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Good morning, you are watching BBC News, the time is edging up to 1130 | :00:07. | :00:16. | |
AM. All eyes on Westminster today. We are building up to the Autumn | :00:17. | :00:20. | |
Statement, the Spending Review. We will be hearing from the Chancellor, | :00:21. | :00:24. | |
George Osborne, who left the Treasury in the last 15 minutes to | :00:25. | :00:29. | |
make his way to Parliament. We will hear his plans and proposals. It is | :00:30. | :00:34. | |
a Spending Review that is being widely trailed as shaping British | :00:35. | :00:40. | |
politics for the next four or five years. To what extent will we hear | :00:41. | :00:47. | |
about spending? To what extent will we hear about cats Mac. Now a | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
special programme taking you through all the developments of the day. | :00:52. | :00:56. | |
With Andrew Neil -- to what extent will be about cats? | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
George Osborne wants Britain to live within its means. | :01:00. | :01:01. | |
His critics say he's cutting public services to the bone. | :01:02. | :01:06. | |
We'll find out what the Chancellor has in store for us all | :01:07. | :01:09. | |
in an hour when he tells us how he's going to spend OUR money over | :01:10. | :01:13. | |
Welcome to this BBC News special on the Chancellor's combined | :01:14. | :01:45. | |
Spending Review and Autumn Statement for 2015, which will help define tax | :01:46. | :01:49. | |
and spend in this country for the rest of the decade. | :01:50. | :01:52. | |
Mr Osborne faces some tough choices. | :01:53. | :01:56. | |
He wants to spend more on health, defence, security and now housing, | :01:57. | :02:09. | |
all the while balancing the books by 2020, which means big cuts to | :02:10. | :02:13. | |
That's not to mention the little matter of rowing back | :02:14. | :02:17. | |
I'm here at this brand new shopping centre in Birmingham, the city | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
at the heart of what the chancellor calls the Midlands Engine. | :02:22. | :02:25. | |
I'll be getting reaction from businesses, local government, | :02:26. | :02:27. | |
We'll also be in our virtual Treasury courtyard to look at where | :02:28. | :02:39. | |
the chancellor can find the ?20 billion of savings he says he | :02:40. | :02:42. | |
I'll be here outside Parliament getting reaction from | :02:43. | :02:47. | |
across the political spectrum to a speech that could define | :02:48. | :02:49. | |
Follow the story and find the best analysis on the BBC News website | :02:50. | :03:02. | |
throughout the day. Did I mention the best analysis? | :03:03. | :03:04. | |
Speaking of the best analysis, I'm joined | :03:05. | :03:06. | |
for the next four hours by the BBC's political editor Laura Kuenssberg, | :03:07. | :03:09. | |
our business editor Kamal Ahmed, and in his farewell lap before he | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
leaves the BBC, our outgoing economics editor Robert Peston. | :03:14. | :03:21. | |
We'll be frisking him before he leaves | :03:22. | :03:25. | |
the studio to check he's not running off with any of the stationery. | :03:26. | :03:29. | |
He is prone to do that, I've been told! Welcome to you all. | :03:30. | :03:35. | |
So it's a big day for the Chancellor - and for the country. | :03:36. | :03:38. | |
It's Mr Osborne's 3rd Spending Review since he entered | :03:39. | :03:40. | |
At its core, he will set out how much is to be spent on government | :03:41. | :03:47. | |
departments and public services over the next four financial years. | :03:48. | :03:50. | |
Cumulatively we're talking about well over three TRILLION pounds. | :03:51. | :03:58. | |
And if that's not enough excitement for one day, this year he's combined | :03:59. | :04:01. | |
his Spending Review with his annual Autumn Statement, which sets out | :04:02. | :04:04. | |
the latest official forecasts for inflation, employment, borrowing and | :04:05. | :04:06. | |
other key indicators for the course of our economy through 2016. | :04:07. | :04:09. | |
So a lot riding on today for the economy, | :04:10. | :04:15. | |
our public services, our national and economic security and, of | :04:16. | :04:17. | |
You have seen George Osborne leaving the Treasury just a few minutes ago, | :04:18. | :04:30. | |
he made the trip safely but the Prime Minister's car had a prank | :04:31. | :04:33. | |
today outside number ten Downing St. Yes, there it is! A bit of a bang. | :04:34. | :04:43. | |
We don't know if the Prime Minister was inside. I am sure that | :04:44. | :04:47. | |
government ministers will hope that is not an omen of things to come, we | :04:48. | :04:52. | |
could not resist letting you see it. Statements like this are always | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
political, Laura. The Chancellor is under special brush, he's promised | :04:58. | :05:01. | |
to get us into surplus by the end of the decade and stomach every time he | :05:02. | :05:04. | |
turns a corner someone says they want more. Today is where the | :05:05. | :05:10. | |
rhetoric of the Tory election campaign that got them back into | :05:11. | :05:15. | |
power smashes into reality. The big aspiration is also the difficulty. | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
How do you make a set of hard fought decisions, hefty cuts to many | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
departments, look as if they are a programme, a coherent programme | :05:26. | :05:27. | |
matches the priorities of those matches the priorities of those | :05:28. | :05:31. | |
millions of floating voters in the middle who the Tories didn't just | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
want to get in this year but want to secure with an even bigger majority | :05:37. | :05:40. | |
next time around. That is what it's all about. The difficulty is, along | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
with more money for health and housing which they believe is near | :05:45. | :05:46. | |
the top of the voters's lists, is the top of the voters's lists, is | :05:47. | :05:50. | |
less money for the Home Office and local council, cuts to social care | :05:51. | :05:54. | |
and to the police and the most acute demonstration of all, what will he | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
do about tax credits. Significant cuts to tax credits for people in | :06:00. | :06:05. | |
work. He's already had to signal a humiliating U-turn on this and the | :06:06. | :06:08. | |
detail with what he comes up with to soften that Blair will be crucial. | :06:09. | :06:14. | |
He is only halfway through his deficit reduction strategy which he | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
started in 2010. He should have finished it by now and he's only | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
halfway through. Yet on health and security, tax credits, all of | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
things, is being asked to and will have to spend more money. Indeed. | :06:27. | :06:31. | |
The benign into protection is that this government is brave enough to | :06:32. | :06:34. | |
decide priorities, more money for things that people care about and | :06:35. | :06:38. | |
less money for things that they decide are less important. The less | :06:39. | :06:41. | |
benign interpretation is a completely lopsided approach | :06:42. | :06:47. | |
gradually balancing the books that makes it almost impossible to get | :06:48. | :06:50. | |
anywhere significant. There are some in the Conservative Party who | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
believe that the ring fencing of health and other departments was a | :06:55. | :06:58. | |
fundamental strategic mistake. But instead of looking at the books than | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
starting from zero, they are looking at the books in a way that makes it | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
lopsided and therefore making the sums add up in a way that they have | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
promised to do, makes it almost impossible. Benchmark OK. We should | :07:12. | :07:17. | |
point out that nobody was injured in the making of that crash, if a crash | :07:18. | :07:19. | |
occurred. of savings | :07:20. | :07:21. | |
the Chancellor says is needed to eliminate the deficit, move | :07:22. | :07:25. | |
into modest surplus, by 2019-20. We'll look in a moment at where | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
he might find those savings. First, Robert, take us through | :07:31. | :07:33. | |
the Osborne plan. Such as it is. The background is, | :07:34. | :07:41. | |
his famous fiscal rules, which were in the last parliaments, honoured | :07:42. | :07:45. | |
more in the breach than in the hitting. So let's look at the | :07:46. | :07:52. | |
deficit that he forecast for this financial year just a few months ago | :07:53. | :07:59. | |
in the July budget. He said he expected a deficit of just below 70 | :08:00. | :08:04. | |
million pounds. We know that he will miss that because the borrowing | :08:05. | :08:07. | |
figures are of course and tax revenue isn't coming in in the way | :08:08. | :08:11. | |
he would like -- ?70 billion. Spending is a little higher than he | :08:12. | :08:17. | |
would like. Over the course of the parliament in the last budget he saw | :08:18. | :08:20. | |
that deficit declining and achieving a surplus as I think you've read you | :08:21. | :08:29. | |
mentioned, of ?10 million, in 2019, two ?20 billion. -- ?20 billion. The | :08:30. | :08:36. | |
sort of things you have mentioned with Laura, the priority is to spend | :08:37. | :08:43. | |
things on housing. -- spend on things like housing. Let's put it | :08:44. | :08:46. | |
now into the context of the national debt. A whopping ?1.5 trillion in | :08:47. | :08:51. | |
rent on a bus. In percentage terms that began the last parliament at | :08:52. | :08:58. | |
just below 70% of GDP, or national income. It has risen progressively, | :08:59. | :09:05. | |
painfully, since then. And is currently a little over 80% of GDP. | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
In that last Budget the Chancellor made a big thing about how this | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
would be the peak year for debt as a percentage of GDP. He might not | :09:16. | :09:20. | |
achieve that. Let's see what the OBR says. We'll have to wait until April | :09:21. | :09:24. | |
to find at the truth of that. Borrowing isn't going quite as well | :09:25. | :09:29. | |
as he would want. That said, he will make a priority of trying to get the | :09:30. | :09:35. | |
debt down significantly over the parliament, the last set of | :09:36. | :09:40. | |
forecasts saw the debt falling as a share of GDP to around 72% of our | :09:41. | :09:46. | |
national income. The background to this, what matters to him and us is | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
what happens to the economy in the round. He started the last | :09:52. | :09:57. | |
Parliament with very weak growth. 0.7% at its weakest in the last | :09:58. | :10:02. | |
Parliament but then it grew progressively and accelerated | :10:03. | :10:07. | |
progressively up to 2.9% last. That was the fastest GDP growth of the | :10:08. | :10:12. | |
biggest developed economy. Almost back to where we were before. But | :10:13. | :10:17. | |
growth has weakened since. We expected to be around 2.4% this | :10:18. | :10:23. | |
year. And actually we do not expect it to accelerate much from that in | :10:24. | :10:26. | |
the coming years. It could even weaken a little. Why? Because of | :10:27. | :10:32. | |
what is happening on the other side of the world. You and I have talked | :10:33. | :10:36. | |
a lot about the slowdown in China. It is the big economic event now. We | :10:37. | :10:45. | |
can't rule out the Chinese crash. -- a Chinese crash. If that would | :10:46. | :10:48. | |
happen everything we would hear today would become irrelevant | :10:49. | :10:51. | |
because the shock to the global economy in those circumstances would | :10:52. | :10:54. | |
be significant. He is making great play of making friends with China. | :10:55. | :10:59. | |
He is assuming that the slowdown in China will be gradual and | :11:00. | :11:03. | |
manageable. We must wait and see. We must. Thank you, Robert. Today's | :11:04. | :11:09. | |
Spending Review will set limits for each Whitehall department for each | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
of the next four financial years, 22020. The Chancellor has been | :11:14. | :11:16. | |
locked in discussions with Cabinet colleagues for weeks to agree the | :11:17. | :11:19. | |
figures. The meetings have taken place at the Treasury just across | :11:20. | :11:23. | |
the road from the House of Commons. You can see it. The Chancellor | :11:24. | :11:27. | |
claimed Sunday that negotiations have been amicable. Not a word that | :11:28. | :11:33. | |
ministers whose departments phase massive cuts -- face massive cuts by | :11:34. | :11:39. | |
using. We'll find out who is bruised, | :11:40. | :11:44. | |
bloodied or unbowed today. At the heart of the Treasury is | :11:45. | :11:46. | |
a circular courtyard - you might recognise it because it's often used | :11:47. | :11:49. | |
as a location for filming, including the latest James Bond, which means | :11:50. | :11:52. | |
it's now famous across the globe. Now, we couldn't get Jo Coburn | :11:53. | :11:55. | |
inside the real courtyard, despite her being pretty famous - but here | :11:56. | :11:57. | |
she is to tell us more about Welcome to our virtual Treasury | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
courtyard. Now, they don't have one of these | :12:02. | :12:03. | |
in the real courtyard, but it represents everything that | :12:04. | :12:06. | |
the Government is due to spend this I'm going to start by highlighting | :12:07. | :12:09. | |
a few of the most significant parts You can see the ?217 billion | :12:10. | :12:17. | |
that goes on social security. That includes everything | :12:18. | :12:29. | |
from Jobseeker's Allowance to And there's the ?35 billion the UK | :12:30. | :12:35. | |
is due to spend this year George Osborne says that's a figure | :12:36. | :12:39. | |
he's is determined to bring down. Now, the focus of today's statement | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
is the money that goes on administering and delivering public | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
services - departmental spending. And you can see it's just under | :12:48. | :12:49. | |
half of the total the Government Now, we're going to delve into | :12:50. | :12:57. | |
the budgets of a few of the most Because it's the NHS that accounts | :12:58. | :13:00. | |
for the biggest chunk Now, the Chancellor isn't going to | :13:01. | :13:10. | |
find any of his savings here, because he has promised to increase | :13:11. | :13:14. | |
NHS funding in England The Government has also promised | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
a real-terms increase That's part of its commitment to | :13:19. | :13:26. | |
meeting the Nato target of spending The Government has also committed to | :13:27. | :13:33. | |
spending 0.7% of GDP on overseas aid, meaning that budget | :13:34. | :13:42. | |
is also protected. So, the Chancellor is not going to | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
find any of his ?20 billion of savings he says he needs to make | :13:47. | :13:54. | |
from either health, defence or aid. So, | :13:55. | :13:57. | |
where could it come from instead? What about from the education | :13:58. | :14:00. | |
budget, a big part of what the state Here, | :14:01. | :14:04. | |
the Conservatives have promised a cash increase per pupil | :14:05. | :14:06. | |
in schools. That means savings | :14:07. | :14:10. | |
from here would be limited, although the rest of the budget doesn't have | :14:11. | :14:14. | |
any guaranteed protection. Here is the money that goes | :14:15. | :14:18. | |
to English local authorities. This was one of the first | :14:19. | :14:23. | |
departments to agree to big savings The Home Office, on the other hand, | :14:24. | :14:26. | |
took longer And the single biggest thing | :14:27. | :14:32. | |
Theresa May's department spends money on is the grant it gives to | :14:33. | :14:37. | |
police forces in England and Wales, although they also get some of their | :14:38. | :14:42. | |
money from other sources, including And some of the other departments | :14:43. | :14:45. | |
that are going to have to find big savings over | :14:46. | :14:55. | |
the next four years are the Departments of Business, | :14:56. | :14:57. | |
Transport and Justice. Let's go back to that big part | :14:58. | :14:59. | |
of Government spending I mentioned Of course, that is where a lot | :15:00. | :15:02. | |
of the focus has been in the weeks Now, again, here, there is plenty | :15:03. | :15:08. | |
the Chancellor won't touch. The State Pension is | :15:09. | :15:20. | |
a massive part of the Budget. But the Government has a | :15:21. | :15:23. | |
long-standing promise not to cut it, along with various pensioner | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
benefits. The other areas of big spending | :15:28. | :15:30. | |
the Government has had to look to are housing benefit, disability | :15:31. | :15:33. | |
benefits and incapacity benefits. And you can see that big sum | :15:34. | :15:37. | |
of money, ?30 billion, that is due to be spent | :15:38. | :15:46. | |
on personal tax credits this year - an area where the Chancellor has | :15:47. | :15:49. | |
found that making savings can prove Let's speak to Kamal Ahmed. One | :15:50. | :16:03. | |
business that seems to be very happy because of what was leaked overnight | :16:04. | :16:08. | |
by the Treasury, this 400,000 affordable homes, this morning the | :16:09. | :16:10. | |
house-building shares went through the roof? They did indeed. What is | :16:11. | :16:18. | |
interesting is how much the Government needs the private sector | :16:19. | :16:21. | |
to support delivery. The big strategic purpose of George Osborne | :16:22. | :16:26. | |
is to take pressure off state provision and give it to the private | :16:27. | :16:31. | |
sector and say, you help us provide the kind of country and economy we | :16:32. | :16:35. | |
want. In house-building, one of the big issues, the centrepiece of David | :16:36. | :16:40. | |
Cameron's conference speech last month, he said he wanted to help | :16:41. | :16:44. | |
people into affordable homes, is an absolute example of that. The | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
government have struggled with this supply problem. The issue they have | :16:49. | :16:52. | |
had is that they have been in increasing demand. -- increasing | :16:53. | :16:59. | |
demand. The support that we are hearing will be in the Autumn | :17:00. | :17:04. | |
Statement which will help people buy affordable homes, again increases | :17:05. | :17:07. | |
demand. It will put direct money into housing companies, for them to | :17:08. | :17:11. | |
build affordable homes. The big problem though is that housing new | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
bills are actually down slightly. That is because there is a real | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
skills shortage in housing. They cannot find enough brickies. I went | :17:23. | :17:26. | |
to one developer and in south-west London and it closed down on | :17:27. | :17:30. | |
Thursday night because by then the bricklayers had got their money for | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
the week and take on Friday off. The house-building companies are | :17:35. | :17:37. | |
building as many houses as they feel comfortable with. Their profits are | :17:38. | :17:43. | |
up hugely, 40%. The other big area is, how will social care change? | :17:44. | :17:48. | |
Moving tax down to local authorities to supply support for social care, | :17:49. | :17:52. | |
how will that have an impact? It is the private sector who provide the | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
vast bulk of social care homes. They have been complaining about | :17:58. | :18:00. | |
particularly the rise to the national living wage affecting their | :18:01. | :18:05. | |
business. They have being squeezed by having to pay more, and getting | :18:06. | :18:10. | |
less money from the local authorities? Exactly. Companies like | :18:11. | :18:17. | |
four seasons, the biggest care home provider in the UK, has been saying | :18:18. | :18:20. | |
that it is now no longer profitable to provide social care in places for | :18:21. | :18:26. | |
a local authority people. That has become very difficult. Finally, | :18:27. | :18:33. | |
Sajid Javid, the Business Secretary, one of those unprotected | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
departments, further education, how much of an attack on his department | :18:38. | :18:44. | |
will there be? If you have just joined us on BBC Two and the BBC | :18:45. | :18:48. | |
News channel, you are watching our coverage of the Spending Review and | :18:49. | :18:49. | |
the Autumn Statement. Jane Hill is Oliver Dowden and Rebecca Long | :18:50. | :19:11. | |
Bailey join me. It is a spending review. Are we going to be looking | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
at headlines tomorrow all about cuts? Are those the sort of | :19:16. | :19:18. | |
headlines George Osborne is comfortable with? The headlines he | :19:19. | :19:23. | |
will become travel with and the mission of this government, we are | :19:24. | :19:27. | |
still in a situation where the Government is spending more than it | :19:28. | :19:31. | |
earns. Every pound of borrowing is paid for by future generations. We | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
are determined to get that under control. Run a surplus by the end of | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
the Parliament, which means by the next crisis hits, we are spending | :19:42. | :19:45. | |
less than we earn. That will be the central thrust, I hope, of the | :19:46. | :19:50. | |
statement. There are plenty of economists, they say the Chancellor | :19:51. | :19:56. | |
has locked himself into a corner, that giving a date is boxing himself | :19:57. | :20:04. | |
in. It is important we have a date. By 2019 the economy hopefully will | :20:05. | :20:07. | |
have been growing for almost ten years. The economy has been growing | :20:08. | :20:12. | |
for ten years and we still cannot run a surplus, how will we ever be | :20:13. | :20:16. | |
able to cope when the economy inevitably falls into another | :20:17. | :20:20. | |
recession? We do not believe boom and bust has been abolished on that | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
side of the house. Rebecca, there have to be cuts for the reasons | :20:26. | :20:30. | |
Oliver explains? I agree we need to reduce our deficit but it needs to | :20:31. | :20:34. | |
be done in the long term and in a sustainable way. The Chancellor has | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
not offered that. He has missed its financial targets again and again. | :20:39. | :20:42. | |
The Institute for Fiscal Studies have stated in order to meet his | :20:43. | :20:46. | |
target this time, he will have to make unprecedented cuts. They will | :20:47. | :20:52. | |
fall on areas of key economic growth, such as education, skills, | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
business investment. We need to start planning our infrastructure, | :20:58. | :21:01. | |
our manufacturing strategy. I doubt very much we will see any that | :21:02. | :21:07. | |
today. Business editor at the same share prices are up in | :21:08. | :21:13. | |
house-building companies. If we get lots of building, will that be the | :21:14. | :21:16. | |
one positive that even your party agree with? I think the Chancellor | :21:17. | :21:23. | |
is a shrewd political operator. He will offer some sweeteners to lessen | :21:24. | :21:28. | |
the blow. In terms of house-building, the devil is always | :21:29. | :21:32. | |
in the detail. I welcome his pledge to build 400,000 more houses. We | :21:33. | :21:36. | |
want to see where those houses are going to be and whether there will | :21:37. | :21:42. | |
be put in the social rented sector. A more political side to it, this is | :21:43. | :21:47. | |
about George Osborne's personal ambitions. He has do shape things so | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
that be the time he has his eyes on an even bigger job, the bulk of the | :21:53. | :21:59. | |
cuts have gone? The Chancellor's ambition is in turning this country | :22:00. | :22:04. | |
around. It is interesting what you said about investment. One of the | :22:05. | :22:07. | |
decisions he has taken is to protect things like investment in schools, | :22:08. | :22:12. | |
so that is maintained every year. A massive investment in housing to | :22:13. | :22:15. | |
make sure young people get on the housing ladder. What the Chancellor | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
wants to do is make sure that everybody gets the best start in | :22:20. | :22:23. | |
life, whether it is investment in schools, housing for young people, | :22:24. | :22:28. | |
or old people, to make sure they get dignity and security in retirement. | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
That is why there is a big increase in the basic state pension. That is | :22:33. | :22:36. | |
where his efforts are focused. Thank you very much. Much more from here | :22:37. | :22:41. | |
when we have heard from the Chancellor. | :22:42. | :22:44. | |
We'll hear a lot about his Northern Powerhouse and, now, | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
At the heart of that is the city of Birmingham. | :22:51. | :22:59. | |
Jo Coburn has left her virtual Treasury courtyard and is already | :23:00. | :23:02. | |
Who needs HS2 when you have the magic of television? | :23:03. | :23:13. | |
I am at Grand Central. Not New York but the shiny new shopping centre | :23:14. | :23:19. | |
here in Birmingham. It was opened last week by the Queen. I am here to | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
talk to people about the Autumn Statement and George Osborne's | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
spending plans for the next five years. I'm joined by Jonathan Isaby | :23:28. | :23:35. | |
from the Taxpayers' Alliance. Yesterday, the announcement of extra | :23:36. | :23:39. | |
cash for the NHS will be front-loaded. Welcome news? It is | :23:40. | :23:45. | |
welcome but it is too little, too late. The real issue for the NHS is | :23:46. | :23:50. | |
the chronic underfunding of social care, which means elderly patients | :23:51. | :23:53. | |
cannot be discharged quickly enough back into their homes, which means | :23:54. | :23:58. | |
they are taking up beds. We will end up with a crisis in the A this | :23:59. | :24:06. | |
winter. George Osborne has pledged to make cuts in this Spending Review | :24:07. | :24:09. | |
and during this Parliament. Does he want to be known as the Chancellor | :24:10. | :24:13. | |
of austerity? He should be want to be known as the Chancellor who | :24:14. | :24:17. | |
balances the books of the nation. He has to make those savings. This year | :24:18. | :24:22. | |
the Government is spending 70 billion, probably 18 billion, more | :24:23. | :24:33. | |
than it gets in revenue. -- 80. It is utterly unacceptable. He needs to | :24:34. | :24:37. | |
balance the books, get the nation living within its means once again | :24:38. | :24:41. | |
to ensure our future prosperity. Let's get a little bit more about | :24:42. | :24:45. | |
growing. Let's talk to somebody about this from the Birmingham | :24:46. | :24:52. | |
Chamber of Commerce. We are talking about austerity versus growth. What | :24:53. | :24:56. | |
is more important to business here? It has got to be a mix. We recognise | :24:57. | :25:01. | |
the UK deficit is out of control. The government is spending more than | :25:02. | :25:06. | |
the defence budget servicing the interest on that debt. It needs to | :25:07. | :25:09. | |
be brought into line but it cannot be at the expense of business | :25:10. | :25:13. | |
growth. That is what we will be looking for from the Autumn | :25:14. | :25:18. | |
Statement. Help grow businesses, which helps grow jobs. And | :25:19. | :25:23. | |
ultimately that will help get the deficit down. What would you like to | :25:24. | :25:28. | |
see him do? We would like clarity on the apprenticeship levy, how will | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
that work? Businesses are keen to boost the skills of young people but | :25:33. | :25:36. | |
we do not know how the funding is going to work. Some clarity would be | :25:37. | :25:40. | |
fantastic. We would like to see further announcement on business | :25:41. | :25:43. | |
rates. Earlier this year the Chancellor said they would devolve | :25:44. | :25:50. | |
business spending to councils. Thank you very much. One of the things | :25:51. | :25:56. | |
that will be most important to people here as they start to think | :25:57. | :26:01. | |
about Christmas shopping, that his personal finances. Their financial | :26:02. | :26:07. | |
security. Who better to talk to than our personal finance expert? One of | :26:08. | :26:12. | |
the main things people are worried about is tax credits. George Osborne | :26:13. | :26:17. | |
ran into problems with those plans. If he so often sad, where Willie | :26:18. | :26:22. | |
Geddes savings? This is the big questions. Is he going to go back to | :26:23. | :26:26. | |
those same people and try to get the money some other way. It might | :26:27. | :26:34. | |
affect the same people who would be affected by cuts to tax credits. | :26:35. | :26:38. | |
Will he scout around the periphery? Perhaps tax relief elsewhere. I | :26:39. | :26:41. | |
would be slightly worried about the pensions. He has said he will not do | :26:42. | :26:47. | |
any major pension reforms until the Budget. I think there could be some | :26:48. | :26:53. | |
measures that is stopping that. Buy now while stocks last. People are | :26:54. | :26:57. | |
doing last-minute avoidance things. I would watch out for tinkering with | :26:58. | :27:04. | |
the pensions tax reliefs. If you have any questions you would like to | :27:05. | :27:10. | |
put to any of our guests, our Anni stories, you can e-mail us. -- or | :27:11. | :27:11. | |
any stories. Start that Christmas shopping and | :27:12. | :27:22. | |
get my present. And you can also take advantage | :27:23. | :27:31. | |
the BBC's range of expert analysis and all the latest developments | :27:32. | :27:34. | |
on the BBC website. It's coming up midday here | :27:35. | :27:42. | |
at Westminster - very soon we'll go over to the House | :27:43. | :27:44. | |
of Commons for Prime Minister's Questions and that will be followed | :27:45. | :27:50. | |
by the Chancellor's statement. First, let's look at some | :27:51. | :27:59. | |
of the measures that have been already announced, and others we're | :28:00. | :28:04. | |
expecting to hear today. The biggest was the announcement | :28:05. | :28:15. | |
earlier this week. We were told the NHS in England, equivalent spending | :28:16. | :28:21. | |
for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, will get an extra, just shy | :28:22. | :28:28. | |
of ?4 billion. Part of loading the NHS has been asking for, to get the | :28:29. | :28:32. | |
money and now as it rises towards an extra 8 billion by the end of this | :28:33. | :28:36. | |
Parliament. Schools and foreign aid are protected. No cuts expected. | :28:37. | :28:44. | |
Defence was not protected. It is now. An extra ?12 billion this week | :28:45. | :28:50. | |
to spend on defence and equipment. That takes the total to 178 billion. | :28:51. | :29:02. | |
2% of GDP. Tax credits. The Chancellor came out with a number of | :29:03. | :29:09. | |
cuts in the July budget. He is having to roll back that. That will | :29:10. | :29:12. | |
cost him money. We wait to see how he it. We expect tax Reddit cuts to | :29:13. | :29:19. | |
be eased. The latest big thing to be rolled out is the idea that the | :29:20. | :29:24. | |
Government will encourage, preside over, the building of 400,000 | :29:25. | :29:28. | |
affordable homes at a cost of 7 billion. There is always an alert on | :29:29. | :29:38. | |
these. Whether governments meet these targets is a different matter. | :29:39. | :29:44. | |
Local authority spending has been squeezed. The Chancellor will now | :29:45. | :29:49. | |
allow local authorities to raise council tax by 2% provided the money | :29:50. | :29:54. | |
and only if the money goes to social care because of the move from NHS | :29:55. | :29:59. | |
hospitals and so on into care in the community. Whether that will be | :30:00. | :30:02. | |
enough is another matter. Whether those areas that need social care | :30:03. | :30:07. | |
most will get that much from a 2% rise in council tax because -- all | :30:08. | :30:15. | |
things we will be keeping an ion. -- and eye on. Laura, we have a fair | :30:16. | :30:21. | |
idea what he is going to do because they have helpfully leaked a lot of | :30:22. | :30:26. | |
it. Chancellor, rabbit, hat. What is the rabbit? | :30:27. | :30:31. | |
I am not sure there will be a rabbit today. There will be surprises. A | :30:32. | :30:35. | |
couple of surprises. But there will not be, I don't think, the | :30:36. | :30:40. | |
traditional rabbit in a hat that feels like a jolly giveaway that | :30:41. | :30:45. | |
sends off Tory MPs jubilant to their constituencies. | :30:46. | :30:53. | |
He has been famous for that. He has. There will be cunning wheezes. Maybe | :30:54. | :31:03. | |
a little mice instead of a big rabbit! Gerbils? We may be | :31:04. | :31:13. | |
surprised. He has an acute political as well as economic brain and I | :31:14. | :31:18. | |
think this time the judgments are similar for him, we are still | :31:19. | :31:21. | |
relatively early into the parliament and he personally has had something | :31:22. | :31:27. | |
of a popularity dip as a result of the tax credit to buckle. -- the tax | :31:28. | :31:39. | |
credit debacle. He will have to make tough decisions because the last | :31:40. | :31:42. | |
thing he wants is for things to go when he's running the Tory party | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
leadership. We can go straight to the House of Commons to the Prime | :31:48. | :31:50. | |
Minister, and Prime Minister's Questions. | :31:51. | :31:53. | |
Many people know from at home from Yes Prime Minister, the central role | :31:54. | :32:07. | |
that Bernard, the principal Private Secretary, plays in the life of the | :32:08. | :32:12. | |
per Minister. Today my Bernard my principal Private Secretary died of | :32:13. | :32:15. | |
cancer. Chris Martin was just 42. He was one of the most loyal, | :32:16. | :32:20. | |
hard-working dedicated public servants I have ever met. I have no | :32:21. | :32:24. | |
idea what his politics were would he would go to the ends of the earth | :32:25. | :32:27. | |
for his Prime Minister and for the team that he worked for. Today we | :32:28. | :32:32. | |
are leaving the seat in the officials box where he used to sit | :32:33. | :32:36. | |
empty as a mark of respect. We think of his wives are we, his family, the | :32:37. | :32:40. | |
wider number ten family because it is like a family and we feel we have | :32:41. | :32:45. | |
lost somebody between a father and a brother to all of us. Whatever | :32:46. | :32:51. | |
happens, we will never forget him. Today Mr Speaker I have had meetings | :32:52. | :32:55. | |
with colleagues and in addition to my duties in this House I will have | :32:56. | :33:03. | |
further meetings today. Fiona Bruce. Can I echo the sentiments of the | :33:04. | :33:06. | |
premise to regarding the passing of Kris ten. I am sure that all members | :33:07. | :33:11. | |
will have heartfelt thoughts and prayers today and we will be | :33:12. | :33:13. | |
grateful if they can be conveyed to the family. The excellent | :33:14. | :33:21. | |
children's mental health charity in Congleton says the lack of a secure | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
family life is the root cause of many of the troubles children have. | :33:28. | :33:31. | |
The Prime Minister is a champion of family life, can he confirm that | :33:32. | :33:35. | |
announcements to be made today will pass is family test by providing | :33:36. | :33:39. | |
security for family relationships and opportunities for world rubble | :33:40. | :33:48. | |
children? -- vulnerable children? I thank my honourable friend. She is | :33:49. | :33:52. | |
right that families are the best welfare state we have. They bring up | :33:53. | :33:57. | |
our children and teach us the right values and care for us when we sick. | :33:58. | :34:02. | |
We want to help families and the Chancellor will have something to | :34:03. | :34:06. | |
say about that later as we boost the national living wage, as we deliver | :34:07. | :34:12. | |
tax cuts for working people. All these policies should pass the test | :34:13. | :34:20. | |
of helping families. Jeremy Corbyn. Thank you Mr Speaker. On behalf of | :34:21. | :34:25. | |
of the opposition may I express my condolences to the family of Kris | :34:26. | :34:28. | |
ten on his death. The Prime Minister told me how ill he was on | :34:29. | :34:32. | |
Remembrance Sunday. I am pleased he was able to visit him at that time. | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
On behalf of many members who worked with Chris Martin when we were in | :34:37. | :34:39. | |
government we appreciate very much the professional work he did in the | :34:40. | :34:43. | |
best and highest traditions of the civil service in this country. If | :34:44. | :34:47. | |
our condolences could be passed on, that would be helpful. This week 55 | :34:48. | :35:05. | |
Labour councils have made a commitment for their areas to be run | :35:06. | :35:08. | |
entirely on green energy by 2050. With the Paris climate talks only | :35:09. | :35:10. | |
days away with a premonition and join me in commending those councils | :35:11. | :35:13. | |
and call upon all Conservative councils to do the same? I certainly | :35:14. | :35:16. | |
commend these councils and we are helping by the tariffs that we have | :35:17. | :35:19. | |
introduced particularly to help solar power and wind power, we will | :35:20. | :35:24. | |
be taking part in the Paris climate talks because it is vital to get | :35:25. | :35:28. | |
that global deal but we must make sure that we take action locally as | :35:29. | :35:31. | |
well as globally. I would make the point that if you compare the | :35:32. | :35:36. | |
Parliament to the previous parliament, we saw something like a | :35:37. | :35:39. | |
tripling in the installation of renewable electricity. Jeremy | :35:40. | :35:47. | |
Corbyn. Thank you Mr Speaker. The commitment of those Labour councils | :35:48. | :35:50. | |
as a contrast to the per Minister Bosman performance. He used to say | :35:51. | :35:54. | |
that his was the greenest government ever. Does he remember those days? | :35:55. | :35:59. | |
Does he agree with the Energy Secretary that Britain is likely to | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
miss its target of getting 50% of renewable energy from renewables by | :36:05. | :36:10. | |
2020? Firstly I believe the last government rightly claims that | :36:11. | :36:15. | |
record, the world's first green investment bank pioneered in Britain | :36:16. | :36:19. | |
and a tripling of renewable energy and a meeting of all our planet | :36:20. | :36:23. | |
change targets contributing to an EU deal that means that we go to the | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
climate change conference in Paris with a very strong European record | :36:29. | :36:32. | |
and the ability to say to other countries that they should stab up | :36:33. | :36:37. | |
to the plate. Also in the last Parliament we spent record sums | :36:38. | :36:40. | |
helping developing countries to go green. And in the next five years we | :36:41. | :36:45. | |
will spend $9 billion on helping other countries which will be | :36:46. | :36:48. | |
crucial in building the Paris deal next week. Jeremy Corbyn. The | :36:49. | :36:56. | |
problem with that answer is that the gap between Britain's 2020 target | :36:57. | :37:01. | |
and our current share of renewable energy is the biggest in the | :37:02. | :37:04. | |
European Union. And some of his recent decisions like cutting | :37:05. | :37:09. | |
support for solar panels on home and industrial projects, scrubbing the | :37:10. | :37:12. | |
green deal, cutting support for wind turbines, budding any attacks on | :37:13. | :37:16. | |
renewable energy, increasing subsidies have diesel generators, is | :37:17. | :37:19. | |
it any wonder that the chief scientists of the United Nations's | :37:20. | :37:23. | |
environment programme has criticised Britain for going backwards on | :37:24. | :37:28. | |
energy? The facts paint a different picture. As I sit, a trembling of | :37:29. | :37:34. | |
wind power in the last Parliament, it is an enormous investment -- as I | :37:35. | :37:39. | |
said, tripling of wind power. As for solar panels, when the cost of solar | :37:40. | :37:44. | |
panels plummets, as it has, it's right to reduce the subsidy. If we | :37:45. | :37:49. | |
don't reduce it we ask people to pay higher energy bills. Something I | :37:50. | :37:54. | |
remember that the Labour Party in the last Parliament made rather a | :37:55. | :37:58. | |
lot of! If you look at the Secretary of State for climate change's speech | :37:59. | :38:01. | |
you will see the right balance between affordable energy and making | :38:02. | :38:04. | |
sure that we meet our green targets. That is what we are committed to. | :38:05. | :38:09. | |
And as well as that building the first nuclear power station for | :38:10. | :38:12. | |
decades in this country, something the Labour Party talked about a lot | :38:13. | :38:19. | |
in government but Bolelli putting -- something that we are putting into | :38:20. | :38:25. | |
action now we are in. In the past few weeks 1000 jobs have been lost | :38:26. | :38:28. | |
in solar companies in Britain as they have gone bust. I have a | :38:29. | :38:32. | |
question from some apprentice solar fitters at Bannister house, a large | :38:33. | :38:38. | |
energy budget. Ziggy, Israel and Jay-Z that cutting feeder tariffs | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
means you are stopping solar projects that they need to help the | :38:43. | :38:46. | |
environment to give us jobs. They ask a prime ministers, why do you | :38:47. | :38:53. | |
want to throw all this away? We are doubling investment in renewable | :38:54. | :38:56. | |
energy in this Parliament. As for solar panels, in the last | :38:57. | :39:00. | |
Parliament, over 1 million homes were fitted with solar panels, I | :39:01. | :39:04. | |
think I'm right in saying that. It is right that we go on supporting | :39:05. | :39:08. | |
that industry but we should do it, recognising that the cost of | :39:09. | :39:12. | |
manufacturing solar panels has plummeted and therefore the subsidy | :39:13. | :39:16. | |
should be necessary to Liddle what businesses agreed to deliver solar | :39:17. | :39:21. | |
power, not what is necessary to pump up the bills of hard-working | :39:22. | :39:26. | |
families! Not much help to those losing their jobs in the solar | :39:27. | :39:30. | |
industry at this time. I would like to ask the prime ministers something | :39:31. | :39:34. | |
else. Today is the International Day for the elimination of violence | :39:35. | :39:38. | |
against women. On average two women in week are killed by a current or | :39:39. | :39:42. | |
former partner and domestic violence accounts for up to one quarter of | :39:43. | :39:47. | |
all violent crime. Can the Prime Minister explain why one third of | :39:48. | :39:50. | |
those referred to women's refuges in England are now being turned away? | :39:51. | :39:57. | |
We put more money into refuges. The Chancellor will have something to | :39:58. | :40:00. | |
say about funding women's charities in his Autumn Statement today. | :40:01. | :40:07. | |
Because when it comes to rape crisis centres that were protected or | :40:08. | :40:10. | |
domestic violence centres that we helped to finance, this government | :40:11. | :40:15. | |
has a good record on helping women and making sure that the crime of | :40:16. | :40:18. | |
domestic violence is properly investigated by the police and | :40:19. | :40:22. | |
prosecuted in our courts. Jeremy Corbyn. Thank you, Mr Speaker. The | :40:23. | :40:30. | |
late Denise Marshall, was chief executive of one domestic Finance | :40:31. | :40:36. | |
Charity, put this well when she said, if you are a woman who has | :40:37. | :40:40. | |
experienced some form of violence, I believe you have the right to the | :40:41. | :40:46. | |
best service and the community owes you the opportunity to recover. In | :40:47. | :40:51. | |
2012, the Prime Minister's Govan signed the Istanbul convention in | :40:52. | :40:55. | |
preventing and combating violence against women and domestic violence. | :40:56. | :40:59. | |
This would make women's support services statutory and would have | :41:00. | :41:03. | |
stopped the closure of this service. When will the Prime Minister ratify | :41:04. | :41:10. | |
the Istanbul convention? We going one further. In the Autumn | :41:11. | :41:13. | |
Statement, which he will hear in a minute we will be putting more money | :41:14. | :41:17. | |
into women's charities, including those that fight domestic violence | :41:18. | :41:22. | |
and rape, and make sure that we cut and these appalling crimes. In | :41:23. | :41:26. | |
addition to that we have done more than any previous government to help | :41:27. | :41:30. | |
in terms of preventing forced marriage and the horrors of female | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
genital mutilation that to not just happen in North Africa, they happen | :41:35. | :41:39. | |
here in this country. I don't think any government before this one has a | :41:40. | :41:42. | |
strong record on those grounds. CHEERING | :41:43. | :41:49. | |
Thank you, Mr Speaker. I have many constituents who come to my surgery | :41:50. | :41:52. | |
desperate to be able to own and their own home. Many of them are on | :41:53. | :41:58. | |
low income and they recognise that a monthly mortgage payment would be | :41:59. | :42:02. | |
significantly lower than a monthly rental payment, sometimes 50% lower. | :42:03. | :42:06. | |
Does my right honourable friend share the excitement of many of my | :42:07. | :42:10. | |
constituents towards the starter homes initiative in the housing bill | :42:11. | :42:15. | |
which will see affordable housing lowering the monthly and goings of | :42:16. | :42:23. | |
many in this country. I do share the enthusiasm of my right honourable | :42:24. | :42:25. | |
friend. There are lots of useful interventions we can make like the | :42:26. | :42:30. | |
right to buy, which has put buying homes within reach of people by | :42:31. | :42:34. | |
reducing the deposits they need. We can help people save, which we do | :42:35. | :42:39. | |
with a help to buy Isa, so we are contributing every time people save | :42:40. | :42:42. | |
but the biggest contribution we can make is by building more houses | :42:43. | :42:45. | |
which were will do during this Parliament and crucially by | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
obtaining a strong, secure, stable economy with low interest rates so | :42:51. | :42:54. | |
that people can afford to take out a mortgage. Angus Robertson. May I | :42:55. | :43:01. | |
begin by associating the SNP with the condolences of the Prime | :43:02. | :43:04. | |
Minister. Having spoken to him last week I know what a personal loss it | :43:05. | :43:08. | |
is to him and to the family and friends of Chris Martin. The fatal | :43:09. | :43:14. | |
dangers of unintended consequences and escalation in Syria are clear | :43:15. | :43:18. | |
for all to see these days. All serious observers agree that an air | :43:19. | :43:22. | |
campaign alone will not lead to the ultimate defeat of Daesh on the | :43:23. | :43:26. | |
ground, and ground forces will be needed. How many troops and from | :43:27. | :43:29. | |
which countries does the Prime Minister have in his plan for Syria? | :43:30. | :43:35. | |
First mate I thank the right honourable gentleman for his remarks | :43:36. | :43:38. | |
about Chris Martin. I know that Chris Martin helped all parties in | :43:39. | :43:44. | |
this House with inquiries. Let me deal with the issue of Syria, it is | :43:45. | :43:48. | |
so crucial. I am not arguing for a minute that action from the alone | :43:49. | :43:52. | |
can solve the very serious problem we have and Isil. Clearly we need a | :43:53. | :43:57. | |
political settlement in Syria and the government there that can act | :43:58. | :44:02. | |
comprehensively with us against Isil. The question for the House | :44:03. | :44:05. | |
which we need to address tomorrow and in the days to come is, can we | :44:06. | :44:10. | |
afford to wait for that political settlement before we act? No, my | :44:11. | :44:14. | |
view is that we can't wait. We should work as hard as we can for it | :44:15. | :44:18. | |
but we should act now for allies because it is about keeping our own | :44:19. | :44:23. | |
people and our own country safe. You ask about ground troops. There are | :44:24. | :44:28. | |
troops in Syria, the Free Syrian Army and the Kurdish forces, that | :44:29. | :44:33. | |
would work with us to help eliminate Isil. Of course the full range of | :44:34. | :44:39. | |
ground troops will only be available when there is a political settlement | :44:40. | :44:43. | |
in Syria. But can we afford to wait for that settlement before acting to | :44:44. | :44:47. | |
keep ourselves safe at home and my answer to that is No, we cannot | :44:48. | :44:53. | |
afford to wait. Mr Speaker, the UK spent 13 times more bombing beer | :44:54. | :44:58. | |
than investing in its reconstruction after the overthrow of Colonel | :44:59. | :45:01. | |
Gaddafi's resume. Reconstructing cilia will be essential to ensure | :45:02. | :45:06. | |
stability and allow refugees to return. How much does the Prime | :45:07. | :45:09. | |
Minister estimate that this will cost and how much has he allocated | :45:10. | :45:16. | |
from the UK? We have one of the largest developing budgets anywhere | :45:17. | :45:19. | |
in the world, and the support we've given to Syrian refugees, ?1.2 | :45:20. | :45:24. | |
billion, demonstrates this. Clearly part of our plan which I will set | :45:25. | :45:28. | |
out tomorrow in a statement in this House, will be to help to finance | :45:29. | :45:32. | |
the reconstruction of Syria alongside the political deal that we | :45:33. | :45:37. | |
believe is less of Syria. I would rather spend the money | :45:38. | :45:41. | |
reconstructing cilia than supporting people kept away from their homes | :45:42. | :45:45. | |
and their country, who want to return the -- reconstructing Syria. | :45:46. | :45:50. | |
I know that my right honourable friend is aware of the growing cause | :45:51. | :45:58. | |
for concern surrounding the conviction of Alexander Blackman, | :45:59. | :46:02. | |
the former Royal Marine officer who shot an insurgent in Afghanistan in | :46:03. | :46:08. | |
2011. If there is new evidence and if, as many feel, there has been a | :46:09. | :46:13. | |
miscarriage of justice, would my right honourable friend agree with | :46:14. | :46:15. | |
me that it is right this matter should be looked into again? What I | :46:16. | :46:21. | |
would say to my honourable friend is that this is exactly what the | :46:22. | :46:24. | |
criminal cases review commission exists to look at. There may have | :46:25. | :46:30. | |
been a miscarriage of justice. We gave the internal report of the | :46:31. | :46:36. | |
Naval services to Sergeant Blackman's legal advisers, so there | :46:37. | :46:39. | |
is proper disclosure. His legal team are looking at the option of | :46:40. | :46:46. | |
applying to the commission. Our Royal Marines have a worldwide | :46:47. | :46:49. | |
reputation as one of the world's elite fighting forces. They made an | :46:50. | :46:54. | |
incredible contribution to our country and we should pay tribute to | :46:55. | :47:01. | |
them. The Government's handling of child | :47:02. | :47:05. | |
sexual abuse enquiries has done little to instil public confidence | :47:06. | :47:09. | |
so far. Last month the god I'd inquiry and announced it had -- they | :47:10. | :47:21. | |
had accidentally deleted information without anybody from the inquiry | :47:22. | :47:24. | |
reading them. These people deserve justice and for their voices to be | :47:25. | :47:32. | |
heard. Can the Prime Minister tell the house if an independent | :47:33. | :47:38. | |
investigation has taken place to establish the cause of the data | :47:39. | :47:42. | |
lost? I'm sure the House will welcome the fact the inquiry is up | :47:43. | :47:46. | |
and running and the best way to get justice to these victims is to make | :47:47. | :47:49. | |
sure we have the full and independent inquiry we have spoken | :47:50. | :47:56. | |
about. As for the issue she raises, that is a matter for the inquiry. | :47:57. | :48:00. | |
What matters is that it is now up and running. | :48:01. | :48:08. | |
3000 jobs in Newark were lost under Labour. This month we celebrate the | :48:09. | :48:15. | |
creation of the 10,000th new job in Newark. Does the Prime Minister | :48:16. | :48:24. | |
agree that once again Newark leads the way to a strong economy, high | :48:25. | :48:29. | |
employment, higher wages and lower welfare? I am delighted to hear that | :48:30. | :48:37. | |
Newark has met this landmark and it is worth remembering that these | :48:38. | :48:41. | |
10,000 figures, they are 10,000 people, each with a job, a | :48:42. | :48:45. | |
livelihood, a chance to support their families. I well remember | :48:46. | :48:50. | |
visiting the constituency. I cannot promise to visit as many times in | :48:51. | :48:56. | |
this Parliament as I did in Neil asked, but I do recognise that one | :48:57. | :49:01. | |
business we visited last week announced the creation of more than | :49:02. | :49:04. | |
8000 jobs. Where Newark leads I'm sure others will follow. | :49:05. | :49:10. | |
As the Prime Minister ever heard of Alan Cartwright, Stefan Appleton or | :49:11. | :49:18. | |
Farso Kakko? These are teenagers who were stabbed to death on the streets | :49:19. | :49:25. | |
of Islington in the last year. Given the growing culture of drugs, gangs, | :49:26. | :49:30. | |
of violence in my burrow and many others like it, does the Prime | :49:31. | :49:33. | |
Minister really think that it is in the interest of my constituents for | :49:34. | :49:40. | |
their safety and security to cut the Metropolitan Police? First of all, | :49:41. | :49:44. | |
every life lost in the way she talks about is of course a tragedy. Many | :49:45. | :49:49. | |
of these lives have been lost because of drugs, gangs and knife | :49:50. | :49:53. | |
crime. Overall knife crime has come down which is welcome. There are | :49:54. | :49:57. | |
still too many people carrying a knife and not recognising that not | :49:58. | :50:02. | |
only is it against the law, but is is in a enormous danger to | :50:03. | :50:06. | |
themselves and others. We will continue with our tough approach to | :50:07. | :50:11. | |
knife crime with our work to break up gangs and to do with the problems | :50:12. | :50:16. | |
of drugs. When it comes to policing, what we have seen in London is an | :50:17. | :50:20. | |
increase in neighbourhood policing. The Metropolitan Police have done a | :50:21. | :50:23. | |
good job in cutting back office costs and putting police on our | :50:24. | :50:29. | |
streets. After many years of neglect under | :50:30. | :50:33. | |
Labour, Cornwall is once again seeing investment in roads, | :50:34. | :50:40. | |
railways, airports and tourism. But Cornwall is ambitious to diversify | :50:41. | :50:44. | |
its economy and become a centre to the UK aerospace industry. Newquay | :50:45. | :50:49. | |
airport is the forerunner to the location of the UK spaceport. Could | :50:50. | :50:55. | |
the Prime Minister provide an update on the spaceport? And does he agree | :50:56. | :50:59. | |
that Newquay would be the perfect place for it? I think it is very | :51:00. | :51:04. | |
good that we have such strong voices for Cornwall in this Parliament | :51:05. | :51:07. | |
speaking up for that county and making sure it gets the assistance | :51:08. | :51:12. | |
and resources and help it needs. I am a strong supporter of Newquay | :51:13. | :51:17. | |
airport, not just as a user, but it provides the opportunity for a hub | :51:18. | :51:22. | |
of great businesses in Cornwall. We want to become the European hub for | :51:23. | :51:25. | |
space flight, which will create jobs. There are a number of other | :51:26. | :51:30. | |
airports in the running. I wish them all well. We are aiming to launch | :51:31. | :51:38. | |
the selection process next year. The Government agrees much of what | :51:39. | :51:46. | |
constitutes progress on gender equality. I have heard nothing | :51:47. | :51:54. | |
since. I wonder if the Prime Minister agrees with me that with | :51:55. | :51:58. | |
the fast approaching birth of my daughter, I would like to be valued | :51:59. | :52:01. | |
as equally in her life as my husband. Will the Prime Minister | :52:02. | :52:07. | |
take the important symbolic step to ensure that mothers are not written | :52:08. | :52:12. | |
out of history? This is an area where the honourable | :52:13. | :52:17. | |
lady and I agree. My understanding is that proposals for legislation | :52:18. | :52:21. | |
have gone to the relevant committee in government. She has made a very | :52:22. | :52:25. | |
articulated case for why that bill should be included in the next | :52:26. | :52:31. | |
session. -- article at. Will the Prime Minister join with me | :52:32. | :52:35. | |
in commending the French government for facing down terror, continuing | :52:36. | :52:40. | |
with the climate summit in Paris next week? William port and the -- | :52:41. | :52:46. | |
acknowledge the important role of legislators? And does he agree that | :52:47. | :52:51. | |
his personal presence in Paris sends a message to the world about our | :52:52. | :52:55. | |
continuing -- commitment to a lasting climate deal to I am | :52:56. | :52:59. | |
grateful for what my honourable friend says. I will be going to | :53:00. | :53:03. | |
Paris for the start of this vital conference to set out what Britain | :53:04. | :53:06. | |
and the European Union will be doing to bring about this deal. What we | :53:07. | :53:11. | |
put on the table in terms of climate finance, nearly $9 billion over the | :53:12. | :53:16. | |
next five years, is one of the most generous offers made by any country. | :53:17. | :53:24. | |
We are going to see China and America as signatories to a deal. | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
Much more of the emissions in the world will be covered by this deal. | :53:30. | :53:33. | |
We have to make sure it is a good deal with the review clauses and a | :53:34. | :53:37. | |
way of tightening any deal to make sure we keep to 2 degrees. Britain | :53:38. | :53:41. | |
is playing a leading role and has lead by example and with money. | :53:42. | :53:49. | |
There will never be a future where we do not need steel. The government | :53:50. | :53:53. | |
is spending minions of pounds to compensate for the loss of UK | :53:54. | :53:58. | |
steel-making. Can I ask the Prime Minister if he will send a clear | :53:59. | :54:01. | |
signal to date to those potential investors in the steel industry that | :54:02. | :54:05. | |
he will do whatever it takes to back a sustainable cutting-edge UK steel | :54:06. | :54:11. | |
industry in the future? We want to seal -- to see more still being used | :54:12. | :54:15. | |
in the UK and across the world. I completely agree full we want to | :54:16. | :54:21. | |
support our steel business. We are taking action on procurement. Then | :54:22. | :54:25. | |
you look at what we have done on our Royal Navy and what we can do on | :54:26. | :54:28. | |
Railtrack and other organisations, we should back British steel. We're | :54:29. | :54:33. | |
going to be exempting heavy energy users like British steel from the | :54:34. | :54:37. | |
higher electricity charges. This does go, I have to say, rather to | :54:38. | :54:42. | |
the questions asked by the Leader of the Opposition. If we endlessly | :54:43. | :54:46. | |
pushed up bills for everybody else, it costs even more to exempt the | :54:47. | :54:51. | |
high energy users. That is why you need a balanced programme. | :54:52. | :54:54. | |
Everything we can do to help British steel, including an infrastructure | :54:55. | :54:59. | |
plan you will be hearing a bit more about in a minute, is all to the | :55:00. | :55:06. | |
good. In 2010, unemployment in my | :55:07. | :55:14. | |
constituency stood at 2% of the population. It now stands at 1.6%. | :55:15. | :55:19. | |
I'm sure my honourable friend agrees that in order to help those people | :55:20. | :55:24. | |
still employed and to boost productivity and wages, we need to | :55:25. | :55:26. | |
offer more opportunities for skills training. Does my right honourable | :55:27. | :55:33. | |
friend agree with that and what more can the Government offer? Our vision | :55:34. | :55:40. | |
is that all young people aged 18 should have a real choice of being | :55:41. | :55:43. | |
able to take on an apprenticeship, and we are planning for 3 million in | :55:44. | :55:48. | |
this Parliament, or be able to go to one of our universities. We do not | :55:49. | :55:53. | |
want anybody left behind. He's right that unemployment has fallen in his | :55:54. | :55:57. | |
constituency as around the country. We will hear from the Chancellor | :55:58. | :56:00. | |
about what has happened in the last five years. Britain has grown as | :56:01. | :56:06. | |
fast as any other G-7 country in terms of economic performance. You | :56:07. | :56:12. | |
can look back and see the decisions made in 2010, 2011, 2012, difficult | :56:13. | :56:17. | |
decisions, but they laid the platform for sustained economic | :56:18. | :56:21. | |
growth and jobs. Education in Bradford is facing a | :56:22. | :56:26. | |
funding and schools places crisis and we remain at the bottom of the | :56:27. | :56:32. | |
league tables. Bradford's children cannot be failed any longer. Will | :56:33. | :56:37. | |
the Prime Minister support my call for a Bradford challenged based on | :56:38. | :56:40. | |
the highly successful London challenge? And will he stopped the | :56:41. | :56:46. | |
dangerous changes to the school funding formula that will drag the | :56:47. | :56:51. | |
children of Bradford further into the land of inequality, despair and | :56:52. | :56:57. | |
neglect? We made commitments at the last | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
election about funding our schools and funding school places. We will | :57:02. | :57:05. | |
be keeping all of those commitments. Not just the revenue we provide to | :57:06. | :57:10. | |
schools, where we will not be reducing the amount per pupil, but | :57:11. | :57:14. | |
also spending much more on new school places in this Parliament | :57:15. | :57:19. | |
than in the Parliament that preceded my becoming Prime Minister. We are | :57:20. | :57:23. | |
also helping with building new academy chains and free schools. | :57:24. | :57:26. | |
They are available for his constituency as others. | :57:27. | :57:31. | |
Does my right honourable friend agree with me that the turmoil in | :57:32. | :57:36. | |
northern Iraq and Syria gives opportunities to resolve | :57:37. | :57:39. | |
long-standing international disputes, not least with Russia? And | :57:40. | :57:43. | |
does he agree with me that the attack on the Russian bomber, | :57:44. | :57:47. | |
something that never happened in the duration of the Cold War, was | :57:48. | :57:52. | |
disproportionate? And we make sure we do not get into a conflict with | :57:53. | :57:57. | |
Russia over Syria? What I would say to my honourable | :57:58. | :58:01. | |
friend is I think there are opportunities for sensible | :58:02. | :58:03. | |
discussions with Russia about the agenda in Syria, which is about | :58:04. | :58:08. | |
political transition, so there can be a government that represents all | :58:09. | :58:12. | |
of the people of Syria. I had that conversation with President Putin | :58:13. | :58:17. | |
last week. He mentions the issue about the downed Russian jet. The | :58:18. | :58:22. | |
facts are not yet clear. We should respect Turkey's right to protect | :58:23. | :58:27. | |
their race-based as we defend our own. -- Aerospace. | :58:28. | :58:35. | |
The Prime Minister very often tells us that the first duty of any | :58:36. | :58:39. | |
government is to protect the public. Will he give an undertaking to | :58:40. | :58:46. | |
ensure that the public in this country are protected by the police | :58:47. | :58:52. | |
and emergency services? I think this government has a good record of | :58:53. | :58:56. | |
protecting the public. We protected counter-terrorism police thing and | :58:57. | :59:01. | |
we had a funding situation with the police which enabled a cut in crime | :59:02. | :59:04. | |
at 31% since I became Prime Minister. | :59:05. | :59:13. | |
John Morton, a drink-driver, destroyed the lives of Amy Baxter | :59:14. | :59:18. | |
and Hayley Jones. Miss Baxter is paralysed from the neck down and in | :59:19. | :59:23. | |
hospital 16 months later. He was sentenced to just a 3 year driving | :59:24. | :59:29. | |
banned, a fine and a 20 week tag. Weeks later he says -- successfully | :59:30. | :59:33. | |
applied to the Magistrates' Court for his tag to be removed so he | :59:34. | :59:38. | |
could go on holiday to a stag party. Would my right honourable friend | :59:39. | :59:43. | |
look to issue two -- guidance to magistrates that a tag should never | :59:44. | :59:47. | |
be removed to allow criminals to go on holiday? I think my honourable | :59:48. | :59:52. | |
friend makes a powerful point and I will look at this carefully. Let me | :59:53. | :59:55. | |
express my sympathy to the victim and her family for what is | :59:56. | :00:02. | |
undoubtedly be -- undoubtably a distressing case. I did not hear all | :00:03. | :00:07. | |
of the points made in the court. But the point he made does seem to be | :00:08. | :00:11. | |
powerful. A punishment is a punishment, a tag is a tag. | :00:12. | :00:19. | |
Today's Middle East is increasingly resembling the central Europe of a | :00:20. | :00:23. | |
century ago. Minorities, be they linguistic, religious or sexual, | :00:24. | :00:27. | |
find themselves under more pressure than ever. Ie, my constituents and | :00:28. | :00:34. | |
the SNP, understand the threat posed to this group by Daesh. How is the | :00:35. | :00:39. | |
Prime Minister planning to prosecute a bombing campaign that does not | :00:40. | :00:42. | |
alter the Democratic map of the Middle East, preventing Aleppo from | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
becoming the new Budapest? We will set out the arguments | :00:47. | :00:55. | |
clearly tomorrow but there's a clear and present danger to the UK of | :00:56. | :01:01. | |
Isil, based in Iraq and Syria, planning attacks against this | :01:02. | :01:04. | |
country today. We don't live in a perfect world and we can't deliver a | :01:05. | :01:09. | |
perfect strategy but we can deliver a clear long-term study that will | :01:10. | :01:13. | |
work. He talks of the lessons we learned from the last century. One | :01:14. | :01:17. | |
of the lesson I would say we should learn from them is, when your | :01:18. | :01:22. | |
country is under threat, and UK's aggression, you cannot endlessly | :01:23. | :01:27. | |
dream about a perfect world -- and you are facing aggression, you need | :01:28. | :01:35. | |
to act in the world that we are in. Thank you Mr Speaker. Will my right | :01:36. | :01:39. | |
honourable friend join me in congratulating all the staff of the | :01:40. | :01:46. | |
birthing unit, the midwives, matron Emma Chambers local activist was | :01:47. | :01:51. | |
scoring 100% on their friends and family survey on satisfaction and | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
care. The commitment of the midwives is only matched by the Conservative | :01:57. | :02:01. | |
commitment to the NHS. For two elections in a row we have promised | :02:02. | :02:05. | |
and delivered greater investment in our NHS than Labour. Can I say to my | :02:06. | :02:12. | |
right honourable friend she is quite right to highlight the friends and | :02:13. | :02:16. | |
family test. It's a simple way of measuring whether our hospitals are | :02:17. | :02:19. | |
giving great care. I think it has been a real advance in the NHS to | :02:20. | :02:24. | |
have that. As well as good schemes to make sure you'd want your friends | :02:25. | :02:27. | |
and family treated in hospital we need to the resources about hospital | :02:28. | :02:33. | |
and that is what we are doing with the spending figures announced | :02:34. | :02:35. | |
today. Crucially on childbirth, it isn't often that I quote the daily | :02:36. | :02:39. | |
Mirror but it is worth looking at what they are raising about the | :02:40. | :02:43. | |
importance of a seven-day NHS and making sure we have high standards | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
across our NHS every day of the week as well as the extra money we are | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
putting into the NHS the seven-day week NHS will mean a much stronger | :02:54. | :02:59. | |
one. Thank you Mr Speaker. The big lottery fund supports important | :03:00. | :03:05. | |
local projects in my constituency, including the Cake, a children's | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
playground and some women's aid projects which play an essential | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
role supporting the vulnerable people that this government has left | :03:14. | :03:18. | |
behind. Will the Prime Minister join with me in congratulating these | :03:19. | :03:22. | |
local projects on their work and reassure the House that this | :03:23. | :03:26. | |
governor to protect the current level of national lottery funding | :03:27. | :03:29. | |
earmarked for charities and community projects? I can certainly | :03:30. | :03:35. | |
say we will protect the big lottery fund because it does an excellent | :03:36. | :03:38. | |
job. I cannot resist making the point that one thing that the UK | :03:39. | :03:43. | |
brings is a bigger national lottery. A bigger part that can support | :03:44. | :03:48. | |
Scottish charities. Let me make this point. Following what has happened | :03:49. | :03:58. | |
to the oil price, if there was a Scottish November Autumn Statement, | :03:59. | :04:01. | |
it would be a statement that would be about cuts, cuts, taxes, taxes, | :04:02. | :04:08. | |
and no relief from the National Lottery! Order! Order! Mr Brendan | :04:09. | :04:22. | |
McNeill. Mr Angus Brendan McNeill, calm yourself. You may be a cheeky | :04:23. | :04:37. | |
chappie but you are an exceptionally noisy one! Statement by the | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
Chancellor of the Exchequer! Mr Speaker, this Spending Review | :04:43. | :04:45. | |
delivers on the commitment we made to the British people that we would | :04:46. | :04:51. | |
put security first. To protect our economic security by taking the | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
difficult decisions to live within our means and bring down our debt. | :04:55. | :05:01. | |
And to protect our national security by defending our country's interests | :05:02. | :05:07. | |
abroad and keeping our citizens safe at home. Economic and national | :05:08. | :05:10. | |
security provide the foundations for everything we want to support. | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
Opportunity for all. The aspirations of families. The strong country we | :05:15. | :05:22. | |
want to build. Five years ago, when I presented our first Spending | :05:23. | :05:28. | |
Review our economy was in crisis, and as the letter said, there was no | :05:29. | :05:35. | |
money left! We were borrowing ?1 in every ?4 that we spent and our job | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
was to rescue Britain. Today as we present this Spending Review our job | :05:41. | :05:45. | |
is to rebuild button. Built our finances, defences, our society so | :05:46. | :05:51. | |
that Britain becomes the most prosperous and secure of all the | :05:52. | :05:55. | |
major nations of the world. So we'd leave to the next generation a | :05:56. | :05:59. | |
stronger country than the one that we inherited. And that is what this | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
government was elected to do and today we set out a plan to deliver | :06:04. | :06:09. | |
on that commitment. Mr Speaker, we have committed to running a surplus. | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
Today I can confirm that the four-year public spending plans that | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
I set out are forecast to deliver that surplus, so that we don't | :06:18. | :06:21. | |
borrow for ever and are ready for whatever storms like ahead. We | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
promised to bring our debts down. promised to bring our debts down. | :06:26. | :06:29. | |
Today the forecast that I present shows that after the longest period | :06:30. | :06:34. | |
of rising debt in our modern history, this year, our debt will | :06:35. | :06:39. | |
fall and will keep falling in every year that follows. We promised to | :06:40. | :06:48. | |
move Britain from being a high welfare, low-wage economy to a lower | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
welfare, higher wage economy. Today I can tell the House that the ?12 | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
billion of welfare savings we committed to add to the election | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
will be delivered in full, and in a way that helps families as we make | :07:04. | :07:06. | |
the transition to our national living wage. We promised that we | :07:07. | :07:12. | |
would strengthen our national defences, take the fight to the | :07:13. | :07:16. | |
enemies of this nation and project the influence of our country abroad. | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
Today this Spending Review delivers the resources to make sure that | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
Britain, unique in the world, will meet its twin obligations to spend | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
0.7% of its income on development and 2% on defence of the realm. In | :07:30. | :07:36. | |
this Spending Review, we not only ensure the economic and national | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
security of our country, we build on it. It sets out far-reaching changes | :07:40. | :07:44. | |
to what the state does and how it does it. It reforms our public | :07:45. | :07:49. | |
services so we truly extend opportunity to all. Whether the way | :07:50. | :07:54. | |
we educate our children, train our workforce, rehabilitate prisoners, | :07:55. | :07:57. | |
provide homes for our families, deliver care for the elderly and | :07:58. | :08:01. | |
sick, all the way that we hand back power to local communities, this is | :08:02. | :08:05. | |
a big Spending Review by a government that does big things. It | :08:06. | :08:09. | |
is a long-term economic plan for our country's feature. Mr Speaker, | :08:10. | :08:17. | |
nothing is possible without the foundations of a strong economy. Let | :08:18. | :08:23. | |
me turn to the new forecast divided by the independent Office for Budget | :08:24. | :08:25. | |
Responsibility and let me thank Robert and his team for their work. | :08:26. | :08:30. | |
Since this budget new economic data has been published which confirms | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
this, since 2010, no economy in the G7 has grown faster than button. We | :08:35. | :08:40. | |
have grown must treat and is faster than Japan, twice as fast as France, | :08:41. | :08:45. | |
faster than Germany and at the same rate as the United States. That | :08:46. | :08:50. | |
growth has not been fuelled by an irresponsible banking boom like in | :08:51. | :08:53. | |
the last decade. Business investment has grown more than twice as fast as | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
consumption, exports have grown faster than imports and the North | :08:59. | :09:04. | |
has grown faster than the south. But we are determined that this will be | :09:05. | :09:10. | |
an economic recovery for all, felt in all parts of our nation. That is | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
already happening. In which area of the country are we seeing the | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
strongest jobs growth? Not just in our capital city. The Midlands is | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
creating jobs through times faster than London and the south-east. In | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
the past year we've seen more people in work in the Northern Power has | :09:27. | :09:31. | |
than ever before. And where do we have the highest employment rate of | :09:32. | :09:34. | |
any part of this country? In the south-west of England. Our long-term | :09:35. | :09:42. | |
economic plan is working. The OBR, Mr Speaker, reminds us today of the | :09:43. | :09:46. | |
huge challenges that we still face at home and abroad. Our debts are | :09:47. | :09:52. | |
too high and our to visit remains. Productivity is growing yet we still | :09:53. | :09:56. | |
like behind most of our competitors. I can say that in the forecast today | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
expectations for world growth and world trade have been revised down | :10:02. | :10:06. | |
again. The weakness of the Eurozone remains a persistent problem. There | :10:07. | :10:11. | |
are rising concerns about debt in emerging economies, these are yet | :10:12. | :10:14. | |
more reasons why we are determined to take the necessary steps to | :10:15. | :10:20. | |
protect our economic security. And that brings me to the forecast for | :10:21. | :10:26. | |
our own GDP. Even with the weaker double picture, our economy this | :10:27. | :10:31. | |
year is predicted to grow by 2.4%, growth is then revised up from the | :10:32. | :10:36. | |
budget forecast in the next two years, to 2.4% in 2016 and two | :10:37. | :10:42. | |
years, to 2.4% in 2016 and 2.5% in starts to return to its long-term | :10:43. | :10:50. | |
trend of growth of 2.4% in 2018 and 2.3% in 2019 and 2020. That growth | :10:51. | :10:55. | |
is more balanced than in the past, economy investment is set to grow | :10:56. | :11:00. | |
faster in Britain than in any other major advanced economy in the world. | :11:01. | :11:04. | |
This year, the next year, and the after that. Mr Speaker, when I | :11:05. | :11:11. | |
presented my first Spending Review in 2010 and said this country on the | :11:12. | :11:16. | |
path of living within its means, our opponents claimed that growth would | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
be joked off, when a million jobs lost, and inequality would rise. | :11:21. | :11:26. | |
Every one of those predictions has proved to be completely wrong. And | :11:27. | :11:36. | |
so too did the claim that Britain needed to choose between sound | :11:37. | :11:39. | |
public finances and great public services. It's a false choice. If | :11:40. | :11:43. | |
you are bowled with your reforms you can have both. Is why, why we have | :11:44. | :11:49. | |
reduced government spending, crime has fallen, 1 million more children | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
are being educated in good outstanding schools and public | :11:55. | :11:58. | |
satisfaction with our local government services has risen. The | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
exact opposite of what our critics predicted. And yet now the same | :12:04. | :12:07. | |
people are making similar claims about this Spending Review as we | :12:08. | :12:11. | |
seek to move Britain out of deficit and into surplus. And they are | :12:12. | :12:18. | |
completely wrong again. The OBR has seen our public expenditure plans, | :12:19. | :12:21. | |
analysed the effect on our economy. Their forecast today is that the | :12:22. | :12:24. | |
economy will grow robustly every year, living standards will rise | :12:25. | :12:28. | |
every gear and that more than 1 million extra jobs will be created | :12:29. | :12:34. | |
over the next five years. That is because sound public finances are | :12:35. | :12:37. | |
not the enemy of sustained growth, they are its precondition. Our | :12:38. | :12:43. | |
economic plan puts the security of working people first so that we are | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
prepared for the inevitable storms that light ahead. That is why our | :12:48. | :12:52. | |
Charter for added responsibility commits us to reducing the debt to | :12:53. | :12:57. | |
GDP ratio for each year of this Parliament reaching a surplus in | :12:58. | :13:01. | |
2019-20 and keeping that surplus in normal times. I can confirm that the | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
OBR has today acidified that the economic plan that would present | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
delivers on our commitment. But it has certified this. That brings me | :13:12. | :13:16. | |
to the forecast for debt and deficit. As usual the OBR has had | :13:17. | :13:19. | |
access to published and unpublished data and made its own assessment of | :13:20. | :13:26. | |
our public finances. Since these budget Housing Associations in have | :13:27. | :13:31. | |
been reclassified by our independent office for National statistics, and | :13:32. | :13:36. | |
their borrowing in to Liddle and depth of been brought on to the | :13:37. | :13:40. | |
public balance sheet and that that will be backdated to 2008. It is | :13:41. | :13:45. | |
listed as to change, so the OBR has recalled belated its previous budget | :13:46. | :13:49. | |
forecast to include Housing Associations, so that we can compare | :13:50. | :13:55. | |
like with like. On that new measure debt was forecast in July to be | :13:56. | :14:00. | |
83.6% of national income this year. Today in this Autumn Statement have | :14:01. | :14:04. | |
forecast this year to be lower, 82.5%. It then falls, every year, | :14:05. | :14:16. | |
down to 81.7%... Order! Mr Lewis! Get a grip of yourself, man! Take up | :14:17. | :14:24. | |
yoga, you will find it beneficial! The record shows that the Chancellor | :14:25. | :14:30. | |
stays for a considerable period after his statement to respond to | :14:31. | :14:34. | |
questions. Members will always find the chair a friend if they wish to | :14:35. | :14:41. | |
question a minister. Yes, they will! LAUGHTER | :14:42. | :14:47. | |
Those with questions to ask will be heard. Meanwhile, the Chancellor | :14:48. | :14:50. | |
will be heard! Lunch Mac CHEERING | :14:51. | :14:57. | |
Mr Speaker, I am looking forward to it! On that new measure debt was | :14:58. | :15:03. | |
forecast in July to be 83.6% of national income this. Today in this | :15:04. | :15:05. | |
Autumn Statement they have forecast it this year to be 82.5%. It then | :15:06. | :15:12. | |
falls every year down to 81.7% next, done to 79.9% in 27-18 and | :15:13. | :15:22. | |
down to 77.3% and 74 by 3% reaching 71.3% in 2020-21. In every single | :15:23. | :15:29. | |
year, the national debt as a share of national income is lower than | :15:30. | :15:34. | |
when I presented the budget four months ago. And this improvement in | :15:35. | :15:38. | |
the nation's finances is due to two things. First, the OBR expects tax | :15:39. | :15:47. | |
receipts to be stronger. A sign our economy is healthier than thought. | :15:48. | :15:52. | |
Second, debt interest payments are expected to be lower, reflecting the | :15:53. | :15:56. | |
further fall in the rates we pay to our creditors. Combine the effects | :15:57. | :16:01. | |
of better tax receipts and lower debt interest and overall the OBR | :16:02. | :16:06. | |
has copulated this means a ?27 billion improvement in our public | :16:07. | :16:11. | |
finances -- calculated, compared to where we were at the Budget. Mr | :16:12. | :16:16. | |
Speaker, this improvement in the nation's finances allows me to do | :16:17. | :16:23. | |
the following. First we will borrow ?8 billion less than we forecast, | :16:24. | :16:32. | |
making faster progress towards eliminating and lowering the doubt, | :16:33. | :16:34. | |
fixing the roof when the sun is shining. | :16:35. | :16:41. | |
Second, we will spend 12 billion more on capital investments, making | :16:42. | :16:48. | |
faster progress to building the infrastructure our country needs. | :16:49. | :16:54. | |
And third, the improved public finances allow us to reach the same | :16:55. | :16:58. | |
goal of the surplus while cutting macro less in the early years, we | :16:59. | :17:04. | |
can smooth the path to the same destination. We can help on tax | :17:05. | :17:08. | |
credits. I have then asked to help in the transition as Britain moves | :17:09. | :17:14. | |
to the higher wage, lower welfare, lower tax society. These changes to | :17:15. | :17:20. | |
tax credits should be phased in. I have listened to the concerns. I | :17:21. | :17:24. | |
hear and understand them. Because I have been able to announce a -- an | :17:25. | :17:29. | |
improvement in the public finances, the simplest thing to do is not to | :17:30. | :17:33. | |
faze these changes in body to avoid them altogether. Tax credits are | :17:34. | :17:41. | |
being phased out any way as we introduce Universal Credit. What | :17:42. | :17:45. | |
that means is that the tax credit tabor rate and threshold remain | :17:46. | :17:52. | |
unchanged. The disregard will be ?2500. I propose no further changes | :17:53. | :17:58. | |
to the Universal Credit tabor or the work allowances to those passed | :17:59. | :18:06. | |
through Parliament last week. I set a lower welfare cap at the budget. | :18:07. | :18:12. | |
Helping with the transition obviously means that we will not be | :18:13. | :18:16. | |
within that lower welfare cap in the first years but the House should | :18:17. | :18:21. | |
also note that thanks to our welfare reforms, we meet the cap in the | :18:22. | :18:26. | |
later part of this Parliament. Indeed on the figures published | :18:27. | :18:30. | |
today, we still achieve the ?12 billion per year welfare savings we | :18:31. | :18:37. | |
promised. That is because of the permanent savings we have already | :18:38. | :18:41. | |
made and further long-term reforms we announce today. The rate of | :18:42. | :18:45. | |
housing benefit in the social sector will be capped. The same rate paid | :18:46. | :18:53. | |
to those in the private rented sector who received the same | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
benefit. This will apply to new tenancies only. We will also stop | :18:58. | :19:00. | |
paying housing benefit and pension credit payments to people who have | :19:01. | :19:04. | |
left the country for more than a month. The welfare system should be | :19:05. | :19:08. | |
fair to those who need it and fair to those who pay for it, too. | :19:09. | :19:13. | |
Improved public finances mean that we continue to be on target for a | :19:14. | :19:18. | |
surplus. The House will want to know the level of that surplus. Let me | :19:19. | :19:24. | |
give the OBR forecast for deficit and borrowing. In 2010 the deficit | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
we inherited was estimated at 11.1% of national income. This year it is | :19:30. | :19:34. | |
said to be almost one third of that, 3.9%. Next year it falls to less | :19:35. | :19:41. | |
than a quarter, 2.5%. Then the deficit is down to 1.2% in 2017-18, | :19:42. | :19:48. | |
0.2% a year after that, before moving into a surplus in 2019-20, | :19:49. | :19:54. | |
rising to 0.6% of the following year. The cash borrowing figures. | :19:55. | :20:01. | |
The OBR predicted at the time of the budget that Britain would borrow | :20:02. | :20:06. | |
?74.1 billion this year. They now forecast we will borrow less than | :20:07. | :20:12. | |
that at 73.5 billion. Borrowing falls 49.9 billion next year. It | :20:13. | :20:16. | |
continues to fall and fall and falls to fall and fall still lower in | :20:17. | :20:23. | |
every single year after that, to 28 -- 20 4.8 8,000,000,020 17-18, four | :20:24. | :20:31. | |
.6 billion the following year, and in 2020 we reach a surplus of ?10.1 | :20:32. | :20:37. | |
billion. That is higher than was forecast in the budget. Britain out | :20:38. | :20:44. | |
of the red and into the black. In 2020-21 the surplus rises to 14.7 | :20:45. | :20:50. | |
billion. The deficit falls every year. We are borrowing ?8 billion | :20:51. | :20:59. | |
less than we expected overall. And we reach a bigger surplus. We have | :21:00. | :21:03. | |
achieved this while at the same time helping working families as we move | :21:04. | :21:09. | |
to lower welfare, higher wage economy, and we have the economic | :21:10. | :21:12. | |
security of knowing our country is paying its way in the world. That | :21:13. | :21:19. | |
brings me to our plans for public expenditure and taxation. I want to | :21:20. | :21:23. | |
thank my right honourable friend, the chief secretary, other | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
ministerial colleagues and the brilliant officials who have | :21:28. | :21:30. | |
assisted us for the long hours and hard work they have put into | :21:31. | :21:36. | |
developing these plans. We said ?5 billion would come from the levels | :21:37. | :21:40. | |
on tax avoidance, evasion and imbalances. Those measures were | :21:41. | :21:44. | |
announced in the Budget. Together we go further today with new penalties | :21:45. | :21:47. | |
for the General Anti-Abuse Rule which this comment introduced, | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
action undisguised renumeration schemes and stamp duty avoidance, | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
and we will stop abuse of the intangible fixed assets scheme. We | :21:57. | :22:07. | |
will all show ensure... HMRC is making efficiencies of 18% in its | :22:08. | :22:12. | |
own Budget. In the digital age we do not need taxpayers to pay for paper | :22:13. | :22:18. | |
processing or 170 separate tax offices around the country. We are | :22:19. | :22:22. | |
reinvesting some of those savings with an extra ?800 billion in the | :22:23. | :22:27. | |
fight against tax evasion and investment return of almost ten | :22:28. | :22:30. | |
times the tax collected. We're going to build one of the most digitally | :22:31. | :22:35. | |
advanced tax administrations in the world, so that every individual and | :22:36. | :22:38. | |
every small business will have their own digital tax account by the end | :22:39. | :22:41. | |
of the decade in order to manage their tax online. From 2019, when | :22:42. | :22:48. | |
these accounts are up and running, we will require Capital Gains Tax to | :22:49. | :22:52. | |
be paid within 30 days of completion of any disposal of residential | :22:53. | :22:56. | |
property. These form part of the digital revolution we are bringing | :22:57. | :22:59. | |
to Whitehall with this Spending Review. The digital service will | :23:00. | :23:04. | |
receive an additional ?450 million. The court Cabinet budget will be | :23:05. | :23:13. | |
cut. The cost of all Whitehall administration will be cut by ?1.9 | :23:14. | :23:19. | |
billion. These form part of the ?12 billion of savings in government | :23:20. | :23:23. | |
departments iron and -- I am announcing today. In 2010, | :23:24. | :23:28. | |
government spending took up 45%. This figure we could not sustain | :23:29. | :23:32. | |
because it was neither practical nor sensible to raise taxes high enough | :23:33. | :23:37. | |
to pay for that. We ended up with a massive structural deficit. Today | :23:38. | :23:40. | |
the state accounts for just under 40% of national income and is | :23:41. | :23:46. | |
forecast to reach 36.5% by the end of the Spending Review. The | :23:47. | :23:48. | |
structural spending this represents is at a level of a modern economy | :23:49. | :23:54. | |
can sustain. It is a level B British people are prepared to pay their | :23:55. | :24:00. | |
taxes for. It is precisely because this government believes in decent | :24:01. | :24:03. | |
public services and a properly funded welfare state that we are | :24:04. | :24:08. | |
insistent they are sustainable and affordable. To simply argue all the | :24:09. | :24:13. | |
time the public spending must always increase, never be cut, is | :24:14. | :24:17. | |
irresponsible and lets down the people who rely on public services | :24:18. | :24:21. | |
most. Equally to fund the things we want the Government to provide in | :24:22. | :24:25. | |
the modern world, we have to be prepared to provide the resources. I | :24:26. | :24:29. | |
am setting the limits for total managed expenditure as follows. This | :24:30. | :24:33. | |
year public spending will be ?756 billion. 773 billion next year, 787 | :24:34. | :24:44. | |
the year after, 801 billion before reaching 821,000,000,020 19-20. The | :24:45. | :24:49. | |
year we are forecast to eliminate the deficit and cheaper surplus. | :24:50. | :24:53. | |
After that, the forecast public spending rises roughly in line with | :24:54. | :25:01. | |
the growth of the economy. The figures from the OBR show that over | :25:02. | :25:05. | |
the next five years welfare spending falls as a percentage of national | :25:06. | :25:10. | |
income, while departmental capital investment is maintained and is | :25:11. | :25:13. | |
higher at the end of the period. That is precisely the right switch | :25:14. | :25:16. | |
for a country serious about investing in its long-term economic | :25:17. | :25:22. | |
success. People will want to know what the levels of public spending | :25:23. | :25:26. | |
mean in practice and the scale of the cuts we are asking government | :25:27. | :25:30. | |
departments to undertake. The day-to-day spending of government | :25:31. | :25:34. | |
departments is set to fall by an average of 0.8% per year in real | :25:35. | :25:39. | |
terms. That compares to an average fall of 2% in the past five years. | :25:40. | :25:44. | |
The savings we need are considerably smaller. This reflects the | :25:45. | :25:47. | |
improvement in the public finances and the progress we have already | :25:48. | :25:51. | |
made. The overall rate of annual cuts I set out in today's Spending | :25:52. | :25:55. | |
Review are less than half of those delivered over the last five years. | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
Britain is spending a lower proportion of its money on welfare | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
and a higher proportion on infrastructure. They Budget balanced | :26:05. | :26:08. | |
with cuts half what they were in the last parliament, making the savings | :26:09. | :26:16. | |
we need, no more, no less, and providing people with a country with | :26:17. | :26:18. | |
a surplus that lives within its means. This not -- this does not | :26:19. | :26:25. | |
mean that decisions are easy. Nor should we lose sight of the fact | :26:26. | :26:29. | |
this Spending Review commits ?4 trillion over the next five years. | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
It is a huge commitment of the hard earned cash of British taxpayers. | :26:35. | :26:38. | |
And all of those who dedicate their lives to public service will want to | :26:39. | :26:42. | |
make sure it is well spent. Our approach is not simply | :26:43. | :26:45. | |
retrenchment. It is to reform and rebuild. These reforms will support | :26:46. | :26:51. | |
our objectives. First, to develop a modern integrated health and social | :26:52. | :26:55. | |
care system that supports people at every stage of their lives. Second, | :26:56. | :27:01. | |
to spread economic power and wealth through devolution revolution and | :27:02. | :27:04. | |
invest in long-term infrastructure. Third, to extend opportunity by | :27:05. | :27:08. | |
attacking the big social failures that for too long have helped people | :27:09. | :27:13. | |
back. Fourth, to reinforce our national security with the | :27:14. | :27:16. | |
re-sources to protect us at home and protect our values abroad. The | :27:17. | :27:21. | |
resorts is allocated are driven by these four Gaults. The first | :27:22. | :27:25. | |
priority is the first priority of the British people, our National | :27:26. | :27:30. | |
Health Service. Health spending was cut by the Labour administration in | :27:31. | :27:34. | |
Wales. We Conservatives have been increasing spending on the NHS in | :27:35. | :27:42. | |
England. And in this Spending Review we do so again. We will work with | :27:43. | :27:47. | |
our health professionals to deliver the best value for that money. That | :27:48. | :27:51. | |
means ?22 billion of efficiency savings across the service. It means | :27:52. | :27:57. | |
a 25% cut in the Whitehall budget of the Department of Health. It means | :27:58. | :28:01. | |
modernising the way we fund students of health care. There is a cap on | :28:02. | :28:08. | |
student nurses. Over half of all applicants are turned away and it | :28:09. | :28:11. | |
leaves hospital is relying on agencies and overseas staff. We will | :28:12. | :28:16. | |
replace direct funding with loans for new students so we can abolish | :28:17. | :28:21. | |
the self-defeating cap and create up to 10,000 more training places in | :28:22. | :28:26. | |
this Parliament. Alongside these reforms we will give the NHS the | :28:27. | :28:29. | |
money it needs. We made a commitment to a ?10 billion increase in the NHS | :28:30. | :28:35. | |
budget and we deliver that today with the first ?6 billion delivered | :28:36. | :28:41. | |
upfront next year. This fully funds the five-year view the NHS put | :28:42. | :28:44. | |
forward as the plan for its future. As the Chief Executive of NHS -- NHS | :28:45. | :28:50. | |
England said, the NHS has been heard and actively supported. Let me | :28:51. | :28:58. | |
explain what that means in cash. The NHS budget will rise from ?101 | :28:59. | :29:04. | |
billion today to ?120 billion by 2020. This is a half of equipment to | :29:05. | :29:12. | |
the NHS over this Parliament. -- commitment. The largest to the NHS | :29:13. | :29:20. | |
since its creation. We have a clear plan for improving the NHS. We fully | :29:21. | :29:26. | |
funded it. And in return patients will see more than ?5 billion in | :29:27. | :29:32. | |
health research in everything from Gene Ormsby antimicrobial | :29:33. | :29:36. | |
resistance, to a new dimension Institute and a new world-class | :29:37. | :29:40. | |
public health facility in Harlow, and more. 800,000 more elected | :29:41. | :29:46. | |
hospital admissions. 5 million more outpatient appointments. 2 million | :29:47. | :29:51. | |
more diagnostic tests. New hospitals in Cambridge, Sandwell and | :29:52. | :29:55. | |
Brighton. Cancer testing within four weeks and a brilliant NHS are | :29:56. | :30:02. | |
available seven days a week. Mr Speaker, there is one part of our | :30:03. | :30:07. | |
NHS that has been neglected for too long, mental health. I want to thank | :30:08. | :30:12. | |
the all-party group led by my right honourable friend for Sutton | :30:13. | :30:17. | |
Coldfield, the Right Honourable member for North Norfolk and | :30:18. | :30:19. | |
Alastair Campbell for their work in this area. In the last Parliament we | :30:20. | :30:23. | |
made a start by laying the foundations for the quality of | :30:24. | :30:26. | |
treatment for waiting times for mental health. Today we are building | :30:27. | :30:31. | |
on that. We are providing additional funding. By 2020 is significantly | :30:32. | :30:35. | |
more people will have access to talking therapies, perinatal | :30:36. | :30:40. | |
services and crisis care. All possible because we made a promise | :30:41. | :30:45. | |
to the British people to give our NHS the funding it needs and in this | :30:46. | :30:52. | |
Spending Review we have delivered. The health service cannot function | :30:53. | :30:55. | |
effectively without good social care. The truth we need to confront | :30:56. | :30:59. | |
is this. Many local authorities are not going to be able to meet the | :31:00. | :31:03. | |
growing social care needs unless they have new sources of funding. | :31:04. | :31:08. | |
That in the end comes from the taxpayer. In future those local | :31:09. | :31:11. | |
authorities responsible for social care will be able to levy a new | :31:12. | :31:17. | |
social care precept of up to 2% on council tax. The money raised will | :31:18. | :31:20. | |
have to be spent exclusively on adult social care and if all | :31:21. | :31:25. | |
authorities make full use of it, it will bring almost ?2 billion more | :31:26. | :31:30. | |
into the care system. It is part of a major reform we are undertaking to | :31:31. | :31:35. | |
integrate health and social care by the end of this decade. To help | :31:36. | :31:39. | |
achieve that I am today increasing the better care fund to support that | :31:40. | :31:44. | |
integration, with local authorities able to access a next ?1.5 million | :31:45. | :31:52. | |
by 2019-20. The steps taken in this Spending Review mean that by the end | :31:53. | :31:54. | |
of the parliament social care spending will have risen in real | :31:55. | :31:55. | |
terms by the end of the Parliament. To help businesses with the | :31:56. | :32:20. | |
administration of this important boost will -- we will align the next | :32:21. | :32:26. | |
two phases with the tax years. The best way to afford generous pension | :32:27. | :32:30. | |
benefits is to raise the pension age in line with life expectancy as | :32:31. | :32:36. | |
we're set to do in this Parliament. That allows us to maintain a triple | :32:37. | :32:40. | |
lock on the value of the state pension, so never again do | :32:41. | :32:43. | |
Britain's pensioners receive a derisory increase of 75p. As a | :32:44. | :32:52. | |
result of our commitment to those who have worked hard all their lives | :32:53. | :32:56. | |
and contributed to this society I confirmed that next year the basic | :32:57. | :33:03. | |
state pension will rise by ?3 35 to ?119 30 a week is the biggest | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
real-time is increased the basic state pension 15 years. Taking all | :33:08. | :33:13. | |
of our increases together over the last five years, pensioners will be | :33:14. | :33:20. | |
?1125 better off a year than they were when we came into office. We | :33:21. | :33:24. | |
also undertaking the biggest change in the state pension for 40 years to | :33:25. | :33:28. | |
make it simple and fair by introducing the new single tier | :33:29. | :33:31. | |
pension for pensioners from next April. I'm today setting the full | :33:32. | :33:39. | |
rate the state pension at ?155, 65p. Higher than the current means tested | :33:40. | :33:44. | |
benefit for the lowest income pensioners in this society and | :33:45. | :33:46. | |
another example of progressive government in action. Instead of | :33:47. | :33:54. | |
cutting these savings credit as in previous fiscal events and will be | :33:55. | :33:58. | |
frozen at its current level where income is not changed. So the first | :33:59. | :34:03. | |
objective of this Spending Review is to give unprecedented support to | :34:04. | :34:07. | |
health, social care and pensioners. The second is to spread economic | :34:08. | :34:11. | |
power and wealth across this nation. In recent weeks great metropolitan | :34:12. | :34:15. | |
areas like Sheffield, Liverpool, the north-east and the West Midlands | :34:16. | :34:18. | |
have joined Greater Manchester in agreeing to create elected Mayers in | :34:19. | :34:24. | |
return for far-reaching new powers over transport skills and the local | :34:25. | :34:29. | |
economy. It is the most determined effort to change the geographical | :34:30. | :34:31. | |
imbalance that has bedevilled the British economy far half-century. We | :34:32. | :34:39. | |
are today setting aside the ?12 billion we promised for the local | :34:40. | :34:43. | |
growth fund and I'm announcing the creation of 26 new extended and | :34:44. | :34:47. | |
enterprise zones including 15 zones in towns and rural areas from | :34:48. | :34:52. | |
Carlisle to Dorset to Ipswich. But if we want to shift power in this | :34:53. | :34:56. | |
country we must give all local councils the tools to drive business | :34:57. | :35:00. | |
growth in their area, and the rewards that come when you do so. So | :35:01. | :35:05. | |
I can confirm today that, as we set out last month, we will abolish the | :35:06. | :35:10. | |
uniform is Ms rate, by the end of the Parliament local government will | :35:11. | :35:13. | |
keep all the revenues from business rates, we will give councils the | :35:14. | :35:18. | |
power to cut rates and make the area more active to businesses and | :35:19. | :35:22. | |
elected mayors will be able to raise rates provided they fund specific | :35:23. | :35:28. | |
infrastructure projects supported by the local business community. | :35:29. | :35:32. | |
Because the amount we raise in business rates is greater than the | :35:33. | :35:35. | |
amount we give to local councils through the government grant will | :35:36. | :35:38. | |
phase out that ground over this Parliament. And we'll also devolve | :35:39. | :35:43. | |
additional responsibilities. The temporary accommodation management | :35:44. | :35:47. | |
fee will no longer be paid through the benefit system. Instead councils | :35:48. | :35:52. | |
will get ?10 million a year more up front to provide more help to | :35:53. | :35:55. | |
homeless people. Alongside savings in the public health grant we will | :35:56. | :36:01. | |
consult on transferring new powers and responsibility for its funding | :36:02. | :36:05. | |
and elements of the administration of housing benefit. Local government | :36:06. | :36:09. | |
is sitting on property worth one quarter of ?1 trillion so we will | :36:10. | :36:14. | |
let councils spend 100% of the receipts from the assets they sell | :36:15. | :36:18. | |
to improve their local services. Councils increase their reserves by | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
almost ?10 billion over the last Parliament. We would encourage them | :36:24. | :36:29. | |
to draw on these reserves as they undertake reforms. Mr Speaker, this | :36:30. | :36:35. | |
amounts to a big package of new powers but also new responsibilities | :36:36. | :36:38. | |
for local councils. It is a revolution in the way that we govern | :36:39. | :36:42. | |
this country and if you take into account both the falling grant and | :36:43. | :36:47. | |
the rise in comes it means that by the end of this Parliament local | :36:48. | :36:50. | |
government will spend the same in cash terms as does today. Mr | :36:51. | :36:57. | |
Speaker, the devolved administrations of the UK will also | :36:58. | :37:01. | |
have available to them unprecedented new powers to drive their economies. | :37:02. | :37:06. | |
The conclusion last week of the political talks in Northern Ireland | :37:07. | :37:09. | |
mean additional spending power for the executive to support the full | :37:10. | :37:13. | |
temperament issue of the Stormont has agreement. That opens the door | :37:14. | :37:17. | |
to the devolution of corporation tax which the parties have now confirmed | :37:18. | :37:20. | |
they wish to set at the rate of 12.5%. If huge prize for business in | :37:21. | :37:27. | |
Northern Ireland. The onus is now on the Northern Ireland executive to | :37:28. | :37:30. | |
play their part and deliver sustainable budget so that we can | :37:31. | :37:35. | |
move forward on that. The Northern Ireland's lock grant will be over | :37:36. | :37:41. | |
?11 billion by 2019-20 and funding for new investment and | :37:42. | :37:44. | |
infrastructure will rise by over ?600 million over five years so that | :37:45. | :37:48. | |
Northern Ireland can invest in its long-term future. For many years | :37:49. | :37:52. | |
Wales has asked for a funding floor to protect public spending. Within | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
months of coming to office, this Conservative government is answering | :37:57. | :38:00. | |
that call and providing that historic funding guarantee for | :38:01. | :38:04. | |
Wales. I can announce that we will introduce the new funding floor and | :38:05. | :38:10. | |
set it for this Parliament at 115%. The Welsh Secretary and I also | :38:11. | :38:14. | |
confirm that we will legislate so that the devolution of income tax | :38:15. | :38:18. | |
can take place without a referendum. We will also help fund a new Cardiff | :38:19. | :38:24. | |
City deal. So the Welsh block grant will reach almost ?15 billion by | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
2019-20, while capital spending will rise by over 500 million pounds over | :38:30. | :38:39. | |
five years. -- capital spending will rise. Scotland voted to remain in | :38:40. | :38:48. | |
the United Kingdom. Mr Speaker, this must be underpinned by a fiscal | :38:49. | :38:51. | |
framework that is fair to all taxpayers and we are now ready to | :38:52. | :38:55. | |
reach an agreement. The ball is in the Court of the Scottish | :38:56. | :38:59. | |
Government. Let's have a deal that is fair to Scotland and to the UK, | :39:00. | :39:05. | |
and is built to last. We are implementing the city deal for | :39:06. | :39:09. | |
Glasgow and negotiating deals with Aberdeen and Inverness as well. If | :39:10. | :39:12. | |
Scotland had voted for independence they would have had their own | :39:13. | :39:17. | |
Spending Review this autumn. And with world oil prices falling and | :39:18. | :39:20. | |
revenues from the North Sea forecast by the OBR today to be down 94%, we | :39:21. | :39:30. | |
would have seen catastrophic cuts in Scottish public services. But | :39:31. | :39:33. | |
thankfully, Scotland remains a strong part of a stronger United | :39:34. | :39:36. | |
Kingdom. Pareja CHEERING | :39:37. | :39:48. | |
So the Scottish block grant will be over ?30 million in 2019-20 while | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
capital spending available will rise by ?1.9 billion until 2021. The UK | :39:54. | :39:57. | |
Government giving Scotland the resources to invest in its long-term | :39:58. | :40:03. | |
future. For the UK Government, the funding of the Scotland, Wales, and | :40:04. | :40:08. | |
northern Ireland offices will all be protected in real terms. We are | :40:09. | :40:13. | |
devolving power across this country and spending on the Icahn and | :40:14. | :40:16. | |
infrastructure that connects the nation. Something Britain hasn't | :40:17. | :40:21. | |
done enough of for a generation. Now by making the tough decisions to | :40:22. | :40:24. | |
save on day-to-day costs in departments were involved in -- we | :40:25. | :40:30. | |
will be investing in new roads, rails, and flood defence needed. We | :40:31. | :40:34. | |
started in the last Parliament. Britain has just topped the league | :40:35. | :40:38. | |
of the best places in the world to invest in infrastructure. In this | :40:39. | :40:43. | |
Spending Review we go much further. The Department for times but's | :40:44. | :40:48. | |
operational budget will fall by 37%. Peshmerga Department for | :40:49. | :40:55. | |
Transport's budget. The biggest increase for a generation. That | :40:56. | :41:01. | |
funds the largest road investment programme since the 1970s. We are | :41:02. | :41:11. | |
the builders. It means the construction of a just two, to link | :41:12. | :41:15. | |
the northern powerhouse to the south can begin, the electric version of | :41:16. | :41:24. | |
lines like the great Western can go ahead, we will fund our new | :41:25. | :41:28. | |
transport for the North to get it up and running. London will get an | :41:29. | :41:32. | |
investment of ?11 billion in its transport infrastructure, and having | :41:33. | :41:38. | |
met with my honourable friend for Folkestone and the Kent MPs are | :41:39. | :41:41. | |
relieve the pressure from Operation Stack within a quarter of a million | :41:42. | :41:47. | |
pound investment in facilities there. We will make a commitment of | :41:48. | :41:51. | |
?300 million to cycling as promised and spent over ?5 billion on roads | :41:52. | :41:57. | |
maintenance in this Parliament. And thanks to the incessant lobbying of | :41:58. | :42:00. | |
my honourable friend for Northampton North, Britain now has a permanent | :42:01. | :42:14. | |
potholes and! -- pothole fund! Nuno Espirito Santo | :42:15. | :42:21. | |
CHEERING We are investing in what we need and | :42:22. | :42:25. | |
in flood defences. The Defra budget will fall by 15% but we are | :42:26. | :42:30. | |
committing more than ?2 billion to protect householders from flooding. | :42:31. | :42:34. | |
Our commitment to farming and the countryside is reflected in the | :42:35. | :42:37. | |
funding of national parks and forests. We won't make that mistake | :42:38. | :42:44. | |
again! I can tell the House that in recognition of the higher costs they | :42:45. | :42:50. | |
face, Mr Speaker, we will continue to provide ?50 off the water bills | :42:51. | :42:57. | |
of South West water customers for the rest of this Parliament. A | :42:58. | :43:01. | |
promise made to the south-west and a promise kept. Investing in the | :43:02. | :43:08. | |
long-term economic structure of this country is the goal of this Spending | :43:09. | :43:12. | |
Review. -- one of the goals. There is no more important structure than | :43:13. | :43:19. | |
energy. We are doubling our commitment to research and | :43:20. | :43:21. | |
supporting the creation of the shale gas industry by ensuring that | :43:22. | :43:25. | |
communities and are fed from a shale wealth fund which could be worth up | :43:26. | :43:31. | |
to ?1 billion, -- that they benefit from a shale wealth fund. The | :43:32. | :43:35. | |
development and sale of ultralow emission vehicles will continue to | :43:36. | :43:39. | |
be supported but in the light of the slower than expected introduction of | :43:40. | :43:44. | |
a more rigorous EU emissions testing we were delayed removal of the | :43:45. | :43:48. | |
diesels supplement from company cars until 2021. We support the | :43:49. | :43:52. | |
international efforts to tackle climate change and to show our | :43:53. | :43:55. | |
commitment to the Paris talks next week as the Prime Minister just | :43:56. | :44:00. | |
explained, we are increasing our support for climate finance by 50% | :44:01. | :44:06. | |
over the next five years. DECC's day-to-day budget will fall, | :44:07. | :44:14. | |
Alderweireld reform the renewable energy initiative and we will | :44:15. | :44:17. | |
permanently exempt energies like chemicals from the cost of | :44:18. | :44:21. | |
environmental tariffs so we keep them competitive and keep them here. | :44:22. | :44:29. | |
I can announce that we are introducing a cheaper domestic | :44:30. | :44:30. | |
energy efficiency schemes that wrap is and is Twitter replaces ego. The | :44:31. | :44:36. | |
new scheme will save an average of ?30 a year from the energy bills of | :44:37. | :44:40. | |
20 former the households. Because this government believes that going | :44:41. | :44:44. | |
green should not cost the earth. And we are cutting other bills, we will | :44:45. | :44:47. | |
bring forward reforms to the compensation culture around minor | :44:48. | :44:51. | |
motorcycle accident injuries which were removed more than ?1 billion | :44:52. | :44:56. | |
from the cost of motor insurance. We expect the industry to pass on the | :44:57. | :45:00. | |
savings so motorists will see an average saving of ?40 -?50 a year | :45:01. | :45:05. | |
from the insurance bills. Mr Speaker, this is a government that | :45:06. | :45:09. | |
backs all our businesses, large and small. We on this side of the House | :45:10. | :45:13. | |
and a standard that there is no growth, no jobs about a vibrant | :45:14. | :45:16. | |
private sector and successful entrepreneurs. -- no jobs without a | :45:17. | :45:23. | |
vibrant sector. Business needs competitive taxes. I've already | :45:24. | :45:27. | |
announced a reduction in our corporation tax rate to 80%. Our | :45:28. | :45:32. | |
overall review of business rates were reported in the Budget. Today I | :45:33. | :45:37. | |
am helping 600,000 small businesses by extending our small business rate | :45:38. | :45:41. | |
relief scheme for one more year. Businesses also need an active, | :45:42. | :45:46. | |
sustained industrial strategy. And that strategy, launched in the last | :45:47. | :45:52. | |
Parliament, continues on this one. We commit to the same level of | :45:53. | :45:58. | |
support for our aerospace and automotive industries, not just for | :45:59. | :46:01. | |
the next five years, for the next decade. Spending on our new cut | :46:02. | :46:06. | |
above centres will increase. We will protect cash support that we give | :46:07. | :46:11. | |
through Innovate UK, we can afford to do this by offering ?165 million | :46:12. | :46:17. | |
of new loans to companies instead of grants, has funds has successfully | :46:18. | :46:21. | |
done for many years. It is one of the savings that helps us reduce the | :46:22. | :46:26. | |
business budget by 17%. In the modern world one of the best ways to | :46:27. | :46:31. | |
back business is by backing science. That is why, in the last | :46:32. | :46:34. | |
Parliament, I protected the resource budget for science in cash terms. In | :46:35. | :46:39. | |
this Parliament I am protecting it in real terms. So that it rises to | :46:40. | :46:45. | |
?4.7 billion. That's ?500 million more by the end of the decade, | :46:46. | :46:50. | |
alongside the ?6.9 billion capital budget as well. Funding the new | :46:51. | :46:55. | |
Royce Institute in Manchester and new agri- tech centres in | :46:56. | :47:00. | |
Shropshire, York, Bedford and Edinburgh, we will come and ?75 | :47:01. | :47:04. | |
million to a transformation of the Cavendish laboratory is in Cambridge | :47:05. | :47:09. | |
where our knowledge of the universe was expanded. To make the most of | :47:10. | :47:13. | |
our investment in science I have asked one more of our Nobel Prize | :47:14. | :47:18. | |
laureates, Paul Knows, to conduct a review of the research councils and | :47:19. | :47:21. | |
I want to thank him for his excellent report and will implement | :47:22. | :47:22. | |
his recommendations. Britain is brilliant at culture. One | :47:23. | :47:35. | |
of the best things we can do is invest in culture, made as. -- | :47:36. | :47:49. | |
culture, the and is. The core administration budget will fall by | :47:50. | :47:53. | |
20%. I am increasing the cash that will go to the arts Council, our | :47:54. | :47:58. | |
national museums and galleries will keep free museum entry and look at a | :47:59. | :48:03. | |
new tax credit to support their exhibitions. I will help UK sport, | :48:04. | :48:08. | |
which has been living on diminishing reserves, with a 29% increase in | :48:09. | :48:13. | |
their budget, so we'd go for gold in Rio and Tokyo. Mr Speaker, the Right | :48:14. | :48:23. | |
Honourable member and former Home Secretary has personally asked me to | :48:24. | :48:29. | |
support his city's Europe culture in Hull. His campaign has contributed | :48:30. | :48:33. | |
to the arts while his front bench contributes to comedy. The money for | :48:34. | :48:48. | |
a Hull... Mr Speaker, the money for Hull is all part of a package to the | :48:49. | :48:53. | |
Northern Powerhouse which includes funding the iconic new factory in | :48:54. | :48:56. | |
Manchester and the great exhibition in the North. In Scotland we will | :48:57. | :49:00. | |
support the Burrell connection. In London, we will help the V and the | :49:01. | :49:09. | |
science Museum move their exhibitions for display. We are | :49:10. | :49:14. | |
increasing the funding for the BBC World Service so British values of | :49:15. | :49:17. | |
freedom and free expression are heard around the world. And all this | :49:18. | :49:23. | |
be achieved without raiding the Big Lottery Fund as some had feared. It | :49:24. | :49:29. | |
will continue to support the work of hundreds of small charities across | :49:30. | :49:35. | |
Britain. So too will our support for social impact bonds. There are many | :49:36. | :49:40. | |
great charities who work to support vulnerable women. Indeed a point | :49:41. | :49:44. | |
raised in Prime Minister's Questions. The Honourable member for | :49:45. | :49:49. | |
Colchester has proposed a brilliant way to give them help. 300,000 | :49:50. | :49:53. | |
people have signed a petition arguing that no VAT should be | :49:54. | :49:58. | |
charged on sanitary products. We already tried the lowest rate | :49:59. | :50:03. | |
allowable under European law. We are committing -- committed to getting | :50:04. | :50:08. | |
the EU to change its rules. The money raised from the tampon tax | :50:09. | :50:13. | |
will fund women's health and charities, and supports charities. | :50:14. | :50:24. | |
The first ?5 million, Mr Speaker... The first ?5 million will be | :50:25. | :50:30. | |
distributed to the ease appeal, Saint lives and women's aid and | :50:31. | :50:35. | |
haven. I invite bids from other such good causes. It is similar to how we | :50:36. | :50:40. | |
use LIBOR funds. Today I make further awards from them. We support | :50:41. | :50:46. | |
a host of military charities from guide dogs for military veterans to | :50:47. | :50:50. | |
care after combat. We renovate our military museums from the Royal | :50:51. | :50:53. | |
Marines and the DDA museums in Portsmouth to the National Army | :50:54. | :50:59. | |
Museum and the former HQ of RAF fighter command in Bentley Priory. | :51:00. | :51:07. | |
In the Budget I funded one of those campaign bunkers. More have emerged. | :51:08. | :51:16. | |
We will support the fellowships awarded by funding the Winston | :51:17. | :51:25. | |
Churchill Memorial trust. We will fund the graves of those who have | :51:26. | :51:28. | |
died fighting for our country since the Second World War and we will | :51:29. | :51:33. | |
contributed to a memorial to those victims of terrorism who died on the | :51:34. | :51:36. | |
bus in Tavistock Square ten years ago. It is a reminder we always face | :51:37. | :51:41. | |
threats to our way of life and we have never allowed them to defeat | :51:42. | :51:46. | |
us. We deliver security so we can spread opportunity. And that is the | :51:47. | :51:50. | |
third objective that drives this Spending Review. We showed in the | :51:51. | :51:55. | |
last five years that sound public finances and bold public service | :51:56. | :51:59. | |
reform can help the most disadvantaged in our society. | :52:00. | :52:02. | |
Inequality is down, child poverty is down, the gender pay gap is at a | :52:03. | :52:11. | |
record low. In the richest now pay more in taxes compared to the rest | :52:12. | :52:17. | |
of the country together. The other side talks of social justice. This | :52:18. | :52:22. | |
side delivers it. We are all in this together. In the next five years, it | :52:23. | :52:34. | |
starts with education. That is the door to opportunity. This Spending | :52:35. | :52:37. | |
Review commits us to a comprehensive reform of the Wade is provided from | :52:38. | :52:41. | |
childcare to college. We start with the largest ever investment in free | :52:42. | :52:45. | |
childcare is working families get the help they need. From 2017 we | :52:46. | :52:50. | |
fund 30 years of free childcare for working families for three and | :52:51. | :52:55. | |
four-year-olds. ?10,000 of childcare costs tax-free. This support will | :52:56. | :53:02. | |
only be available to parents working more than 16 hours a week and with | :53:03. | :53:05. | |
incomes of less than ?100,000. We will maintain the free childcare we | :53:06. | :53:09. | |
offer to the most disadvantaged two-year-olds and support nurseries | :53:10. | :53:15. | |
by increasing the funding to that sector by ?300 million. Taken | :53:16. | :53:20. | |
together that is a ?6 billion childcare commitment to the working | :53:21. | :53:24. | |
families of Britain. Next, schools. We build on our far-reaching reforms | :53:25. | :53:28. | |
of the last parliament that have seen schools standards rise, as | :53:29. | :53:32. | |
exams become more rigorous. We will maintain funding for free info | :53:33. | :53:36. | |
school meals, protect rates for the pupil premium and increase the cash | :53:37. | :53:42. | |
of the dedicated school ground. We maintain the current national base | :53:43. | :53:45. | |
rate of funding for 16 to 19-year-old students for the whole | :53:46. | :53:50. | |
Parliament. We're going to open 500 new free schools and university | :53:51. | :53:54. | |
technical colleges, invest ?23 billion in school building and | :53:55. | :53:58. | |
600,000 new school places. And to help older children make the | :53:59. | :54:02. | |
transition to adult hood and learn not just about their rights but | :54:03. | :54:05. | |
their responsibilities, we will expand the National citizens | :54:06. | :54:12. | |
service. Today 80,000 students go on national citizen service. By the end | :54:13. | :54:15. | |
of the decade we will fund 300,000 students on this. Five years ago 200 | :54:16. | :54:31. | |
schools... We will help every secondary school to become an | :54:32. | :54:35. | |
Academy. We will let sixth form colleges become academies as well so | :54:36. | :54:41. | |
they no longer have to pay VAT. We will make local authorities running | :54:42. | :54:44. | |
schools a thing of the past and this will help us save around ?600 | :54:45. | :54:47. | |
million from the educational services grant. I can tell the house | :54:48. | :54:52. | |
that as a result of this Spending Review not only is the schools | :54:53. | :54:56. | |
budget protected in real terms what the total financial support for | :54:57. | :55:00. | |
are extended further and higher are extended further and higher | :55:01. | :55:03. | |
education, will increase by ?10 billion. That is a real terms | :55:04. | :55:11. | |
increase for education, too. We are going to phase out the arbitrary and | :55:12. | :55:18. | |
unfair school funding system, which has systematically underfunded | :55:19. | :55:22. | |
schools. Under the current arrangements a child from a | :55:23. | :55:26. | |
disadvantaged background in one school can receive half as much | :55:27. | :55:30. | |
funding as a child in identical circumstances in another school. In | :55:31. | :55:33. | |
its place we will introduce a new national funding formula. I commend | :55:34. | :55:39. | |
the many MPs from all parties who have campaigned for many years to | :55:40. | :55:44. | |
see this day come. It will be introduced from 2017. The Education | :55:45. | :55:48. | |
Secretary will consult in the New Year. Education continues in further | :55:49. | :55:53. | |
education colleges and so do our reforms. We will not cut core adult | :55:54. | :55:58. | |
skills funding for further education colleges. We will protected in cash | :55:59. | :56:03. | |
terms. In the Budget I announced we would replace on affordable student | :56:04. | :56:07. | |
maintenance grants with larger student loans. That saves us more | :56:08. | :56:12. | |
than ?2 billion a year. It means we can extend support to students who | :56:13. | :56:16. | |
have never before had government help. Today I can announce that | :56:17. | :56:19. | |
part-time students will be able to receive maintenance loans, helping | :56:20. | :56:23. | |
some of our poorer students. For the first time we will provide tuition | :56:24. | :56:31. | |
fee loans for those studying in further education, and | :56:32. | :56:35. | |
postgraduates, too. Almost 260,000 extra students will benefit from | :56:36. | :56:37. | |
this new support I am announcing today. Mr Speaker, the | :56:38. | :56:44. | |
apprenticeship programme, the flagship of our commitment to | :56:45. | :56:47. | |
skills, in the last Parliament we wore than doubled the number of | :56:48. | :56:51. | |
apprenticeships to 2 million. By 2020 we want to see 3 million. And | :56:52. | :56:56. | |
to make sure they are high-quality apprenticeships, we will increase | :56:57. | :56:59. | |
the funding per place. The Business Secretary will create a new business | :57:00. | :57:04. | |
led body to set the standards. We will be spending twice as much on | :57:05. | :57:07. | |
apprenticeships by 2020 compared to when we came to office. To ensure | :57:08. | :57:12. | |
large businesses share the cost of training the workforce, I announced | :57:13. | :57:17. | |
in the Budget that we will introduce a new apprenticeship levy from April | :57:18. | :57:22. | |
2017. Today I am setting the rate of 0.5% of the pay bill of an | :57:23. | :57:27. | |
employer. Every employer will receive a ?15,000 allowance to | :57:28. | :57:31. | |
offset against a levy, which means 98% of all employers and businesses | :57:32. | :57:35. | |
who pay bills of less than ?3 million will pay no levy at all. The | :57:36. | :57:39. | |
apprenticeship levy will raise ?3 billion a year and fund 3 million | :57:40. | :57:45. | |
apprenticeships. Those paying will get out more than a pudding. It is a | :57:46. | :57:50. | |
huge reform to raise the skills of the nation and address one of the | :57:51. | :57:56. | |
enduring weaknesses. Mr Speaker, education and skills are run that | :57:57. | :58:00. | |
smacked the foundation of opportunity. We need to help people | :58:01. | :58:04. | |
into work. The number claiming unemployment benefits has fallen to | :58:05. | :58:08. | |
just 2.3%. The lowest rate since 1975. We are not satisfied the job | :58:09. | :58:15. | |
is done. We want to see full employment. Today we can from we | :58:16. | :58:19. | |
will extend the same support and conditionality we can't expect of | :58:20. | :58:23. | |
those on JSA 2/1 million more benefit claimants. Those signing on | :58:24. | :58:27. | |
will to attend the job centre every week for the first three months. We | :58:28. | :58:31. | |
will increase in real terms the help provided to people with disabilities | :58:32. | :58:36. | |
to help them into work. This will be delivered within the 14% savings we | :58:37. | :58:41. | |
make to the Rhys West budget of the Department for Work and Pensions, | :58:42. | :58:43. | |
including by reducing the size of their estate. It is the way to save | :58:44. | :58:50. | |
money while improving the front-line service we offer people and | :58:51. | :58:54. | |
providing more support for those who are the most vulnerable and most in | :58:55. | :59:00. | |
need of help. Mr Speaker, you cannot say you are fearlessly tackling the | :59:01. | :59:04. | |
most difficult social problems if you turn a blind eye to what goes on | :59:05. | :59:09. | |
in our prisons and Criminal Justice Act system. The Lord Chancellor has | :59:10. | :59:12. | |
worked with the lord chief justice and others to put forward a typical | :59:13. | :59:17. | |
that -- typically bold and radical plan to transform our courts so they | :59:18. | :59:24. | |
are fit for the modern age. The money saved will be used to fund an | :59:25. | :59:28. | |
investment in new technology that will bring further and permanent | :59:29. | :59:32. | |
long-term savings and speed up the process of justice. Old Victorian | :59:33. | :59:39. | |
prisons in our cities that are not suitable for rehabilitating | :59:40. | :59:43. | |
prisoners will be sold. This will also bring long-term savings and | :59:44. | :59:47. | |
means we can spend over ?1 billion in this parliament building nine | :59:48. | :59:50. | |
modern new prisons. Today the transformation gets underway with | :59:51. | :59:54. | |
the announcement that the Justice Secretary has just made. Holloway | :59:55. | :59:59. | |
prison, the biggest women's jail in Western Europe, will close. In the | :00:00. | :00:03. | |
future women prisoners will serve their sentences in more humane | :00:04. | :00:07. | |
conditions, better designed to keep them away from crime. Mr Speaker, by | :00:08. | :00:13. | |
selling these old prisons we will create more space for housing in our | :00:14. | :00:18. | |
inner cities. For another of the great social failures of our age has | :00:19. | :00:20. | |
been the failure to build enough houses. In the end, Spending | :00:21. | :00:27. | |
Reviews like this come down to what your priorities are. I am clear that | :00:28. | :00:30. | |
in this Spending Review we choose to build. Above all, we choose to build | :00:31. | :00:37. | |
the homes people can buy. There is a growing crisis of home ownership in | :00:38. | :00:42. | |
our country. 15 years ago around 60% of people under 35 on their own | :00:43. | :00:47. | |
home. Next year it is set to be just half that. We made a start and | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
tackling that in the last Parliament and with schemes like Help to Buy | :00:52. | :00:56. | |
the number of first-time buyers rose by nearly 60%. We have not done | :00:57. | :01:00. | |
nearly enough yet. It is time to do much more. Today we set out our bold | :01:01. | :01:05. | |
plan to back families who aspire to buy their own home. I am doubling | :01:06. | :01:09. | |
the housing budget. Doubling of to ?2 billion per year. And we will | :01:10. | :01:18. | |
deliver 400,000 affordable new homes by the end of the decade and | :01:19. | :01:21. | |
affordable means not just affordable to rent but affordable to buy as | :01:22. | :01:22. | |
well. Biggest house-building programme by | :01:23. | :01:35. | |
any government since the 1970s. Almost half will be starter homes | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
sold at 20% of market value to first time buyers, and those will be | :01:41. | :01:48. | |
banned and the help by shared ownership removing restrictions on | :01:49. | :01:52. | |
shared ownership, who can buy them, who they can be sold on to. The | :01:53. | :01:57. | |
second part of the plan delivers on our manifesto commitment to extend | :01:58. | :02:00. | |
the right to buy two Housing Association tenants. From midnight | :02:01. | :02:05. | |
tonight tenants of five Housing Associations will be able to start | :02:06. | :02:08. | |
the process of buying their own home. Mr Speaker the third element | :02:09. | :02:13. | |
of the plan involves accelerating housing supply, we are announcing | :02:14. | :02:17. | |
further reforms to the planning system so it delivers more homes, | :02:18. | :02:22. | |
more quickly. We are releasing public and suitable for 160,000 | :02:23. | :02:27. | |
homes and read designating and used commercial land. Towns. We will | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
extend loans for small builders, regenerate rundown estates and vest | :02:32. | :02:38. | |
over ?300 million in Ebbsfleet, the first Garden City for almost a | :02:39. | :02:42. | |
century. Fourthly Gutmann 12 help address the housing crisis in London | :02:43. | :02:47. | |
with a new scheme, London helped by. Londoners are the housing crisis in | :02:48. | :02:49. | |
London with a new scheme, London help to buy. Londoners with a 5% | :02:50. | :02:52. | |
deposit will be able to get an interest free loan worth 40% of the | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
value of the newly built home. My honourable friend for Richmond Park | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
has campaigned for affordable homeownership in London and today | :03:00. | :03:05. | |
we're back him all the way. The fifth part of the housing plan, | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
addresses the fact that more and more homes are being bought as buy | :03:10. | :03:16. | |
to let, or second homes. Many of these are cash purchases not | :03:17. | :03:18. | |
affected by the restrictions introduced in the Budget on mortgage | :03:19. | :03:24. | |
relief and many are bought by those not resident in this country. People | :03:25. | :03:29. | |
buying a home to let should not squeeze out families who can't | :03:30. | :03:32. | |
afford a home to buy. So I'm introducing new rates of Stamp Duty | :03:33. | :03:37. | |
that will be 3% higher on the purchase of additional properties | :03:38. | :03:40. | |
like buy to lets and second homes. It will be introduced from next | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
April and will consult on the details so that corporate property | :03:46. | :03:48. | |
development is not affected. This extra Stamp Duty will raise almost | :03:49. | :03:57. | |
?1 billion by 2021 and we will reinvest some of that money in local | :03:58. | :03:59. | |
communities in London and places like Cornwall which are being priced | :04:00. | :04:02. | |
out of home ownership. The funds that we raise will help in building | :04:03. | :04:07. | |
these new homes, so this Spending Review delivers a doubling of the | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
housing budget, 400,000 new homes and extra support for London, | :04:12. | :04:15. | |
estates regenerated, the right to buy, payments on buy to let a second | :04:16. | :04:25. | |
homes delivered by a Conservative government will want to help working | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
people to buy their own homes. For we are the builders! Mr Speaker, the | :04:30. | :04:37. | |
fourth and final objective of this Spending Review is national | :04:38. | :04:41. | |
security. On Monday, the prime ministers set at the House the | :04:42. | :04:44. | |
strategic defence and Security review. It commits Britain to | :04:45. | :04:49. | |
spending 2% of our income on defence and details how these resources will | :04:50. | :04:52. | |
be used to provide new got bad for our war fighting military, nuke | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
abilities for special forces, new defences for our cyberspace -- new | :04:57. | :05:03. | |
capabilities, and investments in our intelligence agencies. By 2020-21 | :05:04. | :05:09. | |
the single intelligence account will reach ?2.8 billion in the defence | :05:10. | :05:15. | |
budget will rise from ?34 billion today ?240 billion. Britain also | :05:16. | :05:21. | |
commits to spend on our overseas developer and we will reorder and it | :05:22. | :05:26. | |
-- reorientate our budget so that we help the poorest and have a fragile | :05:27. | :05:34. | |
state on the borders. It is in our national interest to do is. The | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
overseas aid budget will increase to ?16.3 billion by 2020. Britain is | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
unique in making these twin commitments to funding both military | :05:45. | :05:48. | |
might and the soft power of international development. It | :05:49. | :05:52. | |
enables us to protect ourselves, protect our influence and promote | :05:53. | :05:57. | |
our prosperity. We do so, supported by the Foreign Secretary and our | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
outstanding diplomatic service. To support them in their vital work I | :06:03. | :06:06. | |
am today protecting in real terms the budget of the Foreign and | :06:07. | :06:11. | |
Commonwealth Office. But Security starts at home. Our police are on | :06:12. | :06:16. | |
the front line of the fight to keep us safe. In the last Parliament we | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
make savings in police budgets. Thanks to the reforms of the Home | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
Secretary and the hard work of police officers, crime fell and the | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
number of neighbourhood officers increased. But reform must continue | :06:29. | :06:34. | |
in this Parliament. We need to invest in new state-of-the-art | :06:35. | :06:38. | |
mobile medications for our emergency services, introduce new technology | :06:39. | :06:42. | |
on borders and increase the counterterrorism budget by 30%. We | :06:43. | :06:47. | |
should allow elected police and crime commission is greater | :06:48. | :06:48. | |
flexibility in those areas where they have been historically low. And | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
further savings can be made in the police as different forces merge | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
their back offices and share expertise. And we will provide a new | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
fund to help with this reform. Mr Speaker, I have had rubbers and | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
Asians from the Shadow Home Secretary that police budgets should | :07:08. | :07:13. | |
be cut by 10%. But now is not the time for further police cuts. Now is | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
the time to back our police and give them the tools to do the job. I am | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
announcing that they will be no cuts in the police budget at all. -- | :07:23. | :07:31. | |
there will be no cuts at all. In real terms, protection for police | :07:32. | :07:40. | |
funding. Mr Speaker... The police protect us and we are going to | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
protect the police! CHEERING | :07:45. | :07:51. | |
Mr Speaker. Five years ago, when I presented my first Spending Review, | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
the country was on the brink of bankruptcy and our economy was in | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
crisis. We took the difficult decisions back then, and five beers | :08:01. | :08:04. | |
later, a report and an economy growing faster than its competitors | :08:05. | :08:09. | |
-- five years later. And public finances set to reach is a plus of | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
?10 billion. Today we set out the further decisions necessary to build | :08:15. | :08:18. | |
the future of this country. Sometimes difficult, yes, but | :08:19. | :08:22. | |
decisions that build the great public services that families rely | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
on, build the homes people need, build stronger defences against | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
those who threaten our way of life and build strong public finances | :08:31. | :08:33. | |
upon which all these things depend. We were elected as a 1 nation | :08:34. | :08:42. | |
government. Today, we deliver the Spending Review of one nation | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
government, the guardians of economic security, the protectors of | :08:46. | :08:49. | |
national security, the builders of our better future. This government, | :08:50. | :08:53. | |
the mainstream representatives of the working people of Britain. | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
CHEERING STUDIO: The Chancellor sits down, | :08:59. | :09:06. | |
you spoke for more than one hour. Tonnes of stuff to go through, which | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
we will between now and 3:30pm. The Leader of the Opposition would | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
respond, it's the Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell. Mr Speaker, like me, | :09:16. | :09:23. | |
you will have witnessed many Autumn Statement 's and statements by the | :09:24. | :09:26. | |
Chancellor of the Exchequer. And you will know that there is such a thing | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
as the iron law of Chancellor 's statements. That law is that the | :09:31. | :09:35. | |
louder the cheers of the statement on the day, the greater the | :09:36. | :09:41. | |
disappointment by the weekend when the analysis goes in! From what we | :09:42. | :09:48. | |
have heard today, we do not need until the weekend for this statement | :09:49. | :09:54. | |
to fall apart. Of the last five years, there has barely been a | :09:55. | :09:57. | |
target that the Chancellor has said that he has not missed or has not | :09:58. | :10:04. | |
ignored. Five years ago, the newly elected Chancellor and the Prime | :10:05. | :10:08. | |
Minister came to this house and want to us that because of the Diagne | :10:09. | :10:12. | |
situation, that our country faced, what was needed -- because of the | :10:13. | :10:19. | |
terrible situation, what was needed was a five-year progress of | :10:20. | :10:25. | |
austerity. Job cuts, cuts and public services, and wage freezes. We were | :10:26. | :10:29. | |
promised specifically by this Chancellor that, by today, the | :10:30. | :10:33. | |
deficit would be eliminated. CHEERING | :10:34. | :10:43. | |
And debts would be under control. And falling dramatically. People put | :10:44. | :10:51. | |
their trust in that commitment. Order! I said earlier, the Prime | :10:52. | :10:56. | |
Minister would be heard, the Shadow Chancellor will be heard too. Order! | :10:57. | :11:04. | |
If people think they are being clever, shouting their heads off, | :11:05. | :11:09. | |
don't bother asking a question. Try to have the sense to realise the | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
conflict between the two. Mr John McDonnell. The Prime Minister also | :11:14. | :11:22. | |
issue and us, Mr Speaker, that it would be hard and sacrifices would | :11:23. | :11:26. | |
be made, we were all in it together. Five years on, can I just say today, | :11:27. | :11:33. | |
this Chancellor has got some front to come to this House and talk about | :11:34. | :11:39. | |
the deficit. And to lecture us about deficit-reduction! Today is the day | :11:40. | :11:48. | |
when the Chancellor was supposed to announce that austerity was over and | :11:49. | :11:52. | |
the deficit was controlled. From what we've heard today, I think they | :11:53. | :11:56. | |
will feel betrayed. The reality is this. After five years, the deficit | :11:57. | :12:03. | |
has not been eliminated, and this year it is predicted to be over ?70 | :12:04. | :12:10. | |
billion. Instead of taking five years to eliminate the deficit, as | :12:11. | :12:17. | |
he promised, it will take ten. And debt to GDP will not be the 69% that | :12:18. | :12:22. | |
he promised five years ago, as he said today, it will be 82.5%. And we | :12:23. | :12:29. | |
are potentially to bequeath to our children a debt of ?1.5 trillion. | :12:30. | :12:36. | |
SHOUTING Their debt... The Chancellor... The | :12:37. | :12:52. | |
Chancellor continues to miss... Both sides are still shouting. Very | :12:53. | :12:58. | |
down-market, very low grade. Widely deprecated by the public. How it is | :12:59. | :13:02. | |
that people think that it is legitimate to behave in that way and | :13:03. | :13:09. | |
tried to reconnect with the electorate's disillusioned with | :13:10. | :13:14. | |
politics is bizarre. If some people are so unintelligent that they | :13:15. | :13:17. | |
cannot grasp the point, we did them. John McDonnell. After five | :13:18. | :13:21. | |
years as Chancellor with that level of debt there is no one else for him | :13:22. | :13:26. | |
to blame. There is only so long that you can blame past governments. | :13:27. | :13:30. | |
There are no more excuses for this Chancellor after five years. We were | :13:31. | :13:36. | |
also promised that if sacrifices had to be made to tackle the deficit, | :13:37. | :13:40. | |
not to worry, we were all in this together. No we are not. 85% of the | :13:41. | :13:49. | |
money saved on tax and benefits cuts in the last parliament came out of | :13:50. | :13:52. | |
women's pockets. Disabled people were hit 18 times harder than anyone | :13:53. | :13:59. | |
else. 4.1 children now live in absolute poverty. An increase of | :14:00. | :14:10. | |
500,000 from 2009-2010. And the fiasco of tax credits, demonstrated | :14:11. | :14:16. | |
once and for all that we were not in this together. At the same time as | :14:17. | :14:22. | |
the Chancellor was planning to cut tax credits to working families, he | :14:23. | :14:27. | |
cut inheritance taxes for some of the wealthiest families in this | :14:28. | :14:33. | |
country. When the Chancellor and the Prime Minister were first elected to | :14:34. | :14:35. | |
their positions they were attacked for being posh boys. I disagreed | :14:36. | :14:41. | |
with that strongly. It was not fair. People do not choose what class they | :14:42. | :14:44. | |
are born into the wealth they inherit. Nevertheless if you are | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
fortunate enough to have wealth, or good incomes, the onus is upon us to | :14:49. | :14:54. | |
take particular care when taking decisions about the lives of those | :14:55. | :14:59. | |
last fortunate than yourselves. -- less fortunate. What shocked and | :15:00. | :15:05. | |
angered many, not just in this House but across the country was the way | :15:06. | :15:09. | |
there was no attempt by the Chancellor to understand the effects | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
of the decision to cut tax credits. For many families, and would have | :15:14. | :15:20. | |
been a choice between children being able to go on that school trip like | :15:21. | :15:25. | |
the other children, or having a decent Christmas or a winter coat. | :15:26. | :15:32. | |
Today the Chancellor has been forced into a U-turn on his tax credits. | :15:33. | :15:38. | |
And I want to congratulate the members of this House on all sides | :15:39. | :15:43. | |
who have made this happen. I want to congratulate the members of the | :15:44. | :15:47. | |
other house as well. I am glad that he has listened to Labour, and seen | :15:48. | :15:56. | |
sense. Accent as ever, with this Chancellor, -- we await | :15:57. | :16:00. | |
clarification on the details. Particularly if the limit to two | :16:01. | :16:03. | |
children remains and we are aware of the impact on Universal Credit. It | :16:04. | :16:11. | |
appears that 14,000 families already on Universal Credit will still | :16:12. | :16:15. | |
suffer the full cut. And all families that would nearly qualify | :16:16. | :16:20. | |
for tax credits in 2018 will suffer the full cut under Universal Credit. | :16:21. | :16:25. | |
So this is not a full and fair reversal as we pleaded for. And the | :16:26. | :16:29. | |
Chancellor remains committed to ?12 billion of welfare cuts over this | :16:30. | :16:34. | |
Parliament. And we know where they will fall, on the most vulnerable, | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
the poorest, and those struggling to survive. | :16:40. | :16:48. | |
Some believe the Chancellor is using the deficit and austerity to reshape | :16:49. | :16:57. | |
the role of the British state a Machiavellian scheme. I do not. I am | :16:58. | :17:02. | |
convinced this is sheer economic illiteracy based on incompetence and | :17:03. | :17:10. | |
poor judgment. Poor judgment. Today, only four weeks ago, he | :17:11. | :17:18. | |
brought to this House the Charter for fiscal responsibility. An | :17:19. | :17:22. | |
essential part of this was our essential part of this was our | :17:23. | :17:25. | |
adherence to his welfare cap. We supported it. Today he has broken | :17:26. | :17:32. | |
what we said before. He said what we said before. He said | :17:33. | :17:37. | |
himself, introducing the cap last year, breaking it would be, and I | :17:38. | :17:41. | |
called the Chancellor, a failure of public expenditure control. On his | :17:42. | :17:49. | |
own terms and his own language, condemned. The government is cutting | :17:50. | :17:53. | |
today and not investing in the future. He is putting us all at | :17:54. | :18:02. | |
future risk. Let me say this, I want to congratulate the honourable | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
member for a league for the campaign on policing cuts, forcing a U-turn. | :18:07. | :18:19. | |
We do not forget though... Mr Speaker, we do not forget though we | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
face the highest level of risk from terrorist attacks in a generation. | :18:25. | :18:28. | |
But we have already lost 17,000 police officers under this comment. | :18:29. | :18:42. | |
We know that the first line of intelligence are the offices in the | :18:43. | :18:45. | |
local community. We claimed today as another Labour again and victory. | :18:46. | :18:56. | |
Let me say also, there are concerns now about the impact of the local | :18:57. | :19:02. | |
council cuts and freezers in expenditure on other emergency | :19:03. | :19:09. | |
services. We feel for people's safety as more firefighters jobs are | :19:10. | :19:12. | |
cut and fire stations close as a result of this settlement. In | :19:13. | :19:17. | |
health, the Chancellor has announced he is front-loading part of the | :19:18. | :19:21. | |
additional ?8 billion worth of funding. In reality, this will only | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
plug some of the gap in the huge deficits health trust in our | :19:27. | :19:30. | |
reporting. But the Government is also relying on ?22 billion worth of | :19:31. | :19:37. | |
unrealistic savings to be found. The extra money seems to be coming from | :19:38. | :19:43. | |
the training of nurses, the Public health budget and other aspects of | :19:44. | :19:48. | |
local authority support. This will be a false economy which will cause | :19:49. | :19:53. | |
more burdens to reform the NHS. All of the signs are that we are facing | :19:54. | :19:58. | |
a massive winter crisis in the NHS and yet again we will have two rely | :19:59. | :20:03. | |
on our professional dedication of our staff. The Health Secretary | :20:04. | :20:09. | |
refusing to go to a cast to settle the junior doctors dispute is no way | :20:10. | :20:14. | |
to maintain the morale amongst our NHS professionals. One of the | :20:15. | :20:23. | |
greatest scandals under this Chancellor has been the attack on | :20:24. | :20:30. | |
social care. 3000 beds, 3000 beds have been lost already. And | :20:31. | :20:36. | |
according to the Association of directors of adult services, the | :20:37. | :20:41. | |
Care precept, the 2% announced by the Chancellor, is not nearly enough | :20:42. | :20:45. | |
to fill the funding gap this government has created. The result | :20:46. | :20:50. | |
is that some of the most vulnerable people in our society will be at | :20:51. | :20:54. | |
risk. And more people will be forced to resort to their local hospital | :20:55. | :21:01. | |
further care. -- for their care. We know much more about the scale of | :21:02. | :21:04. | |
people suffering from mental health problems and we welcome the | :21:05. | :21:10. | |
additional devoted to mental health. But it is no use funding through the | :21:11. | :21:14. | |
health service from mental health service when local authority support | :21:15. | :21:21. | |
is being cut as a result. More people will be left vulnerable. In | :21:22. | :21:24. | |
education the Government claims school budgets will be protected. | :21:25. | :21:29. | |
Let me say this. We fear the Government will use the new funding | :21:30. | :21:33. | |
formula to take away from the pupils who most need it, the most deprived. | :21:34. | :21:40. | |
And we will monitor the funding format carefully to ensure equity. | :21:41. | :21:47. | |
In today's statement the Chancellor has announced there would be a | :21:48. | :21:57. | |
settlement that restricts F32 Cats protection. That means sixth forms | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
and further education colleges will be under threat of risk of closure | :22:01. | :22:06. | |
around the country. Just at the time the economy is crying out for a | :22:07. | :22:10. | |
skilled educated workforce, the Government is denying access to | :22:11. | :22:13. | |
young people to the local courses they need. And with regard to | :22:14. | :22:20. | |
childcare announced today, we note it is delayed yet again a load -- | :22:21. | :22:25. | |
and other two years. Another delay in a commitment given. The | :22:26. | :22:32. | |
Chancellor's much vaunted increase in house building is cobbled | :22:33. | :22:36. | |
together from reheated promises from the past. The vast majority of | :22:37. | :22:40. | |
already been announced. The Tories should be judged by their actions, | :22:41. | :22:44. | |
not their words. The Chancellor's first act in office was to slash | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
housing investment by 60%. His plans today could still mean 40% less to | :22:51. | :22:56. | |
build the homes we need compared to the investment programme he | :22:57. | :22:59. | |
inherited from Labour. House-building now as a result | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
remains at the lowest in peace time since the 1920s. As the member for | :23:04. | :23:12. | |
Wakefield said this morning, if hot-air built homes, Conservative | :23:13. | :23:15. | |
ministers would have solved our housing crisis. I worry that the | :23:16. | :23:24. | |
vast majority of young people hoping for a new homes will be disappointed | :23:25. | :23:28. | |
by the Chancellor's failure to deliver. His record on building | :23:29. | :23:31. | |
anything so far does not inspire confidence at all. Over the last | :23:32. | :23:36. | |
year the Chancellor has forced himself on to building sites all | :23:37. | :23:39. | |
around the country to secure a photograph with a high visibility | :23:40. | :23:44. | |
jacket. When the Chancellor did his Bob the builder 's speech at the | :23:45. | :23:47. | |
Tory party conference, what he did not tell delegates was that he has | :23:48. | :23:54. | |
an abysmal investment record. Only 9% of the project started under his | :23:55. | :23:59. | |
infrastructure pipeline in two years. In 2012 the announced ?40 | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
billion guarantee scheme. Three years on, only 9% has been signed | :24:04. | :24:10. | |
off. In 2011 he announced a ?20 billion pensions infrastructure | :24:11. | :24:14. | |
platform. Four years on, only 1 billion of commitments has been | :24:15. | :24:17. | |
ensured. The construction industry is shrinking and going into | :24:18. | :24:24. | |
recession. He has also failed to invest in skills. The Royal | :24:25. | :24:28. | |
Institute of chartered surveyors has said the biggest infrastructure | :24:29. | :24:31. | |
programmes could grind to a halt unless the Government adopts new | :24:32. | :24:33. | |
measures to tackle the skills and funding. And the most ironic cut of | :24:34. | :24:40. | |
all must be the virtual closure of large sections of the Department for | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
Business, Innovation and Skills. There are 146,000 unfilled vacancies | :24:46. | :24:50. | |
due to lack of a skilled workforce. So naturally the Government's | :24:51. | :24:55. | |
solution is to move to actually close the one department tasked with | :24:56. | :25:01. | |
closing school levels. On the environment, the Government has | :25:02. | :25:05. | |
announced today various measures. Let's be clear. Comment ministers | :25:06. | :25:10. | |
can go to the Paris summit on climate change with the proud record | :25:11. | :25:15. | |
of nearly killing off once flourishing solar energy sector. The | :25:16. | :25:23. | |
international aid budget is supposedly protected but is now to | :25:24. | :25:29. | |
be raided for defence spending. In defence, the Government has | :25:30. | :25:30. | |
previously commissioned and aircraft carriers our last year. And at least | :25:31. | :25:38. | |
woken up to the fact it needed aircraft as well. But the funding of | :25:39. | :25:43. | |
the defence review is to come from ?11 billion worth of cuts with the | :25:44. | :25:47. | |
inevitable loss of thousands of defence worker jobs. Specialist | :25:48. | :25:52. | |
skills will be lost forever. Alongside these cuts are many more | :25:53. | :25:58. | |
to help dig himself out of the financial hole he has got himself | :25:59. | :26:03. | |
into. The Chancellor is selling off whatever public assets he can. This | :26:04. | :26:07. | |
is no longer the family silver up for sale. This is the furniture, the | :26:08. | :26:13. | |
fixtures and the fittings. And we know who is the first in line to | :26:14. | :26:20. | |
buy. I never envisaged that when it came to nationalising I would be | :26:21. | :26:23. | |
outdone by a Conservative Chancellor. The only difference | :26:24. | :26:26. | |
between us is that I would like to bring services like rail back into | :26:27. | :26:29. | |
the ownership of the British people. The Chancellor wants to sell | :26:30. | :26:32. | |
them to the people's Republic of China. Nationalisation is OK for him | :26:33. | :26:41. | |
as long as it is by any other state but ours. To assist comrades | :26:42. | :26:48. | |
Osborne, I brought him along a little red book. Let me quote, Mr | :26:49. | :26:58. | |
Speaker. Order! I want to hear about the | :26:59. | :27:04. | |
contents of the book! I think you'll find this invaluable. | :27:05. | :27:19. | |
You are a rather excitable one. I thought this would help him, Mr | :27:20. | :27:24. | |
Speaker. Let us quote from mouse a junk. | :27:25. | :27:31. | |
The wave. We must learn to do economic work from all who know how. | :27:32. | :27:42. | |
No matter who they are, we must esteem them as teachers, respect | :27:43. | :27:48. | |
them conscientiously but we must not pretend to know what we do not know. | :27:49. | :27:51. | |
I thought it would come in handy for him. | :27:52. | :28:06. | |
Mr Speaker, I am sure... I am sure, Mr Speaker... I am sure, Mr Speaker | :28:07. | :28:11. | |
that Tory backbenchers will be under instruction to shoehorn into their | :28:12. | :28:15. | |
speeches at every opportunity references to the mythical long-term | :28:16. | :28:20. | |
economic plan. What we have been presented with today is not a Lamela | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
-- an economic plan but a political fix. It is not a plan when you | :28:26. | :28:30. | |
ridiculously commit yourself to unachievable forces and leave | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
yourself no room to manoeuvre. It is not a plan when you sell off every | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
long-term asset you have for short-term gain. It is not a plan | :28:39. | :28:42. | |
when you leave important industries to go to the wall, as they have done | :28:43. | :28:47. | |
with steel. And it is not a plan when you cut the support for those | :28:48. | :28:50. | |
in work and leave working families to rely on food banks. And it is not | :28:51. | :28:54. | |
a plan when you force councils up and down the line to close services | :28:55. | :29:01. | |
people depend upon. And it is not a plan when you invest so little in | :29:02. | :29:05. | |
schools and infrastructure and put our future at risk. Instead what we | :29:06. | :29:10. | |
have seen today is the launch of a manifesto for the Conservative | :29:11. | :29:15. | |
leadership election. Our long-term economic security is being | :29:16. | :29:19. | |
sacrificed for the benefit of one man's career. I say to the | :29:20. | :29:24. | |
honourable member from Maidenhead, I say to the honourable lady from | :29:25. | :29:29. | |
Maidenhead, and the honourable member for Oxbridge, don't worry. | :29:30. | :29:33. | |
The economic reality that is emerging in our economy will mean | :29:34. | :29:37. | |
that this will be seen as the apex of the Chancellor's career. The | :29:38. | :29:45. | |
honourable member for Oxbridge... The honourable member... The | :29:46. | :29:53. | |
honourable member for Oxbridge, who exudes classical references in his | :29:54. | :29:58. | |
speech, will recognise in his -- in the Chancellor, Icarus, the boy who | :29:59. | :30:02. | |
flew too close to the sun and burnt and crashed. I fear for the | :30:03. | :30:07. | |
Chancellor it is all downhill from here. On this side the house we will | :30:08. | :30:12. | |
do -- do all we can to ensure he does not take this country and the | :30:13. | :30:17. | |
economy down with him. This debate is about what sort of society we | :30:18. | :30:24. | |
want to live in. In the end this debate is about what sort of society | :30:25. | :30:29. | |
we want to live in. The government is systematically dismantling all of | :30:30. | :30:32. | |
those aspects of our society that make our community worth living in | :30:33. | :30:36. | |
and celebrating. The Chancellor is not just putting our services today, | :30:37. | :30:42. | |
he is selling off our future. There is an alternative. And our | :30:43. | :30:46. | |
alternatives will be that we will eliminate the deficit but we will do | :30:47. | :30:51. | |
it fairly and effectively. We will do it by ensuring that we end the | :30:52. | :31:00. | |
tax cuts to the rich. We tackle tax evasion and avoidance and we invest | :31:01. | :31:03. | |
to grow. And we will grow our economy on the basis of the | :31:04. | :31:09. | |
investments in skills and infrastructure. We will become an | :31:10. | :31:13. | |
addition to the financial centre of Europe with the research in science | :31:14. | :31:17. | |
and technology will become the technology centre of Europe under a | :31:18. | :31:21. | |
government. And that means high skills, high investment, high | :31:22. | :31:28. | |
wages. That is what we are committed to on this side. And that is what we | :31:29. | :31:32. | |
will secure when we returned to office. | :31:33. | :31:40. | |
So, the Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell, finishes his response to | :31:41. | :31:46. | |
the Chancellor's spending review and Autumn Statement. We leave the House | :31:47. | :31:52. | |
of Commons for the debate, which continues in the tender. If you want | :31:53. | :31:55. | |
uninterrupted coverage of that, you can get it live on BBC Parliament. | :31:56. | :32:02. | |
Let's now take a moment to take you through the headlines from the | :32:03. | :32:04. | |
spending review and Autumn Statement. The main headline today | :32:05. | :32:11. | |
is clearly that tax credit cuts are to be avoided altogether. The cuts | :32:12. | :32:17. | |
planned in July announced by the Chancellor have not been | :32:18. | :32:20. | |
ameliorated, changed, reformed or delayed. They have been avoided | :32:21. | :32:28. | |
altogether. They didn't survive the year, even though he only announced | :32:29. | :32:32. | |
them in July. He also announced that education funding would now be | :32:33. | :32:36. | |
protected in real terms, which takes it beyond the early protection he | :32:37. | :32:39. | |
had given in the March and July budgets of this year, which | :32:40. | :32:48. | |
concentrated on schools. The other headline is that there will be no | :32:49. | :32:53. | |
cuts to police budgets in England and Wales, police being a devolved | :32:54. | :32:57. | |
matter for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. The Chancellor has | :32:58. | :33:01. | |
decided he will not cut the police budget. And the NHS budget in | :33:02. | :33:08. | |
England, with consequent rises in other parts of the UK, will rise | :33:09. | :33:15. | |
from its current ?101 billion a year to 120 billion by the first year of | :33:16. | :33:23. | |
the new parliament, 2021. Housing featured large in the Autumn | :33:24. | :33:29. | |
Statement as well. The Chancellor has doubled the housing budget. His | :33:30. | :33:33. | |
aim is to provide 400,000 new homes, as was leaked to the papers | :33:34. | :33:37. | |
this morning. It is an extension of giving people a discount by homes, | :33:38. | :33:44. | |
provided they are under a certain value. Not for rent, though, an | :33:45. | :33:49. | |
emphasis on home ownership from the Chancellor. The apprenticeship levy | :33:50. | :33:56. | |
is set at 0.5% of an employer's wage bill. It is designed for large | :33:57. | :34:01. | |
employers, to encourage them to do their own apprenticeships, because | :34:02. | :34:05. | |
the more people they came, the less they will have to pay this levy. | :34:06. | :34:12. | |
Capital spending on transport is to increase by a substantial amount. | :34:13. | :34:33. | |
Also today, the Chancellor had to give some new economic forecasts. | :34:34. | :34:37. | |
The first is that public spending will rise to 821 billion by | :34:38. | :34:54. | |
2019-20. But despite a substantial rise in public spending, the | :34:55. | :34:55. | |
Chancellor is still predicting that as a percentage of our GDP, the | :34:56. | :34:58. | |
country's national debt will start to fall. He aims to get us into a | :34:59. | :35:04. | |
budget surplus of just over 10 billion by 2020. There had been | :35:05. | :35:09. | |
speculation that he might not be able to meet that figure, given the | :35:10. | :35:14. | |
demands on extra spending, but he has. He has added 100 million to | :35:15. | :35:19. | |
show he has done better, but I would ignore the 0.1 decimal point on | :35:20. | :35:25. | |
forecasts. They are almost five years out. Growth forecasts are | :35:26. | :35:34. | |
biased up, but only by a smidgen. Essentially, the OBR thinks this | :35:35. | :35:37. | |
economy is going to grow at about 2.5% for the rest of the decade. So, | :35:38. | :35:42. | |
what does all this mean for borrowing? | :35:43. | :39:28. | |
So this is a massive Autumn Statement and spending review, a | :39:29. | :39:34. | |
huge amount of detail. The paperwork is only now coming into the studio. | :39:35. | :39:38. | |
We are getting some of it online. There is a lot to pour over. The | :39:39. | :39:43. | |
devil will be in the detail. And as is always the case, there are things | :39:44. | :39:47. | |
the Chancellor put into the paperwork, but did not tell us in | :39:48. | :39:50. | |
his announcement. He would not be the first Chancellor to do that. We | :39:51. | :39:54. | |
are joined now in the studio by a man who has been described variously | :39:55. | :39:58. | |
as the real Chancellor, the most important man in government you have | :39:59. | :40:05. | |
never heard of, and even one half of George Osborne's brain, which could | :40:06. | :40:10. | |
mean it is but a small half. Rupert Harrison used to be George | :40:11. | :40:15. | |
Osborne's chief of staff. He now works for the massive fund managers | :40:16. | :40:22. | |
Blackrock. And he joins us for what I believe is your first television | :40:23. | :40:26. | |
appearance. Come out from behind the curtain. First, let's get reaction | :40:27. | :40:31. | |
to the speech from our BBC editors. Laura, what is your take on this? | :40:32. | :40:36. | |
George Osborne clearly wants us to see this as, after 2010-2015, which | :40:37. | :40:42. | |
he described as the rescue mission for the economy, is now being on the | :40:43. | :40:47. | |
rebuilding of the economy. He said that by 2020, the state will make up | :40:48. | :40:53. | |
35% of national income compared to nearly 50% when he first took office | :40:54. | :40:57. | |
as Chancellor. That is a significant reshaping of the balance of the | :40:58. | :41:01. | |
economy in the country. Fascinatingly, the huge cheers from | :41:02. | :41:06. | |
the Conservative benches do not hide the fact that there were big climb | :41:07. | :41:11. | |
downs. They were not about his political ideology, but reality. | :41:12. | :41:17. | |
Firstly, on tax credits. Not tinkering or tweaking, but dropping | :41:18. | :41:21. | |
those cuts altogether, although there will still be cuts to | :41:22. | :41:24. | |
universal credit and its report is on. That is a big victory for the | :41:25. | :41:30. | |
House of Lords, the Labour Party and some Tory backbenchers including | :41:31. | :41:36. | |
Boris Johnson. The second big climb down was not cutting the police | :41:37. | :41:41. | |
budget at all. Many people believe in the last few days, after what | :41:42. | :41:45. | |
happened in Paris, it was just not politically possible to go ahead | :41:46. | :41:50. | |
with the kind of cuts that had been expected. Interestingly, two big | :41:51. | :41:57. | |
changes. Labour will claim them as victories, but of course, | :41:58. | :42:01. | |
conveniently for George Osborne, that kills off two of Labour's | :42:02. | :42:05. | |
strongest attacks on the government at a time when they have not been | :42:06. | :42:09. | |
effective at coming up with ways to put him under pressure. I will come | :42:10. | :42:12. | |
to Robert Peston in a minute, because some of this arithmetic | :42:13. | :42:18. | |
needs delving into. Kamal, what do you think? We are seeing a huge | :42:19. | :42:27. | |
movement of costs in three significant ways. Firstly, there is | :42:28. | :42:33. | |
the social care issue. A new tax-raising power will begin to | :42:34. | :42:36. | |
local authorities to pay for social care. Private care providers who are | :42:37. | :42:40. | |
complaining about the cost of social care will say that the ?2 billion | :42:41. | :42:44. | |
raised from that will not go far enough and there will still be a ?1 | :42:45. | :42:48. | |
billion shortfall, so he has moved costs from central government and | :42:49. | :42:51. | |
local government. And then the apprenticeship levy, ?3 billion to | :42:52. | :42:57. | |
be raised from the largest private businesses for funding 3 million | :42:58. | :43:02. | |
apprentices by 2020, he says will start again, putting the duty on the | :43:03. | :43:05. | |
private sector to deliver on things like skills, so vital to our | :43:06. | :43:11. | |
economy. And of course, on housing. Direct funding support for housing, | :43:12. | :43:19. | |
businesses and building companies to build houses themselves. Again, he | :43:20. | :43:22. | |
is saying, private sector, it is up to you to solve the supply-side | :43:23. | :43:29. | |
problem in housing. There are lots of questions over whether the | :43:30. | :43:32. | |
housing industry can deliver or even wants to deliver. Or has the skills | :43:33. | :43:40. | |
to deliver. This will be a monotonous repetition over the next | :43:41. | :43:43. | |
announcing big numbers on things announcing big numbers on things | :43:44. | :43:49. | |
like capital investment, transport, they are only announcements, not | :43:50. | :43:52. | |
delivery. The government has found it difficult to deliver the big | :43:53. | :43:56. | |
schemes that the Chancellor says we need to make sure our economy is | :43:57. | :44:02. | |
thriving in the future. The big picture is that there is a big move | :44:03. | :44:08. | |
from responsibility on the state to responsibility on local authorities, | :44:09. | :44:11. | |
devolved powers and the private sector. Robert, here is a Chancellor | :44:12. | :44:19. | |
who has says he has to balance the budget. He is not increasing any | :44:20. | :44:23. | |
data taxes, although there are tax rise is built into this. He is | :44:24. | :44:27. | |
spreading money around all over the press, yet he still says he will | :44:28. | :44:33. | |
reach the surplus. Is there something going on here that we | :44:34. | :44:36. | |
don't know about? It seems suspicious. Well, he has been bailed | :44:37. | :44:41. | |
out by the Office for Budget Responsibility, the forecasting | :44:42. | :44:46. | |
agency he created, forecasting significantly higher tax revenues | :44:47. | :44:54. | |
than it was expecting in July and a significant reduction in interest | :44:55. | :44:57. | |
payments on the government's big debt. That is not to do with new | :44:58. | :45:04. | |
taxes imposed today, that is just the OBR being more optimistic. It | :45:05. | :45:09. | |
says the reason it is more optimistic is because it has new | :45:10. | :45:15. | |
data on the rate at which taxes are now being paid, which has allowed it | :45:16. | :45:18. | |
to make what it thinks is a rational judgment. Let's be clear, these | :45:19. | :45:26. | |
judgments. They are not accurate scientific forecasts is. The OBR | :45:27. | :45:32. | |
might get it wrong. But George Osborne is banking on that windfall. | :45:33. | :45:39. | |
You can see that in the most important women in the Office for | :45:40. | :45:41. | |
Budget Responsibility's enormous book that it publishes when it is | :45:42. | :45:46. | |
the most direct effect of the government's policy decisions has | :45:47. | :45:50. | |
been to push borrowing higher between 2016-17 and 20 219-20. That | :45:51. | :46:00. | |
means the things he has done today, reversing example, the cuts in tax | :46:01. | :46:08. | |
credits, freezing the budget for the police, and limiting cuts in | :46:09. | :46:14. | |
individual departments, the cuts are significantly less than the | :46:15. | :46:17. | |
speculation was and that he outlined. He was talking about 20 | :46:18. | :46:25. | |
billion only a few weeks ago. So the direct effect of all of that is to | :46:26. | :46:31. | |
push borrowing higher. But borrowing actually comes down because the OBR | :46:32. | :46:39. | |
thinks the economy's ability to generate tax is better than it was. | :46:40. | :46:47. | |
There is this big shift that he has made. I read it in a blog. You read | :46:48. | :46:55. | |
your own blog? Occasionally. There is a shift in terms of shifting | :46:56. | :46:58. | |
costs, doing a lot of the stuff we expect the state to do from the | :46:59. | :47:01. | |
state, to the private sector. All right. Let me come to Rupert | :47:02. | :47:07. | |
Harrison. How is it credible to suddenly produce a ?27 billion | :47:08. | :47:14. | |
underlying improvement in the nation's finances between July and | :47:15. | :47:17. | |
November? I think it's an interesting pattern. If we think | :47:18. | :47:19. | |
about George Osborne's period of being Chancellor in a sense the | :47:20. | :47:24. | |
first few years were a period where we saw downgrades to the growth | :47:25. | :47:28. | |
forecasts, the eurozone crisis. The second half of the last parliament | :47:29. | :47:31. | |
was when the economy looked to be picking up but tax receipts were | :47:32. | :47:35. | |
perhaps not picking up at the same rate. It looked possible we are now | :47:36. | :47:39. | |
into a third phase where finally the tax receipts are starting to come | :47:40. | :47:43. | |
through and the OBR are moving from what was a cautious view on that, | :47:44. | :47:48. | |
perhaps because the economy's growing they're more confident about | :47:49. | :47:53. | |
earnings. He is assuming ?47 billion, not he, but the OBR, there | :47:54. | :47:58. | |
will be ?47 billion in extra tax without putting tax up because of | :47:59. | :48:02. | |
tax buoyancy. Where is the evidence for that? If you look at the October | :48:03. | :48:07. | |
borrowing figures the October borrowing figures were the worst | :48:08. | :48:13. | |
since October 2009 and that was partly because tax receipts | :48:14. | :48:18. | |
underperformed in every major category, VAT, corporation tax, | :48:19. | :48:22. | |
income tax, national insurance. How is it suddenly produce an extra ?37 | :48:23. | :48:27. | |
billion? Two points. We are always don't -- ?47 billion. Don't place | :48:28. | :48:32. | |
too much on one month of data. The whole of the financial year it's | :48:33. | :48:35. | |
still bad. The OBR will have seen those figures but won't have had a | :48:36. | :48:40. | |
chance to radically change their forecasts because of them and | :48:41. | :48:42. | |
probably nor should they because it's one month of figures. The big | :48:43. | :48:47. | |
picture, you should always evaluate big events by the hand the | :48:48. | :48:50. | |
Chancellor is dealt and how he choose to play it. He was dealt by a | :48:51. | :48:54. | |
growing economy and more tax receipts a better hand than he | :48:55. | :48:59. | |
expected but interestingly, he choose to play that hand by | :49:00. | :49:03. | |
essentially taking risks off the table. Instead of new tax cuts or | :49:04. | :49:07. | |
giveaways he is essentially taking the tax credit issue off the table | :49:08. | :49:12. | |
completely, taken police cuts off the table. That's a sign of, first | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
of all, we are early in a parliament and that's a phase where any money | :49:17. | :49:21. | |
you have got you are about reducing risks and also I think a reflection | :49:22. | :49:25. | |
of we have a Government that doesn't have a small majority in the House | :49:26. | :49:29. | |
of Commons. He is taking risks. He is spending the ?47 billion in tax | :49:30. | :49:36. | |
buoyancy the OBR is predicting. He is assuming the - he is also the OBR | :49:37. | :49:41. | |
is assuming that the extra dwroet is going to produce more tax receipts | :49:42. | :49:46. | |
too. The increase in the OBR forecasts are 0. 1 of a percentage. | :49:47. | :49:51. | |
You were in the Treasury. The OBR has no idea whether the economy is | :49:52. | :49:57. | |
going to grow by 2. 4% or 2. 5% by 2018. But the Chancellor's banked | :49:58. | :50:01. | |
it. Several points to that. First of all, they're not his numbers. That's | :50:02. | :50:06. | |
very important. I said the OBR. These are independent numbers he | :50:07. | :50:09. | |
gets given. The OBR has been at the cautious end of the spectrum. Their | :50:10. | :50:13. | |
forecast is still relatively cautious compared to other | :50:14. | :50:16. | |
independent forecasters like the Bank of England. Not for 18-19. If | :50:17. | :50:22. | |
you look at independent forecasts most people don't... City consensus | :50:23. | :50:28. | |
is 2. 5. For the next few years they're at the cautious end and have | :50:29. | :50:31. | |
been for tax receipts. More importantly the main criticism from | :50:32. | :50:34. | |
the Chancellor's opponents has always been you are cutting too | :50:35. | :50:37. | |
much, there is no need to run a surplus. The main accusation | :50:38. | :50:44. | |
normally levied against him is he is too cautious. He is still on these | :50:45. | :50:48. | |
independent numbers delivering a ?10 billion surplus. It's hard to argue | :50:49. | :50:54. | |
he is taking risks on that front. One question and then I will bring | :50:55. | :51:01. | |
in my colleagues. Why did he make such a complete Horlicks of tax | :51:02. | :51:06. | |
credits? We must not lose sight of the fact he is still making ?12 | :51:07. | :51:08. | |
billion of save initial Government departments. Why did he get the tax | :51:09. | :51:13. | |
credits wrong? I will answer the question. Why did he brand the party | :51:14. | :51:18. | |
to be... Next thing he does is smash the working poor? It's difficult to | :51:19. | :51:22. | |
save money. You have to see this in the context of a consolidation over | :51:23. | :51:27. | |
?100 billion. It hasn't been done in this country in living memory. You | :51:28. | :51:29. | |
are not going to get everything right. In the last parliament | :51:30. | :51:34. | |
probably sort of lost in the mists of political history now, but we did | :51:35. | :51:37. | |
things, for example, we proposed that after a year of being on | :51:38. | :51:40. | |
jobseeker's allowance it would get cut by 10%. That didn't go down | :51:41. | :51:44. | |
well. We dropped it. We made proposals that we would take child | :51:45. | :51:48. | |
benefit away from higher rate taxpayers, that didn't go down well, | :51:49. | :51:53. | |
we changed the threshold from about 42,000 up to between 50 and 60,000. | :51:54. | :51:59. | |
When you are making ?100 billion plus savings you are not going to | :52:00. | :52:02. | |
get everything right. When you have a problem fix it properly so you | :52:03. | :52:07. | |
don't have to come back to it. He has listened to Denis Healy's, when | :52:08. | :52:12. | |
you are in one hole, stop digging. Why did it take the Chancellor so | :52:13. | :52:16. | |
long to realise the size of this problem? Let's not forget for weeks | :52:17. | :52:20. | |
and weeks the Treasury was digging themselves further in. They were | :52:21. | :52:25. | |
determined that there would be no mitigation. When he finally realised | :52:26. | :52:28. | |
or perhaps it was pointed out to him perhaps by Number 10, just how bad | :52:29. | :52:33. | |
this might have been around the time before the Lords' defeat, in the end | :52:34. | :52:36. | |
he saw he would have to change course. Someone described to me that | :52:37. | :52:40. | |
moment as being the moment when he really decided that he wanted to be | :52:41. | :52:47. | |
Prime Minister, rather than a successful Chancellor. That's a | :52:48. | :52:51. | |
little unfair. The policy is the policy until the policy changes. You | :52:52. | :52:56. | |
can't go hinting in the meantime you might be changing. After today what | :52:57. | :52:59. | |
people are going to remember is he ditched the tax credit cuts. They're | :53:00. | :53:04. | |
not going to remember that he spent months with people speculating. We | :53:05. | :53:08. | |
will! You will, Andrew. Many of his colleagues will. I suspect you are | :53:09. | :53:12. | |
not representative of most people, most voters. You may say that. Watch | :53:13. | :53:19. | |
this programme and tonight and papers tomorrow, they'll get, OK, he | :53:20. | :53:27. | |
listened, he Devoned them. There are sort of slightly intuitive issues | :53:28. | :53:34. | |
raised by the OBR. One, for example, is you have got growth remaining | :53:35. | :53:40. | |
pretty robust. In a global economy actually which is a lot weaker than | :53:41. | :53:45. | |
we thought it would be a few months ago. You are also increasing the | :53:46. | :53:50. | |
costs that are being imposed on the private sector and yet expecting the | :53:51. | :53:57. | |
private sector to increase its investment, not to lay people off. I | :53:58. | :54:01. | |
think just intuitively one wonders actually whether this is going to | :54:02. | :54:06. | |
work out quite as the OBR and the Chancellor assumes? You have to put | :54:07. | :54:10. | |
what are relatively small tweaks today in the context of the big | :54:11. | :54:16. | |
picture, he is still cutting public spending down towards 36%, that's at | :54:17. | :54:18. | |
the near the historical lows in recent history. All right. A quick | :54:19. | :54:23. | |
question from you. I wondered, Rupert, has the housing supply issue | :54:24. | :54:28. | |
which has been a big problem since 2010, how much has that been an | :54:29. | :54:32. | |
issue around the house building companies simply not having the | :54:33. | :54:36. | |
energy or the desire to deliver on housing? If you speak to the chief | :54:37. | :54:41. | |
executives in the house building sector their profits are already up | :54:42. | :54:46. | |
40%. They feel themselves full stretched, they have a massive | :54:47. | :54:49. | |
skills shortage and don't seem to be convinced although they'll make | :54:50. | :54:52. | |
noises today about the announcements made, how much of a problem was it | :54:53. | :54:55. | |
for you and how can it be solved? It's a very good question. It's one | :54:56. | :54:59. | |
of the biggest economic issues that we face as a country. The house | :55:00. | :55:02. | |
building rates are beginning to pick up. There were two big factors and | :55:03. | :55:05. | |
one is the one you are talking about. One big factor was planning. | :55:06. | :55:10. | |
That is now at least a bit better and planning is easier to get. There | :55:11. | :55:15. | |
was an issue that if we go back to the boom years when more houses were | :55:16. | :55:19. | |
building built, about half were built by the big guys, people you | :55:20. | :55:22. | |
are talking about, but there was another sector in the market, the | :55:23. | :55:25. | |
small builder who perhaps would build three or four houses, sell | :55:26. | :55:29. | |
them, move on and build another one. A lot of those guys got wiped out or | :55:30. | :55:33. | |
they're still in debt and banks won't lend to them. There is a | :55:34. | :55:36. | |
supply issue but it's starting to mend. Skills shortage is a huge | :55:37. | :55:41. | |
issue. It's been an issue since I have been in short trousers! We will | :55:42. | :55:44. | |
move on. Fancy getting into politics after this? I am not in politics any | :55:45. | :55:51. | |
more. I know that. Fancy getting into it? I am happy... Like a | :55:52. | :55:56. | |
politician you have learned how not to answer the question, try it! I am | :55:57. | :55:59. | |
enjoying what I am doing. Thank you for being with us, Rupert Harrison. | :56:00. | :56:08. | |
Let's go to Birmingham and Jo. Yes, Andrew, so much to chew over. | :56:09. | :56:16. | |
And the improved state of the public finances has given George Osborne | :56:17. | :56:20. | |
more room, hence he announced he was not going to go ahead with planned | :56:21. | :56:26. | |
cuts on things like tax credits. With that in mind, my guest here, | :56:27. | :56:32. | |
the Conservative leader of Solihull council is here, he has heralded the | :56:33. | :56:36. | |
northern powerhouse, now the Midlands engine, is it as good as it | :56:37. | :56:40. | |
sounds? It's a good deal for Midlands and devolution basically. | :56:41. | :56:44. | |
The new money unlocks ?8 billion worth of new investment for skills, | :56:45. | :56:48. | |
transport connectivity, he has also devolving the skills budget which is | :56:49. | :56:51. | |
important to us to train people up to take those jobs. There are other | :56:52. | :56:54. | |
funds available for the future, as well. It's a pretty good deal at | :56:55. | :56:59. | |
this stage. It will transfer into real growth here in this region? ?36 | :57:00. | :57:06. | |
million a year will unlock ?1 billion worth of funding which we | :57:07. | :57:10. | |
can use to create the ?8 billion fund across the West Midlands and | :57:11. | :57:14. | |
that's what we intend to do. The big headline of course and the thing | :57:15. | :57:18. | |
that he faced most opposition to was this cut to tax credits. He said | :57:19. | :57:22. | |
they're not going to go ahead. Labour have already said it's not a | :57:23. | :57:28. | |
full and fair reversal of those planned cuts. Laura is, is that how | :57:29. | :57:33. | |
you see it too? Many working families would have struggled to | :57:34. | :57:36. | |
cope with a cut to tax credits. It's welcome news this is to be avoided | :57:37. | :57:41. | |
and siem sure many families will be relieved to history that. However, | :57:42. | :57:44. | |
people will face a change in their finances as they move on to | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
universal credits. So it's really important that people prepare and | :57:49. | :57:53. | |
plan their finances now so that they can adapt to changes in the future. | :57:54. | :57:57. | |
We already see lots of people struggling with debt or managing | :57:58. | :58:00. | |
bills or balancing working child care. If you do have any worries | :58:01. | :58:04. | |
about your finances or questions, come and talk to Citizens Advice, | :58:05. | :58:07. | |
get advice and we will help you think it through. Is your first | :58:08. | :58:10. | |
impression that those families who are not going to face those cuts | :58:11. | :58:14. | |
coming Barff Christmas, coming into place -- coming before Christmas, | :58:15. | :58:17. | |
coming into place next year will have more time for transition in the | :58:18. | :58:20. | |
hope they'll get higher wages? Absolutely. It's important that | :58:21. | :58:24. | |
people are able to have that time to plan and prepare and come and talk | :58:25. | :58:29. | |
to us to help do that. One of the other big announcements was this | :58:30. | :58:32. | |
increase that councils will be allowed to put on council tax ks up | :58:33. | :58:39. | |
to 2% as long as it's for social care, what will that mean Father a | :58:40. | :58:43. | |
lot of customers? Council tax debt is already one of the biggest issues | :58:44. | :58:48. | |
we help people with at Citizens Advice, it's for people to have | :58:49. | :58:51. | |
support and advice to really help them plan and manage those changes. | :58:52. | :58:55. | |
Thank you very much. Of course for shoppers here just | :58:56. | :58:58. | |
weeks before Christmas they'll be thinking about the money in their | :58:59. | :59:02. | |
pocket and how it's going to affect their personal finances. One of the | :59:03. | :59:06. | |
big announcements was also about the state pension. With us is our | :59:07. | :59:13. | |
personal finances expert. Tell us about peoples' pensions, it's going | :59:14. | :59:19. | |
to go up? It is, we knew this, there wasn't really a lot we didn't know. | :59:20. | :59:23. | |
We already had worked out how much the state pension was going to be | :59:24. | :59:28. | |
because of the triple lock. We knew as soon as the inflation and | :59:29. | :59:30. | |
earnings figures came out how much it was going to be. It's going up by | :59:31. | :59:38. | |
?3. 35 to ?119. 30. That's what they call the old state pension, that's | :59:39. | :59:44. | |
the one that's before the April 2016 changes. The key thing that was new | :59:45. | :59:49. | |
that we do know because it was announced for the first time today | :59:50. | :59:56. | |
is that this new state pension, the so-called flat rate, which isn't at | :59:57. | :00:03. | |
all, but that's going to be 1 a 55. 65. George Osborne always said this | :00:04. | :00:08. | |
will be above the level of pension credit under the old system. It's 5p | :00:09. | :00:14. | |
so he has kept his promise, but not by a great deal. We will have to | :00:15. | :00:19. | |
leave it there. Keep economies and e-mails coming to us and we will try | :00:20. | :00:25. | |
and get some next time. -- questions and e-mails. Thank you. As they were | :00:26. | :00:29. | |
saying there the state pension is going up to over ?119, if you were | :00:30. | :00:33. | |
worried about losing your tax credits as a result of the July | :00:34. | :00:41. | |
budget, that will now not happen. You will not see a dmination at | :00:42. | :00:47. | |
least until welfare credit comes in. If you were worried that the | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
Government at a time of heightened security threat was going to cut | :00:52. | :00:54. | |
police numbers, then the Chancellor said he is not going to do so. | :00:55. | :00:59. | |
Some of the issues that affect everybody in the country, rather | :01:00. | :01:03. | |
than just a great number crunching. But the number crunching is | :01:04. | :01:06. | |
important. That tells us whether or not the Chancellor's projections are | :01:07. | :01:12. | |
credible. The man who gets to mark the Chancellor's homework is Paul | :01:13. | :01:16. | |
Johnson, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies. I am sure he has | :01:17. | :01:23. | |
his red pen. We are puzzled here as to how the Chancellor still | :01:24. | :01:26. | |
determined to get a surplus by the end of this parliament has so much | :01:27. | :01:29. | |
money to do so many things. Is it credible? . | :01:30. | :01:35. | |
Well, he got lucky in that there are more tax revenues expected to come | :01:36. | :01:43. | |
in and he will be spending a bit less on debt interest. He has also | :01:44. | :01:49. | |
increased taxes reasonably significantly. There is a 3 billion | :01:50. | :01:53. | |
cost on is Mr pay for the new apprenticeship. Wasn't that in the | :01:54. | :01:58. | |
Labour manifesto? I don't know. I think it might have been. It wasn't | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
in the figures in July. And there have been increases in council tax | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
and some other increases. So he has done thee things, taken advantage of | :02:09. | :02:15. | |
increased revenues, he has increased tax a bit and he has used that money | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
to damp down the cuts in spending. to damp down the cuts in spending. | :02:19. | :02:25. | |
And because the cuts in spending were on a relatively limited part of | :02:26. | :02:29. | |
government, the effect of that bit of extra money is to significantly | :02:30. | :02:36. | |
reduce the overall level of cuts. But everyone is assuming the economy | :02:37. | :02:43. | |
will grow by roughly 2.5% a year till the end of the decade. We knew | :02:44. | :02:50. | |
that interest rates were staying low for another while yet and that that | :02:51. | :02:53. | |
would affect the debt interest, the service on the national debt that he | :02:54. | :02:58. | |
had to pay. We know that if an economy is growing, there is a | :02:59. | :03:01. | |
certain buoyancy in tax revenues at some stage. So if we knew all that, | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
why does all this come as a surprise? Therein lies the risk. The | :03:07. | :03:13. | |
changes in the OBR's forecasts are small. They are if you billion | :03:14. | :03:16. | |
pounds, but you are five years out in terms of tax revenues and the | :03:17. | :03:22. | |
economy. Those are small changes, and the Chancellor has used most of | :03:23. | :03:29. | |
and reduce the spending cuts he and reduce the spending cuts he | :03:30. | :03:32. | |
would otherwise have done. The risk for him is that if that turns just a | :03:33. | :03:37. | |
bit, as it may well do, he will have to do more in terms of tax increases | :03:38. | :03:42. | |
or go back to those departments and cut them further. In the last | :03:43. | :03:46. | |
Parliament, when things looked worst, he did not increase spending | :03:47. | :03:50. | |
cuts to meet his target. This time, when things are looking better, he | :03:51. | :03:54. | |
is not using that to have a bigger surplus to have tax cuts, he is | :03:55. | :04:00. | |
using it to protect public services. This is the Chancellor's third | :04:01. | :04:06. | |
"Budget" this year. It is a form of Budget called the Autumn | :04:07. | :04:14. | |
Statement/spending review. If there is a 27 billion difference in the | :04:15. | :04:17. | |
underlying improvement in revenues between July this year and | :04:18. | :04:25. | |
mid-November, when these figures were put together, he should have a | :04:26. | :04:28. | |
Budget every three months if the figures are so wrong! Please, don't | :04:29. | :04:35. | |
wish for that! 27 million is one of these silly numbers. But it allows | :04:36. | :04:42. | |
him to get the surplus. It only comes out to 4 billion or 5 billion | :04:43. | :04:48. | |
in the end, plus he has 6 billion in tax increases in the end. The reason | :04:49. | :04:52. | |
it makes such a big difference is that he is only playing with a small | :04:53. | :04:59. | |
bit of public spending. The whole of welfare is separate. Why didn't you | :05:00. | :05:04. | |
see this coming? You are the expert. We don't do anything unless | :05:05. | :05:11. | |
you tell us. We have always said there is a lot of risk around this | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
because of the Guerin between a relatively small amount spending and | :05:16. | :05:21. | |
small changes in taxing and borrowing. If you look at these | :05:22. | :05:25. | |
numbers, there are still some big cuts. There's a 15% cut for justice, | :05:26. | :05:31. | |
there are still cuts for local governments and big cuts in | :05:32. | :05:35. | |
day-to-day spending for transport. There is 12 billion of cuts for | :05:36. | :05:38. | |
those unprotected departments, which is still a substantial cut. It is | :05:39. | :05:44. | |
not as big as it would have been in the July Budget numbers, because the | :05:45. | :05:48. | |
Chancellor has decided to use the extra money he has not to cut taxes | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
or increase the surplus, but to protect public services. To that | :05:54. | :06:01. | |
extent, given that the political strategy was to move the | :06:02. | :06:06. | |
Conservatives on to the centre ground in the July Budget as they | :06:07. | :06:10. | |
saw Labour moving to the left, there were a lot of things in the July | :06:11. | :06:13. | |
Budget that had been in the Labour manifesto, this is a continuation of | :06:14. | :06:22. | |
that? It is certainly using the money not to do what you might think | :06:23. | :06:25. | |
of as conservative things like cutting taxes and increasing | :06:26. | :06:32. | |
spending. He has used it to increase spending. It is important to be | :06:33. | :06:35. | |
clear that he has changed nothing in the long-running. In the long one, | :06:36. | :06:40. | |
the cuts to universal credit that were announced in the July Budget, | :06:41. | :06:45. | |
which are on a similar scale to the cuts to tax credits, will come in. | :06:46. | :06:53. | |
Politically, he has got through that. It is just a matter of time. | :06:54. | :07:02. | |
So the kind of cuts that were envisaged in the July tax credit | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
statement do it eventually come round in a different way by the time | :07:07. | :07:12. | |
universal credit comes in? People on tax credits should realise that. | :07:13. | :07:16. | |
Nobody will face the cash losses they would have faced with the tax | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
credits because, even as you go on to universal credit, you are | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
protected relative to what you were on tax credits. But every new | :07:25. | :07:31. | |
claimant will get the new amount. So George Osborne is achieving what he | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
wanted. But he has postponed it. Robert? It is worth pointing out | :07:36. | :07:42. | |
that if you look at all of the managed spending, it is now flat in | :07:43. | :07:51. | |
real terms, adjusted for inflation, throughout the Parliament. In other | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
words, this is not a government that is any longer cutting. This is the | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
moment when one can say that austerity, in the extreme form, is | :08:02. | :08:09. | |
over. Within that, because there are number of departments that get | :08:10. | :08:12. | |
useful increases, defence is up 2.3%, a reasonable increase, health | :08:13. | :08:21. | |
is up 3.3%. Because of these protective departments, they're big | :08:22. | :08:28. | |
cuts elsewhere. One should not underestimate that this will be | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
painful for those who depend on the services provided by those | :08:33. | :08:38. | |
departments. But this is not the kind of Armageddon that people were | :08:39. | :08:40. | |
talking about before the general election. It is a big political | :08:41. | :08:50. | |
shift. Laura, can we say he has decided not to cut taxes in the old | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
Tory weight but to increase public spending, not to cut the police and | :08:57. | :09:00. | |
rent back on tax credit, is it a continuation of the Chancellor's | :09:01. | :09:04. | |
strategy to put his tanks on the centre ground? No question about it. | :09:05. | :09:09. | |
Particularly after his speech at the conference, that was an attempt to | :09:10. | :09:12. | |
roll his tanks onto Labour's lawn, and we have seen it again today. | :09:13. | :09:18. | |
Here, he could have chosen to pay down the debt quicker. He could have | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
chosen to pull back further. We are four years from a general election | :09:24. | :09:26. | |
with a Labour opposition that have not found a groove yet. That may | :09:27. | :09:35. | |
well be part of the story today. We have got so much to pack in. Paul | :09:36. | :09:45. | |
Press conference tomorrow? Of Press conference tomorrow? Of | :09:46. | :09:51. | |
course. Excellent. Now, in the run up to today's statement, we heard | :09:52. | :09:54. | |
some dire warnings about the impact of spending cuts on front line | :09:55. | :09:58. | |
policing, but as we have been saying, a surprise announcement is | :09:59. | :10:02. | |
that the Chancellor did not do as much as people said he was planning. | :10:03. | :10:06. | |
He decided there would be no further cuts to police budgets in England | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
and Wales. There has been a meeting of chief constables and elected | :10:11. | :10:13. | |
police and crime commission is taking place at Manchester Townhall | :10:14. | :10:16. | |
today. It is being covered by our home affairs correspondent, who is | :10:17. | :10:23. | |
there now. What has been the reaction? As you say, this was a | :10:24. | :10:33. | |
dramatic, unexpected announcement. We were all expecting cuts of up to | :10:34. | :10:38. | |
25% for police in England and Wales. Perhaps the Chancellor would pull a | :10:39. | :10:42. | |
rabbit out of his hat to soften the blow. Instead, he said no cuts at | :10:43. | :10:45. | |
all for policing until 2020. Joining me to gauge the reaction is Kevin | :10:46. | :10:53. | |
Hurley, the Police and Crime Commissioner for Surrey. You were | :10:54. | :10:58. | |
watching the announcement. What was the response? It was almost like | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
euphoria if your football team had scored a goal. The Police and Crime | :11:03. | :11:06. | |
Commissioner 's and chief constables are delighted. Of course, we should | :11:07. | :11:11. | |
remember that we are already in the process of implementing cuts. So all | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
is not well in the world and we will seek further reductions in policing, | :11:16. | :11:21. | |
but this is good news. Fair play to the Chancellor. He has listened, and | :11:22. | :11:26. | |
we are happy. Can you explain why you have to make further cuts? | :11:27. | :11:31. | |
Shouldn't it stop now? No, because the budgets are allocated further | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
upstream. So we have plans for the next three years where we will | :11:37. | :11:42. | |
gradually reduce staff. Some forces will be cut significantly. In | :11:43. | :11:46. | |
Surrey, it will not be so bad. But the good news is that the Chancellor | :11:47. | :11:50. | |
will also allow us to take some extra money on the council tax | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
side, which means some forces such as mine in the wealthier south can | :11:56. | :11:59. | |
be almost completely cosseted from this. It will not be so good in the | :12:00. | :12:05. | |
north. Dr Steve Davis from the Institute of Economic Affairs, what | :12:06. | :12:08. | |
do you think has brought about this shift in George Osborne's thinking? | :12:09. | :12:14. | |
I think he has got better than expected figures for the annual | :12:15. | :12:17. | |
growth rate, so he now thinks that economic growth and higher tax | :12:18. | :12:22. | |
receipts will save him the political pain of making such large cuts. To | :12:23. | :12:28. | |
add to what Kevin said, it is worth bearing in mind that there was a 31% | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
real increase in police spending between 2001 and 2010. The cuts we | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
have had so far have taken us back to where we were in 2003. I don't | :12:38. | :12:43. | |
remember there being a complete collapse of policing at that time. | :12:44. | :12:49. | |
Had the anticipated cuts taken place, they would have taken us back | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
to 2001. So our police now going to be binning or the plans they had to | :12:54. | :12:57. | |
make cuts of up to 25%, and should they do that? Well, they will be in | :12:58. | :13:02. | |
a lot of the plans they had, although some things are already in | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
train that they will put through. But I think they should take this as | :13:07. | :13:09. | |
an opportunity to think about how they might reorganise the way they | :13:10. | :13:18. | |
work. Do we need 43 police forces, for example? Why do we have each | :13:19. | :13:21. | |
police force buying its own equipment? It makes more sense to do | :13:22. | :13:26. | |
that nationally. And that question remains. Should always be thinking | :13:27. | :13:31. | |
about that. Private sector businesses typically look to reduce | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
their costs by 4% every year. There is no reason why the public sector | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
should not also look to spend money more effectively. A final word from | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
Kevin. There was news about extra funding for firearms capability. | :13:45. | :13:52. | |
That is really good news. And I agree that 43 police forces is a | :13:53. | :13:56. | |
silly business model. I would like the Police and Crime Commissioner to | :13:57. | :13:59. | |
be made redundant. Let's reduce the number of forces. Perhaps George | :14:00. | :14:04. | |
Osborne and Theresa May are listening. If they are, I am sure | :14:05. | :14:08. | |
they will take note for the next announcement of government plans. | :14:09. | :14:18. | |
That is the view from Manchester. That is the first voluntary | :14:19. | :14:20. | |
redundancy offer we have had today. Let's go to Jane Hill on College | :14:21. | :14:25. | |
Green. Yes, let's get reaction to everything we have heard from the | :14:26. | :14:30. | |
Liberal Democrats and from Ukip, Baroness Kramer is with me and | :14:31. | :14:36. | |
Douglas Carswell, Ukip MP. I want to talk about tax credits and the | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
police. We were just listening to that, and you made some strident | :14:42. | :14:45. | |
points about what is going on here. On the face of it, positive that | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
there no cuts to police. It is interesting. George Osborne has said | :14:51. | :14:54. | |
no cuts to the police budget, but in the small print, we will see a | :14:55. | :14:57. | |
massive increase in the police precept. So the government in | :14:58. | :15:02. | |
Whitehall will not get blamed for that, but local police and crime | :15:03. | :15:05. | |
commissioners will get it in the neck. George has been clever in | :15:06. | :15:09. | |
shifting responsibility for finance for the police. That is politics. It | :15:10. | :15:15. | |
is good politics. I am not sure it is great for the country. We need a | :15:16. | :15:21. | |
Chancellor who understands that we need new priorities. This is the | :15:22. | :15:24. | |
first year where the Home Office budget will be less than the | :15:25. | :15:30. | |
overseas aid budget. This is going to be really tough for more deprived | :15:31. | :15:33. | |
communities. Council taxpayers will suddenly find there is a charge | :15:34. | :15:38. | |
turning up to pay for the police and to pay for all people with the | :15:39. | :15:42. | |
social care budget, and it will fall hardest on the most deprived | :15:43. | :15:45. | |
communities that have the least ability to raise council tax. At the | :15:46. | :15:51. | |
same time, they will get less money on their business rates. Kensington | :15:52. | :15:56. | |
and Chelsea can go home laughing, but if you are a deprived community, | :15:57. | :16:01. | |
did you get whacked today? There is more and more pressure being put on | :16:02. | :16:07. | |
local councils. And I worry about the bus network, because we just | :16:08. | :16:10. | |
heard that the central Department for Transport will have its | :16:11. | :16:14. | |
operational budget slashed. Does that mean that paying for buses | :16:15. | :16:20. | |
outside of the big cities will now fall on councils as well? There are | :16:21. | :16:22. | |
a lot of issues. If I could sum it up, this is a | :16:23. | :16:32. | |
Blairite budget. The Labour Party has lurked so far to the extreme | :16:33. | :16:38. | |
left, their shadow Chancellor was even quoting Chairman Mao, that's | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
allowed George Osborne to create a space for a Blairite budget. It | :16:43. | :16:45. | |
sounds better than it turns out to be. There is a lot in the small | :16:46. | :16:52. | |
print that we will find unpalatable. Do you understand how he has done | :16:53. | :16:57. | |
it, still talking about welfare cuts and auto U-turn on tax credits which | :16:58. | :17:01. | |
I assume makes you happy? We still have ?12 billion in welfare cuts so | :17:02. | :17:06. | |
it's coming. There has been magic with what's going to come in in | :17:07. | :17:09. | |
terms of tax receipts and br owing to offset some changes he has made. | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
We still have ?12 billion cuts in welfare. I am delighted that he | :17:15. | :17:19. | |
stopped the cuts for tax credits on working families. And one of the | :17:20. | :17:23. | |
ironies is had George Osborne been in the House of Lords he would have | :17:24. | :17:28. | |
voted for the Democrat motion to absolutely kill those cuts in tax | :17:29. | :17:30. | |
credits stone dead. He wouldn't have voted with either the Labour Party | :17:31. | :17:37. | |
or the Conservatives. Interesting. Thank you both very much for your | :17:38. | :17:43. | |
reactions. Andrew, back to you. Thank you. The sun looks like it's | :17:44. | :17:48. | |
come out there. We are always kept in the dark here! We are grateful | :17:49. | :17:54. | |
for that picture. A moment ago we went through a number of issue that | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
had come up in this budget. Let's just go through them again. | :17:59. | :18:05. | |
Here are the main measures announced in this Autumn Statement/Spending | :18:06. | :18:09. | |
Review. Tax credits announced in the July post-election budget. The | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
changes planning, cuts planning have been cancelled in their entirety. | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
But there will still be universal credit coming in which will embody | :18:18. | :18:22. | |
some of what the tax credit cuts had involved. We will talk about that in | :18:23. | :18:26. | |
a minute. There will be no cuts to the police | :18:27. | :18:32. | |
budget in England and Wales. There was thought the Chancellor was | :18:33. | :18:35. | |
under pressure to reduce the cuts he was planning, the result is that | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
there are no cuts at all. I think the word Paris comes into | :18:40. | :18:43. | |
mind when you look at that. NHS budget in England will rise from | :18:44. | :18:51. | |
?101 billion today to ?120 billion by 2020-21 and rises for the health | :18:52. | :18:54. | |
budgets in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. | :18:55. | :19:02. | |
And, as local authorities are squeezed and one of the main roles | :19:03. | :19:06. | |
in the community is to provide social care, as that money gets | :19:07. | :19:10. | |
squeezed, there they will be allowed to increase council tax by 2% to pay | :19:11. | :19:16. | |
for social care. And only social care. What else? | :19:17. | :19:22. | |
We have got a ?10 billion increase for education and child care, that's | :19:23. | :19:27. | |
through the life of the parliament, over five-year period. An | :19:28. | :19:33. | |
apprenticeship levy eight at 0. 5% of employer's wage bill. This is | :19:34. | :19:37. | |
mainly designed for major employers to encourage them to do more to give | :19:38. | :19:40. | |
people apprenticeships and skills and if they do that, they get some | :19:41. | :19:45. | |
of that levy back. It's actually not a new idea. It was introduced by the | :19:46. | :19:50. | |
Wilson Government in a version of it in the 1960s. There it is around | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
again. And 400,000 new homes, the big story | :19:55. | :20:01. | |
leaked overnight to the papers and broadcasters. | :20:02. | :20:04. | |
The Government getting into the property development business. | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
It seems to have a pot of money of about ?7 billion able to do that. | :20:09. | :20:12. | |
Capital spending on transport to increase, as well. | :20:13. | :20:17. | |
That's by the end of the decade. Capital spending to rise by 50% even | :20:18. | :20:22. | |
as the adminive bill for the transport department is cut as the | :20:23. | :20:25. | |
Government tries to find ways to save money. | :20:26. | :20:29. | |
We spoke a while ago to the former advisor to George Osborne, giving | :20:30. | :20:32. | |
him his first interview on television. We are joined now by | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
another former adviser to the Chancellor, he had a lot of them, | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
Matt Hancock, it's definitely not his first interview and probably not | :20:41. | :20:43. | |
his last either. You can be the judge of that. Depends what happens! | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
He is a Minister from the Cabinet Office. Can we now enter the | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
department of honesty. And admit that if it hadn't been for the | :20:53. | :20:56. | |
attacks in Paris we would not be seeing a freeze in any further cuts | :20:57. | :21:00. | |
to the police budget? Well, this Spending Review has been in the | :21:01. | :21:04. | |
planning for several months. You know, I don't know exactly when that | :21:05. | :21:10. | |
decision was taken. Crucially, the whole purpose of the Spending Review | :21:11. | :21:14. | |
is centred around national security and economic security. That goes | :21:15. | :21:19. | |
back to the manifesto, we set out the manifesto, it was about national | :21:20. | :21:21. | |
and economic security and national security of course includes all the | :21:22. | :21:25. | |
defense items that were outlined this week. But it's also about | :21:26. | :21:29. | |
safety closer to home. Before Paris the Home Secretary was digging in | :21:30. | :21:34. | |
her kitten heels and trying to avoid any further cuts to police budgets. | :21:35. | :21:38. | |
The Treasury was pushing them to come up with more as part of the | :21:39. | :21:41. | |
departmental round of cuts the Treasury needed. Now there are to be | :21:42. | :21:47. | |
no cuts. What happened in between, it's Paris. It would seem crazy most | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
people would think for a Conservative Government or any | :21:52. | :21:54. | |
Government to proceed with cuts to the police budget beyond what you | :21:55. | :21:58. | |
have already introduced. That's the truth of the situation, isn't it? I | :21:59. | :22:02. | |
don't know exactly when that decision was taken. Crucially, the | :22:03. | :22:10. | |
question is what do you do over a four-year Spending Review and how do | :22:11. | :22:16. | |
you spend the four trillion worth of taxpayers' money and as national | :22:17. | :22:19. | |
security and economic security are the bedrock of what we feel that we | :22:20. | :22:23. | |
were elected on, independenting it's perfectly reasonable to make sure | :22:24. | :22:28. | |
the police are protected. At a time when this country faces the greatest | :22:29. | :22:33. | |
terrorist threat in its history, terrorist threat, not the greatest | :22:34. | :22:36. | |
threat ever, the Nazis obviously beat that one, the terrorist threat, | :22:37. | :22:41. | |
bigger than the 30-year war from the IRA. In what way does it make sense | :22:42. | :22:46. | |
for the overseas aid budget now to be bigger than the Home Office | :22:47. | :22:50. | |
budget? Hold on, look at what we are going to be doing with the aid | :22:51. | :22:55. | |
budget. Of course you have to be working around the world and our | :22:56. | :22:58. | |
moral obligation to the world's poor, we signed up for that. We are | :22:59. | :23:04. | |
also redirecting the aid budget to support failed states on Europe's | :23:05. | :23:10. | |
borders. No, that may work down the road. I hope it does. But if you | :23:11. | :23:14. | |
have been following the news in Paris and Belgium you will be aware | :23:15. | :23:19. | |
that a lot of the bad guys are already here. The overseas aid is | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
for future years. They're here or heading this way now. Yet you are | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
spending more on overseas aid than you are on the Home Office. Does | :23:28. | :23:32. | |
that really make sense? The whole package makes sense because we are | :23:33. | :23:37. | |
protecting the police budget. We are increasing the counterterrorism | :23:38. | :23:44. | |
element of the budget by 30%. We are increasing more conventional defense | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
with the defense review we saw. I am talking about the terrorist. We are | :23:49. | :23:53. | |
making sure when we spend aid money we are spending it at source trying | :23:54. | :23:57. | |
to stop the terrorists threat at source. Let me give you an example. | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
No, but the point, these people... That may stop them coming. That may | :24:03. | :24:08. | |
stop them coming in five years, a couple of ?200million will do in | :24:09. | :24:12. | |
Somalia or Syria is another matter. I am talking about the ones already | :24:13. | :24:17. | |
on their way or already here. We need to tackle both. You are right | :24:18. | :24:22. | |
on that level. We have to support police domesticicly, we have to | :24:23. | :24:25. | |
support counterterrorism and officers and the agencies, but we | :24:26. | :24:29. | |
also have got to do everything we can to stop failed states and to | :24:30. | :24:35. | |
make sure that in those refugee camps people don't come here with | :24:36. | :24:40. | |
the risk attached, especially if foreign fighters come, of then | :24:41. | :24:44. | |
bringing terrorism with them. I think that an overall package that | :24:45. | :24:48. | |
includes protection at home and trying to support failed states on | :24:49. | :24:51. | |
Europe's borders makes sense. You have to look at the whole thing as a | :24:52. | :24:56. | |
package, all about national security and economic security. What kind of | :24:57. | :24:59. | |
Government comes up with a major change to tax credits in July and | :25:00. | :25:04. | |
abandon it is in November? Well, we got an improved set of forecasts. | :25:05. | :25:10. | |
These forecasts said there was ?27 billion extra. And that allow us us | :25:11. | :25:15. | |
to bring the debt down faster than we were planning to in the July | :25:16. | :25:19. | |
budget. And also to spend more on capital infrastructure, which is | :25:20. | :25:21. | |
important, I think you probably agree. Were you wrong to introduce | :25:22. | :25:26. | |
these tax credits in the first place? I thought they were sensible | :25:27. | :25:31. | |
measures. Why are you not proceeding with them? We lost in the House of | :25:32. | :25:35. | |
Lords. You could have gone back. The difference between then and now is | :25:36. | :25:41. | |
that in the new forecasts the OBR said they expect ?27 billion extra | :25:42. | :25:44. | |
and I think it's a perfectly reasonable use of some of that money | :25:45. | :25:48. | |
to mitigate the impact of this change. The key point is this, on | :25:49. | :25:55. | |
benefits we were elected on a mandate to find ?12 billion worth of | :25:56. | :25:59. | |
benefits savings. We discussed that loads at the time. You never told us | :26:00. | :26:03. | |
what they would be. We didn't specifically say which ones it would | :26:04. | :26:06. | |
be. We are going to meet the ?12 billion but we are going to do it in | :26:07. | :26:11. | |
a different way to how we set out at the previous budget but we have the | :26:12. | :26:13. | |
money. Can we stay in the department of honesty and just be clearer, | :26:14. | :26:18. | |
although the tax credit cuts are not going to hit people now, when | :26:19. | :26:21. | |
universal credit comes in elements of what you were planning to do in | :26:22. | :26:25. | |
the tax credits will be introduced? You will limit the child element in | :26:26. | :26:30. | |
tax credits to two children from April 17 who are abolishing the | :26:31. | :26:35. | |
family element in tax credits worth ?540 a year. This is simply some | :26:36. | :26:40. | |
pain for the poorest families postponed, not eliminated? That's | :26:41. | :26:43. | |
not quite right. We are still making the ?12 billion of savings that we | :26:44. | :26:47. | |
said in the manifesto that we would make and we are still meeting the | :26:48. | :26:50. | |
?10 billion of surplus by the end of the parliament that we set out in | :26:51. | :26:57. | |
July. But the difference is that when people move on to universal | :26:58. | :27:02. | |
credit, unless their circumstances change, they're protected and so | :27:03. | :27:05. | |
they don't lose cash in cash terms. That means that you can make this | :27:06. | :27:12. | |
transition in a far more sensible way and make sure that we get the | :27:13. | :27:17. | |
savings to the benefits savings by the end of the parliament that are | :27:18. | :27:21. | |
just as big as we planned. Crucially, it is delivering on what | :27:22. | :27:26. | |
we promised in the manifesto. We are up against the time limit, we have | :27:27. | :27:36. | |
to deal with other parts of the great... It's interesting when you | :27:37. | :27:39. | |
start going through the detail. There is some analysis of what the | :27:40. | :27:43. | |
Chancellor's statement really means. This is a big tax-raising Autumn | :27:44. | :27:49. | |
Statement. Tax-raising on businesses, you have the apprentice | :27:50. | :27:54. | |
levy we spoke about, the stamp duty increase we have spoken about. Also | :27:55. | :28:00. | |
a lot of transference of grants for research and development support | :28:01. | :28:03. | |
being changed into loans. Business corporation tax too. What we are | :28:04. | :28:07. | |
going to get out of this, when you go through the detail, I am looking | :28:08. | :28:10. | |
at the business department, the Government will reduce the teening | :28:11. | :28:15. | |
grant by ?120 million, they're -- teaching grant. Changing grants to | :28:16. | :28:18. | |
loans. There is a lot of cuts in here which are small scale. There | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
will be overwhelmed by the announcements on the tax credits and | :28:23. | :28:25. | |
announcements on security, but in here is actually a lot of | :28:26. | :28:30. | |
tax-raising powers which actually means that this is not a giveaway | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
Autumn Statement in the slightest, but actually it's raising large | :28:35. | :28:37. | |
amounts of money as well as all the issues made. What other bits are | :28:38. | :28:42. | |
hidden in the small print? Well, loads and loads of changes because | :28:43. | :28:44. | |
we are reforming the way that the state works. You have hidden loads | :28:45. | :28:48. | |
and loads of changes in the small print? No, the Chancellor set out in | :28:49. | :28:52. | |
the big things in the statement and then we publish the book and the | :28:53. | :28:57. | |
crucial... For instance on the business changes just mentioned, the | :28:58. | :29:00. | |
Chancellor said in his speech that there is a 17% saving in the | :29:01. | :29:04. | |
business department. Of course there is. So there do have to be savings, | :29:05. | :29:08. | |
they're about half as big in the last parliament but absolutely there | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
is savings. Robert, a quick point. You spent most of the last | :29:13. | :29:17. | |
parliament attacking Labour for being too optimistic in forecasting | :29:18. | :29:20. | |
rises in tax revenues when this was in power and spending on the back of | :29:21. | :29:24. | |
that. Some would say there is a shift, some perhaps would describe | :29:25. | :29:30. | |
it as a hypocrisy that here we have a Chancellor who always said he is | :29:31. | :29:35. | |
Conservative - huge forecast increases in tax revenues that may | :29:36. | :29:44. | |
turn out to be illusaro. Figures were not included in the Office for | :29:45. | :29:48. | |
Budget Responsibility. The OBR did have details. This is the | :29:49. | :29:52. | |
independent office for budget responsibility. I used to be an | :29:53. | :29:56. | |
economic forecaster. I am glad politicians no longer do that. It's | :29:57. | :29:59. | |
done independently by experts. Very well. We will look at it with a fine | :30:00. | :30:06. | |
toothcomb. Thank you, Matt Hancock. We are on air on BBC Two until 3. | :30:07. | :30:09. | |
30pm. | :30:10. | :30:10. |