06/02/2018 BBC Business Live


06/02/2018

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 06/02/2018. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

This is Business Live from BBC News

with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

0:00:080:00:11

Correction or collapse?

0:00:110:00:15

Global markets turn red

as the Dow Jones suffers its biggest

0:00:150:00:17

one-day fall in history.

0:00:170:00:19

Live from London, that's our top

story on Tuesday 6th February.

0:00:190:00:24

The sell-off began in the US,

caused, unusually,

0:00:400:00:42

by positive economic news,

jobs and wages rising

0:00:420:00:44

quicker than expected.

0:00:440:00:45

And that could prompt

another surprise rate rise

0:00:450:00:47

for the world's largest economy.

0:00:470:00:48

We'll explain what it all means.

0:00:480:00:50

Also in the programme:

0:00:500:00:58

Profits at oil giant BP

soar to $6.2 billion,

0:00:580:01:00

but can it regain its former glory

nearly eight years after

0:01:000:01:03

the Deepwater Horizon disaster?

0:01:030:01:04

And this is how markets

are trading in Europe,

0:01:040:01:09

down by 3% across the board -

following heavy losses

0:01:090:01:12

in Asia and the US.

0:01:120:01:15

We go beacon with the boss of a firm

cashing in on the boom in healthy

0:01:150:01:21

eating, but it is delivered to your

door. We are asking whether the

0:01:210:01:26

door. We are asking whether the

market volatility is a long overdue

0:01:260:01:29

correction or a market panic. Let us

know your thoughts. Where do you put

0:01:290:01:32

your money?

0:01:320:01:34

A warm welcome to the programme, a

lot to squeeze in today.

0:01:460:01:51

There seems to be no stopping

the global stock market sell-off.

0:01:510:01:54

Sparked in the US,

it swept through Asia

0:01:540:01:57

and the malaise is happening now

across European bourses.

0:01:570:01:59

The start of the week

saw the biggest decline

0:01:590:02:03

on Wall Street for six years.

So let's look at the numbers:

0:02:030:02:07

Moments ago, Europe is trading right

now, but this is how things went in

0:02:070:02:12

Japan, closing down nearly 5% lower.

At one point today in Japan, in

0:02:120:02:16

Tokyo, it down nearly 7%. That is

the big fall on the Dow Jones.

0:02:160:02:24

That's the biggest one-day fall in

terms of points in its history. The

0:02:240:02:29

SNP 500 also losing ground.

0:02:290:02:32

In a moment, we'll go live

to a trading floor in London

0:02:320:02:35

and our team based in Singapore

but first Yogita Limaye in New York

0:02:350:02:38

looks at what sparked the sell off

on Wall Street.

0:02:380:02:42

, S&P.

0:02:420:02:45

This trading floor saw its worst day

since the financial crisis.

0:02:480:02:51

After months of hitting record

highs, US stocks went into freefall.

0:02:510:02:55

The trigger - wage growth

has been faster than expected,

0:02:550:03:00

sparking fears that there will

be a rise in interest rates.

0:03:000:03:04

Certainly not what this

man would have wanted

0:03:040:03:05

on his first day in office.

0:03:050:03:12

Jerome Powell took over as the chair

of the American Central Bank,

0:03:120:03:15

the body that makes decisions

about interest rates.

0:03:150:03:17

And it was bad news

for this man, too.

0:03:170:03:20

President Trump has repeatedly taken

credit for the massive gains made

0:03:200:03:23

by financial markets

in the past year.

0:03:230:03:27

But addressing factory workers

in Ohio as stocks plunged,

0:03:270:03:31

this was one record

he chose not to speak about.

0:03:310:03:34

The White House has said

the president is focused

0:03:340:03:37

on long-term fundamentals,

which remain exceptionally strong.

0:03:370:03:43

And many on Wall Street say

there's no need for alarm just yet.

0:03:430:03:47

People are taking profits

after an historic climb,

0:03:470:03:49

it's very quiet in there,

very orderly, no panic.

0:03:490:03:56

Whilst the share market is falling,

gold and the Japanese yen are on the

0:03:560:04:02

way up.

0:04:020:04:02

Michael Hewson is senior market

analyst at CMC Markets.

0:04:020:04:07

We are under

analyst at CMC Markets.

0:04:070:04:07

We are under way

analyst at CMC Markets.

0:04:070:04:07

We are under way and

analyst at CMC Markets.

0:04:070:04:08

We are under way and it

analyst at CMC Markets.

0:04:080:04:09

We are under way and it is

analyst at CMC Markets.

0:04:090:04:09

We are under way and it is not

analyst at CMC Markets.

0:04:090:04:09

We are under way and it is not

looking good.

Indeed, Sally. But not

0:04:090:04:12

as bad as it could have been. I

talked to you 45 minutes ago, and we

0:04:120:04:17

were looking at a significantly

lower open. We have rebound it a

0:04:170:04:22

little bit since then, but we still

remain below the closes yesterday.

0:04:220:04:30

We may get a rebound today, we could

well find that we could see further

0:04:300:04:37

tests on the downside.

What is the

talk in the City about how long this

0:04:370:04:40

may last, and when what we deem is

normality may return?

I am going out

0:04:400:04:48

on a limb here, but I am saying that

we could potentially have seen the

0:04:480:04:53

highs for the year this year. A

large part of the reason we have

0:04:530:04:57

sold off quickly is, a large part of

the rising US markets has been on

0:04:570:05:01

optimism about Mr Trump's tax

reforms, and rising inflationary

0:05:010:05:05

pressure and what have you. But also

fuelled by a sharp rise in margin

0:05:050:05:11

debt, that is where US investors

borrowed debt to buy stocks. If

0:05:110:05:16

interest rates go up and stock

markets sell-off, the margin debt

0:05:160:05:20

becomes more expensive to maintain.

We did have a self-fulfilling

0:05:200:05:25

prophecy interims of a sharp

sell-off. In the wider scheme of

0:05:250:05:29

things, the sell-off is modest

compared to where we were at the

0:05:290:05:33

beginning of 20 Zepeng team. If we

don't get a rebound soon, we can see

0:05:330:05:38

further declines in US markets,

which is what worries me the most,

0:05:380:05:43

the rise in margin debt particularly

in the US.

Thank you.

0:05:430:05:52

Looking at the European open, the

FTSE 100 is down 2.5%. Remme,

0:05:550:06:05

Japanese stocks, their biggest

points drop since June, 2016, ending

0:06:050:06:09

the session down 4.7%. Hong Kong saw

its biggest percentage drop since

0:06:090:06:17

August, 2015.

0:06:170:06:22

Let's take you to our

Asia Business Hub, where Karishma

0:06:220:06:24

has been tracking those numbers.

0:06:240:06:26

The falls were significant.

I was

talking to an analyst at earlier on,

0:06:260:06:33

who was saying to me that usually

use CV 's falls mirrored out here in

0:06:330:06:38

Asia, but at a greater value. That

is for many reasons, the same

0:06:380:06:42

reasons we have seen stocks go up in

the US, many Asian share markets

0:06:420:06:49

have benefited as well. The flow of

money into Asia over the last

0:06:490:06:54

10-year is, thanks to low interest

rates in the US, many investors

0:06:540:07:00

putting their hot money out here in

Asia, so when you see share falls in

0:07:000:07:05

this part of the world, like in

Japan, at one point it was close to

0:07:050:07:10

7% lower today, but as you

mentioned, it has recovered

0:07:100:07:12

slightly. They do seem to have

bigger percentage value than in the

0:07:120:07:19

United States. Everybody out here

that I have spoken to today has

0:07:190:07:25

said, the economic fundamentals in

Asia are still strong. These are

0:07:250:07:29

some of the best economic times we

have seen in this part of the world

0:07:290:07:34

in recent years. Notwithstanding the

slowdown in China, but the big

0:07:340:07:38

question for a lot of traders and

investors in Asian markets is how

0:07:380:07:41

long will this US market sell-off

continued? That is what they are

0:07:410:07:46

paying attention to when US markets

open later today.

Thank you for

0:07:460:07:51

updating us on that.

0:07:510:07:55

Let's get onto corporate news.

0:07:560:08:01

BP has announced its latest set

of results and the oil giant has

0:08:010:08:03

posted some impressive numbers.

0:08:040:08:05

The company made $6.2 billion

in profit last year,

0:08:050:08:07

that's a 139% increase

compared to 2016.

0:08:070:08:11

If you look at the underlying

conditions in the energy market, of

0:08:110:08:14

course, they have improved an awful

lot.

0:08:140:08:19

Oil soared in the second half

of 2017 and in January,

0:08:190:08:21

prices hit a four-year high of $70

a barrel.

0:08:210:08:23

With me is Paul Hickin,

the oil director at commodity

0:08:230:08:26

pricing group S&P Global Platts.

0:08:260:08:32

BP is a funny one, because it is a

firm we only talk about when the

0:08:320:08:37

results are out. So much happens in

between. Bring us up to date and

0:08:370:08:40

fill in the gaps.

Basically, for

several years now, they have been

0:08:400:08:47

cutting costs, tightening their

belts, and that has helped BP and

0:08:470:08:54

the oil industry generally with

capital discipline. They have come

0:08:540:08:59

out projects like Venezuela and

Vietnam, and focused on core

0:08:590:09:04

businesses, the North Sea and middle

east, Iraq, Kuwait, the UAE, all the

0:09:040:09:10

safe bets. It has paid dividends for

them.

0:09:100:09:13

They have had to get a lot leaner

and meaner. BP, unlike its rivals,

0:09:130:09:19

have paid a lot of money out for the

deepwater horizon disaster. Could

0:09:190:09:23

you save the results to date marked

a turning point for BP in terms of

0:09:230:09:27

that disaster also oil prices being

lower, where are we going?

It still

0:09:270:09:34

casts a shadow over BP and its

results. If you look at positive

0:09:340:09:39

results, net debt ratio is still

high, a stubborn problem for them.

0:09:390:09:43

That weighs against them, compared

to major peers. They have done good

0:09:430:09:48

work. Oil prices up, which has

helped, but they announced a bounce,

0:09:480:10:00

and they can't close the chapter on

that.

What is important is BP pay

0:10:000:10:05

out dividends and keep pension funds

have become it is an important part

0:10:050:10:08

of pension funds in the UK.

The CEO

has been very keen to balance the

0:10:080:10:14

capital discipline with the

investment in new projects, which is

0:10:140:10:20

the lifeblood for investors for an

oil company. They have had seven oil

0:10:200:10:25

projects come on last year, and eyes

diversifying will stop gas is a big

0:10:250:10:33

part of their portfolio.

Paul, thank

you. Thank you for explaining that,

0:10:330:10:37

it is an interesting one.

BP shares down 2% at the moment.

0:10:370:10:46

One firm is cashing in on the dim

food, but selling it through your

0:10:470:10:54

door.

0:10:540:10:56

The former bosses of Carillion

are due to be questioned by a joint

0:11:060:11:09

committee of MPs today.

0:11:090:11:14

The construction firm liquidised

with a reported £5 billion

0:11:140:11:16

of liabilities and just

£29 million left in cash -

0:11:160:11:18

less than a year after being signed

off as a going concern

0:11:180:11:21

by KPMG in Spring 2017.

0:11:210:11:23

Joining us now is the chair

of the Work and Pensions Committee,

0:11:230:11:26

the Right Honourable Frank Field MP.

0:11:260:11:32

Many will be watching this very,

very closely who feel these people

0:11:320:11:36

in front of this committee made a

lot of mistakes.

Well, they have

0:11:360:11:41

certainly got a lot of questions to

answer. One is, for example, were

0:11:410:11:46

they knowingly trading unlawfully

when they should have actually been

0:11:460:11:51

much more honest about how dire

their predicament was? Why were they

0:11:510:11:58

raising money, borrowing in fact, to

pay dividends? And why did they take

0:11:580:12:06

such large salaries when all these

things were possibly happening, and

0:12:060:12:11

we know the pension deficit was

escalating? There are some very key

0:12:110:12:16

questions. Then later next week, the

chair of the business committee, and

0:12:160:12:21

I, we are doing a joint enquiry,

looking at those people called the

0:12:210:12:27

auditors, you mentioned KPMG. There

are four big companies in this

0:12:270:12:31

country, they share the prize is out

between them. Why did they give them

0:12:310:12:35

such a Bill of health? When you look

over a period of time, nobody with

0:12:350:12:40

an A-level or O-level accountancy

standards would say there are big

0:12:400:12:47

questions for this company to

answer?

0:12:470:12:50

A lot of people will look at

something like this, people giving

0:12:500:12:55

evidence, explaining what happened,

what power do you have to hold them

0:12:550:12:58

to account?

Well, I mean, they will

appear in public, so in a sense,

0:12:580:13:05

they are appearing before their

friends, neighbours and the country

0:13:050:13:09

by television, but you are right. At

the end of the day, we produced a

0:13:090:13:13

report on BHS, that was Sir Philip

Green before us, Mr Philip Green

0:13:130:13:23

today. The government has not acted.

Again, it comes back to the big

0:13:230:13:29

issue, you have rightly talked about

Brexit, but we need reforms on the

0:13:290:13:33

home front.

Thank you for your

contribution.

0:13:330:13:36

You're watching Business Live.

0:13:460:13:49

Global markets turn red -

as the Dow Jones suffers its biggest

0:13:490:13:52

one-day fall in history.

0:13:520:13:53

We have talked about whether it is a

correction or collapse.

0:13:530:13:57

Take a look at that. Many of these

were down over 3% lower. We will

0:13:570:14:03

talk to a top market analyst in

around five minutes also to get her

0:14:030:14:07

analysis of why we are seeing such

declines, and whether we need to cut

0:14:070:14:12

our losses and run or hang in there.

It will take a tough nerve over the

0:14:120:14:17

next few days. A lot to get through,

let's bring you date with other

0:14:170:14:20

stories making headlines.

0:14:200:14:28

Laurent Potdevin, the boss

of athletic wear firm Lululemon,

0:14:280:14:30

has quit unexpectedly.

0:14:300:14:31

The Vancouver-based company said

Mr Potdevin had fallen short

0:14:310:14:33

of internal standards of conduct.

0:14:330:14:35

He joined Lululemon, which is best

known for its yoga-wear, in 2014.

0:14:350:14:39

Singapore's central bank says

there is no strong case

0:14:390:14:41

for banning cryptocurrencies.

0:14:410:14:42

The bank has been studying

the potential risks but the deputy

0:14:420:14:44

governor says that it is too early

to say whether virtual

0:14:440:14:47

currencies will succeed.

0:14:470:14:55

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko

Kuroda on Tuesday ruled out

0:14:550:14:58

the possibility of raising interest

rates any time soon despite his

0:14:580:15:01

optimism over the economic outlook.

0:15:010:15:02

He said the fundamentals behind

stock prices remained solid.

0:15:020:15:07

There is your central bank round-up.

Sammy lives a bit of central bank

0:15:140:15:20

action.

-- Sally loves. But now we are

0:15:200:15:29

talking food. We will talk about

Vigo and food. One firm is cashing

0:15:290:15:38

in on delivering to your door. -- we

will talk about vegan food. Last

0:15:380:15:45

year 542,000 British people consider

themselves vegan. The Vegan Society

0:15:450:15:52

says there was a 185% jump in the

number of vegan products launched in

0:15:520:15:56

the UK.

Writing on the back of this is the

0:15:560:16:07

vegan delivery firm Allplants. I am

sorry, I believe I have pronounced

0:16:070:16:17

the surname of the founders of this

company incorrectly.

It is a monthly

0:16:170:16:21

fee, you can buy once, weekly or

whenever you like. -- it is not a

0:16:210:16:27

monthly fee.

And the commercial!

People want to subscribe more often,

0:16:270:16:33

people on weekly are getting it

every day, personal trainers are

0:16:330:16:36

eating it every day. If you are a

health savvy moaners maybe once a

0:16:360:16:41

month you get your six dishes. Of

our customers say it allows you to

0:16:410:16:46

feel like you are cheating, you are

having something like mac and

0:16:460:16:53

cheese, super creamy and indulgence,

which is made of cashews, which are

0:16:530:16:55

in protein.

You have a pile of these

meals. They are ready to go? You can

0:16:550:17:07

put them in the freezer, they are

made in your...

Kitchens.

Kitchens,

0:17:070:17:15

my brain is not working, in London,

and you deliver them to the door.

We

0:17:150:17:21

wanted to make it really, really

easy for people to eat healthier.

0:17:210:17:25

Whoever you are, trying to eat

healthy meals that are super

0:17:250:17:27

delicious and really, really

convenient is tricky. That was the

0:17:270:17:31

main impetus. Alongside that, we

wanted to show people at eating

0:17:310:17:36

plants is healthier and more

sustainable but it is also something

0:17:360:17:40

you can do every day and it is not

about sacrifice. You can eat lasagne

0:17:400:17:44

with walnut mints, for example.

In

terms of the price, it is kind of

0:17:440:17:50

middle. I was grilling you in the

green room, it is high and frozen

0:17:500:17:54

ready meals that you would see in

the supermarkets, so why would I

0:17:540:17:57

even find out about your company

when I can get that at the

0:17:570:18:02

supermarket?

People are shopping

online more, that is where we are

0:18:020:18:05

seeing growth. We might grow into

supermarkets in the future, but for

0:18:050:18:09

now it is learning about customers,

creating a one-to-one relationship

0:18:090:18:13

where we can find out what they are

looking for. Do they want asserts as

0:18:130:18:17

well? It allows us to scale into

other countries. UK's first. We are

0:18:170:18:24

not really talking about vegans, we

are talking about the 56% of people

0:18:240:18:29

reducing their meat. We will go UK

first, learn what to do here, make

0:18:290:18:34

the best food we can and try to see

how we can do it elsewhere.

0:18:340:18:38

I say you have shunned the

supermarkets, getting delivered to

0:18:380:18:41

the door. It allows you to know a

lot about your customers. You can

0:18:410:18:46

find out what they want, but at the

same time it comes with hurdles, it

0:18:460:18:56

is the logistics of getting it to

someone's house, keeping it frozen,

0:18:560:18:58

what if they are not in?

It is not

easy for us, we try to make it as

0:18:580:19:02

easy as possible for the customer.

The whole recent eat more plants is

0:19:020:19:06

about living a healthier, more

sustainable life, it is challenging

0:19:060:19:10

to get frozen sustainably to your

door.

How do you deliver? Petrol or

0:19:100:19:17

diesel vehicles?

All our vehicles

are carbon neutral, we offset the

0:19:170:19:22

carbon on every delivery. The

packaging the product comes in is

0:19:220:19:26

100% recyclable or compostable, we

were pretty hard on making sure the

0:19:260:19:39

liner that keeps it frozen...

That

sounds expensive. You had to make a

0:19:390:19:42

decent profit on each meal, you have

been going a year, it is early days?

0:19:420:19:45

We have shipped just over 120,000

meals so far. Looking at it from a

0:19:450:19:48

business case, in terms of how long

people are staying with the

0:19:480:19:51

business, we are already able to

make a small profit and every

0:19:510:19:55

customer which allows us to invest

even more in making the food more

0:19:550:19:59

delicious and easy.

All the fruit

and veg and everything, I guess, is

0:19:590:20:03

going up in price with Brexit on the

fall in the value of sterling?

That

0:20:030:20:08

is the meta- view of it all, good

food in general is going up in price

0:20:080:20:12

all the time. -- but food in general

is. We always making sure we get the

0:20:120:20:19

best ingredients, put them in, make

the most delicious food we can and

0:20:190:20:22

make it easy as possible for people

to eat healthier in a hurry.

0:20:220:20:26

We talk about distributors in the

industry, your closest rival is

0:20:260:20:35

probably less the supermarkets but

the takeaway convenience, you can

0:20:350:20:38

get this delivered to your door or

something that is already cooked?

We

0:20:380:20:43

are cheaper than a takeaway, if you

look at the way we cook the food it

0:20:430:20:47

is more nutritious, with a takeaway

you do not know what is going into

0:20:470:20:51

it, with a restaurant even you are

not told the nutrition value.

We

0:20:510:20:55

assume what is going in this.

Online

we have the full nutritional

0:20:550:21:00

breakdown, we show the customer our

recipes, we have beautiful recipe

0:21:000:21:07

videos and health tips and food

hacks on the website. This cashew

0:21:070:21:10

Mac, you can see it all online.

You

and your brother of vegan, have you

0:21:100:21:16

made a plot of the recipes?

It

started ourselves. This is my

0:21:160:21:21

favourite at the moment, it is

essentially like but we have used a

0:21:210:21:31

walnut mince and sun-dried tomatoes.

We create the recipes and we work

0:21:310:21:36

with a team of chefs. With this

particular one we have worked with a

0:21:360:21:40

really great chef who is Indian

himself and has a lot of history at

0:21:400:21:43

making delicious Indian food. So we

lean on what we are interested in

0:21:430:21:49

from a culinary perspective, what

customers are for and collaborate

0:21:490:21:51

with the best # each dish.

Alex, you

are so passionate about your food.

0:21:510:21:57

So is Ben.

I wanted to move on! They are hand

0:21:570:22:04

signed by the chef who made it.

Alex, it has been really great to

0:22:040:22:08

see you, thanks for coming in.

0:22:080:22:14

Stay up to date on the BBC Business

Live page. And we want to hear from

0:22:180:22:26

you. Get involved on the web page,

on Twitter, and you can find is on

0:22:260:22:38

Facebook at Bbc Money. What you need

to know, when you need to know.

0:22:380:22:45

We promised some more market

analysis.

0:22:450:22:56

Lucy MacDonald, CIO of Global

Equities at Allianz Global Investors

0:22:560:22:59

joins us now to discuss.

0:22:590:23:01

It is unsurprising we are seeing the

reaction we are at the moment. We

0:23:010:23:04

had been expecting correction

because of the vertical rise we have

0:23:040:23:09

seen in markets this year. One of

the risks we have been looking for

0:23:090:23:15

was inflation surprise, that is what

we saw on Friday.

Was at a big

0:23:150:23:21

surprise?

It is a pricing that wage

inflation is the dog that has not

0:23:210:23:24

barked in this relatively strong

market with low unemployment.

0:23:240:23:33

Listening to Janet Yellen over the

months and looking at why has there

0:23:330:23:36

not been more wage inflation, the

quality of the jobs coming into the

0:23:360:23:43

market has been part of that. But we

saw the first hint of it on Friday.

0:23:430:23:48

We are seeing what you would

normally expect to see at this stage

0:23:480:23:53

of a recovery. You get the reaction

and bond markets, which comes into

0:23:530:24:01

the relative value. It is textbook

stuff. It is not a surprise that it

0:24:010:24:06

should happen in this way. The

question is how far it goes from

0:24:060:24:09

here.

There is a story in the National,

0:24:090:24:14

the 500 richest people in the world

lose a combined $140 billion, which

0:24:140:24:21

shows quite where the money is

invested and what is at stake when

0:24:210:24:25

we talk about 2%, 3%, 4%, when it is

a value like $100 billion it is a

0:24:250:24:32

lot money.

The percentages make the

difference. It is not an enormous

0:24:320:24:41

percentage so far, it just takes us

back to where we were at the

0:24:410:24:43

beginning of the year.

Stav says stocks are not aligned to

0:24:430:24:50

products or productivity,

realisation sets in, correction has

0:24:500:24:54

to happen. -- Steph says.

Nick, a regular guest on the

0:24:540:25:01

programme, says try not to be drawn

into the market timing. They make

0:25:010:25:05

money from investment. You get Rich

slowly, remember. Trying to call

0:25:050:25:10

these swings up or down is probably

a mug's game?

We do not try to be

0:25:100:25:15

too cute about these things. When

you get a really big panic, like on

0:25:150:25:20

Brexit day, there was a great

short-term buying opportunity, there

0:25:200:25:24

was a very short run-up to Trump was

elected, that really went very, very

0:25:240:25:27

quickly.

-- very, very short one after Trump

0:25:270:25:33

was elected. You do not buy anything

different or lower quality, you do

0:25:330:25:38

not trade, you buy stocks for the

long-term. If you can buy won a 10%

0:25:380:25:43

discounts, that is nice.

Thanks for

explaining that. The FTSE 100 is

0:25:430:25:49

down just shy of 2% in the moment.

More news ahead on the BBC. Stay

0:25:490:25:56

with us.

0:25:560:26:04

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS