18/04/2017 BBC Business Live


18/04/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Sally Bundock and Ben Thompson.

:00:00.:00:11.

After President Trump dumped a key trade deal with Asia -

:00:12.:00:15.

the Vice President begins a visit to the country to drum up trade -

:00:16.:00:19.

Live from London, that's our top story on Tuesday 18th April.

:00:20.:00:43.

The Americans have also accused Japan of currency manipulation.

:00:44.:00:45.

So what are the odds of the two sides achieving a trade deal?

:00:46.:01:03.

for the US financial sector as Bank of America and Goldman Sachs

:01:04.:01:10.

Could a computer come up with the next big

:01:11.:01:22.

We'll meet the man who's using Artificial Intelligence

:01:23.:01:25.

to try to bush back the boundaries of medical science.

:01:26.:01:27.

And as Weetabix fails to take off in China,

:01:28.:01:30.

its Chinese owner puts the company up for sale.

:01:31.:01:35.

So today, we want to know, what gets you going in a morning?

:01:36.:01:39.

What's YOUR breakfast wherever in the world

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Of course it has to be a full English! Send in your comments.

:01:41.:02:06.

In the last few hours, the US Vice President Mike Pence has

:02:07.:02:08.

touched down in Tokyo where he's meeting with the Japanese Prime

:02:09.:02:11.

In recent weeks, President Trump appears to have softened his stance

:02:12.:02:15.

on trade after taking aim at some of the world's biggest exporters

:02:16.:02:18.

In the case of Japan it has been accused

:02:19.:02:21.

of manipulating its currency for trade advantage -something

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And the Trump administration is hoping to reverse

:02:24.:02:27.

the trade deficit between the two nations - which last year stood

:02:28.:02:29.

When it comes to their trade relationship

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the car industry is key, Japan currently exports

:02:38.:02:40.

more than a million cars to the U.S every year.

:02:41.:02:50.

while the US only sells around 10,000

:02:51.:02:52.

That is something Trump wants to change.

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And his administration is keen to strike what it calls

:02:57.:02:58.

a "balanced and fair " trade agreement with Japan which has been

:02:59.:03:01.

given added urgency by America's decision to withdraw

:03:02.:03:03.

from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.

:03:04.:03:08.

Souteast Asia Analyst at the geopolitical

:03:09.:03:14.

Taking it back to basics what is interesting, after President Trump

:03:15.:03:27.

threw out the TTP, the transpacific partnership deal, that was designed

:03:28.:03:32.

to boost trade, he said, we don't want that, but we will try to drum

:03:33.:03:36.

up a trade deal independently, what is at stake? It is important to bear

:03:37.:03:45.

in mind that Japan relies upon the United States for its leading export

:03:46.:03:53.

market. There is a lot of impetus behind having deal, it has been

:03:54.:03:59.

scrapped, the United States out of it, United States want to find the

:04:00.:04:04.

next thing that is coming, will they try to salvage some form of the TTP,

:04:05.:04:08.

that question has been raised, but in the United States case, the

:04:09.:04:13.

question here is how can they keep trading with an important trading

:04:14.:04:16.

partner but at the same time deal with domestic political issues which

:04:17.:04:19.

the Trump administration have raised. Japan has a massive trade

:04:20.:04:24.

surplus with the United States, we know that, that has angered a lot of

:04:25.:04:28.

Americans, when it came to that deal, they said, this isn't fair.

:04:29.:04:33.

There's anything really change in the short-term? The disease ET think

:04:34.:04:37.

that Japan sells cars to America, what does America sell to Japan or

:04:38.:04:41.

Southeast Asia? The thing to bear in mind is that these are huge

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investment sites, and the United States is sending some pretty strong

:04:46.:04:50.

signals with this visit to the vice president, showing that they want to

:04:51.:04:54.

try to save the racing chip, they must be very careful how they

:04:55.:04:57.

balance the domestic side and the investment side, if you

:04:58.:04:59.

rhetoric coming out of the rhetoric coming out of the

:05:00.:05:03.

administration, what we see is a softening, we are seeing questions

:05:04.:05:05.

about whether you see inflation going on but also, how do we go

:05:06.:05:11.

ahead and trade better? And you can look at how the Trump administration

:05:12.:05:14.

figures in other countries in the region, and the point there is,

:05:15.:05:18.

prospects for some kind of deal coming out of it which would protect

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the quiche constituencies are quite strong, it is a question of balance.

:05:23.:05:29.

-- protect the key constituencies. I want a deal which will favour the

:05:30.:05:32.

United States but you will have a deal with Japan that you need to

:05:33.:05:36.

work with. Really briefly, rest of the region, Southeast Asia, what is

:05:37.:05:40.

the view of other countries there are, Japan, just a part of that.

:05:41.:05:44.

There are news specifically, they want to make sure that the ban is

:05:45.:05:48.

strong and Japanese investment keeps flowing, Japan investing a huge

:05:49.:05:51.

amount in infrastructure in the region, billions of dollars but into

:05:52.:05:55.

that and the US could have a role to play there. What they want to do is

:05:56.:05:59.

to try to salvage something of a regional deal, bear in mind only

:06:00.:06:03.

four Southeast Asian countries were in the transpacific partnership, so

:06:04.:06:09.

what the question is is what will be negotiated next. That has a role for

:06:10.:06:13.

China and Japan. It'll be interesting to see how that plans

:06:14.:06:16.

out. Thank you very much for explaining all of that for us.

:06:17.:06:30.

You can't go far without tipping in New York, and it seems

:06:31.:06:33.

Proposals have been put forward by regulators to force all cab

:06:34.:06:37.

companies that take payment via credit card to offer

:06:38.:06:39.

Rival services such as Lyft already offer a similar service but Uber has

:06:40.:06:43.

Two Easyjet passengers were removed from an overbooked flight and not

:06:44.:06:47.

offered compensation a day after a United Airlines passenger

:06:48.:06:49.

The airline failed to tell the passengers who were removed,

:06:50.:06:53.

that they were entitled to an alternative flight

:06:54.:06:55.

on the same day with another carrier or compensation.

:06:56.:06:57.

Easyjet has apologised and blamed human error.

:06:58.:07:07.

Let's have a look at some of the stories on the business live page. A

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lot on there, easy week for economic data to ward the end of the week, a

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lot of PMI data, we will be talking about that as the week goes on. It

:07:19.:07:21.

debate about shareholder revolt when debate about shareholder revolt when

:07:22.:07:27.

it comes to pay, we will talk about this later with the markets guest

:07:28.:07:31.

but on the business live page, our shareholders limbering up on bosses

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pay? They have been talking about that on five live. -- are

:07:36.:07:46.

shareholders. We may see some response as far as pay for top

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bosses is concerned, familiar theme. What is your favourite breakfast?

:07:55.:08:00.

Porridge. Not a full English. Finley properly in the UK, Weetabix, it

:08:01.:08:06.

could be sold to a US company, after reports that Chinese owners want to

:08:07.:08:13.

off-load it. -- extremely popular in the UK. Interesting story, Chinese

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owners bought the company they said, dude market in China that we could

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sell this to, and it has not work as they planned. I guess the Chinese

:08:23.:08:27.

consumers are a little bit like you, they want a hot breakfast, not a

:08:28.:08:32.

cold one, really, China's bright foods own Weetabix, one of the best

:08:33.:08:38.

have confirmed it will be gobbled up have confirmed it will be gobbled up

:08:39.:08:43.

by US firm post holdings for 1.8 billion dollars, it has been made in

:08:44.:08:57.

the UK. They are as is is the largest at the time, they have

:08:58.:09:01.

struggled to build a big market share in China, as I mentioned,

:09:02.:09:07.

Chinese consumers are a big fan of hot breakfasts, they prefer hot rice

:09:08.:09:11.

-based breakfast. Weetabix Double their sales, but the UK accounts for

:09:12.:09:17.

the majority of their business, what we know about is that they are

:09:18.:09:23.

third-largest brand, holding golden crisp. -- what we know about Post

:09:24.:09:32.

Holdings. I have fruit for breakfast, and yoghurt. I am so

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surrounded by healthy people, I bet you go for a run as well! A full

:09:38.:09:45.

English with rice, my hot breakfast repertoire is getting larger by the

:09:46.:09:48.

minute. Markets in Asia, this is how things went, Japan up by one third

:09:49.:09:54.

of a percent, it seems people have decided that the risk element is

:09:55.:09:59.

fading a little when it comes to the geopolitics in the region of Asia,

:10:00.:10:03.

North Korea very much on the minds of investors globally, Hong Kong

:10:04.:10:08.

down by over 1%, overnight on Wall Street, we saw most of the main

:10:09.:10:14.

markets up. Helping Asia. Wall Street, thin trading on Monday,

:10:15.:10:18.

shorter day than normal because of the Easter weekend. This is Europe,

:10:19.:10:25.

first, a look ahead to the big earning stories in banking. Last

:10:26.:10:31.

week, both JP Morgan Chase and Citigroup reported earnings and on

:10:32.:10:34.

Tuesday we will hear from Bank of America and Goldman Sachs. Two

:10:35.:10:38.

things that will boost the earnings for Bank of America, stronger

:10:39.:10:41.

trading, because of the record highs seen on US markets, and the higher

:10:42.:10:46.

interest rates means that the banks will have made more money from

:10:47.:10:50.

linking. Oldman sacks will also see a boost to their earnings, because

:10:51.:10:54.

of strong bond trading and investment banking. Really, what

:10:55.:10:57.

investors will want to hear from both banks is an update on any

:10:58.:11:04.

changes to banking rules. -- Goldman Sachs. The election of President

:11:05.:11:10.

Trump showed a rally, on the expectation that he would roll back

:11:11.:11:14.

some of the rules known as. Frank but recently, bank stocks have been

:11:15.:11:18.

pulling back, after not being able to repeal and replace Obamacare,

:11:19.:11:23.

there are worries that some of the promises made by the Trump

:11:24.:11:25.

STUDIO: Picking up on some of the happening. -- Dodd?Frank.

:11:26.:11:37.

STUDIO: Picking up on some of the things we had there, but talking

:11:38.:11:41.

about the relative calm, talking about the weekend, markets not too

:11:42.:11:45.

concerned about events as far as career is concerned, what is your

:11:46.:11:49.

take on what they have made of it so far? Element of relief, the rhetoric

:11:50.:11:54.

had got worse, the South Korean market did not blink, maybe they are

:11:55.:12:01.

farm or used to this nonstop noise from North Korea. With complex in

:12:02.:12:06.

his muscles, there was a bit of us not really expecting potential

:12:07.:12:11.

conflict. -- Trump flexing his muscles. There was a certain amount

:12:12.:12:15.

of calm and a few moments as we got over the Easter weekend. Calm, but

:12:16.:12:20.

also frustration taking in as was hinted, when it comes to the other

:12:21.:12:24.

stuff we want to see Trump doing, tax reform, reducing regulation on

:12:25.:12:32.

the banking sector, still nothing. Such an interesting point, why do we

:12:33.:12:35.

have this big bounce in market, after Trump got in, when people were

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fearful, it was because he was going to get out and do stuff and what

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became important and became a focus of helping the US economy

:12:44.:12:47.

infrastructure spend and the big US corporate tax cut, he has failed at

:12:48.:12:52.

health care, and the suggestion is, they are now already talking about

:12:53.:12:56.

delays in the US tax cut, his own party are preventing this, they want

:12:57.:13:00.

to see it funded. The longer this becomes a delay the bigger it

:13:01.:13:04.

becomes an issue, Google want to see action, they want to see the

:13:05.:13:07.

infrastructure investment in the states. Don't have to be a scientist

:13:08.:13:11.

to realise when you go there, they desperately need it. -- people want

:13:12.:13:16.

to see action. We will get inflation later in the week, this is a global

:13:17.:13:20.

problem, prices rising, wages not keeping up, firms seeing input

:13:21.:13:27.

prices rising sharply, what do we expect? One data point may not show

:13:28.:13:31.

it but absolutely spot on, what we are seeing across the world is

:13:32.:13:34.

inflationary pressures rising, partly due to the end of

:13:35.:13:37.

quantitative easing, we have seen inflation creeping out since the Fed

:13:38.:13:41.

stopped that programme, but look at basic quality like leather, things

:13:42.:13:47.

like that, they are rising at a steady, this feeds through to

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everyday materials, all across the world, not just the UK, we have got

:13:52.:13:57.

inflation problem due to the weaker currency after "Brexit", and I

:13:58.:14:00.

expect that you will see this continuously move throughout the

:14:01.:14:04.

year, and unless wages start to move up as you are suggesting, we will

:14:05.:14:08.

see a global consumer income squeeze hitting. One that will affect all of

:14:09.:14:14.

us at some point. Breakfast of choice, before you go? I do

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sometimes have the other Weetabix brand, Alpen. Muesli! Well. All very

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healthy, except for May! First, before we discuss that, let's

:14:29.:14:51.

talk about something poignant in the UK.

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Credit checks should NOT be carried out when people

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are shopping around for a loan - that's according to the TSB.

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The bank says nearly two thirds of providers carry out such checks,

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but they can affect a borrower'S credit history and increase

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the cost of the loan - through higher interest charges.

:15:04.:15:06.

Paul Pester is the chief executive of TSB.

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Just explain this. Many would say it is standard, you apply for credit

:15:15.:15:22.

and you would face a credit check. Absolutely not. This is part of a

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series of underhand tactics the industry uses we think to rip-off

:15:29.:15:32.

consumers to the tune of ?400 million a year. Why is it an issue?

:15:33.:15:38.

If a customer tries to shop for a better loan rate they might ask a

:15:39.:15:43.

provider for a rate and another provider for a rate and they are

:15:44.:15:47.

only asking for a price, not applying for a loan and the loan

:15:48.:15:51.

providers mark the credit file of the customer so that after quotes,

:15:52.:15:57.

they can see the cost of the loan up and we think on average it can

:15:58.:16:02.

increase the cost by two percentage points, that is ?400 of extra

:16:03.:16:07.

interest the customer does not need to pay and it is an underhand tactic

:16:08.:16:12.

we would like to see an end to soon. Is it important in the process of

:16:13.:16:18.

trying to find a loan, they do somewhere along the line,

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affordability and the fact you can pay it back is assessed?

:16:23.:16:26.

It is vital to check a customer's ability to repay. That is helping

:16:27.:16:31.

customers to borrow well but there is a subtle and important difference

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between looking at a credit file as leaving a footprint on the file,

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effectively because I am asking a price. My file is marked as if I

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have taken out the loan. If I want a ?5,000 loan it looks like I am

:16:50.:16:53.

racking up loans, which is why the rate goes up. Which is not

:16:54.:16:57.

necessary. I am told we are out of time which is a shame. But there is

:16:58.:17:03.

detail on the website. The chief executive of TSP, and cued. More

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detail on the website. One other story on the tablet, the finance

:17:09.:17:20.

chief on fLYBE. On the business live page.

:17:21.:17:25.

You're watching Business Live - our top story - the US vice

:17:26.:17:28.

He'll be pressing the case for a bilateral trade

:17:29.:17:36.

We will keep you posted. A big holiday for most European markets

:17:37.:17:47.

and this is how they open today. Now, we all rely on medicines

:17:48.:17:53.

at one time or another - whether it's to deal

:17:54.:18:00.

with an irritating cough That's why medical

:18:01.:18:02.

innovation is so important - our lives could literally

:18:03.:18:05.

depend on it. Our next guest is using artificial

:18:06.:18:06.

intelligence to push back through masses of data at the blink

:18:07.:18:09.

of an eye. The company says the computer makes

:18:10.:18:22.

connections and discoveries it would take scientists many

:18:23.:18:25.

lifetimes to come up with. The company was formed in the UK

:18:26.:18:28.

in 2013 and since then In fact it's now the largest

:18:29.:18:31.

Artificial Intelligence It has struck licence agreements

:18:32.:18:34.

with some of the world's biggest BenevolentAI is working on more

:18:35.:18:41.

effective treatments for diseases Maybe it can fix the fact I am not

:18:42.:18:46.

speaking well this morning! Joining us is Kenneth Mulvany -

:18:47.:18:57.

he is the co-founder Pretty comprehensive run-through of

:18:58.:19:09.

what you do but I am interested in hearing from yourselves. If someone

:19:10.:19:13.

says what do you do, how do you describe it? You can imagine that a

:19:14.:19:18.

lot of research has gone into understanding the human body and how

:19:19.:19:24.

it works. There are a lot of things we have determined along the way,

:19:25.:19:29.

that are known. But there are unknowns out there. This system

:19:30.:19:35.

takes all the things that are known and it deduces this should be known

:19:36.:19:40.

based on what is already known. One way I describe it is you may

:19:41.:19:49.

remember in chemistry classes you have the periodic table. Years ago

:19:50.:19:53.

there were big pieces of the table missing. You had characteristics

:19:54.:19:59.

that you knew, for instance the atomic number, how many electrons it

:20:00.:20:02.

would have, just the element had not been found. That is what our system

:20:03.:20:08.

does, finding things that should be known based on what is known. Mixing

:20:09.:20:13.

computer science, maths, medicine, to try to come up with solutions to

:20:14.:20:20.

things such as Alzheimer's, multiple sclerosis, neurological diseases.

:20:21.:20:24.

Where are we with that? When we will we see the results? We have 22

:20:25.:20:30.

programmes in development. Two we have licensed to a big

:20:31.:20:37.

pharmaceutical company in the US. The remaining we are developing. The

:20:38.:20:43.

most advanced is in phase two to treat disease. We are feeling

:20:44.:20:48.

confident with progress. In terms of the speed it took to get there it is

:20:49.:20:53.

more condensed. My last company was a biotech. When he says the last

:20:54.:21:01.

company, he has created and sold 11. 48 years old, a bit of an over

:21:02.:21:05.

achiever in the studio! The business you have now is valued

:21:06.:21:11.

at over ?1 billion. It becomes one of the tech unicorns. Is that help

:21:12.:21:15.

or hindrance when it comes to telling people what you do? People

:21:16.:21:20.

say you are fine, you are worth this, you do not need our help? One

:21:21.:21:26.

of the nice things relating in the industry relating to medicine, we do

:21:27.:21:31.

not have to rely on the hype of technology to demonstrate success.

:21:32.:21:38.

It is regulated, the European regulators, FTA, require us to prove

:21:39.:21:43.

the biology and toxicology over and again to ensure it is safe. The

:21:44.:21:47.

results become somewhat self evident. The things the

:21:48.:21:57.

pharmaceuticals company understand our underlying product. When it

:21:58.:22:04.

comes to AI, will this be part of the normal process of finding cure

:22:05.:22:08.

was in the future? It should do and it is important it does. If you

:22:09.:22:15.

imagine the amount of new information created every day, in

:22:16.:22:21.

life sciences alone there are 10,000 new journal publications every day.

:22:22.:22:27.

It is impossible for any scientist or group of scientists to reach

:22:28.:22:31.

them, let alone retain the knowledge and have it in a collective place.

:22:32.:22:37.

What artificial intelligence technology allows is to absorb all

:22:38.:22:45.

over 200 million variables over 200 million variables

:22:46.:22:48.

simultaneously in your head. I can hardly hold four. What do you eat

:22:49.:22:54.

for breakfast? Porridge. We are the same. Bacon and eggs. You

:22:55.:23:01.

have got in touch about your breakfast options. But this is more

:23:02.:23:10.

about how to stay in touch. The business Live pages where you

:23:11.:23:14.

can stay ahead with breaking news and we will keep you up-to-date with

:23:15.:23:19.

details with insight, analysis, with the BBC editors around the world.

:23:20.:23:25.

Get involved on the BBC business live web page.

:23:26.:23:42.

A reminder of one story in business, Weetabix is up for sale, possibly a

:23:43.:23:55.

US company going to buy the company. Post Holdings is buying it not from

:23:56.:24:00.

a British company, originally it was an Australian invention and came

:24:01.:24:03.

here in the 30s and was made in Northamptonshire ever since but in

:24:04.:24:08.

2012 it was bought by the Chinese who thought they could interest the

:24:09.:24:11.

Chinese in eating Weetabix for breakfast and they couldn't. We were

:24:12.:24:17.

speaking to our correspondent in Singapore who gave a lowdown on the

:24:18.:24:22.

history. A huge population in China, we can sell it here, it is not

:24:23.:24:28.

working. In 2012 Chinese food companies thought China would switch

:24:29.:24:33.

to a processed carbohydrate rich diet. It has not worked. Chinese

:24:34.:24:41.

tastes have lasted centuries. Ryan says my breakfast choices odd. It is

:24:42.:24:46.

more like dinner. White Castle sliders and mini cheeseburger. He

:24:47.:24:55.

says an extra six hours of sleep, Gerald, and then lunch.

:24:56.:25:02.

I am with you, porridge. Weetabix with fruit. Ricky has three

:25:03.:25:07.

pieces of toast with Worcestershire sauce, tomato and garlic. Is that

:25:08.:25:13.

really true, are you teasing? We will not read out the tweets that

:25:14.:25:19.

say they were will have you Breakfast.

:25:20.:25:25.

Menswear dilemmas. This is a office where. What shade of denim you

:25:26.:25:32.

should choose. A lot of companies do not have a suit and tie as a common

:25:33.:25:37.

thing. This is tricky. Black is OK, yellow? And this is funny. What do

:25:38.:25:51.

you do about the over Botoxed chief executive? Thanks for your company.

:25:52.:25:57.

We will see you same time tomorrow. Enjoy your breakfast. Goodbye.

:25:58.:26:02.

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