02/02/2018 BBC Business Live


02/02/2018

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LineFromTo

This is Business Live from BBC News

with Alice Baxter and David Eades.

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Another record quarter for Apple,

but is the Silicon Valley

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giant still on track to become

the world's first

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trillion dollar company?

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Live from London,

that's our top story

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on Friday second February.

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Apple reports another

bumper set of numbers -

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but is the winning streak set

to continue despite

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a drop in iPhone sales?

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And the UK Government hails

a successful trip to China,

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but at home the Prime Minister faces

some tough questions.

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We'll hear from Theresa May later

in the programme.

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European shares have opened

flat to slightly lower

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following a mixed session in Asia.

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It's been another roller-coaster

week for Bitcoin.

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We'll guide you through the highs

and lows with our technology

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guru Rory-Cellan Jones.

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Today, we want to know -

as the Premier League Football TV

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Rights auction looms once more -

would you pay more to keep

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watching the footie?

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Let us know.

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Just use the #BBCBizLive.

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We start in Silicon Valley

where the giants of the technology

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world have been reporting

their latest results.

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The biggest of them all -

Apple - has been hailing

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its best ever quarter.

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That mean's it's edging ever closer

to becoming the world's

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first trillion dollar tech company

by stock market value.

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Let's show you the numbers

because they are staggering.

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Apple made revenues

of more than $88 billion

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in the three months to the end

of December, the all important

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holiday shopping season.

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20 billion of that was profit.

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That was up 12.6%

on the previous year -

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setting a new earnings

record for the firm.

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Apple sold 77.3 million

iPhones in the quarter.

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That was down slightly

on last year -

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raising concerns the iPhone's

popularity is waning.

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But remember - many sales

were of the more expensive

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and profitable iPhone X

and we should put this in context -

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according to research just out,

global sales of all smartphones

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were down 9% in the quarter -

the biggest fall ever -

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as the market gets saturated.

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Revenues are up 13% because the

iPhone tent is more expensive.

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Some analysts might be worried the

iPhone which is two thirds of the

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revenue could be stalling. If that

keeps going up, the company remained

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strong.

In terms of selling the hardware,

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there is a saturation point being

breached and it is worse for other

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mobile phone makers. That does drive

Apple towards having to depend on

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its services.

It has to make this work. Services

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was 10% of revenue, usually a larger

proportion. This quarter it is high

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because of Christmas. Apple is

building its services business with

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230 million active sub --

subscribers.

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If there is a risk, where is it?

Where do they think we have to watch

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that over the horizon?

Apple is the biggest smartphone

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maker by revenues, the biggest risk

is augmented reality, things like

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Google Glass, a pair of glasses with

artificial intelligence, you can

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voice activate it. It is a

smartphone in your head. If Apple do

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not invest heavily to become a

leader in augmented reality, it

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could fall, just as Nokia did with

touch screens.

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The race to the $1 trillion value

mark, what about Apple versus

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Amazon? Amazon are flying at the

moment.

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It is 850 billion now. Alphabet and

Google aren't far behind, neither

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Microsoft.

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Because they have all the

characteristics that give them the

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strength to grow in five years, that

is because if you look at the tech

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themes, boys, cloud, artificial

intelligence, automation, you need a

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certain number of characteristics to

be successful. Cloud infrastructure,

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a high number of users, they each

have 800,000. And you need cash to

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invest.

They all have it.

Thank you very

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much indeed.

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Let's take a look at some of

the other stories making the news.

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Japan's financial regulator

has raided the offices

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of the crypto-currency exchange

Coincheck.

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They say they were checking

their systems following last week's

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cyber attack which saw

the firm lose more than $500

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million of virtual assets.

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The regulator said security gaps

in Coincheck's systems were among

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the reasons it didn't have

approval to operate.

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Shares in the toymaker Mattel have

fallen sharply after it reported

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a surprise loss of $252 million

in the last three months of 2017

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which includes the all-important

holiday season.

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Sales of its best known

brand Barbie were up.

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However, overall sales fell

because of children's growing

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preference for video

games and electronics

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over traditional toys.

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Europe's biggest investment bank

Deutsche Bank has reported a loss

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of almost $1.7 billion in the last

three months of last year.

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The bank says it was heavily

affected by Donald Trump's US tax

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reforms and actually made a pre-tax

profit of more than $1.6 billion

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for the year as a whole.

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It's been trying to restructure

itself after years of losses.

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The British Prime Minister

is concluding her three-day visit

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to China where the UK has signed

trade deals worth around

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$13 billion and reportedly creating

around 2,500 jobs.

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At home, though, she's

coming under increasing

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pressure over Brexit.

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Our political editor

Laura Kuenssberg spoke

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to her in Shanghai

and asked her about

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Britain's relationship

with Europe and the world.

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My choice is very simple.

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We take back control of our money,

we take back control of our borders,

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we take back control of our laws.

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We want that free trade agreement -

we negotiate a free trade agreement

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with the European Union.

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We want that to be on as

tariff-free and frictionless

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a basis as possible.

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That will be good for jobs the UK,

but that also gives us the freedom

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to negotiate and to sign up trade

deals around the rest of the world,

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and that's good for prosperity

and jobs and people in Britain too.

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That was Theresa May speaking to our

Political Editor Laura Kuenssberg

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at the end of her three day

visit to China.

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The two countries have

pledged to intensify

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a "golden era" in relations

between London and Beijing.

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Robin Brant is in Shanghai.

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If you look at the figures in terms

of trade, still more of a bronze era

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and a golden era.

China seems to be the world's

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biggest economy. Only the UK's

eighth biggest export market, so

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there is a huge room for

improvement. A nation of 1.4 billion

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people, and ever growing middle

class, the potential is huge. The UK

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and thinks it is impossible from an

economic point of view to avoid

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that. She has come here on this trip

and will be content heading home.

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Trade deals of $13 billion from

companies like BP, Aston Martin. She

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has had reassurances from China

whatever happens with Brexit, they

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believed the relationship with the

UK and China will not change. For

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China, there is an eye on deepening

the strategic longer term plans.

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Asian markets swung around on Friday

with some recovering from early

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losses but traders remaining on edge

as US Treasury yields

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rise to four-year highs.

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In particular, Tokyo stocks closed

lower on worries over the US economy

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as investors dabbled in a bit

of profit taking amid a number

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of corporate earnings and mindful

of some upcoming US jobs data.

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This comes after equity traders

around the world having been firing

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on all cylinders in recent months,

sending markets to record

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or multi-year highs.

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So a slight cooling off on global

markets now in evidence.

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All eyes will be on the jobs numbers

today as the labour department

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will release its employment report.

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In December the number

of new jobs created had come

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in well below forecast,

but in January it is expected

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to have risen to 180,000.

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The unemployment rate is not

likely to have changed.

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It's expected to remain at 4.1%.

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This

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It's held at that level

since October, the lowest

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it's been in 17 years.

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The commerce department will release

data for factory orders in December,

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and those are expected to have gone

up compared to a month earlier.

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In corporate earnings,

major companies from the energy

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sector will be reporting results.

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Profits at oil producer Exxon Mobile

are expected to have gone up by 18%

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in the last quarter of 2017.

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Chevron is also likely to post

a strong performance.

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Lawrence Gosling is editor in chief

of Investment Week magazine.

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is good to see you. Another big

market story, the head of the US

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Federal reserve, officially her last

day in office. As I said, equity

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markets have been running at a pace,

the UK economy has been doing very

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well. Donald Trump has been taking

credit. If you had to share the

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awards, what would you say?

Donald Trump has been in for only 12

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months, but she has headed the

Federal reserve for a lot longer.

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What has driven things is

quantitative easing. She has been an

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architect of that and if you go back

to the Lehmans Brothers crisis, it

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would be fair to say the second half

of this bid she has done a good job

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steadying the markets. Arguably the

job growth we have seen is down to

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her policies. Donald Trump is

claiming credit but probably hasn't

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contributed much.

Choppy waters all the time, we are

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back on that deadline for the US

budget. Will they be thrown back

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into chaos?

The markets, note the conciliation

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in the state of the nation. The

sense is it will be easier to get a

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solution this time around.

Thank you.

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Still to come.

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This week, we've seen a drop in user

numbers for Facebook,

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and the price of Bitcoin has yet

again taken a tumble.

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Later in the programme we'll get

a review of the week

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with our tech guru

Rory Cellan-Jones.

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You're with Business

Live from BBC News.

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Amid all this tech news,

Telecoms giant BT has

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also published its results,

reporting a 3% drop in sales

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in the third quarter,

although pre-tax profits were up.

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Our own Theo Leggett

is here to tell us more.

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What should we make

of these figures from BT?

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They are disappointing but not

dreadful. Pre-tax profits were up by

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25%, that sounds great but compare

it with the same quarter last year,

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that was when Beattie was grappling

with the outcome of a major

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accounting scandal at its Italian

unit and had to make big payments.

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Take the adjusted earnings figure,

sales fell 3%, adjusted earnings

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dropped down to £1.8 billion. That

is not dreadful. The company says it

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is a lot to do with investment in

mobile, trying to pay off pensions

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deficits. Shares this morning down

about 2.8%. This company has big

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challenges. The pensions deficit is

rather large, £8 billion. The

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company is looking at ways to deal

with it and it is reported at some

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point it will have to get rid of its

final salary pension scheme.

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Lots of changes going

on at BT at recently -

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the channel-sharing deal with Sky

and the Openreach superfast

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broadband roll-out.

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What impact will these

have on the business?

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Last year, it agreed to legally

separate Openreach and turn it into

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a stand-alone unit. Openreach at the

moment is ploughing forward with an

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ambitious programme to bring

ultrafast broadband to 10 million

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homes by 2025, as opposed to

superfast broadband which is in 95%

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of homes but not that fast by modern

standards.

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The channel sharing deal with Sky

looks good, they will carry each

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other's channels. It brings BT Sport

to a wider audience and those

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channels are gathering viewers fast.

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Thank you. Much more on the BBC

website and much more online so had

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their

for more. Thank you, Theo

Leggett.

0:16:080:16:10

You're watching Business Live.

0:16:100:16:12

Our top story - Apple has reported

record sales figures

0:16:120:16:15

for the latest quarter.

0:16:150:16:16

The company sold slightly

fewer iPhones compared

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to the same time last year,

yet Apple was still able to post

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a 12% increase in revenue.

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Earlier we spoke about Apple

and Amazon, but earlier in the week

0:16:250:16:27

Facebook also reported its latest

set of financial results.

0:16:270:16:31

And elsewhere in the world of tech,

it's been an eventful week

0:16:310:16:36

for cryptocurrency investors.

0:16:360:16:41

One of which joins us in the studio!

0:16:410:16:42

Here's our technology

correspondent, Rory Cellan-Jones.

0:16:420:16:47

I did buy a tiny amount about 18

months ago when I did a story about

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Bitcoin, forgot about it, then found

out it was worth more than $1500,

0:16:510:16:58

and sold a chunk of it, I have to

say, and I have been watching it

0:16:580:17:04

obviously very closely over recent

weeks. The big story right now this

0:17:040:17:09

week is a growing realisation that

the sheer extent of fraud around

0:17:090:17:12

this whole cryptocurrency area, we

said earlier it was like the wild

0:17:120:17:19

West, but no, the wild West had more

rules and regulations are available

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than in the cryptocurrency world.

Two major things this week. The

0:17:240:17:28

Japanese financial regulators raided

a cryptocurrency exchange, Coin

0:17:280:17:36

Check, which revealed a few days ago

it had been subject to what looked

0:17:360:17:39

like the biggest bank raid in

history, $530 million stolen by

0:17:390:17:44

hackers. Regulators are finding out

they are not very carefully

0:17:440:17:51

regulated, safeguarded, those

assets, and there is also a huge

0:17:510:17:53

amount of fraud. I read a report

just out on, and this is somehow the

0:17:530:18:01

cybercriminals' new area of

expertise and adventure, they are

0:18:010:18:05

doing e-mails to encourage you to

get into these things, pump and dump

0:18:050:18:09

exercises, where they ramp up the

value of a currency using fake news,

0:18:090:18:15

then spread that over a social media

very quickly and then get out before

0:18:150:18:20

the price plunges, saw a lot of

concerns and from there.

You

0:18:200:18:22

couldn't paint a bleak picture

really, with Bitcoin and

0:18:220:18:28

cryptocurrency, so what do you think

is the way ahead? They have to have

0:18:280:18:32

a future somewhere.

Everybody says the basic idea, and

0:18:320:18:36

perhaps the underlying technology,

which has got a huge amount of

0:18:360:18:41

enthusiasm around it, is interesting

and that there will be winners

0:18:410:18:44

eventually.

It's just that it is so beset with

0:18:440:18:49

fraud, so beset with every kind of

Haque merchant at the moment that

0:18:490:18:52

you have to say to people, just be

very careful out there -- every hike

0:18:520:18:59

merchant.

And you're not one of

them!

0:18:590:19:01

LAUGHTER

You're not surprised by the big drop

0:19:010:19:04

off we have seen in January at the

start of this year?

What we saw the

0:19:040:19:07

Bitcoin last year was this huge

acceleration up to nearly $20,000,

0:19:070:19:12

then it came back down to around

$10,000 to $15,000 to the month of

0:19:120:19:19

January, and we now seem to be

seeing another acceleration

0:19:190:19:22

downwards, trading around $8,000 at

the moment. It is looking the

0:19:220:19:27

classic bubble pattern, but the

question is is this the end of the

0:19:270:19:31

bubble or will we see another spate?

Also on the subject of Facebook --

0:19:310:19:37

will we see another spike?

Yes, we

have been talking about the tech

0:19:370:19:45

giants, Google, Amazon, Apple, they

all have enormous power and all

0:19:450:19:49

heading for this trillion dollar

evaluation you have been talking

0:19:490:19:51

about. Facebook managed an

extraordinary feat the other night,

0:19:510:19:55

going into their conference call

their shares had started to dip and

0:19:550:19:58

people were worried about this and

then somehow listening to Mark

0:19:580:20:02

Zuckerberg for and our convinced the

analysts and they went back up

0:20:020:20:06

again.

Why was that? What was he

saying?

He's talking a good game,

0:20:060:20:11

frankly, saying it is all part of

the strategy. They have at this

0:20:110:20:15

changing strategy where they are

going to put less news into the news

0:20:150:20:19

feed and make it more about your

friends and family, baby pictures,

0:20:190:20:22

where I have been on holiday, less

about, you know, is the Pope

0:20:220:20:28

Catholic and other strange stories,

and that's a bit of an experiment.

0:20:280:20:34

Every time they change their news

feed it is an experiment. I think

0:20:340:20:38

there was one worrying figure, a

figure that suggested in America

0:20:380:20:42

obviously their core market usage

was getting a bit, and it's sort of

0:20:420:20:46

begs the question, is this an

eternal upwards path? That is her

0:20:460:20:54

these pictures have always been

priced...

Is less more? Looking at

0:20:540:21:07

them out of users...

Yes, a tiny

amount, but what will worry some

0:21:070:21:13

investors is whether that is the

beginning of a trend where that is

0:21:130:21:15

the sort of gold mine about that,

but we shouldn't forget, they

0:21:150:21:20

haven't just got Facebook, they've

got Instagram, they've got What's

0:21:200:21:28

App, huge unsuccessful company with

all sorts of strings to its bowl.

0:21:280:21:34

We're not talking about the demise

of Facebook yet. -- strings to its

0:21:340:21:40

bow.

0:21:400:21:45

In a moment we'll take a look

through the Business Pages but first

0:21:450:21:47

here's a quick reminder of how

to get in touch with us.

0:21:470:21:50

Stay up-to-date with all the day's

business news as it happens

0:21:500:21:53

on the BBC's Business Live page.

0:21:530:21:54

There is insight and analysis

from our team of editors

0:21:540:21:57

right around the globe.

0:21:570:21:58

And we want to hear from you.

0:21:580:21:59

Get involved on the BBC's

Business Live web page

0:21:590:22:01

at bbc.com/business.

0:22:010:22:03

On Twitter, we're @BBCBusiness.

0:22:030:22:04

And you can find us

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0:22:040:22:06

Business Live, on TV and online -

what you need to know,

0:22:060:22:09

when you need to know.

0:22:090:22:13

What other business

stories has the media been

0:22:130:22:15

taking an interest in?

0:22:150:22:18

Lawrence Gosling is editor-in-chief

of Investment Week magazine

0:22:180:22:20

and is joining us again to discuss.

0:22:200:22:24

Let's start on a subject close to

your heart of course. It is footie

0:22:240:22:31

and was a huge amount of money. We

have the option for the Premier

0:22:310:22:35

League, TV rights, and that will go

up again.

It is bound to. Just to

0:22:350:22:39

remind people of the number, £5.1

billion was the price played last

0:22:390:22:44

time around, largely by Sky and BT,

and I think what is fascinating

0:22:440:22:49

people now, who else will come in to

try to push up the value of the

0:22:490:22:52

rights which is clearly what the

Premier League wants, so we have

0:22:520:22:55

seen Amazon take on Sky on ATP

tennis. Facebook? Talking about them

0:22:550:23:03

earlier, and there has been some

chatter as well about whether

0:23:030:23:07

someone like Netflix, were clearly

content is there a driving force,

0:23:070:23:09

whether they will come in. When you

look at the bidding rights, what is

0:23:090:23:13

really fascinating, it is the

overseas rights which is where the

0:23:130:23:16

Premier League have done really well

in attracting more revenue from

0:23:160:23:20

other parts of the world.

But they

could be doing so much better,

0:23:200:23:24

presumably?

Without a doubt. When

you think of the size of China, for

0:23:240:23:29

example, with the Prime Minister has

returned from, the appetite for

0:23:290:23:32

football there is extraordinary and

the Premier League are beginning to

0:23:320:23:35

do bespoke rights.

At the beginning

of the programme we asked people to

0:23:350:23:41

tweet in on whether potentially they

would be willing to pay more to

0:23:410:23:44

watch football. Some responses. Ben

is not prepared to pay more. "Ticket

0:23:440:23:49

Prices are in for the Premier League

fixtures. If you put prices up for

0:23:490:23:52

TV coverage fans will be taken away

from football. Without fans football

0:23:520:23:58

is nothing." Another one, Mike has

cancelled both Sky Sports and BT

0:23:580:24:03

sports. It is becoming stupidly

expensive. Alice nails it. No,

0:24:030:24:08

overpaid, overrated. But if you

follow the Premier League you're

0:24:080:24:12

probably prepared to keep paying,

for the moment. Most fans are not

0:24:120:24:16

going to want to lose what is such a

now that part of your social life,

0:24:160:24:23

isn't it?

I think the Premier League

is very aware there is a threshold

0:24:230:24:27

for everybody. We have seen quite a

lot of talking over the last 12

0:24:270:24:31

months about ticket prices at

matches, as one of your

0:24:310:24:36

contributors... And they are aware

they can't make the product too

0:24:360:24:39

expensive for the core audience in

the UK, so in terms of the price

0:24:390:24:43

that, say, whoever gets the UK

rates, maybe close to the threshold

0:24:430:24:46

so that 5.1 million may not go up

perhaps as much as a different last

0:24:460:24:51

run.

You have a sport that hasn't

quite caught on... Yes, a bit more

0:24:510:24:58

of a level playing field. The story

about Elon musk, who knew he had yet

0:24:580:25:03

another finger in yet another pie,

just selling flame-throwers, and

0:25:030:25:12

making $10 million.

The thought of

selling flame-throwers as an

0:25:120:25:16

alternative sport is a bit

extraordinary and extraordinary that

0:25:160:25:19

the company sells things like this

alongside baseball caps. The company

0:25:190:25:25

is probably a bit of a misnomer in

terms of what they do but the Home

0:25:250:25:30

Office in this country has pointed

out it is illegal to buy a

0:25:300:25:34

flame-thrower.

What is it?

A

flame-thrower.

Never quite got into

0:25:340:25:41

the market here. Lawrence, thank

you. Enjoy your weekend.

0:25:410:25:44

That's it from Business Live today.

0:25:440:25:47

There will be more business news

throughout the day on the BBC Live

0:25:470:25:51

web page and on World Business

Report.

0:25:510:25:52

Keep those tweets coming in as well

and we will be monitoring them as we

0:25:520:25:59

go. Goodbye.

0:25:590:26:04

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