12/05/2016 BBC News at Ten

Tonight at Ten - the strongest warning yet

It claims that leaving the EU could provoke a recession.

With six weeks to referendum day, the Bank claims that

growth could weaken, while unemployment and

inflation could rise - if the vote was to leave.

It's a controversial intervention by Mark Carney,

the Bank's governor, who insists he's right to point out

If there were a vote to leave, that would have material

consequences for both growth and inflation.

But the credibility of the Bank's economic predictions has been

called into question - and so has the governor's judgement.

The governor ought to be very careful with what he says.

There's a real danger he could create a self-fulfilling crisis.

We'll have more on the governor's warning, and the furious reaction

of those campaigning for Britain to leave the EU.

A new government blueprint for the BBC's future -

but critics say the Corporation's independence is under threat.

Public support for Dilma Rousseff, President of Brazil,

who's been suspended from office after senators voted

Off the Italian coast, thousands of migrants have been

We report from a ship in the central Mediterranean.

And on the final day of the Invictus Games,

Prince Harry receives a gift for doctors and nurses in the UK.

And coming up in Sportsday on BBC News: Roberto Martinez

He leaves less than halfway through a six-year contract -

with the club 12th in the Premier League.

The Bank of England has delivered its strongest warning

to date about the risks to the UK economy as it sees them if Britain

The Bank's governor, Mark Carney, said a vote to leave

in the referendum in June could lead to the economy falling

Mr Carney's comments were embraced by David Cameron,

but there's been an angry response from those campaigning to leave

the EU, accusing Mr Carney of overstepping the mark.

Our economics editor Kamal Ahmed reports.

Today, the Bank of England said that if Britain left the European Union

In his strongest warning yet, Mark Carney said

that all nine members of the Bank's Monetary Policy

Committee spoke with one voice about the risks of Brexit.

Material slowdown in growth, notable increase in inflation,

It's a judgment not based on a whim, it's a judgment based on rigorous

Given the gloominess of your forecast and the data,

can you rule out Britain's economy being tipped

into recession if we were to leave the European Union?

Of course there's a range of possible scenarios

around those directions, which could possibly include

a technical recession, could possibly include that.

It's official - Britain is in recession and it's

The last recession was in 2009, sparked by the financial crisis.

Could a referendum crisis have a similar result?

The Bank's warning on the risk of an EU exit come in three parts.

Inflation could rise, meaning higher prices,

and unemployment could increase as investment falls.

The Bank also said the value of sterling could fall

sharply as markets reacted to the referendum result.

Many economists agree with the Bank's gloomy prognosis.

A recession is plausible if the UK leaves the EU.

In the short term you would have quite a lot of uncertainty

and we advise clients at the moment to factor in between 0.5-1.5

percentage lower growth in the event of an exit in the first few years.

The Bank of England governor has certainly moved significantly today.

The warnings about the risks of Britain leaving the EU far

The use of the "recession" word significant and I'm told

For Mark Carney, he knows it's controversial territory -

a central bank governor in the spotlight.

His response, that the Bank of England governor has

We have a responsibility, if we have done analysis,

if it has been top of mind, if it has been a preoccupation of

the MPC, if it is in its judgment - which it is - the biggest risk

to the forecast, to talk about it, and that's what we've done.

Blue skies over the Bank but storm clouds for the governor as Leave

campaigners accused him of making hysterical comments.

One MP called for his resignation and a former Chancellor

warned him against intervening in the EU debate.

I think the governor ought to be very careful with what he says.

There's a real danger he could create a self-fulfilling

crisis, warning of a crisis that needn't be.

Britain can trade, Britain can prosper, just like any other

It is not Mark Carney's first warning on the risks of leaving

the EU and it's unlikely to be his last.

The question - what influence today's strong words

from the governor will have on the referendum outcome.

You were telling us about the controversial remarks today by the

governor, but what about the broader economic argument that's going on

about our future in Europe? The Bank of England's warnings today really

come as part of a series of big warnings from large, important

institutions, the OECD, the Treasury itself, its economists have brought

out warnings about if we left the European Union, the London School of

Economics, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, all saying a similar

things, a big weight of opinion in their mind is that if we left the

European Union it would be bad for the economy. Now, that might be a

big weight of opinion. That's not to say that on the other side there

aren't people who have at least legitimate for the Leave campaign

opinions on the economic future which would be better out of the

European Union. Professor Patrick Winford, the former economic adviser

to Margaret Thatcher, says if Britain left the European Union it

would be far better for the richest economy. Now, we're going to have a

lot more of this tomorrow. The IMF is going to come out, the

International Monetary Fund, with a very gloomy report on what would

happen if Britain left the European Union. The Treasury has another

report coming out. What is fascinating about this whole debate,

one person in polls comes out as the most influential to the public on

the issue of the European Union and the referendum, and that person is

Mark Carney. That is why his words today are so important, because it

appears from the polling evidence that the public to listen to him.

Thanks very much, Kemal Ahmed, the economic senator. -- economic

senator. The government White Paper

on the future of the BBC has been published, setting out plans

to change the way the Corporation John Whittingdale,

the Culture Secretary, is proposing a new board to run the BBC -

replacing the BBC Trust - with the majority of its members

appointed independently The BBC's Director-General,

Lord Hall, broadly welcomed the plans, but he raised concerns

that not enough had been done to safeguard the BBC's independence,

as our political editor The BBC's been everywhere

for all our lifetimes. Changes in how it works and you'll

know what its top stars get paid. You could get a lot of people

to host them and the shows would still be successful

because the base product You know, this is not

rocket science, you know, if I was in charge I would

definitely have a word The Culture Secretary,

who once said he was tempted to abolish the BBC, sounded

rather different today. Mr Speaker, the BBC is and must

always remain at the very We want the BBC to thrive, to make

fantastic programmes for audiences, and to act as an engine

for growth and creativity. The BBC Trust will be replaced

with a new independent board. As many as half of its members

will be appointed by the government. There will be new rules on diversity

and impartiality, and Ofcom, the broadcasting watchdog,

will regulate the BBC But the government won't stick

its nose into schedules and the 93 year old licence fee survives

for at least a decade. On the big issues, the future

of the licence fee, the future of how the BBC competes

with its rivals, you have ducked No, I think the changes we're

making are substantial. I think they will have

a significant effect. I think they will ensure

that the BBC excels even more at the things the BBC does

which are prized by audiences across the country, and also we put

in place a completely It will be a much stronger

board, much more involved Why should half of them be

government appointees? The BBC benefits from ?3.7 billion

of public money and I think the government is entitled

to have its representation. But there's a fear the BBC

would have to doff its cap This is not a state

broadcaster, like you get This is an independent

element of free speech. Why does the government have any

right to put anyone on that board? But if you get your drama fix

only through iPlayer, And for new services

there might be a subscription. I think the White Paper's main

message about distinctive, high-quality programming is exactly

what I think the BBC If you're being really honest

with yourself do you have even a tiny inkling that somehow

the BBC got away with it? I don't think the BBC

got away with it. I think if you look back

at where we were a year ago the debate and discussions,

which have been had involving the DCMS and other parts

of government, some of this has been public, some of this has been behind

closed doors, are exactly the discussions and

debates you should have. For months there have been all sorts

of suggestions round here that really might have changed

what you see and hear on screen, In the end, today's plans

will change how the BBC is run, but it's more tinkering under

the bonnet of the organisation itself than a radical

rethink for the future. But with the days of huddling around

the set disappearing fast, shouldn't the BBC change

more quickly too? There will be disappointment

in the commercial sector that the BBC hasn't been reduced

in scope and size. But the emphasis on innovation

and risk taking is good This, my sweet, is a letter

from my solicitor. At times it seems the BBC could have

been served an ultimatum. But these talks have come

to a less dramatic end. Laura Kuenssberg, BBC

News, Westminster. Lets talk to our media

correspondent, David Sillitoe, who is outside Broadcasting House. Let's

talk about regulation and independence in the light of this

white paper. What is your reading of it? Well, overall it's certainly not

as drastic as any thought it was going to be. We can look at some of

the details. There are going to be big changes. For instance, programme

making. Every programme outside of news and current affairs will be

open to competitive tender for an outside company to make. Of course,

those governance issues, those are big changes and the key phrase was

from John Whittingdale, the government is entitled to

representation because this is after all ?3.7 billion of public money.

But there are many who disagree. For instance, Norman Fowler, a former

Conservative minister, says no, this is ?3.7 billion of licence payers'

money. He feels the directors should be absolutely independent. So why

does the board matter so much more than the trust, which after all

almost all its members are appointed by the government? Well, the trust

is largely a Watchdog and if you read the White Paper there is a key

phrase in there, the board will be setting the editorial direction of

the whole of the BBC. This is a great deal of clarity now about

where control is and it's right with the board, it's why it matters and

it's why these discussions are far from over. David Sillitoe, our media

correspondent. The President of Brazil,

Dilma Rousseff, has accused senators of mounting a coup after their vote

to suspend her from her duties. They voted to impeach her

for allegedly concealing the size But the President denies any

wrongdoing and she's warned of dangerous instability

unless she's reinstated. Let's join our correspondent

Wyre Davies in the This saga has been tremendously

damaging for Brazil, one of the world's biggest economies and

democracies. Dilma Rousseff insists she can return as President after an

impeachment trial, but that is unlikely. There has already been a

new cabinet sworn in and a new President, promising a government of

national salvation. "Dilma, a Brazilian warrior",

was the chant from her staff and colleagues as Brazil's first

female President faced the cameras, minutes after being formally told

of her suspension from office. Defiant until the end,

Ms Rousseff said Brazil's In an emotional defence

of her record, the former political prisoner said she had faced

adversity before and TRANSLATION: I have suffered

the unspeakable pain of torture, And now once again I am suffering

the unbearable pain of injustice. The President's fate was sealed

when after 21 hours of debate the Senate voted overwhelmingly

in favour of an impeachment trial. The charge is that Ms Rousseff had

illegally concealed Dilma Rousseff's opponents

celebrated the news in the capital. Their anger with her,

not so much the formal charges, The new leader is former

Vice President, Michel Temer, centre right, business friendly

and promising national unity. His first move was to appoint

an all-male, all-white cabinet. Arms aloft, as if in victory,

despite the humiliation Dilma Rousseff left the presidential

palace by the front entrance, still a heroine to

Brazil's working classes. What is happening today in Brazil

is important, because of the size of this country's economy

and its past history The interim President might find

favour with the money markets and big business,

but to many he will be a usurper, and will find it hard

to unite this vast country. While she won't be remembered

as a great leader, Dilma Rousseff was beaten by a broken,

corrupt political system Wyre Davies, BBC News,

Brasilia. A brief look at some

of the day's other news stories. An inquiry has found

that the Youth Justice Board ignored at least 35 complaints going back

seven years about how G4S, the private security

company, managed three The details emerged in a report

published into failures at the Medway Secure Training Centre,

where BBC Panorama secretly filmed The Justice Secretary has confirmed

that G4S's contract to run The NHS in England has

recorded its worst performance Figures show that 1.2 million more

EU migrants have received National Insurance numbers

in the past five years than have Ministers said the gap

could "largely be accounted for by short-term EU

migration to the UK". Those campaigning to leave the EU

said the National Insurance figures were "closer

to the truth" on immigration. The Conservative Party has produced

documents about its spending during the general election,

after the Electoral Commission This morning the Commission said it

had applied to the High Court to force the Conservatives

to disclose the documentation as part of an investigation into

an alleged breach of spending rules. The Commission says it has now

received the documents For the first time, foreign

companies that already have, or want to buy, property in the UK

will have to reveal David Cameron announced the measure

at today's summit in London on fighting corruption,

attended by more than 40 countries. But campaigners say more should be

done to increase transparency, especially around tax havens,

as our diplomatic correspondent Tonight on Panorama,

we expose the secret The leak of the so-called

Panama Papers revealed that financial corruption is nothing

if not global, with illicit money So today, presidents and ministers

gathered in London to discuss how they could tackle a problem that

David Cameron said has Corruption is the cancer

at the heart of so many problems If we want to defeat

terrorism and extremism, we have to recognise that corruption

and lack of access to justice can often be the way that people

are driven towards extremism. The Prime Minister began

by promising to deal with London's reputation as a haven for money

laundering, announcing that he would force all off-shore

firms that own property in England and Wales to reveal their ultimate

owners in a publicly Foreign firms bidding

for Government contracts By being more transparent it

will deter people who want to park The second is that if you have money

already there, you will be exposed and you will know if your neighbour

is Colonel Gaddafi's That would not have

been clear before. But campaigners want

the Prime Minister to go further and put pressure on Britain's

overseas territories and Crown Dependencies

to be more transparent. Today, some of those territories,

like the Cayman Islands, agreed to share more information

about company ownership amongst themselves and the authorities but,

crucially, not the public. They think they are

being treated unfairly. If those countries with real

political clout on the world stage continue to focus on jurisdictions

that are smaller in size while ignoring obvious jurisdictions

which ought to be part of the conversation,

the result will be A few more countries

at the conference did agree to follow Britain's lead and set up

public registers of all But crucially, the United States

was not one of them, even if it did agree that something

had to be done. Corruption, writ large,

is as much of an enemy, because it destroys nation states,

as much as some of the The test for this summit will be how

many other countries It has not gone without notice that

Panama, the British Virgin Islands James Landale, BBC News,

at Lancaster House in London. 800 migrants were rescued

in several operations off This year has seen an increase

in those taking the long and dangerous route

across the Mediterranean from Libya. In the first three months of 2016,

Italy registered 18,000 new migrants, 80% more

than in the same period last year. Christian Fraser is on a charity

rescue boat in the Mediterranean, and we can join him

tonight for the latest. We are now heading full steam away

from the Libyan coast towards Calabria in Italy. Sleeping soundly

on the stern of the ship, 233 very lucky migrants. 18 months ago the

Italian navy scaled back rescue operations in this part of the

Central Mediterranean Route. One view was that if our navies did not

rush to the rescue, maybe the migrants would not rush to take such

awful risks. But still they come, and in bigger and bigger numbers.

And already this year, 1000 migrants have drowned.

An early-morning call on the bridge of the Aquarius.

My actual position, latitude 33 degrees.

In Europe's epic migration story, part of the rescue operation has

Aquarius is chartered by an national charity trained

Already this year they've saved 900 lives.

The chart tells us, we are almost upon them.

In the haze, a streak of grey, balanced precariously on the waves.

In Libya, people smuggling is a low risk, high profit business.

Rubber boats from China are cheap and quickly inflated.

The safety of the paying cargo is incidental.

The smugglers give them a phone to call the coast guard, a compass,

and just enough fuel to leave Libyan waters.

This particular boat had drifted 24 miles in ten hours.

A huddle of humanity at the whim of the sea

The first to arrive are the children.

On Aquarius, it's the medical charity MSF that takes charge.

But there is relief that they have finally escaped Libya.

You know, Libya is not a free country.

Each one of us know the reason why we left home.

They should please issue accommodate us.

But would they really come if these rescue boats weren't here?

The determination to leave the danger is so huge

that they are not afraid to step on that rickety boat

They are nearly all economic migrants from West Africa.

51 of them are under the age of 17 and most are travelling alone.

His elder brother drowned in this sea last year.

TRANSLATION: Everyone gets a chance.

We already have 120 migrants on board the Aquarius.

We are now picking up another 140 that the Italian

The Italians tell us they are expecting a record number

of people to make this journey from Libya to Europe this year,

An hour after everyone was safely transferred, the weather turned,

a force six squall that would surely have destroyed their boats.

On the stern of the Aquarius, they slept soundly.

But had we arrived just an hour later, they would certainly be dead.

Well, Libya is one issue, Syria is another, and there is growing

concern that with the route into Europe between Turkey and Greece

shutdown that more people will try this perilous route across the

Mediterranean. I am told the Italian Navy is docking tomorrow in Messina,

Italy, with 800 rescued migrants. And among that number, 342 Iraqis

and Syrians. Christian Fraser in the

Mediterranean. Donald Trump, who's heading

for nomination as the Republican presidential candidate,

has been trying to mend fences He's held talks with Paul Ryan,

the Speaker of the House of Representatives, who's on record

as saying he's not Mr Ryan said it was a positive step

towards uniting the party. Has there ever been a situation like

this? Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee being shunned by

the two former living Republican presidents, without the support of

the two former Republican candidates for President, nor the speaker of

the house of representatives, the most senior Republican in the

country. The motorcade looks

presidential enough. The trouble is that the Republican

leadership thinks that For a man not normally shy

of the cameras, Donald Trump has Behind closed doors at Republican

HQ, Mr Trump met the most senior elected Republican,

the Speaker of the House of Representatives,

Paul Ryan, someone who has conspicuously refused to endorse

the billionaire businessman. And despite the warm words

at a later news conference, I heard a lot of good things

from our presumptive nominee, and we exchanged differences

of opinion on a number of things There are policy disputes

that we will have. Plenty of Republicans disagree

with each other on policy disputes. But on core principles,

those are the kind of things we discussed,

and again, I am encouraged. And then was up to Capitol Hill

to talk to the Senate leadership, all part

of the Donald Trump charm offensive. There is an old joke about how do

two porcupines make love? Paul Ryan and Donald Trump are

eyeing each other from a distance. But they know for the sake

of Republican unity For the moment, though,

there are still just too And if the Republican leadership

is to unify, a lot of people are going to have to

swallow a lot of words. Donald Trump would be

an absolute utter disaster for the Republican Party,

destroy conservatism as we know it. We would get wiped out and it

would take generations to overcome Donald Trump is a phoney, a fraud,

his promises are as worthless There is no way the party of Lincoln

and Reagan is going to be taken over Those close to the Speaker

are expressing confidence the party But Paul Ryan apparently made it

clear what it will take. A lot of the vulgarity and some

of the ways in which Trump has used language is not the kind of thing

he would like to see. And as I understand it,

in the meeting today Donald Trump left Washington without

saying a word to the cameras. But on social media,

you could almost hear the purring. "Great day in DC", he said,

"things working out really well". In Florida, it's the final day

of the Invictus Games, the sporting event for injured

service personnel and veterans, One of the American stars of this

year's Games handed back one of her gold medals,

asking Harry to give it to the hospital in Cambridgeshire

that saved her life two years ago. Aleem Maqbool looks back

at this year's Games. For many here, this has been

the week of their lives. They've often gone through

the toughest of times, some getting injured

in combat or losing friends. Now they've competed with athletes

from around the world. Lieutenant Kirsty Wallace

broke her back while training The spirit of the Games

are just amazing. There is banter between all

the different teams, getting to know the other countries,

all the competitors. Prince Harry is such a huge

ambassador for this event. The banter he has between him

and us, the team, is fantastic. He is willing to come up and give

sweaty hugs at the end of a race. And Prince Harry, who served

in the Army for ten years and came up with the idea of these Games,

has been a huge presence here. Earlier this week,

he was interviewed with American swimmer Elizabeth Marks,

who at the first Invictus Games in London had to suddenly

be taken to hospital. They saved my life there,

so I'm very grateful it happened where it did

because they provided me with excellent medical care

and things might not have gone But when he did, after she won gold

in the pool, she handed back the medal to Harry,

telling him to give it to Papworth Hospital

in Cambridgeshire, where she had her Support for this year's event came

from Olympic stars. The ability that the athletes that

are here, that they have to inspire kids but also the wider

community is a tremendous This is when sport

is at its very best. The hope is this also inspires other

sick and injured soldiers everywhere, fighting

their own personal battles. Up to 1000 homes are being evacuated

in the city of Bath after the discovery of what is thought to be

an unexploded bomb from the Second World War. The device was found on

the grounds of a former school and residents were taken from their

homes to Bath racecourse. There will be updates on the BBC News Channel

and on BBC News online throughout the night.

Here, it's time for the news where you are.