13/12/2016 BBC Business Live


13/12/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Jamie Robertson

:00:00.:00:07.

All eyes on Italy's beleaguered banking sector.

:00:08.:00:10.

The country's biggest lender slashes jobs and sets

:00:11.:00:13.

Live from London, that's our top story on Tuesday 13th December.

:00:14.:00:34.

Unicredit is just one of Italy's banks struggling with bad debt,

:00:35.:00:38.

and some fear the sector could be a problem for the entire eurozone.

:00:39.:00:43.

The world's most-powerful central bank meets to

:00:44.:00:47.

Will the US Federal Reserve increase the cost of borrowing?

:00:48.:00:56.

All of the markets ended up yesterday.

:00:57.:01:18.

Millions of people will take to the air this festive season,

:01:19.:01:20.

We'll meet the woman whose company provides a chaperone

:01:21.:01:24.

Christmas is coming and some people are calling for us

:01:25.:01:27.

to stop the spending and do more down-to-earth celebrating.

:01:28.:01:29.

Today we want to know, is it possible to enjoy the festive

:01:30.:01:34.

season without spending a lot of money, or is it the perfect

:01:35.:01:37.

Italy's biggest bank Unicredit has announced plans to slash 14,000 jobs

:01:38.:01:52.

and raise $13.8 billion in extra capital.

:01:53.:01:56.

The company has lost half its value this year and is pinning its hopes

:01:57.:01:59.

on a bold rescue plan to turn its fortunes around.

:02:00.:02:02.

Italy's banking sector is giving a lot of cause for concern.

:02:03.:02:06.

Top of the list is the world's oldest bank and Italy's third

:02:07.:02:09.

biggest, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena.

:02:10.:02:12.

The European Central Bank believes it is the most vulnerable.

:02:13.:02:16.

This is mainly because it is burdened with toxic debt,

:02:17.:02:19.

in other words loans that are unlikely to ever

:02:20.:02:21.

That's a problem that extends to the Italian

:02:22.:02:24.

So these lenders are trying to get rid of those loans by selling them

:02:25.:02:30.

to investors who specialise in toxic debt.

:02:31.:02:34.

As we've seen with Unicredit, some are also trying

:02:35.:02:36.

to raise new capital to strengthen their books

:02:37.:02:39.

so that they can better cope with future losses on problem loans.

:02:40.:02:47.

With me is Dr Paola Subacchi, director of the International

:02:48.:02:51.

Economics Department at Chatham House.

:02:52.:02:58.

Jamie talking about their new strategy, its plan, thousands of

:02:59.:03:07.

jobs going and more capital investment, is that enough?

:03:08.:03:11.

Probably. Unicredit has a problem with its business model, as opposed

:03:12.:03:19.

to the river bank, which has problems in terms of solvency and

:03:20.:03:24.

liquidity. In terms of Unicredit, if it were to be in trouble in a

:03:25.:03:30.

similar way to the other bank, we would be concerned, because of its

:03:31.:03:33.

size, and concern about contagion elsewhere in Europe? With Monte dei

:03:34.:03:48.

Paschi, we are wondering what to do, it failed yet ago, it has been

:03:49.:03:54.

recapitalised twice, it has gone through several business plans, and

:03:55.:03:59.

it is still stuck. It is a can that has been kicked down the road for

:04:00.:04:03.

too long. If it is continuously kicked and not sorted out,

:04:04.:04:08.

politically it is a big bubble in Italy, but it is not such a big

:04:09.:04:12.

copper in terms of exposure to other banks in Europe? Unicredit is the

:04:13.:04:19.

largest bank in Italy, Monte dei Paschi is the third largest, so they

:04:20.:04:22.

are both important. It is difficult to draw a line, whether one risk is

:04:23.:04:28.

more dangerous than the other. The situation is very difficult. They

:04:29.:04:34.

need to sort out Monte dei Paschi. Monte dei Paschi is a problem for

:04:35.:04:40.

the Government. Unicredit is a problem for their board and their

:04:41.:04:46.

management. Should they not just be bought by the country? In principle,

:04:47.:04:52.

but in practice it is difficult, we have new banking regulations, so

:04:53.:05:00.

technically Monte dei Paschi should be bailed in, so the burden is on

:05:01.:05:05.

shareholders and bondholders. It is difficult. A lot of bad products

:05:06.:05:13.

were sold to the wrong people. A lot of savers, retail savers, got shares

:05:14.:05:20.

and bonds in their hands, so it becomes difficult to say, we will do

:05:21.:05:28.

a bail in, and you take the cost of it. What will happen? With Monte dei

:05:29.:05:36.

Paschi they will explore a market solution, and there will be a

:05:37.:05:39.

partial market solution, and then the Government will step in with a

:05:40.:05:41.

bailout. We will watch this space. China is launching a complaint

:05:42.:05:44.

at the World Trade Organization The complaint says that

:05:45.:05:47.

Washington and Brussels It says they do not accurately

:05:48.:05:50.

calculate whether Chinese goods Countries do this to work out how

:05:51.:05:54.

much to charge in duties to protect their own industries

:05:55.:05:59.

from cheap imports. Donald Trump has delayed

:06:00.:06:03.

an announcement on how he plans to separate his business-empire

:06:04.:06:06.

interests from his The US President-elect had been due

:06:07.:06:07.

to hold a rare press conference on Thursday to discuss how

:06:08.:06:14.

he would deal with perceived Mr Trump's spokesperson

:06:15.:06:17.

said the announcement Japanese brewer Asahi has agreed

:06:18.:06:20.

to buy five Eastern European brands from Anheuser-Busch InBev in a bid

:06:21.:06:33.

to appease competition regulators. Tell us more. Those five Eastern

:06:34.:06:55.

European brands belong to the SAB Miller, which InBev agreed to buy

:06:56.:07:03.

earlier this year. But because we are combining the two biggest

:07:04.:07:06.

brewers, they need to sell off some of their assets to get clearance

:07:07.:07:10.

from competition regulators, and that is where Asahi came in,

:07:11.:07:14.

purchasing five Eastern European brands for $8 billion, it would be

:07:15.:07:20.

their biggest ever takeover deal. It has also announced it will buy a few

:07:21.:07:29.

brands from SAB Miller. Shares in Asahi when the deal was first

:07:30.:07:37.

reported fell by 6%, ending the day 4.5% lower, investors seem to have

:07:38.:07:39.

thought the price tag was too high, with analysts think it is a good

:07:40.:07:44.

deal for the longer term, because Asahi wants to strengthen its

:07:45.:07:45.

presence overseas. All of the market up, but a bit of

:07:46.:08:02.

nervousness, wondering what will happen with the meeting of the

:08:03.:08:06.

Federal reserve about whether interest rates will go up, and what

:08:07.:08:09.

the Federal Reserve says about the the Federal Reserve says about the

:08:10.:08:16.

state of the economy. The FTSE 100 bobbling around. Nervous about what

:08:17.:08:23.

is happening in the knighted States. The European markets hardly moved.

:08:24.:08:25.

And Samira Hussain has the details about what's ahead

:08:26.:08:27.

The Federal Reserve will begin its meeting today, it is almost a

:08:28.:08:36.

certainty that they will vote to raise interest rates. Their economic

:08:37.:08:41.

forecast will be interesting, it will give us a glimpse into whether

:08:42.:08:46.

the American election has reshaped their growth and inflation outlook.

:08:47.:08:52.

Jet blue Airways is holding an investor day, they will talk about

:08:53.:08:57.

in -- expectations for the manned, bookings and trends for 2017. With

:08:58.:09:03.

the holiday season here, it is important to talk about one company

:09:04.:09:06.

that will be speaking to investors, the makers of Scotch tape, the kind

:09:07.:09:11.

you wrap presents with, and the maker of posted pads. They will be

:09:12.:09:18.

hosting a conference call to talk about their financial outlook for

:09:19.:09:20.

2017. Joining us is Jessica Ground,

:09:21.:09:26.

UK equities fund manager, Schroders. There is a lot going on, but the big

:09:27.:09:38.

focus is the Federal Reserve. We think we know what they would say.

:09:39.:09:44.

The initial rate rise is expected, more .25%. But now people are

:09:45.:09:51.

wondering, how much longer does the tightening go on for, especially

:09:52.:09:55.

against the backdrop of more inflation, enter structure spending

:09:56.:09:59.

and higher oil prices. I have read criticism about a Donald Trump room,

:10:00.:10:05.

the idea that the markets are on the up, inflation is on the up, people

:10:06.:10:10.

are getting cynical about that. It is important to think about where we

:10:11.:10:15.

have come from. Bonds and Bond like assets had a fantastic rally for a

:10:16.:10:20.

long time, but we have seen a strong performance since mid-2015. A lot of

:10:21.:10:26.

what we are seeing is not so much a boom, it is an unwinding of people

:10:27.:10:33.

focusing on the safe assets. We have the Federal Reserve, but we have UK

:10:34.:10:36.

information coming out today as well. It will be so interesting. We

:10:37.:10:43.

will start to the impact weaker sterling, starting to nudge a bit

:10:44.:10:52.

higher. We are seeing both input, producers and consumers having

:10:53.:10:57.

pressure. When we get the UK information data, we will update

:10:58.:10:58.

you. We'll meet the woman

:10:59.:10:59.

starting a chaperone service for unaccompanied children taking

:11:00.:11:06.

to the air. I don't think she would take mine,

:11:07.:11:20.

three little boys! I can't pay her enough!

:11:21.:11:21.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:11:22.:11:23.

Employers are the most optimistic they've been for two years,

:11:24.:11:25.

according to the latest confidence data from recruitment firm Manpower.

:11:26.:11:29.

It says that more companies are expected to grow their staff

:11:30.:11:32.

in the next year than reduce it, but that the growth is coming

:11:33.:11:35.

from the private sector, with the public sector continuing

:11:36.:11:38.

Marc Cahil is the managing director of Manpower,

:11:39.:11:42.

White? We thought there would be a slowdown in recruitment. People were

:11:43.:11:55.

thinking about how uncertain the times were, around the Brexit vote,

:11:56.:12:03.

but the uncertainty is continuing, so companies are shrugging off the

:12:04.:12:07.

problem. They say, we just have to move forward. As we have mentioned,

:12:08.:12:13.

the public sector seen cutbacks, which we can continue, because of

:12:14.:12:22.

the -- we can understand, because of the Government cutbacks, so where is

:12:23.:12:24.

the growth? Utility and construction. In utility, we need

:12:25.:12:33.

smart meters in all homes by 2018, I believe, which create something like

:12:34.:12:37.

20,000 roles, and a lot of customer service roles. In construction, we

:12:38.:12:44.

heard investment from the Chancellor in the Autumn Statement, so that

:12:45.:12:48.

will be a good, positive one for us. We have heard some dire stories from

:12:49.:12:53.

recruitment agencies in financial services, do you have anything on

:12:54.:12:59.

that? We split it into two, we believe the banking sector is

:13:00.:13:02.

showing negativity, not quite so optimistic for Q1 next year, but

:13:03.:13:08.

financial services are looking OK, especially in the London area.

:13:09.:13:17.

And not on our page today about Southern Rail, a 48 hour strike

:13:18.:13:27.

started at midnight last night, the Aslef union striking, it is a

:13:28.:13:34.

nightmare. There is a Southern Rail strike life page with updates, there

:13:35.:13:40.

was an update one minute ago, providing as much information as

:13:41.:13:42.

possible. In many ways this is the big

:13:43.:13:47.

business story for people who live in that area. When you bear in mind

:13:48.:13:50.

how many people... 300,000 passengers usually use this

:13:51.:13:53.

service. It is all on the website. Our top story, Italy's biggest

:13:54.:13:57.

lender is slashing 14,000 jobs and raising almost $14 billion

:13:58.:14:02.

in new capital. Unicredit has lost half

:14:03.:14:06.

its value this year. The country's banking sector

:14:07.:14:08.

is giving cause for concern as it struggles with huge amounts

:14:09.:14:11.

of bad debt. A quick look at how

:14:12.:14:15.

markets are faring. The markets in Italy are moving all

:14:16.:14:27.

the time, yo-yoing depending on the speculation about the rescue of the

:14:28.:14:33.

banks. In Europe it is mixed. The market is treading water globally

:14:34.:14:36.

until we get the news from the Federal Reserve tomorrow in terms of

:14:37.:14:38.

the cost of borrowing. It's never easy putting your child

:14:39.:14:42.

on a plane but it could be made easier if only you could

:14:43.:14:45.

have a nanny on board. Well, here's Air Nanny

:14:46.:14:47.

to the rescue. It's a professional chaperone

:14:48.:14:49.

service, was launched last month. How much demand could there

:14:50.:14:54.

be for this service? Well, more and more children

:14:55.:14:58.

are travelling long-haul, with over half of children doing

:14:59.:15:00.

so before the age of four. According to figures released

:15:01.:15:03.

by London's Heathrow Airport, one in ten children will do so,

:15:04.:15:07.

before their first birthday. Yet, companies like British Airways,

:15:08.:15:10.

are scrapping their popular The Air Nanny believes

:15:11.:15:12.

its professional chaperone It provides tailor-made packages

:15:13.:15:19.

starting from ?1,000, This is all the brainchild

:15:20.:15:25.

of Angela Enel who is the founder of The Air Nanny and Angela

:15:26.:15:30.

joins me now. It h morphed from the hotel nanny.

:15:31.:15:44.

I'm thinking who on earth would want to take my three boys on the plane?

:15:45.:15:49.

Would it ?1,000 per boy? Goodness, no. That's better! That already

:15:50.:15:56.

sounds better! Goodness me, that would be

:15:57.:16:02.

expensive. No, it is one private nanny per family so regardless of

:16:03.:16:05.

the amount of children. What made you launch this? Was it something

:16:06.:16:11.

you saw a demand for because of course Hotel Nanny has been going

:16:12.:16:14.

for sometime? Yes, with the luxury hotel industry. With the Air Nanny

:16:15.:16:19.

it came from an experience with a friend of mine who was newly

:16:20.:16:25.

divorced and who was having problems getting her children over to New

:16:26.:16:28.

York where her ex-husband was living and finding a sustainable and viable

:16:29.:16:33.

service that could do that trip with her child, two, three, four, five

:16:34.:16:38.

times a year. At the top end of the market which is the end you're

:16:39.:16:42.

looking for, one of your prime markets is the Gulf and some

:16:43.:16:47.

airlines provide their own service. Isn't that a problem? No, not

:16:48.:16:56.

specifically. Some car injuries the flying nanny. That's the

:16:57.:17:00.

stewardesses on board and they are there to look after the families,

:17:01.:17:04.

heating the milk and when those jobs are done they go back to their air

:17:05.:17:08.

stewarding. So it is a different service? It is a different service.

:17:09.:17:13.

Ours is a private nanny service to fly with the children, from their

:17:14.:17:17.

home if they need it or from the airport to the home of the father or

:17:18.:17:23.

the mother on the other side. The nannies, they're employees of yours,

:17:24.:17:28.

aren't they? Yes. They are not on a freelance basis? No. Isn't that high

:17:29.:17:34.

cost? They are zero-hours contract, aren't they? Yes, at the moment, but

:17:35.:17:39.

we are looking to extend that. We will be extending to part-time and

:17:40.:17:43.

full-time nanny pogsz, but they are zero-hours at the moment, but that's

:17:44.:17:47.

how we can retain and really keep key nannies and really the high

:17:48.:17:51.

calibre that we are very well known for. We know Mary Poppins of course

:17:52.:17:58.

which is the best nanny out there. I know she is a fictional character...

:17:59.:18:07.

We have lots of them. No mannies on your website? That's a good point.

:18:08.:18:13.

We did have some mannies on our team, but there really wasn't a lot

:18:14.:18:18.

of demand for them I have to say. Really purely because our customer

:18:19.:18:26.

base is specifically 80% of our customers have toddlers or newborns

:18:27.:18:30.

and I found the mannies were very much in their space with the older

:18:31.:18:36.

children and that's where they really came into their own, but for

:18:37.:18:41.

us specifically, it didn't work as well. Tell me about who you're

:18:42.:18:46.

marketing this to and how you market it? Do you use social media? Yes, of

:18:47.:18:51.

course. That really has to be the case. As well as going directly to

:18:52.:18:57.

the key markets that we opened this service for, obviously I've

:18:58.:19:01.

mentioned that the Air Nanny was established very much from having

:19:02.:19:08.

that experience with a friend, newly divorced, so divorce lawyers for

:19:09.:19:11.

example are a target for us that we're speaking and opening up

:19:12.:19:15.

conversations with that as offering that intermediary service. It is the

:19:16.:19:19.

one consistent time that parents find it very difficult to make that

:19:20.:19:23.

trip especially if they're executives and have demanding roles

:19:24.:19:27.

to take time out to travel to and from. Something you're looking into

:19:28.:19:34.

in the future is corporate? It is a very big space and exciting space.

:19:35.:19:38.

How will it work? This is where we are speaking and we have already

:19:39.:19:41.

opened up discussions with some of the Big Four. So this is a very...

:19:42.:19:45.

Big Four what? The financial services. I thought you meant the

:19:46.:19:51.

Big Four families! The Big Four dynasties and the grand

:19:52.:19:56.

charn? Well that, too! Something that's very dear to my hear as well

:19:57.:20:02.

obviously is to keep female executives in the boardroom and to

:20:03.:20:06.

nurture that space for females keeping. The nanny will be in the

:20:07.:20:11.

workplace? The nanny will be offering the support service for

:20:12.:20:20.

when female executives... It is the kind of thing the CEO of Yahoo would

:20:21.:20:27.

have had. Yes, if somebody has two, three, four conferences a year it is

:20:28.:20:31.

hard to go away abroad two or three day to say attend training events or

:20:32.:20:39.

conferences. So our service and our offering with the Hotel Nanny and

:20:40.:20:42.

the Air Nanny is bringing that corporate offering. Because it has

:20:43.:20:48.

been spun off or extended out from the Hotel Nanny, it is almost all

:20:49.:20:52.

profit. Every time you send somebody out, you're making a profit because

:20:53.:20:55.

you don't have that capital cost at the beginning? Right. There has been

:20:56.:21:00.

a fair amount at the beginning, of course. People, I mean, employing

:21:01.:21:06.

people and behind the scenes that takes a lot of cost to make sure

:21:07.:21:10.

that we are working a seamless operation and a very high-end

:21:11.:21:17.

operation so really the concierge polish to what we give clients and

:21:18.:21:23.

marketing. Any disasters? You marketing. Any disasters? You

:21:24.:21:29.

haven't lost anyone? No. Goodness, no, we are filling that space

:21:30.:21:34.

because there has been lost children in the space before. So we are

:21:35.:21:39.

coming as a solution to be their holding the children's hands all the

:21:40.:21:43.

way through. I know how hard that is. I have three and it is not easy

:21:44.:21:47.

at all! Cuba's state-run telecommunications

:21:48.:21:51.

company has signed an agreement with the internet provider,

:21:52.:21:55.

Google, in Havana. Under the deal the company can

:21:56.:21:57.

install servers in Cuba which should significantly improve connectivity

:21:58.:22:00.

speeds to Google content. Cuba currently has some

:22:01.:22:01.

of the lowest online The agreement reached

:22:02.:22:03.

between the Cuban government and the internet giant should pave

:22:04.:22:13.

the way towards something many Cubans have wanted for years -

:22:14.:22:16.

faster Internet speeds. By allowing Google to install

:22:17.:22:21.

servers on the Communist-run island, their key content, such as Gmail,

:22:22.:22:23.

Google Drive and YouTube, should be much quicker for users

:22:24.:22:26.

inside Cuba to access. The deal does not, however,

:22:27.:22:31.

either expand Cuba's aged and obsolete internet infrastructure

:22:32.:22:37.

nor improve the connectivity Most Cubans are still not permitted

:22:38.:22:40.

to have the internet at home and instead must rely

:22:41.:22:50.

on expensive public-access wi-fi As the deal has been

:22:51.:22:52.

reached in the final weeks of the Obama Administration,

:22:53.:23:03.

officials on both sides seem keen the cement their months

:23:04.:23:05.

of negotiations into hard contracts As a candidate, Mr Trump

:23:06.:23:07.

made arguments both for and against improved

:23:08.:23:10.

ties with Cuba. And there is some uncertainty

:23:11.:23:12.

on the island as to what his Donald Trump is everywhere. We can't

:23:13.:23:35.

get away from it! This story in the New York Times looks at the fact

:23:36.:23:40.

that the Secretary of State has been hand-picked? He has gone from a

:23:41.:23:43.

businessman to be a Secretary of State. So America's main voice on

:23:44.:23:47.

the world stage. Not any businessman? An oil man? He has been

:23:48.:23:55.

chairman of ex--on for ten years and he made that company his own. He has

:23:56.:23:58.

driven it out around the world and taken it around the Gulf and to

:23:59.:24:04.

Russia. He did a big deal with the main commercial arm of the Kremlin

:24:05.:24:09.

in 2011. He has known Putin for 20 years? He got an Order of Merit from

:24:10.:24:15.

the Kremlin. Ironically, ex--on hasn't been able to take money out

:24:16.:24:18.

of the deal because of US sanctions against Russia because of the

:24:19.:24:22.

Ukraine. It is interesting that he's chairman and Chief Executive. This

:24:23.:24:29.

is chrkistic of the Trump ethos? It is common to put the two together.

:24:30.:24:33.

It was Chief Executive in 2006 I think it was he became both. This

:24:34.:24:39.

man, he has written for the Guardian is dreaming of a frugile Christmas.

:24:40.:24:44.

Meet the people who stopped shopping? It is an extension of the

:24:45.:24:50.

idea of the moneyless consumer. So there are people out there who try

:24:51.:24:57.

and spend as little as possible but they specialise at Christmas and not

:24:58.:25:02.

spend any money at Christmas. Give people your time. What would happen

:25:03.:25:06.

to the global economy if we didn't spend money at Christmas? All

:25:07.:25:10.

retailers would be bust! The average retailer makes a third of their

:25:11.:25:14.

profits every year from Christmas. Jeffrey is a dancer from Canada who

:25:15.:25:20.

is in the middle of a buy nothing year apparently. Joe says, "I really

:25:21.:25:30.

enjoying shopping. Maybe too much." Anna Liza says, "I'm broke." This

:25:31.:25:38.

guy in the top says all he got from Christmas was gaffer tape and

:25:39.:25:43.

tinfoil and he was happy with that! There is a reaction of over

:25:44.:25:49.

commercialisation of Christmas. Whether you can spend no money at

:25:50.:25:56.

all? This is surrounded by adverts for things!

:25:57.:25:58.

Hello. Good morning. We've got quite mixed weather conditions today, but

:25:59.:26:16.

for just about all of us, it is cloudy with hill fog patches and

:26:17.:26:17.

we've got

:26:18.:26:19.

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