30/03/2017 BBC Business Live


30/03/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Sally Bundock and Ben Thompson.

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A $600 billion trade relationship must be re-drawn.

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Live from London, that's our top story on Thursday 30th March.

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With Article 50 now finally triggered, we'll be looking

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at what the options are for the trade negotiators

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The world's biggest insurance market confirms it's moving some

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of its business to the continent in response to Brexit.

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And can a tech firm that makes lists really be

:00:55.:01:01.

We meet the man behind Listable - the firm that promises to make

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Today we want to know, What are your questions

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We'll be answering your questions on this Friday's

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We start of course with Brexit - as the massive task now begins

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of agreeing the terms of Britain's departure from the European Union.

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There's a huge amount at stake for businesses here in the UK -

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and across the remaining 27 EU countries in the form of a trading

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relationship worth hundreds of billions of dollars a year.

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A failure to strike a trade deal would be damaging to all sides.

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In 2015 the UK exported $274 billion worth

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That's 44% of all the UK's exports and represents 13 percent

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The EU exports far more to the UK than vice versa -

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So it runs a large trade surplus over $80 billion with the UK.

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So you can argue it has more to lose in negotiations.

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But the EU as a whole is far less reliant on Britain

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Just 16% of all EU exports come here and they account for barely

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Of course different countries and industries are more reliant

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Germany's car industry is one that has a huge amount to lose as does

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Anne Marie Martin is Chief Executive of the Council of British Chambers

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Good morning. Welcome. Sally running through the numbers and this is the

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start of the long process when it starts coming down to who says what

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and who is prepared to give what. What happens next, in simple terms?

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Ooh! If I had my crystal ball, that would be very helpful. It's

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difficult to know. I think the process of what happens next is

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obvious. I think what's more important is to ensure from our

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point of view as a business organisation, a business

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organisation that is whose members are primarily based outside the UK,

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what we can do to assist and to help is to bring the European business

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perspective to the table. I think it's really important to understand

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that this is just as challenging for European or EU-based businesses as

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it is for UK businesses, they face exactly the same sort of challenges.

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I wanted to touch on that because, there is an element really about who

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has the upper hand, who needs the other one more than each other -

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when we talk about that, does Europe need the UK as much as the UK needs

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Europe? I think it's the same, it's complicated, it's not as easy as one

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needs the other more. We live in a world where businesses operate in

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complex environments and networks. It's not so much about the trade

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figures. That's obviously important, but the point is that the UK's exit

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from those supply chains, those European supply chains are

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potentially very disruptive to those businesses. So a lot of the work

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that we are involved in at the moment is to try and analyse some of

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that impact and to ensure that that is represented both to the UK

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Government but also to the national Governments across the EI 27 -- EU

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27. Your focus is on Europe and businesses outside of the UK that

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are working with the UK. Speak to anyone who is in favour of Brexit,

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they'll say this is the best opportunity for UK business to draw

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new trade deals elsewhere outside of Europe, with the US, Canada, India,

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China, that sort of thing, but also to redraw our relationship with

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Europe. Is there any truth in that, that actually this is a good

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opportunity to start again? Potentially I think in any challenge

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there is an opportunity and I think if it helps businesses to review the

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way they do business, then that's a very positive thing. If it also

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helps reinvigoration or invigorate export behaviour in the UK, that's

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also excellent but we mustn't forget the UK's always had access to the

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markets anyway, that hasn't necessarily made a huge impact on

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the export activity of the UK. If this is going to be an opportunity

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for that to increase, then fantastic. Here begins a lot of hard

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work. Ann-Marie, good to see you, Chief Executive of the Council of

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British Chamber of Commerce. Thank you very much.

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Let's stay with Brexit because the world's biggest

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insurance market, Lloyd's of London, has confirmed it will establish

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a new European base in Brussels to avoid losing business when the UK

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It will be up and running by January 2019.

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Lloyds has warned that without the move, Brexit

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could have a significant impact on its continental business -

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which generates $3.7 billion a year- that's 11% of its business.

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Lloyds also says it made pre-tax profits of about $2.6 billion.

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Earlier I spoke to the Chief Executive of Lloyds

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She explained why they chose Brussels as their new European base.

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We wanted to have a really top quality robust regulator, Brussels

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or Belgium regulator fits that bill. We also wanted great access to

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talent. So we need to hire some really good people. We felt it was

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an excellent place to go. We have to think about accessibility, how easy

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is it to get from London to somewhere on the continent, how easy

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is it from elsewhere on the continent to be able to get to that

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place. We also though wanted to consider the likelihood of the

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countries staying within the EU in the future because that's an

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important factor as well. We were just hearing from the UK Prime

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Minister, Theresa May, what she was saying yesterday following the

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delivery of the letter which triggered Article 50. What do you

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make of her tack as it were, the way she's going about this? I think it's

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an extremely difficult negotiation to be having. You wouldn't want to

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be in her shoes? Not at all. The world's eyes are upon this whole

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thing and it's seldom that you would have such a public negotiation going

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on and it will happen for a couple of years, despite the actual Brexit

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happening in two years, it will be ongoing for years after that. Do you

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think we can kiss goodbye the so-called passporting rights that

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are critical for financial services in the City of London? That's

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something you have been wanting to keep? We were lobbying but we felt

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the chances are lower than they were. Therefore we have set up our

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subsidiary or will be setting that up in Brussels. It would be

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fantastic if that happened and the thing is, the essence of what we are

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trying to get out of that is actually mutual market access

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because of course a lot of continental European firms also

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benefit from that and are able to participate in the London insurance

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market alone. So it's actually a two-way thing. So what you have

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announced today is your Plan B as it were, your contingency plan, if the

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outcome I assume is a hard Brexit, this is your plan if we have the

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worst case scenario? Yes. We want to make sure everything is up and

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running and it takes a while to establish a new company. Therefore

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we are starting to execute our plan. We'll be up and running by mid next

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year, but something else gets negotiated. We can pull back those

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plans at that point. Inga Beale there who I spoke to

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earlier. Interesting how businesses are coming up with their plans and

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arrangement. Let eats tell you how to be in touch with your questions

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about this whole process. Tomorrow we'll have some guests on

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to answer your questions. One viewer asking about students

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working overseas already, health insurance cards, are they still

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valid is another question. We'll put your questions to the ex-pers

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tomorrow. A judge in Hawaii has indefinitely

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extended the suspension It means people from six mostly

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Muslim states can enter the country Many of the United States' biggest

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companies have spoken out against the measure and it's impact

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on their workforces. Mr Trump has argued the ban

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will stop terrorists entering the country and has previously

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pledged to take the case Toshiba shareholders have approved

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a proposal to split off the Japanese company's prized Nand

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flash memory unit. It paves the way for a sale

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of a majority stake or even all The company needs to raise money

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because of billions of dollars of losses at its US nuclear arm

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Westinghouse Electric, which filed for bankruptcy

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protection on Wednesday. Let us show you the markets in Asia.

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We saw a shift yesterday. They were all in the green in Asia and in Wall

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Street the night before. We have seen sentiment change. We'll discuss

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the key issues as far as the US is concerned, it's an important day for

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the US, we'll get growth figures out today and that could mean what the

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Federal Reserve will think about and decide to do next. So we'll talk

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about that in a second. A look at Europe first, slightly different

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picture in Europe, very, very flat, to be honest, very marginal aboves

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in the markets. We'll talk you through the reasons why. Here is

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Samira with a look ahead to Wall Street's day. How did America's

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economy fare during the first quarter? We'll tell you when the

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department releases the estimate of the GDP. It's expected to show that

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the economy grew at 2% instead of the previously reported 1.9%. Lots

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happening on Thursday, SpaceX plans to land its first used rocket. It's

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a critical test for e-London must have beening. They made -- Elon

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Musk. New York fed President Leon Dudley will weigh in on the hints of

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Trump administration's economic plans and of course what that means

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for the Central Bank's policy-tightening plan. This will

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happen at an event at the University of South Florida.

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We'll come back to the theme of the US in a moment.

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Joining us is James Hughes, chief market analyst, GKFX.

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Nice to see you. The morning after they've triggered Article 50, what's

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happened? Markets not really going anywhere? Nothing's happened really

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and the problem with brex sit that nothing's happened and we still

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haven't got A clue what is going to happen. From a trader's point of

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view, we are worried with the uncertainty. We have seen movements

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in the pound. That goes up when we hear detail from Theresa May or from

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anyone, and that is the big thing we want. Or it goes down depending on

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what the detail is? But usually detail means uncertainty goes away,

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whether good or bad news, and that's kind of helped, but still we don't

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know the answers and that's the biggest problem for us as traders.

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The markets hate uncertainties, the old cliche, but unfortunately it's

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true. That's why we roll it out all the time. We have no idea how

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transparent this is going to be. Exactly. The problem is we are going

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to be looking at headlines and hanging on speeches from people in

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the EU or whatever it may be. A quick word on America, US GDP,

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it's the final reading for the last quarter? Yes. It's expected to come

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out in line around 2% which is what we expected anyway, but it all ties

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into the Fed. Strong GDP could pointous to more rate hikes this

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year, that is the issue. We'll hold you to that. James will be back in a

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moment. We meet the man behind

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the San Francisco firm that And it makes money from lists -

:15:01.:15:03.

we'll explain all. Some of you love lists! I'm one of

:15:04.:15:07.

those, I love lists! You're with Business

:15:08.:15:15.

Live from BBC News. We are also talking smartphones -

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because on Wednesday, Samsung unveiled its latest flagship

:15:20.:15:23.

models at an event in New York. The Galaxy S8 and S8 Plus feature

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artificial intelligence and the largest wrap around

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screens ever made. They are the first major product

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launch since Samsung had to recall, and then scrap, its Note 7

:15:37.:15:41.

last autumn because of Will the S8 help it win back

:15:42.:15:43.

customers and regain the market leadership it has

:15:44.:15:53.

since lost to Apple? The long-awaited S8 Plus and S8.

:15:54.:16:12.

They have even got their own virtual assistant which can also use the

:16:13.:16:18.

phone's camera as a pair of eyes. Can you tell me more about this

:16:19.:16:23.

wine? Here are the wine search results... Samsung calls the S8 an

:16:24.:16:29.

artform but it is still a familiar sight. The button has moved to the

:16:30.:16:35.

back but there is also now facial recognition screen are locking and

:16:36.:16:40.

improved split screen. Unlike Apple, Samsung is sticking with the

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traditional headphone jack. It can connect up to a monitor or TV. But

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after the disaster of the exploding batteries with the Note 7, there is

:16:51.:16:55.

no attempt at extra battery power. With the Note 7, we took a lot of

:16:56.:16:58.

lessons on the battery and we have implemented new types of control,

:16:59.:17:02.

new quality insurance processes which we are of course implemented

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implementing in the production of the S8 and the S8 Plus. It is

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perhaps typical of Samsung's newly cautious approach, that it only

:17:15.:17:19.

speaks US English and Korean, for now. I find that really annoying,

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people who talk to you from the phone, does it get on your nerves?

:17:32.:17:36.

It does. You are either a person who absolutely uses it.

:17:37.:17:45.

There are people who walk around the office speaking to these devices.

:17:46.:18:03.

What is the weather like...? You can go to the Business Life page, it

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won't talk to you but it will give you lots of information.

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A $600 billion trade relationship between Britain

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and the EU is about to be re-drawn, now that Article 50

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Ben loves lists, so he is the really excited about this next story.

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And now let's get the inside track on the changing face

:18:34.:18:35.

The number of people opting to work on a freelance basis

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is growing rapidly as part of the so-called gig economy.

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One survey from the Upwork and Freelancers Union suggests just

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over a third of US workers are now freelance - that's

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Freelancers are also on the rise in Europe.

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But according to the UK's Association of Independent

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Professionals and the Self-Employed, they make up just 4%

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But integrating temporary staff alongside permanent

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That's where Lystable says it can help, especially when it

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comes to making sure they get paid properly.

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40,000 freelancers currently use the service, whose high-profile

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backers include Paypal founder Peter Thiel.

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Joining us now is Peter Johnston, founder of Lystable.

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As Sally said, I love lists, I will put something on a to-do list, so

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that I can cross it off. On a spreadsheet? No, never done the

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spreadsheet thing. This is about lists and being able to manage

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things. We touched in the introduction about how we work now,

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a lot more flexible, a lot of us going freelance. How does your

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programme help? For sure, really, it helps businesses manage freelance

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staff. We help you create a list of the freelancers that you might use

:19:59.:20:03.

around the world and be able to manage them in an efficient way.

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This is not just a contact list, is it, what are the practical

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applications? It definitely starts with a directory of the freelancers,

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but it goes beyond that, to the workflow and assigning them tasks

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wherever they are in the world, managing invoices with them. It is a

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complete system, although way through to getting them paid on

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time. And what started out as your idea years ago has now become a big

:20:31.:20:35.

business, with lots of big clients, 45 staff, most here in the UK, some

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in San Francisco, who started this when you were 25, you're now 28,

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running a multi-million dollar company, and many watching this

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might think, he is one of those young start-ups that we are told we

:20:53.:20:55.

are all going to be working for in the future! How did it all work, it

:20:56.:21:00.

was to do with a man called Mark Evans who you happened to meet when

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you work at Google? Yeah, Mark was the first venture capitalist that I

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met while at Google. I met him at King's Cross in London and explained

:21:13.:21:17.

how painful it had been at Google, trying to manage, even knowing who

:21:18.:21:20.

the freelancers work, that we used to. He described to me what he

:21:21.:21:27.

called the find a market fit. He said, you have a really big problem,

:21:28.:21:31.

which we see increasing in the UK and the US. So he met you and saw

:21:32.:21:36.

that you had this brainwave, as it were, which could become a massive

:21:37.:21:39.

business, and he set you on the path, is that fair to say? Yeah, I

:21:40.:21:46.

definitely think he was an encourager of pulling me out of my

:21:47.:21:50.

comfort zone, which was Google at the time, and encouraging me to

:21:51.:21:53.

become an entrepreneur. I think he was definitely aware of the time --

:21:54.:21:57.

at the time of the bigger macro trend. He definitely introduced me

:21:58.:22:06.

to the wider world of the freelancer economy. What does this tell us, the

:22:07.:22:11.

optimism amongst your backers tells us that perhaps this is the way the

:22:12.:22:14.

workforce is going. How do you see it changing? We talk about the gig

:22:15.:22:20.

economy, people being no guaranteed hours any more, how will it work the

:22:21.:22:26.

future? We think we are moving towards a professional freelancing

:22:27.:22:30.

economy. We are seeing a trend of freelancers opting into this

:22:31.:22:33.

lifestyle deliberately. They want more flexibility and they want to

:22:34.:22:36.

work for more companies, companies who have the best values and the

:22:37.:22:40.

best culture. Sometimes they're highly skilled and they can make

:22:41.:22:45.

more money out of going from company to company. We see a shift, a lot of

:22:46.:22:51.

our clients today like Google or eBay, have as many freelancers as

:22:52.:22:55.

full-time staff. And we see that trend continuing to increase. Peter,

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we are out of time so we will leave it to me the. I understand your

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family in Belfast are watching. They don't see much of Peter these days,

:23:05.:23:09.

LaMarr Woodley eating and living San Francisco! I come back to see my new

:23:10.:23:14.

nephew, when I can! Shareholders in the toubled Japanese

:23:15.:23:18.

conglomerate Toshiba have approved a plan to split off the company's

:23:19.:23:21.

lucrative flash memory unit. It needs the money after racking up

:23:22.:23:24.

more than $6 billion of losses at its US nuclear division,

:23:25.:23:27.

something that's threatened Our correspondent Rupert

:23:28.:23:29.

Wingfield-Hayes is in Tokyo. This is a big move, isn't it?

:23:30.:23:42.

Contact it is, it was an extraordinary shareholders meeting,

:23:43.:23:45.

called specifically to make this decision this afternoon. It took

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about three hours, it was an angry meeting, a lot of shareholders very

:23:51.:23:53.

unhappy about the situation Toshiba is in, but in the end they had no

:23:54.:23:59.

choice but to agree to the spin off of the flash memory division, which

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will now be sold. It is thought to be worth up to 18 billion US

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dollars, which is needed to pay for the massive debts which have been

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run up by Toshiba in its North American nuclear division, up to $9

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billion of debt. In North America division was declared bankrupt

:24:17.:24:20.

yesterday in the United States. But this is essentially selling of the

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family silver to pay the bills. They now have real choice but to do that.

:24:24.:24:30.

Thank you very much. As you can see, James has returned, as promised,

:24:31.:24:34.

with a story about Amazon and Facebook hitting obstacles in India?

:24:35.:24:39.

India is a massive market, we know it has been, for a lot of these into

:24:40.:24:45.

their companies in the US. I did not realise until reading this story

:24:46.:24:47.

that Facebook in India, it is the second biggest market for Facebook,

:24:48.:24:55.

India he is on the WhatsApp, it is the biggest market. But it is about

:24:56.:24:59.

those companies moving into India and trying to get the business and

:25:00.:25:04.

having issues because of Chinese internet firms coming in and

:25:05.:25:07.

allowing money into Indian start-up companies, which is giving the

:25:08.:25:13.

Chinese companies the upper hand. , of course, India is such a massive

:25:14.:25:17.

boom area, it has been for such a long time. The US firms are

:25:18.:25:23.

struggling to get traction there because of the amount of money

:25:24.:25:26.

coming in from Chinese firms, giving them the upper hand. I know when the

:25:27.:25:30.

Mark Zuckerberg went to India, it might have been last year, and he

:25:31.:25:35.

was desperately trying to woo the masses, as it were, and he could see

:25:36.:25:40.

the potential there. Time is up, I am sorry, but really good to see

:25:41.:25:44.

you. Keep your comments and tweets coming in about questions for

:25:45.:25:49.

Brexit. What does it mean for you? Answers tomorrow. Bye-bye.

:25:50.:25:53.

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