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Welcome to our live coverage of the Budget, the second | :00:32. | :00:34. | |
And it's all happening in a rather different economic climate, | :00:35. | :00:39. | |
not to mention the political climate, with that EU referendum | :00:40. | :00:42. | |
And what will it mean for spending and taxation? | :00:43. | :00:54. | |
A few minutes ago Mr Osborne appeared on the steps of Number 11 | :00:55. | :00:59. | |
Downing Street, his official residence, with the traditional red | :01:00. | :01:01. | |
box containing a copy of his Budget speech. | :01:02. | :01:04. | |
His eighth since he became Chancellor in 2010. | :01:05. | :01:08. | |
Alongside him, his Treasury ministerial team. | :01:09. | :01:11. | |
And that Budget speech will be delivered at 12.30 after the usual | :01:12. | :01:14. | |
weekly session of Prime Minister's Questions. | :01:15. | :01:25. | |
making their way now to the Houses of Parliament. Mr Osborne a few | :01:26. | :01:31. | |
moments ago left Downing Street and headed for the Palace of | :01:32. | :01:32. | |
Westminster. Stay with us as we'll have | :01:33. | :01:33. | |
all the Budget detail and reaction. I'll be getting the thoughts | :01:34. | :01:39. | |
of politicians here outside Parliament as they digest | :01:40. | :01:41. | |
the Chancellor's announcements and assess how he deals with | :01:42. | :01:43. | |
the tougher economic environment. I'm in Bolton, the heart of | :01:44. | :01:50. | |
the so-called Northern Powerhouse, which has been promised more money | :01:51. | :01:55. | |
to improve its transport network. We'll be getting a range of views | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
from people affected And I'll be responding | :02:01. | :02:02. | |
to your emails, texts and tweets about what this Budget means | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
for you and your family's finances. We'll be making sense of the Budget | :02:08. | :02:18. | |
measures with expert analysis from my BBC colleagues | :02:19. | :02:22. | |
here in the studio. Our political editor | :02:23. | :02:25. | |
Laura Kuenssberg, our economics editor Kamal Ahmed, | :02:26. | :02:28. | |
and our business editor Simon Jack. They'll also be providing plenty | :02:29. | :02:33. | |
of thoughts on social media If you want to join the Twitter | :02:34. | :02:35. | |
conversation, use the hashtag You'll be part of the big tide of | :02:36. | :02:53. | |
comment hanging around speech itself. | :02:54. | :02:54. | |
You can also email us at [email protected]. | :02:55. | :02:56. | |
We'll try and put some of your tweets and emails | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
to our experts and guests during the programme. | :03:00. | :03:06. | |
Keep those comments coming in and keep the questions coming in and I | :03:07. | :03:11. | |
will do my best to use them as the programme goes on. | :03:12. | :03:13. | |
So, this time last year, the coalition government | :03:14. | :03:15. | |
was still in power, the election was yet to come, | :03:16. | :03:17. | |
and it has been a rather eventful 12 months for Mr Osborne. | :03:18. | :03:20. | |
REPORTER: Is this an election-winning Budget, | :03:21. | :03:26. | |
With Britain's national debt share falling, the sun | :03:27. | :03:31. | |
People keep drinking beer because of the duty cut. | :03:32. | :04:22. | |
The simplest thing to do is not to phase these changes in, | :04:23. | :04:27. | |
I brought along Mao's Little Red Book. | :04:28. | :04:33. | |
Oh, look, it's his personal signed copy! | :04:34. | :04:45. | |
This is putting the power into the Northern Powerhouse. | :04:46. | :04:54. | |
Eventful. He's a very visible Chancellor in so many ways. What are | :04:55. | :05:03. | |
you expecting today? The big question for him is where has the | :05:04. | :05:08. | |
sunshine gone, Chancellor? In the election campaign we got used to | :05:09. | :05:13. | |
George Osborne making the case he had done rather a good job of fixing | :05:14. | :05:16. | |
the roof while the sun was shining to use the metaphor he used again | :05:17. | :05:21. | |
and again and again. Today, the tone is going to be completely different. | :05:22. | :05:24. | |
He's going to warn of gathering clouds over the world economy, and | :05:25. | :05:28. | |
the political question is, does he try to make the case, as his critics | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
will suggest, that somehow it's his fault and he has caused some of | :05:34. | :05:40. | |
these problems in this country? Or really point to what's happening | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
right around the world, how does he respond politically to the fact of | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
the numbers he bases his sums on in November and now look hopelessly | :05:50. | :05:51. | |
optimistic and rhetorically also how does he do that when he's been | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
telling the public something else for awhile? Lots of important things | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
going on, like the reaction, because, of course, today it's a | :06:01. | :06:04. | |
very big job to someone else on the opposition front bench. Let's look | :06:05. | :06:07. | |
at Jeremy Corbyn, who was leaving home a short while ago today. As is | :06:08. | :06:13. | |
usual on these days, he didn't say too much to the people waiting, but | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
he faces a big challenge today because he has got to lead the | :06:18. | :06:21. | |
response to this Budget speech. Some thoughts on that? This is one of the | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
hardest and worst gigs in Westminster, being Leader of the | :06:26. | :06:29. | |
Opposition is always difficult. Especially on Budget day. It is not | :06:30. | :06:33. | |
an impossible but almost an impossible task. Imagine doing an | :06:34. | :06:37. | |
exam live on television in front of the whole country that's not on your | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
specialist subject, you haven't had any time to prepare for and you have | :06:42. | :06:44. | |
got to somehow come back with something credible and hopefully for | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
Jeremy Corbyn, can get through to the public. It's going to be a | :06:50. | :06:52. | |
difficult task for him to respond in an effective detail but what we will | :06:53. | :06:57. | |
hear from Jeremy Corbyn I'm sure, as we heard in recent days and months | :06:58. | :07:01. | |
from his team, is, in their view, George Osborne's record is failure. | :07:02. | :07:05. | |
He has missed his own targets on sorting out the books again and | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
again and again. Of course, as Jeremy Corbyn will make reference to | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
this, George Osborne will announce more cuts on top of six years of | :07:15. | :07:18. | |
cuts, and that's the big difficulty for him in terms of the public. His | :07:19. | :07:23. | |
reputation was built on sorting out the box, persuading people he was | :07:24. | :07:28. | |
the safe choice to clear away the debts that is not got anything like | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
as far as he wanted to our road and he's going to tell people today he | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
has to act now so we don't pay later. That means more cuts, on top | :07:38. | :07:42. | |
of years of cuts and for many people watching this around the country, | :07:43. | :07:44. | |
it's going to be difficult to swallow. Quite a few things for us | :07:45. | :07:49. | |
to pick up and I'll come back in a while to talk about the | :07:50. | :07:52. | |
all-important context of the European referendum which could have | :07:53. | :07:56. | |
a bearing on the things we're talking about today. | :07:57. | :07:57. | |
What are you focusing on today? It's going to be a fascinating day. There | :07:58. | :08:10. | |
are two big issues for us to watch as George Osborne gets up to deliver | :08:11. | :08:15. | |
his Budget in an hour's time. One of those is around the government's | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
finances. The Government accounts, how much will they spend and how | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
much is it borrowing? Secondly, the health of the UK economy, because | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
there have been some headwinds over the last three months since the | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
Autumn Statement of last November. So let's remember some of those | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
rules that George Osborne set himself last year. He said he would | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
reduce Government borrowing and would be running a surplus by the | :08:43. | :08:47. | |
end of this Parliament. Let's look at some of those figures. In the | :08:48. | :08:53. | |
Autumn Statement in November he said borrowing would be at ?73.5 billion | :08:54. | :08:59. | |
this financial year. It would fall them, he suggested, down to 49.9 | :09:00. | :09:11. | |
billion in 2016-17 and reach an overall surplus of over ?10 billion | :09:12. | :09:19. | |
in 2019-20. The other key target he set himself was that public sector | :09:20. | :09:22. | |
net debt, the amount of debt the Government is running would fall as | :09:23. | :09:29. | |
a percentage of national income, that is rule two. Another thing to | :09:30. | :09:34. | |
look for today is does he had that second rule? November 's forecast, | :09:35. | :09:38. | |
but more optimistic, said the figure of national debt in comparison to | :09:39. | :09:44. | |
income would be 83.1% last year, that would fall to 82.5%. This year. | :09:45. | :09:50. | |
And fall again each subsequent year until its larger healthy looking | :09:51. | :09:58. | |
number of 74.3% in 2019-20. A lot of economists judging today will say | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
you can find it difficult with his new economic headwinds to hit that | :10:04. | :10:07. | |
target. We need to keep a close eye on whether that downward trend is | :10:08. | :10:11. | |
still there. That's very important politically for him. You mentioned | :10:12. | :10:15. | |
the state of the economy. What is the main yardstick there? If you go | :10:16. | :10:20. | |
back to the spending review of last autumn, things looked better. The | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
Office for Budget Responsibility, economic watchdog for the | :10:26. | :10:28. | |
Government, said the public finances were in a better state to the tune | :10:29. | :10:35. | |
of ?27 billion. That was down to two things, higher tax receipts as the | :10:36. | :10:39. | |
economy grew more robust, and also a bit of it gain out of our national | :10:40. | :10:44. | |
debt repayments because interest rates are very low, the debt | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
repayments were low as well so the Government got a lift from those. If | :10:49. | :10:55. | |
we go back to the beginning of this year, global economic uncertainty | :10:56. | :10:59. | |
has grown and there has been slower than predicted growth. Let's look at | :11:00. | :11:05. | |
a few of those numbers. The Office for Budget Responsibility in | :11:06. | :11:09. | |
November said in 2015, growth would be 2.4% and it would be the same for | :11:10. | :11:14. | |
this year and would probably stay around the same area for the next | :11:15. | :11:18. | |
three years. But since then, those economic headwinds have been on a | :11:19. | :11:24. | |
downgrade. The Office for National Statistics put growth last year at | :11:25. | :11:28. | |
just 2.2% and the Bank of England has now cut its growth forecast for | :11:29. | :11:36. | |
this year, 2016, down to 2.2%. One other thing to remember, wages are | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
not increasing as rapidly as we thought they would last year and | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
that means tax receipts, income for the Government, is reduced, semi is | :11:45. | :11:47. | |
going to have to cut public expenditure more like Laura said. If | :11:48. | :11:52. | |
you want to hit his rules, you may not add them now but he will not, I | :11:53. | :11:56. | |
don't believe, do that. Thanks very much, we will talk later. | :11:57. | :11:59. | |
Plenty of speculation about the content of today's Budget, | :12:00. | :12:01. | |
but it's important to remember that the Chancellor has already | :12:02. | :12:04. | |
announced a list of things that will take effect at start | :12:05. | :12:06. | |
of the new financial year next month. | :12:07. | :12:11. | |
So let's start with the so-called giveaways. | :12:12. | :12:13. | |
On income tax, the tax-free personal allowance is set to rise to ?11,000 | :12:14. | :12:17. | |
next month and the threshold for paying the higher income tax | :12:18. | :12:19. | |
Next month, the government's new living wage comes into force | :12:20. | :12:27. | |
and this will see the minimum wage rise from ?6.70 an hour to ?7.20 | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
A new personal savings allowance of ?1,000 for basic rate taxpayers | :12:32. | :12:37. | |
and ?500 for higher rate taxpayers will also be introduced in April. | :12:38. | :12:45. | |
So much for giving away, the Chancellor is also taking money | :12:46. | :12:48. | |
The new apprenticeship levy will start to be collected in April | :12:49. | :12:52. | |
2017 and is expected to raise up to ?3 billion a year. | :12:53. | :12:55. | |
Stamp duty will be raised by 3% for buy-to-lets and second homes. | :12:56. | :12:59. | |
And while there's been much speculation about possible changes | :13:00. | :13:02. | |
to pension tax relief in today's Budget, the Chancellor has already | :13:03. | :13:05. | |
announced a reduction in the lifetime allowance | :13:06. | :13:07. | |
The Chancellor is squeezing public spending. | :13:08. | :13:16. | |
Savings will be made in the welfare budget by freezing working age | :13:17. | :13:19. | |
While increases in public sector pay will be capped at 1% for the rest | :13:20. | :13:24. | |
So plenty of changes already in the pipeline and of course the world of | :13:25. | :13:35. | |
business already heavily affected by some of those and the measures | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
announced over the past year or so. Let's talk to Simon, our business | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
editor. Business, what should we look out for? He's got a tricky | :13:45. | :13:47. | |
conundrum because it got to persuade business he is still on their side | :13:48. | :13:50. | |
whilst hitting them inevitably for some more cash and businesses are | :13:51. | :13:54. | |
feeling pretty bruised for his last few encounters with George Osborne. | :13:55. | :13:58. | |
We have the apprenticeship levy, the increase in the living wage come | :13:59. | :14:02. | |
raid on Insurance Premium Tax they are saying, enough already, give us | :14:03. | :14:05. | |
a break, please, we can't take much more so that's going to be their | :14:06. | :14:09. | |
message. I'm afraid he's not going to be able to oblige. What are you | :14:10. | :14:13. | |
expecting to do in that sense? Where can you go where business is | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
concerned? He will try to go again for business premiums, it could go | :14:19. | :14:21. | |
up to 12% and he would try to make sure more tax does not leak out of | :14:22. | :14:25. | |
the current system so for example, at the moment, you can deduct the | :14:26. | :14:28. | |
amount you pay in debt interest from the profits to reduce your tax | :14:29. | :14:32. | |
profits and we could see a change there. On the plus side, though, the | :14:33. | :14:36. | |
Northsea is in big trouble and this would be a no-brainer giveaway for | :14:37. | :14:39. | |
him because there were no profit in the North Sea at the moment so | :14:40. | :14:44. | |
reducing the tax by 20%, of nothing, is nothing, so it would be | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
everything for him to do. OK, thank you very much. We will be back for | :14:49. | :14:55. | |
some more analysis just before the Prime Minister's Questions at | :14:56. | :14:57. | |
midday. Lots of reaction of course to the Budget speech at Westminster | :14:58. | :15:01. | |
as we expect, but very important for us to take the temperature in other | :15:02. | :15:05. | |
parts of the UK. My colleague Jo is in Bolton today, the marketplace. | :15:06. | :15:07. | |
Let's join him now. Statemen Yes, Huw, I'm the market | :15:08. | :15:17. | |
place here in Bolton which is George Osborne likes to term it the | :15:18. | :15:23. | |
Northern powerhouse. It is under going a ?20 million refurbishment | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
and make-over. As you can see everybody is busy working. They | :15:28. | :15:30. | |
might have stopped while we are doing our broadcast here. Let's talk | :15:31. | :15:34. | |
to the man who has been overseeing the construction in this big market | :15:35. | :15:41. | |
place, Ian Spencer. The Chancellor is expected to announce new | :15:42. | :15:43. | |
infrastructure projects for this region. How much of a boost will | :15:44. | :15:48. | |
that give Bolton? It would be a fantastic boost to the region. If | :15:49. | :15:53. | |
you look at Bolton, has always been overshadowed by the likes of | :15:54. | :15:56. | |
Manchester and Liverpool, however, with the new transport links that | :15:57. | :16:01. | |
are coming through, from reducing travel times from over 35 minutes | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
out of Manchester, that's going to be reduced down to 20 minutes and | :16:06. | :16:09. | |
then from there to the airport, within 40 minutes. So it would be | :16:10. | :16:14. | |
fantastic for the region. Wla would it do for the building trade? From | :16:15. | :16:20. | |
our prospective it will bring more opportunities to the business, | :16:21. | :16:22. | |
growing it forward. So yes, you know, it is all very, very positive. | :16:23. | :16:26. | |
Ian, thank you very much. I will let you get back to work. Let's take you | :16:27. | :16:31. | |
into the Bolton sunshine, so out of the gloom of the vaults. They will | :16:32. | :16:34. | |
be opened actually in the next few months. There will be restaurants | :16:35. | :16:41. | |
and bars, tucked in under here in vaults closed since 1855 when this | :16:42. | :16:46. | |
was actually the biggest market place in Europe. Well, let's talk to | :16:47. | :16:52. | |
two ladies, Nicky Wilson-Cook who is in charge and Catherine who is a | :16:53. | :16:56. | |
local businesswoman. Nicky, what impact is this going to have on | :16:57. | :17:00. | |
Bolton? Well, the development has already started to have a positive | :17:01. | :17:05. | |
impact. We're hoping it is a game changer introducing lesh uand | :17:06. | :17:08. | |
restaurants is a key must have. We're really hopeful it will be | :17:09. | :17:13. | |
great. Is the northern pou per house that George Osborne talks about | :17:14. | :17:17. | |
tally a reality or rhetoric? No, it is a reality. We have already got | :17:18. | :17:23. | |
the transport interchange happening. That's a ?48 million spend, that's | :17:24. | :17:29. | |
been, that's funded by Greater Manchester Transport Programme, | :17:30. | :17:31. | |
yeah, it is good. Well, let's talk to Catherine. There are measures the | :17:32. | :17:36. | |
Chancellor brought in that have had an impact on small businesses like | :17:37. | :17:39. | |
yours and you run an accountancy furpl. What impact have they had? -- | :17:40. | :17:45. | |
firm, what impact have they had? Changes in dividends. We know that | :17:46. | :17:52. | |
small business owners face paying taxes on dividends which has quite a | :17:53. | :17:58. | |
big impact for the tax planning as well as as in the future. What about | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
the minimum wage? At the same time the Government announced today the | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
national Living Wage. Well, obviously we all want to earn more | :18:07. | :18:11. | |
money, so it is not bad to increase the Living Wage, but at the same | :18:12. | :18:21. | |
time being forced to pay more wages and pay more in taxes regarding the | :18:22. | :18:28. | |
dividends, it doesn't really have a good impact on small businesses | :18:29. | :18:31. | |
because we are a bit afraid. All right, thank you both very much. We | :18:32. | :18:34. | |
will be getting reaction all day, here at the market place in Bolton | :18:35. | :18:39. | |
and we will also be getting reaction with ruth Alexander who is our | :18:40. | :18:43. | |
personal finance expert. Let's speak to her. She is up there. Amid the | :18:44. | :18:48. | |
speculation about what might be in the Budget, we do know what the | :18:49. | :18:52. | |
Chancellor already has planned to come into play in April. Pensions is | :18:53. | :18:57. | |
going to be a big area of change and that's something we will get a lot | :18:58. | :19:04. | |
of questions about on Money Box, people who are reaching State | :19:05. | :19:06. | |
Pension Age from 6th April, the system will change for them. They | :19:07. | :19:10. | |
won't get the basic state pension and the additional state pension, | :19:11. | :19:14. | |
there will be one new state pension which is about ?155 a month. The | :19:15. | :19:19. | |
highest earners are being squeezed on pensions. The maximum amount you | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
can save tax-free in a pension over a lifetime is going down to ?1 | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
million and the annual amount you can save overer year if you are | :19:29. | :19:35. | |
earning 1 -- over a year if you are earning ?150,000 a year will be | :19:36. | :19:38. | |
tapered down. There is good news for savers. Basic rate taxpayers will be | :19:39. | :19:44. | |
able to earn ?1,000 interest tax-free on their savings and higher | :19:45. | :19:51. | |
tax payers will be able to earn ?500 tax-free and that's on top of the | :19:52. | :19:56. | |
Isa limit of ?420. We would love to keep in touch with you throughout | :19:57. | :19:59. | |
the Budget and hear how it is affecting you. You can e-mail us and | :20:00. | :20:09. | |
you can also text us or you can contact us via Twitter: | :20:10. | :20:16. | |
We will be here all day in the market place. Not only will we be | :20:17. | :20:20. | |
gauging reaction from local businesses and the TUC and local | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
political leaders, we will, of course, bring you analysis of the | :20:26. | :20:28. | |
key measures announced in the Chancellor's Budget coming up | :20:29. | :20:31. | |
shortly. That's it. Huw. Jo, thank you very much. | :20:32. | :20:38. | |
You're welcome to send in questions and comments as you go along because | :20:39. | :20:41. | |
we will try to deal with as many as we can. | :20:42. | :20:45. | |
Let's look outside our studio at Westminster. A glorious view from | :20:46. | :20:49. | |
our helicopter of the Palace of Westminster. There is quite a bit of | :20:50. | :20:56. | |
work going on, but there is a big bill attached to the projected work | :20:57. | :21:01. | |
if the bills are approved because there is a lot of repair work needed | :21:02. | :21:05. | |
on this glorious building. You have the Victoria Tower on the right | :21:06. | :21:10. | |
which is home to the Parliamentary archives with Bills going back | :21:11. | :21:13. | |
hundreds of years and Big Ben, of course, across the river there from | :21:14. | :21:16. | |
the London Eye. On the green in front of Parliament is Jane Hill | :21:17. | :21:20. | |
with guests. Let's join Jane now. Thank you very much, Huw. Welcome to | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
a blustery College Green. Let's take a few minutes to assess what | :21:25. | :21:27. | |
representatives of the two main parties here at Westminster think we | :21:28. | :21:31. | |
might be in for over the next couple of hours. Joining me here outside | :21:32. | :21:37. | |
Parliament the Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury and the MP | :21:38. | :21:45. | |
for Heartsmere. Welcome to both of you. Oliver, like it or not, this | :21:46. | :21:52. | |
day, this Budget, is all through the prism of what is happening on 23rd | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
June, isn't it? Well, 23rd June is a way off. We have got four months to | :21:57. | :22:00. | |
go. What this is through the prism of is sticking with the long-term | :22:01. | :22:04. | |
plan, that's delivering stability for the economy, we have got two | :22:05. | :22:08. | |
million more jobs and one million more people moved off benefits and | :22:09. | :22:10. | |
it is about investing for the future. I know that's what the | :22:11. | :22:13. | |
Chancellor's priority is today. Where is the money, for example, you | :22:14. | :22:17. | |
talk about investing for the future, turning schools in England into | :22:18. | :22:20. | |
academies, where is that money suddenly coming from? Well, actually | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
I think this is what the Chancellor has done right from the very | :22:25. | :22:27. | |
beginning. He has taken two big decision, he continued to reduce the | :22:28. | :22:32. | |
deficit. You spend less on debt interest. So that gives you more | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
money to play with and secondly, if you continue to reform welfare which | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
we're doing, saving ?12 billion, rather than spending money on what | :22:40. | :22:42. | |
Labour used to call the bills of social failure, we can actually | :22:43. | :22:45. | |
invest it for the long-term, that's why we are investing in education | :22:46. | :22:50. | |
and I'm pleased by the suggestion we will have Crossrail two and | :22:51. | :22:52. | |
investment in high-speed three, that is the sort of thing we need to be | :22:53. | :22:56. | |
doing, moving away from that spending that is wasting money on | :22:57. | :23:00. | |
things like debt interest to long-term investment in areas to | :23:01. | :23:05. | |
improve our infrastructure. Jeremy Corbyn is standing up for the | :23:06. | :23:09. | |
first time today. He has got a very daunting task, hasn't he? Well, I | :23:10. | :23:13. | |
think it will be a real test For George Osborne today about facing up | :23:14. | :23:19. | |
to his own failures. Oliver talks about the costs of failure, the | :23:20. | :23:23. | |
housing benefit bill is said to be ?350 million more than George | :23:24. | :23:26. | |
Osborne himself forecast last year. As a direct result of a lack of | :23:27. | :23:31. | |
house building, the worst record since 1920 and rent prices rising. | :23:32. | :23:35. | |
Today, is actually a real test about whether he is going to face up to | :23:36. | :23:39. | |
his own failures on the debt on deficit, on exports, which are | :23:40. | :23:43. | |
likely to see if he is going to meet his targets, it will take 14 years | :23:44. | :23:47. | |
longer. On all of those issues, people are saying are you going to | :23:48. | :23:50. | |
face up to the failures and are you going to put the interests of the | :23:51. | :23:55. | |
British economy first or your own political ambitions? That's where | :23:56. | :23:59. | |
today we want to see a fair Budget, we want to see the poorest not | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
bearing the highest cost and the highest burden and we want to see | :24:04. | :24:06. | |
one that genuinely invests for the future. Do you stand here confident | :24:07. | :24:12. | |
this lunch time that your leader will stand up, will make those | :24:13. | :24:17. | |
points, that he will be able to rebut whatever George Osborne | :24:18. | :24:20. | |
announces because this is a test for anyone, isn't it? Jeremy Corbyn is, | :24:21. | :24:26. | |
this is his first chance to do this? This is a test and I have every | :24:27. | :24:29. | |
confidence that we are going to be standing up to George Osborne today, | :24:30. | :24:33. | |
not just in the chamber, but we're going to be standing up to him in | :24:34. | :24:37. | |
the media as well because he has failed on so many levels. He has | :24:38. | :24:41. | |
shown that you cannot cut your way to prosperity. If people's wages are | :24:42. | :24:48. | |
?14, if they are worst, ?40 worse off than before the crash in 2008, | :24:49. | :24:52. | |
those are real questions for George Osborne to answer about why women | :24:53. | :24:58. | |
are worse off by.81% of cost of his cuts and why he is cutting support | :24:59. | :25:04. | |
for people with disabilities, 600,000 people are set to be | :25:05. | :25:11. | |
affected. Today is a test for George Osborne facing up to his failures. | :25:12. | :25:16. | |
Oliver, you mentioned investing in infrastructure and this is also a | :25:17. | :25:21. | |
Budget produced by a man who is thinking about trying to get into | :25:22. | :25:25. | |
Number Ten? Well, I had the privilege of working for the Prime | :25:26. | :25:29. | |
Minister for five years and I very much hope and expect that he will | :25:30. | :25:32. | |
continue as Prime Minister as he said until the end of the | :25:33. | :25:35. | |
Parliament. I think that's quite a way off and actually it is | :25:36. | :25:38. | |
interesting talking about failure, I remember when we came into power, we | :25:39. | :25:43. | |
had the biggest Budget deficit, one of the biggest budget deficits in | :25:44. | :25:47. | |
the western world, borrowing more than we had at any point in our | :25:48. | :25:50. | |
peace time history, we have reduced the deficit by a half, hopefully it | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
will be moving down by two-thirds, we have more jobs being created and | :25:55. | :25:57. | |
that's the record that the Chancellor will be focussing on. You | :25:58. | :26:02. | |
know that debt is a percentage of GDP has risen from 62% to 80% under | :26:03. | :26:07. | |
George Osborne. You know he failed to cut the deficit as he said he | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
would. You know he failed on manufacturing. We are now still | :26:12. | :26:16. | |
pre-crisis, not even at pre-crisis levels with manufacturing. You know | :26:17. | :26:20. | |
he failed on all those fronts. 9% of your infrastructure projects have | :26:21. | :26:23. | |
been delivered. There is a long way to go. Even the CBI... By having the | :26:24. | :26:36. | |
second strongest economy in the entire G7, that's a record which we | :26:37. | :26:41. | |
can be proud of. The debate is clearly going to continue. We can | :26:42. | :26:45. | |
continue this after the interview. Thank you very much for joining us. | :26:46. | :26:48. | |
We will have much more from here over the course of the afternoon as | :26:49. | :27:01. | |
you would expect. Huw, back to you. You think it is a boring Budget, | :27:02. | :27:11. | |
this proves that we are in for an interesting time! | :27:12. | :27:15. | |
And you can also access the BBC's range of expert analysis | :27:16. | :27:18. | |
and all the latest Budget news on the BBC website: | :27:19. | :27:20. | |
Let's look at what is going on. I think they are tidying up their | :27:21. | :27:30. | |
session of questions on international development, but it is | :27:31. | :27:33. | |
a full House already because, of course, everyone has been there inn | :27:34. | :27:38. | |
there to book their seats for the Budget Statement. Justine Greening | :27:39. | :27:44. | |
finishing this session. Laura is still with me. I mentioned the | :27:45. | :27:47. | |
important context of the referendum coming up in June because clearly, | :27:48. | :27:50. | |
for lots of people, watching this today, that is really the context | :27:51. | :27:53. | |
around this speech. For the Government that's the context around | :27:54. | :27:57. | |
this speech too. There is no doubt about that and George Osborne as a | :27:58. | :28:02. | |
politician likes to trade in big political facts, big political | :28:03. | :28:05. | |
headlines and the big political fact right now is that the Government's | :28:06. | :28:08. | |
number one priority is making sure that they win the EU referendum or | :28:09. | :28:12. | |
interestingly the way a lot of them see it is not losing the referendum | :28:13. | :28:15. | |
which in a funny way is a different thing. That doesn't mean that the | :28:16. | :28:21. | |
Budget is going to be empty of anything that's ambitious or empty | :28:22. | :28:25. | |
of anything that makes a difference to people watching this, but what it | :28:26. | :28:28. | |
does mean is that we are unlikely to get many measures that are going to | :28:29. | :28:32. | |
give George Osborne real headaches inside his own political party. We | :28:33. | :28:37. | |
are still in the early days of referendum campaign, but it is | :28:38. | :28:41. | |
already extremely fractious inside the Conservative Party. The other | :28:42. | :28:44. | |
big political fact of this Parliament is they've got a very, | :28:45. | :28:48. | |
very small majority and they can be beaten. They have been beaten, they | :28:49. | :28:51. | |
were beaten the other day on George Osborne's plans to have shops in | :28:52. | :28:56. | |
England open for longer on Sundays. So don't expect an empty Budget, | :28:57. | :29:00. | |
don't expect nothing controversial, but we shouldn't expect anything | :29:01. | :29:04. | |
that's really going to upset the apple cart on the Conservative | :29:05. | :29:07. | |
benches because they are more focussed on trying to keep together | :29:08. | :29:09. | |
on the European Union. So on this Budget Day 2016 at | :29:10. | :29:13. | |
Westminster, let's take a look at the scene here on the banks of the | :29:14. | :29:16. | |
river Thames and the Palace of Westminster and Big Ben about to | :29:17. | :29:20. | |
announce that it is drawing up to midday. | :29:21. | :29:26. | |
Very soon, we will have Prime Minister's Questions starting. It | :29:27. | :29:31. | |
has been a few minutes late starting of late. But maybe the Speaker today | :29:32. | :29:36. | |
will be more strict. Let's go inside the chamber. Questions are still | :29:37. | :29:44. | |
going on and we concede the international development are still | :29:45. | :29:47. | |
finishing. Why don't we see whether the Speaker will call the Prime | :29:48. | :29:50. | |
Minister. Questions to the Prime Minister. | :29:51. | :29:54. | |
CHEERING Number one, Mr Speaker. Thank you, | :29:55. | :30:00. | |
Mr Speaker. This morning I spoke to ministerial colleagues and others | :30:01. | :30:03. | |
and in addition to my duties in the South ice love further meetings | :30:04. | :30:11. | |
later today. And employment falling by over 60% at over 5000 new | :30:12. | :30:16. | |
apprenticeships, Redditch is doing well. I'm holding my third jobs fair | :30:17. | :30:21. | |
in the next few weeks with 25 companies taking part. Would he | :30:22. | :30:25. | |
agree we've made a good start but we must not be complacent and continue | :30:26. | :30:30. | |
to get good quality jobs into our regions? I'm very much agreeable | :30:31. | :30:36. | |
with my honourable friend. If we look at the West Midlands and take | :30:37. | :30:39. | |
today's unemployment figures, we can see the claimant count has come down | :30:40. | :30:46. | |
since 2010 by 91,000 people and I'm sure the House would welcome an | :30:47. | :30:49. | |
update on the unemployment figures out today, employment at a new | :30:50. | :30:56. | |
record high of 31.4 million people. Compared with 2010, there are | :30:57. | :31:03. | |
2,370,000 more people in work than when I became Prime Minister and the | :31:04. | :31:08. | |
claimant count today, down 18,000 in the last month, figures I'm sure | :31:09. | :31:11. | |
will be welcomed right across the House. Thank you, Mr Speaker. Cut | :31:12. | :31:21. | |
the Prime Minister tell the House how many people will die from | :31:22. | :31:29. | |
respiratory disease as a result of a pollution be for this country meet | :31:30. | :31:34. | |
its legal obligations on air quality by 2025? I don't have those figures | :31:35. | :31:40. | |
to hand but what I do know is that we need to make progress on air | :31:41. | :31:44. | |
quality and that is why we have the new regulations on diesel engines | :31:45. | :31:49. | |
which is helping, the steady decarbonisation of our power sector, | :31:50. | :31:54. | |
which will help, and that's why we do have very strong legislation | :31:55. | :31:57. | |
already in terms of making sure we have clean air particularly in our | :31:58. | :32:02. | |
cities. If I could help the Prime Minister. The sad truth is, half a | :32:03. | :32:08. | |
million people will die because of this country's failure to comply | :32:09. | :32:12. | |
with international law on air pollution. Perhaps a good answer | :32:13. | :32:15. | |
another question, how much does their pollution cost our economy | :32:16. | :32:22. | |
every year? Of course it costs billions because people are being | :32:23. | :32:25. | |
injured and that is why we have the new clean air zones, we are seeing | :32:26. | :32:30. | |
omissions from cars coming down, and if I give him one example, if we | :32:31. | :32:35. | |
deliver in terms of our carbon reduction plan for electricity | :32:36. | :32:38. | |
generation, we are going to say something like an 85% reduction in | :32:39. | :32:45. | |
carbon between 1990 and 2030, giving us one of the best green record | :32:46. | :32:51. | |
anywhere in the world. The Royal College of physicians estimates that | :32:52. | :32:59. | |
their pollution costs the economy ?20 billion per year. The failure to | :33:00. | :33:02. | |
do their pollution is killing people. Only a few days ago, London | :33:03. | :33:08. | |
faced a severe smog warning. His friend, the Mayor of London has | :33:09. | :33:12. | |
decided over illegal breach of air quality in the capital every day | :33:13. | :33:18. | |
since 2012, so why can't the Prime Minister Harri up action to make is | :33:19. | :33:23. | |
complied with international law and help the health of the people of | :33:24. | :33:28. | |
this country -- hurry up. The Conservative governments in the | :33:29. | :33:31. | |
1950s passed the clean air act and I'm sure it'll be this Conservative | :33:32. | :33:34. | |
Government which take action, including the clear air zones rehab, | :33:35. | :33:40. | |
lower car emissions, and why are we able to do this? Not only because we | :33:41. | :33:44. | |
care about the environment but we have a strong economy to pay for | :33:45. | :33:46. | |
these improvements as we just about to hear. We all welcome the clean | :33:47. | :33:53. | |
air act of 1956. But things have moved on since then. | :33:54. | :34:04. | |
LAUGHTER The Government is now being | :34:05. | :34:08. | |
threatened with being taken to court for its failure to comply with | :34:09. | :34:12. | |
international law on air pollution. He is proposing to spend tens, if | :34:13. | :34:17. | |
not hundreds of thousands of pounds, public money, defending the | :34:18. | :34:21. | |
indefensible. Why not instead invest that money in cleaner air and better | :34:22. | :34:25. | |
air quality for everyone in this country? We are investing money in | :34:26. | :34:31. | |
cleaner in our country. For instance, we are phasing out the use | :34:32. | :34:35. | |
of coal-fired power stations, far in advance of what other European | :34:36. | :34:39. | |
countries are doing, blazing a trail in terms of more renewable energy, | :34:40. | :34:43. | |
the clean nuclear energy we are going to be investing in, all of | :34:44. | :34:46. | |
these things will make a difference but let me say again, you can only | :34:47. | :34:49. | |
do this if you have a strong economy, able to pay for these | :34:50. | :34:56. | |
things. If the Government and the Prime Minister are so keen on | :34:57. | :35:00. | |
renewable and clean energy, could you explain why, on Monday, the | :35:01. | :35:05. | |
House approved new regulations to allow communities a veto on clean | :35:06. | :35:11. | |
energy projects like Shaw went, and I have a question from Angela from | :35:12. | :35:14. | |
Lancaster who asks the Prime Minister this. If I was you, I would | :35:15. | :35:21. | |
listen. Will the Prime Minister offer the same rights of veto to her | :35:22. | :35:28. | |
community and community like air of a veto on fracking? We have a proper | :35:29. | :35:34. | |
planning system for deciding these things. If he wants to know what is | :35:35. | :35:42. | |
happening in terms of renewable energy, 99% of the solar panels in | :35:43. | :35:46. | |
this country were installed since I became Prime Minister. That is the | :35:47. | :35:52. | |
record we have. The UK now has the second-largest ultralow emission | :35:53. | :35:55. | |
vehicle market anywhere in the European Union. We've seen one of | :35:56. | :35:59. | |
the strongest growth in renewable energies, but isn't it remarkable, | :36:00. | :36:05. | |
five questions in, and know well, to the fall in unemployment, no mention | :36:06. | :36:09. | |
on the 31 million people now in work, no mention of the fact we have | :36:10. | :36:14. | |
more women, young people, in work, more people bringing home a salary, | :36:15. | :36:19. | |
a wage, and paying less taxes. Not a word from the party I thought was | :36:20. | :36:22. | |
meant to be the party of labour. The party of working people, getting | :36:23. | :36:27. | |
people into work is on this side of the House. Mr Speaker, the questions | :36:28. | :36:42. | |
to the Prime Minister RVs. -- are these. He boasted he led the | :36:43. | :36:48. | |
greatest Government ever. No Husky was safe from his cuddles. So could | :36:49. | :36:55. | |
he explain why the energy and climate change select committee has | :36:56. | :36:57. | |
produced a damning report when it comes to green energy, saying major | :36:58. | :37:04. | |
investors policies as risky as a result of cuts and changes. Why is | :37:05. | :37:09. | |
this Government so failing the renewable energy sector, clean air, | :37:10. | :37:13. | |
investors, consumers and those who work in that industry? I think, if | :37:14. | :37:21. | |
any proper look at the figures will find, this Government has a | :37:22. | :37:23. | |
remarkable record in green energy. Let me take the climate action | :37:24. | :37:31. | |
network, they said Britain is the second best country in the world for | :37:32. | :37:36. | |
tackling climate change after Denmark. That is our record. Since | :37:37. | :37:42. | |
2010, we produced greenhouse gases by 14%, over delivering against | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
carbon budgets, securing the first truly global legally binding | :37:47. | :37:50. | |
agreement to tackle climate change and have annual support for | :37:51. | :37:54. | |
renewables, more than doubling to over ?10 billion by 2020, on | :37:55. | :37:58. | |
renewable and it has become on track to deliver our target of at least | :37:59. | :38:02. | |
30% of renewable sources by 2020 and almost all of that would not have | :38:03. | :38:06. | |
happened under a Labour Government. That's our record and we are proud | :38:07. | :38:17. | |
of it. Question two, Mr Speaker. There are some positive things going | :38:18. | :38:20. | |
on in the West Midlands economy and today's figures show employment in | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
the region are up by 140,000 since 2010 and more than 108,000 | :38:26. | :38:30. | |
businesses work raged in the region between 2010-14. Thanks to our | :38:31. | :38:34. | |
long-term economic plan for the Midlands engine, we've invested in | :38:35. | :38:36. | |
public services in the West Midlands, helping to build a strong | :38:37. | :38:40. | |
NHS, reform the education system and give the police the resources they | :38:41. | :38:46. | |
need. Unemployment is down again in my beautiful Lichfield. And | :38:47. | :38:53. | |
yesterday, was an absolute first for the West Midlands, when the whole | :38:54. | :38:57. | |
region cooperated to present 33 investment schemes at an | :38:58. | :39:03. | |
international investment creating a further 178,000 jobs. So what more | :39:04. | :39:10. | |
can the Prime Minister do to support the Midlands engine? Apart from | :39:11. | :39:13. | |
insuring, of course, we never get a Labour Government. I'm glad he chose | :39:14. | :39:21. | |
to be here rather than in the South of France. Is right about these 33 | :39:22. | :39:26. | |
schemes. Last week we had a deal signed between Chinese investors and | :39:27. | :39:32. | |
an automotive company creating 1000 jobs in Coventry. The Business | :39:33. | :39:35. | |
Secretary was in Staffordshire as Nestle opened a new coffee factory | :39:36. | :39:40. | |
ringing 400 jobs and of course now that historic deal with the West | :39:41. | :39:43. | |
Midlands which will see significant new powers devolved to the combined | :39:44. | :39:48. | |
authority and Mayor, changing the way the country is run, devolving | :39:49. | :39:52. | |
power, building the strength of our great cities and Birmingham is the | :39:53. | :40:02. | |
second city of our country. There is widespread reporting that the UK | :40:03. | :40:07. | |
Government is about to commit to send ground troops to Libya to train | :40:08. | :40:11. | |
Government forces there. Is this true and why has Parliament not been | :40:12. | :40:17. | |
informed about it? Of course, if we had any plans to send conventional | :40:18. | :40:21. | |
forces for training in Libya, it would come to this House and we | :40:22. | :40:25. | |
discuss it. What we want to see the beer is the formation of a unity | :40:26. | :40:30. | |
Government, there progress with the Prime Minister who can lead to a | :40:31. | :40:33. | |
Government of National Accord, and we want to hear from him what | :40:34. | :40:37. | |
assistance and help we think should be given in Libya and countries like | :40:38. | :40:42. | |
Britain, like France, America, Italy, will definitely try and help | :40:43. | :40:46. | |
that new Government because, right now, Libya is a people smuggling | :40:47. | :40:50. | |
route, which is bad for Europe and for us, and also you the growth of | :40:51. | :41:01. | |
Brexit, which is bad for us but we if we had plans for troop | :41:02. | :41:05. | |
deployment, we were discovered in the House. The UK spent 13 times | :41:06. | :41:11. | |
more bombing Libya than securing the peace after the overflow of the | :41:12. | :41:18. | |
hated Gaddafi regime. The critics of UK policy, even include President | :41:19. | :41:25. | |
Obama of the USA, so we'll Prime Minister Erdogan a to bring the | :41:26. | :41:29. | |
issue of any potential Libyan deployment, or any British forces to | :41:30. | :41:33. | |
Parliament, for approval, before giving the green light for that to | :41:34. | :41:39. | |
happen? Will he give back commitment, yes or no? I'm happy to | :41:40. | :41:43. | |
give back but as we always do. I'm very clear that it was right to take | :41:44. | :41:49. | |
action to prevent that slaughter by Colonel Gaddafi would have carried | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
out against his people in Benghazi. I believe that was right. Of course, | :41:54. | :41:59. | |
Libya is in a state which is very concerning right now and everyone | :42:00. | :42:02. | |
has to take their responsibilities for that. What I would say is, after | :42:03. | :42:06. | |
the conflict, the British Government supported the training of Libyan | :42:07. | :42:10. | |
troops, we brought the Libyan Prime Minister to the G8 in Northern | :42:11. | :42:13. | |
Ireland, we went to the UN and passed resolutions to help that | :42:14. | :42:16. | |
Government but so far we have not been able to bring about that | :42:17. | :42:20. | |
Government of national accord, back and bring a semblance of stability | :42:21. | :42:24. | |
and peace to that country but is it in our interest in bad Government do | :42:25. | :42:28. | |
that? Yes, it is, and we should work with others to try to deliver that. | :42:29. | :42:38. | |
Byron Davies. My constituency was once the first time ever by the | :42:39. | :42:43. | |
Conservatives, and it could be transformed along with the rest of | :42:44. | :42:47. | |
the region by the Swansea Bay tidal lagoon. Having signed a 1.2 billion | :42:48. | :42:51. | |
deal yesterday for Cardiff, cut the PM gave an insurance they will do | :42:52. | :42:59. | |
anything to ensure the tidal lagoon project fits the UK energy strategy | :43:00. | :43:03. | |
and that he further recognise the economic potential this would bring | :43:04. | :43:06. | |
to the Swansea Bay region? I thank my honourable friend. I do remember | :43:07. | :43:13. | |
visiting his constituency just after his victory last year. I seem to | :43:14. | :43:17. | |
remember we went to a brewery for a mild celebration. The tidal lagoon | :43:18. | :43:22. | |
does have potential, we launched an independent review of a tidal lagoon | :43:23. | :43:25. | |
power to better understand the technology and we will look | :43:26. | :43:28. | |
carefully at the findings of that review and work closely with the | :43:29. | :43:30. | |
developers to make a decision on Swansea. Wrexham and North Wales is | :43:31. | :43:40. | |
a strong manufacturing and exporting region. But its growth is | :43:41. | :43:43. | |
constrained by lack of access to airports in north-west England. The | :43:44. | :43:51. | |
office for rail regulation is currently considering applications | :43:52. | :43:54. | |
for rail paths from North Wales. Will he support a cross-party | :43:55. | :43:59. | |
campaign for fairness for North Wales and for access to airports in | :44:00. | :44:04. | |
north-west England? The former Secretary of State for Wales, the | :44:05. | :44:10. | |
Honourable member for Clywd West, came to see me recently about this | :44:11. | :44:13. | |
because I think there is a very strong argument for how we can | :44:14. | :44:17. | |
better connect North Wales with the north-west of England and make sure | :44:18. | :44:20. | |
we build on economic strength of both, so I will look carefully at | :44:21. | :44:24. | |
what he says and my right honourable friend says about the potential for | :44:25. | :44:30. | |
increasing rail capacity. James Davis. Lastly, High Court judge | :44:31. | :44:38. | |
ruled in favour of the CPO of the great two star listed former North | :44:39. | :44:42. | |
Wales Hospital in Denbigh, years of neglect by the offshore company | :44:43. | :44:45. | |
owner resulted in the building being brought to the point of collapse. | :44:46. | :44:50. | |
Thanks to the ground-breaking work carried out by Denbighshire County | :44:51. | :44:53. | |
Council and the Princes regeneration trust, their future should now be | :44:54. | :44:57. | |
safeguarded. But what can the Prime Minister do to prevent buildings | :44:58. | :45:01. | |
such as these which are deemed national assets from falling into | :45:02. | :45:05. | |
hands of those who are not fit and proper guardians and particularly | :45:06. | :45:07. | |
those outside the control of our judicial system? | :45:08. | :45:12. | |
My honourable friend makes an important point and I am aware of | :45:13. | :45:17. | |
this case. It is great news that these buildings which I know how | :45:18. | :45:20. | |
important they are will be safeguarded. They were bought by a | :45:21. | :45:25. | |
company and left abandoned and as he says, that's no way to treat a grade | :45:26. | :45:29. | |
II listed building of the that's why we have the powers in place for | :45:30. | :45:33. | |
compulsory purchase orders and I think in this case, Denbighshire | :45:34. | :45:37. | |
Council were right to use them. Councils should have the confidence | :45:38. | :45:40. | |
that they have the measures and when appropriate, they should be prepared | :45:41. | :45:43. | |
to use them. Two weeks ago, in front of the | :45:44. | :45:49. | |
Education Select Committee, the head of Ofsted said that 16 to 19 | :45:50. | :45:55. | |
education should be done in a school-based environment and not in | :45:56. | :45:59. | |
a FE institution. He went on to say some pupils head off towards the FE | :46:00. | :46:03. | |
institution, do badly and they get lost and drop out. Does the Prime | :46:04. | :46:07. | |
Minister agree with him? I think we need a range of settings | :46:08. | :46:12. | |
for A-levels and for post 16 study. I would say this, there are a lot of | :46:13. | :46:16. | |
secondary schools in our country who would like to have a sixth form and | :46:17. | :46:21. | |
I think there are great benefits for particularly the 11-year-olds going | :46:22. | :46:24. | |
to secondary school who can look to the top of the school and see what | :46:25. | :46:29. | |
girls and boys are achieving 16, 17, 18, what A-level choices they're | :46:30. | :46:34. | |
making, what futures they are thinking of and for many people it | :46:35. | :46:38. | |
is inspiring to go to a school with a sixth form, let's encourage both | :46:39. | :46:43. | |
and let's have the choice and that's why the academy misation of schools | :46:44. | :46:51. | |
is very important. In apprenticeship Week, I'm sure the Prime Minister | :46:52. | :46:56. | |
will join my thanks to the employers who created 6500 apprenticeships in | :46:57. | :47:00. | |
Gloucester since 2010, in Gloucester Citizen for its support and all the | :47:01. | :47:04. | |
apprentices themselves including my first apprentice, now Gloucester's | :47:05. | :47:09. | |
youngest ever city councillor. Looking forward, would my Right | :47:10. | :47:16. | |
Honourable friend do all he can to hasten the introduction of associate | :47:17. | :47:24. | |
nurses? Well, the south-west has delivered over 280,000 | :47:25. | :47:27. | |
apprenticeships start since 2010, so it is pulling its weight and well | :47:28. | :47:31. | |
done to his constituents for doing that. I think he is also right about | :47:32. | :47:36. | |
the introduction of associate nurses, we are working with health | :47:37. | :47:42. | |
education England to take this as another route into nursing. | :47:43. | :47:47. | |
Mr Speaker, according to the statistics provided by the House | :47:48. | :47:51. | |
library, there are 280,000 problem gamblers in the United Kingdom. Can | :47:52. | :47:55. | |
the Prime Minister indicate when the Government will take forward the | :47:56. | :47:59. | |
2010 report prepared for the Department of Culture, media and | :48:00. | :48:02. | |
sport and does the Prime Minister agree that the money from dormant | :48:03. | :48:08. | |
betting accounts should be used to support those whose lives have been | :48:09. | :48:12. | |
destroyed by gambling? We will study the report carefully. We took some | :48:13. | :48:15. | |
action in the last Parliament to deal with problem gambling in terms | :48:16. | :48:18. | |
of the planning system and in terms of the way particularly fixed odds | :48:19. | :48:23. | |
betting terminals worked and I'm happy to keep examining this issue | :48:24. | :48:28. | |
and to act on the evidence and I will be discussing with the | :48:29. | :48:31. | |
Secretary of State for Culture, media and sport. | :48:32. | :48:38. | |
The systematic killing of Christians and other minority groups by the | :48:39. | :48:42. | |
so-called Islamic State across the Middle East has reached | :48:43. | :48:45. | |
unprecedented proportions. So the action being taken by Her Majesty's | :48:46. | :48:49. | |
Government is just. But what more will my Right Honourable friend do | :48:50. | :48:53. | |
working with the international community to halt this genocide | :48:54. | :48:58. | |
being committed against Christians by what I call the satanic State? My | :48:59. | :49:04. | |
honourable friend is right to draw atonings what Daesh is doing in | :49:05. | :49:08. | |
terms of persecuting Christians and not least others of other faiths and | :49:09. | :49:12. | |
Muslims who they take disagreement with. What we must do is keep to the | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
plan. We can see that we have shrunk the amount of territory Daesh have | :49:17. | :49:22. | |
in Iraq by 40%, we are seeing also some progress in Syria as well, but | :49:23. | :49:25. | |
this is going to take time and we must show the patience and the | :49:26. | :49:30. | |
persistence to make sure we rid the world of this evil death cult. The | :49:31. | :49:35. | |
Prime Minister's energy policy is a complete shambles. It is wholly | :49:36. | :49:43. | |
dependant on the troubled and expensive nuclear plant at Hinkley. | :49:44. | :49:47. | |
There is barely a Plan A let alone a Plan B. Is the Prime Minister | :49:48. | :49:52. | |
seeking to build the world's most expensive power station or the | :49:53. | :49:57. | |
world's biggest white elephant? We are planning on continuing with the | :49:58. | :50:01. | |
successful energy policy which is seeing cheaper energy and lower | :50:02. | :50:04. | |
carbon at the same time. The strength of the Hinkley deal is | :50:05. | :50:07. | |
there is no payment unless this power station goes ahead and is | :50:08. | :50:11. | |
built efficiently by EDF and I think that will be good for our energy | :50:12. | :50:17. | |
supplies because if you want to have energy at low-cost and low-carbon, | :50:18. | :50:20. | |
you need to have strong nuclear energy at the heart of your system. | :50:21. | :50:32. | |
Thank you, Mr Speaker. Research UK situated in my constituency is the | :50:33. | :50:41. | |
world's first charity to acle anti-my robial resistance. Would the | :50:42. | :50:44. | |
Prime Minister agree to meet with me to see how we can fund their vital | :50:45. | :50:49. | |
research so that this time, it is not the Americans that save the | :50:50. | :50:54. | |
world, but the British? I am happy to meet with my honourable friend. | :50:55. | :50:59. | |
He is right to raise this issue, because of the resistance to | :51:00. | :51:04. | |
antibiotics and antibiotics aren't working, we do face a genuine | :51:05. | :51:09. | |
medical emergency around the world. That is why Britain must put this | :51:10. | :51:13. | |
issue squarely on the agenda of the G20, why it was a large part of our | :51:14. | :51:16. | |
discussions with the Chinese when they made the State visit last year | :51:17. | :51:22. | |
and why we are investing ?50 million in an innovation fund working with | :51:23. | :51:25. | |
the Chinese Government to take this forward and I hope the organisation | :51:26. | :51:28. | |
in his constituency can benefit from solicitor of the research. | :51:29. | :51:32. | |
Mr Speaker, the Prime Minister will know his Home Secretary is once | :51:33. | :51:37. | |
again trying to deport Afghan interpreters seeking sanctuary in | :51:38. | :51:40. | |
the United Kingdom. These brave people risked their lives, serving | :51:41. | :51:44. | |
our armed forces, yet they now face being sent back for mercy of the | :51:45. | :51:49. | |
Taliban and to join hundreds of thousands of people rotting in | :51:50. | :51:52. | |
refugee camps. Is this how Britain should we pay those who put their | :51:53. | :51:56. | |
lives on the line for us? Will he do the right thing and do whatever | :51:57. | :52:01. | |
possible to ensure they are offered safe haven here? Well, what we did | :52:02. | :52:05. | |
in the last Government in which his party played a role was that we | :52:06. | :52:11. | |
agreed a set of conditions for Afghan interpreters to be able to | :52:12. | :52:16. | |
come to the UK and be given sanctuary, but we provided for a | :52:17. | :52:20. | |
scheme so those who wanted to stay and help rebuild their country were | :52:21. | :52:24. | |
able to do so and I would defend that scheme even if his party | :52:25. | :52:30. | |
changed its mind. Thank you, Mr Speaker. My | :52:31. | :52:35. | |
constituent Deborah Read and her sister watched her mother waste away | :52:36. | :52:41. | |
in hospital after a fall. Last week my Right Honourable friend the | :52:42. | :52:44. | |
Health Secretary host add global summit on patient safety and | :52:45. | :52:48. | |
announced the creation of the new healthcare safety investigation | :52:49. | :52:51. | |
branch. What more can the Government do to ensure patient safety is at | :52:52. | :52:55. | |
the heart of the NHS and prevent such instances occurring in the | :52:56. | :52:58. | |
future? I think my honourable friend is | :52:59. | :53:03. | |
right to raise cases like this and obviously they are horrendous when | :53:04. | :53:06. | |
they take place and they should be properly investigated. We need to | :53:07. | :53:09. | |
learn the lessons from them. We have made some progress, the proportion | :53:10. | :53:12. | |
of patients being harmed in the NHS has dropped by over a third in the | :53:13. | :53:18. | |
last two years and MRSA, blood stream infections have fallen by | :53:19. | :53:22. | |
over half in the last five years. The Health Secretary is right to | :53:23. | :53:28. | |
hold this conference and to examine what other industries and practises | :53:29. | :53:33. | |
have done in order to have a 100%, you know, zero accident safety | :53:34. | :53:36. | |
culture. We have seen this in other walks of life and it is time we | :53:37. | :53:40. | |
aplayed it to the NHS. Thank you, Mr Speaker. Just eight | :53:41. | :53:47. | |
days ago, Oliver Tetlo popped to the shops and he was brutally shot dead. | :53:48. | :53:51. | |
The community are shocked and saddened by this murder of an | :53:52. | :53:55. | |
innocent young man. They have asked for more community local policing | :53:56. | :53:59. | |
and more youth engagement. Will the Prime Minister meet with me and some | :54:00. | :54:02. | |
community champions to discuss how we can make our streets safer? | :54:03. | :54:07. | |
The honourable lady raises a very important point and what we have | :54:08. | :54:11. | |
seen in London, is actually a reduction in gun crime. It is a | :54:12. | :54:15. | |
tragic case she refers to and our hearts go out to the family of the | :54:16. | :54:18. | |
person that she talks about. But we have seen a reduction. We have seen | :54:19. | :54:22. | |
more active policing in our communities, better intelligence | :54:23. | :54:24. | |
policing in terms of dealing with gun crimes and we must keep that up | :54:25. | :54:27. | |
and I will certainly arrange whatever meeting I think is best to | :54:28. | :54:31. | |
ensure the voices she mentioned are listened to. | :54:32. | :54:37. | |
Thank you, Mr Speaker. As my Right Honourable friend will be aware, | :54:38. | :54:42. | |
highways England are consulting on a new lower Thames crossing with their | :54:43. | :54:47. | |
preferred option being option C which will divert 14% of traffic | :54:48. | :54:51. | |
away from the existing the Dartford Crossing. Before spending billions | :54:52. | :54:54. | |
on the new crossing, we should sort out the problem at the existing | :54:55. | :54:58. | |
crossing? Not only helping a greater number of motorists, but to improve | :54:59. | :55:04. | |
illegal levels of poor air quality, and restore resilience to the M25 | :55:05. | :55:07. | |
motorway network and will he meet with me to discuss these matters | :55:08. | :55:13. | |
further? We need to tackle congestion and air | :55:14. | :55:17. | |
quality and actually stationary traffic is more polluting than | :55:18. | :55:22. | |
moving traffic so sorting out the problems at the existing the | :55:23. | :55:25. | |
Dartford Crossing is important, but we have got to look at the options | :55:26. | :55:29. | |
for a new crossing. Two locations are on the table as a result of | :55:30. | :55:33. | |
early detailed work and these are the best available ogsesment | :55:34. | :55:38. | |
highways England looked in detail at both locations in terms of their | :55:39. | :55:41. | |
look forward to seeing what they look forward to seeing what they | :55:42. | :55:44. | |
recommend and when they do, I hope we can make progress. We need the | :55:45. | :55:52. | |
traffic to be flowing smoothly. On reflection, was it wise of the | :55:53. | :55:56. | |
chancellor to bank on the theory of a ?27 billion windfall when it has | :55:57. | :56:00. | |
only vanished in the space of the last three months? | :56:01. | :56:03. | |
We will be hearing a lot from the Chancellor in a minute or two, but | :56:04. | :56:08. | |
what would I would say we have got an economy which is fundamentally | :56:09. | :56:12. | |
strong, facing a very difficult set of world circumstances, but here in | :56:13. | :56:16. | |
Britain, when you look at it, unemployment at 5%, inflation at | :56:17. | :56:21. | |
virtually 0%, the unemployment figures today showing unemployment | :56:22. | :56:24. | |
falling again and wages growing at 2%. That is a better record than | :56:25. | :56:29. | |
most other countries in the developed world can boast and a lot | :56:30. | :56:33. | |
is down to the very clear plan set out by my Right Honourable friend | :56:34. | :56:40. | |
and followed these last six years. Last week was English tourism week | :56:41. | :56:44. | |
and I was delighted to welcome an international deggation to the Eden | :56:45. | :56:50. | |
Project to promote Cornwall as a destination for international | :56:51. | :56:52. | |
tourists, visitor numbers are up in Cornwall, but there is still more we | :56:53. | :56:57. | |
can do to attract overseas visitors out of London and into our country. | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
Can I ask the Prime Minister what more the Government can do to | :57:02. | :57:05. | |
promote the tourist and to get more overseas visitors to come to | :57:06. | :57:08. | |
Cornwall? There is, as far as I'm concerned, nothing finer than | :57:09. | :57:11. | |
getting out of London and getting down to Cornwall and no better place | :57:12. | :57:15. | |
than the beach when the sun is setting and the waves are big! And | :57:16. | :57:24. | |
my phone is working! He is right, and the Daily Mail photographer has | :57:25. | :57:28. | |
gone home too. That is helps! But what we need to do get people who | :57:29. | :57:33. | |
come to our country, to spend sometime outside London and that is | :57:34. | :57:37. | |
what some of the new schemes we have announced like for instance, the ?40 | :57:38. | :57:41. | |
million Discover England fund are all about and I would urge the | :57:42. | :57:44. | |
authorities in Cornwall to make the most of it. | :57:45. | :57:51. | |
Mr Speaker, in 2014, we exported ?12.8 billion worth of food | :57:52. | :57:55. | |
products. With 73% of that total going to other European States. No | :57:56. | :58:02. | |
wonder that 71% of Food and Drink Federation members want us to avoid | :58:03. | :58:06. | |
Brexit. Does the Prime Minister think that our prospects of | :58:07. | :58:11. | |
improving further the export profile of food manufacturing will be | :58:12. | :58:15. | |
strengthened by staying in the European Union? | :58:16. | :58:20. | |
Well, I think the view from food manufacturers and indeed, from | :58:21. | :58:24. | |
farmers and from the wider business community.81% of whom yesterday said | :58:25. | :58:28. | |
they wanted to stay in a reform Europe I think is very clear and the | :58:29. | :58:33. | |
arguments on food are clearment our farmers produce some of the cleanest | :58:34. | :58:35. | |
and best food anywhere in the world and they know they have access to a | :58:36. | :58:40. | |
market of 500 million consumers without tariffs, without quotas and | :58:41. | :58:43. | |
without any problems and we shouldn't put that at risk. And when | :58:44. | :58:47. | |
we look at some of the alternatives to being a part of the single | :58:48. | :58:52. | |
market, for instance, a Canadian-style free trade deal we | :58:53. | :58:54. | |
can see there are restrictions for instance quotas on beef and I don't | :58:55. | :58:57. | |
want to see that applying to British farmers who have got so much to be | :58:58. | :58:59. | |
proud of. Does my Right Honourable friend | :59:00. | :59:15. | |
agree that having an inspirational mentor can provide young people with | :59:16. | :59:20. | |
the opportunities they would never have benefited from before? Can he | :59:21. | :59:27. | |
tell me how the ?14 million that the Government will be putting into a | :59:28. | :59:31. | |
new national mentoring scheme will be able to benefit some of the most | :59:32. | :59:34. | |
disadvantaged children in our society? | :59:35. | :59:40. | |
I agree with my Right Honourable friend. One of the most important | :59:41. | :59:43. | |
things that our schools can look to do in the future is to encourage, | :59:44. | :59:48. | |
mentors from business, from the public sector, from charities, into | :59:49. | :59:51. | |
their schools to give that extra one on one help that young people so | :59:52. | :59:57. | |
benefit from. I was at an academy in Southwark yesterday to see how well | :59:58. | :00:00. | |
that is going, where every child studying GCSEs who wants a mentor, | :00:01. | :00:04. | |
can get them and I think it makes a huge difference to those children's | :00:05. | :00:08. | |
life chances. The ?14 million we're putting in should allow an extra | :00:09. | :00:12. | |
25,000 of the most disadvantaged people in our country have a mentor | :00:13. | :00:15. | |
and I would urge all schools to look at this. I think there are so many | :00:16. | :00:19. | |
people in business, in the public sector, in charities, would love to | :00:20. | :00:22. | |
take part in this and help young people achieve their potential. | :00:23. | :00:27. | |
The Prime Minister likes to suggest he's a champion of localism but | :00:28. | :00:32. | |
today his Government is seeking to guide local communities with a crass | :00:33. | :00:37. | |
forced academies policy that stamps out local consultation and dissent. | :00:38. | :00:40. | |
Can he explain to the vast majority of parents and residents in Brighton | :00:41. | :00:46. | |
and Hove Albion recently rejected academy status for two local | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
schools, why it is that their views count for nothing in the future? I | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
would argue that academy schools are to devolution because you end up | :00:55. | :00:59. | |
with the parents, the governors, the head teacher having full control of | :01:00. | :01:03. | |
the school, able to make decisions about the future about school and at | :01:04. | :01:07. | |
that does not convince her, I would say look at the results. That you | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
look at primary sponsored academies you can see they have got better | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
records and are improving faster, if you look at the converter academy | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
schools, 88% rated good outstanding, to devolution on making sure every | :01:21. | :01:26. | |
headteacher is in charge of their school providing the great education | :01:27. | :01:34. | |
we want for our children. My constituents Jackie Woodcock has got | :01:35. | :01:39. | |
terminal breast cancer, she has shown outstanding courage in her | :01:40. | :01:42. | |
fight against the disease but unfortunately she did not get the | :01:43. | :01:45. | |
support or compassion of her employer who wanted to dismiss it | :01:46. | :01:49. | |
through capability procedures. Now her former partner is trying to get | :01:50. | :01:56. | |
the House they own repossessed, leaving her homeless, whilst dying. | :01:57. | :01:59. | |
With the Prime Minister Erdogan with me that we require better protection | :02:00. | :02:04. | |
for working people who are diagnosed with a terminal illness and will you | :02:05. | :02:08. | |
join with me and Jackie in supporting the changes as outlined | :02:09. | :02:13. | |
in the TUC's dying to work campaign? I think the point is my honourable | :02:14. | :02:17. | |
friend makes is right, and I will look carefully at the case she | :02:18. | :02:20. | |
raises full from the truth is, in all of these things, as well as | :02:21. | :02:26. | |
having clear rules, we also need organisations, employers, housing | :02:27. | :02:30. | |
associations, landlords, indeed trade unions, to act with genuine | :02:31. | :02:34. | |
compassion, and to think of the human being at the other end of the | :02:35. | :02:40. | |
telephone. Order. Prime Minister's Questions comes to an end and as a | :02:41. | :02:44. | |
traditional on Budget Day, the senior Deputy Speaker takes the | :02:45. | :02:49. | |
chair, the chairman of ways and Means, the old Parliamentary | :02:50. | :02:52. | |
committee which traditionally scrutinised financial measures and | :02:53. | :02:55. | |
they're getting ready now and for the Budget statement by the | :02:56. | :02:58. | |
Chancellor, George Osborne. Let's join proceedings. Order, before I | :02:59. | :03:04. | |
call the Chancellor of the Exchequer, I remind Honourable | :03:05. | :03:06. | |
members copies of the Budget resolutions will be available to | :03:07. | :03:10. | |
them in the office at the end of the Chancellor's speech. It also remind | :03:11. | :03:16. | |
Honourable members not it is not the norm to intervene on the Chancellor | :03:17. | :03:20. | |
of the Exchequer or the Leader of the Opposition. I now call the right | :03:21. | :03:23. | |
Honourable George Osborne, Chancellor of the Exchequer. | :03:24. | :03:31. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, today I report on an economy set to grow faster than | :03:32. | :03:38. | |
any other major advanced economy in the world. I report on a labour | :03:39. | :03:45. | |
market delivering the highest employment in our history. And I | :03:46. | :03:49. | |
report on a deficit down by two thirds, falling each year, and I can | :03:50. | :03:55. | |
confirm today on course for a Budget surplus. The British economy is | :03:56. | :04:03. | |
stronger because we confronted our country's problems and took the | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
difficult decisions. The British economy is growing because we didn't | :04:08. | :04:14. | |
seek short-term fixes, but pursued a long-term economic plan. The British | :04:15. | :04:21. | |
economy is resilient because whatever the challenge, however | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
strong the headwinds, we have held to the course we set out. I must | :04:25. | :04:28. | |
tell the House that we face such a challenge now. Financial markets are | :04:29. | :04:34. | |
turbulent, productivity growth across the West is too low, and the | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
outlook for the global economy is weak, it makes for a dangerous | :04:40. | :04:43. | |
cocktail of risks, but one that Britain is well prepared to handle | :04:44. | :04:51. | |
if we act now so we don't pay later. Mr Deputy Speaker, Britain has | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
learnt to its cost what happens when you base your economic policy on the | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
assumption you have abolished boom and bust. Britain is not immune to | :04:59. | :05:04. | |
slowdowns and shocks and nor is the nation powerless, we have a choice. | :05:05. | :05:11. | |
We can choose to add to the risk and uncertainty or choose to be a force | :05:12. | :05:14. | |
of stability, in this Budget we choose to put stability first. | :05:15. | :05:21. | |
Britain can choose, as others are, short-term fixes and more stimulus | :05:22. | :05:26. | |
or lead the world with long-term solutions, for long-term problems. | :05:27. | :05:31. | |
In this Budget, we choose the long term, we choose to put the | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
next-generation first. We choose, as Conservatives should always choose, | :05:37. | :05:39. | |
sound public finances to deliver security. Lower taxes on his knees | :05:40. | :05:47. | |
and enterprise, to create jobs, reform, improve schools, investment | :05:48. | :05:50. | |
to build homes and infrastructure because we know that's the only way | :05:51. | :05:55. | |
to deliver real opportunity and social mobility. And, as | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
Conservatives, the best way we can help working people is to help them | :06:01. | :06:04. | |
to save and let them keep more of the money they earn. Now that is the | :06:05. | :06:10. | |
path we followed over the past five years and it's given us one of the | :06:11. | :06:13. | |
strongest economies in the world. And that is the path we will follow | :06:14. | :06:18. | |
in the years ahead, in this Budget we will redouble our efforts to make | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
Britain fit for the future. Mr Deputy Speaker, let me turn to the | :06:24. | :06:27. | |
economic forecasts. I want to thank Robert choke and the Office for | :06:28. | :06:32. | |
Budget Responsibility to make sure they have available to them the best | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
statistics in the world, I'm accepting all of the recommendations | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
of Sir Charlie Bean's excellent rapport and I want to take this | :06:42. | :06:46. | |
moment to thank another great public servant, Sir Nicholas Macpherson, | :06:47. | :06:49. | |
who has served as Permanent Secretary to the Treasury for ten | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
years under three very different Chancellor's and, throughout Commies | :06:54. | :06:57. | |
always demonstrated the great British civil service values of | :06:58. | :07:01. | |
integrity and impartiality. He is here today to watch the last of 34 | :07:02. | :07:07. | |
Budget he's worked on and on behalf of the House and the dedicated | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
Treasury I thank him for his service. The OBR tell us today in | :07:12. | :07:19. | |
every year the forecast our economy grows and so too does our | :07:20. | :07:22. | |
productivity. But they have revised down growth in the world economy and | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
in world trade full in their words, the outlook is materially weaker. | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
They point to the turbulence in financial markets, slower growth in | :07:33. | :07:36. | |
emerging economies like China, and a weak growth across the developed | :07:37. | :07:41. | |
world. Around the globe, they note that monetary policy, instead of | :07:42. | :07:44. | |
normalising this year as expected, has been loosened, we've seen the | :07:45. | :07:51. | |
bank of Japan join Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland and the European Central | :07:52. | :07:54. | |
Bank with unprecedented negative interest rates, the OBR also note | :07:55. | :07:59. | |
this reflects concerns across the West about low productivity growth. | :08:00. | :08:04. | |
The secretary-general of the OECD said last month productivity growth | :08:05. | :08:09. | |
has been decelerating in a vast majority of countries and, as a | :08:10. | :08:13. | |
result, the most significant change, the OBR has made since the November | :08:14. | :08:18. | |
forecast, it is their decision to revise down potential UK | :08:19. | :08:22. | |
productivity growth. The had thought that what they described as the drag | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
from the financial crisis on our productivity would have eased by | :08:28. | :08:31. | |
now, but the latest status shows it does not. The OBR acknowledged today | :08:32. | :08:36. | |
that this revision is in their own words a highly uncertain judgment | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
call but I back than 100%. We saw under the last Labour Government | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
what happened when Chancellor revised upward trend growth rate, | :08:46. | :08:50. | |
spent money the country did not have, and left it to the next | :08:51. | :08:54. | |
generation to pick up the bill. I am not going to let that happen on my | :08:55. | :09:02. | |
watch. Now these days, thanks to the fact we have established independent | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
forecasts, our country is confronted with the truth as economic | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
challenges emerge and can act on them before it's too late. We fix | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
our plans to fit the figures, we don't fix the figures to fit the | :09:16. | :09:22. | |
plans. The IMF have warned us this month that the global economy is at | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
a delicate juncture and faces a growing risk of economic derailment. | :09:28. | :09:32. | |
Eight years ago, Britain was the worst prepared of any other major | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
economies for the crisis we then faced. Today, Britain is amongst the | :09:38. | :09:40. | |
best prepared for whatever challenges may lie ahead. And that | :09:41. | :09:45. | |
is what our long-term economic plan has all been about. When I became | :09:46. | :09:53. | |
Chancellor, we borrowed ?1 in every four we spent. Next day, it'll be ?1 | :09:54. | :09:58. | |
in every 14 that we spend. Our banks have doubled their capital ratios, | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
we have doubled our foreign exchange reserves, and we have a clear | :10:04. | :10:08. | |
consistent and accountable monetary policy framework around the world. | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
The hard work of fixing our economy is paying off. In 2014, we were the | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
fastest major growing advanced economy in the world. In 2015, we | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
were ahead of everyone that America. So let me give the OBR's latest | :10:25. | :10:30. | |
forecast for economic growth in the face of the new assessment | :10:31. | :10:33. | |
productivity and a slowing global economy. Last year, GDP grew by | :10:34. | :10:40. | |
2.2%. The OBR now forecast it will grow by 2% this year and then 2.2% | :10:41. | :10:48. | |
again in 2017 and then 2.1% in each of the three years after that. The | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
House will want to know how this compares to other countries. I can | :10:54. | :11:01. | |
confirm that in these turbulent times, the latest international | :11:02. | :11:03. | |
forecast expects Britain to grow faster this year than any other | :11:04. | :11:12. | |
major advanced economy in the world. Mr Deputy Speaker, the OBR are | :11:13. | :11:20. | |
explicit today that their forecasts are predicated on Britain remaining | :11:21. | :11:26. | |
in the European Union. Over the next... Over the next few months | :11:27. | :11:34. | |
this country is going to debate the merits of leaving all remaining in | :11:35. | :11:38. | |
the European Union. I have many colleagues who I respect greatly on | :11:39. | :11:44. | |
both sides of the argument. The OBR correctly state out of the political | :11:45. | :11:48. | |
debate and they do not assess the long-term costs and benefits of EU | :11:49. | :11:53. | |
membership but they do say this and I quote them directly, "A voter to | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
leave in the forthcoming referendum could usher in an extended period of | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
uncertainty regarding the precise terms of the UK's future | :12:04. | :12:06. | |
relationship with the EU." They go on to say, "This club have negative | :12:07. | :12:12. | |
implications for activity by business and consumer confidence and | :12:13. | :12:16. | |
might result in greater volatility in financial and other asset | :12:17. | :12:20. | |
markets." They cite a number of external reports, the OBR say this, | :12:21. | :12:26. | |
"There appears to be a greater consensus that a vote to leave would | :12:27. | :12:31. | |
result in a period potentially disruptive uncertainty while the | :12:32. | :12:35. | |
precise details of the UK's new relationship with the EU were | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
negotiated." The House knows my view, Britain will be stronger, | :12:41. | :12:44. | |
safer and better off in the side a reformed European Union. I believe | :12:45. | :12:50. | |
it should not put at risk all the hard work the British people have | :12:51. | :12:52. | |
done to make our economy strong again. Mr Deputy Speaker... Order. | :12:53. | :13:05. | |
Let's be honest, we all want to hear what the Chancellor has got to say. | :13:06. | :13:08. | |
Some people may agree and some people may disagree, but I want to | :13:09. | :13:13. | |
hear him. The electorate want to hear him. This country wants to hear | :13:14. | :13:20. | |
him. Chancellor. Let me turn to the OBR forecast for the labour market. | :13:21. | :13:22. | |
Since the Autumn Statement four months ago, we've created over 150 | :13:23. | :13:33. | |
more jobs than the OBR expected -- 150,000 jobs extra families with the | :13:34. | :13:39. | |
security of work, 150,000 reasons to support a la long-term economic | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
plan. This morning, unemployment fell again. It reached the highest | :13:45. | :13:49. | |
level ever and the data confirmed we have the lowest proportion of people | :13:50. | :13:56. | |
claiming out of work benefits since November 1974. The OBR are | :13:57. | :14:02. | |
forecasting 1 million more jobs over this Parliament, and we remember | :14:03. | :14:09. | |
what our political opponents said in the last parliament. They claimed 1 | :14:10. | :14:15. | |
million jobs would be lost. Instead, 2 million were created. And when the | :14:16. | :14:19. | |
jobs started coming, we were told they would be low skilled. But | :14:20. | :14:24. | |
today, we know almost 90% of new jobs are instilled occupations that | :14:25. | :14:30. | |
in skilled occupations. Jobs we were told were going to part-time but | :14:31. | :14:34. | |
three quarters are full-time, Weaver told jobs would all be in London but | :14:35. | :14:39. | |
the unemployment rate is falling fastest in the north-east, youth | :14:40. | :14:42. | |
unemployment is falling fast in the West Midlands can't employment is | :14:43. | :14:47. | |
going fastest in the north-west. In today's forecast real wages continue | :14:48. | :14:51. | |
to grow and inflation in each and every | :14:52. | :14:56. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, the OBR forecasts lower inflation, 0.7% this year and | :14:57. | :15:05. | |
1.6% next year. I am today confirming in a letter to the | :15:06. | :15:08. | |
governor of the Bank of England that the remit for the Monetary Policy | :15:09. | :15:13. | |
Committee remains the se meet trick CPI inflation target of 2%. I'm also | :15:14. | :15:18. | |
publishing the new remit for the financial policy committee, the body | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
we created to keep an eye on emerging long-term risks in our | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
financial system, I'm asking them to be particularly vigilant in the face | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
of current market turbulence because in this Budget, we act now, so we | :15:31. | :15:34. | |
don't pay later. Mr Deputy Speaker, that brings me to | :15:35. | :15:39. | |
our approach to public spending and the OBR forecasts for our public | :15:40. | :15:43. | |
finances. In every year since 2010, I have been told by the opposition | :15:44. | :15:48. | |
that now is not the right time to cut Government spending. When the | :15:49. | :15:51. | |
economy is growing, I'm told, we can afford to spend more. When the | :15:52. | :15:55. | |
economy isn't growing I'm told we can't afford not to. Today I'm | :15:56. | :15:59. | |
publishing new analysis that shows that if we hadn't taken the action | :16:00. | :16:05. | |
we did in 2010 and listened to our opponents, then borrowing would have | :16:06. | :16:11. | |
been ?930 billion more by the end of the decade than it is now forecast | :16:12. | :16:15. | |
today. If we had taken their advice, | :16:16. | :16:21. | |
Britain would not have been one of the best economies for the current | :16:22. | :16:24. | |
global uncertainties, we would have been one of the worst prepared. Now, | :16:25. | :16:31. | |
the very same people are saying to us, we should spend more again. | :16:32. | :16:39. | |
I reject that dangerous advice. The security of families and businesses | :16:40. | :16:42. | |
depends on Britain living within its means. Last autumn's Spending Review | :16:43. | :16:49. | |
delivers a reduction in Government consumption that is judged by the | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
OBR to be the most sustained under taken in the last 100 years of | :16:54. | :16:58. | |
British history barring the periods of demobilisation after the first | :16:59. | :17:03. | |
and Second World Wars, my spending plans in the last Parliament reduce | :17:04. | :17:09. | |
the share of income from the 45% we inherited to 40% today. My spending | :17:10. | :17:13. | |
plans in this Parliament will see it fall to 36.9% by the end of this | :17:14. | :17:18. | |
decade. In other words, the country will be spending no more than the | :17:19. | :17:24. | |
country raises in taxes. We are achieving this while at the same | :17:25. | :17:28. | |
time increasing resources for our NHS and schools, building new | :17:29. | :17:32. | |
infrastructure, and increasing our security at home and abroad. The OBR | :17:33. | :17:38. | |
now tells us that the world has become more uncertain so we have two | :17:39. | :17:41. | |
option. We can ignore the latest information and spend more than the | :17:42. | :17:45. | |
one can afford, that's precisely the mistake that was made a decade ago, | :17:46. | :17:51. | |
or we can live in the world as it is and cut our cloth accordingly. I say | :17:52. | :17:57. | |
we act now, so we don't pay later. I'm asking the Chief Secretary and | :17:58. | :18:01. | |
the Paymaster General to undertake a further drive for efficiency and | :18:02. | :18:05. | |
value for money. The aim is to save a further ?3.5 billion in the year | :18:06. | :18:12. | |
2019 ssh 20 and less than 0.5% of Government spending in four years | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
time, that is more than achievable while maintaining the protebss we | :18:18. | :18:19. | |
have set out. At the same time we will continue to deliver sensible | :18:20. | :18:22. | |
reforms to keep Britain living within its means. On welfare, last | :18:23. | :18:27. | |
week, the Secretary of State for Work and pensions set out changes | :18:28. | :18:32. | |
that will ensure that within the rising disability budget support is | :18:33. | :18:36. | |
better targeted at those who need it most. Let me confirm, that this | :18:37. | :18:40. | |
means the disability budget will rise by more than ?1 billion, we | :18:41. | :18:49. | |
will be spending more in real terms supporting disabled people than at | :18:50. | :18:52. | |
any point under the last Labour Government. On international aid, I | :18:53. | :18:57. | |
am proud to be part of the Government that was the first to | :18:58. | :19:04. | |
honour Britain's commitment to spend 0.7% of Britain's income on | :19:05. | :19:06. | |
development. We won't spend more than that, the budget will be | :19:07. | :19:13. | |
readjusted saving ?650 million in 2019/20. We will keep public sector | :19:14. | :19:17. | |
pensions sustainable. We reformed them in the last Parliament which | :19:18. | :19:21. | |
will save over ?400 billion in the long-term. To ensure those pensions | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
remain sustainable, we've carried out the regular revaluation of the | :19:27. | :19:32. | |
discount rate and the public sector employer contributions will rise as | :19:33. | :19:35. | |
a result. This will not affect anyone's pension and will be | :19:36. | :19:38. | |
affordable within spending plans that are benefiting from the fiscal | :19:39. | :19:44. | |
windfall of lower inflation. Each of these decisions are a demonstration | :19:45. | :19:48. | |
of our determinedation that the British economy will stay on course | :19:49. | :19:53. | |
and we will not burden our children and grandchildren. This is a Budget | :19:54. | :20:00. | |
for the next generation. Mr Deputy Speaker, let me give the OBR's | :20:01. | :20:04. | |
forecasts for the debt and the deficit. The combination of our | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
action to reduce borrowing this year along with the revisions to our | :20:09. | :20:14. | |
nominal GDP driven by lower inflation produced this por | :20:15. | :20:17. | |
docksical result, the national debt is lower than it was forecast to be | :20:18. | :20:22. | |
in the autumn. But so too is the nominal size of our economy. We | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
measure the fiscal target against debt to GDP. So while debt as a | :20:27. | :20:31. | |
percentage of GDP is above target and set to be higher in 2015/16 than | :20:32. | :20:37. | |
the year before compared to the forecast, the actual level of our | :20:38. | :20:40. | |
national debt is in cash, ?9 billion lower. In the future, debt falls to | :20:41. | :20:52. | |
82.6% next year then.81.3% in 2017/18 and then 79.9% the year | :20:53. | :20:58. | |
after and in 2019/20, it falls again to 77.2% and down again the year | :20:59. | :21:04. | |
after to 74.7%. Let me turn to the forecasts for the deficit. When I | :21:05. | :21:09. | |
became chancellor, the deficit we inherited was forecast to reach | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
11.1% of national income. The highest level in the peace time | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
history of Britain. Thanks our sustained action, the | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
deficit is forecast to fall next year to just over a quarter of that | :21:25. | :21:33. | |
at 2.9%. In 2017/18, it falls to 1.9%. Then it falls again to 1% in | :21:34. | :21:41. | |
2018/19. In cash terms, in 2010, British borrowing was a totally | :21:42. | :21:46. | |
unsustainable ?150 billion a year. This year we are expected to borrow | :21:47. | :21:51. | |
less than half of that at ?72.2 billion. Indeed, our borrowing this | :21:52. | :21:56. | |
year is lower than the OBR forecast in the amount. Borrowing continues | :21:57. | :22:02. | |
to fall, but not by as much as before to ?55.5 billion next year, | :22:03. | :22:07. | |
?38.8 billion the year after that and ?21.4 billion in 2018/19. Now, I | :22:08. | :22:13. | |
know there has been concern that the challenging economic times mean we | :22:14. | :22:16. | |
would lose our surplus the following year and that would have been the | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
case if we had not taken further action today to control spending and | :22:21. | :22:26. | |
make savings. But because we have acted decisively, in 2019/20, | :22:27. | :22:31. | |
Britain is set to have a surplus of ?10.4 billion. | :22:32. | :22:36. | |
That surplus is set to rise to ?11 billion the year after, that's 0.5% | :22:37. | :22:41. | |
of GDP in both years. We said we would take the action necessary to | :22:42. | :22:45. | |
give Britain's families economic security. We said our country would | :22:46. | :22:50. | |
not repeat the mistakes of the past and instead live within our means. | :22:51. | :22:55. | |
Today, we maintain that commitment to long-term stability, in | :22:56. | :22:59. | |
challenging times, decisive action to achieve a ?10 billion surplus, we | :23:00. | :23:05. | |
act now so we don't pay later, we put the next generation first. | :23:06. | :23:14. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, in every Budget I've given, action against tax | :23:15. | :23:17. | |
avoidance and evasion has contributed to the repair of our | :23:18. | :23:21. | |
public finances and this Budget is no different. In the red book, we | :23:22. | :23:28. | |
set out in detail the action we will take to shutdown, disguised renone | :23:29. | :23:32. | |
ration schemes, to ensure the UK tax will be paid on UK property | :23:33. | :23:37. | |
development. We changed the treatment of free plays for remote | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
gaming providers, we limit capital tax treatments and cap exempt gains | :23:43. | :23:47. | |
in the employee shareholder status, public sector organisations will | :23:48. | :23:51. | |
have a new duty to ensure those working for them pay the correct tax | :23:52. | :23:55. | |
rather than giving a tax advantage to those who choose to contract | :23:56. | :23:59. | |
their work through personal service companies. Loans to participators | :24:00. | :24:06. | |
will be taxed at 32.5%, to prevent tax avoidance and we will tighten | :24:07. | :24:09. | |
rules around the use of termination payments. Termination payments over | :24:10. | :24:16. | |
?30,000 are already subject to income tax from 2018 they will | :24:17. | :24:21. | |
attract employer national insurance. Taken together, the further steps in | :24:22. | :24:26. | |
this Budget to stop tax evasion and prevent tax avoidance and tackle | :24:27. | :24:30. | |
imbalances in the system will raise ?12 billion for our country over | :24:31. | :24:35. | |
this Parliament. The party opposite talked about social justice, but | :24:36. | :24:40. | |
left enormous loopholes in our tax system for the very richest to | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
exploit. While the independent statistics confirm that under this | :24:46. | :24:49. | |
Prime Minister, child poverty is down. Pensioner poverty is down. | :24:50. | :24:55. | |
Inequality is down. And the gender pay gap has never been smaller. | :24:56. | :25:02. | |
The distributional analysis published today shows that the | :25:03. | :25:05. | |
proportion of welfare and public services going to the poorest has | :25:06. | :25:10. | |
been protected and I can report that the latest figures confirm the | :25:11. | :25:17. | |
richest 1% paid 28% of all income tax revenue, a higher proportion | :25:18. | :25:21. | |
than in any single year of the last Labour Government. | :25:22. | :25:26. | |
Proof that we are all in this together. | :25:27. | :25:31. | |
So... THE DEPUTY SPEAKER: It is strange | :25:32. | :25:36. | |
that we can't hear your own Chancellor of the Exchequer. I want | :25:37. | :25:40. | |
to hear, I'm sure you must do as well. The Chancellor of the | :25:41. | :25:44. | |
Exchequer. So Mr Deputy Speaker, I can report | :25:45. | :25:51. | |
solid steady growth, more jobs, lower inflation, and an economy on | :25:52. | :25:55. | |
course for a surplus, and all done in a fair way, a Britain prepared | :25:56. | :25:59. | |
for whatever the world throws at us because we've stuck to our long-term | :26:00. | :26:08. | |
economic plan. Mr Deputy Speaker, credible fiscal policy and affected | :26:09. | :26:12. | |
monetary policy has only ever been part of our plan, a crucial | :26:13. | :26:16. | |
ingredient has always been the lasting structural reforms needed to | :26:17. | :26:19. | |
make our economy fit for the future and with new risks on the horizon | :26:20. | :26:23. | |
and with all western countries looking for ways to increase living | :26:24. | :26:27. | |
standards, now is not the time to go easy on our structural reforms. It | :26:28. | :26:32. | |
is time to redouble our efforts. My Budget's last year delivered key | :26:33. | :26:38. | |
improvements to productivity, by the apprenticeship levy, lower | :26:39. | :26:40. | |
corporation tax and the national Living Wage. My Budget this year | :26:41. | :26:46. | |
sets out these further bold steps we need to take. One, fundamental | :26:47. | :26:53. | |
reform of the business tax system, loopholes closed, reliefs reduced, | :26:54. | :26:58. | |
but so too rates, a huge boost for small business and enterprise. Two, | :26:59. | :27:02. | |
a radical devolution of power so more of the responsibility and the | :27:03. | :27:06. | |
rewards of economic growth are in the hands of local communities. | :27:07. | :27:11. | |
Three, major new commitments to the national infrastructure projects of | :27:12. | :27:15. | |
the future. Four, confronting the obstacles that stand in the way of | :27:16. | :27:18. | |
important improvements to education and our children's future. And five, | :27:19. | :27:23. | |
backing people who work hard and save. In short, this Budget puts the | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
next generation first and I take each step in turn. Mr Deputy | :27:29. | :27:35. | |
Speaker, in the last Parliament, I cut corporation tax dramatically, | :27:36. | :27:38. | |
but I also introduced the diverted profits tax to catch those trying to | :27:39. | :27:41. | |
shift profits overseas. As a result, Britain went from one of the least | :27:42. | :27:46. | |
competitive business tax regimes to one of the most competitive and we | :27:47. | :27:50. | |
raised much more money for our public services. Today the financial | :27:51. | :27:53. | |
second and I are publishing a road map to make Britain's business tax | :27:54. | :27:57. | |
system fit for the future. It will deliver a low tax regime that will | :27:58. | :28:01. | |
attract the multinational businesses we want to see in Britain, but | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
ensure they pay taxes here too. Soing that never happened under a | :28:06. | :28:11. | |
Labour Government. And it will level the playing field which has been | :28:12. | :28:15. | |
tilted against small firms. The approach we take is guided by the | :28:16. | :28:21. | |
best practise set out by the OECD, work which Britain called for and | :28:22. | :28:24. | |
Britain paid and Britain will be among the very first to implement. | :28:25. | :28:33. | |
First, some multinationals over borrow in the UK. So from April next | :28:34. | :28:38. | |
year, we will restrict interest deductibility for the largest | :28:39. | :28:42. | |
companies at 30% of UK earnings while making sure firms whose | :28:43. | :28:46. | |
activities justify higher borrowing are protected with a group ratio | :28:47. | :28:55. | |
rule. Next, we are setting new hybrid mismatch rules which allow | :28:56. | :29:00. | |
some multinationals to avoid paying tax anywhere or to deduct the same | :29:01. | :29:06. | |
expenses in more than one country. Some firms shift money to tax havens | :29:07. | :29:10. | |
and lastly, we are going to modernise the way we treat losses. | :29:11. | :29:15. | |
We're going to allow firms to use losses more flexibly in a way that | :29:16. | :29:19. | |
will help over # 0,000 British companies -- 70,000 British | :29:20. | :29:22. | |
companies, but with the new flexibilities in place we will do | :29:23. | :29:25. | |
what other countries do and retrict the maximum amount of profits that | :29:26. | :29:29. | |
can be off set using past losses to 50%. This will only apply to the | :29:30. | :29:34. | |
less than 1% of firms making profits over ?5 million and the existing | :29:35. | :29:40. | |
rules for historic losses in the banking sector will be tightened to | :29:41. | :29:44. | |
25%. We will maintain our plans to align tax payment dates for the | :29:45. | :29:48. | |
largest companies more closely when profits are earned, but we will give | :29:49. | :29:52. | |
firms longer to adjust the changes which will come into effect in April | :29:53. | :29:53. | |
2019. year. All of these reforms to | :29:54. | :30:00. | |
corporation tax will reflect better the reality of the global economy. | :30:01. | :30:04. | |
And together, they will raise ?9 billion in extra revenue for the | :30:05. | :30:09. | |
Exchequer. That's our policy is not to raise taxes on business. Our | :30:10. | :30:12. | |
policy is to lower taxes on business. So everything we collect | :30:13. | :30:18. | |
from the largest firms who are trying to pay no tax will be used to | :30:19. | :30:22. | |
help millions of firms who pay their fair share of tax. I can confirm | :30:23. | :30:27. | |
today we are going to reduce the rate of corporation tax even | :30:28. | :30:32. | |
further. That's the rate of Britain's profit-making companies, | :30:33. | :30:35. | |
large and small, have to pay and all the evidence shows is one of the | :30:36. | :30:39. | |
most distorted and unproductive taxes mirrors. Corporation tax was | :30:40. | :30:44. | |
20% at the start of a last Parliament and we reduced it so it | :30:45. | :30:48. | |
is 20% at the start of this one. Last summer I cut it to 18% in the | :30:49. | :30:52. | |
coming years and today I'm going further. By April 2020, 17%. Britain | :30:53. | :30:58. | |
is blazing a trail and let the rest of the world catch up. Cut in | :30:59. | :31:05. | |
corporation tax is only part of our plan for the future. I also want to | :31:06. | :31:10. | |
address the great unfairness that many small businessmen and women | :31:11. | :31:13. | |
feel when they compete against companies on the Internet. EBay and | :31:14. | :31:20. | |
Amazon have provided an incredible platform for many new small British | :31:21. | :31:23. | |
start-ups to reach large numbers of customers but there's been a big | :31:24. | :31:27. | |
rise in overseas suppliers storing goods in Britain and selling them | :31:28. | :31:33. | |
online without paying VAT. It unfairly undercut British businesses | :31:34. | :31:36. | |
on the Internet and on the high Street and today I can announce we | :31:37. | :31:40. | |
are taking action to stop it. That's the first thing we will do to help | :31:41. | :31:46. | |
small firms. Second, we will help the micro-entrepreneurs who sells | :31:47. | :31:50. | |
services online, rent out their homes through the Internet, taxes | :31:51. | :31:55. | |
should help these people so I'm helping to introduce two new | :31:56. | :31:59. | |
tax-free allowances worth ?1000 a year and for trading and property | :32:00. | :32:04. | |
income, no forms to fill in, no tax to pay, but tax break for the | :32:05. | :32:08. | |
digital age and at least half a million people will benefit. On top | :32:09. | :32:11. | |
of these measures comes the biggest tax cut for business in this Budget. | :32:12. | :32:16. | |
Business rates are the fixed costs that way down on many small | :32:17. | :32:21. | |
enterprises and at present small business rate relief is only | :32:22. | :32:24. | |
permanent available to firms at a value of less than ?6,000 and in the | :32:25. | :32:29. | |
past I'd been able to double it for one year only but today I'm more | :32:30. | :32:33. | |
than doubling its and more than doubling its permanently. The new | :32:34. | :32:39. | |
threshold for small business rate relief will raise from ?6,000 to a | :32:40. | :32:45. | |
maximum threshold of ?15,000 and I'm also going to raise the threshold | :32:46. | :32:50. | |
for the high rates from ?18,000 to ?51,000. Let me explain what this | :32:51. | :32:56. | |
means. From April next year, 600,000 small businesses will pay no | :32:57. | :33:03. | |
business rates at all. That's an annual saving for them of up to | :33:04. | :33:08. | |
nearly ?6,000 for ever. A further quarter of a million businesses will | :33:09. | :33:13. | |
see their rates cut. In total, half of all British properties will see | :33:14. | :33:16. | |
their business rates fall or be abolished altogether. And to support | :33:17. | :33:22. | |
all ratepayers, including larger stores who face tough competition, | :33:23. | :33:27. | |
and employs lemony people, we will simplify the administration business | :33:28. | :33:32. | |
rates and from 2020, switch the rating from the higher RPI to a | :33:33. | :33:38. | |
lower CPI, a permanent long-term savings for all businesses in | :33:39. | :33:42. | |
Britain, a typical corner shop in Barnstable will pay no business | :33:43. | :33:45. | |
rates, a typical hairdresser in Leeds will pay no business rates, a | :33:46. | :33:49. | |
typical newsagent in Nuneaton will pay no business rates. This is a | :33:50. | :33:57. | |
Budget which gets rid of loopholes for multinationals, and gets rid of | :33:58. | :34:02. | |
tax for small businesses, a ?7 billion tax cut for the nation of | :34:03. | :34:06. | |
shopkeepers, which says to the world we are open for business, this is a | :34:07. | :34:11. | |
Conservative Government which is on your side. Mr Deputy Speaker just | :34:12. | :34:25. | |
over a year ago I reformed residential stamp duty. We moved | :34:26. | :34:31. | |
from a distorted slab system to a much simpler slice system and 98% of | :34:32. | :34:37. | |
home-buyers are now paying the same or less and revenues from the | :34:38. | :34:40. | |
expensive properties of rhythm. The IMF welcomed the changes and | :34:41. | :34:43. | |
suggests we do the same to commercial property so that's what | :34:44. | :34:48. | |
we're going to do and that helps our small firms. At the moment the small | :34:49. | :34:53. | |
firm can pay just ?1 more for a property and face a tax bill three | :34:54. | :34:59. | |
times as large. That makes no sense. From now on, commercial stamp duty | :35:00. | :35:04. | |
will have a zero rate band on purchases up to ?150,000, a 2% rate | :35:05. | :35:11. | |
on the next ?100,000 and 5% top rate above ?250,000 and there will also | :35:12. | :35:15. | |
be a 2% rate for those high-value leases with a net present value | :35:16. | :35:19. | |
above minimum pounds. This new regime comes into effect from | :35:20. | :35:28. | |
midnight tonight. -- ?5 million. These reforms raise ?500 million a | :35:29. | :35:34. | |
year. While 9% will pay more, over 90% will see their tax bills cut or | :35:35. | :35:38. | |
stay the same. For example, if you buy a pub in the Midlands worth | :35:39. | :35:45. | |
?270,000, you would today pay ?8,000 stamp duty. From tomorrow, you will | :35:46. | :35:50. | |
pay just ?3000 stamp duty. It's a big tax cut for small firms, all in | :35:51. | :35:58. | |
a Budget which backs small business. Businesses also want a simpler tax | :35:59. | :36:04. | |
system. I've asked Angela at the office for tax and have occasion to | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
look at what we can do to make the system work better for small firms | :36:09. | :36:11. | |
and I'm funding a dramatic improvement in the service HMRC | :36:12. | :36:15. | |
offers them. Many retailers have complained bitterly to me about the | :36:16. | :36:19. | |
complexity of the Carbon reduction commitment. It's not a commitment | :36:20. | :36:24. | |
but tax, so I can tell the House were not going to reform it but I | :36:25. | :36:27. | |
decided to abolish it altogether. And to make good the lost revenue, | :36:28. | :36:32. | |
the Climate Change Levy will rise from 2019, the most energy intensive | :36:33. | :36:36. | |
industries like steel remain completely protected and I'm | :36:37. | :36:38. | |
extending the climate change agreement would help many others. | :36:39. | :36:43. | |
The energy secretary and I are announcing ?730 million a further | :36:44. | :36:47. | |
auctions to back renewable technology and inviting bids to | :36:48. | :36:51. | |
develop the next generation of small multi-reactors. We also going to | :36:52. | :36:55. | |
help one of the most valued industries in the UK, which has been | :36:56. | :37:00. | |
severely affected by global events. The oil and gas sector employs | :37:01. | :37:03. | |
hundreds of thousands of people in Scotland and around our country. In | :37:04. | :37:08. | |
my Budget year ago I made major reductions to their taxes but the | :37:09. | :37:11. | |
oil price has continued to fall so we need to act now for long-term. I | :37:12. | :37:16. | |
am today cutting in half the supplementary charge on oil and gas | :37:17. | :37:23. | |
from 20% down to 10% and I'm effectively abolishing petroleum | :37:24. | :37:24. | |
revenue tax, too. Backing these are Scottish jobs. | :37:25. | :37:45. | |
Order. Mr Ellis. Just relax. More to come. The Chancellor of the | :37:46. | :37:52. | |
Exchequer. Both of these major tax cuts will be backdated so they are | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
effective from the 1st of January this year. We'll give the industry | :37:57. | :38:04. | |
our full support. We are only able to provide this kind of support to | :38:05. | :38:07. | |
our oil and gas industry because of the broad shoulders of the... None | :38:08. | :38:23. | |
of this support would have been remotely affordable if, in just | :38:24. | :38:26. | |
eight days' time, Scotland had broken away from the rest of the UK | :38:27. | :38:32. | |
as the Nationalists wanted. Their own audit of Scotland's public | :38:33. | :38:35. | |
finances confirms they would have struggled from the start is with a | :38:36. | :38:39. | |
fiscal crisis under the burden of the highest Budget deficit in the | :38:40. | :38:44. | |
Western world. Thankfully the Scottish people decided we are | :38:45. | :38:46. | |
better together in one United Kingdom. | :38:47. | :38:55. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, believing in the UK is not the same in believing | :38:56. | :39:03. | |
every decision should be taken in Westminster and Whitehall, that's | :39:04. | :39:06. | |
the next step in this Budget plan to make Britain fit for the future. As | :39:07. | :39:11. | |
Conservatives, we know if you want local communities to take | :39:12. | :39:13. | |
responsibility for local growth, I have to be able to reap the rewards. | :39:14. | :39:17. | |
This Government is delivering the most radical devolution of power in | :39:18. | :39:22. | |
modern British history. We are devolving power to our nations, the | :39:23. | :39:26. | |
Scottish Secretary and I have agreed the new fiscal framework with a | :39:27. | :39:31. | |
Scottish Government and also opening negotiations on a city deal with | :39:32. | :39:36. | |
Edinburgh, we back the new V Museum in Dundee, and in response to | :39:37. | :39:42. | |
the powerful case made to me by Ruth Davidson, we are providing new | :39:43. | :39:45. | |
community facilities for people and the Royal navy personnel in fast | :39:46. | :39:54. | |
lane paid for by us. In Wales, we are committed to devolving new | :39:55. | :39:58. | |
powers to the Assembly and yesterday the Welsh Secretary and the chief | :39:59. | :40:01. | |
secretary signed a new billion pound deal for the Cardiff region, opening | :40:02. | :40:07. | |
discussion on a city deal for Swansea and growth deal for North | :40:08. | :40:09. | |
Wales Summit Bannock connected the Northern Powerhouse, I've listened | :40:10. | :40:13. | |
to the case made by the Welsh Conservative colleagues and I can | :40:14. | :40:17. | |
announce today that from 2019, we will half the price of the Severn | :40:18. | :40:24. | |
Crossing. My right honourable friend, the Northern Ireland | :40:25. | :40:27. | |
Secretary and I are working towards a devolution of corporation tax. I'm | :40:28. | :40:32. | |
also extending enhanced capital allowances to the enterprise zone in | :40:33. | :40:36. | |
Coleraine and we will use over ?4 million from libel funds to help | :40:37. | :40:40. | |
establish the first air Ambulance Service in Northern Ireland. In this | :40:41. | :40:46. | |
Budget we make major further advances in the devolution power | :40:47. | :40:50. | |
within England, too. It is less than two years ago I called for the | :40:51. | :40:54. | |
creation of strongly elected Mayors to build a Northern Powerhouse and | :40:55. | :40:59. | |
since then, they have been agreed for Manchester, Liverpool, Tees | :41:00. | :41:02. | |
Valley, Newcastle and Sheffield. Over half the population of the | :41:03. | :41:06. | |
Northern Powerhouse will be able to elect a Mayor accountable to them | :41:07. | :41:09. | |
next year and will have an elected Mayor for the West Midlands, too. | :41:10. | :41:13. | |
These new arrangements involve and grow stronger and I can tell the | :41:14. | :41:17. | |
House that my right honourable friend the Justice Secretary and I | :41:18. | :41:22. | |
are transferring new powers over the criminal justice systems to Greater | :41:23. | :41:26. | |
Manchester, the kind of progressive social policy that this Government | :41:27. | :41:30. | |
is proud to pioneer. I can also announce to the House today that for | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
the first time, we have reached agreement to establish new elected | :41:35. | :41:37. | |
Mayors inning as counties in southern cities, too, and I want to | :41:38. | :41:42. | |
thank the Communities Secretary and my Treasury colleague Jim O'Neill | :41:43. | :41:47. | |
for their human efforts and we've agreed a powerful East Anglia | :41:48. | :41:50. | |
combined authority heading up by an elected Mayor and ?1 billion of new | :41:51. | :41:55. | |
investment and a new West of England may all authority and they will also | :41:56. | :42:00. | |
see almost ?1 billion invested locally and the authorities of | :42:01. | :42:03. | |
greater Lincolnshire will have new powers, new funding and a new Mayor. | :42:04. | :42:08. | |
North, south, east, west, the Devolution Revolution is taking | :42:09. | :42:14. | |
hold. When I became Chancellor, 80% of local Government funding came in | :42:15. | :42:20. | |
largely ring fenced grants from Government, the illusion of local | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
democracy but by the end of this Parliament, 100% of local Government | :42:26. | :42:28. | |
resources will come from local Government, raised locally, spent | :42:29. | :42:33. | |
locally, invested locally, at the great capital city wants to lead the | :42:34. | :42:40. | |
way. The Mayor of London passionately argued for the | :42:41. | :42:44. | |
devolution of business rates and I can confirm today that the Greater | :42:45. | :42:47. | |
London authority will move towards full attention of its business rates | :42:48. | :42:53. | |
from next April, three years earlier. Michael Heseltine has | :42:54. | :42:57. | |
accepted our invitation to lead a Thames Estuary growth commission and | :42:58. | :43:00. | |
will report to me with his ideas next year. In every international | :43:01. | :43:07. | |
survey of our country, our failure for a generation to build new | :43:08. | :43:10. | |
housing and transport has been identified as a major problem. In | :43:11. | :43:13. | |
this Government, we are the builders and so today, we are setting out... | :43:14. | :43:24. | |
We will speed up our planning system, zone housing developers and | :43:25. | :43:26. | |
prepare the country for the arrival of five G technology. The Business | :43:27. | :43:32. | |
Secretary will bring forward our innovation proposals and, because we | :43:33. | :43:36. | |
make savings in day-to-day spending, we can accelerate capital investment | :43:37. | :43:41. | |
and increase it as a share of GDP. All these things are country focused | :43:42. | :43:45. | |
on its long-term future should be doing. Alan new stamp duty rates on | :43:46. | :43:50. | |
additional properties will come into effect next month. I have listened | :43:51. | :43:54. | |
to colleagues and the rates will apply to larger investors, too. We | :43:55. | :44:00. | |
will use receipts to support community Housing trusts including | :44:01. | :44:03. | |
?20 million to help young families onto the housing ladder in the | :44:04. | :44:10. | |
south-west England, a brilliant idea and it is proof that when the | :44:11. | :44:16. | |
south-west vote with their voice, it's a head loudly in Westminster. | :44:17. | :44:25. | |
But it is heard loudly. And because under this Government we are not | :44:26. | :44:28. | |
prepared to let people be left behind, I'm also announcing a major | :44:29. | :44:32. | |
new package of support worth over 150 will in pounds, to support those | :44:33. | :44:36. | |
who are homeless and produce rough sleeping. -- ?150 million. I | :44:37. | :44:42. | |
established a new national in first article is on to advise us all on | :44:43. | :44:47. | |
the big long-term decisions we need to boost our productivity and I'm | :44:48. | :44:50. | |
sure everyone in the House will want to thank Andrew Adonis and his | :44:51. | :44:54. | |
fellow commissioners for getting off to such a strong start. They've | :44:55. | :44:59. | |
already produced three impressive reports and recommend much stronger | :45:00. | :45:04. | |
links across northern England so we are giving the green light to High | :45:05. | :45:08. | |
Speed three between Manchester and Leeds, providing new money to create | :45:09. | :45:13. | |
a 4-lane lane M 62 and we will develop the case for a new tunnel | :45:14. | :45:14. | |
road from Manchester Sheffield. High honourable friends have told us | :45:15. | :45:28. | |
not to ne glate their areas. I said we would build the Northern | :45:29. | :45:36. | |
powerhouse, we put in the roads and we are making the Northern | :45:37. | :45:40. | |
powerhouse a reality and rebuilding our country. I'm also accepting the | :45:41. | :45:44. | |
infrastructure commission's recommendations on energy and on | :45:45. | :45:48. | |
London Transport. The Government that is delivering Crossrail one | :45:49. | :45:53. | |
will now commission Crossrail 2. I know this commitment to Crossrail 2 | :45:54. | :45:56. | |
will be warmly welcomed by the Leader of the Opposition, the Right | :45:57. | :46:00. | |
Honourable member for Islington. It could have been designed just for | :46:01. | :46:03. | |
him because it is good for all those who live in North London and are | :46:04. | :46:09. | |
heading south! Mr Deputy Speaker, across Britain, | :46:10. | :46:14. | |
this Budget invests in infrastructure, from a more | :46:15. | :46:17. | |
resilient train line in the south-west, to the crossings at | :46:18. | :46:20. | |
Ipswich and Lowestoft in the east that we promised, we are making our | :46:21. | :46:26. | |
country stronger. To respond to the increasing extreme weather events | :46:27. | :46:30. | |
our country is facing, I am today proposing further substantial | :46:31. | :46:36. | |
increases in flood defences. Now that would not be affordable within | :46:37. | :46:41. | |
existing budgets. So I'm going to increase the standard rate of | :46:42. | :46:48. | |
insurance premium tax by just 5.5% and commitment extra money we raise | :46:49. | :46:52. | |
to flood defence spending of the that's a ?700 million boost to our | :46:53. | :46:57. | |
resilience and flood defences. The urgent review already underway by | :46:58. | :47:01. | |
the Environment Secretary and the Chancellor of the duchy will | :47:02. | :47:04. | |
determine how the money is best spent, but we can get started now. I | :47:05. | :47:08. | |
have had many representations from colleagues across the House so we | :47:09. | :47:15. | |
are giving the go-ahead to the schemes for York, Leeds, Calder | :47:16. | :47:18. | |
valley and Carlisle and across Cumbria. In this Budget we invest in | :47:19. | :47:23. | |
our physical infrastructure and we invest in our cultural | :47:24. | :47:27. | |
infrastructure too. And I'm supporting specific projects from | :47:28. | :47:31. | |
Cornwall in Truro to ?13 million for Hull to make a success of City of | :47:32. | :47:40. | |
Culture. I'm extending the cathedral repairs fund. There is one thing | :47:41. | :47:44. | |
that's clear, the Conservative Party is a broad church. | :47:45. | :47:53. | |
And in 400th anniversary of the great playwright's death, I heard | :47:54. | :48:00. | |
the sonnet and we commit to a new Shakespeare north site there on the | :48:01. | :48:07. | |
site of the first indoor theatre outside our capital. It is Mr Deputy | :48:08. | :48:22. | |
Speaker, we cut taxes for business and we dissolve power, the next plan | :48:23. | :48:25. | |
is to improve the quality of our children's education. Now, providing | :48:26. | :48:30. | |
great schooling is the single most important thing we can do to help | :48:31. | :48:33. | |
any child from the disadvantaged background succeed. It is also the | :48:34. | :48:37. | |
single most important thing we can do to boost the long-term | :48:38. | :48:41. | |
productivity of our economy. Because our nation's productivity is no | :48:42. | :48:44. | |
more, no less than the combined talents and efforts of the people of | :48:45. | :48:49. | |
these islands. And that is why educational reform has been central | :48:50. | :48:52. | |
to our mission since we came to office five years ago. Today, we | :48:53. | :48:56. | |
take these further steps. First, I can announce that we're going to | :48:57. | :49:02. | |
complete the task of setting schools free from local education | :49:03. | :49:05. | |
bureaucracy and we are going to do it in this pamplt. I am providing -- | :49:06. | :49:10. | |
Parliament. I am providing extra funding so by 2020 every primary and | :49:11. | :49:15. | |
secondary school will be in the process of becoming an academy. | :49:16. | :49:19. | |
Second, we're going to focus on the performance of schools in the north, | :49:20. | :49:23. | |
where results have not been as strong as we'd like, London's school | :49:24. | :49:26. | |
system has been turned around, we can do the same in the Northern | :49:27. | :49:32. | |
powerhouse. And I've asked the outstanding Bradford head teacher | :49:33. | :49:35. | |
Sir Nick Weller to provide us with a plan. Third, we are going to look at | :49:36. | :49:40. | |
teaching maths to 18 for all pupils. And fourth, we're going to introduce | :49:41. | :49:51. | |
a fair national funding formula. I am today committing ?0.5 billion | :49:52. | :49:57. | |
to speed up its introduction. We will consult and our objective is to | :49:58. | :50:01. | |
get over 90% of the schools that will benefit on to the new formula | :50:02. | :50:06. | |
by the end of this Parliament. The Conservative Government delivering | :50:07. | :50:10. | |
on its promise of fair funding funding for our schools. Tomorrow, | :50:11. | :50:14. | |
the Education Secretary will publish a white paper setting out further | :50:15. | :50:19. | |
improvements we'll make to the quality of education because we will | :50:20. | :50:27. | |
put the next generation first. Mr Deputy Speaker, doing the right | :50:28. | :50:31. | |
thing for the next generation is what this Government and this Budget | :50:32. | :50:35. | |
is about. No matter how difficult and how controversial it is. Mr | :50:36. | :50:40. | |
Deputy Speaker you cannot have a long-term plan for the country | :50:41. | :50:44. | |
unless you have a long-term plan for our children's healthcare. And here | :50:45. | :50:50. | |
are the facts that we know. Five-year-old children are consuming | :50:51. | :50:53. | |
their body weight in sugar every year. Experts predict that within a | :50:54. | :50:59. | |
generation, over half of all boys and 70% of girls could be overweight | :51:00. | :51:04. | |
or obese. Here is another fact, that we all know, obesity drives disease. | :51:05. | :51:09. | |
It increases the risk of cancer, diabetes and heart disease and it | :51:10. | :51:13. | |
costs our economy ?27 billion a year. That's more than half the | :51:14. | :51:18. | |
entire NHS pay bill and here is another truth, we all know, one of | :51:19. | :51:23. | |
the biggest contributors to childhood obesity is sugary drinks. | :51:24. | :51:28. | |
A can of cola has nine teaspoons of sugar in it. Some popular drinks | :51:29. | :51:32. | |
have as many as 13. That can be more than double a child's recommended | :51:33. | :51:36. | |
added sugar intake. Now, let me give credit where credit is due, many in | :51:37. | :51:40. | |
the soft drinks industry recognise there is a problem and have started | :51:41. | :51:46. | |
to reform late their products. Robinson's removed added sugar from | :51:47. | :51:51. | |
many many of cordials and squashes, Brees and the Co-op have committed | :51:52. | :51:56. | |
to reduce sugar across their ranges. So industry can act and with the | :51:57. | :52:00. | |
right incentives I'm sure it will. Mr Deputy Speaker, I'm not prepared | :52:01. | :52:04. | |
to look back at my time here in this Parliament doing this job and say to | :52:05. | :52:08. | |
my children's generation, I'm sorry, we knew there was a problem with | :52:09. | :52:12. | |
sugary drinks, we knew it caused disease, but we ducked the difficult | :52:13. | :52:16. | |
decisions and we did nothing. So today, I can announce that we will | :52:17. | :52:22. | |
introduce a shoe new gar levy on the soft drinks industry and let me | :52:23. | :52:26. | |
explain how it will work. It will be levied on the companies, it will be | :52:27. | :52:30. | |
introduced in two years time, to give companies plenty of space to | :52:31. | :52:35. | |
change their product mix. It will be assessed on the volume of the sugar | :52:36. | :52:39. | |
sweetened drinks they produce or import. There will be two bands, one | :52:40. | :52:49. | |
for total sugar content above five grams above 100 millilitres, pure | :52:50. | :52:52. | |
fruit juices and milk based drinks will be excluded and we will ensure | :52:53. | :52:56. | |
the smallest producer are kept out of scope. We will, of course, | :52:57. | :53:01. | |
consult on implementation, we are introducing the lef yr on the | :53:02. | :53:03. | |
industry which means they can reduce the sugar content of their products | :53:04. | :53:08. | |
as many already do, it means they can promote low sugar or no sugar | :53:09. | :53:14. | |
brands as many already are. They can talk these steps to help with | :53:15. | :53:17. | |
children's health. Of course, some may choose to pace the price on to | :53:18. | :53:21. | |
consumers and that will be their decision and this would have an | :53:22. | :53:25. | |
impact on consumption too. We are as Conservatives understand that tax | :53:26. | :53:28. | |
affects behaviour. So let's tax the things we want to reduce, not the | :53:29. | :53:33. | |
things we want to encourage. The OBR estimate that this levy will raise | :53:34. | :53:39. | |
?520 million and this is tied directly to the second thing we're | :53:40. | :53:43. | |
going to do today to help children's health and well-being. We are going | :53:44. | :53:46. | |
to use the money from this new levy to double the amount of funding we | :53:47. | :53:50. | |
dedicate to sport in every primary school. And for secondary schools, | :53:51. | :53:55. | |
we're going to fund longer school days for those who want to offer | :53:56. | :53:59. | |
their pupils a wider range of activities including extra sport. It | :54:00. | :54:03. | |
will be voluntary for schools, come approximateliry for the pupils, | :54:04. | :54:05. | |
there will be be enough resources for a quarter of secondary schools | :54:06. | :54:08. | |
to take part, but that's just the start. The devolved administrations | :54:09. | :54:14. | |
will receive equivalent funding through the Barnett Formula and I | :54:15. | :54:16. | |
hope they spend it on the next generation too. I'm using the LIBOR | :54:17. | :54:21. | |
funds to help with Children's Hospital services. Members across | :54:22. | :54:25. | |
the House have asked for resources for children's care in Manchester, | :54:26. | :54:29. | |
Sheffield, Birmingham and Southampton and we provide those | :54:30. | :54:33. | |
funds today. Mr Deputy Speaker, a determination to improve the health | :54:34. | :54:38. | |
of our children, a new levy on excessive sugar in soft drinks, the | :54:39. | :54:42. | |
money used to double sport in our schools, a Britain fit for the | :54:43. | :54:46. | |
future, a Government not afraid to put the next generation first. | :54:47. | :54:53. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, let me now turn to indirect taxes. Last autumn, I | :54:54. | :54:58. | |
said that we would use all the VAT we collect from sanitary products to | :54:59. | :55:01. | |
support women's charities and I want to thank the many members here on | :55:02. | :55:06. | |
all sides in all parties for the impressive proposals they have put | :55:07. | :55:10. | |
forward. Today we advocate ?12 million from the tampon tax to these | :55:11. | :55:14. | |
charities across the UK from Breast Cancer Care to the white ribbon | :55:15. | :55:19. | |
campaign and many other causes and we will make substantial donations | :55:20. | :55:24. | |
to the Rosa fund so we reach many more grass-roots causes. I now turn | :55:25. | :55:29. | |
to excise duties. When we took office we inherited plans that would | :55:30. | :55:33. | |
have seen fuel duty rise above inflation every year and cost | :55:34. | :55:39. | |
motorists 18 pence extra a litre. We wholeheartedly rejected the those | :55:40. | :55:42. | |
plans and we took action to help working people. We froze fuel duty | :55:43. | :55:46. | |
throughout the last Parliament, a tax cut worth nearly ?7 billion a | :55:47. | :55:50. | |
year. In the last 12 months, petrol prices have plummeted. That is why | :55:51. | :55:55. | |
we pencilled in an inflation rise. But I know the fuel costs still make | :55:56. | :56:01. | |
up a significant part of household Budgets and weigh heavily on small | :56:02. | :56:06. | |
firms. Families pay the cost when oil prices rocketed and they | :56:07. | :56:10. | |
shouldn't be penalised when oil prices fall. Fuel duty will be | :56:11. | :56:20. | |
frozen for the sixth year in a row. That's a saving of ?75 a year to the | :56:21. | :56:25. | |
average driver, ?270 a year to the small business with a van, it is the | :56:26. | :56:29. | |
tax boost that keeps Britain on the move. | :56:30. | :56:34. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, tobacco duty will continue to rise as set out in | :56:35. | :56:39. | |
previous Budgets by 2% above inflation from 6pm tonight. Hand | :56:40. | :56:44. | |
rolling tobacco will rise by an additional 3%. To continue our drive | :56:45. | :56:49. | |
to improve public health, we reform our tobacco regime to introduce a | :56:50. | :56:55. | |
floor on the price of cigarettes. Mr Deputy Speaker, I have always been | :56:56. | :56:59. | |
clear that I want to support responsible drinkers in our nation's | :57:00. | :57:04. | |
pubs. Five years ago, we inherited tax plans that would have ruined | :57:05. | :57:09. | |
that industry. The action we took in the last Parliament on beer duty, | :57:10. | :57:12. | |
saved hundreds of pubs and thousands of jobs. Today, I am freezing beer | :57:13. | :57:23. | |
duty and cider duty too. Scotch whisky accounts for a fifth of all | :57:24. | :57:27. | |
of the UK's food and drinks export. We back Scotland and back their | :57:28. | :57:31. | |
vital industry too with a freeze on spirits duty. All other alcohol | :57:32. | :57:35. | |
duties will rise by inflation as planned. Mr Deputy Speaker, there | :57:36. | :57:40. | |
are some final measures we need to take to boost enterprise and back | :57:41. | :57:43. | |
the next generation and help working people keep more of the money they | :57:44. | :57:46. | |
earn. All of these have been themes of this Budget. Let me start with | :57:47. | :57:51. | |
enterprise. Now we Conservatives know that when it comes to growing | :57:52. | :57:54. | |
the economy, alongside good infrastructure and great education, | :57:55. | :58:02. | |
we need to light the fires of enenterprise, to help the | :58:03. | :58:05. | |
self-employed, I'm going to fulfil the manifesto commitment we made and | :58:06. | :58:10. | |
from 2018, abolish class two national insurance contributions | :58:11. | :58:13. | |
altogether. That's a simpler tax system, a tax cut of over ?130 for | :58:14. | :58:17. | |
each of Britain's three million strong army of the self-employed. | :58:18. | :58:23. | |
Next, we want to help people to invest in our business and help them | :58:24. | :58:30. | |
create jobs. The best way to do do that is let them keep more of the | :58:31. | :58:35. | |
rewards. Our capital gains is one of the highest in the developed world. | :58:36. | :58:39. | |
The headline rate of Capital Gains Tax stands at 28%. Today, I'm | :58:40. | :58:45. | |
cutting it to 20% and I'm cutting the Capital Gains Tax paid by basic | :58:46. | :58:51. | |
rate taxpayers from 18% to 10%. The rates will come intotected in three | :58:52. | :58:54. | |
weeks time. The old rates will be kept in place for gains on | :58:55. | :58:58. | |
residential property and carried interest and I'm introduced a | :58:59. | :59:03. | |
brand-new 10% rate on long-term external investment in listed | :59:04. | :59:07. | |
companies up to a separate maximum ?10 million of lifetime gains. In | :59:08. | :59:11. | |
this Budget, we are putting rocket boosters on the backs of enterprise | :59:12. | :59:13. | |
and productive investment. In this Budget I also want to help | :59:14. | :59:21. | |
the next generation builds up assets and safe. The fundamental problem is | :59:22. | :59:25. | |
that far too many young people in their 20s and 30s have no pension | :59:26. | :59:30. | |
and few savings. Ask them and they will tell you it's because they find | :59:31. | :59:34. | |
pensions too complicated and inflexible, and most young people | :59:35. | :59:39. | |
face an agonising choice of either saving to buy a home or for their | :59:40. | :59:44. | |
retirement. We can help by providing people with more information about | :59:45. | :59:48. | |
the multiple passions many have and more tax relief on financial advice. | :59:49. | :59:54. | |
-- pensions. We can also help those on the lowest incomes. Our help to | :59:55. | :00:00. | |
save Palm is announced on Monday. In the past year with consulted whether | :00:01. | :00:04. | |
we should make changes to the pension tax system. It was clear | :00:05. | :00:10. | |
there was no consensus. The former pensions Minister, Steve Webb, so I | :00:11. | :00:14. | |
was trying to abolish the lump sum. Instead, we'll keep it and abolish | :00:15. | :00:18. | |
the Liberal Democrat. LAUGHTER | :00:19. | :00:36. | |
And tend to do is say it left take effect from midnight tonight. But I | :00:37. | :00:45. | |
am tempted to say. My pension reforms have always been about | :00:46. | :00:47. | |
giving people... LAUGHTER | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
Order. Order. I know pension reforms have been about | :00:52. | :01:09. | |
giving people more freedom and choice are faced with the truth, but | :01:10. | :01:13. | |
young people are not saving enough I'm providing a different answer to | :01:14. | :01:18. | |
the same problem. We know people like I says because they are simple. | :01:19. | :01:21. | |
Everything you earn in your savings is tax-free when you withdraw it. | :01:22. | :01:27. | |
From April next year I will increase the ice limit from just over ?15,000 | :01:28. | :01:35. | |
to ?20,000 a year for everyone. For those under 40, many of whom have | :01:36. | :01:39. | |
not had such a good deal from the pension system, I'm introducing a | :01:40. | :01:43. | |
completely new flexible way for the next generation to save called the | :01:44. | :01:50. | |
lifetime ISA. Young people can put money on, get a Government bonus and | :01:51. | :01:55. | |
either by their first home or save for their retirement. From April | :01:56. | :01:59. | |
2017, anyone under the age of 40 will be able to open a lifetime ISA | :02:00. | :02:06. | |
and save up to ?4000 each year and for every ?4 you save, the | :02:07. | :02:12. | |
Government would give you ?1. Put in ?4000, and the Government will give | :02:13. | :02:16. | |
you ?1000 every year until you 50. You don't have to choose between | :02:17. | :02:20. | |
saving for first home or your retirement. With your new ISA, the | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
Government gives you money to do both. For the basic taxpayer that's | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
the equivalent of tax-free savings until pension and unlike a pension, | :02:31. | :02:35. | |
you won't pay tax when you come to take the money out in retirement. | :02:36. | :02:39. | |
For the self-employed, it's the kind of support they simply cannot get | :02:40. | :02:44. | |
from the pension system today. Unlike a pension, you can access | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
your money any time without the bonus and with a small charge and we | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
will consult with the industry on whether, like the American 401(k), | :02:54. | :02:56. | |
you can return the money to the account to reclaim the bonus so it's | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
both generous and completely flexible. Those already taken out | :03:02. | :03:10. | |
are enormously popular. Mr Deputy Speaker, a ?20,000 ISA limit for | :03:11. | :03:16. | |
everyone, and you lifetime ISA, a Budget which puts the | :03:17. | :03:21. | |
next-generation first. Mr Deputy Speaker, I turn to my final | :03:22. | :03:27. | |
measures. This Government was elected to back working people. The | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
best way to help them is to let them keep more of the money they earn. | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
When I became Chancellor the tax-free personal allowance was less | :03:35. | :03:41. | |
than ?6,500. In two weeks, it will be ?11,000. We committed it would | :03:42. | :03:46. | |
reach ?12,500 by the end of this Parliament and today we take a major | :03:47. | :03:51. | |
step towards that goal. From April next year, I am raising the tax free | :03:52. | :03:56. | |
personal allowance to ?11,500 as a tax cut for 31 million people | :03:57. | :04:02. | |
meaning a typical basic rate taxpayer will pay over ?1000 less | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
income tax than when we came into Government five years again and it | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
means another 1.3 million of the lowest paid taken out of tax | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
altogether, social justice delivered by Conservative means. Mr Deputy | :04:17. | :04:25. | |
Speaker, we made another commitment in our manifesto and that was to | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
increase the threshold which people paid a higher rate of tax. That I | :04:30. | :04:37. | |
shall stand at from April next year, I'm going to increase the high rate | :04:38. | :04:43. | |
threshold to ?45,000. That's a tax cut of over ?400 a year, lifting | :04:44. | :04:47. | |
over half a million people who should never been paying the higher | :04:48. | :04:51. | |
rate out of that higher rates banned altogether. And it's the biggest | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
above inflation cash increase since Nigel Lawson introduced the 40p rate | :04:57. | :05:04. | |
over 30 years ago. Mr Deputy Speaker, a personal tax-free | :05:05. | :05:10. | |
allowance of ?11,500, no one paying the 40p rate under ?45,000, we were | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
elected the Government are working people and we have delivered a | :05:15. | :05:19. | |
Budget for working people. Mr Deputy Speaker, five years ago we set out a | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
long-term plan because we wanted to make sure Britain never regain was | :05:24. | :05:27. | |
powerless in the face of global storms. We said then that we would | :05:28. | :05:31. | |
do the hard work to take control of our destiny and put our own House in | :05:32. | :05:37. | |
order. Five years later, the economy is stronger, the storm clouds are | :05:38. | :05:40. | |
gathering again, our response to these new challenges are clear, we | :05:41. | :05:46. | |
act now so we don't pay later. This is our Conservative Budget, one | :05:47. | :05:49. | |
which reaches a surplus so the next generation doesn't that do pay our | :05:50. | :05:53. | |
debts, one which reforms the tax system so the next generation | :05:54. | :05:57. | |
inherits a strong economy, one which takes the imaginative steps as are | :05:58. | :06:01. | |
the next generation is better educated, one which takes bold | :06:02. | :06:07. | |
decisions so our children grow up fit and healthy, but this is a | :06:08. | :06:10. | |
Budget which gets the investors investing, savers saving, businesses | :06:11. | :06:13. | |
doing business so we built for working people a low tax, | :06:14. | :06:16. | |
enterprising Britain, secure at home, strong in the world, I commend | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
it to the how's a Budget which puts the next-generation first. | :06:22. | :06:28. | |
STUDIO: George Osborne completing a Budget pack of all kinds of | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
measures. Some rather ambitious targets, some people already saying | :06:34. | :06:36. | |
rather unrealistic targets but certainly lots of action in lots of | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
areas. The Deputy Speaker will call the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn to | :06:42. | :06:45. | |
respond. Let me quickly go through some of the main points and we will | :06:46. | :06:50. | |
be back in the Commons straightaway. Main measures. A new sugar Levy | :06:51. | :06:55. | |
announced on soft drinks to be introduced in 2018. The fuel duty | :06:56. | :07:01. | |
has been frozen again. That got great cheers in the House of | :07:02. | :07:04. | |
Commons. A tax-free personal allowance to rise to ?11,500, a | :07:05. | :07:11. | |
higher rate threshold to ?45,000 in April 17, more main measures to | :07:12. | :07:17. | |
come. Lots of interest in this new lifetime ISA, savings vehicle for | :07:18. | :07:20. | |
the under 40s, Government boosting the savings by 25%. The ISA limit | :07:21. | :07:26. | |
increasing to ?20,000 a year from next April. And the OBR forecasts, a | :07:27. | :07:34. | |
sharp revision of some of the growth forecasts of the UK economy and | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
certainly there were lots of rather glum faces around those figures. | :07:38. | :07:41. | |
They have been revised downwards. What does that mean for this | :07:42. | :07:47. | |
Government? Corporation tax, 17% by April 2020, so there's lots of tax | :07:48. | :07:51. | |
adjustments as we go through. We will look at those in more detail, | :07:52. | :07:55. | |
clearly, in a few minutes. I'm keeping my eyes on the House of | :07:56. | :07:58. | |
Commons because we don't want to miss Jeremy Corbyn. Why do we go | :07:59. | :08:02. | |
back to the chamber and see what's going on there because I think the | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
Deputy Speaker is actually going through some of the financial | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
measures. The House is still packed, of course and lots of interest in | :08:12. | :08:15. | |
what kind of response Jeremy Corbyn will fashion. A few formal things to | :08:16. | :08:21. | |
put through because of course, as you know, the Chancellor introduced | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
some of these changes to take place within a few hours. Overnight. So | :08:27. | :08:29. | |
therefore, the Speaker has got to put through some of these changes | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
pretty quickly in terms of the business of the House and this is | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
the moment of course when Mr Corbyn himself will be furiously preparing | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
his notes. Let's join him. Thank you very much, Mr Deputy Speaker. The | :08:44. | :08:50. | |
Budget the Chancellor has just delivered is actually the | :08:51. | :08:53. | |
culmination of six years of his failures. It is a Budget... This is | :08:54. | :09:07. | |
not some kind of Fairground attraction. We expect courtesy from | :09:08. | :09:13. | |
both sides. I want to hear him and I know that the public that this | :09:14. | :09:15. | |
country wants to hear what the opposition has got to say as well. | :09:16. | :09:22. | |
Jeremy Corbyn. Mr Deputy Speaker, it's a recovery built on sand, | :09:23. | :09:28. | |
failed on the Budget deficit, on debt, on investment, on | :09:29. | :09:33. | |
productivity, on trade deficit, welfare cap, failed to tackle | :09:34. | :09:39. | |
inequality in this country. And today, Mr Deputy Speaker, is | :09:40. | :09:45. | |
announced growth is revised down last year, this year, every year | :09:46. | :09:49. | |
forecast, business investment revised down, Government revised | :09:50. | :09:55. | |
down, it is very good thing that the Chancellor is blaming the last | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
Government. He was the Chancellor in the last Government. This Budget, Mr | :10:01. | :10:07. | |
Deputy Speaker, has unfairness at its very core. Paid for by those who | :10:08. | :10:13. | |
can't least afford it. He could not have made his priorities clearer. | :10:14. | :10:19. | |
While half a million people with disabilities are losing over ?1 | :10:20. | :10:25. | |
billion in permanent personal independence payments, corporation | :10:26. | :10:28. | |
tax has been cut and billions handed it in tax cuts to the very wealthy. | :10:29. | :10:36. | |
The Chancellor has said to be judged on his record and by the tests he | :10:37. | :10:44. | |
has set himself. Six years ago, he promised a balanced structural | :10:45. | :10:50. | |
current Budget by 2015. It is now 2016, there is still no balanced | :10:51. | :10:55. | |
Budget. In 2010, he and the Prime Minister claimed we are all in it | :10:56. | :11:00. | |
together. The Chancellor promised his House that the richest would pay | :11:01. | :11:06. | |
more than the poorest, not just in terms of cash, but as a proportion | :11:07. | :11:13. | |
of income as well. Let me tell him how is that turned out. The | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
Institute for Fiscal Studies, independent organisation, found | :11:19. | :11:22. | |
that, and I quote, "The poorest have suffered the greatest proportionate | :11:23. | :11:28. | |
losses". The Prime Minister told us recently he was delivering a strong | :11:29. | :11:33. | |
economy and a sound plan. But strong for who? Strong to support who? When | :11:34. | :11:40. | |
80% of the public spending cuts have fallen on women in society. This | :11:41. | :11:47. | |
Budget could have been a chance to demonstrate a real commitment to | :11:48. | :11:51. | |
fairness and equality. Yet again, the Chancellor has failed. Five | :11:52. | :11:57. | |
years ago, and it was great words, he promised a Britain carried aloft | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
by the march of the makers, soaring rhetoric. Mr Deputy Speaker, despite | :12:02. | :12:07. | |
the resilience, ingenuity and hard work of manufacturers, the | :12:08. | :12:13. | |
manufacturing sector was no smaller than it was eight years ago. Last | :12:14. | :12:20. | |
year, he told the Conservative conference, we are the builders. | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
But, ever since then, the construction industry has been | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
stagnating. This is the record of a Conservative Chancellor who has | :12:30. | :12:32. | |
failed to balance the books, failed to balance out the pain, failed to | :12:33. | :12:36. | |
rebalance the economy. It is no wonder that his close friend, the | :12:37. | :12:43. | |
Honourable member for Chingford and Wood Green, is complaining. We were | :12:44. | :12:51. | |
told for the next seven years things were looking great. Within one month | :12:52. | :12:55. | |
that forecast, we are now being things are different. The gulf | :12:56. | :13:01. | |
between what the Conservative Government expects from the | :13:02. | :13:04. | |
wealthiest and wanted the man's from ordinary British taxpayers could not | :13:05. | :13:10. | |
be greater. The Mates rates deals for big corporations on tax deals is | :13:11. | :13:16. | |
remembered for. This is a Chancellor remembered for. This is a Chancellor | :13:17. | :13:24. | |
who has produced a Budget for hedge fund managers more than for small | :13:25. | :13:29. | |
businesses. This, Mr Deputy Speaker, is a Government... I don't know what | :13:30. | :13:37. | |
it is about you always want to catch my attention. Can I assure you, you | :13:38. | :13:40. | |
got my attention lest not get the game. Leader of the Opposition. | :13:41. | :13:47. | |
Thank you, Mr Deputy Speaker. This is a Government that stood by as the | :13:48. | :13:55. | |
steel industry bled. Skills, output and thousands of very skilled jobs | :13:56. | :13:59. | |
have been lost and communities ruined and damaged by the inaction | :14:00. | :14:03. | |
of the Government. The Chancellor set himself a 1 trillion export | :14:04. | :14:10. | |
target. It's going to be missed by a lot more than a country mile. | :14:11. | :14:14. | |
Instead of trade fuelling growth as he promised, it is now holding back | :14:15. | :14:18. | |
growth. He talked of the Northern Powerhouse. And we now discover that | :14:19. | :14:30. | |
97% of the senior staff of the Northern Powerhouse have indeed been | :14:31. | :14:37. | |
outsourced to London. To the south. And, for all his talk, of the | :14:38. | :14:44. | |
Northern Powerhouse, the north-east accounts for less than 1% of | :14:45. | :14:51. | |
Government infrastructure pipeline project in construction. For all his | :14:52. | :14:57. | |
rhetoric, there has been a systematic underinvestment in the | :14:58. | :14:57. | |
North. Mr Deputy Speaker across the country | :14:58. | :15:08. | |
local authorities, councils, are facing massive problems. A 79% cut | :15:09. | :15:17. | |
in their funding. Every library that's been closed, every elderly | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
person left without proper care, every swimming pool with reduced | :15:22. | :15:24. | |
opening hours or closed altogether, is a direct result of Government | :15:25. | :15:29. | |
under funding our local authorities and councils. | :15:30. | :15:36. | |
Far from providing over good quality employment, he is the Chancellor | :15:37. | :15:42. | |
that's presided over under employment and insecurity. | :15:43. | :15:50. | |
With nearly, with nearly... THE DEPUTY SPEAKER: There is some | :15:51. | :15:54. | |
people that's testing my patience. So just think what your constituents | :15:55. | :15:59. | |
are thinking out there as well. I want to hear the Leader of the | :16:00. | :16:02. | |
Opposition. I expect you to hear the Leader of the Opposition. If you | :16:03. | :16:08. | |
don't want to, I am sure the tearoom awaits. Thank you, Mr Deputy | :16:09. | :16:13. | |
Speaker. Security comes from knowing where your income is and knowing | :16:14. | :16:17. | |
where your job is. If you're one of those nearly, if you're one of those | :16:18. | :16:22. | |
nearly one million people on a zero-hours contract, you don't know | :16:23. | :16:26. | |
what you're income is, you don't have that security. We have the | :16:27. | :16:32. | |
highest levels, Mr Deputy Speaker, of in work poverty on record. The | :16:33. | :16:37. | |
largest number without security. They need regular wages, that can | :16:38. | :16:42. | |
end poverty and can bring about real security in their lives. Logically, | :16:43. | :16:48. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, low paid jobs don't bring in the tax revenues that | :16:49. | :16:52. | |
the Chancellor tells us he needs to balance his books. Household | :16:53. | :16:57. | |
borrowing is once again been relied upon to drive growth. Risky, | :16:58. | :17:02. | |
unsecured lending, is growing at its fastest rate for the last eight | :17:03. | :17:07. | |
years and it is clearly not sustainable. The renewables industry | :17:08. | :17:13. | |
is vital to the future of our economy, our planet, indeed, our | :17:14. | :17:18. | |
whole existence. It has been targeted for cuts of the thousands | :17:19. | :17:21. | |
of jobs lost in the solar panel production industry and the Prime | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
Minister as we discussed earlier at Prime Minister's Questions, promised | :17:27. | :17:31. | |
the greenest Government ever. Here again, ababject failure, science | :17:32. | :17:35. | |
spending also down ?1 billion compared to 2010. Home ownership | :17:36. | :17:42. | |
down under this Conservative Government, a whole generation | :17:43. | :17:46. | |
locked out of any prospect of owning their own home and this is the | :17:47. | :17:53. | |
chancellor, who believes that a starter home costing ?450,000 is | :17:54. | :17:58. | |
affordable! It might be for some of his friends, | :17:59. | :18:04. | |
it might be for some members opposite, it isn't for those people | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
who are trying to save for a deposit because they can't get any other | :18:09. | :18:13. | |
kind of house. We heard promises, Mr Deputy Speaker, before. Two years | :18:14. | :18:20. | |
ago, the Chancellor pledged a garden city of 15,000 homes in Ebbsfleet | :18:21. | :18:24. | |
and many cheered that. His ministers have been very busy ever since then. | :18:25. | :18:30. | |
They've made 30 Ebbsfleet announcements and they have managed | :18:31. | :18:36. | |
to build 368 homes in Ebbsfleet. It is 12 homes for every press release. | :18:37. | :18:44. | |
We need obviously a vast increase in press releases in order to get any | :18:45. | :18:48. | |
homes built in Ebbsfleet or indeed, anywhere else. | :18:49. | :18:55. | |
And whilst we welcome the money that's going to be put forward to | :18:56. | :19:02. | |
tackle homelessness, it is the product of under investment, under | :19:03. | :19:06. | |
funding of local authorities, not building enough council housing, not | :19:07. | :19:10. | |
regulating the private rented sector that has led to this crisis. We need | :19:11. | :19:17. | |
to tackle the issue of homelessness by saying that everybody in our | :19:18. | :19:21. | |
society deserves a safe roof over their head. Mr Deputy Speaker, child | :19:22. | :19:31. | |
poverty is forecast to rise every year in this Parliament. What a | :19:32. | :19:35. | |
damning indictment of this Government. And what a contrast to | :19:36. | :19:40. | |
the last Labour Government that managed to lift almost one million | :19:41. | :19:48. | |
children out of poverty. .81% of the tax increases and benefit cuts are | :19:49. | :19:55. | |
falling on women and the 19% gender pay gap persists despite the protest | :19:56. | :20:01. | |
tations of the chancellor, it is a serious indictment that women are | :20:02. | :20:05. | |
generally paid less than men for doing broadly similar work. It will | :20:06. | :20:10. | |
require a Labour Government to address this. And the Government's | :20:11. | :20:18. | |
own social mobility commissioner said and I quote, "There is a | :20:19. | :20:24. | |
growing sense that Britain's best days are behind us rather than ahead | :20:25. | :20:28. | |
of us as the next generation expects to be worse off than the last." The | :20:29. | :20:36. | |
Chancellor might have said a great deal about young people. He failed | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
to say anything about the debt levels that so many former students | :20:41. | :20:44. | |
have. The high rents that young people have to pay. The lower levels | :20:45. | :20:49. | |
of wages that young people get. The sense of injustice and insecurity | :20:50. | :20:54. | |
that so many young people in this country face and feel every day. It | :20:55. | :20:59. | |
will again require a Labour Government to harness the | :21:00. | :21:02. | |
enthusiasms and talent and energy of the young people of this country. Mr | :21:03. | :21:10. | |
Deputy Speaker, investing in public services is vital to people's | :21:11. | :21:13. | |
well-being. I think we're all agreed on that, at least I hope we are. Yet | :21:14. | :21:20. | |
every time the Chancellor fails, he cuts services, cuts jobs, sells | :21:21. | :21:26. | |
assets, further privatises. That was very clear when we were looking at | :21:27. | :21:30. | |
the effects of the floods last year. Flood defences were cut by 27%. | :21:31. | :21:37. | |
People's homes in Yorkshire, Lancashire, Cumbria, ruined because | :21:38. | :21:43. | |
of his Government's neglect of river basin management, and the flood | :21:44. | :21:48. | |
defences that are so necessary. Obviously we welcome any money that | :21:49. | :21:53. | |
is now going into flood defences. But, but Mr Deputy Speaker, I hope | :21:54. | :22:01. | |
that money will also be accompanied by reversing the cuts in the Fire | :22:02. | :22:05. | |
Service which makes it so difficult for our brilliant firefighters to | :22:06. | :22:10. | |
protect people in their homes. Reverse the cuts in the Environment | :22:11. | :22:15. | |
Agency which makes it so hard for those brilliant engineers to protect | :22:16. | :22:20. | |
our towns and cities and for Local Government workers who perform so | :22:21. | :22:23. | |
brilliantly during the crisis of December and January in the areas | :22:24. | :22:29. | |
that were flooded. Our education service, Mr Deputy Speaker, invests | :22:30. | :22:34. | |
in people. It is a vital, motor for the wealth of this country in the | :22:35. | :22:40. | |
future. So I ask why have we seen a 35% drop in the adult skills budget | :22:41. | :22:46. | |
by this Government? People surely need the opportunity to learn. Not | :22:47. | :22:52. | |
have to go into debt in order to develop skills from which we as a | :22:53. | :22:59. | |
community entirely benefit. The Chancellor announced yesterday and | :23:00. | :23:02. | |
there is not one shred of evidence to suggest that turning schools into | :23:03. | :23:06. | |
academies boosts performance. There is nothing in the Budget that deals | :23:07. | :23:12. | |
with the real issue which is teacher shortage, school place crisis or | :23:13. | :23:21. | |
ballooning class sizes. He spoke at some length on the issue of | :23:22. | :23:26. | |
ill-health amongst young children and the way in which sugar is | :23:27. | :23:30. | |
consumed at such grotesque levels within our society and I agree with | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
him about that. I welcome what he said. I'm sure he will join with me | :23:35. | :23:38. | |
in welcoming the work done by many members of this House including my | :23:39. | :23:42. | |
friend the member for Leicester East and his work and Jamie Oliver in his | :23:43. | :23:48. | |
work in helping to deal with the dreadful situation of children's | :23:49. | :23:53. | |
health. If we as a society cannot protect our children from high | :23:54. | :23:56. | |
levels of sugar and all that goes with it, with the later crisis of | :23:57. | :24:01. | |
health cancer and diabetes then as a House, we have failed the nation. | :24:02. | :24:05. | |
The support his proposals on sugar as I hope all members of this House | :24:06. | :24:09. | |
will. But there is an issue that faces the National Health Service. | :24:10. | :24:16. | |
The deficit has widened to its highest level ever on record. | :24:17. | :24:20. | |
Waiting times are up. The NHS is in a critical condition. Hospital after | :24:21. | :24:25. | |
hospital, faces serious financial problems and is working out what to | :24:26. | :24:31. | |
sell in order to balance its books. Our NHS should have those resources | :24:32. | :24:34. | |
to concentrate on health needs of the people, not having to get rid of | :24:35. | :24:40. | |
resources in order to survive. The Public Accounts Committee reported | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
only yesterday that National Health Service finances have deteriorated | :24:46. | :24:50. | |
at a severe and rapid pace. I didn't detect much in this Budget that is | :24:51. | :24:54. | |
going to do much to resolve that crisis. He has also cut public | :24:55. | :25:00. | |
health budgets, mental health budgets, and adult social care. | :25:01. | :25:06. | |
Earlier this month, the Government forced through a ?30 per week cut to | :25:07. | :25:13. | |
disabled ESA claimants... THE DEPUTY SPEAKER: Order. Order. | :25:14. | :25:20. | |
The frontbench conversationings, if he need that conversation, there is | :25:21. | :25:24. | |
plenty of room in the tearoom for you. Thank you very much, Mr Deputy | :25:25. | :25:30. | |
Speaker. Last week we learned that 500,000 people will lose up to ?150 | :25:31. | :25:36. | |
per week due to cuts in personal independence payments. I simply ask | :25:37. | :25:45. | |
the Chancellor this - if he can finance the giveaways that he put in | :25:46. | :25:50. | |
his Budget to different sectors, why can't he fund the need for dignity | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
for the disabled people of this country? | :25:55. | :26:00. | |
Mr Deputy Speaker, the Chancellor said in the Autumn Statement that he | :26:01. | :26:07. | |
had protected police budgets. Sir Andrew Dilnot confirms there has | :26:08. | :26:12. | |
been a decrease in the police grant and 18,000 police officers have lost | :26:13. | :26:17. | |
their jobs, fewer police on the streets, and as my friend the member | :26:18. | :26:21. | |
for Brent South pointed out in her question to the Prime Minister, to | :26:22. | :26:27. | |
cut down on dangerous crime, against vulnerable individuals, we need | :26:28. | :26:31. | |
community policing and we need community police officers. 18,000 | :26:32. | :26:35. | |
losing their jobs doesn't help. This is a Government with failure on the | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
police, failure on the National Health Service, failure on social | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
care, housing and education. Public investment lays the foundations for | :26:45. | :26:48. | |
future growth. The owe owe recognises that. The IMF, the G20. | :26:49. | :26:55. | |
The Crib and the TUC are crying out for more infrastructure investment. | :26:56. | :27:00. | |
It is Labour who will invest in the future in a high technology, high | :27:01. | :27:06. | |
skill, high wage economy. The investment commitments the | :27:07. | :27:08. | |
Chancellor made today, yes, of course, they are welcome, but | :27:09. | :27:12. | |
they're belated and they are nowhere near the scale this country needs. | :27:13. | :27:16. | |
People rightly fear this is just another press release on the road to | :27:17. | :27:23. | |
non delivery of crucial projects. Chronic under investment presided | :27:24. | :27:26. | |
over by this chancellor, both private and public, means that the | :27:27. | :27:30. | |
productivity gap between Britain and the rest of the G7 is the widest it | :27:31. | :27:38. | |
has been for a generation. Without productivity growth, revised down | :27:39. | :27:42. | |
further today, we cannot hope to improve living standards. Our party, | :27:43. | :27:48. | |
the Labour Party, backs a strategic state that understands businesses, | :27:49. | :27:53. | |
public services, innovators and workers combined together to create | :27:54. | :27:59. | |
wealth and drive sustainable growth. The Chancellor adopted a counter | :28:00. | :28:03. | |
productive fiscal rule. The Treasury Select Committee's response to that, | :28:04. | :28:07. | |
it was and I quote, "Not convinced that the surplus rule is credible." | :28:08. | :28:14. | |
They're right. Mr Deputy Speaker, the Chancellor is locking Britain | :28:15. | :28:18. | |
into an even deeper cycle of low investment, low productivity, and | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
low ambition. We will be making the case for Britain to remain as a | :28:23. | :28:27. | |
positive case within the European Union and all the solidarity that | :28:28. | :28:33. | |
can bring. But Mr Deputy Speaker, over the past six years, the | :28:34. | :28:38. | |
Chancellor has set targets on deficit, on debt, on productivity, | :28:39. | :28:43. | |
on manufacturing, and construction, on exports. He has failed in all of | :28:44. | :28:48. | |
them and is failing this country. There are huge opportunities for | :28:49. | :28:52. | |
this country to build on the talent and efforts of everyone. But the | :28:53. | :28:59. | |
Chancellor is more concerned about protecting vested interests. The | :29:00. | :29:02. | |
price of failure is being borne by some of the most vulnerable within | :29:03. | :29:07. | |
our society. The disabled being ropd robbed of ed to ?150 a week, these | :29:08. | :29:13. | |
aren't the actions of a responsible states person or they are the | :29:14. | :29:17. | |
actions of a cruel and callous Government that sides with the wrong | :29:18. | :29:20. | |
people and punishes the most vulnerable and poorest within our | :29:21. | :29:26. | |
society. He was defeated when he tried to cut, make tax credit cuts | :29:27. | :29:32. | |
next month by this House opposing it and by Labour members and | :29:33. | :29:37. | |
cross-benchers in the Lords, but Mr Deputy Speaker, the continuation of | :29:38. | :29:41. | |
austerity, that he has confirmed today, particularly in the area of | :29:42. | :29:45. | |
Local Government spending is a political choice, not an economic | :29:46. | :29:51. | |
necessity. It locks us into a continued cycle of economic failure | :29:52. | :29:52. | |
and personal misery. This party will not stand by while | :29:53. | :30:01. | |
more poverty and inequality blight of this country. We will oppose | :30:02. | :30:06. | |
these damaging choices. I make the case for an economy in which | :30:07. | :30:12. | |
prosperity is shared by all. Let us harness the optimism, the | :30:13. | :30:15. | |
enthusiasm, the hope, the energy of young people Tom not burden them | :30:16. | :30:24. | |
with debts and unaffordable housing, low-wage jobs and zero hours | :30:25. | :30:30. | |
contracts but instead, act in an intergenerational way to give young | :30:31. | :30:33. | |
people the opportunities and the chances they want to build a better, | :30:34. | :30:42. | |
freer, more recall, more content Britain than there Chancellor of the | :30:43. | :30:47. | |
Exchequer has proved he is at a incapable of doing with his Budget | :30:48. | :30:51. | |
today. STUDIO: So the Labour leader Jeremy | :30:52. | :30:57. | |
Corbyn delivering his first response in the last 25 minutes or so to the | :30:58. | :31:02. | |
Budget. Quite a lot of people emptying now from the chamber. It's | :31:03. | :31:05. | |
a good time for us also to come out of the chamber. Let me remind you | :31:06. | :31:09. | |
the debate will continue in the House of Commons, a long debate, | :31:10. | :31:15. | |
lots of people wanting to take part, uninterrupted coverage on BBC | :31:16. | :31:19. | |
Parliament. And now going to have a chance to take you through the | :31:20. | :31:25. | |
Budget measures. I did use in headlines early on but now I'm going | :31:26. | :31:29. | |
to take you through quite a few of the other measures we fail to | :31:30. | :31:33. | |
mention Iliana. Let's start with a main measures, the tax changes, and | :31:34. | :31:36. | |
the big headline, the new sugar levy on soft drinks and industry itself | :31:37. | :31:44. | |
to be introduced in 2018. Lots of interest in that understandably. | :31:45. | :31:48. | |
Lots of reaction to that. The tax-free personal allowance to rise | :31:49. | :31:54. | |
to ?11,500 in 2017. The higher rate tax threshold to rise to ?45,000 and | :31:55. | :32:06. | |
corporation tax, 17% by April 20 20. Some big tax changes. Let's look of | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
pensions and savings because there were some very eye-catching | :32:11. | :32:13. | |
initiatives. A lifetime ISA for the under 40s, lots of emphasis on the | :32:14. | :32:18. | |
younger generation, the Government boosting the savings by 25%. The | :32:19. | :32:26. | |
annual allowance right now by the way would be increased to ?20,000 | :32:27. | :32:33. | |
next April and there will be no change to tax relief on pension | :32:34. | :32:36. | |
contributions. A lot of debate about that before this Budget. No changes | :32:37. | :32:43. | |
to pension contributions. Duties, then. Fuel duty will be extended for | :32:44. | :32:47. | |
another year which brought a very big round of applause. Beer and | :32:48. | :32:56. | |
cider will be frozen again. And the duty on whiskey, spirits, also | :32:57. | :33:04. | |
frozen. Glancing across the House to the Scottish National Party at that | :33:05. | :33:08. | |
point, the Chancellor, and other alcohol duties including wine, | :33:09. | :33:14. | |
rising by inflation. Let's look at some other tax changes. We went | :33:15. | :33:21. | |
through quite a few details. National insurance contributions to | :33:22. | :33:24. | |
be scrapped for self-employed workers. Helping small businesses, | :33:25. | :33:31. | |
self-employed. Capital gains tax cut from 28-20%. 10% for basic rate | :33:32. | :33:37. | |
taxpayers. Big changes in capital gains tax. There will be an increase | :33:38. | :33:41. | |
in Insurance Premium Tax, going up by 0.5%. Now, on the forecast | :33:42. | :33:48. | |
Roumat, a lot of interest in these simply because a few eyebrows were | :33:49. | :33:55. | |
raised. The Office for Budget Responsibility advising the UK | :33:56. | :33:59. | |
growth downwards, sharply down with some would say, public spending to | :34:00. | :34:07. | |
be cut by 3.5 by 20 19-20, more spending cuts on the way. The | :34:08. | :34:13. | |
inflation forecast by the OBR to be 0.7% this year, 1.6% next year, but | :34:14. | :34:20. | |
again, underlining the basic target of 2% is still there. Borrowing. | :34:21. | :34:28. | |
72.2 billion this year, falling to 55.5 point 5,000,000,020 16-17, but | :34:29. | :34:32. | |
we need to talk about the targets are there in terms of borrowing and | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
the deficit itself because I think that is one of the more | :34:37. | :34:41. | |
controversial areas. Transport. Still going through today's Budget. | :34:42. | :34:46. | |
The green light for the HSV railing, Manchester and Leeds, we talk about | :34:47. | :34:50. | |
that in the past, but the go-ahead has been given. They will commission | :34:51. | :34:55. | |
the Crossrail two, a big infrastructure project linking North | :34:56. | :34:59. | |
and South London. Crossrail one, the Elizabeth line, opening relatively | :35:00. | :35:07. | |
soon east to west London. From 2018, gosh, how many times have I driven | :35:08. | :35:12. | |
down the M4 wondering when the tolls would be changed? The Severn Bridge, | :35:13. | :35:17. | |
halved. Not gone altogether. Business. A new threshold for small | :35:18. | :35:24. | |
business rate relief to rise from 6000-15,000. Business rates, | :35:25. | :35:33. | |
switched from RPI down to the lower measure of inflation, CPI. Affecting | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
levels of business rates there and commercial stamp duty rate reduced | :35:38. | :35:43. | |
for lower value properties. Quite a few changes around business rates | :35:44. | :35:45. | |
which we can discuss with Simon shortly. Let's look at a few other | :35:46. | :35:53. | |
measures for you. Every school in England as we reported yesterday to | :35:54. | :36:00. | |
become an academy. By 2020. No choice involved in that. The academy | :36:01. | :36:05. | |
status they say will give more freedom to schools. New national | :36:06. | :36:08. | |
funding for Miller for schools in England allied to that measure new | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
powers, this is very big, significant, over criminal justice | :36:14. | :36:16. | |
to be devolved to Greater Manchester. Big measures in terms of | :36:17. | :36:22. | |
devolving to English regions. East and West England. Greater | :36:23. | :36:28. | |
Manchester. The Greater London authority to retain its business | :36:29. | :36:32. | |
rates from April 20 17. A significant financial measure. We | :36:33. | :36:40. | |
have a few more to go. The supplementary tax on oil and gas, | :36:41. | :36:46. | |
halved to 10%, very, very important news in Scotland, the heart of the | :36:47. | :36:51. | |
oil and gas industry in the UK. A big piece of news for us to consider | :36:52. | :36:57. | |
in the Scottish context. ?700 million additional funding for flood | :36:58. | :37:00. | |
defences. Of course, lots of people debating that and wondering if it's | :37:01. | :37:08. | |
welcome, but it would've been welcome two years ago. The new | :37:09. | :37:11. | |
Shakespeare North Theatre, part a cultural rebuilding the Chancellor | :37:12. | :37:16. | |
was talking about, not just infrastructure, in roads and bridges | :37:17. | :37:20. | |
but culturally, Shakespeare North to be built in Knowsley. We've picked | :37:21. | :37:26. | |
those out for you but I was a long list. We didn't get all of it on | :37:27. | :37:31. | |
there. Lots for us to discuss. Apart from Simon and Laura, and Kamal | :37:32. | :37:38. | |
Ahmed, we have had the red book, by the way, and we have permission to | :37:39. | :37:43. | |
look through these figures, we're also joined by Rupert Harrison, used | :37:44. | :37:50. | |
to be chief of staff to George Osborne and now works for Blackrock, | :37:51. | :37:55. | |
the world's largest asset management company. Two perspectives from that | :37:56. | :38:01. | |
part of the world but also from your great experience working closely | :38:02. | :38:06. | |
with George Osborne. Welcome, I need to turn to Laura first and say, | :38:07. | :38:10. | |
right, let's try and get through this. A deep breath. Before we had | :38:11. | :38:17. | |
the Budget, there were one or two commentators saying there's not | :38:18. | :38:20. | |
going to be much in this. It's going to be a bit boring. It wasn't. It | :38:21. | :38:26. | |
certainly wasn't and George Osborne likes upending peoples expectations | :38:27. | :38:30. | |
and I think the big thing that we saw is George Osborne again trying | :38:31. | :38:36. | |
to have it both ways. He has built his reputation on his efforts to | :38:37. | :38:40. | |
rebuild the economy, the Budget numbers tell us that job is far from | :38:41. | :38:45. | |
over, chunky downgrades to growth, the country will be less well off | :38:46. | :38:48. | |
than we thought the George Osborne said that won't stop him from one | :38:49. | :38:52. | |
moment driving forward some big changes and political changes. | :38:53. | :38:57. | |
Politics on every single page of this red book. Britain can hold its | :38:58. | :39:01. | |
nerve despite the economic chadors around the world, you can apparently | :39:02. | :39:04. | |
miraculously one year be nearly ?40 billion in the red and next year be | :39:05. | :39:12. | |
10 billion quid in the black. Two hitters political surplus target and | :39:13. | :39:17. | |
have big ideas. That tax on sugary drinks, the Government has been | :39:18. | :39:20. | |
hesitating about it for months, Lo and behold, the Chancellor gets to | :39:21. | :39:24. | |
announce it, interesting in itself. One minister said that was not a | :39:25. | :39:29. | |
Budget for the next generation but for the man who wants to be the next | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
Prime Minister and, at the same time, but having it both ways at the | :39:34. | :39:36. | |
end of the Parliament, cutting spending, as well as cutting tax for | :39:37. | :39:43. | |
millions of people. Speeding up the rate at which the income tax | :39:44. | :39:49. | |
threshold will be raised. You can also use the Budget, something which | :39:50. | :39:53. | |
were driven some Eurosceptic Tory backbenchers mad to send a political | :39:54. | :40:00. | |
message using the independent Office for Budget Responsibility to talk | :40:01. | :40:05. | |
about the risk of leaving the EU. Almost his first page. Could you | :40:06. | :40:11. | |
address first of all this magic work on the figures. This business that | :40:12. | :40:17. | |
Laura referred to. I have to say on social media, there's lots of talk | :40:18. | :40:21. | |
about this. I'm going give a polite version. It says, he can't do it | :40:22. | :40:26. | |
because this doesn't make sense. Do you say? He's basically said he's | :40:27. | :40:32. | |
going to take a huge bridging loan to get the Government from today and | :40:33. | :40:38. | |
the poor economic data we saw today, borrowing will increase over the | :40:39. | :40:42. | |
next few years, and has bet on everything in 2020 firstly, it's the | :40:43. | :40:49. | |
moment public spending cuts, he's not identified where they will be, | :40:50. | :40:54. | |
he said how much he will save as usual, he's banked the money without | :40:55. | :40:59. | |
saying where it comes from, ?3.5 billion, and also in 2020, the | :41:00. | :41:03. | |
corporation tax changes, good for small businesses but big tax rises | :41:04. | :41:09. | |
for big businesses, also kicking in. He says he wants to leave and | :41:10. | :41:13. | |
businesses time to prepare the wealth they are preparing, those | :41:14. | :41:16. | |
taxes will build up, a big payment will come in 2020, and he believes | :41:17. | :41:21. | |
the OBR are saying, although they will borrow more, those two things | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
happening in that final year will lead to this huge boost to the | :41:26. | :41:30. | |
public finances and leave this surplus which he actually claims | :41:31. | :41:35. | |
will be higher in 2020 than was forecast in what we thought with a | :41:36. | :41:39. | |
more optimistic times of November. One other point to make is he | :41:40. | :41:42. | |
believes the Government will also save a lot of money on debt interest | :41:43. | :41:46. | |
payments because we are still in this very low interest rate world, | :41:47. | :41:50. | |
the notion of interest rate rising has been pushed further into the | :41:51. | :41:54. | |
future, another game for the Government. These basically | :41:55. | :41:57. | |
collected all this money together and we'll stick it all on 2019-20, | :41:58. | :42:03. | |
all coming back in, and giving him this huge boost into what will be a | :42:04. | :42:07. | |
general election. It's not without risk, less put that way. Simon, | :42:08. | :42:13. | |
what's put out for you in business? We talk tax and rates, but what for | :42:14. | :42:20. | |
you was significant? He's raising ?9 billion from big business and | :42:21. | :42:23. | |
spending ?7 billion on small business are taking from the big and | :42:24. | :42:26. | |
giving to the small business and some of them have already welcome | :42:27. | :42:30. | |
this. How will you do that? He will stop corporations having high debts, | :42:31. | :42:35. | |
using their debt interest to bring their profits down, restrict that to | :42:36. | :42:41. | |
30% of profits, also often when companies make big losses they can | :42:42. | :42:45. | |
use the loss and bring it forward to shelter future profits into the | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
future. 25% for banks doing that, 50% for other companies and also | :42:51. | :43:00. | |
introducing a Starbucks tax, so when you send profits overseas, | :43:01. | :43:02. | |
intellectual property, he will stop that happening, and also VAT | :43:03. | :43:08. | |
clamp-down, he's going to use that money to spend on business rate | :43:09. | :43:14. | |
cuts. This is the thing everyone is their biggest bugbear, business | :43:15. | :43:17. | |
rates go up faster than people and the prices of goods and services can | :43:18. | :43:23. | |
create and he said he's going to raise the small business tax relief | :43:24. | :43:26. | |
and make it permanent slots a big boost to small business. Clearly an | :43:27. | :43:30. | |
implication the Government will come onto that. Rupert, you are welcome. | :43:31. | :43:35. | |
Give us your big thought on this Budget. What is this Budget doing in | :43:36. | :43:41. | |
broad terms? You always have to look at the hand he's dealt and how he | :43:42. | :43:45. | |
plays it. The big economic story is big downgrades to borrowing and | :43:46. | :43:49. | |
importantly I think we should come back to this downgrades of | :43:50. | :43:53. | |
productivity growth by the Office for Budget Responsibility in terms | :43:54. | :43:55. | |
of the long-term implications for the country. But then, how has he | :43:56. | :44:00. | |
responded to that? Essentially, is dumb money needed to do to keep the | :44:01. | :44:05. | |
strategy on track, his most important tax is... Is that | :44:06. | :44:12. | |
credible? There's genuine spending cuts in that spending year. The | :44:13. | :44:18. | |
Treasury always has a number of ways up its sleeve for shifting money | :44:19. | :44:23. | |
between years, which essentially is what this big corporation tax is | :44:24. | :44:26. | |
doing, something he did in the Autumn Statement to bring money | :44:27. | :44:29. | |
forward is now essentially being undone to push the money back. A bit | :44:30. | :44:34. | |
of smoke and mirrors? The Treasury always have ways of doing these | :44:35. | :44:37. | |
things. Big spending cuts is the meat of how he's achieving that. | :44:38. | :44:42. | |
Interestingly, from the presentation of the Budget, he has come up with | :44:43. | :44:46. | |
enough surprises that should probably I think push those economic | :44:47. | :44:53. | |
boring stories of the front pages tomorrow, sugary drinks tax, and his | :44:54. | :44:58. | |
come up with some big tax cuts which will be welcomed by people on his | :44:59. | :45:02. | |
own side, personal tax cuts like the high rate threshold and personal | :45:03. | :45:06. | |
allowance, capital gains tax, lifetime ISA, things his | :45:07. | :45:10. | |
Conservative MPs will be you back to their constituencies and be happy | :45:11. | :45:11. | |
about. Is it your view that when they were | :45:12. | :45:19. | |
looking at this Budget and the likely impact of it, certainly in | :45:20. | :45:22. | |
news terms, because let's be honest, that's part of the calculation, it | :45:23. | :45:28. | |
is not all about economic management, that sugar initiative if | :45:29. | :45:32. | |
I can put it like that, is it the assumption within the Treasury that | :45:33. | :45:35. | |
would dominate people's talk following this Budget and that might | :45:36. | :45:41. | |
be rather helpful? We probably all assume that in terms, of you know, | :45:42. | :45:47. | |
the front pages. It is an interesting one there has been a lot | :45:48. | :45:50. | |
of debate in the Government. Some of it noisy and public about whether to | :45:51. | :45:55. | |
go ahead and do this. Is this is a measure that got support in the | :45:56. | :46:00. | |
public health community. A lot of high-profile campaigners. A lot of | :46:01. | :46:03. | |
people thinking the Government wasn't going to do, whether it was | :46:04. | :46:06. | |
long planned or a late decision, we don't know. I did want to ask about | :46:07. | :46:12. | |
the prominent passage on the referendum and looking ahead to | :46:13. | :46:15. | |
that. Again, the thinking there, to make that such a very hard-line | :46:16. | :46:19. | |
statement that he made despite the fact there will be plenty of people | :46:20. | :46:24. | |
sitting behind him and on the frontbench with him, not happy about | :46:25. | :46:28. | |
it? It would have been odd if he hadn't mentioned it. It is the most | :46:29. | :46:31. | |
important thing facing the Government this year. I actually | :46:32. | :46:34. | |
think it was interesting that he put it right at the front of the | :46:35. | :46:37. | |
statement. He said what he to say and then left it and then where he | :46:38. | :46:41. | |
ended which all the most important part of his speech. He ended on | :46:42. | :46:46. | |
announcements that are going to hope, he is going to hope will make | :46:47. | :46:50. | |
his own side particularly happy, particularly the tax cuts. We have | :46:51. | :46:54. | |
just noticed that George Osborne as stechd in ?8 billion of spending | :46:55. | :47:01. | |
cuts in the first year of the next Parliament, but I just think worth | :47:02. | :47:06. | |
noting Rupert being candid, but maybe unusually unhelpful to his | :47:07. | :47:10. | |
former boss by admitting how much the calculation is about what is | :47:11. | :47:13. | |
going to create a splash the next day. They knew they were going to | :47:14. | :47:17. | |
have grim economic news, but the sugar tax announcement is something | :47:18. | :47:20. | |
the Government has been thinking about for ages to get away from the | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
economic numbers and again, candid, about how the Treasury can move the | :47:26. | :47:28. | |
numbers around to make things suit them. George Osborne was desperate | :47:29. | :47:33. | |
to keep to the surplus target of ?10 billion, Rupert said the Treasury | :47:34. | :47:36. | |
were able to do it by moving the numbers around. Businesses will be | :47:37. | :47:41. | |
paying the money later than they thought. Indeed. It is a deferral of | :47:42. | :47:47. | |
something he previously announced. He has missed that second of his | :47:48. | :47:52. | |
fiscal rules which is debt declining as a proportion of national income. | :47:53. | :47:58. | |
That's probably been on the cards since he announced he was not to go | :47:59. | :48:09. | |
ahead with the sale of Lloydsful What been going on in the Treasury | :48:10. | :48:18. | |
now? What is the process? Budget Day is normally characterised by my | :48:19. | :48:22. | |
successors will be briefing the journalists about the details of the | :48:23. | :48:26. | |
Budget. That can go on for a long time and the real issue, he will be | :48:27. | :48:30. | |
looking for what other questions that are coming out from people like | :48:31. | :48:34. | |
Laura and Kamal and Simon, what are the questions he is going to get | :48:35. | :48:41. | |
tomorrow on the TV sofas and in the radio studios. A lot of his measures | :48:42. | :48:49. | |
are clampling down on tax avoidance. How credible do you think that is? | :48:50. | :48:52. | |
The Office for Budget Responsibility looked at previous announcements on | :48:53. | :48:55. | |
cracking down on tax avoidance and while it is true some measures have | :48:56. | :49:00. | |
not raised what was hoped, other measures ended up raising more than | :49:01. | :49:03. | |
was hoped. They say on balance these things end up raising what was | :49:04. | :49:07. | |
expected on average, even if the precise costings of individual | :49:08. | :49:11. | |
measures sometimes are a bit off. The clock is against us, Rupert. It | :49:12. | :49:15. | |
has been great to have you with us and thank you for agreeing to come | :49:16. | :49:18. | |
in. Good to see you. We will let Rupert go and we will be joined by | :49:19. | :49:24. | |
Matt Hancock in a second. We want more reaction from Jo, my colleague | :49:25. | :49:28. | |
who is in Bolton with some guests there. Let's join Jo now. | :49:29. | :49:34. | |
Yes, Huw, welcome back to the Market Place in Bolton. The Chancellor in | :49:35. | :49:38. | |
his statement said that it was a boost for the Northern powerhouse. | :49:39. | :49:41. | |
Well, let's speak to someone who should know and that's Tony Lloyd, | :49:42. | :49:45. | |
the Labour Mayor of Greater Manchester. Welcome. Thank you. | :49:46. | :49:49. | |
Those infrastructure projects that were announced and lauded by George | :49:50. | :49:52. | |
Osborne, will they power the north? Each one is welcome, but it is not | :49:53. | :49:56. | |
enough. You know, the people in the north will recognise that when we're | :49:57. | :50:00. | |
spending something like five times as much on the rail infrastructure | :50:01. | :50:05. | |
in London and the South East, it is about us getting our fair share. | :50:06. | :50:10. | |
Let's see the super connectivity that London rightly expects for the | :50:11. | :50:14. | |
northern cities and then we will believe in the Northern powerhouse | :50:15. | :50:17. | |
and this Government's commitment. We are not there yet. You would like | :50:18. | :50:21. | |
more on infrastructure. What about devolution and this announcement on | :50:22. | :50:27. | |
business rate relief? It will be devolved to local authorities, but | :50:28. | :50:30. | |
that might also mean they will get less money in the future. What's | :50:31. | :50:34. | |
your take? It is a clever chancellor and as always, you have got to read | :50:35. | :50:38. | |
the fine print. We have been given a commitment in the early days there | :50:39. | :50:42. | |
will would be no loss in Greater Manchester, what we want to know | :50:43. | :50:45. | |
there is no loss as we move into the long-term future. Some of the | :50:46. | :50:48. | |
poorest people in the poorest communities live in the north of | :50:49. | :50:51. | |
England and particularly in Greater Manchester. What we can't have is | :50:52. | :50:55. | |
the Government taking away the money that keeps our public services | :50:56. | :50:58. | |
going. They're vital for people's way of life. So let's see the small | :50:59. | :51:02. | |
print. People are bound to be sceptical until we know what the | :51:03. | :51:05. | |
real answer is. What is your response to the ?3.5 | :51:06. | :51:15. | |
billion of extra cuts to public spending in 2019/2020? We are | :51:16. | :51:18. | |
suffering from austerity exhaustion. We have seen our public services | :51:19. | :51:22. | |
take a hit, whether it is policing or social care in our local | :51:23. | :51:26. | |
councils. There comes a point when the public really doesn't understand | :51:27. | :51:30. | |
the economic value of when they can see the damage it does to our | :51:31. | :51:32. | |
communities. The Chancellor is going to have to look very long and hard | :51:33. | :51:36. | |
at to whether this is sustainable, not economically, but socially | :51:37. | :51:39. | |
sustainable. At the moment he has got a lot to do to convince people | :51:40. | :51:43. | |
of that. Tony Lloyd, thank you very much. The Chancellor had a lot to | :51:44. | :51:47. | |
say about pensions and savings. So let's talk to our personal finance | :51:48. | :51:53. | |
expert, Ruth Alexander. Outline the key changes that were announced by | :51:54. | :51:59. | |
the Chancellor? A viewer tweeted to say would there be anything for | :52:00. | :52:03. | |
young people in the Budget. The Chancellor announced the lifetime | :52:04. | :52:07. | |
ISA, you could save ?4,000 every year until you're 50 and the | :52:08. | :52:12. | |
Government will put in ?1 for every 4 you save. There is help for people | :52:13. | :52:16. | |
who are lower paid. People who are in work, but on in work benefits. | :52:17. | :52:22. | |
They have got the help to save scheme and that could be worth ?1200 | :52:23. | :52:26. | |
from the Government over four years, Eric e-mailed to say, "What about | :52:27. | :52:30. | |
pensioners? Could they benefit from this?" Well pensioners couldn't, but | :52:31. | :52:35. | |
everyone will benefit from the fact that the ISA limit will be raised to | :52:36. | :52:42. | |
?20,000 from around ?15,000 now. And in other money news, the amount you | :52:43. | :52:47. | |
can earn before your tax is going to be raised to ?11,500 and the higher | :52:48. | :52:51. | |
rate tax threshold will be raised to ?45,000 from April. The Chancellor | :52:52. | :52:55. | |
says it will take 500,000 people out of the 40 pence tax band and then | :52:56. | :52:58. | |
something that will have got a lot of people's attention, the fact that | :52:59. | :53:02. | |
fuel duty has been frozen. And that's not just good news for | :53:03. | :53:06. | |
drivers, but good news for shoppers because the goods in the shops | :53:07. | :53:09. | |
around us, most of them will have been delivered by road. Just a | :53:10. | :53:15. | |
reminder, you can e-mail us. Thank you very much. Let's get reaction | :53:16. | :53:20. | |
from a local small business. We can talk to Tim Entwistle who runs a | :53:21. | :53:24. | |
small manufacturing company here in the region, Move Tech UK. Was it a | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
good Budget for small businesses? I think over recent months we have had | :53:30. | :53:32. | |
a lot of uncertainty with the Scottish referendum, the general | :53:33. | :53:36. | |
election, and now we've got the European election. I think what we | :53:37. | :53:41. | |
needed was some stability and I think this election looked at the | :53:42. | :53:44. | |
long-term and hopefully, deliver some stability for us to run our | :53:45. | :53:49. | |
businesses and make the economy better. Are you optimistic for the | :53:50. | :53:53. | |
future? More optimistic than you have been over the last couple of | :53:54. | :53:57. | |
years? Yes, I think so. I think the economy will pick up and I'm | :53:58. | :54:03. | |
optimistic. We have concerns over the wider macroeconomy, but... And | :54:04. | :54:07. | |
the backdrop obviously that the Chancellor was talking about. What | :54:08. | :54:10. | |
about some of the measures that have already been announced by George | :54:11. | :54:13. | |
Osborne? Have businesses like yours managed to implement those? We are | :54:14. | :54:17. | |
just seeing now the implementation of some of the previous policies | :54:18. | :54:23. | |
like the enrolment on the pensions and the national Living Wage and the | :54:24. | :54:28. | |
apprenticeships and that's all coming in now. So we're very pleased | :54:29. | :54:33. | |
there doesn't seem to be any more major regulation coming in to | :54:34. | :54:37. | |
further our administrative burdens. You have got enough on your plate? | :54:38. | :54:41. | |
Absolutely. Timment whittle, thank you very much. With that, back to | :54:42. | :54:45. | |
you Huw. Jo, thank you very much. We will be back with you in a short | :54:46. | :54:49. | |
while. So, Rupert Harrison left and we are delighted to be joined by the | :54:50. | :54:54. | |
Cabinet Office minister, Matt Hancock. We are going to start with | :54:55. | :54:58. | |
sugar if we can. I am I have been digging around and it says last | :54:59. | :55:02. | |
October, David Cameron ruled out a sugar tax, saying specifically there | :55:03. | :55:07. | |
were more effective ways of tackling obesity. What changed is the | :55:08. | :55:10. | |
question? Well, we haven assessing the evidence. The evidence has been | :55:11. | :55:15. | |
pretty strong, quite overwhelming. Some of the figures that were used | :55:16. | :55:19. | |
in the speech, the fact that the number of people, the number of | :55:20. | :55:24. | |
children expected to be obese or overweight, half of boys and almost | :55:25. | :55:31. | |
70% of girls are expected to be obese or overweight and clearly, | :55:32. | :55:34. | |
this is a growing problem and there has been a lot of evidence that has | :55:35. | :55:38. | |
been brought to light in the last six months. | :55:39. | :55:42. | |
It is odd, isn't it that, the Prime Minister said it, there are more | :55:43. | :55:46. | |
effective ways of tackling obesity which leads us to conclude this is | :55:47. | :55:50. | |
about raising money? It maybe about that as much as it is about health? | :55:51. | :55:55. | |
It raises money that can be spent on school sportment. The package is | :55:56. | :56:00. | |
being about being pro-health and tackling this big problem. It could | :56:01. | :56:05. | |
be a way of tackling obesity. It is seen as maybe the Prime Minister | :56:06. | :56:08. | |
didn't get that right? Well, you assess the evidence all the time as | :56:09. | :56:13. | |
you are in Government and different medical experts brought different | :56:14. | :56:16. | |
evidence to us. And that's one of the reasons for instance, it is | :56:17. | :56:21. | |
levied on water-based soft drinks, but not on milk based ones because | :56:22. | :56:26. | |
the nutritional advice is that milk-based drinks even if they have | :56:27. | :56:30. | |
got sugar has benefit, but the big picture is this, you have got to | :56:31. | :56:33. | |
face up to the big challenges that the country faces on the economic | :56:34. | :56:37. | |
front as we heard in the economic statistics, but then also on the | :56:38. | :56:41. | |
health side and you know, if you're going to introduce a new tax to | :56:42. | :56:45. | |
tackle a growing problem, then Budget Day is the day to do it. Very | :56:46. | :56:50. | |
conveniently you point up some of the figures for us. We discussed | :56:51. | :56:54. | |
this earlier, but I will put the same question to you, how do you | :56:55. | :56:59. | |
move from a deficit of ?20 million to a surplus of ?10 billion the | :57:00. | :57:04. | |
following year? It is all set out in the red book. That's why we have the | :57:05. | :57:07. | |
red book. We're going to make efficiency savings which I have some | :57:08. | :57:10. | |
responsibility for delivering to make sure that we keep a grip on | :57:11. | :57:15. | |
public spending. There is also changes to corporation tax and the | :57:16. | :57:19. | |
timing of the payments of corporation tax. There is, there is | :57:20. | :57:23. | |
changes to make sure we keep the welfare bills down. It is set out in | :57:24. | :57:28. | |
detail about how we get that, again, the big picture is this - we get | :57:29. | :57:34. | |
that ?10 billion surplus that we have set out and reaching a surplus | :57:35. | :57:41. | |
means we can live within our means as a country. The world economy is | :57:42. | :57:46. | |
tougher no doubt than it was a year or so ago or six months ago. We have | :57:47. | :57:51. | |
a goal of making sure that Britain is prepared to deal with it. As we | :57:52. | :57:55. | |
were discussing earlier, Laura and Kamal, there is a bit of jigry | :57:56. | :57:59. | |
pokery that goes on with the figures. Is there something about | :58:00. | :58:02. | |
the way that the figures are reached that bothers you? It is about when | :58:03. | :58:05. | |
you account for tax receipts and they are going to account for their | :58:06. | :58:10. | |
tax receipts by moving them into that 2019/2020 figure. George | :58:11. | :58:13. | |
Osborne said if his Budget the reason for that was to allow | :58:14. | :58:18. | |
corporations time to prepare. Now, possibly he meant time to prepare | :58:19. | :58:23. | |
for my leadership of the Conservative Party. Clearly, the | :58:24. | :58:28. | |
Treasury has as Rupert Harrison said, the Treasury has a number of | :58:29. | :58:32. | |
ways of ensuring that money comes in, in ways that can be helpful to | :58:33. | :58:36. | |
the Government balance sheet. And if you look post the next election and | :58:37. | :58:41. | |
the OBR is signalling beyond that, further cuts are going to be made, | :58:42. | :58:46. | |
supposedly, but also that this surplus will keep going up. I think | :58:47. | :58:50. | |
the big issue Mr Hancock for you is this notion of convincing the public | :58:51. | :58:54. | |
that you're going to borrow much, much more money in the next three | :58:55. | :58:58. | |
years and then suddenly be able to pay that off, with these corporation | :58:59. | :59:04. | |
tax receipts and with a judgement on what your debt interest payments | :59:05. | :59:07. | |
will be and on the efficiency savings which you haven't yet | :59:08. | :59:12. | |
identified. Quite heroic assumptions you are making some may suggest and | :59:13. | :59:15. | |
will the public be convinced by that? | :59:16. | :59:19. | |
We reach a separate even without a change in the corporation tax | :59:20. | :59:25. | |
receipts. We can park that. The surplus will still be reached. After | :59:26. | :59:29. | |
that, we've made an assumption that public spending will continue to | :59:30. | :59:36. | |
grow. That's of course for the next parliament but those assumptions are | :59:37. | :59:39. | |
set out in the above, so what you do when you're trying to get a country | :59:40. | :59:45. | |
out of the economic mess we're in is set a clear goal and then you work | :59:46. | :59:50. | |
your to reaching that, so, in each of the cases, we have got the plan | :59:51. | :59:56. | |
to deal with it. We mentioned the efficiency savings, we have already | :59:57. | :00:01. | |
and efficiency programme to improve the way that we procure things and | :00:02. | :00:05. | |
buy things in Government, to improve the way we use property and make | :00:06. | :00:09. | |
savings from that, and we will put more into that programme. When will | :00:10. | :00:15. | |
we actually know where those cuts are going to fall? Presumably on | :00:16. | :00:21. | |
non-protected apartments? This needs to be done by 2019-20, so the idea | :00:22. | :00:28. | |
the Government can't save no .5% spending in four years is for the | :00:29. | :00:32. | |
birds. Of course it can. The key is this. We will set out the report in | :00:33. | :00:39. | |
2018, two years to find the savings and then another 18 months to | :00:40. | :00:44. | |
implement them. Business is all the time make savings much greater than | :00:45. | :00:50. | |
that in terms of efficiency. This is no .5%. You were referring to | :00:51. | :00:56. | |
Government efficiencies around ?3.5 billion in the last year of the | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
parliament. If we look at the changes between now and the Autumn | :01:00. | :01:04. | |
Statement, public spending is going to be more than ?30 billion lower | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
than it was set out in the Autumn Statement. That is ten times more | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
than efficiencies you're talking about so essentially, just be clear | :01:12. | :01:16. | |
about this, the Chancellor has taken a political decision to head his | :01:17. | :01:22. | |
circus track it -- surplus target, way more ahead of getting the books | :01:23. | :01:26. | |
back into balance, and in order to do that is taking out more than ?30 | :01:27. | :01:31. | |
billion of cuts on top of what was already spelt out in November. | :01:32. | :01:35. | |
That's what these numbers suggest. No, that's not quite right. The | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
additional savings we will find is 3.5 billion. The inflation has | :01:41. | :01:48. | |
fallen since the Autumn Statement and that's had an impact on some of | :01:49. | :01:54. | |
the figures. The overall savings in the Autumn Statement were set out | :01:55. | :01:57. | |
and the plan for that at that time, so the point is this. We have a | :01:58. | :02:01. | |
clear goal, to get Britain back into the black. Quite rightly, we've | :02:02. | :02:06. | |
taken an active choice to meet that same goal and it requires action and | :02:07. | :02:12. | |
it set out in the book. Isn't this obsession with surplus in 1920, if | :02:13. | :02:21. | |
they hang up and economic literacy suggests taking ?4 billion out of | :02:22. | :02:27. | |
the economy at a time of economic growth is slowing and going to all | :02:28. | :02:30. | |
sorts of lengths to miraculously hit the surplus in 1920s rather odd? | :02:31. | :02:38. | |
There are economic literature which are incredibly logical but aren't | :02:39. | :02:43. | |
exactly in the real world. Frankly, for the last five years I've sat in | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
studios like this and had the case put, wouldn't it be easier just to | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
slack up here a bit and relax here? Ultimately, if you're going to | :02:54. | :02:56. | |
balance the books you have two set a goal and stick with it and... This | :02:57. | :03:04. | |
one looks increasingly arbitrary. It is our click relevant button on the | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
manifesto we get Britain into surplus, remove the deficit so we | :03:10. | :03:14. | |
can get debts falling. Yes, it's an active decision. It's not an | :03:15. | :03:19. | |
accident but choice. When you have big names in the city, lots of Earth | :03:20. | :03:26. | |
has been predicated on giving confidence to the financial market, | :03:27. | :03:33. | |
and they are saying, deficit is now manageable, their words not mine, it | :03:34. | :03:35. | |
doesn't make sense to take more money out of spending. If the | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
economy is slowing down, actually, you're precisely doing the wrong | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
thing. You need to be giving stimulus, not taking money out. | :03:46. | :03:48. | |
People used to say that and they said that in the mid-to thousands. | :03:49. | :03:54. | |
The result was, when the crash came, we were the worst prepared economy | :03:55. | :03:58. | |
and we ended up having one of the biggest Budget deficit in the world. | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
I came into politics to promote economic stability for my family, my | :04:03. | :04:08. | |
business and nearly gone bust because of the whole economy going | :04:09. | :04:14. | |
wrong, nothing to do with my fault. That economic stability is hard-won | :04:15. | :04:19. | |
and you can easily let go of it by saying, why do we just spend more | :04:20. | :04:23. | |
here and be a bit more relaxed there? Instead, it's our job to have | :04:24. | :04:28. | |
a clear goal and stick to it. I'm really sorry, but we've got lots to | :04:29. | :04:31. | |
get through. Good to see you, thanks for coming in. To all of our viewers | :04:32. | :04:41. | |
in Scotland, thanks for being with us. You are leaving us at this | :04:42. | :04:47. | |
point. Thank you for joining us. In the meantime, more response from | :04:48. | :04:52. | |
Jane on College Green outside Parliament. | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
Welcome back to a blustery College Green but a very busy and a lot of | :04:58. | :05:03. | |
politicians of all, colours are here. Let's get their reaction. | :05:04. | :05:11. | |
Susan Kramer for the Lib Dems. And Nigel Farage, leader of the UK | :05:12. | :05:16. | |
Independence Party. Baroness Kramer, you will know I'm sure that one of | :05:17. | :05:19. | |
the biggest laughs was raised when he said were going to keep the lump | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
sum and abolish the Liberal Democrats. Are you feeling like a | :05:24. | :05:27. | |
party redundant? We are feeling like a very important party because we | :05:28. | :05:33. | |
are leading the way on confidence and managing the Budget. You look at | :05:34. | :05:38. | |
this particular Budget and he's missed his target and, as a | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
consequence, there's all kinds of hidden cuts in public spending. He | :05:43. | :05:48. | |
said 3.5 billion, mystery cuts, looking at schools, hospitals, | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
saying you need to put aside another 2 billion to go into pensions. | :05:55. | :05:57. | |
That's going to come off the front line. And a welcome cut in taxes for | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
business but it looks like it's coming out of local Government, so | :06:03. | :06:06. | |
your street cleaning, care for elderly people. It's not an | :06:07. | :06:11. | |
effective way to manage Government. You are a former Transport Minister. | :06:12. | :06:14. | |
You must like the infrastructure announcements. I had to look at the | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
announcements and kept thinking, didn't I announce those about a year | :06:20. | :06:24. | |
ago? It's all repeat stuff. We need to get down to doing it, not just | :06:25. | :06:29. | |
constantly announcing it. Nigel Farage, some elements to be | :06:30. | :06:35. | |
welcomed? Susan Kramer may feel she announced, but this investment. The | :06:36. | :06:37. | |
Northern Powerhouse, building up the regions. Inventing a Mayor for East | :06:38. | :06:43. | |
Anglian that no one is asked for. I hope they put that to a referendum | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
first. To me, we can talk that tax cuts and say this is good and not | :06:48. | :06:53. | |
good, but the big picture is growth will be 2% this year. Its forecast | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
to stay at 2% for the next five years. When you analyse about half | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
of it is because of mass immigration and publishing growth, more people, | :07:04. | :07:08. | |
a bigger economy, the rest of it is fuelled by a massive sea of | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
borrowing, personal borrowing and Government borrowing, you realise | :07:13. | :07:16. | |
Britain is not doing very well at all. He compared us to the Eurozone. | :07:17. | :07:21. | |
They are doing dreadfully. This Chancellor is massively increasing | :07:22. | :07:25. | |
the national debt and we don't have proper growth. He said he's going to | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
have a surplus. He said that in 2010. Since you became Chancellor, | :07:31. | :07:35. | |
he's doubled the size of our national debt. The issue you | :07:36. | :07:41. | |
mentioned, its investment in infrastructure, absolutely critical | :07:42. | :07:44. | |
to get that underpinning a genuine growth. When somebody announces | :07:45. | :07:49. | |
there's going to be another study, I really want to shake my head with | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
despair. We need acceleration to get the money on the ground and I'm very | :07:54. | :07:59. | |
comfortable if we borrow to do that, the capital stuff, because it's zero | :08:00. | :08:02. | |
interest rates right now, incredibly cheap, we can get that moving, broad | :08:03. | :08:09. | |
housing, transport, jute potential to drive the economy. I get that. | :08:10. | :08:15. | |
For the long-term. Ala annual Budget deficit is worse than Greece. That's | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
an honest appraisal of where we are. We are now in the seventh year this | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
Chancellor. A big flourish at the end will talk about personal tax | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
allowance and raising that. For a long time that was a big Lib Dem | :08:29. | :08:35. | |
policy. Has he stolen your policies? We are delighted when people follow | :08:36. | :08:42. | |
us and that's exactly right. On the other hand, he's going in there and | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
cutting capital gains tax. What's the deal with that? Taxing wealth is | :08:46. | :08:50. | |
what it's better to do than taxing people's income. I think he's | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
heading in the wrong direction but I'm glad he's lifted the fresh | :08:57. | :09:07. | |
rolls. -- thresholds. I'd love to see an increase in minimum wages. | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
I'd like to ask both of you about what tomorrow will be the rabbit in | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
that hat, attacks on sugary drinks. A massive problem with childhood | :09:18. | :09:24. | |
obesity the country. It totally well commit. Congratulations to Jamie | :09:25. | :09:27. | |
Oliver and the other campaign is up and down the country who have been | :09:28. | :09:31. | |
fighting for that. It's really important, but it's a small piece, | :09:32. | :09:35. | |
frankly, in a Budget with a lot of flaws and problems. I'm completely | :09:36. | :09:41. | |
against it. I don't like the nanny state. I believe in education. The | :09:42. | :09:45. | |
idea it'll go into school sports, budgets don't work like. Money goes | :09:46. | :09:50. | |
in one part and comes at the other side. If the deals with a big health | :09:51. | :09:54. | |
problem, a big health problem, growing problem, like... We tax | :09:55. | :09:58. | |
alcohol and tobacco. Now we are attacked sink sugar. -- tax sugar. | :09:59. | :10:07. | |
People go into the black market. 80% of hand tobacco is now bought the | :10:08. | :10:15. | |
market. It helped Mexico. People are buying fewer sugary drinks. But | :10:16. | :10:21. | |
there are still buying black-market booze and tobacco and even by class | :10:22. | :10:27. | |
a drugs in Westminster. It won't work. The schools Budget, Wally | :10:28. | :10:30. | |
didn't say is the Government is still cutting the amount of people, | :10:31. | :10:36. | |
so at least there's some little trickle coming back into school | :10:37. | :10:40. | |
Budget. As a consequence of the sugar tax and that's a good thing. | :10:41. | :10:44. | |
It doesn't deal with the underlying problem, we have to put more into | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
schools to keep up with the number of children coming in to school | :10:49. | :10:52. | |
places, teachers, high-quality teachers, and I would be in favour | :10:53. | :10:56. | |
of making sure teachers and other key public sector workers actually | :10:57. | :11:01. | |
got a pay rise after carrying posterity for so many years. We must | :11:02. | :11:11. | |
leave it there. Thank you very much. Jamie Oliver has recently turned up | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
among the throng at Westminster. He really is a man in demand. Much more | :11:16. | :11:20. | |
from here over the afternoon. Back to you. | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
Thank you. He made talk to you, who knows? Thank you to your guests. We | :11:26. | :11:32. | |
are joined now by Paul Johnson, one of our regular and cherished guests | :11:33. | :11:35. | |
on Budget day come the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies. | :11:36. | :11:39. | |
Lots of questions from viewers and Sullivan quite pointed. Overall, is | :11:40. | :11:46. | |
this a tax cutting Budget? Neither if you look over 2019 come and take | :11:47. | :11:53. | |
out the timing issues. There's some tax increases and tax cuts, but the | :11:54. | :11:59. | |
bottom line, the tax decisions come to put too much zero by 20 19-20 and | :12:00. | :12:04. | |
a bit of an increase in last year but essentially, not much. How | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
significant are the downward revisions to the growth forecast? | :12:10. | :12:13. | |
What difference do they make? A big difference. One of the reasons why | :12:14. | :12:17. | |
the chancellors had to do a lot to move money around in order to meet | :12:18. | :12:23. | |
its target in 19-20 because the growth estimates have gone down and | :12:24. | :12:27. | |
they have gone down largely because the OBR has changed its view about | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
productivity. A supplementary on that from one viewer who says, given | :12:32. | :12:35. | |
that they've changed in a short space of time, why on earth do we | :12:36. | :12:39. | |
pay so much attention to them? How credible are they? The best you can | :12:40. | :12:45. | |
do at the moment. These things are always moving, I often give | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
presentations that what's happening in the economy and I remind people | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
we don't know what happened last year let alone what's going to | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
happen in the future. The numbers are always been revised but they are | :12:57. | :13:00. | |
the best we can get the moment. That's very helpful. | :13:01. | :13:04. | |
LAUGHTER Another question which we discussed. | :13:05. | :13:09. | |
You are ideally placed to give us light on this. This transition as | :13:10. | :13:13. | |
some would have it, magical transition from big borrowing in | :13:14. | :13:23. | |
18-19, down to 19-20, cannot happen? Is it credible and on what it based? | :13:24. | :13:29. | |
There's one big change which is a timing change. The announcement last | :13:30. | :13:35. | |
year he was going to change the timing of corporation tax receipts | :13:36. | :13:38. | |
for big companies and he is now not going to do that in 2017-18, but | :13:39. | :13:46. | |
19-20 and that means he's losing money in the earlier years balloted | :13:47. | :13:48. | |
to the last Supper forecasts and gaining an awful lot in 19-20, a | :13:49. | :13:55. | |
timing change. That seems entirely credible. There's no reason why he's | :13:56. | :14:00. | |
done that, purely to flatter the numbers or I don't know. That's the | :14:01. | :14:06. | |
biggest single thing. And then there's another change in timing, | :14:07. | :14:12. | |
he's cutting investment spending in 19-20 but increasing it in the | :14:13. | :14:17. | |
earlier years so he's changing the way things are timed and there are | :14:18. | :14:20. | |
some real spending cuts in there as well which we don't know the details | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
of parties announced some real spending cuts and some real stuff in | :14:25. | :14:28. | |
there and from timing changes. If you go from big borrowing to a | :14:29. | :14:32. | |
surplus, it seems to suggest the economy is suddenly in a much better | :14:33. | :14:36. | |
place but what you're saying is this is just a matter of moving some | :14:37. | :14:39. | |
money around. It's not because the economy is going to be in a better | :14:40. | :14:43. | |
place but because of moving money around and imposing additional | :14:44. | :14:44. | |
spending cuts. We didn't get to that point with our | :14:45. | :14:51. | |
previous conversation for obvious reasons! But that's quite | :14:52. | :14:55. | |
illuminating, isn't it? It is indeed. All these forecasts are | :14:56. | :15:01. | |
based upon the Treasury taking receipts about certain times and | :15:02. | :15:05. | |
about payments being made at certain times. Businesses don't pay taxes at | :15:06. | :15:12. | |
the end of the month like we do, Paul Johnson's point about the tax | :15:13. | :15:16. | |
changes from last year and the changes announced today will be a | :15:17. | :15:20. | |
business tax rise of about ?2 billion as Simon pointed out | :15:21. | :15:24. | |
earlier. ?7 billion advantage for smaller businesses, but ?9 billion | :15:25. | :15:28. | |
tax take from larger business, that's a ?2 billion gain for the | :15:29. | :15:36. | |
Government. That will be booked in 2019/2020 and this interest debt | :15:37. | :15:40. | |
payment, if you look through the tables, they are booking quite a | :15:41. | :15:43. | |
gain for the Government on the amount of money it will spend, | :15:44. | :15:49. | |
paying for the debts it has. One interesting thing we didn't manage | :15:50. | :15:53. | |
to ask Mr Hancock, the minister, they have got this budget surplus | :15:54. | :15:58. | |
rule that they are saying we must adhere to, well they have forgotten | :15:59. | :16:01. | |
they have missed another of their targets which is debt reducing as a | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
proportion of national income. And that's significant? Well, it is not | :16:06. | :16:14. | |
at all significant actually. LAUGHTER | :16:15. | :16:22. | |
I meant politically Paul. Politically politically? We have | :16:23. | :16:26. | |
seen this coming as I think Rupert said, we have seen this coming for a | :16:27. | :16:29. | |
while, not meeting this rule. And actually, economically, it really | :16:30. | :16:32. | |
doesn't matter very much at all. The one... Reputationly. Reputationly | :16:33. | :16:41. | |
the one the Chancellor tied his colours to the mast on is the 1920 | :16:42. | :16:47. | |
rule and that clearly matters in and is significant. Not economically, it | :16:48. | :16:54. | |
matters politically? Whether it is a 2 billion surplus or a 2 billion | :16:55. | :17:02. | |
deficit to be aiming at a balance as opposed to a deficit does matter. | :17:03. | :17:12. | |
What Paul reminded us how uncertain every spread sheet is and where the | :17:13. | :17:16. | |
decimal point where, for George Osborne this was a rebuilding Budget | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
because he was going to have to fess up the numbers on which he based his | :17:22. | :17:25. | |
plans in November were wrong. No more sunshine on our dark clouds | :17:26. | :17:30. | |
looming you cans but I think the big bold ideas on pensions, on the sugar | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
tax, on business rates, on big changes to devolution are about | :17:35. | :17:38. | |
something else, they are about his political journey and his hopes of | :17:39. | :17:42. | |
rebuilding his reputation inside his own party which has taken a serious | :17:43. | :17:47. | |
dent in the last six months or so. Because it is absolutely the case | :17:48. | :17:51. | |
that he fancies his chances as becoming the next Prime Minister, | :17:52. | :17:54. | |
the next leader of the Conservative Party, his friend and neighbour, | :17:55. | :17:57. | |
right now, has put that on the table as an issue because David Cameron | :17:58. | :18:00. | |
told us during the general election that he wouldn't do a full term. So | :18:01. | :18:05. | |
wherever the actual numbers end up here? George Osborne has continually | :18:06. | :18:09. | |
missed his targets. He hasn't been able to achieve his plans and the | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
politics about rebuilding all of that are just as important. | :18:13. | :18:20. | |
If the Chancellor knew back in November what he knows now, would he | :18:21. | :18:23. | |
have done something different with his, I know you have been critical | :18:24. | :18:28. | |
of this, this ?27 billion tax windfall, could he have avoided the | :18:29. | :18:31. | |
situation he is in now if he spent that differently? Well, again, I | :18:32. | :18:36. | |
mean, that ?27 billion is one of these numbers that is over a number | :18:37. | :18:42. | |
of years, so it didn't make much difference to his 2019 target. Last | :18:43. | :18:47. | |
year, he put taxes up by a lot, by ?10 billion and that's one, that's | :18:48. | :18:51. | |
the main reason why he didn't have to make such big spending cuts in | :18:52. | :18:54. | |
the autumn as we thought that he might have to do. What he is facing | :18:55. | :19:02. | |
is a worse economic outlook and the really important thing underlying | :19:03. | :19:09. | |
this is, much gloomier predictions about what is happening to | :19:10. | :19:15. | |
productivity, it means less in the way of wage increases, as the famous | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
saying goes, productivity isn't the only thing that matters, but in the | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
long run, it is almost the only thing and so almost the only thing | :19:24. | :19:27. | |
that matters has got in the OBR's opinion significantly worse going | :19:28. | :19:32. | |
forward. A final thought on the prominence on the European appeal | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
that the Chancellor made, using the OBR's own kind of information. | :19:37. | :19:40. | |
Again, what was your thought there in terms of the certainty or the | :19:41. | :19:44. | |
lack of certainty that people can apply to the scenarios of whether | :19:45. | :19:52. | |
we're in or whether we're out? Well, all of these numbers are abased on | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
the assumption that we stay in. What the Chancellor said was that the OBR | :19:57. | :20:05. | |
would say if we vote to go out, uncertainty increases. If | :20:06. | :20:09. | |
uncertainty increases then uncertainty about the numbers | :20:10. | :20:11. | |
increases and that was what I heard him say and that seemed to me almost | :20:12. | :20:16. | |
a statement of the obvious. Like a placing in the prominence right | :20:17. | :20:20. | |
upfront and centre at the beginning of his speech spoke volumes and that | :20:21. | :20:26. | |
would have made some people cross. This is from another viewer, this is | :20:27. | :20:31. | |
his eighth Budget in six years and this is his 16th financial | :20:32. | :20:34. | |
statement. There were two Budgets last year and a financial statement | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
in the autumn. Does Paul think it is too many? Yes. | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
LAUGHTER You will put us out of business! We | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
are not allowed to say anything. I think every business lobby would | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
agree with that. They like certainty and every chancellor has to do | :20:53. | :20:55. | |
something every time they stand up and them having to adjust to that is | :20:56. | :20:59. | |
a big burden on business. There is a problem the way we make tax an | :21:00. | :21:05. | |
economic policy because it is done in secret and sprung on us twice a | :21:06. | :21:10. | |
year, doesn't look like it is part of a planned strategy, yes, we have | :21:11. | :21:14. | |
too many of these and we do them in the wrong way. Paul, thank you very | :21:15. | :21:18. | |
much and we will let you get away to enjoy the red book! | :21:19. | :21:20. | |
LAUGHTER Paul Johnson from the IFS. We are | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
going straight to the Houses of Parliament because we are going to | :21:25. | :21:30. | |
talk to Stewart Jose, the SNP's deputy lead leader. Stewart, thank | :21:31. | :21:33. | |
you for joining us and thank you for waiting patiently. Are you in favour | :21:34. | :21:37. | |
of a sugar levy? Yeah, I think that's a sensible initiative and | :21:38. | :21:40. | |
there were a number of small modest initiatives in the Budget that we | :21:41. | :21:45. | |
can all welcome, but at its heart, you know, I can't believe he is | :21:46. | :21:51. | |
going to get away with this. The debt deficit borrowing numbers, the | :21:52. | :21:55. | |
fiscal targets he set are so wrong. We have a position where the | :21:56. | :21:59. | |
borrowing, which he promised for this year, won't be met for another | :22:00. | :22:04. | |
four or five years. Quite an incredible tally of failure from | :22:05. | :22:07. | |
George Osborne. When you say some modest measures, | :22:08. | :22:12. | |
first of all, can we tackle the measures you put on North Sea Oil | :22:13. | :22:19. | |
and gas which clearly have interest for Scottish voters? Very welcome. | :22:20. | :22:23. | |
We called for the measures. I have also said there should have been | :22:24. | :22:29. | |
more a more strategic focus on exploration and production | :22:30. | :22:32. | |
allowances. In terms of the supplementary charges are there to | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
be welcomed. The same with fuel duty and the same with whisky, measures | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
like that are very sensible, it is the big picture, the big narrative | :22:40. | :22:43. | |
and the big failure which was actually breathtaking today. | :22:44. | :22:52. | |
When you look, as you say, you are alleging failure in those areas and | :22:53. | :22:55. | |
we understand why you are making that case from your prospective, but | :22:56. | :22:58. | |
the Scottish Government which is looking to gain more powers and to | :22:59. | :23:02. | |
have morphisical responsibility, what then would it do in a dimp way? | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
I'm thinking for example of tax thresholds would it adopt the ones | :23:08. | :23:10. | |
that for example Mr Osborne has outlined today? Well, we have said | :23:11. | :23:16. | |
the basic rate would go up. In terms of the 40 Pens threshold, we will | :23:17. | :23:19. | |
have a look at what this means today. But I have to say, increasing | :23:20. | :23:26. | |
the 40 pence threshold way above inflation at the same time as | :23:27. | :23:30. | |
confirming billions of cuts from disabled people is probably not an | :23:31. | :23:33. | |
approach that we would be wanting to take. | :23:34. | :23:38. | |
That threshold, just to be clear, some viewers, just to recap, is | :23:39. | :23:42. | |
going up to ?45,000, are you saying that an SNP Government wouldn't be | :23:43. | :23:45. | |
too keen on that? Well, what we have said is we would look at the 40 | :23:46. | :23:50. | |
pence threshold, the threshold after the Budget this week and we have | :23:51. | :23:53. | |
just had it. What I'm saying to you, and I couldn't be more clearer, to | :23:54. | :23:59. | |
increase the 40 pence threshold way above inflation, while taking | :24:00. | :24:02. | |
billions from disabled people doesn't seem fair, doesn't seem | :24:03. | :24:05. | |
balanced and doesn't seem a very sensible thing to do That's an | :24:06. | :24:11. | |
interesting point. You are criticising George Osborne for a | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
breathtaking to use your words to hit his own targets of clearing the | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
deficit and driving the debt down, yet at the same time, you're saying | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
you would oppose the cut to disability payments, you have | :24:24. | :24:27. | |
opposed all the way along, but you have opposed cuts he already made. | :24:28. | :24:32. | |
You are trying to absolutely have it both ways, you can't criticise him | :24:33. | :24:36. | |
for not getting the debt down and oppose every cut? I'm not trying to | :24:37. | :24:41. | |
have it both ways. We have put forward a completely alternative | :24:42. | :24:52. | |
model. A modest 0.5% in spending. It took a little longer, we were clear | :24:53. | :24:55. | |
about that. We said to George Osborne however, he would fail his | :24:56. | :24:59. | |
slash and burn approach to the economy, his austerity model, would | :25:00. | :25:04. | |
fail. He said it wouldn't. And it has on debt, on deficit, on | :25:05. | :25:13. | |
borrowing, on his trade and export commitment, there is no point George | :25:14. | :25:16. | |
Osborne willing the ends of something and delivering means which | :25:17. | :25:23. | |
are always going to fail. On the broader picture when you look | :25:24. | :25:26. | |
at the direction of travel of the UK economy and of course, Scotland is a | :25:27. | :25:30. | |
very important part of that, I'm just wondering what you would | :25:31. | :25:34. | |
suggest in terms of the patterns of public spending that should change | :25:35. | :25:38. | |
because clearly, we are in a corner if you look at figures and I'm | :25:39. | :25:41. | |
wondering where you see the room for manoeuvre? Well, there are small | :25:42. | :25:46. | |
things that one can do, that governments can do that make a | :25:47. | :25:49. | |
difference. If we're serious about productivity, let's listen to the | :25:50. | :25:52. | |
IMF when it comes to capital investment. If we're serious about | :25:53. | :25:58. | |
innovation, let's look at the modest measures the Scottish Government | :25:59. | :26:01. | |
have taken to support innovation, more inventions and more companies | :26:02. | :26:04. | |
working directly with academia. If we are serious about these things, | :26:05. | :26:07. | |
there are always measures that can be taken, things that can be done. I | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
don't think anyone should be closed to ideas no matter where they came | :26:12. | :26:16. | |
from. There are lots we can do to boost productivity, boost growth, | :26:17. | :26:19. | |
boost tax yield, which are positive and sensible. | :26:20. | :26:23. | |
In terms of taxation policy and I'm thinking about the kind of message | :26:24. | :26:26. | |
that you deliver to people in Scotland, who are thinking ahead for | :26:27. | :26:30. | |
the next two or three years, and I say as I mentioned the increased | :26:31. | :26:34. | |
powers that the Government is getting in Scotland. And are you | :26:35. | :26:38. | |
therefore, saying that they can't look forward to some of the | :26:39. | :26:42. | |
effective cuts that Mr Osborne is himself putting forward? Oh, the | :26:43. | :26:47. | |
basic rate threshold is unchanged, that's the basic rate threshold and | :26:48. | :26:50. | |
everyone benefits from that. The problem with what he has done today, | :26:51. | :26:55. | |
by increasing the 40 Pens threshold way above inflation and not tackling | :26:56. | :26:59. | |
those who are earning modestly and won't benefit from an increase in | :27:00. | :27:03. | |
the basic rate threshold, at the same time as cutting in work | :27:04. | :27:07. | |
benefits which are vital is the wrong package of measures. And when | :27:08. | :27:12. | |
it comes, I'm getting a lot of messages from disabled people who | :27:13. | :27:16. | |
say they are concerned about continued cuts in welfare, what is | :27:17. | :27:20. | |
your message on that? Well, we have laid out a number of things already. | :27:21. | :27:24. | |
We maybe able to do in Scotland with some of the welfare powers we're | :27:25. | :27:29. | |
getting. I think what we need to do is look again in the light of | :27:30. | :27:34. | |
today's announcement and see what more can be done to help those | :27:35. | :27:38. | |
Clearly, that again people. , is in the context of very difficult public | :27:39. | :27:41. | |
spending targets ismt' just wondering again, where is your room | :27:42. | :27:46. | |
for manoeuvre there then? We have had to balance the books every year | :27:47. | :27:51. | |
in Scotland. Since the Scottish Parliament was formed, since the | :27:52. | :27:54. | |
Scottish National Party came to power. We know how to balance the | :27:55. | :27:58. | |
books and we know how to make tough decision. These are not unavoidable | :27:59. | :28:02. | |
decision however, these are all political choices. George Osborne | :28:03. | :28:08. | |
did not have to raise the tax threshold and take money from | :28:09. | :28:13. | |
disabled people. He didn't have to do that. It was a political choice. | :28:14. | :28:17. | |
We will layout in the manifesto all the right and appropriate political | :28:18. | :28:21. | |
choices. Just to finish, I'm noticing a fut comments on social | :28:22. | :28:24. | |
media here based on your comments as well. I want to underline this and | :28:25. | :28:29. | |
get it very clearment you are saying that you are simply not keen on the | :28:30. | :28:34. | |
prospect of raising that threshold to ?45,000 for higher earners that | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
is not a policy that the SNP is supporting? No, I'm saying clearly, | :28:39. | :28:43. | |
indeed, to having an above inflation in the 40 pence threshold when you | :28:44. | :28:47. | |
are cutting money from the poorest and most vulnerable people in the | :28:48. | :28:51. | |
country strikes me as a return to the nasty party from George Osborne. | :28:52. | :28:56. | |
The implication is clear. Thank you very much for young us. I must end | :28:57. | :29:02. | |
there. -- joining us. I must enthere. The time is coming up to | :29:03. | :29:06. | |
3pm and we are saying goodbye to our viewers on the BBC News Channel. We | :29:07. | :29:09. | |
are staying, of course, on BBC Two. To our viewers on the BBC News | :29:10. | :29:13. | |
Channel, thank you for being with us and I will see you at 5pm. Thanks | :29:14. | :29:16. |