28/09/2016 BBC Business Live


28/09/2016

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In a report on global competitiveness, the World Economic

:00:16.:00:18.

Forum says that central banks can't act alone in order to

:00:19.:00:21.

The giant Hanjin container ship could finally be allowed

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to dock, amid reports that the company will be rescued.

:00:37.:00:45.

That's how the markets closed in Europe yesterday. Hopefully we will

:00:46.:00:51.

bring you the latest numbers, but at the open, all the markets in Europe

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were higher today. We'll be getting the inside track

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on the industry of online troubleshooting with the founder

:00:58.:01:01.

of a company which serves a billion Has BlackBerry gone off? Company

:01:02.:01:11.

results are due out today. Previously the boss said if the

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hand-set business wasn't profitable by this month they would ditch the

:01:17.:01:26.

devices. Have they? Just use the hashtag.

:01:27.:01:29.

He have sent us so many tweets on BlackBerry. We will try and mention

:01:30.:01:41.

as many as we can during the programme. .

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The World Economic Forum has published a report examining

:01:45.:01:46.

the slowdown in global growth at a time when international

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politics is clouding the outlook for the future.

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The report measures so-called "competitiveness" which looks

:02:02.:02:03.

at a wide range of different factors including health, education,

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Europe accounts for 6 out of the top 10 most competitive

:02:19.:02:20.

Britain has moved up to 7th from 10th place,

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but the data only covers the period before the UK took the decision

:02:27.:02:29.

The study also highlights that international resistance to trade

:02:30.:02:32.

poses a threat to global productivity as a whole.

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Interestingly, the World Economic Forum suggests this

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The reports says that protectionism has been on the rise

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Margareta Drzeniek-Hanouz, Head of Global Competitiveness and Risks

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at the World Economic Forum is with me now.

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Thank you for coming into the programme. I wanted to pick up on

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the protectionism issue that Sally mentioned. Your report shows that

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over the past ten years there has been a steady increase

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across-the-board in protectionism. Just how significant is that? Well,

:03:02.:03:05.

it is a very small, but steady increase. Wealthier countries as

:03:06.:03:12.

well as poorer countries, they are all becoming more protectionist over

:03:13.:03:15.

the past ten years. How significant is that going forward looking at

:03:16.:03:20.

global growth? Going forward it will have an influence on global growth.

:03:21.:03:24.

Trade has been one of the major drivers of growth in the past years,

:03:25.:03:28.

in the past 20 years especially. And we see a tendency towards more

:03:29.:03:33.

inward looking policies across a number of countries, different

:03:34.:03:38.

stages of development, developing companies, but developed economies.

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Why do you think we have got this more inward looking feeling? There

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is a lot of concerns about the effect on income and equality

:03:47.:03:49.

arising from global trade. So we need to think a lot about how we can

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make, how we can ensure that the income and equality is reduced

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whilst also maintaining the benefits of trade which are really important

:03:58.:04:01.

for growth and for rising incomes. If you don't get growth, we will not

:04:02.:04:06.

have rising incomes and this is an important point that needs to be

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made. I wanted to ask you about the UK. Moved up from number ten to

:04:10.:04:15.

number seven, but it is based on pre-Brexit data, what impact do you

:04:16.:04:19.

think Brexit could have on the UK's competitive? We don't know how it is

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going to shape up. We don't know what the agreements are that the UK

:04:23.:04:25.

can reach with other countries outside of the EU and with the EU it

:04:26.:04:29.

is still under discussion. However, if we have a rough estimate of the

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effects we see it rather on the negative side than on the positive

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side. What makes us think, if we look at the most important

:04:39.:04:42.

indicators that been affected by Brexit which are the ones about

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trade and international investment, countries that are outside the

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European Union are actually doing less well than the UK on those

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indicators. So where competitiveness is a complex issue and countries

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such as Switzerland perform well and the other aspects are not related to

:05:00.:05:05.

the EU membership on the indicators that will be affected by Brexit they

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do less well so we think there will be negative effect. Thank you for

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your time this morning. The chief executive of embattled

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Wells Fargo, John Stumpf, will forfeit $41 million in bonuses

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as the bank tries to stem a scandal The bank has launched

:05:20.:05:23.

an investigation into how more than two million deposit and credit

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card accounts were opened The announcement comes ahead

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of Mr Stumpf's appearance before the House Financial Services Committee,

:05:30.:05:38.

scheduled for later this week. US senators have piled

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more pressure on Yahoo, demanding that the internet giant

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give more details of who knew what In a letter to Chief

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Executive Marissa Mayer, six Democratic politicians said

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the hack into 500 million user It comes a day after another senator

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called on the powerful SEC financial regulator

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to launch an investigation. Royal Bank of Scotland

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is to pay $1.1 billion to settle two claims it

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mis-sold toxic mortgage securities in the run-up to

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the financial crisis. State-backed RBS sold the securities

:06:17.:06:17.

to two credit unions, which failed after the US housing

:06:18.:06:20.

bubble burst in 2008. The settlement is with the National

:06:21.:06:22.

Credit Union Administration Board, Let's look at what we've got on the

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Business Live page. Wal-Mart in talks to buy a state in Flip Kart.

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That's on the Business Live page. Rachel, I'll tell the viewers about

:06:47.:06:51.

this one. See if you can find it on the Business Live page. Deutsche

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Bank, Phoenix is to buy Deutsche Bank's Abbey Life for ?1.2 billion.

:07:00.:07:09.

Deutsche Bank at the moment having to face an enormous bill in the

:07:10.:07:11.

United States of the it is grappling with regulators there at the moment

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as to how much it has to pay for previous dealings in the United

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States. So lots of questions about Deutsche Bank and its future. Shares

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in the German lender up over 2% today in Frankfurt, but let's not

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forget, it has fall an lot in the last 12 months.

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So a long recovery to go. First, Sharinjit

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is at A ship could be First, Sharinjit is at

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the waterfront in Singapore, where a Hanjin ship with four

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stranded scottish sea cadets Yes, we are monitoring the progress.

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The ship has come N you can sort of see it behind me. I'm standing in

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front of Singapore's port here. What's interesting about this ship

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is, of course, it is one of an estimated 80 ships that have been

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stranded in over 20 countries around the world after Hanjin Shipping

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collapsed under the weight of 5 billion debt. It is barely being

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kept afloat and we are following on for the welfare of these four

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Scottish sailors, the cadets. I have been in touch with one of them.

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We're hoping to catch up with him later before he heads back to the UK

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with his three other counterparts and we are hoping to see how he's

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doing. Because family members have been incredibly worried as they have

:09:02.:09:07.

been of the other crewmen stranded. Thank you very much. We were losing

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your audio there at end of the conversation, but very, very

:09:14.:09:18.

interesting to keep track of that company.

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Looking at the markets. This is how things ended in Asia. It was an

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interesting session, up and do you think throughout the day, but among

:09:28.:09:32.

the move, the oil companies, energy companies, very much on the move.

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Price of oil higher today, but fell below $45 a barrel yesterday on

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conditions or discussions about major producers meeting it talk

:09:42.:09:45.

about output constraints in Algiers. The price of oil is very sensitive

:09:46.:09:51.

at the moment, but above $45 at the moment. Let's look at Europe and see

:09:52.:09:55.

if our market boards have updated. Yes, they have. Higher

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across-the-board. In Germany, everybody watching Deutsche Bank,

:10:00.:10:04.

shares up over 2%. In London, Sainsbury's among the winners. Sales

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up at Sainsbury's up over 1%. Lots of earnings coming through. We will

:10:12.:10:15.

talk about the different stories in a moment, but they are having an

:10:16.:10:20.

impact on markets. And Samira Hussain has

:10:21.:10:21.

the details about what's ahead A week after the US Central Bank

:10:22.:10:41.

decided not to raise interest, Janet Yellen will be appearing. The

:10:42.:10:44.

numbers are a proxy for business spending and that is something that

:10:45.:10:49.

has been a big concern for the Federal Reserve. But with the US

:10:50.:10:52.

Presidential election just around the corner and uncertainty on the

:10:53.:10:56.

global economy after Britain's decision to leave the European

:10:57.:11:00.

Union, many economists are not expecting business spending to

:11:01.:11:05.

increase. Remember the BlackBerry? A year ago

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BlackBerry's CEO said if the devices weren't turning a profit now, they

:11:13.:11:16.

would give up on making them. The company will be reporting on

:11:17.:11:20.

earnings on Wednesday and investors will be looking for a definitive

:11:21.:11:27.

answer on the future of BlackBerry. The best pun was Sally's blackberry

:11:28.:11:31.

crumble. Joining us is Jeremy Cook,

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Chief Economist at World First. Yes, we were discussing the $14

:11:39.:11:48.

billion US fine, we were discussing the fact that the market cap of

:11:49.:11:52.

Deutsche Bank is more like 14 billion euros, so how they would

:11:53.:11:55.

even begin to meet. That more developments today? Yeah, so they've

:11:56.:12:01.

dehaveded to sell off the Abbey Life Insurance for ?935 million which is

:12:02.:12:08.

$1.2 million to a British firm which puts together the life assurance

:12:09.:12:13.

companies. That will trigger to Deutsche Bank an $800 million loss

:12:14.:12:18.

moving forwards. On their profitability and German banks in

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particular, given the amount of money they have to spend to make

:12:22.:12:26.

money, they are unprofitable. They spend 76 euros or 73 euros to make

:12:27.:12:31.

100 euros in profit. Whereas banks out of Spain for example, are only

:12:32.:12:37.

spending 40 euros. There has to be some efficiencies. Quite

:12:38.:12:40.

interesting. I bet lots of people are looking at what Deutsche Bank

:12:41.:12:43.

has in terms of assets. Things it might need to sell off? Yeah. Not a

:12:44.:12:48.

fire sale I would say snr Not a fire sale. But an interesting scenario,

:12:49.:12:52.

there are opportunities. Hence why we are seeing a move in the k quite

:12:53.:12:57.

price of Deutsche Bank, but not a huge move in the debts, the

:12:58.:13:00.

corporate bond issue of Deutsche Bank. We have seen corporate bond

:13:01.:13:07.

issues of what's going on in Deutsche Bank. We are not seeing

:13:08.:13:10.

anything around defaults from Deutsche Bank yet. Let's talk about

:13:11.:13:17.

oil. Sure. Back up above $45, what's causing the move? There is a

:13:18.:13:21.

non-OPEC, Opec going on and it is you and down and it and yo-yoing.

:13:22.:13:38.

Iran given the amount of pressure it has had from quotas and from trade

:13:39.:13:43.

embargoes, it has streamlined its economy. They are not giving into

:13:44.:13:48.

Saudi demands at the moment. Jeremy Cooke, we will have you back for the

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papers and we want to know if you love BlackBerry. I used to. David

:13:54.:14:00.

says, "BlackBerry is a tool. IPhone and Samsung are lifestyle

:14:01.:14:03.

accessories, that's why it has gone." It is not gone yet, David. It

:14:04.:14:08.

might be going. Sue says, "I love my BlackBerry, but if they aren't

:14:09.:14:10.

making anymore, what's the point?" We'll be getting the inside track

:14:11.:14:16.

on the industry of online troubleshooting with the founder

:14:17.:14:21.

of a company which serves a billion You're with Business

:14:22.:14:24.

Live from BBC News. Now a look at some of the stories

:14:25.:14:27.

from around the UK and RBS has reached a settlement with US

:14:28.:14:30.

authorities over Andrew Walker is in our

:14:31.:14:32.

business newsroom. This is a settlement of ?850 million

:14:33.:14:46.

and it is all about stuff that happened in the run-up to the

:14:47.:14:51.

financial crisis. A quick reminder of RBS' history in this period. We

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can see clearly from the graph of the share price over the last

:14:55.:14:57.

quarter of a century. Big expansion in the years up to the financial

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crisis as the bank grew rapidly including selling mortgage-backed

:15:05.:15:09.

securities that were based on American home loans and share price

:15:10.:15:14.

peaking at ?55 and now a figure of 175 pence. RBS has not admitted any

:15:15.:15:19.

liability over this settlement, but it is paying the money and the

:15:20.:15:25.

company does say that it is already substantially covered by provision

:15:26.:15:28.

that it has already made in an account. As a result of this

:15:29.:15:31.

particular settlement, it doesn't look like it is going to have to set

:15:32.:15:35.

aside any additional money in its accounts. It is quite interesting,

:15:36.:15:39.

isn't it, Andrew, talking about RBS today and it is the situation with

:15:40.:15:43.

Deutsche Bank as well, there is a lot of similarities here?

:15:44.:15:49.

A number of European banks have got into trouble with regulators not

:15:50.:15:55.

just over the sale of mortgage-backed securities, although

:15:56.:15:58.

that is a big one. RBS has a number of problems in terms of action by

:15:59.:16:04.

American regulators. The department of justice, which has been involved

:16:05.:16:07.

in this case with Deutsche Bank that we have been talking about, and also

:16:08.:16:13.

the Federal Housing agency. RBS does suggest that there may need to be

:16:14.:16:17.

additional provisions made for those actions when we do finally get to an

:16:18.:16:21.

agreement. Some experts have said it could be of the order of ?9 billion.

:16:22.:16:31.

Thanks, Andrew. Let's take a look at what we have got on the UK live

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page. Good news for Moss Bros, a good return for investors. We have

:16:42.:16:53.

also got results from Sainsbury's today. Sales were down in

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like-for-like sales. No, they were up. The confusion of the markets!

:17:02.:17:03.

Our top story - a leading international group has warned that

:17:04.:17:08.

rising protectionism could pose a threat to the future

:17:09.:17:10.

In a report on global competitiveness, the World Economic

:17:11.:17:14.

Forum also said that central banks can't act alone in order

:17:15.:17:17.

A quick look at how markets are faring...

:17:18.:17:38.

It is Budget Day in France at lunchtime. That is one to watch.

:17:39.:17:44.

And now let's get the inside track on new methods businesses are using

:17:45.:17:47.

Many of you have probably used a website and seen a "live chat" box

:17:48.:17:54.

pop up offering real time help and advice.

:17:55.:17:56.

These are the kinds of services being produced by Intercom,

:17:57.:17:58.

a company focused on changing consumer communication.

:17:59.:18:00.

The firm says its products are designed to feel

:18:01.:18:02.

like the messaging apps you use every day, and allow businesses

:18:03.:18:05.

to talk to consumers via apps, on websites, as well as across

:18:06.:18:09.

Today, more than 13,000 businesses are using Intercom to reach

:18:10.:18:14.

The company currently employs 300 people who are based

:18:15.:18:21.

at its San Francisco headquarters and its Dublin R office,

:18:22.:18:26.

and has raised $116m in venture funding.

:18:27.:18:35.

Joining us now is Des Traynor, co-founder and Chief Strategy

:18:36.:18:37.

Where do you manage to raise your funding, is it easier in Ireland or

:18:38.:18:55.

in the US? It is phenomenally easy in San Francisco. People are much

:18:56.:18:59.

more optimistic. There is more money there. That is what everybody tells

:19:00.:19:03.

us. It was something we looked into last week at the BBC, and many were

:19:04.:19:07.

saying if you go to Silicon Valley, you can raise amounts of money in

:19:08.:19:11.

one day that you would take months to raise in Europe. That is just the

:19:12.:19:16.

way it is. People were offered to invest in your company within 24

:19:17.:19:23.

hours. The experience in Europe is substantially different. There is no

:19:24.:19:27.

other way to put it. I say that as someone who is proud to be European,

:19:28.:19:35.

but you go to Silicon Valley. Do you think that is something that is

:19:36.:19:39.

going to change in the UK and Ireland, or are we too far behind? I

:19:40.:19:44.

think we will see people have substantial presence is outside the

:19:45.:19:47.

valley for a variety of reasons, but I don't see venture capital moving

:19:48.:19:52.

outside of San Francisco any time soon. I want to ask you about your

:19:53.:19:57.

company. I am a technophobe, but those lies boxed chat things, I get

:19:58.:20:02.

that. It does help me with my problems -- the live chat things.

:20:03.:20:08.

But many bigger names are doing the same thing, like Facebook and

:20:09.:20:11.

Google. They are all coming up with their own version of what you are

:20:12.:20:15.

doing. Are you not going to get drowned out? I don't think so. We

:20:16.:20:22.

have 13,000 people choosing Intercom. The world where you

:20:23.:20:25.

outsource somebody like Google or Facebook, to use a simple analogy,

:20:26.:20:28.

if you are a regular high street store, do you want to speak to your

:20:29.:20:36.

store or someone else's store? Our users know who their customers are

:20:37.:20:45.

and what they want. People are preferring to have a one-to-one

:20:46.:20:48.

clear relationship rather than one based on advertising and having

:20:49.:20:53.

customer data. There are quite a lot of Irish people in Silicon Valley

:20:54.:20:57.

working on tech. There was a special relationship between Ireland and

:20:58.:21:00.

Silicon Valley. We have recently seen lots of coverage of tax issues

:21:01.:21:06.

with Apple and Ireland. What is your opinion on that? It is hard as a

:21:07.:21:10.

software company on the ground with an R presence in Dublin, it is

:21:11.:21:16.

hard for us to stress out too much about where we would stash our

:21:17.:21:19.

millions of dollars of profits yet. It is not today's problem! I think

:21:20.:21:27.

it is a bit overblown right now. I think the tax lawyers will figure it

:21:28.:21:30.

out. It is a great media story because it fits in with things like

:21:31.:21:35.

Brexit macro and the US election, repatriation of cash. But it is

:21:36.:21:43.

negligible to those who should feel the effect of it. Do you think they

:21:44.:21:49.

will pay it? No. I am not a tax lawyer, but I think 200 million is

:21:50.:21:55.

crazy. Finally, should the BlackBerry be put to one side? Is it

:21:56.:22:01.

over for them? Technology advances, and I think, sadly, fax machines and

:22:02.:22:08.

typewriters also had their day. BlackBerry is experiencing its Kodak

:22:09.:22:16.

moment. Thanks for coming in. The outspoken founder of SpaceX,

:22:17.:22:26.

Elon Musk, wants to plan trips to Mars to $200,000 a ticket. Speaking

:22:27.:22:30.

at the International astronautical Congress in Mexico, here he is. The

:22:31.:22:36.

key is making this affordable to almost anyone who wants to go. We

:22:37.:22:43.

think, based on this architecture, assuming optimisation overtime, the

:22:44.:22:49.

first flights would be fairly expensive. But the architecture

:22:50.:22:56.

allows for a cost per ticket of less than $200,000. Maybe as little as

:22:57.:23:02.

$100,000 over time, depending on how much mass we can take. This system

:23:03.:23:08.

gives you freedom to go anywhere you want in the greater solar system.

:23:09.:23:13.

You could travel out to the Earth cloud. I wouldn't recommend this for

:23:14.:23:23.

interstellar journeys. But this basic system, provided we have

:23:24.:23:26.

filling stations along the way, means full access to the entire

:23:27.:23:29.

greater solar system. Jeremy, is that where you would like

:23:30.:23:42.

to go? I have not got the money yet. If money were no object, would you

:23:43.:23:48.

go? Purely to get away from the Brexit debate, yes. I would go to

:23:49.:23:53.

Mars and stay there. You might have to stay there. Is this a realistic

:23:54.:24:03.

business prospect, though? Is there any point to this? Why not? Let's

:24:04.:24:12.

talk about BlackBerry. Earnings are out today. The boss of BlackBerry

:24:13.:24:16.

said if the handsets division was not making profits, he said he might

:24:17.:24:21.

be in it. BlackBerry is used to be a badge of corporate identity. And it

:24:22.:24:28.

no longer is. It hasn't been for years. The app store which made the

:24:29.:24:36.

iPhone the thing to have and the Google Play store, BlackBerry were

:24:37.:24:41.

very slow in bringing that on, and that killed off its appeal to people

:24:42.:24:46.

who were not in that dedicated business setting. I think they have

:24:47.:24:49.

lost too much of their market share to move forward with it. It was a

:24:50.:24:55.

great business to ten years ago. If the handset did go to the side, they

:24:56.:25:00.

would concentrate more on the software. Yeah, that is where their

:25:01.:25:05.

focus has to be and where their strength is. I still use BlackBerry

:25:06.:25:09.

messenger. I don't know if anyone else does! The people I am talking

:25:10.:25:13.

to hopefully do, but in the grand scheme of things, let the pros do

:25:14.:25:19.

the handsets and then the software can be bolted on top. That is a

:25:20.:25:23.

lower cost. You don't have to own factories or have these

:25:24.:25:28.

relationships with suppliers. Thanks, Jeremy. A few more comments

:25:29.:25:34.

that you have sent in. One says Microsoft should buy BlackBerry. DY

:25:35.:25:38.

says make the BlackBerry a text screen keyboard available again.

:25:39.:25:45.

More business news tomorrow. Bye-bye.

:25:46.:25:57.

Active weather heading our way of the next 24 hours. Very

:25:58.:25:58.

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