yes, I

:24:07.:24:13.

look at social media as well. I prefer the feel of a newspaper or a

:24:14.:24:17.

book in hand, but it is starting to bite. It will have a record loss of

:24:18.:24:23.

?173 million, the Guardian group, when it announces on Wednesday.

:24:24.:24:26.

Despite the fact there has been a lot of cost-cutting and taken

:24:27.:24:30.

restructuring charges and tried up the ante in of digital advertising,

:24:31.:24:36.

they are still seeing a massive fall off in its normal print advertising.

:24:37.:24:40.

It will be interesting for the newspaper story here. Even the FT is

:24:41.:24:47.

likely to see a drop back and there Brexit scenarios likely to impact

:24:48.:24:52.

there advertising revenue as companies hold off. Switching gears

:24:53.:24:57.

but staying somewhat, this is the challenge the print. If we talk

:24:58.:25:02.

about Yahoo. They mention of February they wanted to flog its

:25:03.:25:09.

core business. The US telecoms giant, we are expecting an

:25:10.:25:13.

announcement today, $5 billion. Is it a good deal for everyone involved

:25:14.:25:20.

Chris Wratt Yahoo have lost a lot of market share. They haven't really

:25:21.:25:24.

had a lot of focus, despite the fact they have been through several CEOs

:25:25.:25:30.

and the last few years. It with seem to have reached the end of its line.

:25:31.:25:40.

It will sell part of its company to Verizon. It is going to be quite a

:25:41.:25:44.

big company and it will take advantage of a lot of content Yahoo

:25:45.:25:53.

already has. Yahoo and AOL, two massive names. Yes. Thank you for

:25:54.:25:59.

your company today. Same time and place tomorrow with business Live.

:26:00.:26:03.

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