25/01/2013 BBC News at Ten


25/01/2013

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Fears that Britain could be heading for a triple-dip recession after

:00:06.:00:11.

the latest figures show the economy has shrunk. It contracted by 0.3%

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in the last three months of 2012 - a fall in manufacturing and North

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Sea oil production was partly to blame. I think it's a reminder that

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Britain faces a very tough economic situation. I think it's a reminder

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that last year was particularly difficult. Today is the moment when

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it is absolutely clear that the plan has failed and David Cameron

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and George Osborne's complacency is exposed.

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Ditch the austerity talk, the Mayor of London tells the Chancellor, as

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he urges him to press ahead with major infrastructure projects.

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We'll be assessing how likely a triple-dip recession is.

:00:43.:00:46.

Also tonight: At least four dead and hundreds

:00:46.:00:48.

injured across Egypt as police clash with protestors demonstrating

:00:48.:00:54.

against Islamist President Mohamed Morsi.

:00:54.:00:56.

Barry George, the man wrongly convicted of murdering the BBC

:00:56.:01:02.

presenter Jill Dando, loses his High Court bid for compensation.

:01:02.:01:04.

Treacherous conditions on the roads as more heavy snow falls across

:01:04.:01:14.
:01:14.:01:20.

much of Scotland and northern And fourth time lucky - Murray

:01:20.:01:22.

finally beats Federer in a Grand Slam to reach Sunday's Australian

:01:22.:01:32.
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In sport, Chelsea's Eden Hazard is charged with violent conduct by the

:01:37.:01:47.
:01:47.:01:54.

FA following this week's incident Good evening.

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There are fears that the UK could be heading towards an unprecedented

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triple-dip recession - that's what new figures suggest. The economy

:02:01.:02:04.

shrank by 0.3% in the last 3 months of 2012. The Chancellor, George

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Osborne, says the figures are a reminder that Britain faces "a very

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difficult" situation. But Labour accused Mr Osborne and the Prime

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Minister of "being asleep at the wheel". The Mayor of London, Boris

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Johnson, said the Government should junk talk of austerity to bring

:02:19.:02:21.

back confidence in the economy. Our chief economics correspondent, Hugh

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:02:31.:02:31.

A shrinking economy, that is what we've learnt about the final three

:02:31.:02:36.

months of last year. The value of goods and services fell back. So

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what was going on at the sharp end? At Component Manufacturers' like

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this one in Telford, which supplies the UK and export markets. The boss

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says last year they didn't make much headway. We know that December

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was pretty poor. But if you take the year as a whole, it was

:02:56.:03:01.

relatively flat. We had good months and flat months. Looking ahead they

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do feel more optimistic. They are do feel more optimistic. They are

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investing for expansion. 2012 was a year of ups and downs. In the first

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three months the economy contracted with construction activity falling

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sharply. There was another slide in the second quarter with the extra

:03:16.:03:20.

bank holiday for the Jubilee affecting overall output. Between

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July and September, partly thanks to a bruised from the Olympics, the

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economy bounced back, but in the final three months there was

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final three months there was another fall in activity. The

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overall picture for the year was flat. I think it is a reminder that

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Britain faces a very tough economic situation. It's a reminder that

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last year was particularly difficult, both with the problems

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at home dealing with the debts built up over many years, but also

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the problems in the eurozone. It is now in recession. We can either run

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away from the problems or confront them and I'm determined to confront

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them. Her from his party colleague Boris Johnson there was a pointed

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message. The approach is right, but not the austerity language. There's

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been a lot of talk of authority, from us all over the last few years.

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-- austerity. We need to move away from that and talk about investment,

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opportunities that the City of London offers of the country.

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Westminster, the figures have rekindle the debate over the extent

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to which George Osborne has deficit-cutting plans have heard

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the wider economy. Labour has repeated its demand for a rethink

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and a U-turn. I've been warning for 2.5 years that this plan would fail,

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that it risked a double-dip recession, it would fly line the

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economy, if you cut spending and raise taxes too quickly, it would

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make things worse. Today is the moment when it is absolutely clear

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the plan has failed and David Cameron and George Osborne as

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complacency is exposed. Her this Walsall business sells greetings

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cards. The message gives an insight into the consumer side of the

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economy. Shoppers budgets are stretched so they are buying

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cheaper product of up the boss told me they've seen the benefits.

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are cheap and cheerful. Where they were spending �3 on a card, they

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might be spending �1 now. 79p. That is our main price. Where does the

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economy go from here in this first quarter of 2013? For business

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surveys are pointing to flat output at best, consumer confidence is

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very depressed, it will pay is falling. At the moment it looks

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like the first quarter will be pretty tough. Reason jobs figures

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have been positive, most forecasters expect growth for the

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full year. Ministers can only hope it starts to pick up soon.

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Stephanie Flanders is at the World economic Forum in Davos. What is

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the likelihood of the UK heading into a triple-dip recession?

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don't think on the basis of these figures that anyone is ruling out

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another triple-dip, another three months in which the economy shrinks.

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If you look at most forecasts, if you talk to most people, and

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businesses I've talked to in Davos, face says this is an economy that

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is not going anywhere very fast. It is not lurching backwards into a

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deep recession, it is not going forwards either. The big debate

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we've seen today and we will see in the next few weeks leading up to

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the budget is how long it will continue, for his flat period that

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has lasted for well over a year, and whether there's anything Mr

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Osborne can do about it. Boris Johnson talks about less talk of

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austerity. The IMF suggested last year and again this week that there

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might have to be less austerity this year compared to what Mr

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Osborne was planning. But no one is talking about magically restoring

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rapid growth. This is the worst period for the economy since the

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1920s and 1930s, possibly even worse than Fenn, and no one is

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suggesting that can radically changed. The best you could do is

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try not to make things any worse, maybe make them slightly better. At

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the end of this year, if nothing bad happens and the eurozone

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continues to start to feel a bit more confident, we may be 1% larger,

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we might have had a triple-dip and still grown 1% by the end of this

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year. That will mean our national output is still smaller than it was

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at the start of the recession. Cold comfort, perhaps, but in that

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period the eurozone economy will actually shrink.

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And for more analysis and a detailed breakdown of how Britain's

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economy is performing, you can visit our website at bbc.co.uk/news.

:07:51.:07:53.

At least five people have been killed and hundreds injured across

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Egypt as police clashed with protestors on the second

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anniversary of the Egyptian revolution which ousted President

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Hosni Mubarak. Their anger was directed at the country's elected

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Islamist president, Mohamed Morsi, who's been accused of betraying the

:08:03.:08:13.
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revolution. Our correspondent Aleem A short while ago, this entire area

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behind me was shrouded with teargas. There had been thousands of

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protesters through the day, but they have thinned out, but there

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are still hundreds baloney in Tahrir Square. We have had

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confirmation from the lip dashed Egyptian health ministry that over

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200 people have been injured in protests and confirmation of those

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five death. All of this on the day President Morsi wanted to be a day

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of peaceful celebration to mark the anniversary. There were signs from

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early on that it could turn violent. This is not what the

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revolutionaries had imagined. Two years on, there would be

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instability, violence and division. In a corner of Tahrir Square we saw

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clashes with the police and injured protesters. Huge crowds filled the

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square after Friday prayers. Opposition supporters feeling

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betrayed that they goals of the revolution were not realised,

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calling for their new President to go. Mohamed Morsi and the Muslim

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Brotherhood preside over a country where huge splits have been exposed

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between Islamist and liberal. They had promised a country where all

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Egyptians would prosper. Mohamed Morsi and his brother had are just

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the same as Mubarak. They are the same. It is exactly the same thing.

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We have not seen any changes on the ground. Not anything happened. Just

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words. The revolution took the cover off. We can see everything

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bad. A time to correct, we have to correct. We will correct everything.

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It is not just Cairo. People took to the streets elsewhere. Protests

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turned violent in Suez and Alexandra. There, anti- Mohamed

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Morsi demonstrators attacked the police trying to protect government

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buildings. Inevitable retaliation by security forces so reminiscent

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of the protests of the past caused any anger. -- only anger. This

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evening, there is news of more clashes in Cairo and elsewhere.

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More injuries and now death as well. An historic day it may be, but this

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is no celebration. A lot of parallels have been drawn

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between what happened to Day and two years ago in Tahrir Square. A

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lot of the slogans were remarkably similar. If we talked about those

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five deaths in sewers. Two years ago there were three death fat

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fjord the uprising that ultimately toppled mood Iraq. FoE's three

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Death also happened in so where's. -- those three deaths.

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An RAF surveillance plane has flown to west Africa to help French

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troops fighting Islamist rebels in Mali. The Sentinel aircraft has

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been widely used in Afghanistan and over Libya. Britain has already

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sent two transport planes to help the French operation. David Cameron

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says Britain has no intention of sending any ground troops.

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Barry George, the man who spent eight years in jail after being

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wrongly convicted of the murder of TV presenter Jill Dando, has failed

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in his bid to win compensation at the High Court. Barry George, seen

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here in the blue tie, was cleared in 2008. Today, two judges said

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that the decision made by the Justice Secretary not to compensate

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him as a victim of a miscarriage of justice was correct. Our

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correspondent Tom Symonds is with me. What exactly does this mean?

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Barry George was acquitted of the case against him in 2008 because a

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tiny speck of firearms residue found on his clothing could not be

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conclusively linked to Jill Dando's shooting. But the judges are

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effectively saying that that doesn't make him innocent enough to

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be able to receive compensation. The reason for a say that, and

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they've used the latest legal thinking, is that under the law you

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have to be able to prove that no jury could ever have convicted you

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on the basis of the evidence. In this case, there was the firearms

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residue, but there was also a bit more evidence. Evidence from a

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witness that said he saw Barry George in that area on that day.

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For judges have said that meant there could be a trial with him

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being retried for these charges and that a reasonable jury, properly

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directed, may have convicted him of murder. In this case the jury

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acquitted him. But the chance that they could have done has meant he

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is not entitled to a miscarriage of justice amount of money. His legal

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team are pretty upset and disappointed. Phase say they will

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:13:16.:13:17.

Police have launched a criminal inquiry after a four-month-old baby

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boy was found with a dummy taped to his face at Stafford Hospital. A

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member of staff has been suspended. The trust which runs the hospital

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has apologised to the family of the baby, who was not injured in the

:13:27.:13:30.

incident. The Mid Staffordshire NHS Foundation Trust is already the

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subject of a public inquiry into serious failings of care. A 30-

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year-old teacher from Sussex has denied a charge of child abduction

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at Lewes Crown Court. Jeremy Forrest, who worked at Bishop Bell

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School in Eastbourne, was arrested in Bordeaux in France last

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September after a Europe-wide search. More heavy snow has been

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falling across much of Scotland and Northern England. Manchester

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Airport had to be closed for a short time tonight to clear the

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runway of snow. And police in Cumbria are advising drivers not to

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travel unless they have to. The heavy snow is forecast to move

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further south overnight. And tonight there have been reports of

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major flooding in South West Wales. Our correspondent is in Leeds. For

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many people in the north of Britain, it is day-case of here we go again

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with more heavy snow falling. This is the end of this current cold

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spell. It is certainly going out with a sting in its tail. So far

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today, the worst of the conditions have been in Scotland. Roads in

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Perthshire look more like those in Scandinavian, after another fall of

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heavy snow. Repeated ploughing left walls of white 12 ft tall along

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miles of roads. The treacherous conditions have left this convoy of

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lorries stranded near Dundee for nearly a week. They're trying to

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get to the site of a wind farm but the snow has made the final few

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miles of the journey impossible. the wind is bad at the top of the

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mountain, cranes cannot operate. To be stuck for this amount of time is

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very unusual. At Aberdeen Airport, but ploughs and gritters were at

:15:17.:15:22.

keeping the runways open. Further south into England, police put

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extra patrols on high routes over the Pennines in case the weather

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closed in quickly. In Derbyshire, more details have emerged about

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this fatal accident in icy conditions yesterday. The man who

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died, when two cars crashed into rogue River, was 42-year-old David

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Cox, who worked for the BBC. Police have praised his 11-year-old

:15:48.:15:55.

daughter to escape. Flooding is now a concern over the coming days as a

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thought is forecast to certain. This farm in Somerset has had many

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of his fields underwater performance and cannot see it

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getting any better. -- for mounts. Everything is wet. You go through

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the snow and hit mad. The whole thing becomes totally impossible.

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You cannot use tractors. The stock a getting very muddy and when they

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get muddy, they are cold. This was Leeds this evening put a heavy snow

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falling thick and fast, thankfully long after the rush-hour. Little

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surprise that the roads are virtually deserted tonight because

:16:38.:16:43.

of the conditions. Leeds Bradford Airport a shut until at least

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11:30pm because the runway has snow on it. In Cumbria, conditions are

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bad locally. In south-western Wales, it is flooding caused by melting

:16:56.:17:01.

snow and rain. The thought already beginning in many parts of the

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country. This snow will not hang around for long. If you want to

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enjoy it, make the most of it alive. -- tomorrow. Coming up on tonight's

:17:15.:17:22.

programme: Record profits for Samsung but are they winning the

:17:22.:17:26.

battle of the smart phones? We may have had a record haul of medals at

:17:26.:17:28.

the London Olympics but not everyone is continuing to bask in

:17:28.:17:31.

the post-Games glow. Sports like basketball and volleyball, which

:17:31.:17:33.

both failed to medal, have been stripped of their elite team

:17:33.:17:36.

investment. They are not happy about it but the Government has

:17:36.:17:40.

told them to stop whingeing. In the first of a series looking at the

:17:40.:17:42.

Games' legacy, David Bond asks whether cutting elite funding could

:17:42.:17:49.

threaten the key aim of getting more people to take up sport. Hit

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it is. The Olympic room clad in Lycra. Six months on, the

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Manchester velodrome is packed full of budding Bradley Wiggins and

:18:01.:18:07.

Victoria Pendletons. All ages, all captivated by the magic of London.

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The facilities, you cannot get on any of the taster sessions and

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improvers because of the interest. There are more cyclists. More

:18:22.:18:27.

people have been trying the taster and improve the sessions. It is

:18:27.:18:33.

getting harder to get on the track. The Games biggest rock star has

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certainly noticed a change. years ago riding around Regent's

:18:37.:18:43.

Park as a kid, no one was there. Now I drive through in a taxi and

:18:43.:18:49.

hundreds of riding around. The only difference is self -- is now that

:18:49.:18:55.

they will stop at the traffic lights. I never did. Sports

:18:55.:18:59.

participation has steadily risen, especially in the last 12 months.

:18:59.:19:06.

Some sports have fared better than others. In cycling, an increase of

:19:06.:19:10.

200,000 in weekly participation. Athletics and swimming is not far

:19:10.:19:15.

behind. A very different story elsewhere. Gymnastics, rowing and

:19:15.:19:19.

basketball registering the tiniest of increases. The legacy vision was

:19:19.:19:27.

to do what no host country has ever done before - fill halls like this

:19:27.:19:32.

for months to come. Six months on, it is promising. With basketball,

:19:32.:19:39.

it shows just how difficult that will be. Here in South London,

:19:39.:19:44.

these children have been inspired. Even though the Team GB basketball

:19:44.:19:49.

team flopped at the Games. They lost their funding. Critics say

:19:49.:19:55.

without role-models, grassroots will wither. I do not think we

:19:55.:19:58.

should walk away from these sports just because they may not be

:19:58.:20:02.

meddling in Rio or even going to Rio. We should be putting more

:20:02.:20:08.

money into bring about benefits. For now, it is an argument that

:20:08.:20:12.

leading basketball players have lost. Millions of pounds are still

:20:12.:20:19.

going into the sport to be his participation. When it comes to the

:20:19.:20:23.

top, the message from the Government is clear. Those who have

:20:23.:20:27.

failed should stop whingeing and put it right in the same way that

:20:27.:20:31.

sports like hockey and gymnastics have done in the past, that enabled

:20:31.:20:36.

them to succeed in London. It is too soon to tell whether the

:20:36.:20:41.

Olympic bounce seen in sports like cycling can be sustained. The true

:20:41.:20:46.

legacy test will come years down the line when the sheen from the

:20:46.:20:50.

golden Games has faded. The trial cull of badgers approved by the

:20:50.:20:53.

Government is to go ahead from June. Badgers in two areas of

:20:53.:20:56.

Gloucestershire and West Somerset will be killed in an attempt to

:20:56.:21:00.

curtail the spread of TB in cattle. The cull was delayed when it was

:21:00.:21:03.

realised there were more badgers than previously supposed in the

:21:03.:21:08.

trial areas. Samsung has announced record profits of more than �4

:21:08.:21:12.

billion, driven by impressive sales of their smartphones. The figures,

:21:12.:21:17.

for the last three months of 2012, are 75% up on the year before. Last

:21:17.:21:21.

year, Samsung became the world's biggest smartphone maker. And its

:21:21.:21:31.
:21:31.:21:35.

success is putting pressure on Six years ago, the Apple iPhone was

:21:35.:21:39.

unveiled by Steve Jobs and went on to define the smartphone industry.

:21:39.:21:44.

Now Samsung has grabbed the lead with bigger friends at keener

:21:44.:21:49.

prices. Samsung is the giant industrial conglomerate that makes

:21:49.:21:52.

everything from televisions to washing machines. Its smartphones

:21:52.:21:57.

have transformed its fortunes and contribute more than half of its

:21:57.:22:01.

profits. It is winning out by offering new smart phone users the

:22:01.:22:07.

same kind of experience as Apple but for less. Samsung is offering a

:22:07.:22:11.

very attractive experience at a very affordable price. For those

:22:11.:22:15.

users wanting to use Facebook, Twitter, E Malcolm browsing

:22:15.:22:22.

websites, Beijing not need to pay the top of the range. -- they do

:22:22.:22:30.

not need. Apple shares have slid after worries over abilities to not

:22:31.:22:36.

be able to come up with something new. It sold a record 48 million

:22:36.:22:40.

iPhones. Samsung made profits of over by billion pounds. Analysts

:22:40.:22:46.

reckon it has sold over 60 million smartphones. Samsung is grabbing an

:22:46.:22:50.

ever bigger share of the market but Apple is still making more money.

:22:50.:22:54.

The competition is set to get even fiercer as smartphones enter more

:22:54.:23:00.

and more areas of many people's lives. More than half of all

:23:00.:23:03.

British consumer's own a smartphone and they are using them from

:23:03.:23:08.

everything from paying each other to controlling the television.

:23:08.:23:12.

a device that fits into our pockets, we have more computing power than

:23:12.:23:16.

they had on the Apollo mission when they put men on the moon. It is not

:23:16.:23:23.

just about making calls and texting people, we're making movies. We are

:23:23.:23:28.

connecting with people socially and navigating. The competition is

:23:28.:23:33.

heating up. Both Samsung and Apple could find profits under pressure

:23:33.:23:41.

from new cut-price rivals. That is from China's smartphone makers. He

:23:41.:23:44.

had never beaten him in a Grand Slam, despite trying three times to

:23:44.:23:48.

do so. But it turned out to be 4th time lucky for Andy Murray today,

:23:48.:23:51.

as he defeated Roger Federer to reach Sunday's final of the

:23:51.:23:54.

Australian Open. He'll play the world number one, Novak Djokavic in

:23:54.:24:04.
:24:04.:24:05.

Melbourne. Murray-mania has come to Melbourne with flags, face paint

:24:05.:24:10.

and boundless optimism. Could they inspired their hero to another

:24:10.:24:15.

Grand Slam final? There was one minor obstacle in his way - the

:24:15.:24:20.

most successful man in tennis history - Roger Federer. Murray had

:24:20.:24:24.

not dropped a single set and he soon showed why. Praising his way

:24:24.:24:31.

to the opening set of the match. -- blazing. That was the first swing

:24:31.:24:38.

of the pendulum. Back roared Federer, clinching the second set

:24:38.:24:46.

with that familiar swagger. Murray though soon grab back the

:24:46.:24:50.

initiative, sweeping to the third set before serving for the match in

:24:50.:24:58.

the 4th. Somehow Federer clawed his way back from the brink to level

:24:58.:25:08.
:25:08.:25:08.

things up. It was spine-tingling drama. Once upon a time, Murray

:25:08.:25:15.

might have crumbled. Now, instead, it was Federer who faded and after

:25:15.:25:24.

four gruelling hours, it was finally over. What a match, what

:25:24.:25:30.

and at this fear and what a victory for Andy Murray! One of the biggest

:25:30.:25:35.

wins of his career and he is through to another grand-slam final.

:25:35.:25:40.

It was his improved mental toughness that saw him home. I am

:25:40.:25:44.

known for losing a lot of tough matches - big matches especially. I

:25:44.:25:50.

have never beaten Roger in a big match until the Olympics. That

:25:50.:25:55.

certainly helps but it does not make it any easier. He now faces

:25:55.:26:02.

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